Sasaki 1 Rice Husk Power Project in Thailand Invested by Japanese Company http://www.atbiopower.co.th/project/index.html http://www.atbiopower.co.th/project/biomass.html Shotaro Sasaki (Dual Master's Candidate, Tufts University, Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Department of Urban and Environmental Policy and Planning) Mailing Address: 30 Cambridge Park Drive #3146, Cambridge MA. 02140 (Parmanaent; 27-16 Umegaoka Aobaku Yokohama, Japan 235-0022) E-mail address: shotaro_sasaki@jpower.co.jp or shotaro@cello.ocn.ne.jp DHP P 259 Sustainable Development : A View from the South Professor Atiq Rahman/Jonathan Harris Tuesday, December 16, 2003 Sasaki 2 OUTLINE A. Introduction B. Backgrounds of Rice Husk Power Promotion that Coincident with Thailand and Japan I. Difference of Social Aspects between Two Countries a. Population b. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) c. Total Electricity Production and Consumption II. Background: Thailand a. What is the Potential of Rice Husk Power in Thailand? b. Advantage of Social System in Thailand for Rice Husk Power Project Promotion c. Policy Inducement Small Power Producer Programme III. Background: Japan a. Liberalization in the Power Industry b. Saturation of Power Development in Japan c. Can it Contribute to CO2 Reduction ? C. Concerns from Southern Perspective I. Gap between Thailand and Japan a. How Does Japanese Companies Regard Investments in Rice Husk Power Project in Thailand? b. Thailand’s View of Japanese Investment in Rice Husk Power Projects c. How can We Bridge the Gap between Thailand and Japan? II. How Serious is Air Pollution ? III. Can Economical Benefits for Thailand be Expected? IV. How can Rice Husk Power Project Contribute to Thailand’s Benefit? a. Can it Contribute to Improvement of Infrastructure? b. Can it Contribute to Technology Transfer? D. Policy Recommendations I. Recent Trend Review II. Recognition of the Problems III. Appropriate Policy Needed Sasaki 3 Executive Summary Both Japanese and Thai companies are motivated to develop rice husk power projects in Thailand. In Japan, there is no strong need for new power plant construction. Plant companies in Japan need to use their conventional technology. Trading companies need to find business opportunities outside of Japan, where the economy is still in recession. Electric power companies also need to find business opportunities outside of Japan. Thailand needs more electricity. The potential of rice husks as a fuel is enough for renewable energy source and not too much to give pressure to present energy plan. Although it is uncertain about the benefit to be involved in Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) scheme, effective use of domestic resources contribute to a favorable energy-source-mixture that serves for national energy security. However, as far as Thailand has enough electricity reserve, rice husk project is a preferable, but not essential choice. Thus Thailand has only weak centripetal force for rice husk power projects. These motivations from both sides need to translate into real projects. For Japanese companies, the largest benefit to be involved in such projects is showing to the public the company’s positive stance on mitigating environmental problems. In this way, the motivation cannot have strong centripetal force. If the project can contribute to the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) scheme, it can be a strong driving force to promote investment in rice husk power projects in Thailand. However, this is uncertain given the Thai-government’s ambiguous attitude. Those two weak driving forces from both sides must be strengthened. The Thai-government commented that “the government will select only deals that use appropriate technology, emphasizing public participation”. To satisfy those needs, more money will be needed. Domestic subsidies are not preferable and cannot be expected to be increased greatly because there is little motivation in Thailand. For the “common good” of the world, funds from international organizations are preferable. Increasing this amount can be considered once Thailand is involved in the CDM plan. This fund will be used for “appropriate technology” and “emphasizing public participation.” As rice husk power projects need only conventional technology, technology transfer should be concentrated to appropriate operations and maintenance and safety management. To achieve increasing public participation, tripartite committees will organize to fill in the gap between developers and local people, and also be used to evaluate environmental issues appropriately. In this policy, rice husk power project promotion can become more attractive for both Japanese companies and Thailand, so the motivations from both sides can become much stronger than they are now. Sasaki 4 A. Introduction Why is biomass power considered a favorable power source for sustainable development? Since biomass energy can be categorized as a kind of waste incineration, biomass fuel supply is limited. Although biomass combustion contributes to CO2 emissions, energy proponents favor biomass over fossil fuel because plants can be grown to sequester CO2. When plants are continuously grown in same place, CO2 circulates between the atmosphere and the plants. Thus biomass energy will not increase CO2 in the atmosphere. Biomass generally means food and forestry waste, feces of livestock, wood tips and construction waste derived from wood. As the situation surrounding each source will be different, this paper particularly concentrates on a rice husk incineration power project. I was working for a Japanese power company for 11 years as an engineer. During those years, I had managed the building a biomass power station that incinerated rice husk in Roi-et located in Northeastern region of Thailand (see Exhibit 1). For many years, a lot of projects done in developing countries managed by Japan had been based on ODA (Official Development Assistance) funded by the Japanese government. But recently the situation is changing, especially for power station building. The Thai government is now welcoming direct investment to biomass power projects from foreign companies establishing a policy of “small power producer programme (SPP programme)”. The Electric Power Development Co.,Ltd.(EPDC),1 which I had been working for, also privately invested in the Roi-et power project. Exhibit 2 shows the project scheme. During the period when I had been involved in this project, I wondered whether this project could contribute to sustainable development. Alternatively, I was concerned it would become a project that would exploit natural resources and detrimentally impact the environment. Is there any gap on how rice husk power project is perceived between Thailand and Japan? Can the investment be considered as sustainable development? In this paper these questions will be examined. As shown in Exhibit 3, one needs to see this issue from three aspects for evaluating policy: the social, economic, environmental aspects. 1 Electric power producing company with fifth total amount of generating power in Japan; Special public corporation of the Ministry of Economy, Trade And Industry Of Japan. Sasaki 5 Roi-et Exhibit 1. Location of Roi-et in Thailand Source: Yahoo Education, Map of Thailand. November 2, 2003. <http://education.yahoo.com/reference/factbook/th/map.html>. Sasaki 6 Investment Exhibit 2. Roi-et Biomass Power Project Scheme Financing EPDC Contract Largest Private Power Producer Investment Local Special Company Sommai Rice Mill Company Fuel Supply Investment Investment:30% Financing:70% 5% of Investment Industrial Finance Corporation of Thailand(IFCT) Financing 95% of Investment Project Company ESCO’s Subsidiary Fuel Supply Agreement Technical Advisory EPC Agreement Power Purchase Agreement EPDC (Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd). EPC Contractor Power Purchase Agreement: Conclusion of Small Power Programme (SPP) with EGAT Operation and Maintenance Agreement: Conclusion with ESCO Construction: Selected by bidding-competition EPC: Engineering, Procurement, Construction Source: The Electric Power Development Co.,Ltd.