Trend Analysis BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE DEPARTMENT YAHOO VS GOOGLE Which strengths & weaknesses emerge from financial accounting analysis ? Period 2004-2007 29/11/08 I. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS OVERVIEW GENERAL INFORMATION ON WEB INDUSTRY Basic applications and guidelines making Internet possible have existed for nearly twenty years. However, the principles were launched in 1991 at the CERN -European center for Nuclear Research - through the publication named the new World Wide Web project. Currently, the Internet penetration level is around 22%1 worldwide and web content may represent more than 988 exabits in 20102. This amount of data, equivalent to Europe’s surface all covered by 2 meters of DVD, confers to search engines and data organization systems a key role in the development of new communication ways. Both Yahoo and Google have initially focused their politics in developing high-value search technologies. Currently Yahoo and Google represent 72,8% of Internet requests3. -Figure 1- -Figure 2- 1 http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm Source: IDC-EMC 2008 - Figure 1. 3 Source: Comscore 2008 - 44,1% for Google and 28,7% for Yahoo - Figure 2. 2 2 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 II. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS 1. GENERAL OVERVIEW In 2004, Yahoo’s total shareholders funds and liabilities were 7,100 millions USD4, around 2,5 times more these of Google -2,900 millions USD-. Both companies’ incomes were similar5, 3,189 millions USD for Google and 3,574 for Yahoo6. However, in 2007, the situation became completely opposite. During the 2004-2007 period, if Yahoo’s total shareholders funds and liabilities grew to 9,500 millions USD, Google’s jumped up to 22,700 millions USD. During the same period, Yahoo’s incomes doubled at 6,970 millions but Google’s incomes rose up to 16,594 millions USD. The two companies’ benefits followed the same diversion. They remained stable or in reduction for Yahoo from 839 millions USD to 660 millions USD but again jumped from 399 millions to 4,200 millions USD for Google. -Figure 3- -Figure 4- 4 Source: Orbis database - Appendix 1. To be analyzed after. 6 Please look at the figure 3. 5 3 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 2. BALANCE SHEET For both companies, balance sheet’s increase don’t depend on liabilities, stable at around 10% of the total value, but on shareholders funds. These equities increased in Yahoo’s capital from 9,180 to 12,230 million USD but they literally jumped from 3,300 to 25,340 USD in Google’s one. These massive shareholders investments in Google are probably one of Google’s first and strongest strengths against Yahoo. From 2004 to 2007, ventures had a strong belief in the Google business model based on both high-traffic for web search operations and massive advertising development. On the opposite, until 2002, Yahoo used search technology from Google7 and developed its fully automatic advertising platform Panama in 20058 when Google was already ready for it9. This competitive lack of technological innovation in web search and this two years delay in the new web advertising market could explain these differences in the balance sheet. Moreover, through the evolution of assets of both companies, the use of funds cash remained different. If the operating revenues of both companies were equivalent in 200410, the fixed assets11 in Google were far much lower than these from Yahoo, respectively at 619 million USD and 5,087 million USD. Besides, the working capital used to be 279 millions USD for Google and 432 millions USD for Yahoo. At that time, the employee number12 was 3021 people for Google and more than 7600 for Yahoo. This last point is confirmed while calculating the SG&A of both companies during this period13. In 2004, the difference in SG&A between Google and Yahoo was already of 588,1 millions USD. It represented 16,4% Yahoo’s incomes during that period. From that date to 2007, the difference between the two SG&A remained stable at approximately 500 millions USD whereas the incomes diverged to more than 100%. 7 Patent property of the Stanford university until 2011 - Source: Google. Source: Yahoo’s 2005 annual report. 9 Source: Google’s annual report 2005. Google was providing its advertising platform to AOL/Time Warner. 10 3,200 millions for Google and 3,600 millions for Yahoo - Source: Orbis. 11 Please look at Figure 4. Source: Orbis. 12 Please look at the figure 4. 