Client Morrison Healthcare / NHS Highland Document Title Supplementary OBC – Raigmore Day Services Centre Version EIGHT Status Final Draft For Board Job Number ED2677M Author Donald Milligan/ Kevin Gauld Date 23rd October 2010. Further copies from Donald Milligan Quality Assurance By Jim Hackett Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 1 of 121 NHS Highland: Raigmore Day Care Services 1.0 Executive Summary 05 2.0 2.1 2.1.1 2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.2.1 2.3.2.2 2.3.2.3 2.3.2.4 2.3.2.5 The Strategic Case Strategic Context Introduction Organisational Overview Business Strategy & Aims - The Case for Change Demographic Considerations Epidemiological Considerations Mortality Life Expectancy Long Term Conditions Lifestyle Risk Factors Summary Impact of Demographic and Epidemiological Data on Renal, Surgical and Endoscopy Services The Case for Change: Renal Renal: Clinical Context and Overview Renal: Capacity Considerations Renal: Environmental Considerations: Raigmore Renal: Overall Clinical Conditions The Case for Change: Theatres Operating Theatres: Clinical Context and Overview Operating Theatre: Capacity Considerations Operating Theatre: Environmental Considerations: Raigmore Operating Theatre: Overall Clinical Considerations The Case for Change: Endoscopy Endoscopy: Clinical Context and Overview Endoscopy: Capacity Considerations Endoscopy: Environmental Considerations: Raigmore Endoscopy: Overall Clinical Considerations Other Organisational Strategies Sustainability and Design Procurement, Construction and Operation of the New Facility Estates Strategy/ Raigmore Site Masterplan The Provision of Facilities Capable of Sustaining Growth Design Quality Summary Efficiency and Re-Design Framework NHS Highland Workforce Strategy Public and Staff Engagement Strategy Quality and Patient Safety Framework Investment Objectives Existing Arrangements 13 13 13 15 17 18 19 19 20 20 21 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.10 2.10.1 2.11 Business Needs – Current & Future Desired Scope & Service Requirements Benefits Criteria Strategic Risks Implications of Not Meeting the Need Constraints & Dependencies 21 21 21 22 26 28 28 28 30 32 33 33 33 35 36 37 38 38 38 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 42 43 46 46 46 46 46 48 50 51 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 The Economic Case Critical Success Factors Main Business Options Preferred Way Forward Short Listed Options Combination of Options 52 52 55 57 57 63 2.3.3 2.3.3.1 2.3.3.2 2.3.3.3 2.3.3.4 2.3.4 2.3.4.1 2.3.4.2 2.3.4.3 2.3.4.4 2.3.5 2.3.5.1 2.3.5.2 2.3.5.3 2.3.5.4 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.1.1 2.4.1.2 2.4.1.3 2.4.1.4 2.4.1.5 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.4.4 2.4.5 2.5 2.6 2.6.1 Government Waiting Time Targets Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 2 of 121 3.6 3.6.1 3.6.2 3.7 3.7.1 3.7.2 3.7.3 3.7.4 3.7.5 3.8 3.8.1 3.9 3.9.1 3.9.2 Benefits Appraisal Benefits Weighting and Scoring Benefits Appraisal Weighted Scores Risk Assessment Overview Methodology Risk Identification and Assessment The Results of the Risk Workshop The Cost of Risk Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity Testing Preferred Option Development of Combinations Selection of the Preferred Option 64 64 64 67 67 67 67 69 71 71 71 73 73 75 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.1.1 4.2.1.2 4.2.1.3 4.2.1.4 4.2.1.5 4.2.1.6 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 4.3.4 4.3.5 4.3.6 4.5 4.6 The Commercial Case Agreed Scope & Services Agreed Risk Allocation Risk Assessment through the OBC Process Board Risk Exercises The Risk Management Process through the PSCP The Risk Register Risk Owner Risk Action Plans Risk Quantification Key Contractual Arrangements Open Book Philosophy Construction Share Percentage and share range Priced Activity Schedule Defined Costs Recording and Collation of Costs Info Compensation Events and their Application Implementation Timescales Accountancy Treatment 80 80 80 80 80 82 82 82 82 83 83 83 84 84 84 85 85 85 86 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 The Financial Case Potential Capital Requirement Potential Net Effect on Prices Economic Appraisal Sensitivity Testing Capital and Revenue Affordability Potential Impact on Balance Sheet 87 87 90 93 95 95 98 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 The Management Case Procurement Strategy Project Management Arrangements Change Management Benefits Realisation Risk Management Contract Management Post Project Evaluation 6.7.1 6.7.2 6.7.3 6.7.4 6.7.5 Purpose Pre-requisites for Successful Evaluation Stages of Evaluation How we will Evaluate Feedback and Dissemination of Findings for Evaluation 6.8 Contingency Plans 99 99 99 101 101 104 104 104 104 104 105 106 107 108 7.0 Conclusion 109 Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 3 of 121 APPENDICES Appendix One Activity Schedules Appendix Two Accommodation Schedule Appendix Three Workshop Attendees Appendix Four Benefits Scoring Results Appendix Five Risk Workshop Results Appendix Six PSCP Risk Register Appendix Seven Project Programme Appendix Eight Financial Papers Appendix Nine OBC Forms Appendix Ten Optimism Bias Calculations Appendix Eleven Letter of Support from NHSH Board Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 4 of 121 1.0 Executive Summary Background The Day Services Project has been under consideration for a number of years and is planned to be NHS Highland’s single largest capital investment in recent history. During this period, as clinical models have evolved, the Project has developed from a Day Surgery Facility with national OBC approval, to an expanded brief, which now includes Endoscopy and Renal services. At its February 2010 meeting, the NHS Highland Board confirmed support to move the business case forward but recognised that there were opportunities to review a wider range of options that had the potential to: Maximise the quality of the patient experience Minimise any requirement for additional capital or revenue funding Maximise the use of existing NHS Highland Estate Minimise the requirement for any additional buildings In addition, there was acknowledgement of the potential for significant service synergies and cost improvements through the review of models of care, patient pathways and patient flows. It was agreed that this would be progressed through a revised Day Services Project Board chaired by The Chief Operating Officer, and including Ian Gibson, Board Vice-Chair in addition to senior NHS Highland clinicians and staff, together with representatives of the Board’s Principal Supply Chain Partner (PSCP) and Project Manager. It was agreed that this work would focus on reviewing the current position to ensure that the Board could meet the identified needs in the most effective way – both clinically and financially - recognising the opportunities that have arisen since the inception of this project. Decision by Project Board The Project Board at its meeting on 25th August 2010 decided that the Preferred Solution, for recommendation to the NHS Highland Board should be: Day Surgery and Endoscopy Services Option 4.1- a single storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit on the Raigmore Site. Renal Services Option 5.4 - Refurbishment of existing Renal Dept and accommodation on the 7th Floor of Raigmore (17stations with capacity for up to 25 stations in line with long term activity projections) with 10 Station Satellite in Invergordon. Quality Improvements and Better Deal for Patients The key feature of the Preferred Solution set out above is the delivery of a range of quality improvements to existing services which supports NHS Highland’s vision to provide quality care at all times; to support people and communities to maximise their own health; to develop precision driven services so that when people need care they experience timely, focused, effective services that minimises the duration and frequency of contact; and to ensure that every health pound spent delivers maximum health gain. The main areas of added value to clinical services are: Addresses the challenges in current services and facilities and in particular reduces the risks associated with Theatre Utilisation Rates. Addresses the issues highlighted in the recent Report by, the Joint Advisory Group (JAG) on GI Endoscopy and the increasing demands placed upon Renal Services. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 5 of 121 A clear shift in the balance of care with the creation of the Renal Satellite which brings services nearer to patients and reduces travelling times for patients. Creates opportunities for integration of Day Surgery & Endoscopy optimising patient flows and pathways in a modern, high quality patient environment. Separates scheduled and un-scheduled surgical activity promoting modern, efficient clinical pathways. Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care. Maximises the use of existing estate whilst minimising new build requirements. Surgical Services Existing theatre arrangements do not follow nationally supported optimum models of modern care which recommend separation of clinical pathways between day case and inpatient surgery. The present situation is a significant risk which is both potentially unsafe and unsustainable due to an overall lack of theatre capacity. Current theatre utilisation rates are 95% to 100%. As a consequence of the above, NHS Highland is currently at the lower end of the performance spread against the day surgery targets stipulated by The British Association of Day Surgery (BADS) and is not capitalizing fully on the potential of optimal short-stay surgery. This results in an inefficient use of inpatient beds due to the unpredictability of unscheduled admissions and their impact on operating theatres. In order to support the Board’s vision of providing quality care to every person every day, facilities are required which will provide a planned care facility capable of accommodating all of those elective cases identified and meeting all BADS targets and separating scheduled and un-scheduled surgical activity. Endoscopy Services The Joint Advisory Group (JAG) GI Endoscopy Report, published in September 2010, highlighted a number of deficiencies within existing facilities and issues relating to quality of service. Clinicians and members of the Day Services Project team have also acknowledged the shortcomings of the service for some time. The major areas of concern include: Non-compliance with decontamination guidance and insufficient space accommodate and achieve clean and dirty work-flows of equipment The inability to separate pre and post endoscopy patient pathways and flows Unisex changing facilities that breach patient privacy and dignity Grossly inadequate storage Insufficient nursing staff within the recovery area to Endoscopy capacity is insufficient to meet future demands, enable the move away from outdated and higher risk interventions and to meet national cancer screening targets. Renal Services Significant physical expansion is required to meet existing and future patient activity. The Raigmore renal unit, which has not been expanded since 1990, is physically unable to accommodate any further dialysis stations and space standards fall well short of current guidance. In addition, there is an overall lack of global renal dialysis capacity throughout the Highlands and many patients are being disadvantaged by inadequate choice in treatment location. The UK Renal Registry report (December 2008) covering the period 2002-07 showed that NHS Highland’s rate for Renal Replacement was 140 patients per million population, while the rate for Scotland as a whole averaged around 120 per million population. These demands on the service have resulted in a 9 fold increase in patients, from 8 to 70 and a 5 fold increase in staff from 11 to 57, to cope with these pressures. Informing Engaging and Involving Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 6 of 121 At its meeting in February 2010 the NHS Highland Board tasked the Project Board and Project Team to identify a Preferred Solution. The starting point was the long list of options agreed at that meeting. A range of Investment Objectives and detailed Project Objectives are also in place. The service requirements were identified through the development of Clinical Briefs. The range of options identified, were subjected to a series of appraisal processes which included the identification of benefits against which the options would be measured. In turn these benefits were assessed on the basis of economic, financial and non financial criteria. A short list of options was consequently identified. In order to address the requirements of Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal Services a short list of combination of service specific options was developed. The levels of engagement throughout the process have been consistently high and based upon a number of Workshops attended by key stakeholders, discussions with the Patients Council, regular meetings with, and direction from the Project Board and reports to the NHS Highland Board. In addition a meeting was held with the Scottish Health Directorates Capital Investment Group to update progress and to confirm compliance with current guidance and due process. Key Objectives The key Project Objectives have been identified as follows: To provide additional Day Surgical, Endoscopy and Renal capacity that will allow NHS Highland to meet current and future demands and enable the implementation of modern clinical practice. To improve business processes, patient flows and clinical pathways that optimise the efficiency of clinical services. To provide capacity to meet the Governments waiting time targets related to surgical activity, specifically to meet the 84% BADS HEAT target. To provide a modern working environment which is attractive to current and prospective employee’s, improving recruitment & retention at Raigmore Hospital and the location of the satellite dialysis facility. To provide an integrated, fit for purpose, Renal Dialysis service in an environment that is appropriate for patient’s needs. To appropriately share facilities and services where this is clinically appropriate. To develop facilities that are more sustainable and efficient than those that they replace. To utilise essential investment to deliver optimal improvement in overall performance. To develop a modern Endoscopy unit with sufficient capacity that meets current demands and has appropriate supporting services and a compliant decontamination unit. Summary of Shortlisted Options The Day Services Project is based upon three distinct clinical services - Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal Services. In order to address the requirements of each service combinations of options were identified. The short list of Options is shown below Options Combination Description Option 1a Entire New Build Day Services Options 2.1, 3.3, 5.4 Options 2.2, 3.1, 5.4 Options 2.2, 3.2, 5.4 Day Surgery Refurbishment in Raigmore, New Build Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite New Build Day Surgery out with Raigmore, Endoscopy in Children’s Ward, Refurb Renal and Satellite New Build Day Surgery out with Raigmore, Endoscopy in Children’s Ward, Refurb Renal and Satellite Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 7 of 121 Options 2.2, 3.3, 5.4 Options 4.1, 5.4 New Build Day Surgery out with Raigmore, New Build Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite Options 4.2, 5.4 Two Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite Options 4.3 ,5.4 New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Wd 11 site, Refurb Renal and Satellite Do Nothing Continue with the existing range and level of services Non- Financial Appraisal The benefits generation workshop was held at the Raigmore Hospital on 12th April 2010. The purpose of the workshop was to examine the key drivers and benefits that NHS Highland was looking to achieve through the project, formulate the Benefits Criteria which options would be scored against and weight these benefits relative to each other. It also explained that the Benefits Criteria contained in the original OBC, though in need of further definition, must be accounted for in this exercise in order to maintain an “audit trail” of commonality through the Business Case stage of the project The weightings to be applied to each of the Benefits are in increments of 5 – 20 as noted below: 5 - of least (relative) importance, “good to have” 10 – important that some element is reflected in the project 15 – very important to the project 20 – Fundamental to the project Full details of the Benefits and the weightings applied are shown in the Economic Case. In order to take forward the Appraisal process a Workshop was held on 28 th May 2010 at which each of the above options was scored against the Non Financial Benefits Criteria. The relative weightings for each of the Non Financial Benefits Criteria were also finalised. The results of the Non Financial Appraisal were as follows: weighted % to total ranking score New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Ward 11 755 82.1% 1 Refurb Renal in Raigmore with Satellite 746 81.1% 2 Renal to BTS with Satellite 744 80.8% 3 New Build 710 77.1% 4 Endoscopy in Ward 11 709 77.0% 5 Single Story New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy 697 75.8% 6 New Build Endoscopy 690 75.0% 7 Two Storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy 690 75.0% 8 Renal to Ward 11 688 74.8% 9 Day Surgery New Build Off Site 654 71.1% 10 Day Surgery Refurbishment 635 69.0% 11 Renal to BTS 635 69.0% 12 Endoscopy in Children's Ward 632 68.7% 13 Do Nothing 365 39.6% 14 Options 5.2 and 5.1 were excluded from the long list and the consequent financial appraisal due to the constraints in obtaining BTS Building. The principal issues were that there was a Option 4.3 5.4 5.2 1.a 3.1 4.1 3.3 4.2 5.3 2.2 2.1 5.1 3.2 X Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 8 of 121 lack of clarity around when BTS would move and that NHS Highland did not own the entire BTS building. Option 5.3 Renal to Ward 11 was excluded from the financial appraisal because 4.3 New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Ward 11, was the top ranked option and consequently made better use of Ward 11 than Option 5.3 in terms of non financial benefits. Economic and Financial Appraisal The Financial Appraisal remains a challenge and will be the subject of further discussions and review. Preferred Solution As a result of the Non Financial, Economic Appraisal and Financial Appraisal outlined above The Project Team decided that the Preferred Solution, for recommendation to the Project Board should be: Day Surgery and Endoscopy Services Option 4.1 - A single storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit on the Raigmore Site. Renal Services Option 5.4 - Refurbishment of existing Renal Dept and accommodation on the 7th Floor of Raigmore (17 stations with capacity for up to 25 stations in line with long term activity projections), with 10 station Satellite in Invergordon. In arriving at the choice of a Preferred Solution the Project Team recognises that its choice is not the lowest option in Capital cost terms. However it does represent both best value for money and not only addresses the challenges in the existing services but also generates a range of genuine improvements in the quality of the services offered to the patients of NHS Highland. The key features and anticipated benefits of the Preferred Combination of Options are summarised below: Renal Satellite Unit Renal Refurb on 7th Floor Raigmore Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit on the Raigmore Site Improves access to health services through supporting a Shift in the Balance of Care Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care Optimises patient flow and patient journey Supports new models of care Optimises patient flows and the patient journey Reduces the “hand-offs” Improves the patient pathway & journey Reduces the “hand-offs” Improves quality of care Improves communication between all members of the multi-disciplinary team Creates opportunities for integration of Day Surgery & Endoscopy staff/ patient journeys Has the potential to reduce staff revenue costs through appropriate shared service planning Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 9 of 121 number of number of Improves environment the clinical Improves privacy & dignity Makes efficient existing estate use Enables implementation local & national strategy Very close proximity to patients requiring inpatient (acute) dialysis Reduces duplication of space/areas between Day Surgery & Endoscopy Potential to reduce revenue costs Reduces vertical travel distances for staff and patients pre and postprocedure Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care of Improved