Chapter 23 Value-based management Learning objectives A large portion of this textbook addresses the problems that firms encounter when making investment decisions designed to maximise shareholder wealth. In Chapters 11 to 13 we discussed the use of net present value and other tools to analyse project cash flows and compare them to the investment outlays required. Also, in Chapter 14 we considered how to estimate the proper required rate of return for a firm’s investments. But how can we be sure that the assets which emanate from these outlays will be managed and operated to maximise the overall returns of shareholders? This fundamental problem of managing a firm’s operations to create shareholder value is the focus of this chapter. We can call this value-based management (VBM). When you have completed this chapter you will be able to: appreciate the importance of shareholder value to a firm’s management; understand the agency problem inherent in the financial goal of a firm which manages shareholder value; appreciate the concept of market value added (MVA) of a firm; appreciate two models used to value firms in the capital market; define value drivers to affect managerial decisions regarding the value of a firm; understand the concept of economic value added (EVA) of a firm; appreciate the applications of EVA in a mnemonic device, the four Ms; and understand the basics of management compensation policies and the role of EVA. Introduction Throughout the textbook the notion has been suggested that a firm’s management should make decisions that lead to increased shareholder value. After all, the ordinary shareholders ‘own’ the firm and it is not uncommon for company mission statements to endorse shareholder value maximisation as the firm’s primary goal. However, the incentives of top management are not always aligned with those of the company shareholders. In Chapter 1 the agency problem was discussed: a firm’s managers will not work to maximise benefits for the firm’s owners unless it is in the managers’ interests to do so. In practice, many large companies are not run on a day-to-day basis so as to maximise shareholder wealth.i In fact, it appears that many destroy shareholder value. In this chapter we use the free cash flow valuation model that serves as the basis for estimating project value in an analysis of new capital expenditure proposals to estimate the value of the business enterprise. We then link this valuation to value drivers that can be used by managers for setting performance goals that can be tied directly to firm value. Next we look at EVA as a measure of firm or business unit performance. This performance 1 measure has become popular among some firms that have focused their efforts on the creation of shareholder value. In Australia these include ANZ Bank, Fletcher Challenge Ltd, James Hardie Industries, National Australia Bank and Telstra. Finally, we discuss the fundamental issues arising in examining an incentive compensation program that encourages employees to engage in activities that create shareholder value. The old adage that what gets measured and rewarded gets done is the guiding principle behind managing a firm to create value for its shareholders. The issue we address in this chapter is to address the problems associated with making sure that the firm maintains a return on its investments that meets or exceeds its cost of capital. Economic value added, or EVA, is a performance measure that is designed to accomplish this goal. Who are the top creators of shareholder value? Stern Stewart and Company have devised market value added (MVA) to measure how much wealth a firm has created at a particular moment in time.ii MVA is computed as follows: MVA ═ firm value ─ invested capital (1) By firm value we mean the market values of the firm’s outstanding debt and equity securities. Invested capital is more problematic. Conceptually, a firm’s invested capital is the sum of all the funds that have been invested in it. Although this sum is related to the reported value of the firm’s total assets it is not the same thing. Accounting conventions used in constructing the firm’s balance sheet distort the reporting of the firm’s invested capital, so that we have to make adjustments to the firm’s total assets from its balance sheet. Stern Stewart has identified over 160 such adjustments. For example, generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) call for the expensing of 100% of the firm’s research and development (R&D) expenditure in the year in which the expenditure is incurred. Thus, such expenditure which has value to the firm is not reflected in the total assets of the firm, unlike new expenditure for plant and equipment. Stern Stewart adds back R&D to the firm’s total assets and amortises it over several future years, so that the book value of assets more clearly reflects the total investment made by the firm. For 1998 Stern Stewart ranked 150 listed Australian companies by MVA using reported accounting data. iii An approximation to invested capital was obtained by adding the borrowings in the business to the capital (including retained earnings and other equity gains), since the accounting equation for a balance sheet states that assets equal liabilities plus capital. The top and bottom five companies comprised: Rank Company MVA Invested capital ($ billion) (4 billion) 1 Telstra 58.2 20.8 2 News Corporation 22.9 42.3 3 Brambles Industries 4.9 3.6 4 Coles Myer 4.7 8.4 5 Woolworths 4.7 4.6 146 Australian National Industries –0.4 1.7 147 Pacific Dunlop –0.5 5.6 2 148 Crown –0.6 2.2 149 Qantas Airways –0.9 7.5 150 Burns Philp & Co –1.1 3.1 Investors placed $20 billion in the assets of top-ranked Telstra, but the MVA at the end of 1998 was over $58 billion reflecting the bargain price at which the Commonwealth government sold one-third of Telstra to investors and the share market’s subsequent enthusiasm for