The Drive for Large Size Size has its advantages in capitalism. Firms desire to become big for three reasons: • Large size often brings a larger absolute level of profits, which gives the firm a competitive advantage and pleases the owners of the firm. • As a firm becomes larger it possibly achieves lower average production costs. This gives it a competitive advantage (if they lower their price) or permits it to use a larger markup (if it doesn’t lower its price). In either case, the firm likely earns higher profits. • Once a firm becomes large within an industry it sometimes gains some control over the industry price. In such cases, a firm might be able to achieve higher markups and, so, higher profits in the industry. The attainment of large size gives a firm a competitive advantage. This is a main reason that large—indeed giant—firms dominate the U.S. industrial landscape. Firms can become big in two ways: (1) the firm becomes bigger by expanding within an industry and (2) the firm becomes bigger by expanding into new and different industries. ADVANTAGE 1: GREATER LEVEL OF PROFITS This motivation for becoming large is the most direct and obvious. Say that two firms earn the same profit rate, say 10% return on sales. If firm 1 has $10,000,000 in sales while firm 2 has $50,000,000 in sales, then firm 1 will earn $1,000,000 in total profits while firm 2 will earn $5,000,000 in total profits. 14 142 The Drive for Large Size Firm 2 will likely have a competitive advantage because it has more resources available to spend trying to become a better competitor. For instance, firm 2 will have more resources to spend to seek a cheaper way of producing their product, to implement an affective advertising campaign, and to find improvements in their product. Although firm 1 might be lucky, or more talented, then firm 2, firm 1 will be at a competitive disadvantage due to the fact they have less profit to plow back into the firm. Even if, against the odds, firm 1 does find a way to gain a competitive advantage over firm 2, firm 2 might have the option of simply buying up firm 1. This outcome might be possible given the greater financial resources available to the larger firm 2. Large size often brings with it larger absolute level of profit. This larger absolute level of profit brings with it a competitive advantage by giving a larger firm more options and more resources. For this reason alone firms desire to become large. ADVANTAGE 2: ACHIEVING ECONOMIES OF SCALE In many industries, as a firm grows in size they find they are able to produce a unit of their good or service at lower average cost. Often, as they continue growing larger and larger, they find they find their average cost of production falls still further. This situation—large size brings lower average costs—is labeled as “economies of scale.” Table 1 presents data that illustrates economies of scale. As a firm produces more output (increasing from 10 to 100 to 1,000) the cost of production for the firm increases. This is seen in the second column. Yet the average cost for the fall falls as output increases: costs increase more slowly than does output and, so, average cost falls for the firm. Table 1 Economies of Scale Output Cost 10 100 1,000 $20 $150 $1,100 Average Cost $20/10 = $2.00 per unit $150/100 = $1.50 per unit $1100/1000 = $1.10 per unit The Drive for Large Size 143 GRAPHICAL PORTRAYAL OF ECONOMICS OF SCALE Figure 0-1 illustrates economies of scale. The size of the firm is indicated on the horizontal axis. The size of the firm here is indicated by the percentage of industry output the firm produces. In this diagram, as the firm becomes larger the industry as a whole remains the same size—and, so, produce a larger percent of industry output—the firm moves to the right on the diagram. When economies of scale exists, as the firm grows in size the firm achieves lower and lower average production costs. Figure 0-1 Dollars A verage cost of production 25 18 14 5 10 15 Percent of Industry Output In this diagram, a firm that produces 5% of industry output produces each of these units at an average cost of $25. As the firm grows to produce 10% of industry output, its average cost falls to $18. And, as the firm expands still further to producing 15% of industry output, it achieves an average production cost of $14. Larger size is often associated with lower average production costs. ADVANTAGE OF ECONOMIES OF SCALE If economies of scale exist within an industry, larger firms gain a competitive advantage over smaller firms. Firms have an incentive, then, to become large. Table 2 takes the output and average cost information from the table above. It is assumed that the large firm (producing 1,000 units) selects a markup of $0.40. In this case the price for the product the firm sells is $1.50. 