(EPDC), News Release, The Start of the Construction of Rice Husk Power Station in Roi-et, Thailand (Taikoku Roietto Momigara Karyoku Hatsudensho no Kensetsu Chakko ni Tsuite). October 29, 2001. November 2, 2003. <http://www.jpower.co.jp/news_release/news/news160.htm>. Sasaki 7 Exhibit 3. Each Category of Economic, Social and Environmental Aspect Economic Aspect Can it contribute economically to Thailand and Japan? Can Thailand get benefit from Japanese investment? How Should We Evaluate Rice Waste Husk management (Ash treatment) Power Project? What Policy Should We Have? Environmental Aspect Social Aspect (Thailand) CO2 reduction (CDM credit for Kyoto Protocol) How does Thailand prefer those projects? Gas emissions Rapid increase of electricity demand. Potential of biomass energy. Need to satisfy demand of infrastructure. Threshing method of rice husk in Thailand. (Japan) Electric industry liberalization Saturation of domestic power development B. Backgrounds of Rice Husk Power Promotion that Coincident with Thailand and Japan I. Difference of Social Aspects between Two Countries2 a. Population Population is one of the main factors of the country’s social aspects. Moreover it has a great impact on energy and electricity consumption. During 1975-2000, the Japanese population increased from 112 million to 127 million people as shown in Exhibit 4. The increasing rate of population in Japan is decreasing, and in particularly it is as low as 0.27% per year when the average rate of the recent 10 years is calculated (see Exhibit 2 The data except electricity consumption is obtained by World Bank,World Development Indicators. November 2, 2003. <http://80-devdata.worldbank.org.ezproxy.library.tufts.edu/dataonline/>. Electricity consumption data is obtained by Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Electricity Information, Table 6.2 World Total Net Electricity Consumption, 1980-2001. November 2, 2003. <http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/table62.xls>. Sasaki 8 5). On the other hand, population in Thailand has increased from 41 million to 61 million people from 1975 to 2000, and population increase rate is still as high as 0.88% per year when the average rate of the recent 10 years is calculated. However, it has been gradually declining from 1975 to 2000 (see Exhibit 6). From this data, one can find that the potential of increasing energy and electricity consumption is high in Thailand because the doubling time of the increasing rate 0.88% will be around 80 years, as opposed to the 260 years doubling time with the increasing rate of 0.28%. Sasaki 9 Exhibit 4. Popul ati on Trends of the Two Countri es 1. 40E+08 1. 20E+08 Japan' s Total Popul ati on Thai l and' s Total Popul ati on Popul at i on 1. 00E+08 8. 00E+07 6. 00E+07 4. 00E+07 2. 00E+07 19 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 0. 00E+00 Year Exhibit 5. Increasing Rate Trends ofPopulation of the Two Countries 3.00% Increasing Rate ofJapan's Total Population Increasing Rate ofThailand's Total Population 2.50% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 Percentage 2.00% Year Sasaki 10 Exhibit 6. PPP Trends of the Two Countri es 30000 Japan' s PPP (current i nternati onal$) Thai l and' s PPP (current i nternati onal$) CurrentI nternati onal$ 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 19 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 0 Year b. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) PPP is the index that shows level of people’s practical level of wealth of the country. The level of wealth has an intimate relationship with energy and electricity consumption. Japan’s PPP has increased from $5,695 (current international dollar) to $25,735 per person while Thailand’s PPP has increased from $776 to $6,315 per person from 1975 to 2000. This means the wealth difference between the two countries has shrunk from 7.3 to 4.1 during this period (see Exhibit 7). After 1975, almost every year the increasing rate of PPP in Thailand has been larger than the rate in Japan (see Exhibit 6). From this data, one can find again that potential of increasing energy and electricity consumption is high in Thailand. c. Total Electricity Production and Consumption Some of countries have a gap between electricity production and consumption because of the difference between electricity imports and exports. Thus Exhibit 8 examines the two countries’ electricity production and consumption and Exhibit 9 shows the two countries’ increasing rate trends of electricity production and Sasaki 11 consumption. According to these two exhibits, one can find that both Thailand and Japan have high rates of self-sufficient electricity production 3 (see Exhibit 8). They are producing by themselves almost all of the electricity consumed. Both the increasing rates of electricity consumption and production in Thailand are much higher than those data in Japan (see Exhibit 9). The reasons for this phenomenon must be the increase of population and the increase of wealth. Exhibit 7. Increasing Rate Trends ofPPP ofTwo Countries 20.00% 15.00% 5.00% -5.00% -10.00% -15.00% 3 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 0.00% 1975 Percentage 10.00% Increasing Rate ofJapan's PPP (current international$) Increasing Rate ofThailand's PPP (current international$) Year The gap between Japan’s electricity consumption and production can be assumed to be caused by difference of data sources because, as Japan is an isolated islands’ country, there is no import and export of electricity. Sasaki 12 Exhibit 8. Electricity Production and Consum ption Trends of the Two Countries 1.20E+12 1.00E+12 8.00E+11 kW h Electricity production in Japan (kwh) Electricity production in Thailand (kwh) Electricity Consum ption in Japan (kwh) Electricity Consum ption in Thailand (kwh) 6.00E+11 4.00E+11 2.00E+11 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 0.00E+00 Year Exhibit 9. Increasing Rate Trends ofElectricity Production and Consum ption ofthe Two Countries 20.00% 15.00% Percentage 10.00% 5.00% 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 0.00% -5.00% Year Increasing Rate ofElectricity production in Japan (kwh) Increasing Rate ofElectricity production in Thailand (kwh) -10.00% Increasing Rate ofElectricity Consum ption in Japan (kwh) Increasing Rate ofElectricity Consum ption in Thailand (kwh) Sasaki 13 II. Background: Thailand a. What is the Potential of Rice Husk Power in Thailand? Exhibit 10 shows the worlds’ rice production. According to this data, in the year 2000, Thailand’s rice production was ranked 6th in the world. It was 25.6 million tons, increased from 20.3 million tons in 1985. On the other hand, Japan’s production in year 2000 was ranked 9th. Its production was 11.9 million tons, decreased from 14.6 million tons in 1985. From the data, it is assumed that the weight of rice husk will be around one third of the total rice weight because the weight of polished rice is about two thirds that of total rice weight. This means approximately 8 million tons of rice husk are produced from 25 million tons of rice in Thailand every year. The rice husk power plant where I had managed construction, used orthodox technology was designed to generate 10 MW (Mega Watts) by incinerating about 306 tons per day of rice husk4. When the availability rate of the plant is assumed to be 100%, the plant needs 111,690 tons/ year of rice husks. 306 tons 365 days = 111,690 tons/ year of rice husks Thus eight million tons of rice husks have an equivalent potential of about 70 units of this plant. 8,000,000 tons / 111,690 tons per unit = 71.6 unit Thus the total rice husks in Thailand has a potential of 700 MW (70 units 10MW) or 6,132,000 MWh per year (700MW 465 days 24hours) of electricity. When one considers that the total electricity consumption in Thailand in 2000 is about 85 billion kWh, the potential of 6.1billion kWh is equivalent to about 7% of total electric consumption. Exhibit 10. World’s Rice Production (Unit: million tons) Country/Year 1985 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Estimated 4 The Electric Power Development Co.,Ltd.(EPDC), News Release, The Start of the Construction of Rice Husk Power Station in Roi-et, Thailand (Taikoku Roietto Momigara Karyoku Hatsudensho no Kensetsu Chakko ni Tsuite). October 29, 2001. November 2, 2003. <http://www.jpower.co.jp/news_release/news/news160.htm>. Sasaki 14 China 171.3 192.0 187.3 197.0 202.8 200.6 200.4 189.8 178.7 178.3 India 95.8 111.5 119.6 122.1 123.6 129.1 134.4 127.3 136.1 133.0 Indonesia 39.0 45.2 49.7 51.1 49.4 49.2 50.9 51.9 49.6 48.7 Bangladesh Thailand 22.6 27.5 26.5 28.3 28.3 29.9 34.2 37.6 38.1 39.0 20.3 26.8 22.0 22.4 22.6 23.6 24.2 25.6 25.3 24.6 Vietnam 16.0 18.8 26.8 27.3 28.7 30.9 32.7 32.5 31.9 32.3 Myanmar 14.3 14.0 18.0 17.7 16.7 17.1 20.1 20.1 20.6 20.5 Japan 14.6 13.1 13.4 12.9 12.5 11.2 11.5 11.9 11.3 11.0 Brazil Philippines 9.0 8.8 8.0 11.2 10.0 9.5 8.5 11.6 11.4 10.4 11.5 9.9 11.2 11.2 10.0 10.3 12.0 12.5 13.1 13.0 South Korea 7.9 7.7 6.4 7.3 7.5 7.0 7.2 7.2 7.5 7.3 USA 6.1 7.1 7.9 7.8 8.3 8.4 9.3 8.7 9.7 9.6 Pakistan World Total World Total ( Rice) 4.4 4.9 5.9 6.5 6.5 7.0 7.7 7.2 5.7 5.2 469.4 521.3 554.0 571.2 577.2 583.8 611.4 598.7 593.1 587.2 (Polished ) 314.0 349.0 369.0 383.0 387.0 390.0 409.0 400.0 397.0 393.0 Source: JA, Rice Production and Processing World Situation of Rice (Okome no Seisan to Kakou Sekai no Kome Jijyou). November 2, 2003. <http://www.gohan.ne.jp/okome-data/01/121.html>. Sasaki 15 b. Advantage