patient dignity of Potential to productivity improve Potential to improve staff motivation and therefore staff retention Creates better opportunities training Potential to increase hospital-wide seminar and meeting space Closing the Affordability Gap The Board has been working towards funding the capital requirements of the Project by consolidating capital under spends for a number of years. As part of the Full Business Case all the elements of the capital costs will be subject to Benchmarking and competitive tendering to ensure value for money. The Board’s Cost Advisor will scrutinise this process. The imperative, in terms of affordability, is therefore to focus on the Revenue impact of the Preferred Solution. Although the Project Team has sought to maximise the use of the existing estate the Preferred Solution does contain an element of New Build facilities, without taking any of the existing estate out of use. As a consequence the revenue impact of the Preferred Solution is greater than the revenue costs of the existing services. The current net additional revenue impact is £589,000. In arriving at this position the following cost saving measures have been identified: Removal of the costs of the Modular Theatre (which will be required should this scheme not go ahead) Savings in Capital Charges Review of bed numbers resulting in a reduction of 10 beds Savings in payments to staff Work will continue to identify additional measures to reduce the current net additional revenue impact of £589,000. Key Project Risks and Management of Risk Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 10 of 121 The methodology used to assess risk is outlined below. The process of risk management is fourfold: Risk Identification – develop a Risk Register covering key risk areas and individual risks within these areas. Risk Assessment – each of the options must be assessed against the risk register, assessing the impact, probability and exposure using a simple scale of 1(low) to 5 (high). The overall exposure to risk is then a product of the impact of risks and likelihood of them occurring. Risk Quantification – putting a value to each of the risks using estimates of probability, impact and timing. Generally for the preferred option only. Developing a Risk Management Plan – a plan to manage all the risks identified in the risk register for the preferred option, including responsible persons and monitoring mechanism. As a result of implementing the above process and through consolidated at a Risk Workshop held on 15th September 2010. The following key risks have been identified: Transition NHS Highland recognises that the reconfiguration of Day Surgery, Renal and Endoscopy services into a new facility represents a major challenge in terms of ensuring that service continuity is maintained. To move services from the various locations in the Raigmore into the new facilities will be a major logistical exercise in migration terms. New Service model Inherent in the project outcomes for the Project is the opportunity to realign the service delivery model to promote best practice and new methodologies aimed at service improvement. However, in order to implement these changes to service delivery, the project team are very aware that there can be short-term risks during the transition to the new working practices, especially when coupled to the move into the new facility. The risk to be avoided here is very much the transfer of old practices into the new facility. Implications of not meeting the need: If the needs articulated in this Business Case are not met through the provision of the new facility, the following implications will become apparent: NHS Highland will be unable to provide additional Day Surgical, Endoscopy and Renal capacity that will allow NHS Highland to meet current and future demands and enable the implementation of modern clinical practice; The opportunity to improve business processes, patient flows and clinical pathways that optimise the efficiency of clinical services will not be met; The capacity required to meet the Governments waiting time targets related to surgical activity, specifically to meet the 84% BADS HEAT target will not be achieved; The working environment for day surgery, endoscopy and renal staff will continue to be substandard and fall short of modern day standards and could adversely impact on the recruitment & retention of specialist staff; Renal patient numbers in NHS Highland are forecast to rise to 332 by 2015. Raigmore renal unit is operating very close to capacity and is not physically able to Raigmore Day Services 11 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 increase the number of haemodialysis stations to cope with projected growth having already compromised virtually all available office/ storage/ auxiliary space. While the limiting of renal treatment is not ethically advisable, treatment will effectively be rationed if the hospital haemodialysis service is not expanded. The associated risks if the recommendations made are not implemented are of a catastrophic failure of Renal Services in NHS Highland. The opportunity to provide an integrated, fit for purpose, integrated Renal service in an environment that is appropriate for patient’s needs will not be realised; Decontamination facilities will not meet the requirements of the recent JAG report and a separate project will require to be developed to comply with the new decontamination standards; Services could become unsustainable (Local and NHS Highland-wide), more costly and breach patient safety standards; and Lack of investment could result in further deterioration to building performance and ability to meet environmental standards. Continued reliance on weekend operating sessions will put pressure on operating budgets. Continued insufficient theatre capacity will create challenges in terms of maintenance and upgrade. Out of date Day Surgery facilities may deter surgical and anaesthetic staff from seeking employment at Raigmore Hospital. Retention of staff may also be an issue. Project Governance and Control Project Management structures are in place in line with latest guidance in the Scottish Capital Investment Manual and current NHS Highland practice. The Project Board is chaired by the Chief Operating Officer of NHS Highland and includes NHS Highland Vice Chairman, Director of Finance and a Partnership Representative. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 12 of 121 2.0 The Strategic Case 2.1 Strategic Context 2.1.1 Introduction NHS Highland has delivered significant achievements in recent years – treating more patients, and providing better, faster access to diagnostic and treatment services - as well as achieving financial balance. The Board continues to seek improvement in the quality of patient care however and, in line with other NHS Boards, has a published Local Health Plan. This plan sets out a simple vision for the people of the Highlands: “Quality care to every person every day” NHS Highland, in common with all Scottish health boards, has a huge advantage in being responsible for the total health needs of the population and, for integrated care. This means we are responsible for better health of our communities through population wide and individually focused initiatives to maximise health and prevent illness; for better care of our patients through quick access to modern services, in clean and infection free facilities, by well trained and courteous staff; and for better value for the use of the public money we spend by ensuring there is no waste and inefficiency, money is spent only on what is needed and has evident therapeutic benefits and variation from core care pathways is the exception. We recognise the importance of keeping a balance between the three components of better health, better care and better value because they are intrinsically linked and together constitute an effective health system. Any one area cannot be prioritised over any other. The roadmap for realisation of this vision is set out in the NHS Highland Local Delivery Plan (LDP) that outlines the strategic direction for the Board, provides evidence of performance to date and identifies its plans to address key national targets within the context of its strategic framework. Currently, there are 6 key objectives that form the strategic framework for NHS Highland. a) To continue to improve the health of people in the Highlands and to reduce the inequalities in health between different sections of our community. b) To reduce the time people wait to receive services. c) To reduce, to an absolute minimum, the chance of acquiring an infection whilst receiving health care and to ensure our hospitals, clinics and surgeries are clean. d) To ensure services delivered are high quality and clinically effective through robust outcomes evaluation. e) To treat people with chronic conditions sooner, near to home and earlier in the course of their disease. f) To deliver our programme of service modernisation. In addition, NHS Highland is moving quickly towards delivering services with zero wastage and inefficiency across all services and no unnecessary overheads. It is also committed to using modern, flexible, efficient, green assets to maximum effect. On a service-by-service basis a range of outcomes that will be delivered through implementation of the preferred option presented in this business case will contribute to the achievement of all of these strategic objectives. Most notably: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 13 of 121 For Day Surgery and Endoscopy, through the provision of access to a modern planned elective surgery/endoscopy facility: Improved health for the people of the Highlands through timeous access to a modern elective care surgical/endoscopy facility that has been planned and will operate in the context of a region-wide surgical and endoscopy care delivery model. Reduced waiting times for surgical/endoscopic review and intervention through: the creation of robustly challenged and justified additional operating theatre and endoscopy capacity; the physical and operational separation of planned and unscheduled surgical care; the optimal planning and utilisation of elective surgical and endoscopy activity; the further development of effective pre-admission assessment services; an increasing move towards more day case & out-patient based surgery. Reduced infection rates through; adherence to improved technical & space standards; improved building fabric & servicing; improved performance against National Cleaning Standards; enhanced patient journey/flow optimisation; reduced length of stay; enhanced endoscope cleaning/sterilisation/storage facilities; effective pre-admission assessment and screening. High quality services that are based on evidence based care and robustly evaluated through; extensive review and challenge of all care models; detailed capacity review and planning; optimal accrued benefits realisation monitoring; careful adherence to all current clinical and technical standards and robust challenge to all elements of this business case throughout its production. Realisation of significant components of NHS Highland’s service modernisation programme through; supporting/facilitating whole system re-design of all of the services involved; planning for these services in the context of region-wide care models; reducing lengths of stay within the acute hospital environment; integrating services when it is clinically appropriate to do so; supporting the realisation of a wide range of performance and service-related targets; contributing to the development of generic models of care. For Renal Services through the provision of access to a modern acute in-patient renal facility, renal out-patient area and additional satellite dialysis facility: Improved health for the people of the Highlands through the delivery of timeous access to modern renal in-patient, dialysis and out-patient services that will further enhance the existing region-wide renal services delivery model. Reduced waiting times for people requiring renal intervention both at the outset of their episode of renal care and throughout any chronic condition support they receive through; the creation of robustly challenged and justified additional renal dialysis and support service capacity; the physical and operational integration of in-patient renal care that is currently delivered in physically separate areas of the Raigmore site into one centre; the operational separation of in-patient and out-patient renal care; the provision of an additional satellite renal unit within refurbished accommodation that is appropriately located to support service demand closer to peoples home where this is required. Reduced infection rates through; adhering to improved technical & space standards; improved building fabric & servicing; improved performance against National Cleaning Standards; enhanced patient journey/flow optimisation; reduced attendance at major acute hospital facilities; improved patient training regimes; reduced occupancy levels. High quality services that are based on evidence based care and robustly evaluated through; extensive review and challenge of all care models, detailed capacity review and planning; optimal accrued benefits realisation monitoring; careful adherence to all current clinical and technical standards and robust challenge to all elements of the business case throughout its production. The treatment of people with chronic renal disease sooner, nearer to their home and earlier in the course of their disease through; developing essential dialysis capacity in a satellite unit within refurbished accommodation out with Raigmore Hospital; locating Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 14 of 121 this satellite unit where it can optimally address existing patient/service profiles around unmet need; reducing the distance travelled by patients with chronic renal disease substantially; delivering enhanced renal out-patient capacity; consolidating existing renal in-patient services into a single “region-wide centre of excellence” for inpatient renal care on the Raigmore site; freeing up clinician time to support increased patient interaction through reduced travel time. Realisation of significant components of NHS Highland’s service modernisation programme through; supporting whole system re-design of all of the services involved; planning for these services in the context of region-wide care models; reducing length of stay within the acute hospital environment; bringing services together when it is clinically appropriate to do so; supporting the realisation of a wide range of performance and service-related targets; contributing to the development of generic models of care. In addition to these service specific objectives implementation of the preferred option presented within this business case will: Improve the recruitment and retention of surgical, anaesthetic, endoscopy and renal staff across NHS Highland through providing facilities that people will choose to work in. Optimise the value of the capital investment proposed through rigorous review and challenge of all available options and proposals. Realise the optimal utilisation of revenue related to all of the services involved through recognising revenue efficiency as a major driver and factor in all appraisal activity. Ensure that optimal use is made of current estate throughout the NHS Highland Board area by exploring all existing operational and physical options available to support service requirements in the first instance. Utilise essential investment to address a range of issues that extend beyond the physical and operational confines of the services involved, e.g. to commence a structured programme of refurbishment of the main tower block at Raigmore Hospital. Facilitate the final stages of a strategic review and re-alignment of those services affected throughout the NHS Highland Board area, thereby realising a complete redesign of services that extends far beyond the confines of the planned fixed assets. 2.2 Organisational Overview NHS Highland is one of fourteen territorial Boards in Scotland, and is managed by a Board of Directors who are accountable to the Scottish Government through the Cabinet Secretary for Health and Wellbeing. The Board is accountable for the performance of NHS Highland services. It serves a population of over 310,000 residents (within the Highland and Argyll & Bute Council boundaries) and sees a proportion of its patients from the influx of tourists to the Highlands, which at certain times of the year can double or even triple the local population. In 2010 NHS Highland has a Revenue Resource Limit of £560 million and employs around 10,000 staff. Executive responsibility is through the Corporate Team which is led by the Chief Executive, Dr Roger Gibbins. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 15 of 121 The organisation delivers services to patients and local communities through five main operational units - four geographical Community Health Partnerships (CHPs) and one acute unit, Raigmore Hospital. These operational units are supported by a range of Corporate Services including facilities, pharmacy, personnel, and finance. There are four CHPs in NHS Highland: North Highland CHP (Caithness & Sutherland) Mid Highland CHP (Ross & Cromarty, Skye & Lochalsh, and Lochaber) South East Highland CHP (Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey) Argyll & Bute CHP. The Argyll and Bute CHP has the same boundaries as Argyll and Bute Council. The three other CHPs together make up the area of The Highland Council. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 16 of 121 Community Health Partnerships are directly responsible for providing a wide range of local and community based services including local hospitals, community mental health teams, community nurses, midwives and health visitors, therapy teams such as physiotherapy, speech and language therapy, occupational therapy, nutrition and dietetics, podiatry/chiropody, and a range of specialist practitioners such as Macmillan nurses. Relatively few General Practitioners are directly managed by the CHPs, but they have an important contribution to their work and are very much part of the local CHP teams. People living in Argyll & Bute receive many of their acute and more specialist services from neighbouring NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde. The Argyll & Bute CHP purchases these services from NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde through formal contracts. Each of the CHPs is further divided into localities, each of which has a Locality General Manager, and a local management team. The NHS Highland catchment area comprises the largest and most sparsely populated part of the UK with all the attendant issues of difficult terrain, rugged coastline, populated islands and a limited internal transport and communications infrastructure. The area covers 32,518km² (12,507 square miles), which represents approximately 41% of the Scottish land surface. The geographical nature of the region presents particular challenges for the efficient and effective delivery of health care services. The proportion of older people is above the Scottish average. However, levels of morbidity and deprivation are well below the Scottish average. In total NHS Highland will annually see and treat approximately 38,000 inpatients, 13,000 day case patients, 7,000 renal day attendances, 50,000 new outpatients and 39,000 accident and emergency attendances. About two thirds of inpatients are admitted as emergencies. In line with national guidance, NHS Highland updates its Local Health Plan every three years, planning and monitoring progress against a wide range of national and local priorities and targets. These priorities and targets are both extensive and challenging but largely support the realisation of a wider policy framework that is driven by 3 key reports and the subsequent documents that they have given rise to: 1. “Building a Health Service Fit for the Future” (2005). This document sets out the challenges facing the NHS in Scotland, in particular our ageing population and the rising incidence of long-term or chronic conditions. The report also recognises the particular issues facing rural communities, including access to services and transport. 2. “Delivering for Health” (2005). A document which describes the need to focus more on preventing ill health and reducing the impacts of long term conditions. This approach aims to provide as much care as possible in people’s own communities, and to reduce acute admissions to hospital, especially unplanned or emergency admissions. 