6/17/2015
Preparing Students for the 21st Century
Bill Daggett, Founder and Chairman
June 16, 2015
Questions
1
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Growing Gap
School
Improvement
Growing Gap
School
Improvement
2
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Today’s students are the
best educated ever
BUT
are often not prepared
for future success.
Growing Gap
School
Improvement
3
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Growing Gap
School
Improvement
Growing Gap
School
Improvement
4
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WHY
WHAT
HOW
WHY
WHAT
HOW
5
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Lessons/Recommendations
1
WHY
Lessons/Recommendations
1
WHY
Culture Trumps Strategy
6
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The Latest Solution
becomes the
Newest Enemy
I Am Increasingly Worried
7
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Percentage of Teachers
Satisfied with Teaching
2008
65%
2014
38%
Source : Fullan, M. and Langworthy, M. New Pedagogies for Deep Learning
I Am Also Worried About….
8
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$
Household Income
Where do you fall?
Household Income
$
$12,000
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Source:
80%
90%
100%
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
9
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Household Income
$12,000
10%
$
$25,000
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
25%
Source:
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
Household Income
$12,000
10%
$51,000
$25,000
20%
30%
25%
$
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
50%
Source:
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
10
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Household Income
$12,000
10%
$51,000
$25,000
20%
30%
40%
25%
$
$90,000
50%
60%
70%
50%
80%
90%
100%
75%
Source:
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
Household Income
$140,000
$188,000
$
$12,000
10%
$51,000
$25,000
20%
30%
25%
40%
$90,000
50%
60%
70%
50%
80%
75%
Source:
90%
100%
90%
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
11
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Household Income
$188,000
$140,000
$12,000
10%
$51,000
$25,000
20%
30%
40%
25%
$400,000
$
$90,000
50%
60%
70%
50%
80%
90%
75%
100%
90%
95%
99%
Source:
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
Household Income
$12,000
10%
$51,000
$25,000
20%
30%
25%
40%
$400,000
$140,000
$188,000
$
$90,000
50%
60%
70%
50%
80%
75%
90%
100%
90%
95%
99%
Source:
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
12
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Household Income
$188,000
$140,000
$12,000
10%
$51,000
$25,000
20%
30%
25%
40%
$400,000
$
$90,000
50%
60%
70%
50%
80%
75%
90%
100%
90%
95%
Source:
New York Times Analysis of University of
Minnesota Population Center Data
Support Ratio
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
13
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Under 18
23.3%
74.2M
Support
Ratio
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Under 18
23.3%
74.2M
Support
Ratio 14.1%
45M
Over 65
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
14
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From Pyramid to Rectangle
Male
Population Age
Female
85+
80 - 84
75 - 79
70 - 74
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
6
5
4
3
2
1
Percentage of total population
0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Percentage of total population
1960
Baby Boom
Source: https://www.census.gov/population/international/files/97agewc.pdf
From Pyramid to Rectangle
Male
Population Age
Female
85+
80 - 84
75 - 79
70 - 74
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
6
5
4
3
2
Percentage of total population
1
0
0
1990
1
2
3
4
5
6
Percentage of total population
Baby Boom
Source: https://www.census.gov/population/international/files/97agewc.pdf
15
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From Pyramid to Rectangle
Male
Population Age
Female
85+
80 - 84
75 - 79
70 - 74
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
6
5
4
3
2
Percentage of total population
1
0
0
1
2020
2
3
4
5
6
Percentage of total population
Baby Boom
Source: https://www.census.gov/population/international/files/97agewc.pdf
Under 18
23.3%
74.2M
Support
Ratio 14.1%
45M
Over 65
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
16
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45 Million and Growing
Under 18
23.3%
74.2 M
Support
Ratio 14.1%
45 M
39.7%
18 - 65
Over 65
127 M
• Not employed full-time
• More than half receive
government assistance
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
17
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127 Million and Growing
Under 18
23.3%
74.2 M
Subtotal
246.2 M
77.1%
Support
Ratio 14.1%
45 M
39.7%
18 - 65
Over 65
127 M
• Not employed full-time
• More than half receive
government assistance
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
18
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Under 18
Public
Employment
23.3%
74.2 M
7%
Subtotal
246.2 M
77.1%
22.4 M
Support
Ratio 14.1%
45 M
39.7%
Over 65
127 M
18 - 65
Not in FT Employment
and over half of whom
receive Government
assistance