144 The Drive for Large Size Table 2 Advantages of Economies of Scale Output Average Cost Markup Price 10 $2.00 -$0.50 $1.50 100 $1.50 $0.00 $1.50 1,000 $1.10 $0.40 $1.50 This $1.50 price, which gives the large firm the $0.40 markup, does not permit the medium-sized firm (producing 100) to earn any profit. It costs the medium-sized firm $1.50 to produce the good and it must use a markup of 0. The smaller firm is in an even more difficult position: it if matches the $1.50 price of the large firm it will lose $0.50 per unit sold. The large firm has a major competitive advantage over the smaller firms in the industry. This will most likely permit the larger firm to drive the smaller firms out of business. THE CAUSES OF ECONOMIES OF SCALE Why do some industries experience economies of scale? Among the most important causes of economies of scale are the following. Ability to Use Mass Production Machinery. When a firm is small, it often produces its good or service using all-purpose tools. For instance, someone who paints one small room a week likely uses standard brushes and rollers. The painter could buy a paint sprayer, but the cost of such an item is not worth it to someone who does so little painting and the time to clean a paint sprayer after it is used—say, 30 minutes—is too great to use it for such a small job that might only take 2 hours to complete. But as this painter paints, say, the inside of 5 complete houses a week she might shift to using a paint sprayer. This will permit them to paint much faster then she could with standard brushes and rollers. She can justify using an expensive paint sprayer because she does so much painting and now that she does big jobs the clean up time for a paint sprayer is no longer a concern: she might paint 7 hours a day and a 30 minute cleanup time is relatively small compared to the 7 hours work time. If the painter now does really big jobs that take many days, she might not clean the paint sprayer until the end of a two-day job. This would be a further reduction in the importance of setup and cleanup time for the painting business. The Drive for Large Size 145 As the volume of production grows for a firm, it often finds it worthwhile to shift to using specialized, expensive, faster machinery. The firm also finds that setup and cleanup times become less important. This leads to lower average costs of production. Often, large machinery that is specialized to produce some product is called “mass production” machinery. It often makes sense for large firms to use mass production machinery. As they grow large, the firm can start using more and more mass production machinery. Table 0-3 shows the average production costs associated with two types of machinery: general tools and mass production machinery. The general, allpurpose tools are inexpensive ($200) while the mass production machinery is expensive ($5,000). The mass production machinery, however, has much lower materials and labor costs ($2 versus $4). The table also shows the average production costs for two different levels of output 100 and 10,000. As can be seen, the best choice of a small production (100 units of output) is to use the general, all-purpose tools. It gives the lowest average cost for 100 units of output. But once the firm gets large, it makes sense to switch to the mass production machinery. The high cost of the machine is spread out over many units and the lower materials and labor costs benefit the firm greatly. Table 0-3 General Tools Mass Production Machinery Output level 100 100 10,000 Machine Cost $200 $5,000 $5,000 $4 each or $2 each or $2 each or $400 $200 $20,000 Total cost $600 $5,200 $25,000 Average Cost $6 $52 $2.50 Materials and labor cost Greater Size of Production Facility Can Lead to Lower Average Costs. As firms grow in size, they often achieve lower average production costs. Consider a business that makes chocolate milk by mixing milk, sugar, and chocolate power in a big container shaped in a cylinder. As the firm grows and 146 The Drive for Large Size shifts to using a larger cylinder, they will find the average cost of production might fall. The reason for this is the geometry of containers. You can generally double the volume of a container without using twice the materials going into the larger container. For instance, the volume of a cylinder is π r2 h, where π is 3.14159, r is the radius of the bottom of the cylinder, and h is the height of the cylinder. The material needed to build a cylinder, on the other hand, is equal to 2 π r (r + h). Table 0-4 shows information on two different cylinders. Cylinder 2 has twice the volume of cylinder 1 (62.8 cubit feet versus 31.4 cubit feet). The last column of the table indicates that cylinder 2 requires less than 1.5 times the surface material than cylinder 1. That is, cylinder 2 has twice the volume but uses only 1.5 times the materials. Cylinder 2 might be able to be built for only 1.5 times the cost of cylinder 1 although cylinder 2 is twice the size. Table 0-4 Cylinder Number Material Needed Volume Radius Height 1 31.4 ft3 1.00 ft 10 ft 69.1 ft2 2 62.8 ft3 1.41 ft 10 ft 101.1 ft2 A business making chocolate milk using cylinder 2 will have a lower average cost of production then a business that uses cylinder 1. This geometric factor plays a part in industries such as steel, chemical production, petroleum refining, and, of course, chocolate milk. It can play a part in any industry that uses