Competitiveness: A Korean Vision The ABCD Framework of K-Strategy Hwy-Chang Moon Professor of International Business Strategy Graduate School of International Studies Seoul National University cmoon@snu.ac.kr Contents Korea’s Development National Level Firm Level Existing Studies Review Criticism A New Approach ABCD Framework and Theoretical Background Case Studies Conclusion Implications Further Studies 2 Korea’s Economic Growth and Industrial Upgrade GDP per capita (US$) 25,973 (2013) WTO (1995) Capital Market Open (1992) Imp. Substitution Exp. Promotion OECD (1996) 21,590 (2007) 11,468 (1995) 1,042 (1977) 91 (1961) Source: Data (1960-2012): World Bank World Development Indicators; Data (2013): Korean Statistical Information Service. 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 3 Foreign Perspectives: Korean Companies Cannot Succeed? • POSCO: IBRD Report - In 1968, Korea should first develop labor-intensive industries before steel. - - Korea used a part of war compensation fund from Japan In 1986, Dr. Jaffe in the general meeting of International Iron and Steel Institute (IISI) - Koreans were beyond common sense • Samsung Electronics: Mitsubishi Report - Five reasons to fail - - Korea’s market size, related industries, social overhead capital, company size & technology A few Japanese companies helped - Semi-conductor VLSI tech from Sharp Corporation • Hyundai Motor Company: U.S. Consumer Report - The lowest rankings evaluated by U.S. consumers in the early 1990s - - Worst! Never buy again! Frequently cited at comedy shows - Junk! Toy! 4 Existing Studies on Korea’s Development Study Argument 1. Amsden (1989) • Learning existing Western technologies rather than innovation • Efficient government intervention policy in the optimal allocation of resources 2. Song (1997) • Outward, Industry, and Growth (OIG) strategy • Confucian ethic as an underlying basis for development • Land use, a family-planning program, savings and consumption behaviors 3. World Bank (1993) • Rapid physical and human capital accumulation • Government’s market-friendly policy 4. Cho (1994) • Abundance of good workers of high standard of literacy, discipline, and desire to grow • Vigorous entrepreneurship • Export-led growth strategy along with effective government development strategy 5. Toussain (2006) (1) government intervention, (2) US technical and financial support, (3) land reform, (4) transition from import substitution to export promotion, (5) authoritarian planning, (6) state control over banking sector, currency exchange, capital flows and product prices, (7) US protection, (8) education, (9) scarcity of natural resources 6. Mason (1997) • Slower rates of population growth favored investment in education and incentives for saving, which accelerated the economic development 7. Chang (2003) • The internal operations of Korean business groups and their role in the Korean economy • Financial crisis due to the failed adaptation to changing external environments by the business groups and Korean government 8. Eichengreen, Perkins, and Shin (2012) • • • • Learning and government policies for promoting economic growth Adaptation to the global economic environment Rapid shift of export structure to focus on high-growth products Export diversification 5 Conflicting Arguments between Studies Export-oriented Trade Policy Song (1997), Toussaint (2006) Korea’s economic success was due to its export-oriented trade polices Amsden (1989) vs. The content of institutional frameworks and the capacity to implement policies are more important. Industrial Policy and Structure World Bank (1993) Eichengreen, Perkins, and Shin (2012) The industrial policy of promoting several targeted sectors (e.g., chemical and heavy industries) had little apparent impact on industrial structure. The industrial policy played an important role for the transition from light to heavy industry in the early stages of Korea’s growth. vs. 6 Previous Studies and Porter’s Diamond Model 1: Amsden (1989) 2: Song (1997) 3: World Bank (1993) 4: Cho (1994) 5: Toussaint (2006) 6: Mason (1997) 7: Chang (2003) 8: Eichengreen et al. (2012) Government Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry • Chaebol: 1, 7 • OIG Strategy: 2 • Entrepreneurship: 4 Demand Conditions Factor Conditions • • • • • • • Fertility: 2, 6 Human capital: 2, 3, 4 Education: 5 Savings: 2 Land reform: 2, 5 Scarcity of natural resources: 5 New Confucian ethic: 2 • Intervention: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8 • 5-year plan: 4, 5 • Openness-orientation: 2, 5, 4, 8 • Global consumers: 8 • Export diversification: 8 Related and Supporting Industries • Institutions: 1, 8 • US technical and financial support: 5 • Protection by the US: 5 Previous studies explain subsets of the determinants of the diamond model. 