13 Source: http://finance.google.com. 8 4 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 During the period, if the profits for Yahoo’s employees grew from 59 to 156 thousand USD, they remained below Google’s profit ranged between 215 and 338. In these conditions, Google progressively benefited from a huge amount of investments from funds and also from anoptimized internal structure. The corresponding asset repartition allowed Google to dispose of a high level of cash, 14,2 billions in 200414 versus 2 billions and for the same incomes than Yahoo. This massive amount of cash in the Google balance sheet is the second most important strengths for Google against Yahoo. As written in every Google’s annual report since 2001, acquisition of small and innovative companies in the Silicon Valley is part of the Google business model. Between 2004 and 2007, the purpose was to get fast and relatively costless innovations15 in order to become big enough for the new growing web worldwide market. Double-Clic, Urchin (Google Analytics), adWords and dMarc Broadcasting are the most famous acquisitions. By opposition, Yahoo had in 2004, and still now, strong teams in computer development and also in entertainment -Yahoo Finance, Yahoo News,…-, providing them less available cash for external growth. When Google was nearly doubling its traffic in 2006 after the acquisition of YouTube16 and therefore the number of advertised pages, Yahoo was still developing specific payable services for a nearly already existing market. 14 And 14,22 in 2007 Since 2001 and the arrival of Eric Schmidt as Google’s CEO, Google bought around 50 different companies every year. YouTube, Double-Click, Urchin (now Google Analytics) are the most known of these acquisitions. 16 Video broadcasting. 15 5 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 3. P&L SHEETS 17 As exposed previously, in 2004, the Google and Yahoo operating revenues were similar. Besides, both EBIT were equivalent respectively at 0,640 billions USD for Google and 0,688 for Yahoo. However, differences occurred at that time in the net incomes, Yahoo being at 0,8 billions USD versus Google at 0,4 billions. -Figure 5- -Figure 6- These differences were mostly due to the financial revenues. Between 2004 and 2006, Yahoo sold different no-strategic businesses for nearly 400 millions USD in 2004 and 960 in 2005. During the same period, the cash brought by Google’s “Success brings success” circle produced increasing financial revenues up to 560 millions USD in 2007. This divergence in investment/development in core businesses for Yahoo is the third important weakness of this company versus Google. During the 2004/2007 period, Yahoo sold several non-strategic businesses for a total amount of 1,4 billions USD18. These sells affected the composition of Yahoo’s assets precisely when Google, enforced by its advertising cash machine Double-click, was enforcing the range of its assets and diversifying its free service -Google earth, Gmail,…- precisely to catch Yahoo and MSN audiences. In 2007, Google’s net incomes were 4,2 billions USD compared to 0,6 billions for Yahoo. After the sales of all the non-strategic equity securities, Yahoo’s financial revenues dropped down to 10 millions USD. However, it is not possible to conclude that Yahoo focused only on finances during the period. 17 18 Please read appendix #2. Please read the annual reports from 2004 to 2007. 6 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 According to P&L sheets19, the Research and Development costs for both companies were similar until 2006. In 2004, the investment amounts were respectively at 390 milllions USD for Yahoo and 370 millions for Google. In 2006, the difference was only of 400 millions USD. -Figure 7- 4. CASH FLOW 20 The last important point concerns the cash flow. If the operating cash flow follows precisely the evolution of both companies as described above, both cash flows operations remained structurally different from 2005 to 2007. During the period, Yahoo’s investing cash remain negative from (821,930) millions USD to (572,502) millions so was Google’s cash been ranged between (3,358,193) millions USD and (6,899,150) millions. These negative values and differences are mostly due to short-term financial investments. The reason is that between 2005 and 2007, both companies invested their excess of cash in debt instruments of the U.S. Government and in high-quality corporate issuers. These products were classified as marketable debt securities. If all these securities remained liquid investments within a period ranged between three and twelve months21, they produced large amounts of interest. However, for Yahoo, this program was also enabled by a common stocks repurchase policy. According to this last point, the Yahoo’s financing cash flow fluctuated between (250,600) in 2005 and (1,422,008) in 200722. 