MARKETBEAT OFFICE SNAPSHOT DALLAS-FORT WORTH, TX Q1 2015 A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication ECONOMIC OVERVIEW The Texas economy continues to grow, but some metros are beginning to experience a deceleration, especially those where energyrelated jobs make up a large percentage of employment. The Texas Workforce Commission reported in March that the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) labor market grew 3.6% by adding 115,800 nonagricultural jobs over the last 12 months (317 net jobs per day). First quarter job growth was mixed with the largest gains in the leisure & hospitality, trade, transportation & utilities, and information sectors. The largest decrease occurred in the construction & mining sector, falling 4.7%, followed by professional & business services. The DFW labor market is slowly tightening with unemployment at 4.0%, the lowest level since April 2008 and well below the U.S. rate of 5.5%. OUTLOOK Overall market fundamentals continue to remain strong in DFW. The metro area has enjoyed healthy growth for several years, however uncertainty surrounding the price of crude oil and long-term interest rates are creating some headwind. Depressed crude oil prices are not expected to significantly impact the area’s real estate market at this point, as the local economy is diversified enough to weather any short-term shocks. However, companies that support those in the energy industry, especially small and mid-sized firms, face an unknown future, and that is beginning to affect leasing activity within those sectors. STATS ON THE GO Q1 2015 Y-O-Y CHANGE 17.8% 16.6% -1.2pp $20.73 $21.50 3.7% 3,998,424 2,877,634 -28.0% Overall Vacancy Net absorption remained relatively strong throughout Q1 as tenants occupied spaces leased in late 2014. Direct net absorption reached nearly 1.2 million square feet (msf), comparable to Q1’14 totals. Major tenants occupying space included State Farm, Nationstar Mortgage, SoftLayer, Richards Group, and Hilti. Leasing activity dropped 28% to 2.9 msf compared to this period last year with class A transactions accounting for 45% of the total compared to 54% in 2014. Major leases signed included GE Capital, NEC Corp, CEC Entertainment (Chuck E. Cheese), Huckabee, Top Golf, and Travelocity. Direct Asking Rents (psf/yr) YTD Leasing Activity (sf) $22.00 25.0% $21.50 20.0% $21.00 15.0% $20.50 10.0% $20.00 5.0% $19.50 Full-service asking rental rates across all classes were $21.64 per square foot (psf), an increase of 4.5% from Q1 2014. Class A asking rents were at an all-time high of $26.63 psf, rising 4.9% over the last year. Available sublease space grew to 1.4 msf with Wingspan, CompuCom, and Carlson subleasing nearly 0.5msf. Construction completions totaled 831,000 sf with State Farm’s first office tower at CityLine accounting for over half of that total. An additional 8.8 msf is currently under construction, 43% of which is pre-leased. $19.00 0.0% 2010 2011 2012 DIRECT GROSS RENTAL RATE 2013 2014 OVERALL OCCUPIER ACTIVITY 20.0 15.0 For more information, contact: Ryan Tharp, Director of Research +(1) 972 663 9649 ryan.tharp@cushwake.com 15.0 3.0 15.9 3.5 13.9 5.0 2.9 0.6 -5.0 12.3 1.6 0.0 13.0 5.