Pro…tability of Pay-what-you-like Pricing Jose M. Fernandez and Babu Nahata Department of Economics, College of Business University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292. emails jmfern02@louisville.edu; nahata@louisville.edu 1 Pro…tability of Pay-what-you-like Pricing In this paper, we analyze a pricing strategy where consumers choose their own price including zero. Our analysis shows that in this pay-what-you-like pricing strategy even though consumers have an option to free-ride, not all will free-ride and some pay a positive price. Even more surprising, we show that, under low marginal cost and for a low demand elasticity range, pay-what-you-like pricing can achieve higher pro…ts for the seller compared to uniform pricing. When price setting is costly and price discrimination is not feasible, the pay-what-you-like option can serve as an alternative method to practice a form of price discrimination that is similar to …rst-degree, but without incurring the cost associated with identifying consumer types. Keywords: pay-what-you-like pricing; price discrimination; microeconomics 1 Introduction Pay-what-you-like pricing (PWYL) allows consumers to choose their own price, including zero, and the …rm accepts whatever price is paid for a product or service. Although unorthodox, this form of pricing has existed for quite some time (e.g., village doctors and priests). It has recently gained more attention in the popular press after the British band Radiohead o¤ered their album In Rainbows to consumers on a pay-what-you-like basis in 2007. Between October 1-29, 2007, 1.2 million people worldwide visited the website and among those who downloaded the album, 38 percent worldwide and 40 percent in the U.S., willingly paid. Free-riders were as prevalent in the U.S. as in the rest of the world, but in the U.S. a paying customer paid $8.05 compared to $4.64 paid by his international counterpart.1 The success of the album In Rainbows encouraged other …rms to o¤er their products using this form of pricing. For example, the publisher of Paste magazine also adopted the same pricing policy 1 See http://www.inrainbows.com; and http://comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=1883; and the Wall Street Journal, October 3, 2007, p.C14. The band also included a $2.00 transaction fee. 2 and subscribers can pay what they like for a year’s subscription to the magazine. Today, we observe this pricing strategy among musicians, co¤ee houses, restaurants, theatres, and magazines, but the economic rationale for its use compared to more traditional forms of pricing has mostly remained unexplored. The two most relevant questions for both theoretical and empirical analyses related to PWYL pricing are: (1) what motivates consumers to pay when they have an option to free-ride?2 and; (2) recognizing that the PWYL option may possibly result in losses, what motivates the seller to o¤er such a pricing option?3 We provide some answers to both these questions based on a theoretical economic model supported by real life anecdotes. In the economics literature, such pricing strategies are analyzed as problems of multidimensional screening where information about willingness to pay is asymmetric (Rochet and Stole 2003). From screening considerations, PWYL pricing and bu¤et pricing (or ‡at-fee pricing) represent the two polar extremes. Under PWYL, the buyer decides how much to pay for a given quantity. The opposite is the case with bu¤et pricing, where the buyer decides how much to consume for a given …xed fee (Nahata et al. 1999) . Under bu¤et pricing, in spite of consumers having an option of unlimited consumption, they consume only a …nite amount. Similarly, under PWYL pricing, even with a free-ride option, not all buyers select to free-ride, as was the case with the Radiohead o¤er. Although not based on the traditional pro…t-maximization assumption, both types of pricing strategies can generate higher pro…ts than commonly used pricing strategies based on pro…t maximization. These strategies rely on consumer self selection. Consumers freely self-select the quantity consumed in bu¤et 2 On CNN’s American Morning, John Roberts asked the question to the owner of the Java Street Cafe in Kettering Ohio, who uses PWYL pricing: what prevents a customer to either free ride or pay a very low price? The owner responded, “...When someone’s at the counter and you say, you get to pay what you think is fair, very few people are going to take advantage of that situation.” (CNN March 17, 2009, http://www.cnn.com/2009/US/03/017/lippert.quanda/#cnnSTCText 3 Wall Street Journal (August 28, 2007, p. B8) reports that the motivation for the owner of Terra Bite Lounge in Kirkland, Washington for doing away with set prices was that PWYL pricing can be both pro…table and charitable way of doing business. Further, “marketing buzz such a scheme generates can help stand out from the pack.” 3 pricing and the payment under PWYL pricing. Historically, pay-what-you-like pricing has existed for certain types of services. For example, in most Indian villages, the village priest accepts whatever the host pays for many ceremonies he performs such as naming a newborn, performing a marriage, or other religious services. This tradition still continues. Doctors in rural India are still paid based on how much a patient can a¤ord. In the United States, it is common place to observe church parishioners practicing PWYL pricing when providing contributions (donations) to the church in support of the services/programs o¤ered by the church.4 In 2005, the New Yorker magazine reported that in the Village, a quite popular place for both the visitors and the residents of New York City, a restaurant named Babu used a menu without any price. After …nishing their meals consumers paid what they liked.5 The owner found that most consumers did pay, and some even paid considerably more than what the owner expected.6 There were also a few cases of free-riders. Eventually, the owner did switch to a menu with listed prices. On the other hand, since 1979, a small (maximum capacity of about 10 people) and exclusive Japanese restaurant, Mon Cheri, in an expensive area of Fukuoka City, Japan, has consistently maintained the PWYL pricing for dinners. The small and intimate environment of this restaurant together with personal interactions could be the reasons for this sustained use of PWYL pricing. Kim, Natter and Spann (2009) o¤er the …rst empirical study of PWYL pricing. Based on three …eld experiments in Germany, the authors report several interesting …ndings about consumers’responses to this form of pricing. In this study, three di¤erent sellers o¤ered three di¤erent products for sale and consumers could choose any price they like to pay, including 4 Some donations are made out of guilt. Gruber (2003) shows that religious attendance and religious givings are substitutes. 