7 The Diamond Model (Michael Porter) x x x x Y = β0 + β1 1 + β2 2 + β3 3 + β4 4 … • Factor Conditions - Basic - Advanced [Japan’s 輕薄短小 Technology] Rivalry Conditions • Demand Conditions - Size - Quality [Italy’s Footwear Industry] • Supporting Conditions - Cluster - Synergy [U.S.’s Silicon Valley] Factor Conditions Demand Conditions Supporting Conditions • Rivalry Conditions - Structure - Strategy [U.S. and Japan’s Auto Industry] 8 “What” vs. “How” Approach Existing Studies New Study “What” Approach “How” Approach • Superior resources - Cheaper labor - Higher technology • Focus on “input” factors • Static view • Similar resources - Similar labor cost, but HOW? - Similar technology, but HOW? • Focus on “process” factors • Dynamic view Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β4X4 … • “What” Approach: X1, X2, X3, X4 … • “How” Approach: β1, β2, β3, β4 … As the gap in “What” factors has been narrowing, the “How” approach becomes more important. 9 R&D Expenditure • • Nokia is losing ground despite spending $40 billion on research and development over the past decade— nearly four times what Apple spent in the same period And Nokia clearly saw where the industry it dominated was heading. But its research effort was fragmented by internal rivalries and disconnected from the operations that actually brought phones to market Source: Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2012, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304388004577531002591315494 10 The ABCD Framework 4 Factors 8 Sub-factors Speed AAgility Precision Learning (Imitation) BBenchmarking Global-standard CConvergence Mixing Synergy-creation Diligence DDedication Goal-orientation 11 The ABCD Framework: An Integration of Established and Emerging Theories Established Theories Emerging Theories Agility • Speed Early mover advantage Fast follower advantage (Economies of speed) • Precision Automation (from L-int to K-int) Process techniques with human touch (自働化) e.g., JIT, TQM, 6 sigma • Imitation [Resource-based view of the firm] Absorptive capacity (Economies of learning) • Global-standard Destructive innovation Incremental innovation e.g., Kaizan, creative imitation • Mixing [Specialization capability] [(Economies of scale)] Combinative capability (Economies of diversity) • Synergy-creation Related diversification (Economies of scope) Related & Unrelated diversification e.g., Chaebol, smartphone (platform strategy) • Diligence [Inspiration] Perspiration (Economies of hard-working) • Goal-orientation Unique positioning Continued growth after catch-up e.g., constructed crisis, extra commitment Benchmarking Convergence Dedication 12 The ABCD Framework: Theories and Cases Established Theories Emerging Theories Cases Agility • Speed Early mover advantage Fast follower advantage (Economies of speed) • Precision Automation Process techniques (自働化) e.g., JIT, TQM, 6 sigma • Imitation [Resource-based view of the firm] Absorptive capacity (Economies of learning) • Global-standard Destructive innovation Incremental innovation e.g., Kaizan, creative imitation • Mixing [Specialization capability] [(Economies of scale)] Combinative capability (Economies of diversity) • Synergy-creation Related diversification (Economies of scope) Related & Unrelated diversification e.g., Chaebol, smartphone [Inspiration (West)] Perspiration (East) (Economies of hard-working) Unique positioning Continued growth after catch-up e.g., constructed crisis, extra commitment Automobile Industry (Ford, Toyota, Hyundai) Benchmarking Steel Industry (US steel, Nippon steel, POSCO) Convergence Electronics Industry (GE, Sony, Samsung) Dedication • Diligence • Goal-orientation Economic Development (WEST: US, Europe) (EAST: Japan, Korea) 13 Agility = Speed + Precision A Agility Established Theories Emerging Theories • Speed Early mover advantage Fast follower advantage (Economies of speed) • Precision Automation Process techniques e.g., JIT, TQM, 6 sigma Fordism Speed, Cost • First to adopt mass production – economies of scale • Enhanced speed of production B C D Cases Automobile Industry (Ford, Toyota, Hyundai) Toyotaism Quality, Cost Hyundaism Speed, Quality, Cost • Higher productivity and quality through automation with human touch (自働化) • Appropriate in the stable market, but not in the emerging market • Higher production speed, tighter control on quality through on-site and 24hr monitoring • Growing confidence