2014 Canadian Institutional Foodservice Market Report February 2014 Abridged Sample Table of Contents Introduction ................................. 3 About fsSTRATEGY ................... 4 About this Study .......................... 5 Definitions .................................... 6 Important Notes About the Data ... 7 Changes for 2013/14 ……………. 8 Market Overview .......................... 9 Sales Analysis ............................. 18 Sector Profiles ............................ 24 Page 2 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential 2014 Canadian Institutional Foodservice Market Report INTRODUCTION 3 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential About fsSTRATEGY Inc. • • • • fsSTRATEGY is an alliance of senior consultants focusing on business strategy support – research, analysis, innovation and implementation – for the foodservice industry. Our team has extensive consulting experience in foodservice across Canada. We also offer international experience, having worked in the United States, Australia, South America, Africa, Asia, the Caribbean and Europe. Our team is unique in that we provide service to all foodservice sectors (chain and independent restaurants, attractions, hotels and resorts, gaming establishments and institutions) and all levels of the foodservice supply chain (growers, processors, distributors and operators). Our team has extensive experience in institutional foodservice. We have provided advisory services to hospitals, universities, art galleries, museums, attractions, convention and trade facilities, remote sites, correctional facilities, casinos and public and private sector employee dining facilities. All of our key consultants are members of the International Society of Hospitality Consultants (“ISHC”) and, as such, subscribe to the ISHC’s stringent code of ethics for consulting services. This year’s report contains value-added information supplied by The NPD Group/CREST OnSite®. We wish to express our appreciation to NPD for the opportunity to collaborate on this project. fsSTRATEGY and NPD source their data in different ways and therefore, care should be used in aligning the respective data points. 4 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential About this Study • • • • The Canadian Institutional Foodservice Market Report provides an estimate of the size of the Institutional Foodservice market in Canada. Using Statistics Canada (“StatsCan”) definitions, this report defines Institutional Foodservice sales as the combination of: – sales of Contract Caterers (part of Contract and Social Caterers in the Commercial Foodservice sector); and – sales of Institutional Foodservice (foodservice sales in institutions where the institutions’ staff members operate the foodservices – also know as Self-Operated Foodservices) (part of the Non-Commercial Foodservice sector). fsSTRATEGY has been conducting this analysis since 1999. Total Self-Operated Foodservice sales are reported to Restaurants Canada and included in its estimate of total foodservice sales for Canada. We wish to acknowledge the support of Restaurants Canada and its provision of supporting data for this report. 5 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Definitions • • • • • • • • • Contract Caterers. This sector comprises foodservice operators primarily engaged in supplying foodservices under contract for a specific period of time. This includes establishments providing foodservices to airlines, railways and institutions as well as establishments operating food concessions at sports and similar facilities. Contract caterers may provide additional services such as housekeeping, janitorial/laundry as well as plant operation and maintenance. Social Caterers. This sector, not tracked in this study, comprises establishments that provide onsite and off-site catering services and includes banquet halls, off-premise caterers and mobile catering trucks. Self-Operated Foodservice. Foodservices operated by organizations whose primary business is something other than foodservice. Healthcare. Foodservice for patients and residents at retirement homes, long term care facilities (homes for the aged, nursing homes, personal care homes, group homes, etc.) and hospitals. Corrections. Foodservice for inmates at provincial and federal correctional facilities. Transportation. Food and beverage service for passengers on trains, ferries, airlines and cruise lines. Business & Industry. Foodservice for private- and public-sector employees in offices and plants. Education. Foodservices for students, staff and faculty at private schools, high schools, colleges and universities. Remote. Foodservices for remote camps servicing mining, forestry, oil and gas, fire fighting, hydro, road construction and rail maintenance. This sector also includes recreational summer camps. 