19 Please read http://finance.google.com/finance?fstype=ii&q=NASDAQ:YHOO. Please read appendix #2. 21 Please read the Yahoo Annual’s report 2007 page 62 and followers. 22 Yahoo’s annual report 2007. Repurchases of common stock between 2005 and 2007 (387,735), (1,782,140), (1,585,909) 20 7 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 If the reasons are not easily visible in Yahoo’s financial accounts, this important repurchase represented more than 20% of the incomes in 2007 and also more than the company’s benefits23. Without doing any speculation about management rules in Yahoo versus Google’s, according to the cash flow sheets, it seems that Yahoo has been passing through a financial management between 2004 and 2007, whereas Google was mostly driven, or able to be moved, by technological researches and acquisitions. Google (USD) 2005 2006 2007 From operating 2,459,422 3,580,508 5,775,410 From investing (3,358,193) (6,899,150) (3,681,589) From financing 4,370,830 2,966,398 403,067 Total 3,877,174 3,544,671 6,081,593 From operating 1,711,383 1,371,576 1,918,899 From investing (821,930) (193,681) (572,502) Fron financing (250,600) (1,094,624) (1,442,008) Total 1,429,693 1,569,71 1,513,930 Yahoo (USD) -Figure 8- 23 According to what I read in the annual reports, it is not sure that Yahoo had understood the threat of Google in 2006 and the possible emerge of MSN. 8 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 III. CONCLUSION - YAHOO VERSUS GOOGLE If the past four years revealed Google’s experience in managing growth, 2006also revealed the breaking point between Yahoo and its competitor. During the studied period, Google made the acquisition of Double-click, the first worldwide fullautomatic advertising system, when Yahoo was loosing its partnership with MSN on advertising platform. Currently, Google dispose of a high amount of cash available for new external growth on international markets and strong competition with Microsoft. However, Yahoo disposes of less cash and has a high level of working capital and SG&A. However, the possible internal optimizations are probably high while benchmarking Yahoo with Google. It was probably Microsoft’s analysis while proposing a public offer on Yahoo. Finally, it seems important to ponderate Google’s success on Yahoo’s strategy. If in 2007, Google reached a important success in the online advertising, it seems useful to underline that: Its competitive advantage in cost structure is being reduced by the progresses of Yahoo. In 2007, the profit per employee24 difference was 69 thousand USD versus nearly 280 thousand euros in 2004. Google incomes are essentially linked to direct and low-cost on-line advertising on its search engines whereas Yahoo seems to offer more qualified ads on diversified highvalue platforms –Flickr, Alibaba,…-. 24 Please read Appendix #3. 9 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine - 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 - Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 APPENDIX 1 - COMPARED BALANCE SHEETS BALANCE SHEET 2004 2005 2006 2007 Fixed Assets-Google Fixed Assets-Yahoo Intangible Fixed Assets-Google Intangible Fixed Assets-Yahoo Tangible Fixed Assets-Google Tangible Fixed Assets-Yahoo Other Fixed Assets-Google Other Fixed Assets-Yahoo 619886 5 087 726 193887 3 031 623 378916 531 696 47083 1 524 407 1270742 7 382 301 277683 3 430 172 961749 648 898 31310 3 303 231 5433504 7 763 466 1891960 3 374 379 2395239 955 295 1146305 3 433 792 8046668 8 992 019 2745964 4 613 527 4039261 1 211 942 1261443 3 166 550 Current Assets-Google Current Assets-Yahoo Stocks-Google Stocks-Yahoo Debtors-Google Debtors-Yahoo Other Current Assets-Google Other Current Assets-Yahoo Cash & Cash Equivalent-Google Cash & Cash Equivalent-Yahoo 2693465 4 090 475 0 9001071 3 449 533 0 13039847 3 750 142 0 17289138 3 237 722 0 311836 479 993 2381629 3 610 482 2132297 3 511 975 687976 721 723 8313095 2 727 810 8034247 2 560 834 1322340 930 964 11717507 2 819 178 11243914 2 601 399 2162521 1 055 532 15126617 2 182 190 14218613 2 001 474 Total Assets-Google Total Assets-Yahoo 3313351 9 178 201 10271813 10 831 834 18473351 11 513 608 25335806 12 229 741 Shareholders Funds-Google Shareholders Funds-Yahoo Capital-Google Capital-Yahoo Other Shareholders Funds-Google