EFFECTIVENESS OF EVA: A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON INDUSTRIAL PRODUCT COMPANIES IN MALAYSIA POTOSTAl TtDAK DiBENARKAN AHMAD ZOOLHELMI BIN ALIAS DISSERTATION SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ACCOUNTANCY UNIVERSITITEKNOLOGIMARA 2001 ABSTRACT Economic Value Added (EVA) was advocated by Stern Stewart and Co. in 1982. This study intended to identify any added value or added advantage in EVA compare to conventional methods such as percentage increase in net tangible assets, profit margin, return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) as a performance measurement. This study is conducted in Malaysian business environment, as results of the previous researches are mixed regarding the efficacy of EVA. A sample size of 78 companies from Industrial Product sector of KLSE main board had been selected. In analysis of performance ranking and correlation between stock return and financial parameters, the outcomes have proved that there is no added value or added advantage in EVA compared to conventional methods as a performance measurement. It is hoped that this study will give at least a basic idea of Economic Value Added and also explain correlation between financial parameters and stock return under Malaysian business environment. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This appreciation is dedicated to those who have closely contributed their valuable assistance, cooperation and support towards the completion of this dissertation and also throughout my studies in the Master programme. First of all, I am sincerely grateful to my advisor, Prof. Saiyed Nazim AH, who reviewed the work in detail and provided useful comments and suggestions. I am also thankful to him for making himself available whenever I needed him. My special appreciation also goes to Prof. Dr. Ibrahim Kamal Abd Rahman, the Dean of the Faculty of Accountancy, who has been the source of inspiration throughout my studies and Dr. Asmah Abd Aziz, the Coordinator of Master of Accountancy, for her continuous supports, guidance, help and valuable advises. I would also like to thank them for reviewing my dissertation. My deepest appreciation also goes to my wife, Rai'hatul Wardah Asnawi for all her prayers and supports and my newborn daughter, Aliyarul Batrisya who have inspired me all along my studies and also in completing this dissertation. Last but not least. I would also like to thank Ms. Elly Zarina Abd. Manaf for reviewing and editing my dissertation. 11 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page { Abstract Acknowledgements ii Table of Contents iii List of Tables v List of Appendices vi List of Abbreviation vii CHAPTER ONE : INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the Study 1 1.1.1 3 How EVA work 1.2 Statement of the Problem 4 1.3 Objectives of the Study 5 1.4 Scope of the Study 5 1.5 Organisation of the Study 6 1.6 Motivation of the Study 6 CHAPTER TWO : LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 EVA and its Benefits 8 2.2 EVA is better than Conventional Financial Measurement 12 2.3 Wrong Application of EVA 14 2.4 Critics of EVA 15 2.5 Conceptual Framework 18 CHAPTER THREE : RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHDOLOGY 3.1 Sampling Design 21 3.2 Research design 22 3.3 Data collection 27 3.4 Data analysis 27 in CHAPTER FOUR : DATA ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION OF RESULTS 4.1 Descriptive Analysis 30 4.1. \ 30 Percentage Increase in Net Tangible Assets (NTA) per share 4.1.2 Operating Margin and Increase in Operating Margin. 32 4.1.3 Return on Equity (ROE) 35 4.1.4 Return on Assets (ROA) 36 4.1.5 Market Value Added (MVA) 37 4.1.6 Economic Value added (EVA) 38 4.1.7 Increase in Economic Value added (EVA) 39 4.1.8 EVA per Capital 40 4.2 Performance Ranking 42 4.3 Correlation between Stock Return and other financial parameters. 43 4.3.1 Year 1995 44 4.3.2 Year 1996 44 4.3.3 Year 1997 44 4.3.4 Year 1998 45 4.3.5 45 Year 1999 CHAPTER FIVE : CONCLUSIONS 5.1 Conclusions 46 5.2 Problems and Limitations 47 5.3 Future Research 48 BIBLIOGRAPHY APPENDICES IV LIST OF TABLES Page TABLE 1 : Summary on Average or Mean of the Descriptive Statistics 30 TABLE 2 : Descriptive Statistics for Percentage Increase in Net 31 Tangible Assets TABLE 3 : Descriptive Statistics for Operating Margin 33 TABLE 4 : Descriptive Statistics for Increase in Operating Margin 34 TABLE 5 : Descriptive Statistics for Return on Equity (ROE) 35 TABLE 6 : Descriptive Statistics for Return on Assets (ROA) 36 TABLE 7 : Descriptive Statistics for Market Value Added (MVA) 37 TABLE 8 : Descriptive Statistics for Economic Value Added (EVA) 38 TABLE 9 : Descriptive Statistics for Increase in EVA 39 TABLE 10 : Descriptive Statistics for EVA per Capital 41 TABLE 11 : Summary of Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test Result 42 TABLE 12 : Summary Of Spearman's Rank Order Correlation Result 44 LIST OF APPENDICES APPENDIX 1 : Companies performance results. APPENDIX 2 : Ranking of companies based on