Research & Forecast Report PITTSBURGH | RETAIL Q3 2015 Local Market Update Mark Anderson Vice President | Pittsburgh The Pittsburgh retail real estate market continues to be strong. The vacancy rate across all retail property types dropped to 3.5% during the last quarter, although the numbers are skewed upward by large vacancies in a few submarkets. The market for prime anchored shopping center space is extremely tight and the effective vacancy rate for most quality centers is between 1-2%. Absorption for the period was 208,000 square feet. The total retail market is 138,741,180 square feet, including 32,945,052 of shopping center space. Low vacancy rates and high absorption has pushed lease rates up. Overall lease rates increased by .2% over the previous quarter to an average of $12.03 per square foot. High quality retail locations now typically lease in the low to mid $30 range, with some leases coming in as high as $55 per square foot. Small shop space in fringe market anchored space is usually near $15 per square foot. New construction typically requires a lease rate no less than $22.50. Little new development is underway in the market. The most notable developments include The Block Northway, Siena at St. Clair and the almost completed McCandless Crossing. The Block Northway will include a Nordstrom Rack, Container Store, Ulta and other upscale brands. The quoted lease rate is in the low to mid $40 dollar range. McCandless Crossing has leased well and has limited availabilities as it nears completion. Lease rates at the Cinemark anchored development are near $30 per square foot. Most owners of retail properties in prime areas are in a strong position, and don’t need to provide significant tenant concessions. National credit tenants looking for prime retail locations have few options and may find themselves competing with other prospects, or compromising on their location decisions. Non anchored space can be found if a tenant is willing to settle for a lesser location. With little development on the horizon to release market pressure, it appears that the market will continue to strengthen for the foreseeable future. Tenants should expect vacancy rates to remain low as lease rates will continue to increase. Landlords will continue to have a strong negotiating position and tenants need to be creative and patient in their search for prime locations. Colliers International | Pittsburgh > Landlord Representation Harrison Town Square, Pittsburgh, PA Shoppes at Adams Ridge Millennium Shops, Bethel Park, PA > Available space: 400 - 20,000 SF Cranberry Township, PA > New 27,000 Square Foot Retail Development > Great retail/medical space in the heart of > Available space: 1,400 SF (newer > Excellent traffic and visibility from Route 88 - Natrona Heights > Total facade renovation underway construction) 21,000 ADT > Available First Quarter 2015 > Restaurant patios available 1 Elevation - Option 1 3/32" = 1'-0" 66 Alpha Drive West Harmar Township, Pennsylvania 15238 Renovations Alpha Ice Complex ONE DOUGHBOY SQUARE 3400 BUTLER STREET P I T T S B U R G H, P A 1 5 2 0 1 T E L : 4 1 2. 6 8 3. 3 2 3 0 F A X : 4 1 2. 6 8 3. 3 5 6 3 www.desmone.com C:\Users\JeffreyWessel\Documents\4032 - Alpha Ice - 2015_Central_jwessel.rvt Seal: Date: Owner / Alpha Ice Client: Properties, LLC Drawing Title: Exterior Facade Concepts 2 10.27.2015 10.27.2015 Project 4032 Number Elevation - Option 2 3/32" = 1'-0" Scale: 3/32" = 1'-0" Drawing Number: PS-001 © Desmone Architects 2015 7809 McKnight Road, Pittsburgh, PA Franciscan Square, Steubenville, OH 66 Alpha Drive, Pittsburgh, PA > Up to 12,500 SF available > Up to 20,000 SF retail and 40,000 SF office > Existing 8,500 SF building in excellent > Build to suit opportunity > Flexible lease terms > 4,000 +/- SF endcap > Over 30,000 annual visitors to Franciscan > Near Ross Park and Northway Mall Gateway Commons Cranberry Township, PA > New available space: 1,300 - 14,000 SF > Newer retail space located at the corner of Freedom Rd. / Route 228 and Commonwealth Drive 2 University conidition > Adjacent to parcel for land lease/build-to-suit > At Route 28/PA Turnpike interchange 1910 Cochran Road, Pittsburgh, PA Thorn Run Crossing, Moon, PA > 3,184 SF end cap with drive thru > 1,400 SF available > Great Mt. Lebanon/Scott Township location > Divisible to 1,500 SF > Ample free parking > Multiple suites available > Excellent demographics and visibility Pittsburgh Research & Forecast Report | Q3 2015 | Pittsburgh / Retail | Colliers International Pittsburgh Region Retail Market Statistics > Q3 2015 Market Comparisons - Total Retail Market Statistics Q3 2015 > Quarterly Comparison and Totals MARKET EXISTING INVENTORY # BLDGS TOTAL GLA VACANCY DIRECT SF TOTAL SF VAC. % YTD NET ABSORPTION YTD DELIVERIES UNDER CONST. SF Armstrong 177 1,614,187 43,400 43,400 2.7% (5,200) 0 Beaver County 831 8,872,956 480,721 480,721 5.4% 107,796 45,270 11,262 $7.86 Butler County 836 10,078,731 253,030 253,030 2.5% 44,904 3,411 38,345 $13.61 Central Business District 137 2,422,219 134,214 134,214 5.5% 10,135 0 0 $10.40 Greater Downtown 801 5,173,244 188,489 188,489 3.6% 8,802 0 0 $10.48 Monroeville North Pittsburgh Northeast Pittsburgh Oakland Parkway East Corridor Parkway West Corridor