Telstra. News Corporation had an outstanding year: $42 billion invested capital yielded an MVA of over $22 billion. Thirty-six of the 150 companies destroyed shareholder value with negative MVAs. Shareholders and lenders provided more than $18 billion of invested capital in the bottom five companies, yielding negative MVAs. How is it that some firms can create so much value for their shareholders while others destroy it? Value creation, very simply, results from the marriage of opportunity and execution. Opportunities must be recognised and, in some cases, created, and this is the stuff of which business strategy is made. However, opportunity is not enough. Firms have to have employees who are ready, willing and able to take advantage of business opportunities. It is on this side of the value creation equation that we focus our attention. Specifically, managing for shareholder value requires that we resolve two separate issues. First, we must identify a set of performance measures that are both linked to value creation and are under the control of the firm’s management. Second, we must design a system of incentives that encourages employees to base their decisions on these performance metrics in their day-to-day decisions. In essence, we must develop a performance measurement and reward system that encourages managers to think and act like business owners. How this might be accomplished is now considered. Business valuation – The key to creating shareholder value To understand how shareholder value is created we must first understand how firms are valued in the capital markets. There are two competing valuation paradigms that have been used to explain the value of a firm’s ordinary shares in the capital market: the accounting model and the discounted cash flow model. The accounting model Although both the accounting and discounted cash flow models can be consistent in theory, they are not generally used in a consistent manner and they can lead management to act in very different ways as it tries to manage for shareholder value. If management uses the accounting model to think about the value of its equity, then it will focus on reported earnings in conjunction with the market’s valuation of those earnings as reflected in the price-earnings ratio. The accounting (earnings) model is represented by the following equation: Equity value ═ price-earnings ratio × earnings per share (2) For example, if the price-earnings ratio is 20, then a $1 increase in earnings per share will create $20 in additional equity value per share. Similarly, a $1 loss in earnings per share will lead to a drop of $20 in share value. To see what’s wrong with this approach, consider the following scenario. In 2005, imagine that Teutonic Energy spent $3 million on research and development (R&D) on a potentially new energy source that could well become a source of revenue in the future for the company. This total represents five cents per share after taxes. On 1 July 2006, the firm’s price-earnings ratio was 20, reflecting earnings per share of $0.50 and a share price of $10. Ask yourself the following question: ‘Do you believe that Teutonic’s share price would have been 50 cents 3 higher (i.e. five cents in R&D per share times 10), or $10.50, if Teutonic had not spent anything on R&D?’ Of course not! Teutonic’s expenditures for R&D are its life’s blood in creating its future profitability. Without its R&D, the firm’s services and new products would evaporate, as would its future cash flows. This simple example serves to caution against managing for shareholder value by managing the firm’s reported accounting earnings. We discussed earnings per share, price earnings ratios (PER) and share valuation in a Focus on Finance in Chapter 10 (Valuation of bonds and shares). This is what we said: The appeal of the PER approach to share valuation lies in its operational simplicity and its ‘practical’ focus … Nevertheless. this does not change the fact that the present worth of an asset such as a share is its intrinsic value, equal to the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at the required rate of return … Investors look to the cash flows generated by the firm, not the earnings, for value. A firm’s value truly is the present value of the cash flows it produces. We have learned in our discussion of capital budgeting in this text that the discounted cash flow valuation model incorporates investor expectations of future cash flows into the indefinite future as well as the opportunity cost of funds when estimating value. In this model, the R&D investment used in our scenario would lead to a reduction in cash flow during the period in which the expenditure is being made, but would correspondingly increase future cash flows when the anticipated rewards of the investment are being reaped. Hence, the appropriate model for use in managing the firm for shareholder value is one that focuses on the cash flow consequences of the firm’s decisions for the future, not just the current period, because this is how investors view their investments. Free cash flow valuation model The free cash flow model for valuing a firm provides a method for analysing value as the present value of the firm’s projected free cash flows for all future years. We cannot forecast free cash flows for an infinite future, so we generally project them for a finite number of years called the planning period, perhaps three to five years, and then capture the value of all subsequent free cash flows using the concept of a terminal value. There are many ways to estimate the terminal value at the end of a planning period depending on the projected pattern of free cash flows after the planning period. For example, we may estimate a firm’s free cash flows for each of years one to five in our planning period, and believe that there will not be further growth in free cash flows for years six to infinity, i.e. the free cash flow for these latter years will be the same as for year five. This means that the terminal value at the end of year four will be the present value of a level perpetuity – refer to Perpetuities in Chapter 4. When we calculate the value of a firm using the free cash flow model, we are using the same basic model we used in earlier chapters to estimate the value of a capital investment proposal. The three basic determinants of value are the same. We rely on two fundamental principles: 1. Risk-return trade-off – we discount the expected firm free cash flows using the firm’s risk adjusted weighted average cost of capital. 