of Social System in Thailand for Rice Husk Power Project Promotion Even though the rice production in Japan is less than the production in Thailand, still Japan seems to have a certain potential for a risk husk power project when one considers the amount of 11.9 million tons per year. Moreover, there is a strong need for renewable energy in Japan. Wind power and photovoltaics are increasing steadily in Japan. Contrary to the potential and the need, there is no rice husk power project in Japan included the future plans. This is because the way of polishing rice in Japan is not appropriate for a rice husk power project. As a rice husk power station only uses simple conventional incineration technology, the key issue for the successful project is cheap and stable fuel supply. As mentioned above, 10MW rice husk power station needs more than 300 tons or more than 2,000 cubic meters of rice husk.5 If the project cannot get the huge amount of rice husk at one place and thus needs to transport small portions of fuel from many places, it makes transportation costs increase and the cost will exceed the income earned by electricity sales. In Japan, polishing rice has been practiced with small amounts processed at many places. On the other hand, in Thailand, rice is polished in bulk quantity at huge factories. This difference in social systems makes advantageous for the promotion of a rice husk power project. Actually, the power station of the Roi-et Power Project was constructed just next to a rice mill factory that can supply all fuel to the power station. c. Policy Inducement: Small Power Producer Programme The Thai government has established a policy called “Small Power Producer Programme (SPP Programme).” This programme promotes the use of rice husk for power generation. From the first announcement about SPP programme in 1992, the compendium of the programme has been gradually improved until 1999 as shown in Exhibit 11. The objects of the program are6: • To encourage participation by SPPs in electricity generation. • To promote the use of indigenous by-product energy sources and renewable energy for electricity generation. 5 According to inside document of EPDC. Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Objectives in Purchasing Electricity in SPP. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_obj.html>. 6 Sasaki 16 • To promote more efficient use of primary energy. • To reduce the financial burden of government investment in electricity generation and distribution. Qualifying facilities need to have any of characteristic below7: Electricity generation using non-conventional energy such as wind, solar and minihydro energy (but excluding generation using petroleum, natural gas, coal and nuclear energy). Electricity generation using the following fuels: Waste or residues from agricultural activities or from industrial production processes. Production derived from waste and residues from agricultural and industrial production processes. Garbage (e.g. municipal waste). Dendrothermal sources (e.g. tree plantations). Electricity generation by co-generation using any types of fuels that meet the following requirements for power generation. The process involves the continuous use of energy by using a Topping Cycle or a Bottoming Cycle thermal process. The thermal energy to be used in thermal processes other than electricity generation, must be no less than an average of 10% of the total energy production during each particular year. If petroleum and/or natural gas is used either as a primary or supplementary fuel, on an annual average, the sum of the electricity produced and one half of the thermal energy used in the thermal process, must be at least 45% on average, of the total energy from the petroleum and/or natural gas used (based on Lower Heating Value.) The programme has two types of contracts; one is the Non-Firm Contract where the contracted capacity is unspecified. The other is the Firm Contract, which has the restrictions as below. • The term of contract does exceed 5 years. • The contracted capacity is specified. • The total hours of electricity production supplied must be no less than 7,008 hours per year. • For the electricity generating using renewable energy, the annual hours must be no less than 4,672 hours per year. The list of non-firm contract projects and firm contract projects can be seen in Exhibit 12. The qualified 7 Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Characteristic of Qualifying Facilities. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_char.html>. Sasaki 17 capacity has a cap of 60 MW for normal cases and 90 MW for special cases if required by the system.8 When one considers rice husk power project in SPP programme from Thailand’s view, it is assumed that there will be several difficulties to move onto realization as follows: • As the project is not big, it is not favorable to spend a huge amount money by only one company during the feasibility exploration period, • Power plants with small capacities have a disadvantage to make a profit. Thus accurate project finance forecast is demanded. • Even though the plant needs no advanced technologies, it is difficult to find appropriate plant makers because there are not many biomass power plant producers. • If the project has a deficit, it is difficult for only one company to do project. To promote biomass power projects including the rice husk power plant, appropriate policy inducement is needed (preferable policy will be discussed later). 8 Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Capacity to Be Purchased from Each SPP. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_capacity.html>. Sasaki 18 Exhibit 11. Background of SPP Programme According to the government policy to encourage private sector participation in power development in form of both Small Power Producer (SPP) and Independent Power Producer (IPP) , it is obviously seen by the National Energy Policy Council (NEPC) that the electricity generated by non-conventional energy , waste or residues from agricultural activities or production processes , and co-generation would lead to more efficient use of renewable energy and primary energy as well as reducing the financial burden of government investment in electricity generation and distribution. 17 March 1992 : the cabinet had approved the NEPC’s resolution in the meeting No. 2/2535 (No.36) held on 12 March 1992 for The Regulations For The Purchase of Power From Small Power Producers. 30 March 1992 : The Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) has made the first announcement to purchase power from SPP up to 300 megawatts. The maximum capacity to purchase from each SPP shall not exceed 50 megawatts. 27 October 1993 : NEPC’s resolution according to the meeting No. 4/2536 (No.43) was to revise the Regulations For The Purchase of Power From Small Power Producers in a manner that the power purchase from each SPP can be increased from 50 megawatts to 60 megawatts. It can be upto 90 megawatts if the capability and reliability of the system is acceptable. 28 November 1995 : The cabinet had approved The NEPC’s resolution in the meeting No. 6/2538 (No.53) held on 8 November 1995 for increasing the power purchase from SPP from 300 megawatts to 1,444 megawatts. 1 December 1995 : EGAT had made the second announcement to purchase power from SPP with total capacity increasing from 300 magawatts to 1,444 megawatts. Due date for application was on 29 December 1995 9 July 1996 : The cabinet had approved the NEPC’s resolution in the meeting No. 3/2539 (No.57) held on 14 June 1996 for 1. 2. increasing the capacity to be purchased from SPP from 1,444 megawatts to 3,200 megawatts at the connection point. Awarded SPPs were screened form those SPPs who applied before 29 December 1995 but failed to be accepted at that time , and Contunuing to purchase power from non-conventional energy , residual fuels , waste , garbage or wood chips for unlimited capacity and unlimited time. 3 September 1996 : EGAT had made two announcements according to the cabinet’s resolution in 9 July 1996. Those are 1. 2. The announcement about increase of power purchase from SPP and evaluation criteria. Due date for application was on 20 September 1996 , and The announcement about purchasing power from those SPPs who generate electricity from non-conventional energy , residual fuels , waste , garbage or wood chips. Proposal can be submitted form 1 November 1996 onwards. 2 July 1997 : The government had announced the new currency system to be the managed float system. As a result , this affected the SPP projects both in financial problem and import contents. SPPs had request to inprove the triff and terms and conditins in the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA). 