Cash and Liquidity Management Reasons for Holding Cash • • • • Speculative motive—the need to hold cash to take advantage of additional investment opportunities, such as bargain purchases. Precautionary motive—the need to hold cash as a safety margin to act as a financial reserve. Transaction motive—the need to hold cash to satisfy normal disbursement and collection activities associated with a firm’s ongoing operations. Compensating balance requirements—cash balances kept at commercial banks to compensate for banking services the firm receives. Target Cash Balance Key issues: • What is the trade-off between carrying a large cash balance versus a small cash balance? carrying costs versus shortage costs. That is, • What is the proper management of the cash balance? BAT model versus Miller–Orr model. The BAT Model Starting cash C=$2 000 000 Average cash $500 000=C/4 0 4 8 Weeks The BAT Model Assumptions -Cash is spent at the same rate every day -Cash expenditures are known with certainty Optimal cash balance is where opportunity cost of holding cash ([C/2]*R) = trading cost ([T/C]*F): C 2T F /R F = fixed cost of making a securities trade to replenish cash T = total amount of new cash needed for transactions purposes over the relevant planning period R = the opportunity cost of holding cash (the interest rate on marketable securities) Miller–Orr Model • Assumes that, if left unmanaged, a company’s cash balance would follow a random walk with zero drift. • Cash balance is allowed to wander freely between an upper limit (U*) and a lower limit (L). • If cash holdings reach U*, management intervenes by withdrawing U* – C* dollars to return the cash balance to the target level C*. • If cash balance reaches L, management intervenes by injecting C* – L dollars to return the cash balance to the target level C*. Miller–Orr Model Cash U* C* L Time X Y U* is the upper control limit. L is the lower control limit. The target cash balance is C*. As long as cash is between L and U*, no transaction is made. Miller–Orr Model L set by the firm 2 3 σ C L F R 4 U 3 C 2 L Avg. cash balance 4 C L / 3 1 3 Example—Miller–Orr Model Assume L = $0, F = $10, i = 0.5 per cent per month and the standard deviation of monthly cash flows is $2000. 3 C $0 $10 $2000 0.005 4 $1 817 U 3 $1 817 2 $0 $5451 Avg. cash balance 4 $1 817 $0 /3 $2423 2 1 3 Miller–Orr Model Implications • Considers the effect of uncertainty (through 2 in net cash flows). – – The higher the 2, the greater the difference between C* and L. The higher the 2, the higher is the upper limit and the average cash balance. • All things being equal: – – the greater the interest rate, the lower is the C* the greater the order costs, the higher is the C*. Miller–Orr Model With Overdraft • Yield on short-term investments < cost of bank overdraft < yield on long-term investments. • A dollar invested in short-term assets earns less than the costs saved by applying that dollar to reduce overdraft usage. • The company invests nothing in short-term assets and as much as possible in long-term assets, while meeting its liquidity needs through using the overdraft facility. Miller–Orr Model With Overdraft U 0 3 2 C F / R d 4 L 3 C Target overdrawn level 2 C Where: d = cost of bank overdraft 1 3