2. Cash, not profits, is king – we estimate the firm’s free cash flow and not the firm’s accounting profits as the basis for valuation. Free cash flow provides the basis for valuing the firm as an entity and is calculated as follows: 4 Net operating income (NOI) Estimated as revenue less cost of sales and operating expenses Less: Taxes Taxes estimated at the level of NOI Equals: Net operating profit after tax NOPAT Plus: Depreciation expense Add back noncash depreciation Less: New investments in the period Increase in current assets less accounts payable and other noninterest-bearing Additional net working capital liabilities Capital expenditure (CAPEX) New investments made in capital assets during the period Equals: Free cash flow Cash available to pay dividends, interest, and principal Value drivers Let’s now consider how we can use the free cash flow model to manage the firm for shareholder value. We are interested in value drivers which can be defined as variables which can be controlled or influenced by the firm’s management to affect the value of the firm. These are in contrast to historical values which are not manageable variables. In managing future operations for Australia Co. Ltd (ACL) these could include, for example: beginning sales, government taxation rate and policies, total liabilities at close of last year, and number of ordinary shares at close of last year. Such items provide the base values for analysis and are not decision variables over which management has control for the planning period. On the other hand, value drivers for ACL represent the variables that are in some degree under the control or influence of the company management and that are connected in a meaningful way to the determinants of the company’s value. For a planning period these could include: gross profit margin, operating expenses (before depreciation), net working capital-to-sales ratio, and cost of capital. Consider the following potential strategies that the management could consider in their value-based management of ACL. Sales growth for years 1–3 Implement a new marketing campaign to promote exciting or new products. Form a distributional alliance to enter a new market. Invest in R&D to create new products. Acquire a competitor firm. Operating profit margin Initiate cost-profit programs to reduce operating and administrative expenses. Invest in a promotional campaign aimed at improving the brand image of existing products to support premium prices. Net working capital-to-sales ratio Initiate inventory control policies to reduce the time inventory is held before sales. Implement credit analysis and control to reduce time taken by customers to pay. Negotiate more lenient credit terms for supplies. Property, plant and equipment-to-sales ratio Consider outsourcing of production to more efficient strategic partners. Apply stringent controls over acquisition of new plant and equipment to ensure that all purchases are 5 economically viable. Reduce the need for new plant and equipment by improving the maintenance of existing plant and equipment. Cost of capital Review the firm’s financial policies to ensure that finances are being obtained at lowest-cost rates. Bypass public market costs by approaching institutional investors for direct sources of funds for new capital needs. While these strategies have the potential for increasing firm value it is not certain that they will. For example, ACL might spend $4 million on a new advertising campaign that only leads to improvements in cash flow of $3 million. This would destroy value by $1 million. Each of the strategies would need to be analysed by management and decisions made based upon the likely merits of the specific proposal. Economic value added (EVA)® Earlier we used market value added (MVA) to measure the total wealth created by a firm at a particular point in time. As such, MVA is a market-based reflection of investor expectations regarding the total value they expect the firm to create in the future less the total capital invested in the firm. Stated like this, there is a direct analogy between MVA and net present value (NPV) for the firm as a whole. MVA is really a ‘capital concept’ or value of the type that accountants show on balance sheets at specific points of time, although accountants use historical rather than current or forward-looking values. The link between successive balance sheets and a means of estimating firm performance for a past period is the firm’s net accounting income (profit or loss). The equivalent ‘income concept’ to support MVA is an alternative measure to that of accounting income called economic value added (EVA)®.iv EVA is the difference between a firm’s net operating profits after taxes (NOPAT) and a capital charge for the period, being the product of the firm’s cost of capital and its invested capital at the beginning of the period: EVA ═ net operating profit after tax – (weighted average cost of capital × invested capital) (3) Note that EVA is related to accounting profits (i.e. NOPAT ═ net operating income [1 – tax rate]) but differs because it is reduced by a charge for the capital invested in the firm. The result is a measure of the contribution of the firm’s operations for the period to the value of the firm and therefore provides