5 See Rebecca Mead, the New Yorker, March 21, 2005, for other details. Cabral (2000, p.185) also mentions a restaurant in London that does not list prices in the menu; and each customer is asked to pay what he or she thinks the meal was worth. Recently, many cafes and restaurant in the US have also adopted this practice. 6 Lynn (1990) argues that some customers in a restaurant pay more to avoid the impression of looking cheap. 4 zero. Although there was a wide distribution of payments made by consumers, surprisingly no one did free-ride and all consumers paid a positive price. Based on the study, the authors conclude that a consumer’s willingness to pay depends mainly on two factors: (i) an internal reference price for each consumer; and (ii) a proportion of consumer surplus a consumer is willing to share with the seller. Our analysis formally incorporates these two factors. Except for the above mentioned …eld study, we are not aware of any other empirical or theoretical analyses related to this particular form of pricing, although there is a vast body of literature on public goods. The striking similarity between the PWYL o¤er and the private provision of a public good is that in both cases no one can be excluded from consuming the good. In spite of this similarity, the two situations are very di¤erent. First, a public good will not be provided by the market unless there is some mechanism to pay for its provision. Certainly, this is not the case with the goods that are being o¤ered using PWYL option. Firms have an incentive to o¤er the good under both the PWYL option or use some other form of pricing. Second, the choice of PWYL is endogenous as the …rm compares the expected pro…ts with some other pricing strategy that is based on a pro…t-maximizing solution, for example, uniform pricing. No such pro…t incentive exists in the provision of a public goods. Kim et al. (2009) present several behavioral factors that may dissuade consumers from free-riding. Based on the literature from psychology, marketing, and experimental economics, they posit four factors a¤ecting consumers’decision to pay. The most common reason given in favor of paying, as opposed to free riding, is social-norms, which has also been considered as one of the reasons for tipping.7 The other factors that may dissuade free riding are: avoiding the appearance of looking cheap; fairness and reciprocity; and altruism.8 Further, based on the estimation results, the authors conclude that the …nal prices paid were in‡uenced by (a) 7 Tipping for services (e.g, taxi, waiter etc.) is not considered a social norm in Japan and hence tipping is almost non-existent in Japan. See also Conlin et al. (2003). 8 Kim, Natter and Spann (2009) survey the literature quite extensively. To conserve space, we avoid the duplication and urge the interested readers to refer to their paper and the references included. 5 fairness, (b) satisfaction, (c) market price awareness, and (d) net income (p. 53). Our main contribution is to derive the conditions under which PWYL pricing can achieve higher pro…ts than a pro…t-maximizing uniform price. We derive these conditions under two di¤erent sets of assumptions about consumer behavior: consumer guilt and repeat buyers. To the best of our knowledge, no such criteria for pro…t comparison has been put forward for PWYL pricing.9 In addition, we also explore how PWYL pricing becomes an attractive alternative compared to other pricing strategies when price setting is quite costly. Wernerfelt (2008) explains the practice of “class pricing” where many products within a “class” are priced the same (e.g., a dollar store) when costs of setting price of each good is quite signi…cant. Our conditions (Proposition 2) show that when consumers have some guilt from paying a price lower than some reference price; and the marginal cost is either zero or very small and the price elasticity of demand evaluated at the pro…t maximizing uniform (reference) price is within a narrow range (between one and two) PWYL can be more pro…table than uniform pricing. The rationale behind this result is simple and appealing. Under a uniform price, the maximum level of pro…ts occurs when the marginal cost of production is zero. At this price, the elasticity of demand equals its lower limit of one. Further, the linear demand case yields the special result that both the consumer surplus and the deadweight loss are equal to each other and each is one-half of the maximum pro…t. This signi…cant amount of deadweight loss cannot be captured as pro…ts using commonly observed and analyzed linear or nonlinear pricing strategies, especially in the presence of large degree of consumer heterogeneity. However, PWYL pricing creates an opportunity for eliminating the deadweight loss by sharing it between the consumers and the seller, thus making it pro…table for the seller. At the 9 As far as pro…tability of bu¤et pricing is concerned, several papers have argued that when the savings from the transaction cost (e.g., cost of monitoring the consumption etc.) can o¤est the cost of extra production then bu¤et pricing can be more pro…table than a pro…t-maximizing two-part tari¤. More formally, the criterion proposed states that if the total cost under two-part tari¤ exceeds the net total cost (total production cost less the savings from transaction cost) then bu¤et pricing is more pro…table than a two-part tari¤ (Proposition 1 in Nahata et al. 1999). 