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 15 -0.4 msf Over 4.3 msf of investment office properties traded hands with a total value of over $635 million in Q1. Two of the most prominent transactions were the sale of the Allstate Insurance building to Select Income REIT for $104.4 million ($236 psf) and Park Place on Turtle Creek to Piedmont for $46.6 million ($256 psf). Q1 15 DIRECT VACANCY RATE 10.0 INVESTOR FOCUS 12 MONTH FORECAST DIRECT RENTAL VS. VACANCY RATES psf/yr OCCUPIER FOCUS Cushman & Wakefield of Texas, Inc. 2101 Cedar Springs Road, Suite 900 Dallas, TX 75201 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge Q1 2014 2010 LEASING ACTIVITY ABSORPTION The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. © 2015 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DALLAS-FORT WORTH, TX SUBMARKET INVENTORY OVERALL VACANCY RATE DIRECT VACANCY RATE YTD LEASING ACTIVITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS YTD DIRECT NET ABSORPTION YTD OVERALL NET ABSORPTION OVERALL WTD. AVG ALL CLASSES GROSS RENTAL RATE* DALLAS CBD 26,651,220 21.8% 21.6% 281,248 454,500 0 258,337 258,337 $22.51 DIRECT WTD. AVG. CLASS A GROSS RENTAL RATE* $25.33 North Central 12,012,020 21.6% 19.6% 169,359 0 208,383 6,952 -231,629 $22.96 $ 26.49 Preston Center 3,425,870 9.6% 9.2% 27,094 190,000 0 (21,844) (21,844) $34.61 $37.65 Uptown/Turtle Creek 10,369,899 12.9% 12.2% 116,013 802,000 0 (19,761) (69,143) $31.00 $34.31 9,575,400 22.8% 22.3% 87,305 0 0 26,832 26,832 $14.62 $19.91 556,534 6.1% 6.1% 11,974 0 0 9,285 9,285 $14.53 N/A 18,180,082 23.3% 23.2% 319,067 0 0 21,244 24,975 $18.41 $ 24.76 3,084,526 30.7% 30.6% 34,617 0 0 (25,888) (25,888) $14.88 $ 16.96 Las Colinas 29,032,439 15.6% 15.3% 574,248 631,220 164,784 297,666 297,666 $22.20 $ 25.20 Far North Dallas 17,614,529 14.8% 14.3% 206,908 0 0 (40,052) (75,408) $21.44 $ 27.46 Far North Central 17,523,342 13.7% 13.4% 580,408 2,219,084 458,000 465,889 453,310 $20.04 $ 23.49 Mid Cities 7,862,479 19.8% 18.4% 112,580 0 0 -825 (48,407) $20.90 $ 28.50 Arlington 6,026,417 13.8% 12.5% 82,943 0 0 7,993 5,288 $17.52 $ 20.82 Far North Stemmons 3,788,818 6.6% 6.6% 18,947 230,964 0 (18,586) (18,586) $16.15 $ 20.80 490,374 19.2% 19.2% 5,512 0 0 1,499 1,499 $14.94 $ 21.70 1,207,051 8.4% 8.4% 7,187 0 0 600 600 $17.83 $ 34.30 16,845,743 15.9% 12.5% 63,817 3,952,041 0 91,646 (121,624) $28.46 $ 32.67 DALLAS SUBURBS 157,595,523 16.9% 16.1% 2,417,979 8,025,309 831,167 802,650 206,926 $21.29 $26.76 DALLAS TOTAL 184,246,743 17.6% 16.9% 2,699,227 8,479,809 831,167 1,060,987 465,263 $21.51 $26.44 11,658,902 10.1% 10.1% 135,475 0 0 90,615 90,615 $27.43 $29.66 East Fort Worth 2,291,748 6.1% 6.1% 11,393 0 0 (12,770) (12,770) $15.20 N/A North Fort Worth 3,854,046 15.3% 15.3% 10,000 357,214 0 46,407 46,407 $19.88 $ 24.81 South Fort Worth 2,834,151 2.0% 2.0% 10,396 0 0 0 0 $19.00 N/A West Fort Worth 2,939,731 4.3% 4.3% 11,143 0 0 289 289 $21.50 $ 24.90 FW SUBURBS 11,919,676 7.6% 7.6% 42,932 357,214 0 33,926 33,926 $19.34 $24.38 FORT WORTH TOTAL DFW TOTAL 23,578,578 8.9% 8.9% 178,407 357,214 0 124,541 124,541 $23.74 $28.70 207,825,321 16.6% 16.0% 2,877,634 8,837,023 831,167 1,185,528 589,804 $21.64 $26.65 Stemmons Freeway Oak Cliff LBJ Freeway Northeast Dallas Southwest Dallas East I-30 Corridor Legacy Frisco FW CBD * RENTAL RATES REFLECT ASKING $PSF/YEAR Cushman & Wakefield of Texas, Inc. 2101 Cedar Springs Road, Suite 900 