a guide to the value-based management of the firm. Stern Stewart and Co. originated both MVA and EVA, although it is common for their overall model to be called the ‘EVA model’.v They recommend a number of adjustments to the firm’s reported traditional accounting numbers for the express purpose of converting both NOPAT and invested capital from accounting book values to economic book values. Accounting standards require R&D spending to be expensed over a number of years, but we believe that the share market recognises R&D as an investment in the future of the business and not just an annual expense such as printing and stationery or travelling expenses. Stern Stewart therefore capitalises R&D spending and amortises it over five years. Other adjustments to accounting profit include adding back abnormal and extraordinary items, and interest costs which are captured in the firm’s cost of capital. Differences between accounting standards and economic reality are also recognised when estimating EVA and MVA. Starting with all interest-bearing debt and 6 equity, adjustments are made to reverse the effect of asset revaluations and write-offs, restating equity to that provided by shareholders. Non-cancellable operating leases are brought on to the balance sheet to ensure that all capital is recognised. While they mention more than 160 possible adjustments for US data, only ten to 15 adjustments are more typically made. These adjustments are made for three reasons: 1. to convert from accrual to cash accounting (eliminating many of the reserves that accountants have created in financial statements, e.g. reserves for bad debts); 2. to capitalise market-building expenditures that have been expensed in the past (converting from a liquidating perspective to a going-concern perspective, e.g. capitalising expensed R&D); and 3. to remove cumulative unusual losses or gains after taxes (converting from successful-efforts to full-cost accounting). There are at least three major ways in which firms can increase EVA. The companies in the following examples were part of the 1998 company study discussed earlier. vi 1. Growth without investing Improving profit without tying up more capital improves EVA. The Victorian leisure/gaming group, Tabcorp, consistently improved its profit for the three years to 1998 with negligible new funding. EVA rose to $50 million for 1998 and shareholders were $1.8 billion richer. 2. Investing capital where the increased profit more than covers the charges for additional capital Woolworths has held its top-five position for three years to 1998 by consistently investing above its cost of capital. Amcor, also in the top 20 three years earlier with Woolworths, has fallen to 18, because it spent capital for poor returns – Amcor destroyed $3.2 billion of MVA. 3. Shrinking to grow Divesting assets that earn less than their cost of capital. In 1995 Goodman Fielder had $2.5 billion in capital, but reduced this by $500 million by divesting underperforming Asian and European operations. EVA was lifted by $63 million and MVA increased by $1.4 billion. What is the relationship between EVA and MVA, bearing in mind that the objective of value-based management is to maximise MVA? MVA is the present value of all future EVAs over the life of the firm. Thus, managing the firm in ways that increase EVA will generally lead to a higher MVA. This is a simplistic interpretation of the use of EVA that sometimes does not hold. For example, there are situations in which very large capital investments lead to a decrease in EVA in the near term that is more than offset by future increases in EVA. Thus, simply maximising EVA is not always the same thing as maximising MVA. The following examples of MVA and EVA data are from the 1998 company study. vii The News Corporation had an outstanding year in 1998 with MVA of over $22 billion but EVA was a negative $844 million. Presumably the market was confident that News Corp. would deliver outstanding earnings growth in the future and that EVA would follow MVA. Brambles was ranked third in terms of MVA ($4.9 billion) for 1998 but it too had a negative EVA (–$37 million). The big MVA casualty for 1998 was Coca-Cola Amatil. It led the MVA list for 1997 despite negative EVA which was expected to improve dramatically because of the company’s exposure to emerging markets in Asia and Central Europe. It fell to 6th on the 1998 MVA list ($3.8 billion) and registered another negative EVA (– $468 million). Wesfarmers and Southcorp both had negative EVA’s (–$8m and –$75m respectively) but still retained their 9th 7 and 10th MVA rankings respectively. The gas utility AGL on the other hand had a positive EVA ($72 million) and climbed four places from 1997 to 1998 in MVA rankings with $1.5 billion for 1998. The EVA of Harvey Norman rose sharply to $26 million and it improved its MVA ($1.2 billion) ranking by 19 places (from 33 to 14). Foster’s Brewing has risen from a MVA rank of 116 to 16 in three years to 1998 despite a negative EVA of $292 million for 1998. The increase in MVA of $2.9 billion for the three years came from the sale of assets and a heavy reduction in debt plus continued domination of the Australian beer business and entry to the wine business. Qantas is near the bottom of the MVA rankings with a negative MVA of $923 million but its 1998 EVA was $61 million. Quite clearly the relationship between EVA and the firm’s MVA for the same period is far from clear. Discussion of the limitations of EVA as an indicator of value creation is beyond the scope of this chapter. The interested reader is referred to Martin and Petty (2001) for a detailed treatment of these and related issues. viii There is an alternative definition of EVA which highlights the fact that a firm creates value only when its return on invested capital (ROIC ═ NOPAT ÷ invested capital) exceeds its cost of capital: EVA ═ (return on invested capital – weighted average cost of capital) × invested capital (4) If the difference between ROIC and cost of capital is positive then EVA tends to be positive. Using the top and bottom five MVA rankings below from the 1998 company study this can be seen to be correct. Rank Company (MVA) EVA ($m) ROIC (%) Cost of Capital (%) 1 Telstra 2149 20.5 10.0 2 News Corporation –844 6.8 9.0 3 Brambles Industries –37 10.5 11.6 4 Coles Myer 202 8.8 6.3 5 Woolworths 150 11.4 8.1 146 Australian National Industries –65 4.4 8.4 147 Pacific Dunlop –348 4.6 10.8 148 Crown –316 –5.4 9.4 149 Qantas Airways 61 7.1 6.3 150 Burns Philp & Co –172 5.9 12.0 Only four of the ten companies have a positive EVA and in each case their ROIC exceeds their cost of capital. For the remaining six companies with negative EVAs the reverse is true. Clearly, as we said earlier, a major way to increase EVA is to invest funds where the increased profit more than covers the charges for additional capital. Following examination of value drivers, the variables which managers can control or influence to change the value of a firm, we discussed the conceptual bases for MVA and EVA in Equations (1) and (3) respectively. The whole emphasis is on maximising shareholder value. The measurement of MVA and EVA has been discussed and a 1998 company study has highlighted such measurements based on public accounting information for listed companies. Stern Stewart argue that their EVA system is more than a measurement system to be used alongside other financial systems in the firm. It should supersede all financial and operating measures and become the ‘language’ 8 used throughout the firm. Using a mnemonic device they describe the four applications of EVA, including the linking of the system to incentive compensation plans for managers. The four Ms of EVAix The four Ms of EVA are measurement, management system, motivation and mindset. Measurement The aim of EVA is to translate accounting data and profit into economic reality and true economic value. EVA is a derivative of free cash flow, and using EVA to evaluate capital expenditure projects will give the same decisions as NPV.x Financial managers know that what gets measured gets managed, but in many firms what gets managed is accounting-based and value drivers can therefore often be ignored. For example, although the NPV of future cash flows may be used to evaluate capital expenditure projects the results of accepted projects tend to be lost in accounting profit estimates. EVA is an economic measure of performance, specifically tailored to the unique circumstances of the firm. Conventional earnings is adjusted to eliminate accounting anomalies and bring them closer to economic results. We have discussed the expensing of R&D as one such adjustment. To customise EVA to a firm’s situation, only five to 15 adjustments may be needed by balancing simplicity with precision. The aim is to improve accuracy and performance: The basic tests are that the change is material, that the data are readily available, that the change is simple to communicate to non-financial managers, and, most important, that making the change can affect decisions in a positive, cost-effective way. The intuition part of the decision making process refers to the market.xi As a firm develops its EVA measure there are three important qualities that it should possess: 1. EVA should utilise the determinants of corporate value. 2. Is the focus on R&D? 3. How should assets shared between divisions be treated? The design of EVA for a specific firm will have behavioural implications which need to be foreseen. What will managers be encouraged to do? Will EVA encourage behaviour to increase or destroy value? If capital projects have negative EVAs for the first few years but positive NPVs thereafter should they be accepted? If divisional costs of capital differ between sections of the firm how will managers react? How will sales managers react to being held accountable for the working capital needed for new product lines? Thirdly, EVA should be an operational initiative to change the operating activities of the firm. Therefore, EVA should be a measure of performance that is usable and acceptable to managers. It should be kept simple, practical and able to be reconciled to existing measures traditionally used in the firm. Management system EVA could be used by a company simply to provide a measured focus of how it is performing with regard to shareholder value. However, Stern Stewart claims that the true value of EVA comes in using it as a comprehensive financial management system under which the goal of increasing EVA is paramount. This would include: 9 all policies, procedures, methods and measures that guide operations and strategy; top management decisions including strategic planning, allocation of capital, pricing acquisitions and divestitures; setting annual goals; and day-to-day operating decisions. This could well entail the deletion of all other financial metrics used in a company which can lead to misleading decisions by managers. For example, what if the stated corporate goal is to maximise the rate of return on net assets, then highly profitable divisions may become reluctant to invest even in attractive projects for fear of actually reducing their overall aggregate returns for the planning period. Poorer divisions on the other hand may be inclined to invest in projects even if the expected return is below the firm’s cost of capital, in order to increase their average rate of return. If instead, the focus is on constantly improving EVA, it is more likely that all managers will make the best decisions for shareholders. The way that managers establish targets is critical to the success of the EVA financial management system. Stern Stewart once consulted with a furniture company. In the company’s annual planning process, performance targets were established (and incentive payments