AUTHOR: Sachin Kulkarni & Yashvardhan Jhawar contents Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Abstract .................................................................................... 2 Current Warranty Scenario .............................................................. 3 Enabling Remote Diagnostics using Telematics ....................................... 4 Diagnostic Trouble Code (DTC) .......................................................... 5 Proposed Solution Architecture ......................................................... 6 Conclusion .................................................................................. 8 Abbreviations and Acronyms............................................................. 9 References ................................................................................. 9 About the Author .........................................................................10 About L&T Infotech ......................................................................11 L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 1 of 11 Abstract While engaging in warranty initiatives of various Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM), L&T Infotech has observed that traditional transactional warranty systems perform well when it comes to analyzing warranty claims data via dealer-connected systems; however fall short when it comes to predicting failure way ahead of actual warranty claim. This situation poses a challenge of early detection of failure and potential warranty claims. Hence, such warranty transactional systems are restrictive in driving Corrective Action Preventive Action (CAPA) programs and substantially reducing „Occurrence to Awareness‟ cycle time. Nowadays, all modern vehicles come with “Telematics Systems”. L&T Infotech believes that Telematics System which constantly monitors the health and performance of vehicle generates lot of intelligent information in terms of Diagnostic Trouble Codes (DTC) from on board devices in vehicles in real time basis. If this information is analyzed leveraging NextGen Big Data and Business Intelligence (BI) solutions and if appropriately combined with transaction system, it can assist in building Predictive Warranty Analytics solution. This paper primarily focuses on how to leverage and build analytics using real-time DTC. It also emphasizes on driving CAPA programs to minimize warranty claims and restrict expensive vehicle recalls. L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 2 of 11 Current Warranty Scenario Warranty expense is usually considered as a cost of doing business and liability. The warranty statistics mentioned below indicates its rising magnitude. In 2012, all the US-based automotive companies reported over $10 billion in claims paid, of which about 85% was paid by 46 OEMs and about 15% by their 105 suppliers. (Source: Warranty Week) In 2012, the total amount of warranty accruals reported by all US-based warranty providers stand at $24.7 billion. (Source: Warranty Week) German OEMs have the highest warranty costs worldwide. Warranty management is a wide challenge affecting quality, design, and after-sales departments of any OEM. Transactional warranty processes are reactive in nature. Warranty data consists of claims data that is collected during the servicing of claims, under warranty and additional data, such as production and marketing data. This data helps in determining product reliability and product quality, and assists in providing feedback to design teams and suppliers for necessary product refinements or modifications. L&T Infotech proposes to use Telematics as a mechanism to implement Early Warning Systems and minimize occurrence-to-awareness cycle time. L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 3 of 11 Enabling Remote Diagnostics using Telematics Telematics is the wireless connectivity established between vehicles and infrastructure whether it is machine-to-machine, machine-to-human or direct to the cloud. Telematics has reached critical mass in many regions around the globe. All major global OEMs have implemented telematics in their vehicles in some form or the other. Telematics for safety and security is most prevalent deployment of this technology, but there is an increase in use of telematics for remote diagnostics as well. With an embedded module, OEMs have greater control over system failures and can alert drivers much earlier. Recalls can be quicker and more precise. The magnitude of increase in usage of telematics globally is based on the following statistics: By 2025, revenue opportunities from embedded telematics will increase to USD 25.6 billion. (Source: SBD, 2012) Globally, the percentage of new vehicles sold with embedded telematics will grow from 14% today to 46% by end of 2018. Through automated monitoring of real-time telematics data and DTC, OEMs can accurately predict the failure of a component or part, diagnose the problem, and quickly contact the vehicle owner for service before failure. Thus, remote vehicle diagnostics allows OEMs, suppliers, and dealers to proactively address vehicle problems before they create operational issues. Vehicles can thus be maintained in a better way. They will last longer and run more efficiently. This in turn reduces time and cost of dealers and customers, thereby preventing costly recalls. “ Remote diagnostic technologies provide the ability to deliver on-board vehicle-related performance and quality data to a central monitoring application for the purpose of improving parts performance and reliability insights for engineering and product development. Remote diagnostics can also improve customer relationship management by automating repair and service scheduling. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Gartner L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 4 of 11 Diagnostic Trouble Code (DTC) DTC is a 5-digit fault code which is generated from vehicles in case of any issues in vehicle operation or part failure. The below diagram depicts description of each digit in the DTC. Figure 1: Diagnostic Trouble Code Interpretation For example, DTC C1412 would refer to the chassis system. The fault is manufacturer-specific – related to auxiliary emission control – and is the 12th fault of this category. Using DTC, the system can monitor fuel economy, interior and exterior temperature, air intake, oil, cooling, fuel system, battery, alternator, load, transmission, transfer case, differential, traction control, brakes, hydraulics, tires, emissions systems, and trailers. L&T Infotech proposes to utilize vehicle DTC to predict vehicle malfunctions and allow technicians to take action before they actually occur. The first digit of a typical DTC provides the flexibility to design custom fault codes. Manufacturers can add them to monitor behavior of parts which are newly introduced into the