6 same time elimination of deadweight loss increases the consumer surplus for the existing consumers and creates surplus for those who were previously excluded from the market. For consumers who bought at the uniform price, the PWYL option (which allows them to pay even lower than the uniform price) are unambiguously better o¤ because their surplus will increase. But, because of loss in pro…ts from the existing consumers, the seller becomes worse o¤. On the other hand, the PYWL option opens up the market by now including those consumers who were previously excluded from the market under the uniform price. This opening up of the market creates an opportunity for both the seller and entrants to share the deadweight loss. These new entrants gain surplus by paying a price lower than their willingness to pay. The seller gains additional pro…ts from payments made in excess of the marginal cost. Compared to uniform pricing, the seller’s pro…t will be higher under PWYL if the pro…t earned from the elimination of the deadweight loss is large enough to o¤-set the revenue lost from existing consumers. The logic is similar under positive but still very small marginal cost (see Fig. 1). Thus, whenever PYWL pricing is pro…table, it is also Pareto improving. It is socially optimal when the marginal cost is zero, but under positive marginal cost because the total consumption exceeds the social optimal, it is not the …rst best outcome. If we ignore guilt, but instead consider that consumers are loyal to the …rm, then we can show that under su¢ ciently low marginal cost and a su¢ ciently high proportion of loyal customers PWYL pricing becomes a viable and pro…table alternative to uniform pricing. Generally, in a small community local …rm is frequented by many loyal customers and when in some cases the proportion of loyal customers is large enough, PWYL may become more pro…table. The PWYL option also allows …rms to practice price discrimination when it is typically considered infeasible. For example, when consumer heterogeneity is large and …rms cannot separately identify consumer types (or doing so is very costly), then uniform pricing becomes 7 the most appealing pricing option because screening consumers to practice either second- or third-degree price discrimination is infeasible. But, under uniform pricing the deadweight loss remains signi…cantly high compared to either second or third degree price discrimination. Since PWYL pricing cannot exclude consumers based on price, this option makes the potential level of market participation the highest. Further, since consumers choose how much to pay for the good or service themselves, the seller does not have to incur any cost associated with …nding potentially pro…table and at the same time easily implementable screening mechanism. Lastly, the payment schedules of these consumers mimics an indirect version of …rst-degree price discrimination. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. § 2 presents a model based on the assumption that consumers derive disutility from paying a price lower than some reference price and compares pro…ts under PWYL with uniform pricing. We extend the model by incorporating the cost of price setting. In § 3, we present another model based on repeated interactions between consumers and the …rm and obtain similar results. § 4 contains discussions and summarizes the results. 2 Model In this section, we present a game theoretical model considering “guilt” or “fairness” in a consumer’s utility function and demonstrate how guilt, resulting from paying below a known reference price, can make consumers pay even in the presence of a free-ride option (Proposition 1). Our Proposition 2 states the necessary conditions for PWYL pricing to generate higher expected pro…ts than uniform pricing. We extend the model by incorporating the costs of price setting. When price setting is costly, there is an incentive to use pay-whatyou like pricing when the market is small and/or pricing cost is large (Proposition 3). 8 2.1 Model with Guilt Traditional economic models view consumers as self-interested agents. Under PWYL pricing, these consumers would select a price of zero ignoring any cost these actions could impose on others. Yet, there is substantial evidence from the behavioral economics literature suggesting that consumers do care for the welfare of others (Thaler 1992; Camerer 2003) and of local …rms (Duncan and Olshavsky 1982). For this reason, we consider a model incorporating consumer guilt. Let there be N consumers in a market for a highly di¤erentiated good. Consumer i’s utility function is Ui = vi vi pi pi (pu (vi pi )2 vi pu pi )2 vi < pu (1) where vi is consumer i’s private value for the product, pi is the price paid by consumer i, pu is some reference price which is assumed to be equal to the uniform price, and the “loss” parameter price. captures the degree of guilt associated with paying a price below the uniform Consumers’ values are assumed to be distributed uniformly and have a support vi 2 [0; v]. Further, let G(v) = v v be the cumulative density function over consumer values. In our formulation, the …rst term in (1) captures a consumer’s surplus. The second term internalizes the loss from guilt and also highlights the importance of the reference price. In our speci…cation of consumer’s utility, the loss parameter is identical for all consumers (we relax this assumption later) and has a support self-interested when 2 [0; 1): A consumer is said to be = 0: A consumer experiences guilt when > 0; and she pays an amount less than the uniform price (or the private value), pi < min[vi ; pu ]. The cost of guilt is proportional to the additional amount of surplus received from paying below the uniform price. In the case of consumers who are previously excluded from the market, this cost is proportional to their gross surplus as they would have received a surplus of zero under the prevailing uniform price. Note, a consumer will never pay an amount greater than the uniform price (or their private value). If vi pu , then a consumer can always purchase the 9 product without guilt at the uniform price. If vi < pu ; then the consumer’s contribution cannot be greater than their willingness to pay, vi : 2.2 Structure of the Game The game is played in two stages. First, the …rm chooses a pricing strategy: uniform pricing or PWYL pricing. Second, consumers observe the pricing strategy and choose to