LECTURE 15: MARKET STRUCTURES (CONTINUED) 15.1 OLIGOPOLY Similar to monopoly in the sense that there are a small number of firms (about 2-20) in the market and, as such, barriers to entry exist. It is similar to perfect competition in the sense that firms compete with each other, often feverishly, which may result in prices very similar to those that would obtain under perfect competition. It is similar to monopolistic competition since there is a possibility of having differentiated products. 15.2 DIFFERENCE OF OLIGOPOLY WITH OTHER MARKET STRUCTURES An oligopoly is a market form in which a market or industry is dominated by a small number of sellers (oligopolists). The word is derived from the Greek for few sellers. • Because there are few participants in this type of market, each oligopolist is aware of the actions of the others. The decisions of one firm influence, and are influenced by the decisions of other firms. Strategic planning by oligopolists always involves taking into account the likely responses of the other market participants. This causes oligopolistic markets and industries to be at the highest risk for collusion. • It is not possible to identify any single equilibrium in oligopoly. Theory of firm is not clearly discussed & established as the theory of firm in the other three market structures. Reason for that is the firms are interdependent. 15.3 COLLUSION Collusion occurs when two or more firms decide to cooperate with each other in the setting of prices and/or quantities. Firms collude in order to maximize the profits of the industry as a whole by behaving like a single firm. In doing so, they try to increase their individual profits. In the study of economics and market competition, collusion takes place within an industry when rival companies cooperate for their mutual benefit. Collusion most often takes place within the market form of oligopoly, where the decision of a few firms to collude can significantly impact the market as a whole. Cartels are a special case of explicit collusion. Collusion which is not overt, on the other hand, is known as tacit collusion. At one time, all the firms sit together and combine their decisions in order to maximize profits & behave like monopoly. But at the same time, since all these firms have separate identity, they have the desire also to maximize their own individual profits as well. They might behave like single firm but they can also try to maximize their individual profits. This opposing situation creates tension. This tension can lead to collusion to break down. 15.4 TWO POSSIBLE SCENARIOS OF OLIGOPOLY This tension between collusion & competition give rise to two possible scenarios that the oligopolist firms can have: 1. Collusive oligopoly 2. Non-collusive oligopoly 15.4.1 COLLUSIVE OLIGOPOLY (CARTEL) A collusive oligopoly (or cartel) can be formed by deciding upon market shares, advertising expenses, prices to be charged (identical or different) or production quotas, such as OPEC, are collusive oligopolies. A firm can collude in many different ways. For example, they can collude on the market share in total profits. Collusion can also be done in terms of how much @St. Paul’s University 1 advertising expenditures each firm would have to put. They can also set the prices and quotas. If firms are not of equal size, then quotas can be allocated according to the MC of each firm. Cost of the cartel firm is minimized if the MC of each of the firm is equal. But the problem with this quota system is that firms which have higher MC will get lower quotas and the firms which have lower MC will get higher quotas. Cartel A cartel is a formal (explicit) agreement among firms. Cartels usually occur in an oligopolistic industry, where there are a small number of sellers and usually involve homogeneous products. A cartel is most likely to survive when the number of firms is small, there is openness among firms regarding their production processes; the product is homogeneous; there is a large firm which acts as price leader; industry is stable; government’s strictness in implementing antitrust (or anti-collusion) laws. Govt regulations are helpless against internationally operational cartels or when collusion is tacit (or hidden) not explicit. 15.4.2 NON- COLLUSIVE OLIGOPOLY If different firms in the oligopolistic structures do not cooperate with each other is known as non collusive oligopoly. In this case, collusion breaks down because the incentive to cheat is very high. This can arise, for instance, in a situation where there is a lure of very high profits so that individual firms cheat on their quota and try to increase output and profits. But this causes everyone else to do the same and therefore supply soars and prices tumble producing in effect a non-collusive oligopoly. The incentive to collude becomes strong for members of a non -collusive oligopoly when firms are not making good profits. Thus oligopolies usually oscillate between collusive and non-collusive equilibria. 