individual financial parameters. APPENDIX 3 : Weighted average ranking of companies. APPENDIX 4 : Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test Result APPENDIX 5 : Spearman's Rank Order Correlation Results. LIST OF ABBREVIATION CAPM Capital Assets Pricing Model D Debt E Equity EMAS INDEX Exchange Main Board All-Share Index EPS Earning per share EVA MVA Economic Value Added Market Value Added NOPAT Net Operating Profit After Taxes NPV Net Present Value NTA Net Tangible Assets P/E RATIOS Price Earning Ratios RI Residual Income ROA Return on Assets ROE Return on Equity ROI Return on Investments ROS Return on Sales SPSS Statistical Package for Social Science vn CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the Study In order to measure corporate performance, return on assets (ROA), return on investment (ROI), profit margin, earning per share (EPS) and many other methods have been used for quite sometime by investors, accountants and other users of financial statements. According to Talib and San (1998), for many years, senior managers, investors and analyst have been using conventional measures such as earnings, earnings per share (EPS), P/E ratios or return on equity for setting financial goals, for measuring financial performances and for valuations. Now another method is available for measuring corporate performance that is known as economic value added (EVA). Economic Value Added (EVA) was advocated by Stern Stewart and Co. in 1982. It is a method of measuring corporate performances in term of shareholders wealth. EVA is defined as the excess of the dollar amount of net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) over the dollar charge for capital (both debt and equity) obtained by multiplying the percentage weighted average cost of capital (WACC). With reference to Tully et al (1993), EVA is a way of measuring an operation's real profitability. Basically, this technique is a version of the residual income method of performance measurement made popular by David Solomons in the Iatel960's. Although this technique appeared as early as 1982, it received little attention until September 1993. An article in Fortune Magazine written by Tully (1993) provided a detailed description of the EVA concept, Stern Stewart practice and successful EVA adoptions by major corporations in the United States of America. According to Ray (2001), corporate giants such as Coca-Cola, AT&T, BriggsStratton, DuPont, Eli Lilly, Quaker Oats and others have adopted this new financial tool and in many instances, reported significantly improved fmancials. For example, Coca-Cola, one of the earliest users of EVA, saw its stock price increase from US$ 3 (on a split-adjusted basis) in 1981 when the company first adopted EVA, to over US$ 60. Basically the concept of EVA is relatively new (especially in Malaysia) and not many studies have been conducted in Malaysia as conventional financial measures are still widely used by most of the corporations instead of EVA. This study has been carried out to find out whether EVA has an added advantage as a performance measurement compared to conventional financial measurement such as percentage increase in net tangible assets, profit margin, return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE). This study is an extension of previous research conducted by Talib and San (1998) in Singapore. This study is conducted to further test the value-added information of EVA in Malaysian business environment. In doing so, sample consisting of companies in Malaysia were used to test EVA against conventional financial measurement techniques. Primary data was gathered from financial reports and other published data. From these data, EVA and conventional financial measurements were calculated using certain formulae. This study aims at testing the difference between conventional financial measurement techniques and EVA techniques for measuring corporate performances. 1.1.1 How EVA works Basic formula of EVA is Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) less Cost of Capital. But first, we have to calculate equity's cost. For example, overtime, shareholders have received on average a return that is seven percentage points (7%) higher on stocks than on longterm government bond. With bond rates around 8.3%, that put the average of equity at 15.3%. Assuming the company uses debt as well as equity capital, the cost is the weighted average of the two. Second step is to find out how much capital is tied up in company's operation. Then multiply the capital with the rate (15.3%). To figure the company's EVA, firstly, subtracts taxes from Net Operating Profit (NOPAT). Then subtract capital cost. If the result is positive, the company is creating wealth. If it is negative, the company's operation destroying capital. For example, operating profit of company "ABC" is RM 160,000 and tax is RM 60,000. NOPAT = Operating Profit - Tax RM 160,000 - RM 60,000 RM 100,000 The company uses 67% of equity @ 14.3% and 33% debt @ 5.2%. Capital used by the company is RM 1,600,000. Cost of Capital = ((67% X 14.3%) + (33% X 5.2%) X RM 1.6 million 11.3% XRM 1,600,000 RM 180,752 EVA = NOPAT - Cost of Capital RM 100,000-RM 180,752 - RM 80,752 This indicates that the company's operation is destroying the capital. It is better for the management to fix it fast. To fix it means that the management has to find ways to increase EVA until it is positive. Basically, there are three ways to raise EVA. First, by earning more profit without using more capital, may be by cost cutting or even downsizing. Second, by using less capital, for example as practiced by Coke, in which they are using plastic containers for concentrate instead of costlier metal. Third, by investing capital in highly return project. 