4 November 1997 : The cabinet had approved the NEPC’s resolution in the meeting No. 5/2540 (No.66) held in 24 October 1997 for the measures on problem solving for SPP. These include : 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Amendment of the PPA in a manner that terms and conditions are clearer so that SPP is capable of finding the loan securing. Providing the tariff adjustment mechanism to relieve the effect of managed float exchange rate system by indexing a portion of the Capacity Payment. The currency indexation is pegged at 27 Baht per 1 $US as same as IPP projects. Postponement of the Scheduled Commercial Operation Date (SCOD) for not greater than 12 months. In case th SPPs have no intention to continue the projects , EGAT shall them the performance securities. Purchase the exceeding capacity. EGAT and the National Energy Policy Office (NEPO) shall consider to purchase the exceeding capacity if appropriated. And EGAT shall make only the Energy Payment. Deviation of some SPP’s qualifications are allowed. July 1998 : due to the economic crisis. EGAT in co-operation with NEPO had invited the SPPs to discuss about their problem facing in development of the projects. SPPs were allowed to either delay or cancel their projects. 16 February 1999 : The cabinet had approved the NEPC’s resolution in the meeting No. 1/2542 (No.67) held on 10 February 1999 for postponement of SPP’s SCOD as indicated in The Power Development Plan (PDP 99-01 : Revised). NEPO and EGAT shall keep following the progress SPP’s project closely. For furture delay other than those indicated in PDP 99-01 (Revised) shall be subject to NEPO and EGAT approval. Source: Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Background. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_bg.html>. Sasaki 19 Exhibit 12. List of SPP Projects FIRM CONTRACT 1 GLOW SPP PUBLIC CO.,LTD.(1) 2 GLOW SPP PUBLIC CO.,LTD.(2) 3 TPT UTILITIES CO.,LTD. 4 NATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL PUBLIC CO.,LTD. 5 GLOW SPP 1 CO.,LTD. (1) 6 THAI OIL POWER CO.,LTD. 7 DEFENCE ENERGY 8 GULF COGENERATION CO.,LTD. 9 AMATA-EGCO POWER CO.,LTD. 10 GLOW SPP 1 CO.,LTD. (2) 11 BANGKOK COGENERATION CO.,LTD. 12 NATIONAL POWER SUPPLY CO.,LTD. (1) 13 GLOW SPP 2 CO.,LTD.(1) 14 SAHA COGEN (CHONBURI) CO.,LTD. 15 THAI POWER SUPPLY CO.,LTD. (1) 16 GLOW SPP 2 CO.,LTD.(2) 17 THAI POWER SUPPLY CO.,LTD. (2) 18 ROJANA POWER CO.,LTD. 19 NATIONAL POWER SUPPLY CO.,LTD. (2) 20 SAMUTPRAKARN COGENERATION CO.,LTD. 21 GLOW SPP 3 CO.,LTD.(1) 22 GLOW SPP 3 CO.,LTD.(2) 23 THAI NATIONAL POWER CO.,LTD. 24 NONG KHAE COGENERATION CO.,LTD. 25 LAEM CHABANG POWER CO.,LTD. 26 BIO-MASS POWER CO.,LTD. 27 AMATA POWER (BANGPAKONG) CO.,LTD. 28 T.L.P. COGENERATION CO.,LTD. 29 ROI-ET GREEN CO.,LTD 30 SIAM POWER GENERATION CO.,LTD. 31 GULF YALA GREEN CO., LTD. 32 COUNTRY ELECTRICITY CO., LTD. 33 DAN CHANG BIO-ENERGY CO., LTD. 34 GULF ELECTRIC PUBLIC CO., LTD. 35 AA PULP MILL 2 CO.,LTD 36 ADVANCE AGRO PUBLIC CO.,LTD. 37 KORACH INDUSTRY CO.,LTD.(1) 38 UNITED FARMER & INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. 39 A.T. BIO POWER CO., LTD. 40 MTR KALASIN SUGAR CO., LTD. 41 THAI POWER SUPPLY CO.,LTD. NON - FIRM CONTRACT 1 KASET THAI SUGAR CO., LTD. 2 UNITED FARMER & INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. Sasaki 20 3 MITR PHOL SUGAR CO.,LTD. 4 RATCHABURI SUGAR CO.,LTD. 5 THAI PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY PUBLIC CO.,LTD. 6 KORACH INSUSTRY CO.,LTD. 7 THAI IDENTITY SUGAR FACTORY CO.,LTD. 8 THAI ACYLIC FIBRE CO.,LTD. 9 PANJAPOL PULP INDUSTRAY PUBLIC CO.,LTD. 10 RUAMPOL ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD 11 BAN PONG SUGAR CO., LTD 12 MITR PHU VIENG SUGAR CO.,LTD 13 N.Y. SUGAR CO.,LTD 14 T.N.SUGAR INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. 15 RATCHASIMA SUGAR CO.,LTD. 16 THAI POWER SUPPLY CO.,LTD. (3) 17 REFINE CHAIMONGKHOL SUGAR MILL CO.,LTD 18 MITR KALASIN SUGAR CO.,LTD 19 ADVANCE AGRO PUBLIC CO.,LTD. 20 EASTERN SUGAR CO.,LTD 21 KARNCHANABURI SUGAR INDUSTRY CO.,LTD 22 SARABURI SUGAR CO.,LTD 23 PRG. GRANARY CO.,LTD 24 THAI ROONG RUANG INDUSTRY CO., LTD 25 MITR KASETR INDUSTRY CO., LTD 26 BURIRUM SUGAR CO.,LTD 27 PHITSANULOK SUGAR CO.,LTD 28 PRANBURI SUGAR INDUSTRY CO.,LTD 29 KORACH INSUSTRY CO.,LTD.(2) 30 PHUKET MINICIPALITY 31 RATCHASIMA SUGAR CO.,LTD.(2) 32 T.R.T.PARAWOOD CO.,LTD. 33 AA PULP MILL 2 CO.,LTD 34 THAI CARBON BLACK CO.,LTD 35 SATEUK BIO MASS CO.,LTD 36 U-THONG BIOMASS CO.,LTD 37 NEW KRUNG THAI SUGAR FACTORY CO., LTD. 38 NEW KRUNG SOON LEE SUGAR FACTORY CO., LTD. 39 TAMAKA SUGAR INDUSTRY CO., LTD. 40 THE KUMPHAWAPI SUGAR CO., LTD. 41 SIAM MODERN PALM CO., LTD Source: Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), List of SPP Project. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_name.html>. III. Background: Japan a. Liberalization in the Power Industry From March 2000, partial liberalization in the electric industry started because of the expectation of Sasaki 21 electricity cost reduction caused by competition (see Exhibit 13). It started from retail liberalization for large customers (contracted power is 2,000kW or higher and the voltage is 20,000 voltage or higher). These large factories and buildings occupy 30% of total electricity sales in Japan.9 Moreover, Japan has been divided into 10 regions, each monopolized by one utility company. Exhibit 14 shows each regional power company’s power generation capacity and the amount of sales and Exhibit 15 shows the geographical territory of each regional power company. Because of the long lasting recession over 10 years in Japan, regional power companies cannot expect to increase their sales but worry about being dispossessed of their sales by liberalization. On the other hand, many of heavy industry companies have the potential to have their own power stations and actually possess power stations for their own facilities. Because of the long lasting recession again, those companies wish to find opportunities to use their technical abilities and experiences of generating electricity at another location. It is not preferable for them yet to look for business opportunities in Japan’s still insufficiently liberalized power market. Although some large companies have potential to become power producers, only other large companies (who might be competitors in power production) could be customers. This is due to the recent situation of ongoing liberalization. These situations are making potential incentive for Japanese power companies and heavy industry companies to look for IPP (Independent Power Producer) projects outside of Japan. Until Now Partial Liberalization Regional Power Company Regional Power Company Shikoku Denryoku (Shikoku Electric Power Company), Partial Liberalization of Power Retail (Denryoku Kouri no Bubun Jiyuka ni Tsuite). November 3, 2003. <http://www.yonden.co.jp/info/free/>. 9 Sasaki 22 Exhibit 13. Partial Liberalization of Electric Power Retail Partial Liberalization Source: Shikoku Denryoku (Shikoku Electric Power Company), Partial Liberalization of Power Retail (Denryoku Kouri no Bubun Jiyuka ni Tsuite). November 3, 2003. <http://www.yonden.co.jp/info/free/>. Sasaki 23 Exhibit 14. Source: Japan Electric Power Information Center (JEPIC), Electric Power Industry in Japan 2001/2002: 42. Exhibit 15. Territory of Each Regional Power Company Source: Japan Electric Power Information Center (JEPIC), Electric Power Industry in Japan 2000/2001: 26. Sasaki 24 b. Saturation of Power Development in Japan As already shown in Exhibit 9., recently electricity consumption in Japan is stagnant. There is no need to have new power stations in Japan. Power plant makers cannot expect to find many domestic business opportunities in this situation. It is preferable for them to seek business opportunities in foreign countries with the help of trading firms who have experience and information on business in foreign countries. c. Can it Contribute to CO2 Reduction ? EPDC is planning to invest in another biomass project other than the Roi-et project, even though it does not use rice husk this time. The 32-megawatt biomass plant in Yala uses the remains of rubber plants from which the gum has been extracted. In May, 2003, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry in Japan (METI) has designated the EPDC’s Yala project as eligible for emission credits under the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It is admitted that the technology used by the Japanese company will allow the project to cut emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) by 60,000 tons a year, compared with a case where the same volume of electricity is generated using conventional power generation technologies available in Thailand.10 Another developer is planning to build four units of the 22 megawatts biomass power plants and expecting to have a total emission mitigation potential of approximately 448,000 tons of CO2 annually.11 Recently the price of carbon emission is at an average of $5 per ton. Even though total cost is unknown, a large amount of money is expected to be spent under Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).12 However this CDM project may not be effective because Thailand lacks the legal framework to support Kyoto Protocol. In addition, the project must prove they have added value from superior technology that a Thai farm could not obtain.13 Prime Minister Takshin decided that Thailand would not play a role in this plan, likely stemming from concerns about the future emissions from the country. As Thailand develops economically, it will need to rely on sectors producing its carbon emissions, mainly methane from agricultural production. This would 10 Kyodo News Service Japan Economic Newswire, METI marks Thai biomass plan for benefits under Kyoto protocol. May 23, 2003. 