containers in the production process. In such industries, economies of scale are often seen. The power requirement for larger machinery often grows more slowly than the size of the machinery used. Quite often, if you double the size of a compressor, a turbine, a furnace, and air conditioner, a refrigerator, or some piece of power equipment, the energy requirements of the large unit is less than 2 times the smaller. This also can contribute to economies of scale as a production facility grows in size. More Productive Workers. As a firm grows from a relatively small size to a larger size they often benefit from greater labor productivity. For instance, as The Drive for Large Size 147 the volume of production increases the people doing the job gain more experience in their jobs. They likely become more proficient and, so, more productive. Someone who paints one room a year is likely much less proficient in their job than someone who paints 200 rooms a year. Further, as a business grows in size they often hire more workers. As more workers are hired this might permit workers to specialize more narrowly. This sometimes is associated with greater worker productivity and lower average production costs. For instance, if one person runs a bakery she must cook the bread, sell the bread, do the books for the firm, and so on. But as the bakery expands, then one person can specialize in baking the bread, another person can specialize in selling the bread, and another person can keep the books. Each of these specialists, as they do a narrow range of tasks intensively will likely be more proficient in their tasks than the single worker was in any of these individual tasks before the firm expanded. Increased labor productivity is often important a small firm grows in size. However, if it is not clear that as a larger firm expands from, say, 1000 to 1500 workers the firm will benefit noticeably from increased productivity due to still further specialization. The original 1000 workers were likely already highly specialized and further specialization will be unlikely to bring further benefits to the firm. Less Costly Workers. Suppose that it requires 5 tasks to product a shoe. Suppose also that two of these tasks are easy, one is moderately difficult, and two are hard. Suppose that in one small establishment a single worker does each of these tasks. The level of production (and the level of the labor force) is too small to permit specialization. This worker is skilled in that he can do all five tasks—including the difficult one—well. Suppose, further, that each task requires an hour to be completed. If a skilled worker receives $20 per hour, it will take $100 in labor costs to produce a shoe. Table 0-5 below illustrates this situation. Tasks 1 and 5 are easy and require only low skill. Task 2 requires a medium level of skill. Tasks 3 and 4 require high skill to be completed. If a skilled worker does all these tasks—see the “High Skill” row in the table—the labor cost is $100. Table 0-5 148 The Drive for Large Size Task: 1 2 3 4 5 Labor Cost Skill level Low Medium High Hig h Low High Skill $20 $20 $20 $20 $20 $100 Mixed Skill $10 $15 $20 $20 $10 $ 75 Work Force: If the firm expands enough so that it can now benefit from specialization of labor. It is able to hire someone do each of the individual tasks alone. But task 1 only requires a worker with low skills and, so, the firm will not be willing to hire a skilled worker to do this task. It will, instead, hire a low skilled—and lower cost—worker to do this task. If a low skilled worker is paid $10 per hour, a medium skilled worker is paid $15 per hour, and a high skilled worker is paid $20 per hour, then the firm can now produce a shoe more cheaply than before. As firms expand in size, they can often break down the tasks required to make their product so that they can hire many unskilled workers to perform certain tasks that were once performed by a skilled worker. Average costs will fall, then, as a firm expands. Reduced costs of inputs. Large firms generally buy a greater amount of inputs. For instance, a large hardware store—such as Home Depot—likely buys more nails than a smaller hardware store such as once found in many towns. Because Home Depot buys a massive number of nails they are likely to buy their nails at lower cost than a much smaller hardware store. A nail supplier that has a chance to sell to Home Depot will likely offer Home Depot the lowest possible price the nail producer can offer. A smaller hardware store likely is forced to buy nails by paying the (higher) price found in the nail suppliers catalog. THE DECLINE IN COSTS GENERALLY STOPS BEYOND SOME LEVEL OF OUTPUT As a firm grows from small to large it often benefits from economies of scale. But as a firm continues to grow still larger, it often finds that average production costs stop falling beyond some point. Most often firms find that beyond some (high) level of output average production costs start to rise once again. The Drive for Large Size 149 Figure 0-2 illustrates this pattern of average production costs. Costs fall up until the firm reaches 