participate. Under uniform pricing, all consumers with private values greater than the uniform price enter into the market and pay the uniform price, vi pu . Under PWYL pricing all consumers enter into the market and choose a price that maximizes their utility. We assume consumers make payment decisions independent of other consumers. They neither observe the private values of other consumers nor the …rm’s cost of production. The reason for this structure is that, in reality, consumers do not formally or informally cooperate with other consumers when making a purchase. Consumers simply observe the pricing options and make choices that maximize their utility. We seek a subgame-perfect equilibrium in pure strategies under asymmetric information: the …rm’s payo¤ is taken over the expectation of consumers’ strategies. The equilibrium of the game is found using backward induction. The …rm solves the consumer’s problem under both pricing strategies and then chooses the pricing strategy that yields the highest expected pro…ts. 2.3 Consumer Behavior Consumer behavior under uniform pricing is de…ned over a discrete strategy space. Consumers choose either to participate or remain out of the market. when vi Consumers participate pu and pay pi = pu : Regardless of the value of ; consumers do not experience guilt under uniform pricing as the reference price is equal to the uniform price. It is important to highlight the presence of consumers who have positive value for the good vi > 0, but are locked out of the market because vi < pu : If the …rm could price discriminate, then pro…ts would increase by including consumers whose values are greater than the marginal 10 cost, vi > c: Consumer behavior under PWYL pricing is de…ned in a continuous strategy space. All consumers participate in the market, but each consumer pays a di¤erent price, pi . The optimal contribution amount maximizes utility conditional on guilt. A consumer’s marginal utility with respect to price, pi ; is given by the following equation. @U = @pi 1 2 (pi (2) min [pu ; vi ]) = 0. The optimal price, pi ; which maximizes utility, is pi = pu vi 1 2 1 2 vi pu vi < p u (3) where pi is strictly increasing with respect to the guilt parameter, : From Equation (3) we state the following proposition. Proposition 1. In the presence of guilt, pay-what-you-like pricing results in free riding behavior or pi = 0 8 i when 1 2pu = . Consumers with private values vi 2 0; 21 always free-ride: Remark. The cuto¤ value represents the minimum level of guilt required in order to make positive contributions under PWYL pricing. In the presence of guilt, there still exists an incentive to free-ride. The participation constraint requires Ui 0. Given the functional form of consumer’s utility function, free-riders have positive utility when their private values are represented by vi 2 0; 1 : Among these consumers, those with vi < 1 2 and consumers with vi 1 2 will free-ride are better o¤ making a small contribution in accordance with Equation (3), but all consumers within this bound do participate as the minimum utility gained from free riding is zero. A …rm can e¤ectively stop free riding by requiring a minimum contribution equal to 1 2 . 11 2.4 Firm Behavior The …rm chooses between two pricing strategies: uniform pricing or PWYL pricing. Under uniform pricing, the …rm chooses a price, pu ; that maximizes pro…t. The expected pro…t function, E [ u] ; is E[ u] = maxN [1 G (pu )] (pu pu c) (4) F where c is the marginal cost of production and F is the …xed cost. The expressions for equilibrium price, quantity, and pro…ts under uniform pricing are well known and are given below. pu = v+c 8 i; q = N 2 v c 2v ; and u = N (v 4v c)2 F. (5) Note, the …rm’s strategy space is continuous as it chooses a single price on the support pu 2 R+ . In the case of PWYL pricing, the …rm’s decision is reduced to a discrete choice of entry or exit. The roles of the …rm and the consumer are reversed under PWYL pricing. Furthermore, the …rm chooses to relinquish its property rights for the good instead of selling those rights away. The expected pro…t function under PWYL pricing has the following form E[ where revenue, R = N P pwyl ] = E [R] cN (6) F pi ; remains uncertain and total costs are pre-determined as no con- i=1 sumer can be turned away. Having previously de…ned consumer behavior under PWYL pricing. The expected total revenue is: 2 6 6 E [R] = N 6[1 4| G (pu )] pu {z vi pu 1 2 } + G (pu ) | G 1 2 Z pu 1 2 vi {z vi <pu 12 1 2 G0 (vi ) G(pu ) G( 21 3 7 7 dvi .7 (7) ) 5 } The expected revenue function consists of two parts. The …rst term measures the revenue obtained from consumers who would have otherwise participated in the market under uniform pricing. Note that these consumers have di¤erent private values for the good, but each makes the same contribution. Furthermore, the amount paid cannot exceed the uniform price implying that PWYL pricing can only increase welfare for these consumers. The uniform price creates a lower bound on the utility function as no consumer can be made worse o¤ under PWYL pricing compared to uniform pricing. The second term in (7) accounts for the revenue obtained from those consumers who would not have been served with uniform pricing. Only consumers with private values in excess of 1 2 will contribute as the rest have an incentive to free-ride. Payments made by these individuals can be viewed as an indirect form of …rst degree price discrimination. Each consumer pays an amount which is a monotonic transformation of their true private values. Therefore, PWYL pricing allows a …rm to practice …rst degree price discrimination without the knowledge of consumers’ true willingness to pay. However, such pricing could become more costly as no consumer can be turned away. The expected revenue function simpli…es to E [R] = N h (4v 2pu 1)(2pu 8v 2 1) i where revenues are increasing both with respect to the uniform price, and guilt, 2.5 @E[R] @ = N 2 1 1 2v (8) @E[R] @pu =N 1 pu v 0; 0. Pro…ts Comparison In this section, we derive conditions to compare pro…ts under uniform and PWYL pricing in terms of three parameters namely the guilt parameter ; valuation v; and the marginal cost of production c such that PWYL pro…ts exceed pro…ts under uniform