Strategic Framework to Analyze Supply Chains 1 Andy Guo A Strategic Framework for Supply Chain Design, Planning, and Operation • Part I: Understand the supply chain • Part II: Supply chain performance • Part III: Supply chain drivers 2 Andy Guo Part I: Outline • What is supply chain? • What is supply chain management? • Process view of a supply chain 3 Andy Guo Traditional View: Logistics in the Manufacturing Firm • Profit 4% Profit Logistics Cost 4 • Logistics Cost 21% • Marketing Cost 27% • Manufacturing Cost 48% Marketing Cost Manufacturing Cost Andy Guo Supply Chain Management: The Magnitude in the Traditional View • Estimated that the grocery industry could save $30 billion (10% of operating cost) by using effective logistics and supply chain strategies – A typical box of cereal spends 104 days from factory to sale – A typical car spends 15 days from factory to dealership • Laura Ashley turns its inventory 10 times a year, five times faster than 3 years ago 5 Andy Guo Supply Chain Management: The True Magnitude • Compaq estimates it lost $.5 billion to $1 billion in sales in 1995 because laptops were not available when and where needed • When the 1 gig processor was introduced by AMD, the price of the 800 mb processor dropped by 30% • P&G estimates it saved retail customers $65 million by collaboration resulting in a better match of supply and demand 6 Andy Guo Definition of Supply Chain Management Supply chain management is a set of approaches utilized to efficiently integrate suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses and stores, so that merchandise is produced and distributed at the right quantities, quantities to the right locations, locations and at the right time, time in order to minimize system-wide costs while satisfying service level requirements. Vendors Sourcing Inbound storage/ Fig. Operations 1-3 Transportation Outbound storage/ Transportation Consumer distribution Customers 7 Andy Guo Supply Chain: Logistics Network RAW MATERIALS SUPPLIERS RAW MATERIALS STORAGE MANUFACTURING production logistics Storage Storage Material costs Plant Plant 11 Manufacturing costs Storage Storage Plant Plant 22 Transportation costs Storage Storage Physical supply materials management inbound logistics 8 FINISHED GOODS STORAGE MARKETS Warehouse Warehouse AA Inventory costs Warehouse Warehouse BB Transportation costs Plant Plant 33 Warehouse Warehouse CC Physical distribution outbound logistics Andy Guo Integrating Supply Chain Process Supplier Manufacturers Wholesalers Retailers Consumers Information Product flow Cash flow 9 Andy Guo The Objective of a Supply Chain • Maximize overall value created • Supply chain value: difference between what the final product is worth to the customer and the effort the supply chain expends in filling the customer’s request • Value is correlated to supply chain profitability (difference between revenue generated from the customer and the overall cost across the supply chain) 10 Andy Guo The Objective of a Supply Chain • Example: Dell receives $2000 from a customer for a computer (revenue) • Supply chain incurs costs (information, storage, transportation, components, assembly, etc.) • Difference between $2000 and the sum of all of these costs is the supply chain profit • Supply chain profitability is total profit to be shared across all stages of the supply chain • Supply chain success should be measured by total supply chain profitability, not profits at an individual stage 11 Andy Guo The Objective of a Supply Chain • Sources of supply chain revenue: the customer • Sources of supply chain cost: flows of information, products, or funds between stages of the supply chain • Supply chain management is the management of flows between and among supply chain stages to maximize total supply chain profitability 12 Andy Guo Process View of a Supply Chain • Cycle view – Each cycle performs at the interface between two successive stages of a supply chain – This view is useful when considering operational decisions, because it specifies the roles of each member and the desired outcome for each process • Push/Pull view – Depend on whether they are executed in response to a customer order(pull) or in anticipation of customer order(push) – This view is useful when considering strategic decisions relating to supply chain design 13 Andy Guo Cycle View of a Supply Chain Customer Customer Order Cycle Retailer Replenishment Cycle Distributor Manufacturing Cycle Manufacturer Procurement Cycle Supplier 14 Andy Guo Push/Pull View of L.L. Bean Supply Chain Procurement, Manufacturing and Replenishment cycles PUSH PROCESSES Customer Order Cycle PULL PROCESSES Customer Order Arrives 15 Andy Guo Push/Pull View of Dell Supply Chain Procurement cycles PUSH PROCESSES Customer Order and Manufacturing Cycle PULL PROCESSES Customer Order Arrives 16 Andy Guo Part II: Outline • Competitive and supply chain strategies • Strategic fit • Expand the scope 17 Andy Guo The Value Chain: Linking Supply Chain and Business Strategy Business Strategy New Product Strategy New Product Development Marketing Strategy Marketing and Sales Supply Chain Strategy Operations Distribution Service Finance, Accounting, Information Technology, Human Resources 18 Andy Guo Achieve Strategic Fit Strategic fit means both the competitive and supply chain strategies have the same goal. • Step 1: Understand