20% of industry output and then remain relatively constant at $12 until about 60% of industry output. After 60% of industry output average costs start to rise once again. Figure 0-2 Dollars Average cost of production 12 Minimum Efficient Scale 20 60 Percent of Industry Output The first output level at which the firm achieves the lowest average production costs—20 percent of industry output—is labeled as “minimum efficient scale.” This is the level of output a firm must achieve if it is to survive in competition with larger firms. Firms that account for less than 20% of industry output—the minimum efficient scale—have higher average production costs and so are at a competitive disadvantage. Firms producing more than 20% of industry output have no average cost advantage over any other firm that produces 20% or industry output. The 20% level of output is that necessary to effectively compete in the industry; still larger size, however, does not confer a further production costs advantage. The implication of the existence of, say, a 20% minimum efficient scale is that at most 5 firms can survive in the industry. If you need 20% of industry sales to survive than only 5 firms can achieve this level of output at the same time. It is possible, of course, that fewer than 5 firms might exist in the industry if some have more than 20% of industry sales. 150 The Drive for Large Size Why do production costs stop falling at one point? And why might they start growing beyond a certain level of output? As a small firms expands, producing a greater volume of output and moving to larger production facilities, it introduces mass production machinery, workers gain in skills by become more proficient at what they do, workers become more and more specialized, and the firm benefits from the fact that volume grows faster than materials costs for many types of containers. But at some point the firm has introduced all know mass production machinery, workers have become as skilled as possible, workers have specialized as much as needed to achieve higher efficiency, and the largest containers available are used. Further, as firms grow beyond a certain point management has a hard time managing such a large business entity, workers might start to feel that the firm has grown too large and impersonal (and their productivity suffers), machinery becomes so large it is very complex and breaks down easily, and a large, inefficient bureaucracy might develop within the firm. If these things happen, then average production costs will stop falling at some point and will most likely start to rise once the firm grows beyond a certain level of output. ECONOMIES OF SCALE AND MINIMUM EFFICIENT SCALE IN THE REAL WORLD Studies have shown that for a vast number of industries minimum efficient scale is achieved very low levels of industry output. In some industries, minimum efficient scale is achieved by an output equal to 0.2 percent of industry output. Many industries have minimum efficient scales at around 2.0 percent of industry output. A few industries have higher minimum efficient scales, such as 15 percent of industry output. But these industries are uncommon. This suggests that most industries have average costs of production curves that look something like Figure 0-3. They achieve minimum efficient scale very quickly and as long as firms achieve, say, a 2 percent share of industry production they can compete effectively as far as average production costs go. Figure 0-3 The Drive for Large Size 151 Dollars Relatively constant average cost Average cost of production Average cost starts to increase again 12 Minimum Efficient Scale 2 20 Percent of Industry Output In this case, most industries have room for perhaps 50 to 100 equal sized competitors all producing at the average production cost of $12. This would make most industries relatively competitive. But, many firms have grown far beyond the minimum efficient scale in their industry. And, most industries have far fewer firms competing in the industry than minimum efficient scale would suggest would be possible. In some industries with a minimum efficient scale of 2% of industry output, perhaps only 3 firms are significant competitors. Each is far larger than needed for being competitive as far as average production costs go. ADVANTAGE 3: ATTAINMENT OF MARKET POWER If an industry contains a large number of small firms, none of the firms has much control over the price. Firms are all stuck with the highly competitive market price set by the competitive process within the industry. As firms in an industry grow larger—and as the number of firms within the industry falls—the forces of competition weaken. If firms continue to grow still larger and larger and as the number of firms within the industry falls in parallel—as the industry becomes more consolidated—at some point some of the larger firms within the industry gain some control over the industry price. I will discuss the details about how firms might accomplish this in a later chapter on oligopoly. For now, we will just take it for granted that if a few large firms dominate an industry these firms have greater control over the industry price than do a large number of small firms. 