pricing. PWYL pro…ts dominate uniform pro…ts, pwyl > u; when the following inequality is satis…ed 13 N (4v 2pu 1) (2pu 1) 2 8v c F > N (v 4v c)2 F. (9) In order for this inequality to hold, the lower and the upper bounds on the guilt parameter can be founds as: 2v p 1 2c2 +4cv+6v 2 8vpu +4p2u < < 1: (10) Derivation is included in appendix. Substituting for the uniform price, pu = bound on v+c , 2 the above simpli…es to the following inequality 2v In essence, the bound on p 1 3c2 +2cv+3v 2 < < 1: (11) indicates that the level of guilt must increase with marginal cost for PWYL pricing to be more pro…table than uniform pricing. For this reason, PWYL pricing is less likely to be observed for products with a high marginal cost of production. The simple intuition is that as the marginal cost increases, the marginal pro…t loss from free-riders must also increase. Therefore the number of free-riders must decrease in order to compensate for this pro…t loss. Consumers with private values vi 2 0; 21 always free-ride. 1 2 c: Therefore, an The costs that free-riders impose on the …rm are equal to N Pr vi < increase in the guilt parameter ( ) is required to reduce the number of free-riders and o¤set the increase in marginal cost. But, when the uniform price increases, the required level of guilt needed for PWYL pricing to be more pro…table decreases. The uniform price (reference price) represents the opportunity cost of consumer in participating in the pay-what-you-like option. A higher uniform price has two e¤ects on consumers: (1) the opportunity cost of purchasing the product “guilt free” increases and; (2) at a higher uniform price more consumers are excluded from the market. These two e¤ects encourage the use of the PWYL in order to attract these consumers. In Proposition 2, we state the necessary conditions for PWYL pricing to be more profitable than uniform pricing. 14 Proposition 2. If pro…ts under pay-what-you-like pricing were to exceed the pro…ts under uniform pricing then: (i) the marginal cost c < v 3 or; (ii) the price elasticity of demand at the pro…t-maximizing uniform price in equilibrium must be less than 2 . PROOF. From the bounds on (Equation. 11), it is easy to see that as the marginal cost ap- proaches v3 , the minimum level of guilt for PWYL pricing to be more pro…table approaches in…nity c = v 3 =) will be satis…ed only when c < v3 : The = 1 . The upperbound on second part of the proposition follows from the Lerner’s Index which at the equilibrium pro…t-maximizing uniform price can be written as 1 = pu c , pu number) is the price elasticity of demand. Noting that pu = the price elasticity of demand where v+c 2 (de…ned as a positive and c < v3 , it follows that < 2: The results from this section can be explained by Figure 1. Pro…t under uniform pricing is the sum of Area I and Area II. Pro…t under pay-what-you-like pricing is Area II + Area III - Area IV. Therefore, the di¤erence in pro…ts is Area III - Area I - Area IV. If the marginal pro…t gained from the new entrants (Area III) is greater than the revenue lost from the existing consumers (Area I) and the associated cost due to expanding the market (Area IV), then PWYL pricing is more pro…table than uniform pricing. It is worth noting that (i) as guilt increases (an increase in ); Areas I and IV decrease but Area II increases allowing the …rm to capture more of the deadweight loss with an increase in consumer guilt; (ii) as marginal cost approaches zero, c ! 0; PWYL pricing o¤ers the Pareto e¢ cient outcome and there is no deadweight loss in equilibrium. This happens without incurring any cost for expanding the market (Area IV disappears). 15 Figure 1: Comparing pro…t if Area III - Area I - Area IV >0, then 2.6 pwyl > u. Costly Price Setting Thus far we have assumed that setting a uniform price or the use of any other pricing strategy is costless. However, an optimal price setting requires demand estimation which in turn requires market research. According to IBISWORLD, the US market research industry generated over $14 billion of revenue in 2009.10 The cost of pricing is very relevant in particular for experience goods or for launching a new product. For example, an aspiring musicians may have little or no information about their fans’willingness to pay, or the quality of their own product. Suppose consumers’ values are uniformly distributed v ! U (0; a), but a may take on only two values a 2 f1; 2g where Pr(a = 1) = :5 and Pr(a = 2) = :5: In this case, the …rm is uncertain about both consumers’valuations for the good and whether to serve high-demand consumers (a = 2) or low-demand (a = 1) consumers. Since it may be quite costly to determine the optimal price given the uncertainty about consumer values and the value of a, …rms may choose the less costly option of using PWYL pricing to 10 http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=1442 16 reduce uncertainty. Thus a potential source of savings associated with PWYL pricing is the reduction in the cost related to setting a price because now consumers, and not the …rm, bare the cost of pricing. We demonstrate this cost savings by allowing the …xed cost to vary between the two pricing options. In Equation (9) let the …xed cost associated with PWYL pricing be F = , where F is the cost of pricing . As in the previous section, we solve for the minimum level of guilt such that pwyl > u as a function of the marginal cost, consumer valuation v; the market size N , and the cost of pricing : Incorporating the cost of pricing reduces the minimum level of guilt for pro…tability and increases the likelihood of the use of PWYL pricing. The lower bound on is given by > 2v p 1 3c2 +2cv+3v 2 8v N . (12) Proposition 3. When price setting is costly then there exists an incentive to use paywhat-you like pricing when the market is small (low N) and/or pricing cost are large (high q 2 < 1.11 ). The upper bound on marginal cost is c < 3 v(vNN+6 ) v3 = c for Proof. See appendix. This result provides insight into why some of the …rms mentioned earlier use PWYL pricing. The exclusive restaurant in Japan is quite small (low N) thereby amplifying the cost savings associated with price setting. On the other hand, in the case of Radiohead, both consumer heterogeneity and the