1.2 Statement of the Problem There are a lot of articles discussing about the effectiveness, positive values and advantages of EVA. While successful of EVA stories are quite encouraging, the evidence supporting the theory has been primarily subjective. Evidence is mixed regarding the efficiency of EVA. For instance, according to Cordeiro and Kent (2001), there has been a growing literature examining the effectiveness of EVA adoption. However, this has been mainly in the form of case studies and reports that document the improved financial performance resulting from evidence on the effect of EVA adoption at individual firms. Chen and Dodd (2001) stated that insufficient empirical research exists to support the claim of EVA's supremacy as a performance measure in term of value-relevance. In contrast, limited empirical evidence has suggested otherwise. As EVA is a new concept especially in Malaysian business environment, this study focuses more on calculation part of EVA rather than behavioural aspects and the concept as a whole. 1.3 Objectives of the Study Objectives of this study are: 1. To identify any added value or added advantage in EVA compared to conventional methods as a performance measurement. 2. To find out whether there is any significant relationship between EVA and stock prices (stock return) compared to conventional financial measurement. 1.4 Scope of the Study This study only focuses on Industrial Product companies listed on the main board of Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE). As this study tests the two techniques by comparison of ranked companies, in my opinion, it is better to select companies under the same industry or sector in which the comparison is more rational. With reference to Talib and San (1998), sample of their study consisted of companies in the property sector as the properties companies are asset based and the volatility of earnings in the property sector depend heavily on specific sales-launch and project completion dates. The recognized inefficiencies of conventional performance measures on property sector prompts one to consider if another measure would provide different result. Some limitations of the sample in Talib and San study including, earnings in the property sector can be volatile due to dependence on specific dates of sales launch and project completion dates and complications arising from the use of percentage of completion or the completed contracts method in recognizing profit. To overcome those problems, I have decided to extent period of study from 3 years to five years and using companies classified under Industrial Product as my sample. The study covers five financial years to get a better view of the ranked companies under both techniques. To make it easier, Wilcoxon Test is used in evaluating both techniques. In order to support the result, the correlation between stock return is tested against changes in those financial measurements. 1.5 Organisation of the Study Chapter Two of this dissertation discusses the literature reviews relating to previous researches on Economic Value Added (EVA) and Market Value Added (MVA), definitions of EVA and MVA, other related issue and arguments on EVA and theoretical framework. Later research design and methodology are discussed in Chapter Three and the data analysis and discussion of result in Chapter Four. Conclusions of the study are presented in Chapter Five including limitations and the potential future research. 1.6 Motivation of the Study This study is conducted in Malaysian business environment, as results of the previous researches are mixed regarding the efficacy of EVA. With reference to the three researches done by Talib and San (1998), Chen and Dodd (2001) and Cordeiro and Kent (2001) in which the findings are contrary to the theory of EVA in term of value added in performance measurement and as the best measure for valuation purposes. As the EVA concept is quite new to Malaysian business environment I am curious to find out whether EVA has superior advantage in term of value-added information and as performance measurement compared to conventional financial measurement. Another reason that drives me into selecting this topic is due to the state of knowledge in this field. It is hoped that it will give at least a basic idea of EVA and