152 The Drive for Large Size As an individual firm in such a more consolidated industry achieves still larger size, it gains somewhat more say in the process by which the industry sets its price and is more likely to be able to push its own price upwards. The size of a firm—more precisely the percent of industry output a firm produces—and the price it is able to charge its customers is related to one another. Figure 0-4 illustrates this size–price relationship. At very low levels of industry sales, firms are stuck with the (low) competitive price. As a firm grows larger and as the industry becomes more concentrated, the firm is sometimes able to achieve a price that rises above the competitive level. Figure 0-4 Dollars Price 13 7 Percent of Industry Output In this figure, a firm with 7% of industry sales or less is stuck selling their product at a $13, the competitive price level. Once the firm grows beyond this level of output (and as other firms achieve a similar level of output), the price they are able to set grows above the competitive level of $13. One example of a drive for large size based on the attainment of market power is provided by this story: The Drive for Large Size 153 When Tyco International Ltd. Bought a company that makes the plastic hangers that Kmart Corp. uses to display clothing, the retailer’s executives weren’t very concerned. Then Tyco snapped up Kmart’s other hanger supplier. Then two more hanger companies. Fearful that Tyco could corner the market, Kmart started funneling much of its $40 million hanger accounts to one of the remaining independents, a small New York outfit called WAF Group Inc. Last fall, Tyco also gobbled up WAF. Kmart now has little choice but to accept a recent Tyco price increase for most of its supply, says Bill Adams, a Kmart divisional vice president.1 A firm sometimes achieves greater market power if it expands into other, but related, industries. For instance, soft drinks and some other beverages such as bottled water and orange juice are substitutes. A soft drink firm can gain more market power in the soft drink industry if it buys up producers of bottled water and/or orange juice. By coming to control the prices of substitute products the soft drink producer is better able to raises prices in the soft drink industry. SUMMARY Large size brings two potential consequences (in addition to larger aggregate profits): it might lead to lower production costs and it might lead to higher prices. Both of these might lead to higher profits. Figure 0-5 shows both these potential consequences at the same time. This figure combines together Figure 0-3 (the average cost of production curve) and Figure 0-4 (the price – output curve). This diagram is intended to be typical, but each firm is somewhat different than the industry illustrated in the figure. Figure 0-5 Dollars 13 12 Average cost of production 1 Mangers, inimum Efficient Scalet Need to Go to Tyco International,” Wall Street “For Plastic H You Almos Journal, February 15, 2000. 2 7 20 Percent of Industry Output 154 The Drive for Large Size Four regions can be identified. From 0% to 2% of industry output, a firm gains an average production cost advantage. Average costs fall while the price remains at the competitive level, $13. Profits grow for firms growing from being very small to a 2% of industry output level. As a firm grows from about 2% of industry output to 7% of industry output, profitability for the firm remains about the same as the industry price and average production costs remain relatively constant. From 7% of industry output to about 20% of industry output, average production costs remain about the same but the price starts to rise as the firm gains some control over industry prices. Beyond a 20% level of output, the firm experiences increasing average production costs due to the too large size of the firm (from the point of view of productive efficiency). But the increase in control over its price makes it profitable for the firm to expand beyond the 20% level of output. The price increase is larger than the average production cost increase and, so, it is profitable to expand beyond the 20% level. Market power is more important for the bottom line beyond a 20% level of output than production efficiency. Firms have an incentive to grow large. In the figure above, lower production cost quickly are achieved. Firms often try to grow still larger, even when the larger size leads to somewhat larger average costs. The reason is simple: larger size is often associated with higher prices for firms. The reward of higher prices is greater profit. What effect does this have on consumer? Consumers most likely might benefit up until minimum efficient scale is reached. But if firms grow beyond that size, it is possible that prices and profits grow for firms while consumers pay more than otherwise they would if the firm has less market power (that is, the firm was smaller). Large size is profitable for firms but not necessarily beneficial for consumers in all situations.