15.5 COLLUSION & GAME THEORY The Prisoner’s Dilemma Situation Consider about the two prisoners who have committed a crime together. Both have been arrested by the police and kept in separate cells. They have been interrogated separately about their crime. The dilemma is this if both confess to a crime they each have to face the punishment of 5 years in jail. @St. Paul’s University 2 If they do not confess then police has no evidence to keep them and police will let them go free. Their punishment will be very minor or might be zero in this case. If one testifies for the prosecution against the other and the other remains silent, the betrayer goes free and the silent accomplice receives the full 10-year sentence. If both remain silent, both prisoners are sentenced to only six months in jail for a minor charge. If each betrays the other, each receives a five-year sentence. Each prisoner must make the choice of whether to betray the other or to remain silent. However, neither prisoner knows for sure what choice the other prisoner will make. So this dilemma poses the question: How should the prisoners act? The dilemma arises when one assumes that both prisoners only care about minimizing their own jail terms. Each prisoner has two and only two options: either to co-operate with his accomplice and stay quiet, or to defect from their implied pact and betray his accomplice in return for a lighter sentence. The outcome of each choice depends on the choice of the accomplice, but each prisoner must choose without knowing what his accomplice has chosen. In deciding what to do in strategic situations, it is normally important to predict what others will do. This is not the case here. If one prisoner knew the other prisoner would stay silent, his best move is to betray as he then walk free instead of receiving the minor sentence. If he knew the other prisoner would betray, his best move is still to betray, as he receive a lesser sentence than by silence. Betraying is a dominant strategy. The other prisoner reasons similarly, and therefore also chooses to betray. Yet by both defecting they get a lower payoff than they would get by staying silent. So rational, self-interested play results in each prisoner being worse off than if they had stayed silent. A prisoner’s dilemma situation for oligopolistic firms arises when 2 or more firms by attempting independently to choose the best strategy anticipation of whatever the others are likely to do, all end up in a worse position than if they had cooperated in the first place. Payoff of a matrix for firm X& Y (profit in Rs: at different prices) There are four points to be noted in this table: • If both X & Y firms charge same price of Rs.2 then they get same profit of Rs.10 million as shown by option A. • If both firm independently thought about reducing the price to Rs.1.8 then they have to take into account the decision of other firm. They have to think about what their rival will do? Their rival can do two things either to lower the price or kept the same price level. Now if X kept his price at Rs.2 the worst thing for X would be that its rival Y cuts its price to Rs.1.8. X’s profit will now fall to Rs.5 million and Y’s profit will @St. Paul’s University 3 • • increase to Rs.12 million due to lower price. This is shown in option C. If however, X cuts its price to Rs.1.8 the worst outcome still would be Y to cut its price too to Rs.1.8. but this time X’s profit will only fall to Rs.8 million and Y’s profit will also fall to Rs.8 million. This is shown in option D. However if X think optimistically and cuts its price to Rs.1.8 with his optimistic assumption that Y will leave with its price at Rs.2. if X is right in his assumption then he will earn the maximum profit of Rs.12 million and Y will earn Rs.5 million. This option is shown in option B. Maximin strategy Maximin strategy is a cautious (pessimistic) approach in which firms try to maximize the worst payoff they can make. It is the policy of adopting the safer side. It means the firm is trying to maximize the minimum profit that it will make. Maximax strategy A Maximax strategy involves choosing the strategy which maximizes the maximum payoff (optimistic). This policy arises from the optimistic approach that your rival will react most favorable to you. It means firm is going for the maximum possible profit. Dominant strategy game: Both these strategies leads towards the same strategy that is cutting down of price to Rs.1.8. this type of game is called the dominant strategy game. Given that both X & Y are tempted to lower price, they both end up tempting the lower profit i-e Rs.8 million each. If they collude and charge the same price, they will get profit of Rs.10 million each. Thus collusion rather than price war would be beneficial for both. 15.6 PRICE STABILITY IN NON-COLLUSIVE OLIGOPOLIES: KINKED DEMAND CURVE A kinked demand curve explains the “stickiness” of the prices in oligopolistic markets. The theory of kinked demand curve rests on the two assumptions that if one firm raises prices, no one else will raise their prices and so the firm will face declining revenues (elastic demand). However if one firm lowered its price, everyone else would lower their prices as well and everyone’s revenues, including the first firm’s revenues would fall (inelastic demand). A demand curve with two distinct segments which have different elasticities that joins to form a corner or kink. The primary use of the kinked-demand curve is to explain price rigidity in oligopoly. The two segments are: @St. Paul’s University 4 (1) A relatively more elastic segment for price increases (2) A relatively less elastic segment for price decreases The relative elasticities of these two segments are based on the interdependent decisionmaking of oligopolistic firms. Non Price Competition: Non price competition means competition amongst the firms based on factors other than price, e.g. advertising expenditures. Oligopoly & public interests: In oligopoly, firms are able to earn super normal profits. This is also the feature of monopoly. But this is not the feature of perfect competition & monopolistic competition. Firms can use their profits in cost minimization techniques. @St. Paul’s University 5