Dallas, TX 75201 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge For more information, contact: Ryan Tharp, Director of Research +(1) 972 663 9649 ryan.tharp@cushwake.com The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. © 2015 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 MARKET HIGHLIGHTS SIGNIFICANT 2015 LEASE TRANSACTIONS SUBMARKET TENANT BUILDING CLASS Riverside Commons Las Colinas/DFW Freeport GE Capital A 148,270 Royal Ridge Center V Las Colinas/DFW Freeport NEC Corporation of America B 119,610 Granite Tower LBJ Freeway CenseoHealth A 65,516 Westway One Las Colinas/DFW Freeport CEC Entertainment (Chuck E. Cheese) B 55,260 Burnett Plaza Fort Worth CBD Huckabee A 44,580 Richardson Office Center Farn North Central Avnet B 36,560 Northpark Central North Central Expressway Top Golf A 36,220 Comerica Bank Tower Dallas CBD Bickel & Brewer A 35,580 SIGNIFICANT 2015 SALE TRANSACTIONS SUBMARKET BUYER PURCHASE PRICE / $PSF Allstate Insurance Building Las Colinas/DFW Freeport Select Income REIT $104,435,200/$236 443,450 Park Place on Turtle Creek Turtle Creek/ Uptown Piedmont $46,600,000/$256 182,000 3131 McKinney Turtle Creek/ Uptown Invesco $39,000,000/$257 151,740 Citymark Turtle Creek/ Uptown Bradford $38,900,000/$169 229,800 6000 Connection Drive Las Colinas/DFW Freeport Gramercy $36,419,245/$125 292,500 3900 North Dallas Parkway Legacy/Frisco Cinemark Holdings $26,200,000/$217 120,750 Richardson Commons – Building 1 Far North Central Gladstone $24,700,000/$160 154,380 The Offices at Valley Ranch Las Colinas/DFW Freeport Select Income REIT $22,657,080/$239 95,000 Willow Bend Center Legacy/Frisco CFT Developments $20,750,000/$169 123,000 SIGNIFICANT 2015 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS CityLine 3 SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT COMPLETION DATE Far North Central State Farm Q1 2015 458,000/100% 2801 North Central Expressway Turtle Creek/ Uptown Richards Group Q1 2015 250,000/100% 8840 Cypress Waters Boulevard Las Colinas/DFW Freeport Speculative Q1 2015 165,000/25% The Shops at Park Lane North Central Speculative Q1 2015 122,000/0% Preston Hollow Village Legacy/Frisco Conifer Health Solutions Q1 2015 65,800/24% SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION Toyota Motor Corp. SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT COMPLETION DATE Legacy/Frisco Toyota Q4 2016 1,787,000/100% State Farm Build-to-Suit (3 buildings) Far North Central State Farm Q2 2015 1,628,000/100% McKinney @ Olive Turtle Creek/Uptown Gardere Wynne Sewell Q3 2016 530,000/46% Raytheon Build-to-Suit Far North Central Raytheon Q4 2015 489,000/100% KPMG Plaza at Hall Arts Dallas CBD KPMG Q2 2015 454,500/59% 3200 Hackberry (Cypress Waters) Las Colinas/DFW Freeport 7-Eleven Q4 2015 325,000/100% Granite Park V Legacy/Frisco Speculative Q4 2015 306,200/17% Cushman & Wakefield of Texas, Inc. 2101 Cedar Springs Road, Suite 900 Dallas, TX 75201 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge For more information, contact: Ryan Tharp, Director of Research +(1) 972 663 9649 ryan.tharp@cushwake.com SQUARE FEET SQUARE FEET BUILDING SQUARE FEET (% LEASED) BUILDING SQUARE FEET (% LEASED) The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. © 2015 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved. 3