production. L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 5 of 11 Proposed Solution Architecture L&T Infotech proposes the below architecture to build an early warning system for predictive warranty analysis. Figure 2: Proposed Solution Architecture Vehicles are fitted with Telematics devices which continuously transmit diagnostic data including DTC. The information gets transmitted to a Telematics Data Center via satellite or utilizing consumer cell phone internet. All diagnostic trouble codes are collected from various vehicles in the central database of Telematics data center. A thorough statistical analysis of the diagnostics fault code helps to identify trends/patterns and develop a pragmatic insight to zero-in on the problem areas of the vehicle. This extracted information helps in answering questions like: Which system or sub-systems have the highest failure rate? What is the mean time to failure for a specific component? What is the expected lifetime of a component? Which geography and models represent the maximum number of failures? Which dealers have sold cars showcasing the maximum number of failures? Which assembly plants have produced vehicle models having higher failure rate? What are the critical and teasing vehicle issues post-launch of a new model? Which issues become more prominent as the vehicle age increases? L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 6 of 11 This type of information is of paramount importance for the product‟s life cycle support. It is also used as feedback during product development in order to pinpoint the main technical problems with the products, and accordingly prioritize the investment of research & development, engineering, quality, and management resources. Graphical reports can be provided to Product Development, Diagnostics, Service & Warranty, and Quality Management teams that help them to focus their efforts on the most common failures and identify significant trends that require prompt attention. Some sample reports are shown below: Fault in Main System 500 400 Powertrain 300 Chassis 200 Body 100 Network 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Ohio California Time Frame Jul Powertrain Problem by Model Powertrain Problem by State Texas Hawaii Jun Newyork Model1 Model2 Model3 Model4 Model5 Model6 1400 1200 1000 Network 800 Body 600 Chassis 400 Powertrain 200 0 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr 10 yr Age of vehicle Figure 3: Analysis graphs/reports L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 7 of 11 Conclusion Automotive OEMs and tier 1 suppliers invest a lot in warranty initiatives. Such initiatives are aimed at improving collaboration with internal and external supply chain entities to establish an Early Warning System (EWS). Organizations invest in the best IT solutions to derive intelligence out of DTC which is logged from the vehicle. They strive to leverage this information in determining the potential mode of failure and potential defective parts before they actually fail. If this critical feedback is provided on time, it can assist in avoiding expensive warranty claims and recalls, and can provide a robust platform for CAPA programs to various stakeholders across the entire value chain. The infrastructure VIZ: Telematics data center, GPS connectivity etc. which is required to build such a EWS; is already in place with most of OEMs. L&T Infotech has presented and discussed in this paper about how to build the best analytics solution leveraging this infrastructure, and how to derive actionable intelligence from vehicle DTC in building an early warning system within warranty management. L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 8 of 11 Abbreviations and Acronyms DTC Diagnostics Trouble Code OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer ETL Extract, Transfer and Load EWS Early Warning System CRM Customer Relationship Management CAPA Corrective Action Preventive Action References IDC www.idc.com Warranty week www.warrantyweek.com L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 9 of 11 About the Author Sachin Kulkarni leads the Manufacturing Solutions group at Larsen & Toubro Infotech Ltd. He has 18 years of industry and consulting experience in NPD; and SCM and CRM domains. He has worked in India, North America, Europe, and South East Asia in Automotive and Industrial Product Companies. Sachin holds a BE degree in Mechanical Engineering with an MBA in Marketing. In addition to this, he is a Certified Supply Chain Professional (CSCP) and Project Management Professional (PMA). Yashvardhan Jhawar is a senior consultant in the Auto & Aero Business Unit at Larsen & Toubro Infotech Ltd. He has 8 years of industry and consulting experience in the manufacturing, automotive and aerospace domains. He has worked in India, North America, and China, providing manufacturing solutions for various clients. Yashvardhan holds a BE degree in Electronics & Communication. L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 10 of 11 About L&T Infotech Larsen & Toubro is a technology, engineering, construction, manufacturing and financial services conglomerate, with global operations and turnover exceeding USD 14 billion. It is ranked 4th in the global list of Green Companies in the industrial sector by the reputed international magazine Newsweek, and ranked the world‟s 9th Most Innovative Company by Forbes International. L&T is one of the largest and most respected companies in India‟s private sector. A strong, customer–focused approach and the constant quest for top-class quality have enabled L&T to attain and sustain leadership in its major lines of business over seven decades. L&T Infotech‟s horizon is filled with the promise of new and cutting edge offerings in the technology space including an end-to-end cloud computing adoption toolkit and cloud advisory consulting services; enterprise mobility solutions covering a smart access platform; big data advisory services; and in-memory computing. L&T Infotech has developed intellectual properties (IPs) in all the vertical and horizontal service lines and leverages them to provide IP-led solutions. L&T Infotech also delivers business solutions to its clients in the following horizontals/service lines: SAP; Oracle; infrastructure management services; application outsourcing (testing; application development, maintenance & support; legacy modernization; BI/DW); domain services; architecture consulting; EAI & SI; service oriented architecture; software as a service (SaaS); and product lifecycle management. Moreover, an innovative CIO-thought partnership program provides a value-driven edge to clients. For more information, visit us at www.Lntinfotech.com or email us at info@Lntinfotech.com L&T Infotech Proprietary Leveraging Vehicle Telematics in building Predictive Analytics & EWS within Warranty Management Page 11 of 11