also explain correlation between financial parameters and stock return related to Malaysian business environment. Personally, I would like to enhance my knowledge and share it with others who are interested to read this dissertation. CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 EVA and its Benefits Brewer and Chandra (1999) defined "EVA" as a financial performance measure based on operating income after taxes (NOPAT), the investment in assets required to generate that income and cost of the investment in assets (or, weighted average cost of capital) while Shand (2000) defined EVA as measures of corporation's true economic. Shand (2000) stated that, EVA can change organisation's capital allocation process because EVA is like "NPV with memory", which estimates how much money a project will generate over a number of years and then determines how much the potential cash flows is worth today. With reference to case study by Klinkerman (1997), he stated that Centura Bank's stock rose more than 90% between December 31, 1993 and September 30, 1996 and according to SNL Securities its outpaced more than 70% rise in the SNL bank stock index after implementation of EVA. Chen and Dodd (1997) stated that, EVA is the one and only internal measure of corporate performance to tie directly to value. It is the fuel that fires a premium (or accounts for the discount) in the market's valuation of any business. No other measure can make the connection between performance and value as clear as EVA. According to Ray (2001), from the firm's perspective, EVA is an internal financial tool which holds every manager in the firm accountable for every dollar allotted to them. From the market's perspective, EVA is very useful tool with which the firm can maximize its value. EVA and productivity are vitally and inseparably linked one to another. Adopting the EVA measuring tool allows firms to see where value is being created and where it's not. EVA is closely related with Market Value Added (MVA) - the difference between the market value of a firm and the economic value of the capital it employs, as stated by Lehn and Makhlija (1996). Moreover, based on research by Lehn and Makhlija (1996), using the relation of a measure with the stock returns, they concluded that EVA and MVA, like traditional measures, are effective measures of performance. They also found that the correlation of EVA with stock returns is higher than the correlation of any of the other financial measures (ROA, ROS, ROE and MVA) with stock returns. Tully and Hadjian (1993) cited that, one of EVA's most powerful properties is its strong link to stock prices. EVA and stock prices show a remarkable tendency to move up and down together. Stock prices track EVA far more closely than they track such popular measures as earnings per share or operating margins or returns on equity. This is in line with study conducted by Yook and McCabe (2001), they concluded that there is evidence of a strong relationship between MVA per share and average returns. Chen and Dodd (2001) stated that EVA's purported ability to deliver superior stock returns appears to be its main selling point as evidenced by the following Stern Stewart advertisement: "Forget EPS, ROE and ROI. EVA is what drives stock prices". This statement supported by Brewer and Chandra (2001) who cited that EVA is better goal congruence than ROI. Some advantages of EVA as highlighted by Chen and Dodd (2001) including, the cost of equity capital is the opportunity cost which stockholders forgo by 9 investing in a specific company. Stern Stewart approximates it, based on capital assets pricing model (CAPM), by adding an individual's company adjusted risk premium to the return on long-term government bonds. Another advantage is that EVA's alleged distortions introduced by General Acceptance Accounting Principals (GAAP) are eliminated, (e.g. Research and Development (R&D) expenses are capitalized as it will bring future profit to the company). Cordeiro and Kent (2001) highlighted several advantages claimed by EVA, that are: EVA eliminates economic distortions of GAAP to focus decisions on real economic results. EVA provides for better assessment of decisions that affect the balance sheet and income statement or trade offs between each through the use of the capital charge against NOPAT. EVA decouples bonus plans from budgetary targets. EVA covers all aspects of the managerial cycle. EVA aligns and speeds decision-making, and enhances communication and teamwork. Dierks and Patel (1997) cited that, EVA measures the amount of value a firm creates during a defined period through operating decisions it makes to increase margins, improve working capital management, efficiently uses its production facilities, and redeploys under utilised assets. Thus, EVA can be used to hold management accountable for all economic outlays whether they 10 appear in the income statement, on the balance sheet, or in the financial statement's footnotes. EVA creates one financial statement that includes all the costs