market size are quite large. Yet, PWYL pricing is adopted because both the costs of market research and the screening cost for price setting are signi…cant considering that music is an experience good (high ). These same cost savings could also a¤ect entry. market only if the expected pro…ts are positive. On the margin, a …rm enters into a One can argue that a …rm that would not have entered the market because a uniform price would have resulted in negative pro…ts 11 Note that @c @ =2 q v N (N v+6 ) > 0 and @c @N = N q 17 v N (N v+6 ) < 0. ( u < 0) may enter under PWYL pricing as the cost saving without market research may be signi…cant enough to result in positive pro…ts ( pwyl > 0). Further, PWYL pricing is an experiment for “learning.”A …rm could learn the demand for the product by observing the sequence of consumer payments. Recall that each payment is a monotonic function of the consumer’s true value. The …rm can deduce a consumer’s true value from her payment or use a Bayesian method to update beliefs on consumer’s willingness to pay. For this reason some …rms may abandon the PWYL option as they become more established and have learned the demand for their product. This may have been the case with the restaurant Babu in the Village that subsequently switched to a uniform price after initially practicing PWYL pricing. Our results and arguments are similar to those made for class pricing, which also attempts to reduce costs associated with pricing. Wernerfelt (2008) motivates the use of “class pricing” as a method to reduce the cost associated with selecting individual prices for similar products (i.e., one tuition fee for a variety of university classes). Class pricing is preferred in markets with a small number of buyers, a large number of product versions, and a small variance in costs. Class pricing and PWYL pricing share some of the same characteristics in reducing the cost associated with pricing within small markets (low N), but di¤er with respect to the ex ante di¤erence in demand. PWYL pricing is preferred when there is a great deal of consumer heterogeneity where as class pricing is preferred when there is little ex ante di¤erence in demand between versions. So far, we have assumed that every consumer has the same level of guilt or sense of fairness, : Dubner and Levitt (2004) show consumers have varying beliefs about guilt and/or fairness. The article describes payment di¤erences between employees who purchase bagels based on the honor system. In this case, high paid executives are less likely to pay than lower paid employees within the same …rm. For this reason, we relax the assumption of identical guilt among consumers. Instead assume Pr ( = 0) = 1 and Pr =b = : Adding uncertainty to the guilt parameter unambiguously decreases pro…t under pay-what- 18 you-like pricing, but does not a¤ect pro…t under uniform pricing. Expected pro…t under pay-what-you-like pricing is E h 2 i ( )pwyl = N 4 4vb 2pub 1 2 8vb 2pub 1 3 c5 F (13) where the …rm still serves the whole market, but revenues fall as the percentage of “guilt free consumers” increases. The minimum level guilt required for pay-what-you like pricing to be pro…table is b > 2v r 1 2N (v+c)2 8v +N (v c)2 N where @b @ < 0 for 2 (0; 1]: The minimum level of guilt must rise to o¤-set both the cost associated with expanding the market and the presence of two free-rider types: (1) strategic free-riders who have vi < free-riders caused by 3 1 2 ; and (2) random who are located over the entire distribution of private values, vi : Model of Loyal Consumers In addition to the earlier model based on guilt, we now present a model that considers repeated interactions between the consumer and the …rm. In this model payments are made as a result of a dynamic game played between the …rm and its loyal consumers. Loyal (repeat) customers have an incentive to support PWYL pricing as this pricing mechanism o¤ers a higher level of life time consumer surplus than paying uniform prices in every period. Although the underlying assumptions for these two models are very di¤erent, both models predict a similar payment behavior on the part of consumers. We derive the necessary conditions under which PWYL pricing gives lower expected pro…ts than uniform pricing. Let there be N in…nitely lived consumers with a single period utility function given as: Ui = vi pi : Suppose the proportion of repeat (loyal) buyers is repeat buyer has a discount factor 2 [0; 1] and each 2 [0; 1): A consumer maximizes their lifetime utility by selecting a contribution sequence. If the …rm chooses a uniform price, then each consumers 19 has a lifetime utility Vu (vi ; ) = vi 1 pu (14) where a consumer chooses to participate if vi > pu : The consumer’s value function under pay-what-you-like pricing for repeat buyers is V (vi ; ) = vi pi 1 s.t: E [ pwyl ] The above expression simpli…es to V (vi ; 0) = vi E[ u] . (15) pi for non-repeat consumers ( = 0). Therefore, a non-repeat consumer always has an incentive to free-ride under the PWYL option. Consider the following game. In the …rst stage, the …rm chooses a particular pricing strategy: uniform or PWYL. In the second stage, consumers choose to participate and, in the case of PWYL pricing, choose how much to pay. The game is repeated subject to the …rm earning positive pro…ts. If the …rm’s pro…t under PWYL pricing are less than the pro…t under uniform pricing, then the …rm will punish consumers by choosing the uniform price in all future periods. Given the setup of the game, consumers will choose a payment schedule such that the …rm is indi¤erent between uniform and PWYL pricing. Consumers capture the entire surplus in this game, but there exists an in…nite number of possible payment schedules that satisfy the constraint E [ pwyl ] E[ u] in equilibrium.12 Further, the payment schedule must satisfy the following consumer participation constraint. vi pi 1 vi + min (vi 1 pu ) ;0 . (16) Consumers will not choose to free ride under PWYL pricing if their lifetime utility when committing to a positive price exceeds lifetime utility where consumers free ride in the …rst 12 For example, two potential equilibria result in either dividing the net surplus (after payment) among all consumers evenly or giving all the net surplus to one consumer. At that point, no consumer can gain additional surplus without triggering the …rm to use uniform price, thereby making everyone else worse o¤. 