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Total
268.6 M
84.1%
Under 18
Public
Employment
23.3%
74.2 M
7%
Subtotal
246.2 M
77.1%
22.4 M
Support
Ratio 14.1%
45 M
39.7%
18 - 65
Over 65
127 M
Not in FT Employment
and over half of whom
receive Government
assistance
Sources:
U.S. Census Bureau, New QuickFacts, Jan. 7, 2011
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
19
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Job Shares by Skill Group
1980 - 2014
Low-skill
Lower-middle
Upper-middle
High-skill
100%
18.9%
25.4%
33.4%
80%
21.3%
20.7%
60%
40%
47.1%
37.7%
12.7%
16.2%
1980
2010
10.2%
31.3%
20%
0%
25.1%
2040
Source: NY Fed Calculations, U.S. Census Bureau
Household Income
Percent
Low Income
Middle Income
High Income
100
80
($114,360)
33.4%
60
10.2%
40
($38,100)
31.3%
20
25.1%
0
1970
1980
1990
2000
2009
2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Data, America’s wealth gap between
middle‐income and upper‐income families is widest on record
20
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Retirement Savings
Less than $10,000
50%
White
households
Sources:
Time, May 18, 2015
National Institute on Retirement Security
Sources:
Time, May 18, 2015
National Institute on Retirement Security
Retirement Savings
Less than $10,000
50%
White
households
75%
Black
households
21
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Retirement Savings
Less than $10,000
50%
White
households
75%
80%
Hispanic
households
Black
households
Sources:
Time, May 18, 2015
National Institute on Retirement Security
Sources:
U.S. National Debt Clock
http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock
22
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National Debt from 1940 to Present
Sources:
U.S. National Debt Clock
http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock
U.S. Obligations
• National Debt‐ $18.3 Trillion
• Obligations via SS, Medicare, Medicaid ‐$205 Trillion
• 12 times nation’s GDP
23
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Underfunded State Pension Funds
• $5 Trillion
Retirement Savings
Less than $10,000
50%
White
households
Sources:
Time, May 18, 2015
National Institute on Retirement Security
24
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Retirement Savings
Less than $10,000
50%
White
households
75%
Black
households
Sources:
Time, May 18, 2015
National Institute on Retirement Security
Retirement Savings
Less than $10,000
50%
White
households
75%
80%
Hispanic
households
Black
households
Sources:
Time, May 18, 2015
National Institute on Retirement Security
25
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Lessons/Recommendations
1
WHY
2
WHAT
Culture Trumps Strategy
Lessons/Recommendations
1
WHY
Culture Trumps Strategy
2
WHAT
Define It
26
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Solutions
Solutions
• 20% tax on 1st dollar and top rate to 80%
27
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Solutions
• 20% tax on 1st dollar and top rate to 80%
• Major cuts to SS, Medicare, Medicaid, Public Pensions, infrastructure
Solutions
• 20% tax on 1st dollar and top rate to 80%
• Major cuts to SS, Medicare, Medicaid, Public Pensions, infrastructure
• Increase % working, especially in well paying jobs
28
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Do your schools need a
new initiative/program
OR
a lifestyle change?
Rigorous Learning
25-Year Journey
Then
Now
29
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Rigorous Learning
25-Year Journey
Knowing
Doing
Rigorous Learning
25-Year Journey
College
Career
30
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Application Model
1. Knowledge in one discipline
2. Application within discipline
3. Application across disciplines
4. Application to real-world predictable
situations
5. Application to real-world unpredictable
situations
Emerging Trends
31
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Emerging Trends
• Technology/Digital
iPhone can
Voice and
written
communication
Shop
Photos
Directions
(GPS)
Calendar
Weather
Schedule
Play
Games
Investments
32
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Replaced by Smartphones
$
Land-Line
Phone
Pay
Phone
Camera and
video camera
Flashlight
Replaced by Smartphones
CDs, DVDs,
Stereos,
Boom Boxes
Address
Books,
Rolodex
Calendar
Alarm
Clocks,
Timers
33
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Replaced by Smartphones
Compass,
Fold-Out
Maps
Watches,
Wall Clocks
Books,
Magazines,
Newspapers
Phone
Books
Replaced by Smartphones
Photo
Albums
Dictionaries,
Encyclopedias
Calculator
Computers
34
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Replaced by Smartphones
Weather
Channel
Pagers/Beepers Pedometer
Business
Cards
Now iWatch can
Voice and written
communication
Play
games
Photos
Calendar
Shop
Schedule
Directions
(GPS)
Weather
Investments
35
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The Order of Things Have Changed
Uber‐ The world’s largest taxi company own no vehicles
Facebook‐ The World’s most popular media owner, creates no content
Alibaba‐ The most valuable retailer, has no merchandise
Airbnb The World’s largest accommodation provider, owns no real estate
But‐ Schools are still schools!
Source: Better and Faster, Jeremy Gutsche
Web