of being in business, including the carrying cost of capital. The EVA financial statements give managers a complete picture of the connections among capital, margin, and EVA. It makes managers conscious of every dollar they spend whether that dollar is spent on or off the income statement or on operating costs or the carrying cost of working capital and fixed assets. According to Booth (1997), in summary, it offers a number of advantages over alternatives: EVA provides the correct incentives for capital allocation, unlike return on capital employed, which can lead to under-capitalisation, and earnings, which can lead to over-capitalisation; EVA does not encourage actions to flatter short-term results at the expense of long-term performance, e.g. actions such as cutting research and development; EVA shows a good correlation with historical share prices, thus providing managers with a proxy for share price which they can influence (although more complex measures such as cash flow return on investment can provide a higher correlation); EVA lends itself to use as an annual performance measure, linked to executive pay, unlike some cash flow measures. Positive economic profit implies that value creation for shareholders and can be used to reward managers accordingly. 11 EVA is not, however, a new means of corporate valuation, since it can be shown that the present value of the forecast economic profits plus the net assets is equal to the present value of the cash flows. It is something more useful: it provides a decision-making and performance measurement framework which is aligned with the strategic analysis and makes strategy come alive within an organisation as opposed to remaining an ivory tower top-level annual activity. It should displace other financial measures which are not consistent with the creation of shareholder value. Epstein and Young (1997) stated that, EVA and how its use can aid corporate environmental managers in promoting more proactive environmental investments, and in funding capital investments on environmental improvement, waste reduction, and pollution control in their companies are discussed. The use of EVA and other shareholder value measures can also improve general capital investment decisions by integrating environmental factors that affect the long-term interests of the corporation into the managerial decision-making process. 2.2 EVA is better than Conventional Financial Measurement According to Mclntyre (1999), advocator of EVA argues that one important difference between Residual Income (RI) and EVA is that, it adjusts reported accounting results to eliminate distortions encountered in measuring true economic performance. Brewer and Chandra (1999) stated that EVA is better goal congruence than Return On Investment (ROI). EVA helps overcome the goal incongruence that exists between the manager and the firm which cannot be resolved using ROI. There are critics on historical accounting performance measures such as return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), return on sales (ROS), or earning-per-share are deficient because they are unidimensional and thus 12 unsuited to fully assessing firms' strategic accounting, firms' strategic outcomes and performance (Dalton et al, 1982; Venktraman and Ramanujam, 1986). They also display that they reflect only past performance and not future performance. In research conducted by Cordeiro and Kent (2001), they stated that accounting performance measures ignore differences in risk-taking between firms in their quest for profits. Managers may manipulate reported accounting profits to their advantage and by choosing alternative accounting procedures within the GAAP framework. Some popular techniques involve switching between inventory policies, switching depreciation methods, and expense pension fund allocation. Another critic Morse et al (1996) states, the primary limitation of Return on Investment (ROI) is that it encourages managers, who are evaluated and rewarded based solely on this measures, to make investment decisions that are in their own best interests, while not being in the best interests of the company as a whole. Chen and Dodd (1997) cited that, while accounting profits such as earnings per share and return on equity are among the most commonly used performance measures; they are criticized for not taking into consideration the total cost of capital and for being unduly influenced by accrual-based accounting conventions. In contrast, EVA, the difference between after-tax operating profits and the total cost of capital, is promoted as a measure of a company's real profitability. EVA allows investors to evaluate whether the return being earned on invested capital exceeds its cost as measured by the returns from alternative capital uses. Management may do different things to create value for the business. Whatever it does, the value created will ultimately be reflected in the EVA measure. 