6 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Important Notes about the Data History of the Report: Up until 2009, this report was prepared by Restaurants Canada (formerly the Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association) based on data researched by fsSTRATEGY. Commencing in 2011, this report has been researched and prepared by fsSTRATEGY. Methodology: Two sources have been used to compile this report. Data on total Contract Caterer sales are based on StatsCan’s Monthly Restaurants, Caterers and Taverns Survey. Sales data on the Self-Operated Foodservice sector and the breakdown of sales of Contract Caterers are based on interviews conducted by the fsSTRATEGY team utilizing over one hundred sources. These sources include self-operated foodservice managers, contract caterers, segment associations, government agencies, trade publications and segment consultants. The data for Contract Caterers is imputed from the above two sources. Since no consistent collection of data by foodservice sub-sector exists, these sales figures should be considered estimates rather than the actual size of the market. In conducting the interviews, fsSTRATEGY requested information on trends seen by respondents in their respective industry segments. These trends are recorded in the sector profiles starting on page 23. Since 2011, Military and Coast Guard foodservice sales have been estimated and included in Other Foodservice sales, as reliable data was not available for these groups. 7 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential 2014 Canadian Institutional Foodservice Market Report MARKET OVERVIEW 8 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Sales by Segment ($ millions) Commercial Foodservice Full-Service Restaurants Limited-Service Restaurants Revenue from institutional foodservice by Contract Caterers excluding Contract Caterers (Excluding Open Camps) open camps1 is expected to account for $3.6 billion of total contract Social Caterers and social caterer revenue. Contractor-operated open camp Drinking Places foodservice accounts for an additional $816 million. Self-operated Sub-Total Commercial institutional foodservice sales ($4.0 billion) are reported in nonNon-Commercial Foodservice commercial foodservice. Accommodation Foodservice The total Institutional Foodservice market (excluding open camps) is Institutional Foodservice expected to grow to $7.7 billion in 2014, representing a 3.9% increase Retail Foodservice over 2013. Other Foodservice Combined contracted and self-operated institutional foodservice Sub-Total Non-Commercial excluding open camps is expected to account for 10.8% of Canada’s Total Foodservice Market Overview • • • $71.1 billion foodservice industry in 2014. Remote (Including Open Camps) Education Business Dining Transportation Corrections Healthcare 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% $5,886.0 $3,985.2 $1,229.4 $2,484.0 $13,584.6 $71,108.2 Note: All growth rates are in nominal terms (unadjusted for inflation). 1. Open camps are remote sector accommodation and foodservice establishments developed and operated directly by caterers as opposed to being developed by resource companies and operated under contract by foodservice operators. Total Institutional 0.0% $25,271.3 $24,935.1 $3,673.1 $1,248.1 $2,395.9 $57,523.6 Source: Restaurants Canada, Pannell Kerr Forster and fsSTRATEGY Inc. Forecasted Change in Sales by Segment - SelfOperated and Contract Cateres Combined 2014/2013 -5.0% 2014 20.0% 9 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential 2014 Canadian Institutional Foodservice Market Report SALES ANALYSIS 10 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Combined Self-Operated and Contract Caterers Figures are in $’000,000s. % Share = share of total sales % Chg. = year-over-year change Estimated Sales COMBINED 2009 2010 % Share % Chg. 2011 % Share % Chg. 2012p % Share % Chg. 2013p % Share % Chg. 2014f % Share % Chg. % Share % Chg. Healthcare Retirement Homes Long Term Care Hospitals Total Healthcare Corrections Total Corrections Transportation Total Transportation Business Dining Total Business Dining Education Private Schools High Schools Colleges Universities Total Education Remote Remote excl. Open Camps Open Camps Total Remote Other Total Other (1) Total Combined excl. Open Camps Total Combined Estimate prepared by fsSTRATEGY Notes: (1) Includes sales estimates for subsectors for which data was not consistently available (e.g., Military and Coast Guard). Also includes the variance between fsSTRATEGY's estimates and StatsCan's total Contract Caterer figures. Methodologies vary; therefore totals may