in quality • US: 10-year, 100,000-mile warranty 14 Benchmarking = Imitation + Global-standard Benchmarking Established Theories Emerging Theories • Imitation [Resource-based view of the firm] Absorptive capacity (Economies of learning) • Global-standard Destructive innovation Incremental innovation e.g., Kaizan, creative imitation A B C D Cases Steel Industry (US steel, Nippon steel, POSCO) US Steel Nippon Steel POSCO Dominated the world steel industry until the 1950s Dominated the world steel industry in the 1980s Became the world top company in the 1990s • Learned from US and Europe • Created combined blown converter • Increased efficiency and reduced unit consumption of raw materials • Learned from Japan and the West • Created FINEX • Increased cost efficiency and ecofriendliness • Learned from Europe • Created hot strip mill system • Produced a smoother sheet with more uniform thickness • • • Japan: The best student of the West Korea: The best student of Japan and the West Imitate, Improve, Innovate! 15 Convergence = Mixing + Synergy-creation A B Convergence Established Theories Emerging Theories Cases • Mixing [Specialization capability] [(Economies of scale)] Combinative capability (Economies of diversity) Electronics Industry • Synergy-creation Related diversification (Economies of scope) Unrelated diversification e.g., Chaebol, platform strategy Related Diversification • Developing new competence in new area (Broadening and deepening) • Extending existing competence in new area (Deepening and broadening) Sony Others 8% Energy Infrastructure 31% Finance 33% Finance 15% Music 6% Transportation 4% Electronics Healthcare 5% 13% Aviation 14% • Narrow diversification A few related and/or unrelated businesses GE Annual Report (2013) D (GE, Sony, Samsung) Unrelated Diversification General Electric C Samsung Imaging 11% Game 8% Service 28% Electronics 50% Mobile 18% Finance 9% Pictures 11% Devices 8% Entertainment 15% • Broad diversification A wide collection of related and/or unrelated businesses Sony Annual Report (2013) Construction & Engineering Chemistry 11% 2% • Dominant diversification One major core business taking up 50 – 80% of revenues, with several small related and/or unrelated businesses http://www.samsung.co.kr/main.do Samsung Annual Report (2013) 16 Dedication = Diligence + Goal-orientation Dedication Established Theories Emerging Theories • Diligence [Inspiration (West)] Perspiration (East) (Economies of hard-working) Unique positioning Continued growth after catch-up e.g., constructed crisis, extra commitment • Goal-orientation The U.S. • Protestant spirit - Frontierism for individual success Hard work, once America’s Spirit “The American idea that hard work was to be esteemed distinguished us from Europeans who admired their gentlemen of leisure. For us, hard work rather than idleness was the way to distinction.” –Lynne Cheney (April 6, 1993) http://www.aei.org/publication/hard-work-once-as-american-as-apple-pie/ Japan • Samurai spirit - Disciplinism for collective welfare Japanese working harder than Americans Japanese employees worked an average of 2,201 hours in 1990. That figure is about 300 hours more than the U.S. average. By comparison, the Japanese work about 550 hours more than workers in the former West Germany. - New York Times (February 7, 1992) http://www.nytimes.com/1992/02/07/news/07iht-work.html A B C D Cases Economic Development (WEST: US, Europe) (EAST: Japan, Korea) Korea • Saemaul spirit - Equalism for social mobility The World's Hardest-Working Countries “In South Korea, ranking first place, things are slowly moving toward the OECD norm after the Korean government introduced a five-day working week in 2004 for schools and companies with over 1,000 employees. But with the culture of hard work so deeply ingrained, change is slow.” - Forbes (May 21 2008) http://www.forbes.com/2008/05/21/labor-market-workforce-leadcitizen-cx_po_0521countries.html 17 Conclusion • The ABCD framework is not exclusive for Korea, and can be applied to other countries. • Different stages of economic development need different development strategies. Agility Benchmarking Convergence Dedication Less Developed Stage More Developed Stage Speed Precision Learning (Imitation) Global-standard Mixing Synergy-creation Diligence Goal-orientation • The usefulness of ABCD Framework 1) To suggest Korea for further development 2) To help other countries for efficient and sustainable development 3) To apply at various units of analysis: country, industry, firm and individual level 4) To apply at various areas: economy, society and politics 18