Syracuse University Department of Economics J. David Richardson Winter-Spring 01-02 602-01.des.doc Economics 602, Section 001 Survey of Macroeconomic Theory Intermediate Macroeconomics for Master's and Professional Degree Students Course Description Brief Description This is a course in intermediate macroeconomics. It is meant to follow an introductory course in macroeconomics, often a course called "Principles of (Macro) Economics." You may realize that microeconomics is the study of decision-making by various types of agents under various constraints and in various environments. Macroeconomics is the study of the “typical” environments in which such microeconomic decisionmaking occurs. It examines how these environments vary over long and short time intervals, how their variation depends on variation in macroeconomic environments abroad, and how they respond to home and foreign (macroeconomic) policy. “Typical” in this characterization means average. Average (measured by an arithmetic mean) implies the summation of activity by all the microeconomic agents in an economy, then division by the number of such agents in existence. Summation implies that macroeconomics deals in “aggregates” – summed-up measures. And measurement makes macroeconomics more empirical (data-intensive) than microeconomics. Participant Profile This section of 602 is aimed at Master's-level students in professional programs, especially in International Relations. M.A. students in Economics do not usually take this course, but one or two are doing so this semester because of our department’s failure to fill an open position last year. They will have more work to do than other students and will be graded on a separate curve. More detail will be available at a later time. Undergraduates are not expected to be taking this course; to do so requires special reasons (talk to me) and approval of a special petition to the economics department. Official auditors are welcome, but must do all assignments and exams. The university tries to discourage unofficial auditors, and if you choose to sit in anyway and unofficially, I hope you will understand that I do not want you to take up class time with questions, nor to ask me subsequently to testify that you sat in on the course. 1 Longer Description: Content, Style, Philosophy, Purpose This is a course in intermediate macroeconomics -- and more. It is aimed at deeply understanding applied intermediate macroeconomics in cross-national settings. By deep understanding I mean that I will be working to make you capable of interpreting, evaluating, and verbally articulating forecasts of macroeconomic performance in both the long and short runs. By applied I mean that I will be working to make you capable of making such forecasts yourself, and that the macroeconomics we will study will have, as best I can accomplish it, realworld correspondence. By intermediate I mean that I am pre-supposing that you have had at least one course in economics principles. By cross-national settings, I mean that I will bend over backwards to translate our text's illustrations into world-wide counterparts, and will try to develop supplementary case studies of macroeconomic environments in global environments. We will, for example, finish the course with an intensive case study of Japanese macroeconomics over the past 15 years. Because of these specific objectives, the course content will have some distinctive emphases. We will devote considerable time to long-run macroeconomics – the macroeconomics of growth and development – though we will of course also cover short-run macroeconomics in detail – the macroeconomics of stabilization. We will focus less than normal on theories of consumption and less on US institutions of fiscal and monetary policy. We will focus more than normal on capital formation (both domestic and foreign investment), on exports and imports, on government and international debt management and country risk premiums, and on exchange rates and exchange-rate policies (e.g., currency boards, crawling pegs, sterilized and unsterilized intervention), as well as on conventional monetary and fiscal policies. The course will also be more case-dependent than normal courses and more conscious of the need to persuade. But it will not be purposely less rigorous. It is important to say, therefore, in a musical metaphor, that this is not an "economics appreciation" course; it is a course in performing and composing (doing) economics, and in adjudicating the day-to-day tryouts among economists. In microeconomics, the principal instruments to master are logic and analysis, often (but by no means exclusively) channeled through graphs and algebra. That’s also true of macroeconomics, but macroeconomists “play” empirical data more often than microeconomists because of the importance of measurement in macro. Also, macroeconomists are more concerned with the overall impetus and impression of the woodwinds or brass or strings together, as well as crescendos and decrescendos, when many orchestras are playing together -- microeconomists are more typically concerned with techniques for playing each instrument well. The tone of all these instruments is technical, but I will not argue that they should take over the orchestra. I do not believe that everything in creation is orchestrated by economics, nor that the world would harmonize better if it were. I do believe that economics instruments are under-represented in the world's orchestra, and often played poorly, so that their popularity among critical audiences is low. We will be trying to change that. Finally, economics is more than music. I am convinced that it is an important framework for describing and interpreting a real and pervasive set of phenomena in every culture and time. That is why I will always be trying hard to illustrate how this music really matters. 