vary. Figures are intended only to enable an overall mark et estimate. P =preliminary; F=Forecast Forecasts based on interviewee forecasts and fsSTRATEGY estimates. © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential 11 Self-Operated Foodservices Figures are in $’000,000s. % Share = share of total sales % Chg. = year-over-year change Estimated Sales SELF-OPERATED 2009 2010 % Share % Chg. 2011 % Share % Chg. 2012p % Share % Chg. 2013p % Share % Chg. 2014f % Share % Chg. % Share % Chg. Healthcare Retirement Homes Long Term Care Hospitals Total Healthcare Corrections Total Corrections Transportation Total Transportation Business Dining Total Business Dining Education Private Schools High Schools Colleges Universities Total Education Remote Remote excl. Open Camps Open Camps Total Remote Other Total Other (1) Total Self-Operated excl. Open Camps Total Self-Operated Estimate prepared by fsSTRATEGY (1) Includes sales estimates for subsectors for which data was not consistently available (e.g., Military and Coast Guard). Figures are intended only to enable an overall mark et estimate. P =preliminary; F=Forecast Forecasts based on interviewee forecasts and fsSTRATEGY estimates. 12 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Contract Caterers Figures are in $’000,000s. % Share = share of total sales % Chg. = year-over-year change Estimated Sales CONTRACT CATERERS 2009 2010 % Share % Chg. 2011 % Share % Chg. 2012p % Share % Chg. 2013p % Share % Chg. 2014f % Share % Chg. % Share % Chg. Healthcare Retirement Homes Long Term Care Hospitals Total Healthcare Corrections Total Corrections Transportation Total Transportation Business Dining Total Business Dining Education Private Schools High Schools Colleges Universities Total Education Remote Remote excl. Open Camps Open Camps Total Remote Other Total Other (1) Total Contract excl. Open Camps Total Contract Caterers Estimate prepared by fsSTRATEGY Notes: (1) Includes sales estimates for subsectors for which data was not consistently available (e.g., Military and Coast Guard). Also includes the variance between fsSTRATEGY's estimates and StatsCan's total Contract Caterer figures. Methodologies vary; therefore totals may vary. Figures are intended only to enable an overall mark et estimate. P =preliminary; F=Forecast Forecasts based on interviewee forecasts and fsSTRATEGY estimates. 13 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential 2014 Canadian Institutional Foodservice Market Report SECTOR PROFILES 14 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Healthcare – Retirement Homes Foodservices Retirement Homes - Total Market ($ millions) $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $860.5 $915.3 2010 2011 $1,079.5 $1,164.2 $1,205.5 2012 2013p 2014f $200 $0 Segment trends highlighted by participants: • Instead of building new facilities, operators have been attempting to retrofit existing facilities. Many old facilities have resident spaces that are too small; therefore, they are combining two rooms into one. There is also growing demand for highend accommodations. • There will be a surge in construction of new homes starting at the end of 2014 and this will continue well into 2015. • Emphasis on guest experience is becoming more prevalent. Operators are emphasizing restaurant style service, staff training in customer experience and having their chefs out front with the residents. This is in response to heavy competition. • Menu diversity and ethnic foods, resident choice/customization, menu flexibility, therapeutic diets, improved presentation, seasonal, local and sustainable products, healthy ingredient decks, and resident centric care are all of increasing importance. • A greater emphasis on scratch production is occurring. • Operators are trying to improve operating margins, as a result cost control is critical. 15 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential fsSTRATEGY is an alliance of senior consultants focusing on business strategy support-research, analysis, design and implementation-for the foodservice industry. --The NPD Group has more than 25 years of experience providing reliable and comprehensive consumer-based market information to leaders in the foodservice industry. For more information contact: gwilson@fsSTRATEGY.com 416.229.2290 ext. 1 www.fsSTRATEGY.com Note: Limitations of Use By purchasing this report, the buyer acknowledges that the report may not copied or shared with any other party. The report is for the express use of the buyer and team members within the buyer’s immediate organization only. The buyer may not quote data or analysis from this report in any public or private release without our written permission. Page 16 © fsSTRATEGY Inc. 2014 Proprietary & Confidential