Other Shareholders Funds-Yahoo 2929056 7 101 446 267 1 416 2928789 7 100 030 9418957 8 566 415 293 1 470 9418664 8 564 945 17039840 9 160 610 309 1 493 17039531 9 159 117 22689679 9 532 831 313 1 527 22689366 9 531 304 43927 896 048 0 750 000 43927 146 048 107472 1 061 367 0 749 995 107472 311 372 128924 879 004 0 749 915 128924 129 089 610525 396 462 0 Current Liabilities-Google Current Liabilities-Yahoo Loans-Google Loans-Yahoo Creditors-Google Creditors-Yahoo Other Current Liabilities-Google Other Current Liabilities-Yahoo 340368 1 180 707 1902 745384 1 204 052 0 1304587 1 473 994 0 2035602 2 300 448 0 32672 48 205 305794 1 132 502 115575 70 291 629809 1 133 761 211169 109 130 1093418 1 364 864 282106 176 162 1753496 2 124 286 Total Shareh. Funds &Liab.-Google Total Shareh. Funds &Liab.-Yahoo 3313351 9 178 201 10271813 10 831 834 18473351 11 513 608 25335806 12 229 741 Consolidated data Non Current Liabilities-Google Non Current Liabilities-Yahoo Long Term Debt-Google Long Term Debt-Yahoo Other Non-Current Liabilities-Google Other Non-Current Liabilities-Yahoo CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 610525 396 462 APPENDIX 2 - COMPARED PROFIT & LOSS P & L ACCOUNT 2004 2005 Operating Revenue-Google Operating Revenue-Yahoo Sales-Google Sales-Yahoo 3 189 223 3 574 517 3 189 223 3 574 517 6 138 560 5 257 668 6 138 560 5 257 668 10 604 917 6 425 679 10 604 917 6 425 679 16 593 986 6 969 274 16 593 986 6 969 274 Costs of Goods Sold-Google Costs of Goods Sold-Yahoo 1 320 494 1 342 338 2 283 276 2 096 201 3 653 088 2 675 723 5 681 427 2 838 758 Gross Profit-Google Gross Profit-Yahoo 1 868 729 2 232 179 3 855 284 3 161 467 6 951 829 3 749 956 10 912 559 4 130 516 Other Operating Expenses-Google Other Operating Expenses-Yahoo 1 228 537 1 543 598 1 838 006 2 053 742 3 401 833 2 808 990 5 828 159 3 435 103 640 192 688 581 2 017 278 1 107 725 3 549 996 940 966 5 084 400 695 413 15996 415 125 5954 -20 488 10042 496 443 650 234 1 185 024 121038 967 327 -3361 -343 408 124399 1 435 857 2 141 677 2 543 582 412063 -3 527 -48981 -17 251 461044 157 034 4 011 040 1 098 000 559205 1 730 -30375 -22 740 589580 154 011 5 673 980 849 424 Taxation-Google Taxation-Yahoo 251115 437 966 676280 767 816 933594 458 011 1470260 337 263 P/L after Tax-Google P/L after Tax-Yahoo 399 119 747 058 1 465 397 1 775 766 3 077 446 639 989 4 203 720 512 161 Net Income-Google = Net Income-Yahoo 399 119 839 553 1 465 397 1 896 230 3 077 446 751 391 4 203 720 660 000 Operating P/L [=EBIT]-Google Operating P/L [=EBIT]-Yahoo Financial Revenue-Google Financial Revenue-Yahoo Financial Expenses-Google Financial Expenses-Yahoo Financial P/L-Google Financial P/L-Yahoo P/L before Tax &Extr. Items-Google P/L before Tax &Extr. Items-Yahoo 2006 2007 11 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00 APPENDIX 3 - RATIOS RATIOS 2004 Profitability ratios Return on Share.Funds (%)-Google Return on Share. Funds (%)-Yahoo Return on Capital Empl.(%)-Google Return on Capital Empl. (%)-Yahoo Return on Total Assets (%)-Google Return on Total Assets (%)-Yahoo Gross Margin (%)-Google Gross Margin (%)-Yahoo EBITDA Margin (%)-Google EBITDA Margin (%)-Yahoo EBIT Margin (%)-Google EBIT Margin (%)-Yahoo Cash Flow / Turnover (%)-Google Cash Flow / Turnover (%)-Yahoo 2005 2006 2007 22,2 17 21,9 n.a. 19,63 13 58,60 62 24,73 22 20,07 19 17,17 26 22,74 30 22,49 n.a. 20,85 23 62,80 60 37,65 23 32,86 21 28,66 38 23,54 12 23,36 n.a. 21,71 10 65,55 58 38,87 17 33,48 15 34,41 14 25,01 9 24,36 n.a. 22,4 7 65,76 59 36,47 12 30,64 10 31,16 11 1,07 0,64 1 0,62 1 0,71 1 Structure ratios Current Ratio (x)-Google Current Ratio (x)-Yahoo Liquidity Ratio (x)-Google Liquidity Ratio (x)-Yahoo Shareholders Liqui. Ratio (x)-Google Shareholders Liqui. Ratio (x)-Yahoo Solvency Ratio (%)-Google Solvency Ratio (%)-Yahoo Gearing (%)-Google Gearing (%)-Yahoo 7,91 3 7,91 3 66,68 8 88,4 77 1,57 13 12,08 3 12,08 3 87,64 8 91,7 79 1,14 12 10 3 10 3 132,17 10 92,24 80 0,76 10 8,49 1 8,49 1 37,16 24 89,56 78 2,69 4 Per employee ratios Profit per Employee (Th.)-Google Profit per Employee (Th.)-Yahoo Incomes per Employee (Th.)-Google Incomes/Emplo. (Th.)-Yahoo Working Capital/Emplo. (Th.)-Google Working Capital/Emplo. (Th.)-Yahoo Total Assets/Emplo. (Th.)-Google Total Assets/Emplo. (Th.)-Yahoo 215 156 1056 470 92 57 1097 1 208 377 260 1081 536 101 66 1808 1 105 376 96 994 564 104 72 1731 1 010 338 59 987 487 112 61 1508 855 Operational ratios Net Assets Turnover (x)-Google Net Assets Turnover (x)-Yahoo 12 CYBION SA 8, rue Lamartine 75009 Paris Phone: +33 (0)1 53 32 46 00 Fax: +33 (0)1 42 82 01 00