were based on these). Managers submitted plans for performance to senior management who, aware of the incentive to understate (‘sandbag’) likely future performance, would negotiate with managers a more acceptable target. This negotiation procedure created an adversarial climate and led to the hoarding of information at the divisional level. This target-setting process spread throughout the organisation and the resulting behaviour destroyed value and was therefore contrary to the interests of shareholders. Implementing EVA with Stern Stewart meant a change to this process. Multi-year targets were objectively set with reference to the value drivers in the company needed to improve the share price. This process provided objectivity and certainty and freed managers at all levels of the organisation to plan for extraordinary performance, without the threat of being penalised for their ambition. Motivation In our introduction to this chapter we mentioned the agency problem in many large companies arising from the fact that the interests of ordinary shareholders differ from those of top management. This means that such companies are not run on a daily basis so as to maximise wealth for the shareholders. Rather, shareholder value tends to be destroyed. Developing an EVA (value focused) measure of performance within an EVA financial management system is of little use without a similarly value focused incentive plan for the firm’s decision-makers leading to the best interests of ordinary shareholders. Managers need to be motivated in the right direction if the agency problem is to be overcome. Before we discuss this further we need to take an important sidetrack into firms’ compensation policies. Basic components of a firm’s compensation policy Managerial compensation plans generally provide for three types of compensation: Base pay is the fixed salary component of compensation. The bonus payment is generally a quarterly, semi-annual, or annual cash payment that is dependent upon 10 firm performance compared to targets set at the beginning of the period. EVA provides one such performance measure that can be used in this regard. Long-term compensation consists of share options and grants (such as discounts on share purchases) that are also made periodically to employees. Share options provide the holder with the right to buy (a call option) shares of the firm at a specified price (the exercise or strike price). This type of compensation is the most direct method available to the firm to align the interests of the firm’s employees with those of its shareholders. Note that both bonus and long-term compensation are ‘at-risk’ in that both depend upon performance of the individual and the firm. We often use the term incentive, or performance-based compensation, to describe this atrisk component of managerial compensation. Designing a compensation program A firm’s compensation program can be complex. There are four fundamental issues that every firm’s program must address: 1 How much should be paid for a particular job? 2 What portion of the total compensation package should be in base salary and what part should be incentivebased? 3 How should incentive pay be linked to performance? 4 Finally, what portion of the incentive pay should be paid as a cash bonus and what portion should be in long-term (equity) compensation? The design of a compensation program that supports the creation of shareholder value must arrive at a satisfactory answer to all four of these questions. We will touch on each issue briefly; however, from the perspective of creating shareholder value, issue number three is particularly important. Issue 1: How much to pay? How much to pay for a particular job is dictated by market forces outside the firm’s control. That is, the total value of the entire compensation package for a given employee must meet a market test. The firm will only be able to hire sound employees if it offers a competitive level of compensation. The size of the total compensation package may determine where you go to work, but the mix of base pay and performance-based pay may determine how hard you will work. Therefore, the key to creating shareholder value lies in linking the incentive portion of the compensation package to the value drivers determining EVA. Issue 2: Base pay versus at-risk or incentive compensation What fraction of the total compensation package should be tied to performance or placed at-risk? There are no hard-and-fast rules for determining the mix of variable (at-risk) versus fixed compensation. However, in practice, the firm’s highest ranking employees generally have a larger fraction of their total compensation ‘at-risk’ and the fraction declines with the employee’s rank in the firm. Issue 3: Linking pay to performance The procedure used to link the level of incentive compensation to performance is the same regardless of the particular performance measure that is chosen. Our discussion about this will be very basic. In practice there are many possibilities and in most firms incentive pay is based on multiple performance metrics. For example, 11 executives may receive 75% of their incentive pay based on financial results and 25% based on personal objectives. In other cases incentive pay might be based on individual performance, financial performance and strategic performance. The following formula is for an unbounded incentive compensation payout: Incentive pay ═ (base pay)(fraction of pay at risk)(actual performance / target performance) (5) Incentive pay is unbounded. That is, there are no limits specified as to the maximum or minimum levels of incentive pay that can be earned. Incentive pay is a function of the portion of the employee’s compensation that is at-risk or subject to firm performance (the product of base pay and fraction of pay at-risk) and the firm’s actual performance for the period relative to a target level of performance. Note