20 period and pay the uniform price in all subsequent periods. The participation constraint can be simpli…ed to pi = min [vi ; pu ] (17) pi where the maximum contribution amount, pi ; leaves the consumer indi¤erent between freeriding and committing to a positive price. The maximum amount a consumer is willing to pay is strictly less than her private value, but is proportional to min [vi ; pu ]. As the discount factor decreases consumers become less patient and the incentive to free-ride increases. Since the marginal bene…t of future consumption decreases with the discount factor, consumers are less willing to cooperate with the …rm over the long-run. If we consider the discount factor to represent the probability of a repeat visit in the future, then contributions are increasing as consumers become more loyal. This theoretical result is supported by empirical evidence in the tipping literature. Conlin, Lynn, and O’Donoghue (2003) …nd that repeat consumers, on average, provide larger tips than one-time consumers. Now we can obtain a necessary condition which when satis…ed makes pay-what-you-like pricing always less pro…table than uniform pricing. First, we …nd the expected maximum level of revenue that can be generated in the absence of free riding. From Equation (17) ; if consumers have private values vi > pu ; then the maximum contribution is pi = pu , otherwise pi = vi : The expected revenue function is given in Equation (18) where the …rst term in the brackets is the average payment made by consumers with private values vi > pu and the second term is the average payment by all other consumers. max E [R] = N [1 G (pu )] pu + G (pu ) Z 0 = N pu 1 pu 2v . pu vi g (vi ) dvi G (pu ) (18) Next, we compute expected pro…ts under both pricing strategies, then solve for the value of the discount factor such that uniform pricing is strictly more pro…table than PWYL, 21 pwyl < u: Proposition 4 states the conditions. Proposition 4. Given the uniform price pu = v+c . 2 Pro…ts under uniform pricing are higher than pro…ts under pay-what-you-like pricing when: (i) < 2(v+c) (3v c) ; or (ii) v 3 < c; 8 ; < 23 ; 8 and 8c: or (iii) Proof. See appendix. The magnitude of marginal cost again becomes critically important for the adoption of PWYL pricing. A su¢ ciently low marginal cost and a high proportion of loyal consumers can make PWYL pricing a viable pro…table alternative to uniform pricing. The intuition is supported by what is observed in real life. For example, PWYL pricing is not practiced by …rms serving mainly tourists because the proportion of repeat buyers is very low. On the other hand, PWYL pricing may turn out to be a pro…table strategy in small communities where consumers have a preference for locally owned businesses (high and/or high ). Finally, incorporating pricing cost relaxes the restriction on the discount factor. As stated in Equation 17, contributions are function of the discount factor. The …rm can accept lower payments from consumers (due to lower ) when the loss in revenue is o¤-set by a corresponding increase in the cost associated with pricing. The upper bound on the discount factor is given by13 < 2(v+c)2 =N (3v c)(v+c) (19) where where =N is the average amount of savings per consumer Again, the likelihood of PWYL pricing increases as the market size decreases (low N ) and/or pricing cost increase (high ). The savings resulting from forgoing the cost of pricing allows the …rm to use PWYL pricing while accepting lower payments. 13 For derivation see appendix 22 4 Conclusions and Discussion Our analysis provides a theoretical economic framework that incorporates both the seller and consumers behavior under the pay-what-you-like option. The model shows why a …rm may allow consumers to choose their own price and why consumers would choose to pay even when they have the option to free ride. The more pro…table choice between PWYL or uniform pricing for the …rm depends on consumers behavior. When consumers derive disutility because of guilt from paying lower than the uniform price then a …rm can exploit the presence of guilt to expand the market by o¤ering PWYL pricing. By doing so, the …rm can generate higher pro…ts compared to uniform pricing when marginal cost is small relative to consumers’valuations and the demand elasticity is low. Our result provides support for the empirical …ndings of Kim et al. (2009) by demonstrating that in equilibrium not all consumers free-ride as was observed in their …eld study and also in many other examples mentioned. We extend the model by explicitly including the cost of price setting and show that PWYL pricing can provide a signi…cant source of savings when the cost of setting a price is high due to market research or uncertainty. In small markets, the savings in setting price can motivate the use of PWYL pricing and class pricing. These two strategies di¤er in the ex-ante di¤erence in demand. Class pricing is preferred when ex-ante di¤erences in demand are small, but PWYL pricing is better suited when there is more consumer heterogeneity. We further show that even in the absence of any guilt, PWYL can also be a pro…table strategy when consumers are loyal and there are repeated interactions between consumers and the …rm. In this case, when the discount factor is high, the proportion of loyal consumers is greater than 2/3, and the marginal cost is low, PWYL pricing may be sustained as an equilibrium. Under these conditions, consumers can maximize their lifetime utility by providing a positive payment instead of facing a uniform price in every period and they will choose a payment schedule such that the …rm is left indi¤erent between PWYL pricing and uniform pricing. Further, the net-surplus gained by using PWYL pricing can be distributed 23 among all the consumers resulting in a Pareto improvement. Our theoretical model o¤ers some reasons as to why this unorthodox form of pricing is rarely observed. First, this pricing strategy requires a very low marginal cost relative to consumers’valuations. Second, the elasticity of demand at the pro…t maximizing uniform price must be