2 Foundations and Prerequisites. The prerequisite for this course is an introductory course in macroeconomics -- principles of (macro)economics ideally. Most one-semester and two-semester undergraduate courses will satisfy this prerequisite. But those who have had courses at the high-school level only, or courses long ago, may find them inadequate as prerequisites. At Syracuse University, Economics 102 fills the prerequisite ideally, Economics 203 somewhat less well, and Economics 101, Introductory Microeconomics, even less well. I expect students to be numerate -- able to read and interpret graphs and tables and to solve simple algebraic and numeric problems. Please do not continue with the course if you are feel yourself unable to master the reading or assignments in the first few weeks. Grading System: Assignments, Exams, Participation. Grades will be based on 111 points worth of assignments, exams, and participation, for all students, as follows: Assignments -- 24 points (3 points each on the 8 assignments to be handed in; 3 can be skipped; I will select your top 8 grades when more than 8 are handed in). Exams – 75 points. First Midterm Exam, Thursday, January 31 -- 12 percent. Second Midterm Exam, Thursday, February 21 -- 15 percent. Third Midterm Exam, Thursday, April 4 -- 27 percent. Final Exam, date to be determined -- 21 percent, with chances to increase grades from earlier exams. Participation -- 12 points. Everyone-has-a-bad-day scaling. At the end of the course I will ignore the lowest 11 points of your various grades. This is, of course, to your benefit, but understand also how that motivates the very strict policies on late assignments and makeups, described below. Assignments will be weekly (except during the week of the midterm exams) and will contain questions of several types: written assignments based on in-text exercises and end-ofchapter problems from the textbook, assignments devised from other readings, including The Economist, and supplementary exercises from time to time. Assignments will typically be made available as attachments to emails sent out from me Thursday or Friday of the week before they are due. Exams will be very much like assignments, involving problem-solving of the kind represented in the textbook and lectures. A week before each required exam, a large set of questions will be distributed to you from which most of the exam will be drawn. You are free to 3 work together on answering these before the exam itself (see below, Independent and Joint Work). During the exam period you will be asked to re-draft answers to a sub-set of the larger set. All but at most one question/problem (out of 3 or 4) on each exam will come from the larger set. The one question you have not seen may be a brief battery of multiple choice questions. Participation grades will have roughly the same mean across the class as grades on assignments and exams. Participation involves a variety of activities. Taking initiative to advance your own knowledge is the most important thing. It might involve asking questions, in and after class, or over email, and in office visits. It might involve discussions of supplementary material that you see on any of our themes, say newspaper clips or web discussions, or brief written reactions that you have to course content. It might involve following up with me on my own reactions to your written assignments, telling me why you may disagree with my assessments, and then hearing my response. Late Assignments. Assignments are always due at the very beginning of Tuesday’s class. Those handed in after the class begins will lose 10 percent of the grade, and continue to lose 10 percent for every subsequent 24 hour period that they are late. Makeups. There will be no makeup exam for any of the three midterms. Unavoidable circumstances, including sickness, are covered adequately by the "everyone-has-a-bad-day scaling" above, and by the chance to be "re-examined" to some degree, if you desire, on the final exam. There will be a makeup for the final exam, if necessary, at a time to be arranged, possibly as late as the beginning of Fall 2002 semester. Approval of make-up privileges for the final exam is not automatic; you must contact me in this regard as early and directly as possible. Independent and Joint Work. On assignments I expect independent work and will probe and penalize work that has been done on behalf of someone else. On exam questions, you are welcome to work jointly on answers to the large set of questions handed out before each exam, but of course you will re-draft your answers independently to the smaller set during the exam period. Beware that (for many reasons) joint study groups that are too large or too diverse tend to become satisfied with an answer that represents only the average performance of the members of the group, not the best. Note, please: under no circumstances will term papers be a supplement to or substitute for the arrangements above. Richardson: Office, Office Hours, Other Modes of Contact 347 Eggers Hall, Tel. 443-4339 (please leave a message on voice mail if necessary), FAX to Global Affairs: 443-9085. Monday, 1:30-2:45 p.m. Tuesday, 2:30-3:45 p.m. Wednesday, 2:30-3:45 p.m. Other times by special arrangement. 4 Email address: jdrichar@maxwell.syr.edu Text and Readings The textbook for this course is N. Gregory Mankiw’s Macroeconomics, fourth edition, New York: Worth, 2000. Also required is Adam S. Posen’s Restoring Japan’s Economic Growth, Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 1998 (an analytic and evaluative case study of recent macroeconomic trends and policymaking in Japan). Both are available from Follett’s Orange Bookstore in the Marshall Square Mall, and only from there. Handouts of newsclips and articles will be frequent in this course, and are considered part of assigned reading unless otherwise stated in class. If you miss a class, make sure to ask me for the handouts you missed; not all can be labeled sequentially. In addition, The Economist magazine will provide a large number of illustrations of the microeconomics that we are trying to master, and I encourage you to subscribe. The illustrations will be assigned reading, and will be recorded cumulatively through the course on a supplementary reading list that I will be updating weekly for you, via email. I will be providing reduced-price 15-week subscriptions for $25 per student. Further details are on a related handout. Compliance with Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 Students who may need special consideration because of any sort of disability should make an appointment to see me. 5