that we have not yet specified the measure of firm performance, although historically this has been in terms of absolute profits or revenue growth, and sometimes a return on investment measure is used such as return on shareholders funds. Unbounded plans vary directly with actual performance in relation to target or planned performance with no floor (minimum) or cap (maximum). Employees are ‘incentivised’ to improve firm performance regardless of the level of firm performance in such a system. Most firms do not use an unbounded incentive pay program. Instead they use a system that provides for a minimum, or threshold, level of performance (in relation to a target level) before the incentive plan kicks in, and a maximum level of performance (again in relation to the target) above which no incentive pay is rewarded. We refer to these plans as bounded incentive pay programs. Consider the example of an 80/120 plan and its possible consequences depending on the measure of performance that is used for the plan. The minimum or threshold level of performance at which incentive compensation will be paid is 80% of the budgeted level of performance. The maximum performance for which incentive pay will be awarded is 120% of the target performance. Incentive compensation is only paid for actual performance that falls within the 80/120 range. Consequently, there is a wide range of performance for which no incentive pay is awarded (i.e. performance above 120% or below 80% of the budget). As a result of the boundaries, this type of program encourages employees to meet their performance targets only within the range of performance for which the payout varies with performance. This type of bounded incentive plan also has some unfortunate effects on employee incentives to improve firm performance. Specifically, consider the effects on employee incentives under such an 80/120 bonus plan that uses firm earnings to measure performance. Under this plan, managers have an incentive to select accounting procedures and accruals to increase the present value of their bonus. For example, as it becomes obvious that the firm’s performance for the budget period (say a quarter or a year) will fall below the 80% threshold, employees have no direct pay-for-performance incentive to work harder in order to raise firm performance during the remainder of the budget period. In fact, there is an incentive to reduce the current period performance even further in the hope that it will lower the budget targets for the coming period. In addition, reducing current period performance may allow management to shift some or all of the unrewarded performance from the current to the subsequent budget evaluation period when it hopes to be rewarded for it. Similarly, perversity can arise at the upper end of the performance spectrum when management realises that the firm (or division) may exceed the upper bound on the incentive compensation program. If it looks as if the firm’s performance is going to surpass the maximum payout level, then the employees once again could lose motivation 12 to improve performance. First of all, they are not paid for actual performance above the maximum, and second, they may be able to postpone some of the current period’s business until the next period when they can count it toward incentive pay for the period. Issue 4: Paying with a cash bonus versus equity The amount of incentive pay is determined by firm performance and the particulars of the payout function (i.e. whether it is bounded or not). However, the form of the compensation is also a vital component of the firm’s compensation program. Specifically, the firm can pay in cash, shares, or some mix of the two. If the firm chooses shares, then the employees are rewarded for current performance and are also provided with a long-term incentive to improve performance. Baker, Jensen, and Murphy (1988) summarise the case for equity-based compensation as follows: Compensation practitioners argue that fundamental changes in the ‘corporate culture’ occur when employees are made partial owners of the firm. The effects of these plans include ‘rooting for the home team’ and a growing awareness of and interest in the corporate bottom line. We do not understand how these effects translate into increased productivity, nor do we have a well-developed economic theory of the creation and effects of corporate culture. Many executives accept the limitations of traditional accounting performance measurement. What remains less widely appreciated is the need to align incentive programs with shareholder value objectives. Many listed companies have made progress in this area by linking executive compensation to share market performance. ‘But issues remain, particularly with respect to “line of sight”, or ensuring a tangible link between effort and reward.’xii What is the sentiment created in the minds of divisional managers from a share grant or share option scheme? The same question needs to be asked for middle management or factory and shop-floor employees. ‘Do schemes aligned to shares act as an effective incentive or more as a “bonus” – an addition to employee remuneration that has little to do with their own performance?’xiii EVA removes this ambiguity. It provides the direct link to the firm’s ordinary share price, but it is also measurable, able to be compared to established targets and can be affected at any level of the firm. To instil both the sense of urgency and the long-term perspective of a firm’s owner, Stern Stewart in its recommendations of EVA programs designs cash bonus plans that cause managers to think like and act like owners. Under an EVA bonus plan managers make more money for themselves only by creating even greater value for shareholders. Therefore such bonus plans can have no upside limits. EVA bonus targets can be reset by formula each planning period. If EVA rises considerably, next period’s