within a narrow range (between one and two). Third, unlike a market serving mainly tourists, the market for this pricing option must contain a captive set of consumers who are driven either by loyalty or guilt. For this reason, PWYL pricing is most likely to be observed for experience goods with small market size. If either the good or the seller of the good is not su¢ ciently di¤erentiated (e.g., art, music, etc.), then pay-what-you-like pricing is not suited and the …rm should compete in prices with other …rms. But, if the product is su¢ ciently di¤erentiated or consumer heterogeneity is high, then PWYL pricing facilitates a voluntary segmentation based on consumers’self selection facilitating an indirect form of …rst-degree price discrimination without incurring the cost such practice generally requires. Willig (1978) shows that a uniform price that exceeds marginal cost is Pareto dominated by a nonlinear outlay schedule. He constructs a particular schedule that is preferred to the uniform price by all consumers and the seller. We extend this consumer by showing that PWYL schedule which is not a nonlinear outlay schedule can also can be Pareto dominating compared to uniform price. Although the set of nonlinear Pareto-superior schedules is much bigger, a nonlinear outlay is not necessary for Pareto domination. Further, under the PWYL option, Pareto domination occurs in spite of free riding by some consumers and the seller not covering the marginal cost of all additional quantities consumed. This interesting result is the novelty of our paper. Finally, we o¤er some suggestions for the future direction of empirical research. Although conclusions from both models …nd similar restrictions on marginal cost and derive consumers’ payments as monotonic transformations of their private value for the good, the underlying assumptions on consumer behavior are quite di¤erent. Future empirical work should focus on designing a method that can separately identify the reasons for consumer payments, guilt 24 or loyalty, and in particular, the relative weights consumers place on these two factors when making payments. Appendix. Proofs Derivation of equation (11) In the guilt model, pwyl u; 2pu (4v N > when the following inequality is satis…ed. 1) (2pu 1) c 2 8v F > N (v 4v c)2 F This equation can be simpli…ed to (4v 2pu 1) (2pu 8v 1) 2 c> (v c)2 4v as …xed cost and market size are the same in both settings. We next solve the inequality with respect to the guilt parameter, : The solution is found using Mathematica. roots are found for @ 1 @c : 1 = 2 = 2v p 1 2c2 +4cv+6v 2 8vpu +4p2u 2v+ p 1 2c2 +4cv+6v 2 8vpu +4p2u @ 1 @c < 0: Note, the di¤erence between pro…ts pwyl u is decreasing with @ ( pwyl u) @ respect to marginal cost, < 0 and increasing with respect to guilt, @pwyl > 0: @c where > 0 and Two Therefore, the second root of the guilt parameter, 2 ; is internally inconsistent as it implies @ ( pwyl u) > 0: We conclude 1 is the unique solution. that @c Proof of Proposition 3 The proof to proposition 3 is similar to the derivation of Equation (11) : We modify Equation (9) to re‡ect the cost of pricing N (4v 2pu 1) (2pu 8v 1) 2 25 c + > N (v 4v c)2 where …xed cost under PWYL pricing is F = F : We next set the uniform price pu = v+c 2 and solve the inequality with respect to the guilt parameter, : The solution is found using Mathematica. Two roots are found for where @ 1 @c > 0 and the solution. @ 1 @c 1 = 2 = : 2v p 1 3c2 +2cv+3v 2 8v N 2v+ p 1 3c2 +2cv+3v 2 8v N < 0: As in the derivation of Equation (11) ; the root 1 is select as The bound on marginal cost is found by solving the denominator of 1 for zero. In this case, the upper bound on marginal cost for PWYL to be more pro…table is 2 c< 3 which simpli…es to c < v 3 r v (vN + 6 ) N v 3 when the cost of pricing is zero, = 0: Proof of Proposition 4 If consumer’s private values vi > pu , then the maximum she is willing to pay is vi + (vi 1 pi (1 ) vi + (vi pu pi vi pi 1 vi where vi pu ) pu ) pu vi vi pi 1 vi pi (1 vi pi ) vi Next, we …nd the maximum possible revenue in the absence of free-riding. The expected 26 revenue function is max E [R] = N [1 G (pu )] pu + G (pu ) Z pu vi 0 = where pu = v+c 2 pu 2v N pu 1 is the uniform price. Therefore, PWYL expected pro…ts take the form E[ pwyl ] = N pu 1 = N pu 2v v+c 2 cN F 3v c 4v and we compare these pro…ts to the case of uniform pricing, expression E [ g (vi ) dvi G (pu ) pwyl ] < u simpli…es to < 2(v+c) : (3v c) cN u F = N 4v < 2 3 c)2 F: The v 3 the bound Note, as marginal cost c ! on the discount factor approaches in…nity regardless of the value on proportion of loyal buyers (v . Further, if the then for all values of marginal cost and the discount factor the inequality will be satis…ed. Let marginal cost c = 0; then the bound simpli…es to If < 2 3 < 2 3 : then the bound is always greater than 1, the discount factor cannot be greater than 1. Therefore, for all relevant values of marginal cost and the discount factor the bound is satis…ed. Derivation of equation (19) We incorporate pricing cost into the repeat consumer game via the …rm’s pro…t function. We adopt the notation of F = F where F is …xed cost under PWYL pricing and represents the cost of pricing. The …rm’s expected pro…t function under PWYL pricing is then E[ pwyl ] = N v+c 2 3v c 4v and we compare these pro…ts to the case of uniform pricing, expression E [ pwyl ] < u simpli…es to < 2(v+c) N (3v c) cN u F = N 4v (v c)2 F: The : Note, as marginal cost c ! v 3 the bound on the discount factor approaches in…nity regardless of the value on . Further, if 27 the proportion of loyal buyers < 2 N 3 then for all values of marginal cost and the discount factor the inequality will be satis…ed. Let marginal cost c = 0; then the bound simpli…es to < 2 N 3 : References Cabral, L. 2000. Introduction to Industrial Organization. MIT Press, Cambridge. Camerer, C. (2003). Behavioral Game Theory: Experiments on Strategic Interaction. Princeton University Press, Princeton. Conlin, M., Lynn, M., T. O’Donoghue. 2003. The norm of restaurant tipping. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 52 297-321. Dubner, S., S. D. Levitt. 2004. What the bagel man saw. New York Times Magazine June 6. 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