3. “Better Health Better Care Action Plan” (2007). This document builds on the earlier work, and sets out a series of actions to “help people to sustain and improve their health, especially in disadvantaged communities, ensuring better, local and faster access to health care” 2.3 Business Strategy & Aims - The Case for Change In considering the business strategy and the case for change, a wide range of current and anticipated future issues have been identified under a number of key “themes” that have emerged during the service review process. The key themes, which are explored in more detail on a service-by-service basis, have been developed into the data that has become “the case for change” are: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 17 of 121 The capacity case; why the volume of services and facilities need to change and/or be re-aligned and/or delivered in a different way The environmental case; why buildings, facilities and other fixed assets need to change and/or be replaced in whole or part with different operational models The clinical case; why services need to change and improve In addition, a further key theme identified is “the financial case”; why the levels of investment associated with all affected services and facilities need to change/alter. This has been explored at length and is reported separately in the relevant section of this document. 2.3.1 Demographic Considerations As noted previously, the population served by NHS Highland totals circa 310,000 people based on the GRO(S) 2008 based population statistics. This is made up of residents of both the Highland and Argyll & Bute Council boundaries. It is anticipated that residents of the Argyll & Bute Council area will not be significant users of any of the services covered by this business case due to the distances involved and the Board’s objective of maintaining services as local as possible. Consequently, the projected population figures in thousands produced by the General Registers Office for Scotland (GRO(S)) shown below relate solely to the Highland Council area: population (000's) Highland Population Shift 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0-15 16-29 30-49 50-64 actual 2008 forecast forecast forecast forecast forecast 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 65-74 75+ year Data Source: GRO(S) 2008-based population projections (Feb 2010) age 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 group actual forecast forecast forecast forecast forecast 0-15 39.1 39.2 40.3 41.4 41.7 42.1 16-29 32.1 34.3 34.2 33.2 33.5 34.7 30-49 60.3 57.5 55.0 55.7 58.0 58.7 50-64 48.0 50.9 53.6 53.9 50.7 47.4 65-74 21.9 25.9 29.3 30.7 32.8 35.1 75+ 18.0 20.7 24.4 29.9 35.2 40.0 Total 219.4 228.5 236.8 244.7 252.0 258.0 Data Source: GRO(S) 2008-based population projections (Feb 2010) Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 18 of 121 Data Source: GRO(S) 2008-based population projections (Feb 2010) The population of Highland region has increased by around 6% over the last 10 years and is expected to continue to grow for the foreseeable future. This increase, past and predicted, is due mainly to net in-migration to the region, rather than natural increase (births - deaths). The predicted increase does not take account of any new external influences on population, such as increased inward migration due to climate change. GRO(S) data available projects over the next 25 years within Highland Region: A population growth of circa 3,000 in the 0-15 age group (8%) A population growth of circa 2,600 in the 16-29 age group (8%) A population growth of circa 22,000 in the 75+ age group (122%) A population growth of circa 13,000 in the 65-74 age group (60%) A fall of circa 1,600 in the population age group 30-49 (-3%) A fall of circa 600 in the population age group 50-64 (-1%) It further highlights an overall population growth of circa 39,000 people across the Highland Region area, primarily in older age groups. 2.3.2 Epidemiological Considerations 2.3.2.1 Mortality Cancer and circulatory diseases still account for over 60% of all deaths in NHS Highland; this figure is in line with the rest of the UK and other developed countries. Mortality from cardiovascular disease, the largest component of circulatory diseases, is falling in those aged under 75 years, but the socio-economic gap remains (see figure below). Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 19 of 121 Cancer incidence and number of deaths from cancer continue to increase, reflecting the ageing of the population. Cancer survival, however, is improving and the age-standardised death rate is falling, indicating that more people are living for longer. The top four causes of cancer mortality remain breast, lung, bowel and prostate. Of other major causes of death, those related to alcohol have trebled in the last 30 years. 2.3.2.2 Life expectancy In line with falling premature mortality rates, life expectancy continues to increase, as does healthy life expectancy, but the gap between the two is not closing, indicating that the burden of chronic ill health in later life continues and is shifting into older age groups. Healthy life expectancy is improving more rapidly for men than women. 2.3.2.3 Long-term conditions Definitions of long-term conditions (LTC’s) vary, making estimating numbers of people with them difficult. According to local Practice Team Information, about 54% of the population aged 16 years or over consulted their GP for a potential long-term condition in a 1-year period; however, this figure includes many who are able to manage their condition themselves. In the Scottish Health Survey, 37% of the population reported having a long-term condition, and 11% said that their condition limited their day-to-day activities. The prevalence of LTCs increases with age; in the Scottish Health Survey 65% of the over 65s reported an LTC, with 35% reporting two or more LTCs. Practice Team Information also shows that people consulting their GPs about one LTC are more likely than not to have at least one other LTC as well. For example, of those consulting their GP for CHD, only 8% have no other LTC, while 67% have at least two other LTCs. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 20 of 121 This co-existence of multiple LTCs probably reflects the ageing population, and also suggests that treating LTCs in isolation is no longer appropriate for the majority of the population suffering from them. 2.3.2.4 Lifestyle risk factors Smoking prevalence continues to fall; the latest estimates suggest that 26% of Scottish men and 25% of Scottish women smoke regularly. Alcohol consumption remains high at around 11.8 litres of pure alcohol per person per year the equivalent of 570 pints of 4% beer or 42 bottles of vodka or 125 bottles of wine. This level of consumption is enough for every adult in Scotland to exceed the sensible drinking guidelines for men and women every week of the year. Obesity levels continue to increase in adults: in 2008, 66% of men and 60% of women were overweight or obese. These changes in risk factor levels suggest that we will continue to see a reduction in smoking-related diseases, but alcohol-related health harm, circulatory diseases, some cancers and diabetes will continue to increase. 2.3.2.5 Summary Impact of Demographic and Epidemiological Data on Renal, Surgical and Endoscopy Services The demographic and epidemiological changes identified in the previous sections are likely to have two effects on those services being developed in the context of this business case: 1) A direct increase in demand on services based on population growth alone; and 2) A secondary increase in demand for services based on an altered demographic profile and epidemiological change. The latter point here reflects a significantly increased growth in the 65+ age group (of circa. 88%). In the face of evidence-based clinical models for each of the services involved (surgery, endoscopy and renal) this demonstrates significant links between increased age and the frequency of intervention/volume of service required. In the context of this outline business case this is reflected in the requirement for: 2 dedicated day surgery operating theatres; 4 endoscopy rooms; and 27 renal stations 17 at Raigmore Hospital 10 located in a satellite unit out with Raigmore Hospital 2.3.3 The Case for Change: Renal 2.3.3.1 Renal: Clinical Context and Overview There are 3 main clinical manifestations of renal disease: Acute renal failure Chronic renal failure End stage renal failure Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 21 of 121 Acute Renal Failure (ARF) occurs when the kidneys suddenly stop working properly due to factors such as infection, low blood pressure or toxins, a sudden injury to the kidney or loss of blood. Treatment required for Acute Renal Failure will vary and options include dietary modification, medication or dialysis. The majority of patients will make a full recovery; although in a small number of cases they may have chronic damage, or require dialysis. In Chronic Renal Failure (CRF) a person’s kidneys gradually stop working properly. This is a lifelong condition which cannot be cured and requires more treatment as it progresses. It may have a severe impact on patients’ lives. Eventually, many cases will progress to End Stage Renal Failure. End Stage Renal Failure (ESRF) is the final stage of renal failure when there is a total and permanent loss of renal function. A person with End Stage Renal Failure will die within weeks or months unless they receive renal replacement therapy (dialysis or kidney transplantation). There are two main types of dialysis: Haemodialysis Peritoneal Dialysis The vast majority of haemodialysis is provided in a hospital setting where a dialysis (kidney) machine pumps the patient’s blood to the machine and returns cleansed blood to the body. Each patient receiving haemodialysis is required to have treatment 3 times per week for approximately 4 hours per session predominantly provided at a hospital or satellite unit. Peritoneal Dialysis is carried out at home and involves removing waste products from the body by flushing dialysis fluid in and out of the abdominal cavity. There are two types of peritoneal dialysis; Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis (CAPD) where fluid is exchanged at regular intervals throughout the day and; Automated Peritoneal Dialysis (APD), where a machine controls the movement of fluid into and out of the peritoneal cavity, generally as the patient sleeps. Renal Replacement Therapy is the general term used for all of the different modes of treatment for renal failure including the two types of dialysis discussed above and renal transplant – which also has an on-going, albeit less onerous requirement for clinical care. Unlike other areas of medicine, renal treatment for those experiencing end stage renal disease is required to preserve life. Without regular dialysis, these patients will die within days or months. As such, forward planning is essential to ensure that services are in place to meet the urgent needs of this patient group. It is also significant to note that, although the actual numbers of renal patients receiving treatment at any given time appear low when compared to other services, the volume of treatment/care required by individual patients means that even small changes in patient numbers can have a significant impact in staffed capacity requirements. 2.3.3.2 Renal: Capacity Considerations Existing renal care across the NHS Highland Board area is delivered from: A 17 x station renal dialysis unit at Raigmore Hospital, Inverness operating 3 shifts Monday, Wednesday and Friday and 2 shifts for the remainder of the week; A 6 station “satellite” renal dialysis unit at the Belford Hospital, Fort William operating 2 shifts Monday, Wednesday and Friday; and A 4 x station “satellite” renal dialysis unit at Caithness General Hospital, Wick operating 2 shifts/ day. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 22 of 121 In addition: NHS Highland clinical staff also support a further 6 station “satellite” renal dialysis unit at the Western Isles Hospital, Stornoway that operates 2 shifts Monday, Wednesday and Friday. The available capacity within each of these units is limited by both physical and/or staffing capacity. In this context physical capacity can be thought of as the number of dialysis stations available at any given time x the number of “dialysis slots” available per station, whilst staffing capacity is the number of these “dialysis slots” that can actually be utilised because staffing resources are available to support them. It is important to note that, for clinical, social and technical reasons it is not deemed appropriate to provide dialysis services 24 hours a day. Rather a 2-shift (morning and afternoon) service is the preferred option with occasional evening dialysis (3 shift system) to support severe fluctuations in capacity requirements and the small cohort of dialysis patients for whom this is acceptable or preferable. It is further important to note that a 3-shift system is more expensive/ treatment, frequently doesn’t conclude until very late in the evening/ at night and is not suitable for a large proportion of the dialysis cohort, making it less efficient. Currently: Raigmore is regularly operating in excess of its total available capacity on any given shift (34 “slots” per shift or 2 patients/dialysis station/ shift) and very close to its total physical capacity overall (102 dialysis “slots”/ day); Raigmore is operating a “3 shift system” 3 days/ week to meet essential capacity demands; Fort William has the capacity to support a total of 12 patients requiring dialysis; Wick has the capacity to support a total of 16 patients requiring dialysis; and The Western Isles Hospital has the capacity to support a total of 16 patients requiring dialysis and is currently supporting 11 patients. As noted previously, whilst it is often possible (and appropriate) to view clinical capacity in global terms, even if this means patients having to travel for treatment, this is not generally appropriate for chronic renal dialysis patients due to the level of travel and disruption involved. Consequently, it is important to ensure that all efforts are made to deliver services (dialysis capacity) as close to patient’s homes as possible whilst recognising the significant challenges (and variances) associated with capacity projection already identified. In this context, the proposed satellite renal dialysis unit will not only assist in “shifting the balance of care” but also provide overflow capacity for patients who require to attend Raigmore Hospital when there is insufficient dialysis availability at Caithness General Hospital, Wick. In reviewing how renal capacity requirements are likely to change in future, NHS Highland has utilised nationally generated and validated data. The most recent national data available for RRT (Renal Replacement Therapy) comes from the UK Renal Registry report published December 2008, covering the period 2002-07. During this period, NHS Highland’s take-on rate for RRT averaged 140 patients per million population (pmp), (Lower confidence limits of this estimate 121, upper limit 162), while the rate for Scotland as a whole averaged around 120 pmp. Statistically, Highland’s take-on rate is therefore significantly greater than the average for the UK as a whole. The data implies that this is due to fixed conditions such as geography, age Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 23 of 121 of population, co-morbidity, social deprivation or genetic make-up of the population, rather than to simple variability in data (i.e. chance). The report also notes “a steady growth in transplant numbers” but also “haemodialysis numbers that continued to grow more rapidly” and an overall growth in the prevalent UK RRT population of 11.8% in 2007 compared with 2006. The report further notes that “Health Authorities with small populations have wide confidence limits for SPR (Standardised Prevalence Rate) such that the interpretation of data from a single year may be difficult.” This is demonstrated by the funnel plot below: In simple terms this means that smaller areas/those with less patient numbers will find it more difficult to predict activity growth and will also, because they have less capacity overall, be more at risk of creating either too much or too little capacity Highland’s prevalence rate of 910 pmp is consistent with the higher prevalence rate seen throughout Scotland in comparison with the rest of the UK; a prevalence, which is exemplified as the projections in figure 4.3 above, continues to grow. One of the reasons for this is the steady year on year improvement in mortality in dialysis, which is likely to continue as refinements in the way that patient’s are dialysed continues to develop. As an example the 1-year survival for patients commencing dialysis in 1997 was 76.6%, by 2006 this had risen to 82.2%. Accompanying calculations have estimated that this improvement might amount to a 0.5% improvement in survival rate of prevalent dialysis patients per annum until 2015 after which it would level off. The calculations also assume that 5 year average transplant rate will continue (8.6 per annum) and that one transplant patient per annum will return to dialysis. This information is presented at Appendix 1 (Renal Patient Number Projections). It is important to note that all projections presented in this document reflect global capacity and DO NOT build in the Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 24 of 121 flexibility necessary to ensure that capacity is provided geographically where it is clinically and geographically most appropriate. In summary, this data suggests that at the current incident rate of 140 pmp, NHS Highland will need the overall capacity to dialyse 142 patients (range 112 – 177) patients by 2020 and 160 (range 125 - 202) by 2025. The number of stations required to dialyse this number of patients are 28 by 2020 and 32 by 2025 (dialysing 5 patients/ station/ week) or 24 and 27 respectively (dialysing 6 patients/ shift/ week). The option of dialysing 6 patients/ shift/ week requires an evening shift and therefore becomes less suitable/ viable as the dialysis population ages and becomes more infirm. As stated previously, there are significant challenges associated with identifying a sufficient patient cohort who are suitable and able to accept twilight dialysis. Even if NHS Highland’s renal take on rate falls to the Scottish rate of 120 and remains constant there would still be a requirement for 22 stations by 2025 (at 5 shifts per week). However, this is improbable because current rates are unlikely to relate to any modifiable or changing factors. On a much simpler model, if Raigmore dialysis numbers increase by 5 patients/ year from their current levels, then there is a requirement for 28 stations by 2025. Previous growth in renal patient numbers in Highland has been partially absorbed by establishing satellite units in Wick and Fort William where patients can have easier access to services. This is still seen as an effective way of expanding services and is in line with the recommendations in a number of key reports such as ‘Building a Health Service Fit for the Future’1 (2005). Evidence from patient interviews and questionnaires highlight the advantages of these units, with the quality of life for both patients and their families improving immeasurably, and the number of miles travelled reduced dramatically (over half a million miles are saved annually by the 18 current satellite patients). A postcode analysis of current haemodialysis patients in Highland showed that 23% of this group lived in the Invergordon area, and 28% of questionnaire respondents indicated that they would be likely to use a satellite unit in Invergordon if this was an option. It is important to note that however, that despite the development of satellite units, the majority of renal patients in NHS Highland will continue to require treatment at Raigmore Hospital at some time during their episode of care either because this will remain their nearest renal unit, and/or because their clinical condition will require this level of care either in the short or long term. To this end Raigmore renal services require the capacity to support both local dialysis delivery as well as that required to complement and underpin growing dispersed satellite capacity and future unpredictability. The following graph identifies the expected demand and therefore planning assumptions for dialysis capacity at Raigmore and an additional satellite facility. A more detailed breakdown of the NHS Highland Dialysis requirements is attached at Appendix 1. Building a health service fit for the future (2005); Peer Review of Renal Services in Scotland (2004); Renal Disease in Scotland – A strategy for future management (2004); 1 Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 25 of 121 This above graph clearly demonstrates that existing capacity will be inadequate from 20122013. It should be noted that the “dip” in satellite capacity demand that occurs in 2023/24 is the projected impact of moving from a 3 to 4 patient/station operational model. 