11 Penn Well Publishing Co. Power Engineering International, On the rice track. June 2002. 12 Bangkok Post, Why not Help Make Our World Cleaner? September 13, 2002. 13 Bangkok Post, Japanese Firm Can’t Claim Carbon Credits. June 14, 2003. Sasaki 25 be affected by emission targets that might start soon for developing countries.14 The Bangkok Post states that Thailand will accept carbon credit trading offers from industrialized countries, but in a selective manner. The government will select only deals that use appropriate technology, emphasizing public participation and sustainable development.15 C. Concerns from Southern Perspective I. Gap between Thailand and Japan a. How Does Japanese Companies Regard Investments in Rice Husk Power Project in Thailand? For Japanese companies, playing a part in biomass power projects is attractive because they can demonstrate to the public their positive attitude for environmental problem. Meidensha, a contractor of Roi-et power project, states the following: Rice husk had been treated as agricultural waste until now. However, using it as a energy generating fuel, it can be transferred to renewable energy that does not increase carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Building the plant next to the rice mill factory enables the project to be profitable and the fuel transportations to be stable. As a local distributed small scale power source, this system is expected to be an effective measure to avoid climate change that has only little impact to the environment such as carbon dioxide emission.16 Sumitomo Corporation (Sumitomo Syoji), which is the organizing contractor of the Roi-et project, also views the project as a good opportunity to show the public its possible approach to environmental problems.17 Biomass power projects cannot become as large-scale as coal thermal power stations, which can have 50-100 times the capacity of biomass power plants. Biomass power projects can only be local small-scale power producers which need little investment because of the fuel availability limitations. In addition, Thailand is a 14 Bangkok Post, Why not Help Make Our World Cleaner? September 13, 2002. Bangkok Post, Govt Gives Carbon Credit Assurance. July 19, 2003. 16 Meidensya Press Release, Getting an order of Biomass Power Plant that Uses Rice Husk as a Fuel in Thailand (Tai de Momigarawo Nenryotosuru Baiomasu Hatsuden Puranto wo Jyuchu). August 22, 2001. December 9, 2003. <http://www.meidensha.co.jp/press/press-0998445181.html>. 17 Sumitomo Corporation, Environmental Topics. Climate Change Mitigation Projects (Kankyo Topikkusu Chikyuondanka Boushi Jigyo). March, 2003. December 9, 2003. <http://www.sumitomocorp.co.jp/environmental/topics/topi01.shtml>. 15 Sasaki 26 rather stable country in the economical, political, and safety as compared to some other Asian countries near Japan. Those three aspects make the investing in biomass projects in Thailand favorable for Japanese companies. b. Thailand’s View of Japanese Investments in Rice Husk Power Projects. Currently 45 SPPs produce 1862.9 megawatts for sale to EGAT. Only 26 of them with a combined capacity of 280 megawatts use renewable energy source in 2001.18 However, Thailand still has a vast potential to use biomass for power generation due to the availability of raw materials such as rice husks, tree bark, and woodchips.19 It is believed that, with the proper political will, Thailand will have 30% of its energy from renewable sources, such as solar and wind power and biomass in 2020. The SPP programme itself is expected to promote energy saving programme, 20 although the government attitude is still said to be only lukewarm regarding renewable energy use. 21 However, a long-term perspective requires knowing how the Thai-government and people feel about biomass, especially the recent rice husk power project. Conceptually, renewable energy is advocated as a favorable power solution to mitigating environmental problems, especially in industrialized countries. However, one should consider the new conflict on the construction of wind turbines, because of the environmental destruction that can occur. The Cape Wind Project in Massachusetts now has huge difficulties in getting public support.22 Although the Thai government believes biomass energy is most suitable for Thailand,23 as a developing country, this tendency is unusual because people there are not so familiar with climate change issues. Thus the critical question for local people is the project’s contribution to their society. Although the Philippines succeeded as it focused on small-scale projects and 18 Nation(Thailand), Power Producers Line Up to Join NEPO’s Biomass Project. October 19, 2001. Financial Times Information Global News Wire, Seminar Organized to Discuss Biomass as Alternative Energy. December 20, 2002. 20 Nation (Thailand), Power Producers Line up Join NEPOS biomass project. October 19, 2001. 21 Bangkok Post, Greenpeace Warns: Renewable Energy Cheaper, Better for Thailand in Long Run. August 13, 2003. 22 There are huge debate in several website as below: Cape & Islands Offshore Wind-An MTC Public Outreach Initiative. <http://wind.raabassociates.org/>. Cape Wind. <http://www.capewind.org/index.htm>. Cape Cod Times, Latest News and Sources for Proposed Nantucket Sound Wind Farm. <http://www.capecodonline.com/special/windfarm/>. Save Our Sounds. <http://www.saveoursound.org/index.html>. 23 Bangkok Post, Biomass Policy needs Rethink, Says Industry. August 18, 2003. 19 Sasaki 27 required local villagers to be part-owners, thirty-one biomass projects had been proposed for state subsidies and about half had been rejected in Thailand until August, 2003 because they failed to win local villagers’ approval. Communities where the projects had been proposed were worried about the possibility of air pollution and the demand on local farm produce for fuel. The developers were required to show that over 70% of villagers accepted their projects in order to gain the subsidy. Most of those who oppose such a project do so because they did not gain personally from it, or the company did not buy their land24. One project had offered to set up a five million baht community fund during the construction. It also offered to give one million baht to the district per year during its operation and 1,200 baht per family per year. At some biomass project site, people worried the project would take too much water from the river25 or that discharged water from the plant would cause flooding in low-lying areas.26 However, some locals supported the project because it would create job for the community.27 Energy Minister Pongthep Thepkanchana plans to form provincial tripartite committees composed of local people, plant owners and provincial governors in provinces where the projects are planned, in order to ease opposition. The committees are also expected to have environmental protection experts hired by the Energy Planning and Policy office (EPPO).28 One NGO points out that the reason of the conflict is not a technical issue but the bidding process. Building plants near rice mill factories is a prerequisite condition for rice husk power projects. Companies seeking to develop energy projects usually buy the preferred site first as an indication of their commitment, then obtain a bank guarantee. Speculators often manipulate protesters in an attempt to push up land price, so the project cost will increase and reduce the chances of winning a contract. There are also positive side-effects of using biomass power. Steam for paddy drying services will contribute to higher incomes of the local communities, the reduction of dependence on increasingly expensive imported fossil fuels, and the implementation of further biomass power generation in Thailand. 