bonus can be based on improvement above the new, higher level of EVA. A portion of extraordinary bonuses can be ‘banked’ and paid out over several years. Bonus banks make it possible to have ‘negative’ bonuses when EVA drops sharply, to ensure that bonuses are paid only for sustainable increases in EVA. Mindset Stern Stewart argues that when implemented in its totality, the EVA financial management and incentive compensation system can change the corporate culture of a firm. The EVA framework is, in effect, a system of internal corporate governance that automatically guides all managers and employees and propels them to work for the best interests of the owners. xiv 13 The aim should be to put all financial and operating functions on the same basis, and thus provide a common language for all employees, across all corporate functions. Two essentials are required for this to eventuate. It should provide a hierarchical as opposed to a ‘balanced’ scorecard. Because EVA is a measure of total factor productivity based upon value drivers appropriate to the specific firm it should supersede other accounting, financial and operating measures. The second requirement is that EVA be incorporated into decision-making processes. It needs to be customised and applied to the vast range of decisions in the firm and inserted into formal procedures, including budgeting and strategic planning. Summary Using performance measures that are directly linked to firm value as the basis for compensating managers has been found to be a strong tool for focusing behaviour on the goal of shareholder wealth maximisation. However, as simple as the idea might sound, its implementation can be fraught with difficulties. In this chapter, we provided a framework for analysing both the choice of a performance measure and a discussion of the issues that must be addressed when linking performance to pay. Which firms create shareholder value and which ones destroy it? This sounds like a difficult question but, in fact it can be addressed. We can assess the market’s assessment of whether a firm is creating value for its shareholders directly using market value added (MVA), which is calculated as the difference in the market value of the firm (i.e. the sum of market values of all the firm’s securities – debt and equity) less the total capital invested in the firm. Throughout this text we have argued that the underlying basis for understanding the determinants of firm value lies in the discounted cash flow model. With this model of firm value in mind, we then considered the underlying drivers of free cash flow. We referred to these as value drivers. We identified a key set of value drivers in the free cash flow valuation model such as operating profit margins. These drivers, in turn, have their determinants in the actions taken by the firm’s management. For example, instituting a just-in-time inventory control system can lead to reductions in inventories and, consequently, an increase in the efficiency with which assets are utilised. Other things remaining the same, this could lead to a reduction in expenses and an increase in firm value. Economic value added (EVA) represents a measure of performance that can be used to capture the success or failure of a firm (or a business unit) to create shareholder value over a specific interval of time or operating budget period such as one year. Although EVA is related to accounting profits, it differs in that it importantly incorporates a charge for the capital invested in the firm – equal to the product of the firm’s invested capital at the beginning of the period and the firm’s weighted average cost of capital. The result is a measure of the contribution of the firm’s operations for the period to the value of the firm. By using the four Ms of EVA we discussed the role of EVA as an overall firm financial management system and managerial compensation program. Study questions 1 Although the financial goal of large companies should be to maximise the wealth of the ordinary 14 shareholders the personal goals of the top managers may be something different. Comment on this statement and refer to the agency problem that is involved. 2 Refer to Question 1. Discuss solutions known to you that may help to solve the agency problem. 3 What is market value added (MVA) and how is it calculated? 4 Explain the accounting model of equity valuation. What are its limitations? 5 Explain the free cash flow valuation model. In particular, what does the terminal value in this model represent? 6 What are value drivers? List and describe four value drivers. 7 Define economic value added (EVA). How is it calculated, and how is it related to market value added (MVA)? 8 List the four Ms of EVA and briefly explain each one. 9 List and discuss the fundamental components of a firm’s compensation program. 10 Explain the behavioural implications of the bounded compensation program. 11 What could be the role of EVA in a firm’s compensation program? 12 Explain how the usage of the full EVA program in a firm could help solve the agency problem referred to in Question 1. Endnotes i In their book on value-based management, McTaggart, Kontes, and Mankins assert that ‘the great majority of large corporations throughout the world are not managed with the objective of maximising wealth or shareholder value’, Managing for Shareholder Returns: The Value Imperative (Free Press, 1994), p. 41. ii P. Rennie, ‘The Wealth Creators’, Business Review Weekly (December 7 1998), pp. 64–68. iii ibid. iv J. Bown, ‘VALUE+ Looking at EVA’, Australian CPA (April 1999), p. 3. v ibid, <www.sternstewart.com>. vi Rennie op cit. vii ibid. viii J.D. Martin and J.W. Petty, Value-based management: The corporate response in the shareholder revolution (Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2001). ix Bown op cit., <www.sternstewart.com>. x ibid. xi ibid. xii ibid. xiii ibid. xiv ibid. 15