2.3.3.3 Renal: Environmental Considerations: Raigmore Raigmore renal unit is physically unable to accommodate any further dialysis stations, having experienced a 9-fold increase in patients (from 8 to 70 2) and 5-fold increase in staff (from 11 to 57) since 1990 without any physical expansion. A significant investment in additional area is consequently required to deal with existing as well as projected patient numbers and to solve significant space problems within the Service. Coping with increased activity in the absence of the physical expansion of clinical areas has created a difficult treatment and working environment within the unit and resulted in a chronic lack of storage, training and office space. This lack of physical space has also impacted on other areas of the hospital and has a significant negative impact on the unit’s operational efficiency, e.g. 2 Reception/waiting areas are extremely small, resulting in frequent patient congestion and lack of seating space during dialysis changeovers; based on hospital haemodialysis patient numbers in November 2005 Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 26 of 121 Lack of storage space for bulk fluids, etc means that Pharmacy deliveries need to be smaller and more frequent resulting in increased pressure within Pharmacy stores and the requirement for additional staff time; A lack of training space has significantly impacted upon the services development of some aspects of RRT. In particular, the lack of an area to train patients has prevented the development of home haemodialysis, with only four patients being treated on home therapy in Highland since 1998. Although home dialysis is suitable only for a minority (around 5-10%) of haemodialysis patients, it is a less expensive form of treatment than hospital haemodialysis, home dialysis costing £9,292 £17,260 annually per patient compared to £11,071 to £21,970 for hospital dialysis 3. In addition, home dialysis is considerably less disruptive to the lives of patients and their families and increasing the number of home haemodialysis patients would support the recommendations in the “Better Health Better Care Action Plan” (2007) to ‘provide services as local as possible’. A lack of associated clinic space has restricted the development of enhanced predialysis services aimed at improving clinical management during the pre-dialysis phase whilst supporting the optimal clinical, social and psychological preparation for patients. A lack of administrative accommodation means that staff who are directly associated with the day-to-day management/running of the unit do not have access to essential accommodation in/around it. This leads to operational inefficiencies, increased travel/down time and inefficient processes. In addition, there is a complete lack of single room/isolation facilities that meets current standards and an overall failure to meet current technical and space standards throughout the facility which has been identified as a significant organisational risk. Present clinical areas include: 4 x 1 bed areas (Without en-suites and considerably less than deemed appropriate/ safe by current planning guidance 3 x 2 bed areas 1 x 3 bed area 1 x 4 bed area The limited administrative areas that are available to support the unit are delivered from an adjacent temporary “portakabin-type” building which is extremely cramped and for which planning permission is due to expire in 2011. NHS Highland’s existing Estate data identifies the accommodation as being wholly unsuitable for the services being delivered from it. In addition, the current service configuration perpetuates a service model that forces renal services to be delivered from multiple separate locations throughout the hospital in a manner that is both inefficient and inflexible. 2.3.3.4 Renal: Overall Clinical Considerations Cost effectiveness of the various modalities of Renal Replacement Therapy, Dr S Vaughan, NICE, 2004 3 Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 27 of 121 In summary, existing renal facilities at Raigmore Hospital are completely unsuitable and incapable of supporting current and future service demand and development. In addition, there is an overall lack of global renal dialysis capacity throughout the region. Specifically: There is insufficient renal dialysis capacity throughout Highland region at present and this situation is projected to get much worse Whilst developing dialysis capacity out with Raigmore Hospital may help to partially address this situation there is also a real requirement to increase the on-site capacity at Raigmore for clinical and geographic reasons; The dialysis unit at Raigmore is currently running at a considerably higher utilisation than is deemed appropriate; Existing renal areas do not meet current space/technical standards Current facilities are having a negative impact on the perception of the quality of care delivered A lack of suitable space is restricting the development of new/enhanced models of care A lack of space is inhibiting the shift of renal care into communities, specifically through restricting opportunities to provide the necessary training/preparation required for modal shift Existing facilities are having an adverse impact on the Board’s ability to recruit and retain suitably qualified staff Existing accommodation is leading to inefficient working practices and compromising the ability to optimise resource utilisation The risk associated with not addressing these issues is, in the short-term, the delivery of an increasingly inefficient and non-viable service with growing clinical and operational concerns and, in the medium to long-term, an inevitable failure in the sustainability of renal services across NHS Highland. 2.3.4 The Case for Change: Theatres 2.3.4.1 Operating Theatres: Clinical Context and Overview The Operating Department (Operating Theatres) provides specialist facilities that enable surgeons to undertake surgical interventions (procedures or operations) on patients whose medical condition requires the same. It also provides accommodation for minimally invasive procedures conducted under radiological control by either radiologists or surgeons. Although the level of intervention will vary by patient, in general, within the operating department patients are received, reviewed, anaesthetised, operated upon and recovered. The service provides for emergency and elective patients who require surgical intervention and/or other procedures that require to be conducted within an operating room environment and/or anaesthesia, with facilities that allow functional groups to care for pre, intra and postoperative/anaesthesia patients in a low risk environment. Operating theatre services are delivered from a range of hospital locations across NHS North Highland that include: 9 x General and 1 x maternity operating theatres at Raigmore Hospital, Inverness 1 x General operating theatre at the Belford Hospital, Fort William 2 x General operating theatres at Caithness General Hospital, Wick 1 x General operating theatre at The Lawson Memorial Hospital, Golspie Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 28 of 121 2 x General operating theatre at The Dr MacKinnon Memorial Hospital, Broadford, Skye Increasingly stringent training standards in combination with more complex working environments and the difficulties associated with delivering “compliant” staff rotas in all surgical specialties is making it more onerous to continue to deliver these complex services in as wide a range of locations. NHS Highland has managed to sustain services through a combination of investment in staffing resources and complex shift/rota planning that is designed to optimise available resources. Surgery can be delivered on an outpatient, day-patient and in-patient basis, with an increasing move towards non-inpatient and shorter lengths of stay in hospital. NHS Scotland, in reflection of the global advantages associated with increased day surgery rates, has encouraged NHS Boards to actively look at their elective procedures and make daycase surgery the default position whenever this is clinically appropriate. They identify many benefits associated with this approach that include: Lower risk of hospital acquired infection vis a vis inpatient treatment Reduced time in hospital for the patient Care that is better suited to the patients needs Lower risk of surgery being cancelled (as long as day surgery facilities are separate from those for emergency patients) The British Association of Day Surgery (BADS) verifies these claims, noting that patients overwhelmingly endorse day surgery, which generally provides timely treatment, reduced risk of last minute cancellation, lower incidence of hospital-acquired infections and an earlier return to normal activities. They further state that day surgery provides better value for money overall. In order to improve same day surgery rates, BADS produced a directory of approximately 160 procedures across 9 major surgical sub-specialties that could be managed on a day case basis either in an operating theatre or other less onerous surgical environment. Within each management option they also identified aspirational targets for the percentage of procedures that could be conducted on a non inpatient basis. In order to support a move towards day surgery, HEAT target E4.1 recognises these targets whilst defining the on-going commitment of NHS Boards to increase the percentage of BADS procedures carried out as day cases or outpatients. Supporting documentation highlights that there were around 200,000 BADS procedures carried out in Scotland overall in 2008 with around 135,000 of these carried out as day cases or outpatients. The Scotland level target is for 84% of BADS procedures to be carried out as day cases or outpatients for the year ending March 2011. If this is achieved (and if the total number of procedures stays the same at 200,000) around 165,000 procedures will be carried out as day cases or outpatients. Hence, an additional 30,000 procedures will be carried out as day cases or outpatients (leading to savings in overnight costs). The undernoted graph highlights performance against BADS target by Health Board area for the years 2007 and 2008. It also identifies BADS targets for the year 2010. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 29 of 121 HEAT Target E4.1 Day Case Rates By Health Board As can be seen, NHS Highland is currently at the lower end of the performance spread against this target and is consequently not capitalising fully on the potential of optimal shortstay surgery. Although day surgery is generally at the lower end of the surgical trauma scale it is important to note that it is not without risk. The most effective risk mitigation strategy is through the provision of robust pre-operative assessment prior to admission; this requires the right accommodation and appropriately experienced staff. 2.3.4.2 Operating Theatre Capacity Considerations The existing main operating department at Raigmore, where all surgical activity (with the exception of maternity) takes place, includes 9 x operating theatres with associated anaesthetic rooms, prep areas and recovery spaces. This area caters for all surgical specialities, scheduled, unscheduled, in-patient and day case procedures – resulting in a complex and frequently inappropriate mix of patients in shared areas. In order to achieve existing Waiting Time Targets it has become necessary to use theatres to 95% of their capacity although this increases to 100% 2 weeks out of every 5. This is far in excess of the recommended utilisation rate (that allows for appropriate cleaning, maintenance, staff training, patient turnaround time, preparation time between cases, etc) which is 85%. The current situation has been identified as a major risk that is both dangerous and unsustainable. The following challenges are directly related to available capacity: Lack of segregation between elective, day surgery, trauma and emergency surgery; Requirement to undertake elective surgery on CPOD (Confidential Enquiry into Perioperative Deaths) lists and out-of-hours – this can lead to difficulties in protecting CPOD lists; and Scheduling of elective operating sessions at weekends and out-of-hours to meet waiting targets. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 30 of 121 As a short term expedient, a modular theatre is being rented and commissioned to give additional theatre capacity. This will not address the fundamental requirements of day surgery but will in the short term give some protection to day surgery lists and address, in part, the challenges of current capacity highlighted above. On completion of the new build the costs associated with rental will cease. In order to review existing and future global operating theatre capacity requirements, an extensive review of existing data was undertaken alongside a “horizon scanning” exercise designed to ensure that future delivery issues were also considered. The detailed outcomes of this process are presented as Appendix 2. It is significant to note that this data, which has been reviewed by internal board staff and external consultants, presents a prediction of planned elective surgical requirements that is significantly lower (circa. 50% of that) originally anticipated and reported in the first version of this Outline Business Case. This is primarily because: Calculations have been subject to robust clinical challenge; The latest, most current data has been used; and Key planning assumptions have been changed to ensure optimum efficiency, e.g. the length of the operating day, the average length of specific surgical procedures based on historical data and the number of weeks available in the operating year. As well as outlining the process undertaken to identify future day surgery capacity requirements, Appendix 1 also tests capacity assumptions for robustness against a range of scenarios/variables that include; the impact of changes in population data; varying performance against British Association of Day Surgery (BADS) targets; and procedure times. A high level summary of the Day Surgery data analysis is presented below. The outcome of this analysis is the clear identification that there is a requirement for 2 operating theatres to be developed within the day surgery area. These additional 2 operating theatres will: Address existing global operating theatre capacity issues, e.g. elective out-of-hours and weekend operating; Provide sufficient capacity for the “extended basket of day cases identified” for at least the next 10 years before any further review of service provision is likely to be required; Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 31 of 121 Deliver a planned care facility capable of accommodating all of those elective cases identified and meeting all BADS targets; Separate scheduled and unscheduled surgical activity completely; Free up sufficient space in existing theatres to accommodate all unscheduled and inpatient operating activity whilst addressing existing issues arising from a lack of capacity; Create the possibility for modernisation and upgrade of the current Operating Department in future; and Enable the modular theatre capacity to be decommissioned along with associated rental costs. 2.3.4.3 Operating Theatre Environmental Considerations: Raigmore All day surgery is undertaken in the main operating theatre suite on lists that include Elective and Emergency in-patient procedures. As major cases and emergencies are frequently accommodated on the same operating session as day cases, lists that over run result in day cases being cancelled. As with any cancellation action this has a double effect in so far as both the surgical slot already booked and the slot that the patient must be re-appointed into are both “lost”. In addition, these last minute cancellations cause additional unnecessary stress and upset for patients, families, friends and staff. Some day case patients currently use the general wards and are accommodated in a variety of locations including side rooms, patient sitting rooms and inpatient beds which is completely unacceptable. Modern practice, as advocated by BADS, is to provide completely separate arrangements for day case surgery allowing day cases to be dealt with in a predictable, timeous and effective way, by staff dedicated to the concept of rapid throughput day surgery. In the existing (mixed) environment day cases are frequently seen as being of a lesser priority than other patients and are consequently subject to postponements or cancellations when major surgery or emergency surgery has to be accommodated. Day case patients are also cared for in an environment designed (and staffed) for complex surgical interventions resulting in operational in-efficiency- and unnecessary stress when mixed with patients who are frequently very ill. In addition, if day case patients are delayed in theatre they are frequently transferred back to inpatient wards rather than the Day Case Unit (due to operational restrictions) resulting in a disrupted and unpredictable length of stay as well as further operational inefficiency and inappropriate mixing of scheduled and un-scheduled care. Notwithstanding issues associated with Day Surgery, Raigmore Hospital’s main operating theatre department is in need of redesign and reconfiguration (improved area and upgraded infrastructure). The space standards to which the department was designed to when it was constructed over 25 years ago fall significantly short of area allowances in current Scottish Health Planning Notes. For example the new Day Surgery Theatre area of 40m 2 is larger than the existing rooms in use which are predominantly 37m 2 – the allowance for a standard main theatre operating room is now 55m 2. Equally, storage space is inadequate with corridor spaces being utilised inappropriately. Given that the life expectancy of the main building is long, it would be prudent to plan for future improvement in facilities that do not meet modern day standards. Whilst this business case is not addressing the latent issues associated with the main operating department, the development of a separate Day Surgery/Endoscopy unit will enable refurbishment and upgrade of the main department in future and create enough capacity to minimise disruption during both major and minor capital works. At the same time it will create enough capacity to allow theatre utilisation to reduce to acceptable limits. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 32 of 121 2.3.4.4 Operating Theatres: Overall Clinical Considerations In summary, existing operating theatre facilities at Raigmore Hospital are completely unsuitable for the on-going support of elective day case surgical activity and incapable of supporting current and future service demand for capacity and development. Specifically: There is Insufficient global capacity to meet existing and future requirements Excessive evening and weekend operating theatre activity is currently taking place as a result of the lack of elective day time capacity There is an inappropriate mixing of scheduled and un-scheduled care patients, with all of the associated consequential problems/inefficiencies, as a result of: o An inability to effectively separate scheduled and unscheduled care pathways o A lack of elective capacity resulting in scheduled patients being operated on as part of unscheduled lists o The lack of a defined elective surgical facility/operating theatres There is a similar inefficient use of bedded resources due to the unpredictability of unscheduled admissions and their impact on operating theatres There is a severe lack of storage space for essential surgical supplies and consumables Existing facilities/services do not meet current technical standards It is impossible to undertake essential maintenance without a significant loss of available operating capacity and immediate impact on all related targets/performance The risk associated with not addressing these issues is, in the short-term, the delivery of an increasingly in-efficient and expensive service with growing clinical and operational concerns and, in the medium to long-term, a failure to achieve key waiting time and HEAT targets. 2.3.5 The Case for Change: Endoscopy 2.3.5.1 Endoscopy: Clinical Context and Overview Endoscopy is where direct visual examination of any part of the interior of the body is carried out by means of optical viewing instruments that are designed and named according to their specific function and the area of the body they are used to investigate. The technique can also be used to undertake an increasing range of both diagnostic and interventional procedures. Endoscope is the general name used for all of these viewing instruments that are usually flexible, steerable rubberised tubes containing multiple channels that various instruments can be passed through. They normally also utilise lighting which is generated through a fibreoptic core that is attached to a physically separate light source and may also include attachments. Endoscopes may be introduced into the body through any orifice including the nose, mouth, urethra or anus. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 33 of 121 Existing endoscopy services are delivered from a range of hospital locations and facilities across NHS Highland that includes: 2 x Endoscopy rooms in Raigmore Hospital, Inverness Main operating theatres, Raigmore Hospital 1 x Endoscopy room in Caithness General Hospital, Wick Operating theatres in Caithness General Hospital Operating theatre in the Belford Hospital, Fort William Operating theatre in The Lawson Memorial Hospital, Golspie Operating theatre in The Dr MacKinnon Memorial Hospital, Broadford, Skye Existing services are delivered through an endoscopy network that is designed to support local access to endoscopy services wherever possible but also that is reliant upon Raigmore Hospital in both a geographical and regional context. (Delivering services to patients for whom Raigmore is “local” but also to those who require the technical and clinical support afforded by a major acute hospital with attendant personnel and services) Although the level of intervention will vary by patient, in general, within the endoscopy department – very much in line with the operating department - patients are received, reviewed, anaesthetised, investigated/operated upon and recovered. Also, in a similar manner to the operating department, the service provides for emergency and elective patients who require investigation and/ or intervention within an endoscopy/ interventional environment and/ or anaesthesia, with facilities that allow functional groups to care for pre, intra and post-operative/ anaesthesia patients in a low risk environment. The main procedures carried out in the Raigmore Unit at present are: Gastroscopy – looking into the oesophagus and stomach through an endoscope introduced through the mouth Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) – allows visualisation of the main ducts draining the liver and pancreas and enables therapeutic procedures to be performed through an endoscope introduced through the mouth Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS) – using ultrasound technology to provide images and information about the digestive tract or chest cavity through the use of an ultrasound transducer on the end of an endoscope that can either be introduced through the mouth or anus Bronchoscopy – enables a view of the major airways via an endoscope introduced through the nose Colonoscopy – looking into the large bowel through an endoscope introduced through the anus Entersocopy – enables a view of the proximal small bowel via an endoscope introduced through the mouth Flexible sigmoidoscopy – looking into the rectum and sigmoid colon (lower end of the bowel) through an endoscope introduced through the anus Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 34 of 121 Cystoscopy – looking into the urethra and bladder through an endoscope introduced through the urethra 2.3.5.2 Endoscopy Capacity Considerations Endoscopy services, in common with all diagnostic services, find themselves in a capacity challenged environment. The need to balance improved waiting times with an expanding screening programme and increased demands for complex interventional procedures is straining the endoscopy services within all secondary care providers. Currently, endoscopy services on the Raigmore site are delivered from 2 x endoscopy rooms (and minimal associated areas) and the operating theatre department. The provision of Endoscopy services is based upon a direct correlation between age & demand. Consequently, as the population demographics change, an increase in the number of patients will be seen. In order to calculate existing and future global endoscopy capacity requirements, an extensive review of existing data was undertaken alongside a “horizon scanning” exercise designed to ensure that future delivery issues are also considered. A high level summary of the Endoscopy data analysis is presented below. outcomes of this process are presented at Appendix 1. The detailed Summary Endoscopy Data Analysis Factors that have been considered in support of future capacity planning for these services include: Historical and future growth/demographic trends Current treatment times, space, occupancy levels and planning assumptions Occupancy levels Waiting time targets Existing unmet need The impact of staffing changes/redesign The impact of bowel screening programmes The impact of technology/new treatment regimes From the outcome of this analysis it is the clear identification that there is a requirement for 4 endoscopy rooms at Raigmore Hospital. These 4 endoscopy rooms with associated supporting accommodation will: Address existing global endoscopy capacity requirements, e.g. national bowel screening programme, waiting times targets. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 35 of 121 Deliver a planned care facility capable of accommodating all of those elective endoscopy cases identified and meeting all associated targets; Address clinical and operational concerns raised around the design and flow within facilities; Support enhanced models of care, e.g. Improved pre-operative assessment, followup. Move 90% of Barium Enema studies to colonoscopy thereby improving diagnostics and patient safety; and Recognise a requirement for Raigmore Hospital endoscopy facilities to grow in order to fully support and underpin the region-wide model for endoscopy service delivery being developed that it is the most complex component of. 2.3.5.3 Endoscopy Environmental Considerations: Raigmore Endoscopy services in Raigmore are predominantly provided from the Day Case Unit. As noted above, this unit is no longer able to cope with the demand for endoscopy that needs to be provided on the Raigmore site. Specifically, the existing endoscopy unit at Raigmore is located on the ground floor of the tower block and includes: 1 x Admission Room 1 x Patient Changing Area with 4 cubicles 1 x Consulting Room 2 x Endoscopy rooms 1 x Scope Cleaning/Storage Area 1 x 8 Bay Recovery Area 1 x Kitchen/Pantry The facility is extremely cramped with inadequate storage and poor workflows. Pre and post procedural patients as well as those in outdoor and theatre clothing are mixed together, often passing each other or finding themselves in the same waiting area. The patient journey requires review to bring about improvements in the service to safeguard patient privacy and dignity4. There is no clear “journey” through the unit and due to the existing cramped conditions male and female patients are often mixed in the same area whilst awaiting endoscopic intervention in theatre attire – in complete contradiction to mixed sex guidance. The existing changing facilities for patients breach patient privacy and dignity and there is no gender separation4. Post endoscopic recovery also occurs in a single mixed-sex recovery bay with shared toilet and shower facilities. There is currently no access to any single room accommodation and NO single sex areas out with the main endoscopy rooms. Mixing of pre and post endoscopy patients should be discouraged; alternative arrangements should be found for a second stage recovery area 4. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 36 of 121 In addition, the size and configuration of the unit, which was never “purpose designed” makes it extremely difficult to maintain wider patient privacy/ dignity issues at all times, e.g. aside from dress issues, endoscopy procedures frequently require bowel preparation and ready access to toilet facilities before and after procedures. The practice of providing bowel preparation in the recovery area is wholly unsuitable4. It is impossible to achieve this within the current unit due to a relative lack of toilet facilities overall – a situation that leads to frequent embarrassing and distressing situations for all. As well as a lack of space to support effective clinical care it is also noted that the existing endoscopy unit does not have access to any defined local staff changing space. As a consequence, male and female staff changes in a storage area within the ward that does not include toilets or showers – a situation that is completely unacceptable. Although a dedicated scope cleaning area is provided, in line with the remainder of the clinical accommodation, this does not meet current technical standards and/ or output specifications. As the unit services only the endoscopy department it is also relatively inefficient with a higher per unit operating cost than might be achieved in a larger unit covering a wider area/cleaning more scopes. Sinks used to clean endoscopes are no longer recommended as they are not sufficiently deep, do not have height adjustment and water level marks are not clearly visible. The decontamination does not permit clear separation of clean and dirty equipment and there is inadequate flow of equipment. To remedy this, NHS Highland would require to rebuild the unit4. The recently published Scottish Health Planning Guidance for Endoscopy Decontamination Units (SHPN 13, Part 3, September 2010) sets out the requirements for modern decontamination facilities. Recent Joint Advisory Group (JAG)4 on GI Endoscopy assessments and Raigmore Hospital Environmental Inspections (RHEI)5 highlight the inadequacies of the service in their reports. 2.3.5.4 Endoscopy: Overall Clinical Considerations In summary, existing endoscopy facilities at Raigmore Hospital are completely unsuitable and incapable of supporting current and future service demand and development. Specifically: There is Insufficient global capacity to meet existing and future requirements/targets, e.g. Bowel screening, endoscopy waiting time targets; There is an Inappropriate mixing of pre and post-endoscopic patients as well as men and women as a result of poorly designed flows4; Endoscope cleaning does not meet current standards 4; There is a severe lack of storage space for essential surgical supplies and consumables5; There is a lack of physical capacity to support effective pre-admission assessment; There is no defined changing area for staff 4; Existing facilities/services do not meet current technical standards; It is impossible to undertake essential maintenance without a significant loss of available operating capacity due to the absolute lack of endoscopy capacity; The risk associated with not addressing these issues is, in the short-term, the delivery of an increasingly in-efficient and expensive service with growing clinical and operational 4 5 JAG Endoscopy Assessment Report, Raigmore Hospital, 6 th May 2010 RHEI Report, 19th April, 2010 Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 37 of 121 concerns and, in the medium to long-term, a failure to achieve key waiting time and HEAT targets. 2.4 Other Organisational Strategies 2.4.1 Sustainability and Design The adoption of the preferred solution is designed to promote NHS Highland’s commitment to meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs in all of its activities. NHS Highland takes cognisance of the principles laid down both locally and nationally for the promotion of sustainability in all activities undertaken by the Public Sector. This project will promote sustainability across three fronts, these are: 2.4.1.1 Procurement, Construction and Operation of the New Facility. The facility design has been developed to provide a comfortable and stimulating environment for the occupants whilst minimising the impact of the building on the environment both during construction and in operation. A number of measures, outlined below, have been considered in order to improve the sustainability of the building; these aspects will continue to be developed throughout the design process and will obviously take cognisance of final site location. Passive Energy Saving Measures By careful consideration of the location, orientation, form and construction type of the building, a comfortable internal environment will be maintained with minimal energy input. Daylighting Natural light can make an important contribution to sustainability by reducing the electrical energy used for artificial lighting. It also contributes to the well-being of visitors and staff, and the aesthetics and feel of the space. Natural Ventilation The use of natural ventilation will be maximised to provide a comfortable internal environment. The layouts, where possible, allow for effective cross-ventilation of space by means of opening windows. Building Envelope The building will include a high level of thermal insulation and careful detailing to minimise unwanted heat loss. Efficient Building Services Installations The building services systems within the building will be designed and controlled so that they operate at maximum efficiency and only operate when required, thus minimising energy consumption. Some examples of ways in which the building services may be designed to reduce energy consumption are as follows: The artificial lighting will utilise low energy fluorescent or discharge lamps and luminaires with high light output ratio. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 38 of 121 Automatic lighting controls, with manual override, will be used to ensure lights are switched off when sufficient natural daylight is available or when rooms are unoccupied. All air handling units will incorporate variable speed fans. Automatic controls will ensure the fans only deliver the volumes or air required to suit the requirements of the space at any particular time. This will reduce energy consumption for both fans and heating of fresh air. Water Conservation Water consumption will be reduced where permitted to reduce wastage. Materials Construction materials will be selected on grounds of their suitability for the job and their sustainability. Choosing sustainable construction materials involves consideration of environmental impacts throughout their life cycle and the avoidance of non-renewable materials where possible. The following have been considered during the selection process: Impact of the material’s production on the environment. Hazards to health or local environment during construction or use. Life span of the material. Nature of the resources involved, renewable or non-renewable, scarce or abundant. Emission of CO2 during production and consideration of embodied energy. Eventual destination of the material after the building’s life; where possible materials and construction methods should be employed that will allow building components to be reused at the end of the building’s life, or recycled where reuse is not possible. The methodologies set out in “The Green Guide to Specification” (bre: August 2007) will be used to assess different materials and determine the most sustainable material for each element of the buildings. Where possible A +/A rated materials or their nearest equivalent will be used. Landscaping & Ecology The following items have been considered in respect of how the facility will interact with its surroundings: Biodiversity before and after the build Use of native species Use of a scheme that avoids artificial irrigation or fertilizers Avoidance of disturbing the water table and watershed Integrated pest management Management/ Methodology The following proposed procedures will help to develop a sustainable construction methodology for the contractor: Using lean construction methods with minimum waste. Minimising energy use during construction. Separation of construction waste (and avoidance of waste in the first place) and the careful disposal of toxic waste to prevent pollution of the local environment. Preserving local biodiversity through careful and compact zoning of construction activities. Conserving water resources. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 39 of 121 Developing good relationships with local people in order to safeguard particularly important features of the local environment. Careful monitoring of the construction process. Responsible sourcing through identification of the supply chain and product stewardship. 2.4.1.2 Estates Strategy/ Raigmore Site Masterplan NHS Highland is currently in the process of updating its Estates Strategy and Site Masterplan for Raigmore and is confident that the proposals contained within this business case will support the objectives identified within these documents. In particular, the Raigmore component of the preferred option is a major element of the developing site masterplan that is being utilised to achieve positive outcomes that extend beyond the primary objective of the capital investment into a more widespread range of benefits in support of the site masterplan and estate strategy, e.g. The proposed re-development of level 7 (top floor) of the “tower block” will represent the commencement of a more widespread investment in this important area of the estate that is now 25 years old. The development of the day surgery facility as a separate project will support a re-alignment of existing in-patient operating theatres in order to address existing technical/operational limitations. (It will also provide the infrequent capacity required to support essential maintenance) The project is being used as a catalyst for the review/re-alignment of existing energy strategies including the development of biomass capability. The project will support a more widespread review of travel planning across the site, including bus/cycle and pedestrian access routes. The project will facilitate the removal of temporary buildings that have provided a “stop gap” solution to some service needs, e.g. renal “portakabin” which only has temporary planning permission. The location of the facility will allow staff to utilise existing services as far as possible rather than duplicating them in the new structure. The briefing of new facilities will meet the higher standards of technical specifications specified within the latest relevant technical guidance and/or NHS Highland Estate Strategy. 2.4.1.3 The provision of facilities capable of sustaining growth The overriding objective of this project is to provide modern, fit for purpose, NHS inpatient facilities that are essential and integral elements of the inpatient provision in the Highland area. The ideas of ‘growth’ and ‘sustainability’ could be regarded as potentially opposing forces. Consideration has been given to sustaining growth by providing a facility with a: Long Life Low Maintenance Flexible Layout Capability of Extension Potential for re-use/ adaptation of the premises by other functions Future proofing of the existing facility will be considered. 2.4.1.4 Design Quality Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 40 of 121 NHS Highland recognises and fully supports the requirements presented in CEL 19 (2010) related to a policy on design quality for NHS Scotland and, whilst this project was initiated and had OBC approval prior to its inception, are keen to embrace its core principals. Specifically: The project has already been the subject of a number of AEDET design assessments. The Board’s Design Champion is continuously involved with all elements related to design. The facilities scheduled are being developed within the context of existing agreed strategies and are based upon a robustly developed and challenged brief. BREEAM excellent has been deemed a mandatory requirement for all elements of the new build. Post project evaluation and post-occupancy evaluation has already been planned as described elsewhere in this document. 2.4.1.5 Summary After Producing a building that is designed and constructed with conservation and sustainability in mind it is then essential that the ongoing management of the facility continues these principals. Operational policies will be developed to ensure resources are utilised to their maximum and waste is minimised. An Environmental Management System installed in the building will help staff control light, ventilation, temperature and monitor energy usage and allow targets to be set regarding reducing consumption. This new Hospital will lead NHS Highland’s journey in reducing their carbon output by making it the most environmentally aware building in their estate. It will also embrace the principals identified in the NHS Scotland Design Policy, adding value to the overall NHS Highland estate. 