29 As in 24 25 26 27 28 29 Bangkok Post, Biomass Policy needs Rethink, Says Industry. August 18, 2003. Bangkok Post, Trang Power Plant Proposal Fires Up Residents to Protest. October 7, 2002. Bangkok Post, Locals Pull the Plug on Biomass. April 29, 2003. The Nation (Thailand), Biomass Power: Face-off Over Rice Husk Plant. June 10, 2003. Bangkok Post, Bid to Win Backing for Plants. November 18, 2003. Penn Well Publishing Co. Power Engineering International, On the rice track. June 2002. Sasaki 28 Massachusetts, 30 renewable energy is also expected to create new job opportunities. Solar power alone is expected to create 16,000 new jobs in Thailand.31 These examples show that unreasonable resistance could result in a huge loss of benefits offered by the abundant biomass source.32 c. How can We Bridge the Gap Between Thailand and Japan? According to the above discussion, one could realize the total different perceptions about the project between Thailand and Japan. As biomass power projects, including rice husk power projects, cannot be huge in scale, Japanese companies do not expect to make a large profit from the projects. Their interests are favorable appeals to the public. Although Japanese companies have confidence that the projects can contribute to “common good” for the future from the aspect of CO2 reduction, local people around the site do not care much about this benefit. Social responsibility for company, especially in industrialized countries, is gradually getting significant. Without a sense of social responsibility, many projects cannot go beyond the barrier that is produced by conflict with local people. Exhibit 16 shows circumstance around corporations, including key issues. Corporations are influenced by law, shareholders and ethics. Making enough profit for shareholders is a very important issue for companies. Corporations need to collaborate with governments, because corporate money cannot substitute government funds, and to overcome the weakness. According to Corporate Purpose and Responsibility, corporations have four responsibilities of community, employees, suppliers and customer and they construct society. They need to satisfy obligations for the responsibilities to have a “license to operate.”33 In this exhibit, contribution to society by reducing CO2 emission will be categorized as an obligation to the customer. However, it is not enough for a Japanese company to obtain the “license to operate.” When a company prepares to get into the biomass power business in Thailand, it needs to take care of obligations to the community around the site. On the other hand, as mentioned, unreasonable resistance from the community could result in a loss of benefits for society itself and also for Thailand. The plan to form provincial tripartite committees by local people, 30 31 32 33 Massachusetts Technology Collaborative: http://www.mtpc.org/. Thai Press Reports, Use the Sun and Cut Energy Bills, Greenpeace Urges Prommin. March 5, 2003. Bangkok Post, Local Pull the Plug on Biomass. April 29, 2003. Paine, Lynn Sharp. Corporate Purpose and Responsibility. Harvard Business School case 9-396-201 Sasaki 29 plant owners and provincial governors and involving environmental protection experts has been presented by Energy Minister, as recently mentioned. Surplus government intervention often creates undesirable results. However, when one considers that the electric power industry is public and a basic industry for country, this plan should be highly appreciated. Negotiations between developers and local people should be done under fair circumstances with the presence of a third party and environmental experts dispatched from authorities. This would be a process similar with the Cape Wind Project that is under the negotiation now in Massachusetts. II. How Serious Is Air Pollution? Open burning of grass and weeds has been a problem because it creates especially smoke fires and can lead to hazy conditions. Agricultural burning during the dry season in rural areas sometimes makes the air worse than city areas: Most of the rice husk is currently disposed of through burning, either in rice mills using old incinerators or boilers, or out in the open space, resulting in high emissions, especially particulates. This is much greater than burning rice husk in the power plants, where electrostatic precipitators/bag houses and carefully designed combustion will result in a minimum of particulate and other emissions. 34 A properly equipped incinerator may be a good alternative.35 As rice is an agricultural product for food, projects do not have to worry about emission of toxic material such as heavy metal and dioxins, even though it contains a small portion of iron and copper. It is assumed that one does not have to worry about sulfur because it is rice that is incinerated. Thus the main concern is NOx and small particulates from smokestacks, because even if nitrogen is not contained in the fuel, the incinerator creates NOx with nitrogen in the air when it burns material at high temperatures. As far as the fuel contains ash, one cannot avoid having small particulates. However, NOx is controllable by incineration adjustment by conventional technology, which can be done economically without difficulty. Small particulates are also completely controllable by conventional technology. Thus it is considered that installing environmental facilities would not have serious economic impact on the project profitability. Actually, the Roi-et project’s emissions are much lower than the regulation values. Even though it installs only an electronic precipitator and multi-cyclones 34 35 Penn Well Publishing Co. Power Engineering International, On the rice track. June 2002. Bangkok Post, Air Pollution: Stop Open Burning. April 13, 2003. Sasaki 30 that do not need advanced technology. Sasaki 31 Exhibit 16. Situation around Corporation Religious Vacation Influence Influence Profit Influence Influence CORPORATE Needs: Profit (=necessary for contribution to responsibilities), Sense of balance (repression, suspension, compromise, trade off), Rapid Improvement (=learning fast and changing fast) Government Tax policy and other public policy should be reformed Collaborate: To overcome the desire for maximizing profit. Corporate money cannot substitute the government fund. Internal Conflict: Long term perspective and short term perspective License to operate Local needs such as schools, traffic, pollution, health, recreation Community Moral and Ethics Free competition without deception or fraud Shareholders Law Obligation to responsibilities: Public welfare, Humanitarian, philosophical purpose Fair pay, equal opportunity, healthy and safety workplaces, financial security, personal privacy, freedom of expression Employees and workers =Human Resource Educational Fair purchasing practices and prompt payment Suppliers Society: Concerns and issues of national and significance Maintaining economic viability Standard of living and Quality of Life Development and global solidarity and Reliable products and services, fair value, good service and accurate advertising Customers Sasaki 32 III. Can Economical Benefits for Thailand be Expected? As revenue, rice husk power projects can expect capacity payments that depend on their power capacity for sales, and energy payments that depend on the actual amount of power sales. When the fuel is rice husk, capacity payment is 374 baht/kW/month and energy payment is 0.71 baht/kWh. 36 The cost of rice husk, including transportation, can be estimated at 300-500 baht per ton.37 However, construction cost differs by each project. For example, the Roi-et project (generating power output: 10 megawatt, power output for sales: 8.8 megawatt) requires 0.6 billion baht,38 but other rice husk projects planned at Phichit, Nakhon Pathom, Sing Buri and Saraburi are assumed to need 1.5 billion baht (power output: 22 megawatts). The Phichit projects are expected to have a revenue of 270 million baht and a profit of 100 million baht per year. Other operation costs, such as maintenance and personnel, are not accessible to people outside of the project. Profitability and cash-flow of the project in general is not available at this point because there are still few projects with accessible information (see Exhibit 17). In any case, biomass power projects still cannot compete with fossil fuel power plants without subsidies. This is because of the difference in size of biomass and fossil fuel power plants. As fossil fuel power plants can be larger than biomass power plant by 50-100 times, they can have a “scale merit” to generate cheap electricity per unit: The project will be eligible for a tariff subsidy (tax incentive) of 14 satang39 per unit (kilowatt hour) form the Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO).40 The EPPO allocated three billion baht to subsidies 31 projects that would generate 511 megawatts of electricity from plant and animal sources.41 Only fourteen 36 Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT), Metropolotan Electricity Authority (MEA), Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA), Regulations for the Purchase of Power from Small Power Producers (For Electricity Generated From Non-Conventional Energy, Waste or Residual Fuel and Cogeneration). January 1998 (Revision August 2001). 