1.0 – Informational
36
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Web

1.0 – Informational

Google
Web


1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
37
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Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory
Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory

Artificial Intelligence
38
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Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory


Artificial Intelligence
Deep Data Mining
Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory



Artificial Intelligence
Deep Data Mining
Google > Ads
39
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Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory




Artificial Intelligence
Deep Data Mining
Google > Ads
Gmail > Ads
Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory





Artificial Intelligence
Deep Data Mining
Google > Ads
Gmail > Ads
Wolfram Alpha
40
6/17/2015
Web



1.0 – Informational
2.0 – Relational
3.0 – Anticipatory






Artificial Intelligence
Deep Data Mining
Google > Ads
Gmail > Ads
Wolfram Alpha
Photo Math
Digital Impact

Digital Literacy
41
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Digital Literacy
Tools/Applications/Systems
Digital Literacy
Tools/Applications/Systems
Digital Footprint
42
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Digital Footprint
Facebook
Snapchat
Instagram
Vine
Snapchat
Allows users to take
pictures and videos
and share them with
recipients for 1 -10
seconds. Users send
400 million messages
per day. The core
audience is between
the ages of 13 and 25.
Source: Business Insider
43
6/17/2015
Snap-Hack
Allows you to save your
Snapchats, including
pictures and videos,
without notifying the
sender.
All your Snaps &
Stories are safely
stored for you
Digital Footprint
College
Admission
44
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Digital Footprint
College
Admission
Applying
for a Job
Digital Footprint
College
Admission
Applying
for a Job
Boyfriend/
Girlfriend
(their parents)
45
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Digital Literacy
Tools/Applications/Systems
Digital Footprint
Vetting of Sources
Digital Literacy
Tools/Applications/
Systems
Vetting of
Sources
Digital
Footprint
46
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Digital Impact
Digital Literacy
Delivery System
Technology has transformed
how children play and interact.
It has transformed the
workplace they will enter,
but it has not transformed
how we educate them.
47
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Gamification
Gaming is increasingly
being built based upon
brain research
48
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Gamification
Engaging
Gamification
Engaging
Personalized
49
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Gamification
Engaging
Personalized
Built on Growth Model
Gamification
Engaging
Personalized
Built on Growth Model
Tied to Standards
50
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Gamification
Engaging
Personalized
Built on Growth Model
Tied to Standards
Merging with Online Providers
The Military and
the Corporate
world are
increasingly
moving to game
technology for
training
51
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e-Sports
e-Sports Status
 Started in South Korea
 93 Million worldwide
watched e-Sports
42
(mostly online last year)
20
Million
Million
2012
2015
52
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e-Sports League of Legends
32
million watched World
Championship in October
e-Sports League of Legends
26.3
million watched game
7 of NBA Finals
53
6/17/2015
e-Sports League of Legends
5 $1 million each
Winners received
e-Sports
Trickled Down To Colleges
Scholarship Programs




Robert Morris
$19,000 annual scholarships
e-Sport Arena
5 hours a day
Club Programs
 450 colleges
 Harvard and Stanford
 64-team tournament (400 schools applied)
54
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Districts Need a Gamification,
Online, and Digital Literacy Policy
and Plan
Stride Academy
55
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Stride Academy/USNH
In Education we need to look to
gaming to see solutions
Source: Mechanical Grill
56
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Technology and information
systems have caused significant
structural changes in the
workplace and society. But we
have tried to standardize the
system rather than personalize
it.
Emerging Trends
Digital
College and Career Ready
57
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Emerging Trends
Digital
Career Ready
Demographics
Globalization
Emerging trends
Digital
Career Ready
Demographic
Globalization
Focus on Application
58
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Application Model
1. Knowledge in one discipline
2. Application within discipline
3. Application across disciplines
4. Application to real-world predictable
situations
5. Application to real-world unpredictable
situations
Emerging Trends
Digital
Demographic
Career Ready
Application
Rigor
59
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Emerging trends
Digital
Demographic
Career Ready
Application
Rigor
Data Analytics to Implement Growth Models
Personal Skills
Control
Do your schools need a
new initiative/program
OR
a lifestyle change?
60
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Take Control
Take Control of What?
61
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Plan
62