2.4.2 Efficiency & Re-design Framework Over the last 3 years, NHS Highland has embraced the approach outlined within Better Health, Better Care to improve health and health care services – both in terms of delivery and access. This work has been delivered in parallel with: The NHS Scotland Efficiency and Productivity Programme launched in 2009; and The Scottish Patient Safety Programme launched in 2008. Quality and Safety of services is not negotiable, the delivery of the Efficiency and Productivity agenda must be seen within this context – recognising that financial balance must be maintained alongside the ongoing delivery of the Quality Framework, and promotion of the Patient Safety agenda. This approach was reviewed, and subsequently confirmed by the Board Development in March 2010. It is important that The Efficiency and Productivity Programme is an integral part of this. The Efficiency & Re-Design Framework therefore focuses on the application of Efficiency and Productivity Processes throughout the area, rather than detailed consideration of the Strategic Framework. The proposals are brought forward against a background of allocating savings in the traditional manner, without the application of the Integrated Resource Framework (IRF). This is not yet at a stage to be fully applied against the overall savings target, but it is planned to apply this methodology in future periods to align efficiency targets with both current and “fairs share” resource distribution. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 41 of 121 It is important to note however that the brief and developing plans for all new and redeveloped facilities have been based on the principals emerging through the efficiency and design framework – recognising the significant positive impact that physical environment can have on efficiency and productivity. 2.4.3 NHS Highland Workforce Strategy The successful delivery of NHS Highland Strategic Framework 2010/11 requires the contribution of the workforce to realise the vision ‘Quality Care to every patient every day’ and delivery of the Triple Aim: Better Health, Better Care and Better Value. Workforce design, development and delivery underpinned by workforce plans and policies that support efficient, flexible working practices and are capable of responding to current NHS challenges are important. They will help to improve health, reduce inequalities and deliver HEAT and efficiency targets on time; in turn delivering safe, high quality health care services to patients in a way that is both affordable and sustainable. NHS Highland has already in place a number of key frameworks to support of the workforce agenda: The NHS Highland Workforce Strategy was developed in 2008 and its associated action plan was updated in August 2009, taking account of ‘A Force for Improvement’ The Workforce Response to Better Health, Better Care’ (2009) In addition, a range of National PIN Policies have been developed in partnership with membership drawn from management, trade unions, professional associations and human resource specialists. 2.4.4 Public and Staff Engagement Strategy NHS organisations are under a legal duty to inform and involve service users and staff in the design and delivery of health services. NHS Highland’s strategy is to facilitate engagement and inform effectively. This reflects the growing evidence that where people are given good information and involved in the right way it increases trust and confidence in the NHS. 2.4.5 Quality and Patient Safety Framework NHS Highland’s vision is to provide ‘Quality Care To Every Person Every Day’. In delivering this vision, three key elements must be delivered simultaneously: 2.5 Better Health – improving the health of the population Better Care – enhancing the experience of care for individuals Better Value – controlling the per capita cost of care Investment Objectives The Day Services project will provide modernised Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal services to NHS Highland’s population. Day Surgery and Endoscopy have similar infrastructure requirements and have the ability to share common generic spaces. The revised patient pathway and flows will enable these services to be delivered in a dedicated new build facility which will deliver high throughput, clinically and cost effective services which Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 42 of 121 will achieve the national 84% elective surgical patient target as defined by the British Association of Day Surgery (BADS). Similarly, the reconfigured Renal service will bring together inpatient and haemodialysis accommodation on the 7th floor of Raigmore Hospital creating significant opportunities for improved patient care, service efficiencies and better use of available space within the existing hospital. The overarching business strategy and aim is to deliver those services that the available evidence has identified are required whilst: maximising the use of retained estate, minimising new build and minimising global capital and revenue costs. The Scottish Capital Investment Manual is clear that Investment Objectives should clearly relate to the underlying policies, strategies and business plans of the Health Board. They should be made SMART-specific, measurable, achievable, relevant and time constrained and business cases which do not include SMART objectives will not be approved. In the context of Day Surgery and Endoscopy the objectives set out below have therefore been tested against SMART principles as follows: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 43 of 121 Investment Objective Specific Measurable Achievable Relevant Time Constrained Services will be provided in a dedicated combined unit that is separate from the inpatient service and therefore removes the possibility of disruption and cancellation as a result of competing priorities in line with BADS recommendations; No Day Surgery activity will be disrupted by inpatient or emergency surgical activity. No Day Surgery procedure cancellations. Physical separation of the Day Surgery facility and a separate staffing rota will protect Day Surgery activity. Process is consistent with BADS guidance. Objective will be realised on new service commencement. Briefing of new services will be based on all relevant SHPN, ADB and SHTM guidance. Design specification will be compliant with relevant SHPN, ADB & SHTM’s. Day Surgery and Endoscopy are new build. Renal may be compromised by the available refurbishment area. Compliance with Technical standards will ensure a high quality patient and clinical environment Objective will be realised on new service commencement. All patients will receive effective preprocedure assessment and screening prior to attendance; All patients will be offered and attend a suitable pre-procedure assessment appointment. The patient record will identify attendance. Future patient pathway/process includes preassessment. Pre-procedure assessment is consistent with best practice. Objective will be realised on new service commencement. Patients will be offered a date for surgery/endoscopy at preassessment, which will allow them to plan ahead, with certainty, for their procedure; A record of the agreed procedure date will be recorded in the patients medical notes and managed by the centralised booking service. Medical notes will identify the agreed procedure date. Agreement of procedure date is part of the preassessment process. Agreement of procedure date is important to managing DNA rates and optimal utilisation of available capacity. Objective will be realised on new service commencement. Patients will receive better information about arrangements for the day of surgery and endoscopy, including admission and discharge details as a result of redefining and reconfiguring day surgery/endoscopy as a discrete service; All patients will receive an information booklet that will better prepare them for their planned attendance. Medical notes will identify that the information has been given to individual patients. Information giving is part of the preassessment process. Reinforcement of information in writing is important to patient preparation, understanding and reassurance. Objective will be realised on new service commencement. The facility will meet all current space and technical standards; Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 44 of 121 Centralised booking service will optimise utilisation. Staff will be dedicated to Day Services and will not be distracted from their primary function by responsibilities elsewhere; Staff will be dedicated to Day Services. Staff rota’s will make available dedicated staff for each day surgical/ endoscopy session. Waiting times will improve through reduction in DNA and increased throughput; Planning for 100% utilisation and meeting with each patient preprocedure will reduce DNA’s and improve throughput. In turn this will accelerate improvements in waiting times. Additional capacity and better certainty of service delivery will enable the achievement of cancer targets and 18RTT. Information systems will produce regular reports on DNA’s, theatre utilisation and waiting times. The satellite service will support shifting the balance of care and enabling care closer to people’s homes; Additional capacity at Raigmore and the satellite unit will reduce travel distances and improve patient choice. The satellite unit will reduce travel time for a significant number of patients on dialysis. Patient satisfaction questionnaires will reflect improvements in the service and a lower level of complaints. Information systems will report on reduced travel times. Costs associated with travel will fall. Acute renal services at Raigmore will be rationalised into a single inpatient centre that will improve Raigmore Day Services operational efficiency and the patient Business Case experience. 15th October 2010 The creation of a 7th floor integrated inpatient and dialysis 45 of 121 facility will concentrate expertise in one area. The new design will accommodate inpatient and dialysis on the 7th floor at Raigmore Hospital. The Centre will support the achievement of both cancer targets and 18 week Referral to Treatment Target (18RTT). Patients will be able to access a more flexible timetable of provision for haemodialysis enabling this to better match individual’s lifestyles; Information systems will produce regular reports on cancer targets and the achievement of 18RTT. Physical separation of the Day Services facility and a separate staffing rota will protect Day Services activity. The right capacity at the right time with properly prepared patients will enable improvements in DNA’s, throughput and waiting time improvements. Improved capacity and protected lists will improve productivity thereby enabling the achievement of targets. More stations will improve capacity and a satellite unit will reduce travel time for many. The satellite unit location reflects the proximity of a large cohort of dialysis patients. Space planning confirms that area is available to deliver up to 25 dialysis stations on the 7th floor. Objective is consistent with BADS guidance and good management. Objective will be realised on new service commencement. Important in delivering timely care, improving productivity, optimising service delivery costs and to the achievement of national waiting time targets. Important in delivering against national targets and improving the health of NHS Highland patients. An immediate improvement will be achieved within 3 months of new service commencement. Important in enabling an improvement in the quality of life in people with renal failure. Important in enabling an improvement in the quality of life in people with renal failure. Centralising expertise will enable improved multi-disciplinary working and productivity. Objective will be realised on the satellite service commencement. An immediate improvement will be achieved within 3 months of new service commencement. Objective will be realised on the satellite service commencement. Objective will be realised on new service commencement. 2.6 Existing Arrangements Information and detail about existing arrangements is included at: 2.3.3 – Renal Service 2.3.4 – Operating Theatres 2.3.5 – Endoscopy 2.6.1 Government Waiting Time Targets The investment in, and development of, Day Surgery and Endoscopy services is crucial to NHS Highland’s ability to manage an ever-growing demand for services and to meeting current and potentially more onerous treatment and waiting time targets. The current activity analysis supported by demographic data as presented in Appendix 1-3 and elsewhere in this document clearly demonstrates a need for additional capacity to support the delivery of quality and timely health services. Specifically, this data notes that a failure to provide the additional capacity required in any of the 3 services covered by this business case; surgery, endoscopy or renal, within the next 18 months to 2 years will have an immediate impact on the Boards ability to maintain existing waiting times. 2.7 Business Needs – Current & Future Information and detail about current and future business needs is included at: 2.3.3 – Renal Service 2.3.4 – Operating Theatres 2.3.5 – Endoscopy 2.8 Desired Scope & Service Requirements Information and detail about the desired scope and service requirements is included at: 2.3.3 – Renal Service 2.3.4 – Operating Theatres 2.3.5 – Endoscopy 2.9 Benefits Criteria In compiling this OBC, a set of non-financial benefits criteria was developed based on the outcome of a Workshop held with the following key stakeholders on the 12 th April 2010. A list of the delegates who attended this Workshop are noted in Appendix Three of this OBC. This main focus of the workshop was to identify the key (non-financial) benefits that the project options would be evaluated against. The discussion was wide ranging and a number of key benefits were identified as being desirable outcomes for the project. After some debate, the following were agreed by the team as the key Benefits Criteria by which options would be scored: 1. Improves access to health services for all. Provides services closer to patients Reduces waiting times (globally) Increases BADS percentage Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 46 of 121 Reduces travel distances overall Reduces travel inequality 2. Supports the implementation of new models of care and the wider clinical strategy 3. Improves capacity & throughput Separates Emergency & Elective workload Improves compliance with regulation e.g. decontamination Enables the reduction of outmoded techniques e.g. barium enema Enables the separation of inpatient and outpatient activity e.g. dialysis Reduces bed numbers overall Reduces patient length of stay Improves the patient pathway & patient journey Shortened and concise pathway Reduced number of “hand-offs” 4. Improves the quality of clinical care including standards and clinical outcomes 5. Improves the quality of the physical environment and fitness for purpose of all new/ re-designed facilities Complies with current guidance re spaces (SHPN) Improves natural daylight Improves patient experience Improves QIS review & score 6. Improves Privacy & Dignity Reduces travel distances between clinical areas Provides discrete functional areas e.g. waiting, changing, interview and discharge lounge Provides “age appropriate” facilities Provides quiet/discussion/consultation spaces in all clinical environments Meets all standards re soundproofing 7. Supports the retention and recruitment of staff Provides a healthy and desirable working environment Improves staff satisfaction Travel to work is easier Increases number of applicants meeting job specification Reduces staff turnover 8. Improves flexibility and efficient use of staff resources Enables improved operating theatre utilisation Enables multi-skilling of staff 9. Enables the implementation of local and national strategy Fully supports the achievement of BADS targets Enables the achievement of waiting times Supports a “shift in the balance of care” Supports the realisation of “HEAT” targets Raigmore Day Services 47 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 10. Planning and tenure issues are minimised Ease of acquisition Ease of contract change Minimises impact on programme 11. Speed of Delivery Enables key deliverables within programme timeframe 12. Transition management Minimises the need for decanting 13. Supports the Environmental agenda Enables an overall reduction in Carbon (Facilities) Reduces transportation requirements 14. Makes more efficient use of existing Estate and Property Is in line with and wholly supportive of the NHS Highland Property Strategy Minimises the requirement for additional new buildings Maximises use of existing NHS Highland Estate 15. Minimises hospital acquired infections (HAI) Meets all required criteria Follows Hospital Acquired Infections (HAI) SCRIBE process Identifies separate and discrete "clean" and "dirty routes" Please see section 6.4 below for the development of these Benefits Criteria through the Business Case process. 2.10 Strategic Risks As the scope of the project began to consolidate, a Workshop was held to identify and consider the key business, service & external risks and to discuss appropriate and specific mitigation/ management proposals to ameliorate these risks as far as practicable. The workshop participants comprised the key Project Team members, Clinical and Financial representatives from NHS Highland and Key members from the PSCP Team. The exercise was hosted by the PSCP’s Business Case consultants, Currie & Brown. Please see Appendix Three for a note of attendees. The remit for the team was to consider the key strategic risks that could have the effect of placing the viability of the project (or elements of the project) in jeopardy or that could harm service delivery to the detriment of the patients being served by the new facility(s). The main strategic risks, and their mitigation factors, identified are as follows: Transition NHS Highland recognises that the reconfiguration of Day Surgery, Renal and Endoscopy services into a new facility represents a major challenge in terms of ensuring that service continuity is maintained. To move services from the various locations in the Raigmore into the new facilities will be a major logistical exercise in migration terms. Raigmore Day Services 48 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 Planning for this transition has already commenced and in order to mitigate this risk the following steps are being put in place to ensure a seamless migration is achieved. NHS Highland has appointed a Project Manager to the project, part of whose duties will be to manage the migration exercise. The clinical staff associated with each of the services will be carrying out a clinical risk assessment in relation to the move. A communications plan is being put in place to inform patients and staff well before any migration exactly what arrangements are being made for the phasing of clinics and treatment areas etc. In addition to all of the above and in order to ensure that services suffer minimal impact it is also proposed that there is transitional approach to the “close down”, move and resumption of each service – this is designed to allow each service to minimise downtime and to be able to continue to maintain the service levels required to meet patient demand. It should be noted that the staff who will take ownership of the migration (and who will comprise the working group examining these issues ahead of time) have been identified by NHS Highland. New Service model Inherent in the project outcomes for the Project is the opportunity to realign the service delivery model to promote best practice and new methodologies aimed at service improvement. However, in order to implement these changes to service delivery, the project team are very aware that there can be short-term risks during the transition to the new working practices, especially when coupled to the move into the new facility. The risk to be avoided here is very much the transfer of old practices into the new facility. In order to minimise the impact of this, NHS Highland is currently (ahead of the main project implementation) carrying out an “early implementation programme” designed to shift toward the new service delivery models (as far as practicable in current premises) prior to the move to the new facility. This includes for the training of clinical and other operational staff into the new working models. Communicating and informing people about any changes to working patterns and /or conditions of service and setting up an HR working group to implement change and deal with any staff issues. These steps are being taken in close consultation with the Unions represented in the Raigmore. It is anticipated that the steps taken above together with integrating communication of the new model as part of the wider stakeholder consultation should minimise the risk to disruption of services when implementing the new model. Biomass Provision It is the intention that this project also allows for the establishment of a Biomass heating system – this is included as both a measure that supports the new facility’s “Very Good” BREEAM rating and one which supports NHS Highland’s move to reduce the carbon footprint of the Raigmore site in general terms. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 49 of 121 However, it is recognised by the Project Team that, Correctly, NHS Highland are looking at the wider picture of the sustainability of the entire Raigmore estate. It is noted that a separate Business Case is being progressed by the Board that seeks to enhance the site’s Biomass capacity in order that this can be the predominant energy supply methodology across the site. In order that this proposal (which is currently on a differing timescale from this OBC) does not adversely impact the implementation of the new Day Services facility, a twin track approach has been adopted. The Biomass provision to supply this project as a stand alone is accounted for in this Business Case and a sum of £400,000.00 has been allowed in the capital costs for the project. This sum will be used to build a Biomass facility capable of future linkage with the main proposals should this case continue to be the lead development on site. However, if the proposals for Biomass for the entire Raigmore site crystallise whilst this project is still in preconstruction stages, then the £400K will be diverted from this project and will contribute to raising the capacity of the overall Biomass facility for the site. The Project Team will stay across this issue and will maintain close links with the Board’s team responsible for the overall Biomass proposals for the site. 2.10.1 Implications of not meeting the need If the needs articulated in this Business Case are not met through the provision of the new build and refurbished facilities, the following implications will become apparent: NHS Highland will be unable to provide additional Day Surgical, Endoscopy and Renal capacity that will allow NHS Highland to meet current and future demands and enable the implementation of modern clinical practice; The opportunity to improve business processes, patient flows and clinical pathways that optimise the efficiency of clinical services will not be met; The capacity required to meet the Governments waiting time targets related to surgical activity, specifically to meet the 84% BADS HEAT target will not be achieved; The working environment for day surgery, endoscopy and renal staff will continue to be substandard and fall short of modern day standards and could adversely impact on the recruitment & retention of specialist staff; Renal patient numbers in NHS Highland are forecast to rise to 332 by 2015. Raigmore renal unit is operating very close to capacity and is not physically able to increase the number of haemodialysis stations to cope with projected growth having already compromised virtually all available office/ storage/ auxiliary space. While the limiting of renal treatment is not ethically advisable, treatment will effectively be rationed if the hospital haemodialysis service is not expanded. The associated risks if the recommendations made are not implemented are of a catastrophic failure of Renal Services in NHS Highland. The opportunity to provide an integrated, fit for purpose, integrated Renal service in an environment that is appropriate for patient’s needs will not be realised; Decontamination facilities will not meet the requirements of the recent JAG report and a separate project will require to be developed to comply with the new decontamination standards; Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 50 of 121 Services could become unsustainable (Local and NHS Highland-wide), more costly and breach patient safety standards; and Lack of investment could result in further deterioration to building performance and ability to meet environmental standards. Continued reliance on weekend operating sessions will put pressure on operating budgets. Continued insufficient theatre capacity will create challenges in terms of maintenance and upgrade. Out of date Day Surgery facilities may deter surgical and anaesthetic staff from seeking employment at Raigmore Hospital. Retention of staff may also be an issue. 2.11 Constraints & Dependencies The key constraints within which the project must proceed are considered to be as follows: The level of capital funding available for the project Revenue Affordability Part of the works will be undertaken in a live clinical environment The 7th Floor cannot be released until other works have been completed to allow existing functions to move The Invergordon facility is subject to PPP contract necessitating negotiations with the PPP Service Provider before works can be implemented Site conditions (Day Services) – proximity to Raigmore Hospital and adjacent roads Helicopter flight paths – adjacent to the Day Services Centre Existing road ways Proximity of maternity unit Existing underground services Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 51 of 121 3.0 The Economic Case In the following sections we will seek to demonstrate that the Project optimises value for money by assessing the Critical Success factors and introducing the main business options available to deliver the Project. The preferred way forward will be highlighted prior to developing a list of options to be considered and tested to realise the most appropriate path to fulfilling the requirements of the project. Costs and benefits for the economic appraisal of the options will be presented alongside an appraisal of the non financial benefits and risks to the Project. The sensitivity analysis will then allow a testing of the accumulated data to allow the selection of a preferred option. 3.1 Critical Success Factors One of the main components of a clinical service and capital investment strategy is a range of issues which represent a measure of how effective the investment has been. In addition these critical success factors are an important yardstick for judging the various options under consideration. The Critical Success Factors have been ranked and weighted as follows: Critical Success Factor Weighting Rank a. Development of Clinical Services 40% 1 b. Local Services for Local People 15% 3 c. 5% 4 40% 2 Recruitment, retention and training of staff d. Affordability These factors can also be augmented by the Board’s Health improvement, Efficiency, Access and Treatment (HEAT) Targets as set out in Better Health Better Care. The Day Services Project encompasses three services i.e. Day Surgery, Renal Services and Endoscopy. It is therefore important to identify success factors for each of these services. a. Development of Clinical Services Day Surgery Services In addition the Planned Care Improvement Programme, which promotes day surgery as the norm, provides an important range of measures against which the success of the Day Services Project can be measured. These include: 75% overall Scottish target for same day care Currently in Scotland around 66% of all 'procedures performed in surgical specialities' are carried out as day case or outpatient. To reach a 75% target, approximately 40,000 elective inpatient procedures would need to be converted to day cases or outpatients in a year In order to be relevant these national targets require to be relevant locally within NHS Highland. In the case of the Day Services Project the following factors can be used: Increase capacity for existing services Due to the increasing demand for same day surgery services it is important that any investment proposal can demonstrate an increase in the range of services being offered to patients Improved access for patients. A key feature of the development of modern health care is how long patients have to wait for treatment. There a number of factors which impact on how quickly patients are treated e.g. how efficiently patients can be Raigmore Day Services 52 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 assessed, the clinical priority accorded to a patient’s condition and availability of resources both staffing and facilities. All of these measures should be enhanced through the provision of a same day surgery services Renal Services When the project is completed the Renal Services should comply with the following standards A patient-centred service All children, young people and adults with chronic kidney disease are to have access to information that enables them with their carers to make informed decisions and encourages partnership in decision making, with an agreed care plan that supports them in managing their condition to achieve the best possible quality of life. Preparation and choice All patients approaching established renal failure are to receive timely preparation for renal replacement therapy so the complications and progression of their disease are minimised, and their choice of clinically appropriate treatment options is maximised. Elective dialysis access surgery All patients with established renal failure are to have timely and appropriate surgery for permanent vascular or peritoneal dialysis access, which is monitored and maintained to achieve its maximum longevity. Dialysis Renal services are to ensure the delivery of high quality clinically appropriate forms of dialysis which are designed around individual needs and preferences and are available to patients of all ages throughout their lives. Transplantation All children, young people and adults likely to benefit from a kidney transplant are to receive a high quality service which supports them in managing their transplant and enables them to achieve the best possible quality of life. Endoscopy Services The following criteria will be applied to the Endoscopy Service to measure the effectiveness of the investment associated with the Day Services Project A single point of referral with all appointing carried out within a dedicated Patient Focussed Booking System booking on one site. Routine endoscopy lists are pooled to ensure patients receive the next available appointment. Patients are asked to phone to confirm appointments to reduce DNAs and cancelled slots to ensure better use of capacity. Bowel preparation (where required) is sent by post to patients with easy-to-read instructions. All urgent referrals are vetted by senior nursing staff in line with referral protocols. Planning towards the implementation of the Endoscopy Community Model based on a GP Direct Access process. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 53 of 121 In addition to the service specific Critical Success Factors there are a range of generic issues which the Project must address. b. Local Services for local people A key feature of the Day Services Project is a shift in the balance of care and consequently this will be an important measure of whether the investment in the project has been successful. Shifting the balance of care has been a key theme in the work of the Scottish Government Health Directorates for a number of years. Previous policy documents, in particular, Delivering for Health (2004) and the Better Health, Better Care Action Plan (2007), raised the profile of shifting the balance of care in Scotland, which is intended to bring about improvements in service delivery and health outcomes. Shifting the Balance of Care is a term used to describe change at a number of levels c. Focus: shifting the emphasis towards preventative medicine and more care in the community, based on a fundamental change in the way we tackle the causes of ill health and by providing care which is quicker, more personal and closer to home. It also means shifting the focus away from services geared toward acute conditions to providing systematic support for people with long term conditions with a strong emphasis on continuous, integrated care rather than disconnected episodic care. Location: shifting the location of services and care in order to improve access to treatment and support. This involves the wider provision of diagnostic procedures and access to specialist services embedded into communities through Community Health Partnerships. This means less acute hospital-centred activity and more services and support provided in community hospitals, other local facilities and at home. Services and care should increasingly be provided in locations that are easily accessible for users with greater consideration given to transport requirements. This will enable care providers to get a better balance between planned and unplanned care. Responsibility: shifting the current view of patients/clients as passive recipients of care towards full partnership in the management of their conditions. This involves providing more support for people to look after themselves and remain as independent as possible using new technologies for telemedicine and telecare to help people to manage their conditions and stay longer in their own homes. Professional Roles: shifting the emphasis away from the independence of individual practices and professionals towards a more extended primary and community care team approach. This means developing professional and staff roles, skills, expertise and responsibilities, with a greater focus on teams delivering integrated care pathways involving a wider range of partners, including patients and carers. Recruitment, retention and training of staff A significant measure of success will be to improve levels of staff retention, aid recruitment and to provide modern facilities which will promote fit for purpose training modules. In the longer term through retirement & natural turnover of staff, recruitment & retention issues will arise in that staff trained in modern day surgical procedures may not apply for vacancies in an NHS area such as NHS Highland currently without such a service and therefore there is a risk that vacant posts will be deemed as ‘hard to fill’, which may make it more difficult to attract potential employees to work at Raigmore Hospital. Conversely there is also the risk that staff turnover may increase as staff choose to leave the area to work in other centres of excellence to develop their skills/experience for personal/career development. Raigmore Hospital will be unable to provide training in modern day surgical procedures not only to its existing staff but also to students. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 54 of 121 d. Affordability The level of resource required to complete this Project is set out in the Financial Case. There are a wide range of clinical benefits which will be realised as a result of this investment. However against the background of unprecedented financial pressures on NHS Highland the Day Services Project must be seen to deliver real financial benefits. 3.2 Main Business Options Option Identification The following sections of the OBC will provide details of the development of options considered, the benefits, costs and risks associated with the short listed options and the rationale for the selection of the preferred option. The option identification and appraisal process adopted for this project is in line with that recommended within the Scottish Capital Investment Manual (SCIM). There were two elements to the option appraisal process as follows: An analysis to determine the optimal site for the re-provision of services An option appraisal considering a range of services that could be provided Long List of Options The NHS Highland Board considered and endorsed a report from Buchan Associates at its meeting in February 2010. In addition to other recommendations the Report identified a list of options for the Project. The NHS Highland Board tasked the Project Board to examine the options outlined in the report and develop a Preferred Option. The Project Board at its meeting in March 2010 identified the following long list of options which would be subjected to appraisal leading to a short list of options from which a Preferred Option would emerge. In addition the Project Board decided to remove Ophthalmology from the scope of the Project. A long list of options was developed taking into account the full range of services as set out below: Figure: Long List of Options Option Description 1 New Build Day Services Comprising 3 Endoscopy Rooms, with the capability to increase to 4 alongside 2 Theatres. 2.1 Day Surgery Refurbishment Relocation of ITU to a refurbished Ward 2C with an extended Theatre lift. 2 day Theatre’s inserted into existing Theatre post- anaesthetic recovery area. Combined main and day Theatre post- anaesthetic recovery located to a refurbished ITU. The remaining First Floor area refurbished for a day Surgery department with CCU to remain unaltered on the Sixth Floor. 2.2 Day Surgery New Build Off Site Develop a decentralised Day Surgery Unit within New Build accommodation. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 55 of 121 3.1 Endoscopy in Ward 11 Refurb (and extend if necessary) Ward 11 for a new endoscopy department leaving the current Children’s Ward unaltered. 3.2 Endoscopy in Children’s Ward Ward 11 moves to Ward 7A and is refurbished and extended as necessary to provide accommodation for the Children’s Ward with a possible link through to Theatre’s. Refurb existing Children’s Ward for new Endoscopy. 3.3 New Build Endoscopy Develop a new Endoscopy Unit within New Build accommodation 4.1 Single Storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy Within the Raigmore grounds 4.2 Two Storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy Within the Raigmore grounds 4.3 New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Ward 11 Relocate Ward 11 and construct a 2 storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy building on Ward 11 site. 5.1 Renal to BTS Site a 25 bay Renal Ward within the current Blood Transfusion Service building, with additional New Build to compliment the shortfall in area. 5.2 Renal to BTS with Satellite Utilise Ground and First Floor of the Blood Transfusion Service building for as much Renal Accommodation as can be managed, with an offsite satellite unit to house the balance of the 25 dialysis bays required. 5.3 Renal to Ward 11 Refurbish Ward 11(and extend as necessary) to accommodate a new Renal department, leaving the current Children’s Ward unaltered. 