37 Penn Well Publishing Co. Power Engineering International, On the rice track. June 2002. 38 The Electric Power Development Co.,Ltd.(EPDC), News Release, The Start of the Construction of Rice Husk Power Station in Roi-et, Thailand (Taikoku Roietto Momigara Karyoku Hatsudensho no Kensetsu Chakko ni Tsuite). October 29, 2001. December 2, 2003. <http://www.jpower.co.jp/news_release/news/news160.htm>. 39 1 baht = 100 satang 3 yen = 2.5 cent 40 Bangkok Post, Firm to Build Plant in Phichit. September 24, 2003. However Bangkok Post, EGAT Delays Buying SPP power, April 22, 2003 tells subsidy is 17 or 36 satang per unit. 41 Bangkok Post, Biomass Policy needs Rethink, Says Industry. August 18, 2003. Sasaki 33 projects, capable of producing 194 megawatts, had won approval to receive a subsidy.42 Other projects could not show sufficient biomass supply and acceptance from nearby residents or the ability to secure enough funds.43 The World Bank is planning to have a prototype fund which provides financial support for biomass power projects. Industrialized countries behind fund would be able to earn carbon credits that would allow them to show good performance in meeting their targets in addressing climate change.44 However, there is not only the trend that is favorable for biomass project. As mentioned, it is assumed Thailand will have a rapid electricity consumption increase because of development and population increase. Thus the country has been prepared for the increase and started a 15-year power development plan (PDP). Now Thailand has high electricity reserves. For this reason, the Electric Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) states that it will delay subsequent plant constructions and the EGAT shelved the electricity purchases from SPP projects that do not yet have signed agreement using biomass or renewable energy sources as fuel.45 When one compares the Thai-government subsidy with the World Bank fund, the fund is more reasonable because biomass power projects are desired to be promoted, as they can contribute to CO2 reduction. Even though Thailand would have some other benefits, using biomass as a fuel is not mainly profitable for Thailand, but this is primarily for the mitigation of global climate change. In this meaning, subsidies should be coming from international organizations, not national governments. Even though the total potential of biomass as a fuel is rather large in Thailand, its prevalence will proceeded gradually because of each of its unit’s small size. Thus the promotion will not push power projects that use other fuels in the national energy plan, if the projects could be eligible to have subsidies from international organizations. As one positive side effect of using rice husks as a fuel, one could expect to sell the ash after the incineration. The most common way to use it is as fertilizer. Approximately 10% of rice husks are ash, and it can be assumed to be sold around 300-700 baht per ton. There are also other possibilities to use it. It is known that rice husk contains high silica. Recently Thailand meets all its requirements through imports. It is said to be 42 43 44 45 Bangkok Post, EGAT Delays Biying SPP Power. April 22, 2003 Bangkok Post, 17 SPP Projects Gain Subsidies. March 28, 2002. Inter Press Service, Eco-Activists Wary of World Bank Offer. August 20, 2002. Bangkok Post, EGAT Delays Buying SPP power, April 22, 2003. Sasaki 34 possible to reduce solar cell production cost by about 45% by producing silica from rice husks. Silica is also used for the production of semiconductors. If the ashes contain very high percentages of silica, they can be sold at high prices to those industries. Rice husk power plants will integrate features to produce saleable rice husk ash for the cement and steel industries.46 46 Penn Well Publishing Co. Power Engineering International, On the rice track. June 2002. Sasaki 35 Exhibit 17. Power Purchase from Small Power Producers (As of August 2003) 1. Proposals Submitted 1.1 Number of Projects 1.2 Generating Capacity (MW) 1.3 Sale to EGAT (MW) 2. Received Notification of Acceptance* 2.1 Number of Projects 2.2 Generating Capacity (MW) 2.3 Sale to EGAT (MW) 2.4 Type of Fuels - Natural Gas - Coal - Oil - Bagasse - Paddy Husk, Wood Chips - Municiple Waste - Bagasse, Wood bark, Paddy Husk - Rubber Wood Chips, Palm Residue - Paddy Husk, Bagasse, Eucalyptus - Black Liquor - Waste gas from production process - Wood bark, Wood Chips, Black Liquor 3. Contract Signed 3.1 Number of Projects 3.2 Generating Capacity (MW) 3.3 Sale to EGAT (MW) 4. Supplying Power to The Grid 4.1 Number of Projects 4.2 Generating Capacity (MW) 4.3 Sale to EGAT (MW) Firm Non-Firm Total 78 7,824.31 4,621.30 48 937.31 337.48 126 8,761.62 4,958.78 41 3,634.41 2,119.80 41 864.30 326.30 82 4,498.71 2,446.10 20 5 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 27 1 1 1 1 2 1 20 7 1 29 3 1 2 1 3 2 2 2 31 3,329.41 1,917.40 34 792.80 281.90 65 4,122.21 2,199.30 29 3,006.41 1,837.20 31 761.50 261.70 60 3,767.91 2,098.90 Source: Energy Policy and Planning Office in Thailand (EPPO), Power Purchase from Small Power Producers (As of August 2003). <http://www.eppo.go.th/power/pw-spp-purch-E.html>. August 2003. December 12, 2003. Sasaki 36 IV. How can Rice Husk Power Project Contribute to Thailand’s Benefit? a. Can it Contribute to the Improvement of Infrastructure? As mentioned, rice husks in Thailand have potential to cover 7% of electricity when all of them are assumed to be used for it. Even if only one fiftieth of the 7% could be used for rice husk power projects, it will be 0.14%. 7%/50 = 0.14 % The renewable energy’s target for electricity production in Japan at 2010 is only 0.3% in the basic case and 1.0% in the strenuous case as a total including photovoltaics and wind turbine.47 Considering this target, this potential of 0.14% which is achievable only by rice husks can be judged as a significant contribution for Thailand’s infrastructure. b. Can it Contribute to Technology Transfer? As mentioned, the rice husk power projects have much smaller scales compared to fossil fuel power projects. Thus developers do not use so much investment for environmental equipment. Moreover, there is no need to install complicated environmental equipment for rice husk incineration. Thus, current conditions are not favorable for technology transfer from industrialized countries to Thailand. However, the participation of Japanese companies will contribute to precise operation, maintenance and safety management. These kinds of indirect technology transfers should be also appreciated when one recalls Exhibit 16. This exhibit shows that well-organized operations and maintenance will contribute to customers by improving the reliability of energy supply. The safety conscious improvements will contribute to the employees. Both of these benefits can be expected as the company’s obligation to society. They are important issues to be considered when companies in industrialized countries do business in developing countries. D. Policy Recommendations I. 47 Recent Trend Review The General Resource and Energy Investigation Meeting (Sogo Shigen Enerugi Chosakai), National Energy Policy Report for the Future (Kongo no Enerugi Seisaku Nitsuite). <http://www.meti.go.jp/report/downloadfiles/g10713bj.pdf>. July, 2001. December 12, 2003. Sasaki 37 It is confirmed that the motivation toward rice husk power projects is sufficient from both the side of Japanese companies and Thailand, as reviewed below: Even though Japan’s PPP is increasing still during its long-lasting recession, because of stagnant situation of population and energy saving, electricity consumption is not increasing. Thus there is no strong requirement for new power plant construction. Plant companies in Japan need to use their conventional technology cultivated by waste-to-power projects. Trading companies need to find business opportunities outside of Japan because of the recession. Electric power companies also need to find business opportunities outside of Japan because their expansion opportunities are hindered by going liberalization. On the other hand, Thailand needs more electricity because of its rapid increasing population and economic development. The potential of rice husks as a fuel is enough for renewable energy source and does not apply too much pressure to the present energy plan. Although the benefits of being involved in CDM scheme are uncertain, effective use of domestic resources contributes to a favorable energy-source-mixture that serves for national energy