CUMMING SCHOOL OF MEDICINE GRADUATE COURSE OUTLINE MDCH 610 Biostatistics I: Essentials of Biostatistics Fall 2014 Course Coordinator/ Instructor Dr. Tyler Williamson Assistant Professor, Department of Community Health Sciences TRW Building 3rd Floor, Office 3D15 Phone: 403-210-6033 Email: tyler.williamson@ucalgary.ca Office hours: By appointment Teaching Assistants Jessalyn Holodinsky Ellen Kuenzig Course Dates September 9 – December 4, 2013 Lectures Tuesdays and Thursdays 1:00 p.m. – 2:25 p.m. Room: Health Sciences Centre 1405A Tutorials Tuesdays 2:30 p.m. – 3:20 p.m. Rooms: Various Labs Thursdays 2:30 p.m. – 3:20 p.m. Rooms: Various Email: jkholodi@ucalgary.ca Email: mekeunzi@ucalgary.ca Course Description This course introduces the foundational and fundamental concepts of biostatistics: summarizing data and statistical inference. Topics include the graphical presentation of data, hypothesis testing, p-values, confidence intervals, the comparisons of means and proportions, sample size estimation and power calculation as well as brief introduction to the topics of linear regression, the analysis of variance, and the analysis of time-to-event data. Examples are given using STATA statistical software and students will be taught how to interpret output from STATA but prior knowledge of STATA is not a prerequisite. MDCH 610 - Course Syllabus - 1 Prerequisite: While there are no formal prerequisites for this course it is assumed that students have a strong foundation of mathematics. For example, students should feel comfortable solving inequalities, solve on-variable linear equations, applying the rules for powers, exponents, and logarithms, and applying the order of operations. A review is recommended for any uncertain about their mastery of these topics. Course Admission: Students and residents of the Department of Community Health Sciences are admitted to this course. No other students are admitted except by special arrangement and the approval of the instructor. Resources NOTE THAT THERE IS NO REQUIRED TEXT FOR THE COURSE The following textbooks are optional references for those wishing to have a reference text. All evaluation, assignments and examples will be given in the notes. Those not wishing to purchase a textbook will have no disadvantage. Introduction to the Practice of Statistics (8th Edition), Moore, McCabe & Craig ISBN 1464158933 Biostatistics: The Bare Essentials” (4th Edition), Norman & Streiner (2014) ISBN 1607951789 Computing Resources Illustrations in the course will be given using the STATA Statistical Software: Version 13. This software is available in the DCHS computer lab [TRW 3D44A] and in the Health Sciences Library Information Commons [HS 1460A]. Students may wish to consider purchasing this software. Purchase is through the UofC Grad Plan. Contact Stata directly: http://www.stata.com/order/new/edu/gradplans/campus-gradplan/ The perpetual license of Intercooled (IC 13) is recommended ($189 USD). Other Course Materials Other recommended supplies include a scientific calculator with a square root, natural logarithm, and exponential key. Academic Integrity The Faculty of Medicine expects intellectual honesty from its students. Course participants should be aware of University policies relating to Principles of Conduct, Plagiarism and Academic Integrity. These are found in the printed Faculty of Graduate Studies Calendar, or online under Academic Regulations in the Faculty of Graduate Studies Calendar, available at http://grad.ucalgary.ca/calendar MDCH 610 - Course Syllabus - 2 Cut Points For Grades This course adheres to the grading system outlined in the University of Calgary, Faculty of Graduate Studies Calendar. Grades of A+ and A are not distinguished in the calculation of GPAs. Percentage/letter grade conversion used for this course is as follows: Grade Course % Grade Point Value* Graduate Description* A+ 95-100 4.0 Outstanding A 90-94 4.0 A- 85-89.5 3.7 Excellent Very good performance B+ 77-84.5 3.3 Good performance B 72-76.5 3.0 B- 68-71.5 2.7 C+ 63-67.5 2.3 C 60-62.5 2.0 Satisfactory performance Minimum pass for students in the Faculty of Grad Studies All grades below B- are indicative of failure at the graduate level and cannot be counted toward Faculty of Graduate Studies course requirements. Evaluation Plan: There will be 5 components of the evaluation: Weekly (roughly) Homework Assignments, a Midterm Exam, Think Tank Thursday attendance and participation marks, an “Essentials of Biostatistics Micro-Conference” Poster Presentation, and a Final Exam. Homework Assignments (20%): Approximately weekly (excluding exam weeks, etc) homework assignments will be distributed. New homework assignments will be posted on Thursdays and will be due at 2:30 the following Thursday. Homework assignments will then be graded and returned on the following Tuesday. The first assignment will be posted on September 18. Assignments should be neatly written or typed and should be numbered to correspond to the questions on the assignment. Except in exceptional circumstances, a paper copy is expected. Answer keys will be made available by D2L after the due date. As the answer key will be posted immediately after the due date, late assignments will not be accepted. Truly exceptional circumstances will be considered on a case-by-case basis and should be directed to the Teaching Assistants who will seek final approval from the course Instructor. Think Tank Thursdays (10%): Attendance at the weekly Think Tank Sessions is mandatory and marks will be assigned based on attendance and participation. It is expected that students will have completed the reading before the session. The ‘Think Tank Thursday Schedule’ provides the assigned readings for each week. Midterm Test (25%): This will be a 2.5-hour closed book exam on Thursday, October 16, 2014. Material up to this point will be eligible for inclusion on the exam. MDCH 610 - Course Syllabus - 3 “Essentials of Biostatistics Micro-Conference” Poster Presentation (10%): Students will individually prepare a poster to present at the “Essentials of Biostatistics Micro-Conference” to be held on Tuesday, December 2, 2014. Posters will be judged by invited guest judges and written feedback provided to the students. Dataset requirements are as follows. Each dataset must include 6-10 variables with a minimum of 2 continuous and a minimum of 2 categorical variables. Categorical variables can be created from continuous variables if necessary and appropriate. The dataset must consist of a minimum of 50 records, and all personal identifiers must be removed. A 250-word abstract of the proposed work will be due on Tuesday, October 21, 2014. The abstract should be written as a “work in progress” style abstract including sections with the following titles: Introduction, Objective, and Methods (including a description of the dataset). Additional information about the Poster Project can be found on the Poster Project FAQ. Final Exam (35%): This will be a 3-hour closed book exam scheduled by the registrar during the exam period (December 8 – December 18). Once this date is known it will be included in this outline. The examination will test the factual, conceptual, and interpretive components of biostatistics, as well as hand and calculator analyses of data. List of Course Topics: Types of Data: Discrete, Continuous, Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, Ratio Graphical Display: Bar Chart, Histogram, Box Plot, Dot Plot Descriptive Statistics: Mean, Median, Mode, Variance, Standard Deviation, Standard Error, Percentile, Interquartile Range, Skewness, Kurtosis, Proportion Reference Distributions: Gaussian (Normal) Distribution, Student’s t Distribution Sampling Distribution: Central Limit Theorem, Confidence Intervals Hypothesis Testing and Statistical Significance: Logic, Errors, P-value, One-sample Tests, Two-sample Tests (paired and independent) Sample Size and Statistical Power: Type I Error (alpha), Type II Error (beta), Sample Size Calcuations for Comparing Two Groups Non-parametric Tests: Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test, Mann-Whitney U Test Chi-squared Test and Confounding: Measures of Association, Mantel-Haenszel, Fisher’s Exact Test Measures of Risk and Benefit: Absolute Risk Reduction, Relative Risk, Relative Risk Reduction, Odds Ratio, Number Needed to Treat Comparison of Several Groups: Analysis of Variance, Between-Subject Variability, WithinSubject Variability, F-ratio, Multiple Comparisons Regression Analysis: Regression, F-ratio, R2 Scattergram, Pearson Correlation Coefficient, Simple Linear Multivariate Analysis of Continuous Data: Analysis of Covariance, Change Scores MDCH 610 - Course Syllabus - 4 Multivariate Analysis of Binary Data: Logistic Regression, Log-binomial Models Univariate Analysis of Time-to-Event Data: Event-Free Survival Analysis Multivariate Analysis of Time-to-Event Data: Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Important Course Dates: September 9: September 11: September 11: September 16: September 18: September 18: October 16: October 21: November 11: December 2: December 4: First Lecture (2.5 hours) Introduction to STATA – Information Commons (Attendance is Mandatory) First Homework Assignment Posted First Tutorial Session First Homework Assignment Due (2:30 p.m.) First Think Tank Thursday Midterm Exam Poster Project Summary Due Reading Days (No Class) Essentials of Biostatistics Micro-Conference Review Session Students with Disabilities It is the student’s responsibility to request academic accommodations. If you are a student with a documented disability who may require academic accommodation and have not registered with the Disability Resource Centre, please contact their office at 220-8237. Students who have not registered with the Disability Resource Centre are not eligible for formal academic accommodation. You are also required to discuss your needs with your instructor no later than fourteen (14) days after the start of this course. Important Information Any research in which students are invited to participate will be explained in class and approved by the appropriate University Research Ethics Board. Cell phones must be turned off in class unless otherwise arranged with the instructor. Assembly points for emergencies have been identified across campus. The primary assembly points for South Campus (Health Science Centre (HSC); Health & Research Innovation Centre (HRIC); Heritage Medical Research Building (HMRB) and Teaching, Research and Wellness (TRW)) are: HSC and HMRB: HRIC Atrium (alternate assembly point is Parking Lot 6) HRIC: HMRB Atrium (alternate assembly point is Parking Lot 6) TRW: McCaig Tower (alternate assembly point is HMRB – Atrium) Information and contact for the Student Ombudsman’s Office can be found at Student Ombuds Office The Freedom of Information and Protection of Privacy (FOIP) Act indicates that assignments given by you to your course instructor will remain confidential unless otherwise stated before submission. The assignment cannot be returned to anyone else without your express permission. Similarly, any information about yourself that you share with your course instructor will not be given to anyone else without your permission. MDCH 610 - Course Syllabus - 5 MDCH 610 - Course Syllabus - 6