the customer • Step 2: Understand the supply chain • Step 3: Achieve strategic fit 19 Andy Guo Step 1: Understand the Customer - Implied Demand UncertaintyCustomer demand attributes • • • • • • Lot size Response time Service level Product variety Price Innovation Implied Demand Uncertainty Implied demand uncertainty is the uncertainty that exists due to the portion of demand that the supply chain is required to meet. 20 Andy Guo Implied Demand Uncertainty Spectrum Detergent Long lead time steel Price High Fashion Emergency steel Customer Need Responsiveness Low High Implied Demand Uncertainty 21 Andy Guo Step 2: Understand the Supply Chain - Supply Chain Responsiveness • • • • • 22 Respond to wide range of quantities demanded Meet short lead time Handle a large variety of products Build highly innovative products Meet a very high service level Andy Guo Responsiveness Spectrum Highly efficient Integrated steel mills Highly Responsive Hanes apparel Auto production Dell Low High Responsiveness 23 Andy Guo Step 3: Achieve Strategic Fit Responsive supply chain Responsiveness spectrum of t n e c Fi o Z egi at S tr Efficient supply chain Certain demand 24 Implied uncertainty spectrum Uncertain demand Andy Guo Comparison of Efficient and Responsive SC Efficient SC Responsive SC Goal Lower cost to meet demand Respond quickly Product design Max performance at min cost Create modularity to allow postponement Pricing Lower margin Higher margin Manufacturing Lower cost through high utilization Maintain capacity flexibility to meet unexpected demand Inventory Min inventory Maintain buffer inventory Lead time Reduce but not at the expense of cost Aggressively reduce even if the cost is significant Supplier Based on cost and quality Based on speed, flexibility, and quality Transportation Low cost modes Responsive modes 25 Andy Guo Other Issues Affecting Strategic Fit • Multiple products and customer segments – Set up independent SC for each different product or customer – Tailor the SC to best meet the needs of each product’s demand • Product life cycle – Use responsive SC in the early stage – Use efficient SC when market is matured • Competitive changes over time 26 Andy Guo Changing Strategy over Product Life Cycle Responsive supply chain of t ne ic Fi o Z eg t ra St Responsiveness spectrum Efficient supply chain Certain demand 27 Implied uncertainty spectrum Uncertain demand Andy Guo Part III: Outline • Framework for structuring drivers – – – – – – 28 Facilities Inventory Transportation Information Sourcing Pricing Andy Guo Drivers of Supply Chain Performance • Facilities – Places where inventory is stored, assembled, or fabricated • Inventory – Raw materials, WIP, finished goods within a supply chain • Transportation – Moving inventory from point to point in a supply chain • Information – Data and analysis regarding inventory, transportation, facilities throughout the supply chain • Sourcing – Functions a firm performs and functions that are outsourced • Pricing – Price associated with goods and services provided by a firm to the supply chain 29 Andy Guo A Framework for Structuring Drivers C o m p e titive S tra te g y S u p p ly C h a in S tra teg y E ffic ie n cy R e sp o n siv e n e ss S u p p ly c h a in stru c tu re L o g istic al D riv e rs F a c ilitie s In v e n to ry T ra n sp o rta tio n In fo rm a tio n S o u rc in g P ric in g C ro ss F u n c tio n al D riv e rs 30 Andy Guo Facilities Driver • Efficient v.s. responsive – Ex: Toyota and Honda • Components of facilities decision: – – – – Location Capacity (flexibility v.s. efficiency) Manufacturing methodology (product-focus v.s. process-focus) Warehousing methodology • SKU storage • job lot storage • cross-docking 31 Andy Guo Inventory Driver • Little’s law – Inventory = Flow time × Throughput – Message for SCM: lower flow time Ælower inventory • Responsive v.s. efficient – Ex: Nordstorm • Components of inventory decision: – Cycle inventory : inventory to satisfy demand between receipts of shipments – Safety inventory: inventory held to counter uncertainty in demand – Seasonal inventory: inventory held to counter predictable variability in demand 32 Andy Guo Transportation Driver • Efficient v.s. responsive – Ex : Laura Ashley with Fedex for next day delivery • Components of transportation decision: – Mode of transportation • Air, truck, rail, ship, pipeline, electronic – Route and network selection – In-house or outsource 33 Andy Guo Information Driver • Connect various stages in SC • Crucial to daily operations in each stage – Ex: Dell • Components of information decision: – – – – 34 Push (MRP) v.s. pull Coordination and information sharing Forecasting and aggregate planning Enabling technology: EDI, Internet, ERP, SCM Andy Guo Sourcing Driver • Set of business processes required to purchase goods and services in a supply chain • Supplier selection, single vs. multiple suppliers, contract negotiation • Components of sourcing decision: – In-house versus outsource decisions – Supplier evaluation and selection – Procurement process 35 Andy Guo Pricing Driver • Pricing determines the amount to charge customers in a supply chain • Pricing strategies can be used to match demand and supply • Components in pricing decision: – Pricing and economies of scale – Everyday low pricing versus high-low pricing – Fixed price versus menu pricing 36 Andy Guo