supply security. II. Recognition of the Problems However, as far as Thailand has enough electricity reserve, rice husk projects can be a preferable choice, but not essential choice. Moreover several problems are confirmed from Thailand’s side, as mentioned in Section B. .c. Thus Thailand has only a weak centripetal force for rice husk power project. Motivations from both sides are needed to become real projects. For Japanese companies, the main purpose of using this business opportunities is not making profit, although the project should not lose money. The largest benefit for their involvement is to show their positive stance on environmental problem mitigation to the public. In this meaning, the motivation has only weak centripetal force for realizing the project because companies have many other options for showing the public their positive attitude on environmental problem mitigation. If the project can contribute to the CDM plan, it can be a strong driving force to promote investment in rice husk power projects in Thailand because it they can give companies an economic benefit. However, it is not certain, given the Thai-government’s ambiguous attitude on the CDM. Sasaki 38 III. Appropriate Policy Needed These two weak centripetal forces from both sides must be strengthened to become tenacious motivation for realizing the project. As mentioned in Section A. .b, the Thai-government commented that “the government will select only deals that use appropriate technology, emphasizing public participation”. This shows the appropriate direction for Thailand’s preferable sustainable development through rice husk power projects. Here one needs to clarify “appropriate technology” and “emphasizing public participation” to reflect them into actual policy. To satisfy those needs, more money will be needed. As mentioned, domestic subsidies are not preferable and cannot be expected to be increased greatly because of little motivation in Thailand. For the “common good” of the world, funds from international organizations are preferable, in particular, ones similar to the World Bank proposed pilot plan. Incrementing the funds can be considered once Thailand is involved in the CDM scheme. In this way, international organizations such as the World Bank can contribute and affect to promotion of renewable energy and the CDM scheme’s realization. This fund will be used for “appropriate technology” and “emphasizing public participation.” As rice husk power projects need only conventional technology, technology transfer should be concentrated to appropriate operations, maintenance and safety management, as mentioned in Section C. .b. technology improvement for effective uses of ashes might be achieved by the investments. To achieve the emphasis on public participation, tripartite committees will organized to fill the gap between developers and local people, and also to evaluate environmental issues appropriately as mentioned in Section C. .c. For the government, it is impossible to prepare enough human resources at the appropriate time, who would be involved in the committees. Thus, approved third parties such as quasi-public companies should take care of the committees. This is a plan very similar to that of the Cape Wind Project, where Massachusetts Technology Collaborative (MTC) is involved. Basically, it should stay as an observer to avoid too much intervention. However, to avoid lengthy negotiation and money required for this, the negotiation period should have a limit and a final decision should be done by the government in case of breaking off. In this policy and plan, rice husk power project promotion can become more attractive for both Japanese companies and Thailand, so that the motivations from both sides can become much stronger than now. Moreover, Sasaki 39 depending on the strategy and the amount of the money that international organizations bring, the CDM plan will be encouraged now more than ever. Sasaki 40 REFERENCES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Bangkok Post, Air Pollution: Stop Open Burning. April 13, 2003. Bangkok Post, Bid to Win Backing for Plants. November 18, 2003. Bangkok Post, Biomass Policy needs Rethink, Says Industry. August 18, 2003. Bangkok Post, EGAT Delays Buying SPP power. April 22, 2003. Bangkok Post, Firm to Build Plant in Phichit. September 24, 2003. Bangkok Post, Govt Gives Carbon Credit Assurance. July 19, 2003. Bangkok Post, Greenpeace Warns: Renewable Energy Cheaper, Better for Thailand in Long Run. August 13, 2003. 8. Bangkok Post, Japanese Firm Can’t Claim Carbon Credits. June 14, 2003. 9. Bangkok Post, Locals Pull the Plug on Biomass. April 29, 2003. 10. Bangkok Post, Trang Power Plant Proposal Fires Up Residents to Protest. October 7, 2002. 11. Bangkok Post, Why not Help Make Our World Cleaner? September 13, 2002. 12. Bangkok Post, 17 SPP Projects Gain Subsidies. March 28, 2002. 13. Cape & Islands Offshore Wind-An MTC Public Outreach Initiative. <http://wind.raabassociates.org/>. 14. Cape Cod Times, Latest News and Sources for Proposed Nantucket Sound Wind Farm. <http://www.capecodonline.com/special/windfarm/>. 15. Cape Wind. <http://www.capewind.org/index.htm>. 16. Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Capacity to Be Purchased from Each SPP. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_capacity.html>. 17. Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Characteristic of Qualifying Facilities. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_char.html>. 18. Electricity Generating Public Co. Ltd (EGAT), SPP Project, Objectives in Purchasing Electricity in SPP. November 2, 2003. <http://www.egat.or.th/dppd/eng_spp_obj.html>. 19. Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT), Metropolotan Electricity Authority (MEA), Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA), Regulations for the Purchase of Power from Small Power Producers (For Electricity Generated From Non-Conventional Energy, Waste or Residual Fuel and Cogeneration). January 1998 (Revision August 2001). 20. Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Electricity Information, Table 6.2 World Total Net Electricity Consumption, 1980-2001. November 2, 2003. <http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/table62.xls>. 21. Energy Policy and Planning Office in Thailand (EPPO), Power Purchase from Small Power Producers (As of August 2003). <http://www.eppo.go.th/power/pw-spp-purch-E.html>. August 2003. December 12, 2003. 22. Financial Times Information Global News Wire, Seminar Organized to Discuss Biomass as Alternative Energy. December 20, 2002. 23. Inter Press Service, Eco-Activists Wary of World Bank Offer. August 20, 2002. 24. Kyodo News Service Japan Economic Newswire, METI marks Thai biomass plan for benefits under Kyoto protocol. May 23, 2003. 25. Meidensya Press Release, Getting an order of Biomass Power Plant that Uses Rice Husk as a Fuel in Thailand (Tai de Momigarawo Nenryotosuru Baiomasu Hatsuden Puranto wo Jyuchu). August 22, 2001. December 9, 2003. <http://www.meidensha.co.jp/press/press-0998445181.html>. 26. Massachusetts Technology Collaborative: http://www.mtpc.org/. 27. Nation (Thailand), Biomass Power: Face-off Over Rice Husk Plant. June 10, 2003. 28. Nation (Thailand), Power Producers Line up Join NEPOS biomass project. October 19, 2001. 29. Penn Well Publishing Co. Power Engineering International, On the rice track. June 2002. 30. Paine, Lynn Sharp. Corporate Purpose and Responsibility. Harvard Business School case9-396-201 31. Save Our Sounds. <http://www.saveoursound.org/index.html>. 32. Shikoku Denryoku (Shikoku Electric Power Company), Partial Liberalization of Power Retail (Denryoku Kouri no Bubun Jiyuka ni Tsuite). November 3, 2003. <http://www.yonden.co.jp/info/free/>. 33. Sumitomo Corporation, Environmental Topics. Climate Change Mitigation Projects (Kankyo Topikkusu Sasaki 41 34. 35. 36. 37. Chikyuondanka Boushi Jigyo). March, 2003. December 9, 2003. <http://www.sumitomocorp.co.jp/environmental/topics/topi01.shtml>. The Electric Power Development Co.,Ltd.(EPDC), News Release, The Start of the Construction of Rice Husk Power Station in Roi-et, Thailand (Taikoku Roietto Momigara Karyoku Hatsudensho no Kensetsu Chakko ni Tsuite). October 29, 2001. November 2, 2003. <http://www.jpower.co.jp/news_release/news/news160.htm>. Thai Press Reports, Use the Sun and Cut Energy Bills, Greenpeace Urges Prommin. March 5, 2003. The Electric Power Development Co.,Ltd.(EPDC), News Release, The Start of the Construction of Rice Husk Power Station in Roi-et, Thailand (Taikoku Roietto Momigara Karyoku Hatsudensho no Kensetsu Chakko ni Tsuite). October 29, 2001. December 2, 2003. <http://www.jpower.co.jp/news_release/news/news160.htm>. World Bank,World Development Indicators. November 2, 2003. <http://80-devdata.worldbank.org.ezproxy.library.tufts.edu/dataonline/>.