South Pittsburgh Washington County West Pittsburgh Westmoreland County MARKET TOTALS 250 6,081,290 245,283 265,283 4.4% (28,207) 1,391 14,836,180 267,042 278,710 1.9% 88,684 53,932 0 887 8,556,415 450,262 469,131 5.5% 19,881 0 178 1,129,412 20,700 20,700 1.8% (1,833) 0 2,119 15,712,880 758,197 758,197 4.8% 26,360 33,106 $9.00 2,000 $13.24 115,796 $17.33 2,718 $12.54 0 $22.46 25,320 $12.01 436 6,734,760 155,813 155,813 2.3% 62,358 28,397 0 $12.33 2,242 23,508,835 543,144 547,094 2.3% 10,907 33,735 54,174 $11.18 985 11,370,585 266,540 267,290 2.4% 81,661 52,139 62,284 $13.13 403 3,222,654 113,870 113,870 3.5% 12,805 5,224 12,000 $11.10 1,782 19,426,832 890,496 890,496 4.6% 33,513 17,196 22,268 $10.36 138,741,180 4,811,201 4,866,438 3.5% 472,566 346,167 $12.03 13,455 272,410 Colliers International | Pittsburgh > Tenant Representation 3 0 QUOTED RATES Pittsburgh Research & Forecast Report | Q3 2015 | Pittsburgh / Retail | Colliers International Retail Healthcare On The Rise Mark Anderson Vice President | Pittsburgh The healthcare landscape in the United States has changed dramatically over the past few decades. Insurance costs continue to rise while the Affordable Care Act has changed the way we all think about healthcare. Hospital systems and other medical organizations have been forced to change the way they operate, including how they handle their real estate. The rise of medical malls, urgent care doctors and outpatient surgery centers has had a significant impact on retail real estate. Hospital systems and independent doctors have moved away from consolidating all operations within the hospital complex and are reaching out to their patients and consumers where they live, typically in a retail setting. By locating in retail locations, medical systems are better able to provide convenient care, while at the same time feeding their overall system. UPMC, Allegheny Health Network, Excela Health and Heritage Valley have all made moves toward retail settings. Excela Health purchased Norwin Hills Shopping Center a few years ago and AHN completed its first Health + Wellness pavilion in a retail location in the North Hills. UPMC has opened a number of urgent care centers and rehab centers in prime locations. MedExpress, Panther Physical Therapy, Davita Dialysis, Aspen Dental and Quest Diagnostics all have strong retail presences in our market. The trend of locating medical offices in retail spaces is something that landlord’s should expect to continue for the foreseeable future. Having medical tenants in a retail setting can have both positive and negative effects on property owners and managers. On the positive end, doctors and hospital systems tend to be able to afford a higher per square foot price point than many other tenants and medical spaces are extremely expensive to build out, leading to long term leases. Once they are in their space it is not economically prudent to relocate. On the negative side, many medical tenants don’t add much to a retail tenant mix; patients tend to see their doctor then leave the property, instead of frequenting other stores. Parking can also be an issue with some types of medical tenants, as they can have numerous patients taking up parking spaces for long periods of time. Retail landlords are wise to attract the right types of medical uses to their centers, but need to be cautious about the amount of medical space they lease. Many national retailers do not want to co-locate in a retail center that has become too medical in nature. Some retailers will actually include medical uses in their excluded uses clauses. Given the number and quality of medical tenants in the market, landlords are wise to push back on these types of restrictions. Medical tenants can be an important part of a retail leasing plan, and should be targeted tenants, under the right circumstances. Hometown Heroes: Pittsburgh Based Retailers Company: Location: Year Founded: Number of Employees: Number of Locations: Revenue: About the Company: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is a leading global speciality retailer offering high-quality on-trend clothing, accessories and personal care products at affordable prices under its AEO and Aerie brands. The company operates more than 1,000 stores in the US, Canada, Mexico, China, & Hong Kong, and ships to over 80 countries worldwide through its websites. AEO and Aerie merchandise also is available at over 60 licensed international franchise stores in 12 countries. For more information please visit www.ae.com. FOR MORE INFORMATION Mark Anderson Vice President | Pittsburgh Retail Brokerage +1 412 321 4200 ext. 222 MarkE.Anderson@colliers.com RESEARCH CONTACT Michelle Stewart Vice President | Pittsburgh Retail Brokerage +1 412 321 4200 ext. 227 Michelle.Stewart@colliers.com Copyright © 2015 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report. 4 American Eagle Outfitters Pittsburgh, PA 1977 39,600 929 $160 Billion Katie Gordon Marketing & Social Media Specialist | Pittsburgh +1 412 321 4200 ext. 212 Katie.Gordon@colliers.com Colliers International | Pittsburgh Two Gateway Center 603 Stanwix Street, Suite 125 +1 412 321 4200 colliers.com/pittsburgh North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International