13 According to Shand (2000), the use of EVA has grown steadily as business managers have become disgruntled with standard accounting practices that often fail to generate information helpful to decision making. More companies have turned to performance measurement tools, such as EVA, to bolster their understanding of and ability to achieve profitability. Yook and McCabe (2001) stated that the conventional measures have some deficiencies as guides to shareholders wealth maximization, because they ignore the cost of capital, such measures lack a formal mechanism for determining whether achieving such goals create values for shareholders. Although a firm earns a positive net income and a high accounting rate of return, it may not contribute to shareholder wealth if earnings fall short of the required returns that shareholders could earn by investing in other securities of comparable risk. 2.3 Wrong Application of EVA The three elements used in calculating EVA are operating income after taxes, investment in assets and the cost of capital. Highlighted by Stewart III (1995) EVA may be wrongly applied by business people. There are five main area highlighted by him. Firstly, they don't make EVA way of life. The company by not adopting EVA as the centerpiece of a comprehensive financial management system, in which, all the policies, procedures, measures and methods companies use to guide and control their operations and strategy. Secondly, most managers try to implement EVA too fast. EVA cannot be implemented overnight. It should start with top management using it day to day, and then gradually push it down through the rank. While EVA should be fully integrated into the company, it should not be overdone by trying to apply it to every corner and gap. According to Kudla and Arendt (2000), 14 depending on a firm's sales, integration of EVA can take anywhere from months to a few years, and the full impact of the system on shareholder wealth creation may take three to four years. Thirdly, the boss lacks conviction. If the boss is not totally committed, staffs can form war among themselves. Fourthly, managers fuss too much about it. When implementing EVA, companies tend to make it a big philosophical issue. Lastly, training gets short shrift. This is happens because companies sometimes don't disseminate EVA knowledge widely enough through the organisation. According to Kudla and Arendt (2000), a solid commitment from senior management is vital for successful integration and implementation of EVA programs. Without management buy-in, employees may view the program as just another temporary corporate trend. The EVA implementation plan should provide for continuous training at the appropriate organisational levels and link EVA performance to manager and employee compensation. Before proceeding with the development of an implementation plan, management should conduct a feasibility study that calculates EVA for both the company and its competitors. This allows the company to benchmark its performance. 2.4 Critics of EVA In research conducted by Ray (2001), he cited that EVA is nothing more than Net Present Value (NPV) re-packaged at departmental, divisional and firmwide levels. Further, the critics argue that the Stern Stewart and Co. only real contribution to the capital budgeting and incentive compensation process is 15 the development of (arguably, arbitrary) measures with which to implement NPV on scales larger than a project basis. Another author, Barfield (1998), stated that a key criticism of EVA is that it is simply a retreated model of Residual Income (RI) and that the large number of "equity adjustments" incorporated in the Stern Stewart system may not be necessary. The similarity between EVA and RI is supported by Chen and Dodd (1997) who noted that most of the EVA and RI variables are highly correlated and are almost identical in terms of association to stock returns. With reference to Cordeiro and Kent (2001), in their conclusion, they agree that it is reasonable to assume that EVA adoption may not be suitable for all firms all the times as other industry factors need to be considered such as the firm's strategic goals and drivers, management power and style, and buy-in, understanding and accountability of its employees. According to Chen and Dodd (2001), there were insufficient empirical researches existing to support the claim of EVA's supremacy as a performance measure in terms of value-relevance. Further in their research, they found that their data do not support the assertion that EVA is the best measure for valuation purposes. In study conducted by Mclntyre (1999) also highlighted that there is no consensus of whether EVA or ROA provides the more useful performance measure. Academic accountants, in general, appear to favour EVA because its goal-congruence property. Many managers and practitioners, on the other hand, appear to favour ROA, perhaps because it is similar to the way returns on many types of investment are reported. In research done by Talib and San (1998), the results showed that both methods, conventional financial measures and EVA produced relatively 16