5.4 Refurb Renal with Satellite Refurbish existing Renal department with the remaining balance of 25 dialysis bays being accommodated in an offsite Satellite unit X Do Nothing Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 56 of 121 3.3 Preferred Way Forward Following a robust option appraisal process involving a wide range of stakeholders, the NHS Board has determined that its preferred way forward is to explore ways in which day surgery, endoscopy and renal services can be provided in a way which Same day care is the norm Promotes a Shift in the Balance of Care Ensures the most effective and efficient use of the existing NHS Highland Estate through minimising new build facilities Recognises the review of clinical activity data and population projections and its impact upon the reduced range of facilities required to provide day surgery, endoscopy and renal services 3.4 Short List of Options In order to develop a short list of options for the full OBC option appraisal process, the long list of options identified above has been subjected to a range of criteria (project objectives and constraints). In view of the fact that the project seeks to address the needs of three distinct clinical services the Project Board decided to retain the long list of options for as long as possible. The key project objectives are set out below. Project Objectives To provide additional Day Surgical, Endoscopy and Renal capacity that will allow NHS Highland to meet current and future demands and enable the implementation of modern clinical practice; To improve business processes, patient flows and clinical pathways that optimise the efficiency of clinical services; To provide capacity to meet the Governments waiting time targets related to surgical activity, specifically to meet the 84% BADS HEAT target; To provide a modern working environment which is attractive to current and prospective employee’s, improving recruitment & retention at Raigmore Hospital and the location of the satellite dialysis facility; To provide an integrated, fit for purpose, Renal Dialysis service in an environment that is appropriate for patient’s needs; To develop a modern Endoscopy unit with sufficient capacity that meets current demands and has appropriate supporting services and a compliant decontamination unit and; To appropriately share facilities and services where this is clinically appropriate, e.g. the creation of a shared endoscope cleaning area. To develop facilities that are more sustainable and efficient than those that they replace To utilise essential investment to deliver optimal improvement in overall performance Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 57 of 121 Option Appraisal The option appraisal process adopted for this OBC is in line with that recommended in the Scottish Capital Investment Manual (SCIM) and involved assessing for each of the options: Benefits (scored against criteria) Costs (Financial Appraisal) Value for Money (Economic Appraisal) Risks Key Features of Long List of Options The following matrix provides a qualitative analysis of the key pros and cons of the long list of options. Option Option 1: Revised Day Services Centre Option 2.1: Day Surgery @ First & Second Floor Wards Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 Pros Cons Supports new models of care Reduced transition management issues May require additional staff resource – greater inflexibility Leaves significant redundant space in existing estate Less efficient adjacencies Length of time to implement High levels of disruption Increased risk of infection Potential to reduce NHS Highland’s ability to respond to new developments in clinical services Shorter build programme No infrastructure surprises e.g. asbestos Enables an integrated surgical service Supports new models of care Improves the patient pathway & journey Enables the upgrade of ITU Enables the flexible use of staff Makes efficient use of existing estate 58 of 121 Option Option 2.2: Day Surgery @ Notional Site Option 3.1: Endoscopy @ Ward 11 Option 3.2: Endoscopy @ Children's Ward Option 3.3: New Build Endoscopy on Raigmore Site Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 Pros Cons Supports new models of care Requires additional staffing/resources Reduced transition management issues Remote from main surgical centre Does not enable greater use of existing estate on Raigmore site No identified site Potential planning & tenure issues Supports new models of care Single rooms require to be re-provided Improves the patient pathway & journey Longer patient journey for inpatients Improves quality of care Improves privacy & dignity Makes efficient use of existing estate Enables the relocation of the Chest Unit to tower block Supports new models of care Children’s ward becomes isolated Improves the patient pathway & journey Longer implementation programme than other options Improves quality of care Improves the clinical environment Layout of Endoscopy may be compromised due to configuration Improves privacy & dignity Improves children's’ facilities Supports new models of care Requires additional staffing/resources Reduced transition Remote from main 59 of 121 management issues Option 4.1: Day Surgery & Endoscopy @ DSC Site (single storey) Option 4.2: Day Surgery & Endoscopy @ DSC Site (2 storey) Supports new models of care Reduced transition management issues Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 Does not enable greater use of existing estate on Raigmore site Inefficient use of Raigmore site May require additional staff & resource – greater inflexibility Leaves significant redundant space in existing estate Shorter build programme Retains efficiency of combined Day Surgery and Endoscopy Inefficient use of foot print Supports new models of care May require additional staff & resource – greater inflexibility Reduced transition management issues Leaves significant redundant space in existing estate Less efficient adjacencies Single rooms require to be reprovided Option 4.3: Day Surgery & Endoscopy @ Ward 11 New build has minimal impact on flight Path surgical centre Shorter build programme Supports new models of care Improves the patient pathway & journey Improves quality of care Improves the clinical environment Improves privacy & dignity Improves flexibility and use of staff Improves link to Main Theatres Enables more efficient use of space Enables the relocation of the Chest Unit to tower block 60 of 121 Option 5..1: Renal @ BTS Building Option 5.2: Renal @ BTS Building & Satellite Supports new models of care Improves quality of care Improves the clinical environment Makes efficient use of existing estate Option 5.4: Renal @ Renal & Satellite Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 Does not enable implementation of local /national strategy Acquisition time could be protracted Need to identify alternative location for Haematology Distance from wards (acute dialysis)would require dialysis capability in tower Remote from main access routes Potential planning and tenure issues with satellite Improves access to health services Supports new models of care Acquisition time could be protracted Improves the patient journey/pathway Distance from wards (acute dialysis) would require dialysis capability in tower Remote from main access routes Distance from wards (acute dialysis) would require dialysis capability in tower Single rooms require to be re-provided De-centralises staff Option 5.3: Renal @ Ward 11 Improves quality of care Improves the clinical environment Enables implementation of local & national strategy Supports new models of care Improves the patient pathway &journey Improves quality of care Improves the clinical environment Improves privacy & dignity Makes efficient use of existing estate Enables the relocation of the Chest Unit to tower block Improves access to 61 of 121 health services Do Nothing Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 Supports new models of care Improves the patient pathway & journey Improves quality of care Improves the clinical environment Improves privacy & dignity Makes efficient use of existing estate Enables implementation of local & national strategy De-centralises staff Potential planning and tenure issues with satellite 62 of 121 Potential planning and tenure issues with satellite Planning & tenure issues are minimised 3.5 Combination of Options The process of identifying an overall clinical solution and a consequent Preferred Solution must therefore be based upon a range of combinations of Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal Services options. In developing these combinations the following assumptions were made: The 7th Floor is the only viable decant space within Raigmore and The BTS Building will be available. The table below seeks to identify those options which are possible to provide e.g. Option 2.1 Option 2.1 Option 3.3 Option 5.3 Day Surgery Refurbishment in Raigmore, cannot be combined with Option 3.1 Endoscopy in Wd 11, as they require the same decant space to complete each option; Day Surgery Refurbishment in Raigmore can be combined with New Build Endoscopy as they are providing different services; Renal in Wd 11 cannot be combined with Option 5.1 Renal in BTS as they are providing the same service. The key used in the table below is as follows:- These combinations will therefore form the basis of the development of the Preferred Solution Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 63 of 121 3.6 Benefits Appraisal 3.6.1 Benefits Weighting and Scoring The benefits generation workshop was held at the Raigmore Hospital on 12th April 2010 The participants are appended as Appendix Three in this OBC. The purpose of the workshop was to examine the key drivers and benefits that NHS Highland was looking to achieve through the project, formulate the Benefits Criteria which options would be scored against and weight these benefits relative to each other. It also explained that the Benefits Criteria contained in the original OBC, though in need of further definition, must be accounted for in this exercise in order to maintain an “audit trail” of commonality through the Business Case stage of the project6 The weightings to be applied to each of the Benefits are in increments of 5 – 20 as noted below: 5 – of least (relative) importance, “good to have” 10 – important that some element is reflected in the project 15 – very important to the project 20 – Fundamental to the project The following were agreed by the team as the key Benefits Criteria by which options would be scored: Table 3.6a Benefit Criteria and Weightings No Benefit Criteria Weighting 1 Improves access to health services for all 20 2 Supports the implementation of new models of care and the wider clinical strategy 20 3 Improves the patient pathway & patient journey 20 4 Improves the quality of clinical care including standards and clinical outcomes 20 5 Improves the quality of the physical environment and fitness for purpose of all new/redesigned facilities 20 6 Improves Privacy & Dignity 15 7 Supports the retention and recruitment of staff 10 8 Improves flexibility and efficient use of staff resources 15 6 The Benefits Criteria contained in the OBC have been demonstrably carried over into the exercise below. Raigmore Day Services 64 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 9 Enables the implementation of local and national strategy 15 10 Planning and tenure issues are minimised 10 11 Speed of Delivery 10 12 Transition management 5 13 Supports the Environmental agenda 15 14 Makes more efficient use of existing Estate and Property 15 15 Minimises hospital acquired infections (HAI) 20 Total 230 The Long List of Options referred to in 3.2 above was then scored as part of the NonFinancial Appraisal Process. 3.6.2 Benefits Appraisal Weighted Scores In order to take forward the Appraisal process a Workshop was held on 28th May 2010 at which each of the above options was scored against the Non- Financial Benefits Criteria. The relative weightings for each of the Non- Financial Benefits Criteria were also finalised .The Workshop was facilitated by Alasdair Kinghorn, Keppies Architects; Iain Buchan, Buchan Associates; William Nicol, Cyril Sweett; Kevin Gauld, Currie & Brown. The Patients Council did not attend the Workshop. However detailed discussions had taken place with their Chairman and they are receiving regular updates on the progress of the Project. The workshop was attended by those shown below representing clinical, managerial, financial and estates staff. The participants are appended as Appendix Three in this OBC. Presentations were made outlining the strengths and weaknesses of each of the options under consideration. The outcome of the Workshop is shown below: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 65 of 121 Table 3.6c Results of Non Financial Benefits Scoring Workshop Option 4.3 5.4 5.2 1.a 3.1 4.1 3.3 4.2 5.3 2.2 2.1 5.1 3.2 X New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Ward 11 Refurb Renal in Raigmore with Satellite Renal to BTS with Satellite New Build Endoscopy in Ward 11 Single Story New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy New Build Endoscopy Two Storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy Renal to Ward 11 Day Surgery New Build Off Site Day Surgery Refurbishment Renal to BTS Endoscopy in Children's Ward Do Nothing weighted score % to total ranking 755 746 744 710 709 697 690 690 688 654 635 635 632 365 82.1% 81.1% 80.8% 77.1% 77.0% 75.8% 75.0% 75.0% 74.8% 71.1% 69.0% 69.0% 68.7% 39.6% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Options 5.2 and 5.1 were excluded from the long list and the consequent financial appraisal due to the constraints in obtaining the BTS Building. The principal issues were that there was a lack of clarity around when BTS would move and that NHS Highland did not own the entire BTS building. Option 5.3 Renal to Ward 11 was excluded from the financial appraisal because 4.3 New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Ward 11, was the top ranked option and consequently made better use of Ward 11 than Option 5.3 in terms of non- financial benefits. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 66 of 121 3.7 Risk Assessment 3.7.1 Overview This section of the OBC sets out the process used by the Project Team to assess the risks associated with the short-listed options for the project and to account for these risks as part of the considered process towards the identification of the Preferred Option. Together with financial and benefits appraisal, risk assessment is one of the core processes to be undertaken in determining the preferred option at outline business case stage. The process followed by the Project Team conforms to the guidance set out in the Scottish Capital Investment Manual. The risk assessment is intended to identify the key qualitative risks associated with the short listed options. The key risks are developed and assessed to determine the extent to which these relate to the options. Subsequently a risk management strategy is developed to determine how to best manage the risks. 3.7.2 Methodology A three point process was used to assess the risks for each of the options, the three stages in the process were as follows: Risk Identification – developing a risk register covering all risks associated with the project Risk Assessment – assessing each short-listed option against the risks identified in the risk register, in terms of both impact and probability, to determine the overall level of risk exposure of each option. Risk Management (Mitigation) – developing, for the preferred option, a risk management plan to manage the risks identified by the risk assessment. This includes identifying who is responsible for managing the risk and what contingency or mitigation measures are to be put in place. The method by which NHS Highland, its advisors and the PSCP implemented the above process is noted below. 3.7.3 Risk Identification & Assessment The formal risk workshop to examine all of the options was undertaken on the 15th September at Morrison Healthcare’s offices in Inverness. A list of the attendees for the Workshop is included at Appendix Three of this OBC and the individual risk profiles for each of the options are included at Appendix Five. A comprehensive list of risks likely to impact on the project was identified during the Workshops. These are encapsulated in the risk matrix adopted as part of this OBC. The risks assessed fell into the following categories: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 67 of 121 Risk Category Description Business Case / Financial Risks that would have an Impact on the viability or progression of the Business case or the Financial/Funding standing of the project. Legal and legislative risks affecting the delivery or operation of the project. Risks in the design phase of the project, in particular around planning issues or the risk of the design failing to meet the brief or the Authority requiring changes to the design Risks during the construction phase, including those which may delay completion or increase construction costs Risks associated in the operational and staffing aspects associated with each of the options. Risks which do not fall within any of the above categories, for example reputational or political etc Legal Planning &Design Risks Construction Operational Other Risks The Project Team then undertook an assessment of the impact and probability of each risk occurring for each of the short-listed options. The scoring process and definitions are shown below: The table below describes the categories used for assessing the impact on the project of each risk occurring: Table – Risk Impact Scores Impact on Project Score Negligible impact – insignificant slippage on delivery date or increase in cost AND/OR quality of service barely affected Medium-low impact – up to 5% increase in costs or slippage on delivery date AND/OR some minor quality failures Moderate impact – 5% to 10% increase in costs or schedule slippage AND/OR noticeable quality reductions Medium-high impact – 10% to 25% increase in cost or delivery timescales AND/OR significant quality failures Major impact – increase of 25% or more on costs or delivery timescales AND/OR serious and unacceptable quality failures 1 2 3 4 5 This next table describes the categories used to assess the probability of the risk occurring in the project: Table – Risk Probability Scores Likelihood of Occurrence Score Occurrence is very unlikely – Low Probability Occurrence moderately likely – Medium Probability Occurrence very likely – High Probability Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 68 of 121 1 2 3 The score for each risk for each option is therefore calculated as follows: Impact x Probability = Risk Score (minimum 1, maximum 15). 3.7.4 The Results of the Risk Workshop The aim of the Workshop was to focus on each of the options and identify the major risks that could be determined at this stage that may impact on the procurement of that option. Following that, there was an examination of mitigation factors for each of the risks. As discussed above, the workshop followed a tabulated format and the results for each option can be seen on the worksheets at Appendix Five of this OBC. However, the headline risk issues for each of the Options are as follows: Option 1a – New Build Day Services A thorough risk analysis was undertaken on this option (which represented all services combining into a new build facility) and the pertinent risks noted in terms of construction, planning and operational risks. However, during the considerations for this option it became obvious that the option failed in its entirety due to two operational risks that were identified. These are: 1. The option did not promote a shift in the balance of care (all services centred onto Raigmore site) 2. The option did not improve the existing hospital infrastructure (no cognisance of efficiency in the existing estate) Because of the two fundamental failings above, this option was taken out of the consideration process. Option 2.1 – Day Surgery Refurbishment This combination of refurbished elements within Raigmore yielded a range of risks across all categories. However, the main risks identified are centred around the undertaking of refurbishment works within Raigmore in terms of impact on operations. It should be noted however, that mitigation measures are available to ameliorate much of the risk associated with carrying out refurbishment works in a live hospital environment and these are identified in the appended risk register. Option 2.2 – Day Surgery, New-Build off site This option was fully risk appraised. However, the option as envisaged would not give a truly efficient split of services though it was recognised that it went some way to meeting a shift in the balance of care. Following careful consideration it was agreed that this option would not proceed through the next stages due to inefficiencies in the manner in which services would be split (leading to inefficient working and a duplication of services over the two sites) and, significantly, because no suitable site (whether in NHS ownership or outwith) could be identified. Option 3.1 – Endoscopy in Ward 11 Although this option was fully risk assessed and the results are included in the appended risk workshop outcomes, it was decided not to proceed with this option. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 69 of 121 This was due to the crystallisation of many of the factors identified at the risk workshop in terms of decant “double handling” and the levels of disruption within the Raigmore for diminished clinical benefit compared to other options. It was also noted that the complex decant arrangements required would prove to be more costly than those required by other options. Option 3.2 – Endoscopy in Children’s Ward Again, in similar fashion to above, this option was fully appraised. However, the option was discounted due to the unacceptability of displacing the Children’s Ward. Option 3.3 – New Build Endoscopy This option was fully assessed by the Project Team at the risk workshop. However, it became apparent that this option contained the same inherent weaknesses as Option 1, above, these are: 1. The option did not promote a shift in the balance of care 2. The option did not improve the existing hospital infrastructure Option 4.1 – Single Storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy This option forms part of the Preferred Option as it represents, along with the Renal Preferred Option, the best balance in terms of making use of the existing estate and in promoting the shift in the balance of care. This is due to the configuration of the services within the new build coupled with the opportunities that the Renal option presents in terms of the existing and extended estate. It was noted that any new build on the site would have the potential to disrupt traffic flows on site during construction. This has been identified as part of the risk exercise and early engagement by the PSCP has been identified as a mitigating action. Option 4.2 – Two Storey New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy This option was assessed in the same manner as the option above. However, there were perceived to be significant disadvantages in adopting a two storey solution compared to a single storey solution in operational and patient pathway terms. Option 4.3 – New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Ward 11 This option was discounted due to the factors discussed at Option 3.1 above. Option 5.1 – Renal to BTS Although this option was fully risk assessed (see appendix) it was recognised that this option would require the use of the whole BTS Building. It was recognised that NHS Highland do not own the whole building and noted in the risk register that this gave rise to a legal risk which could significantly delay the project. Given the results forthcoming from other options in terms of the overall appraisal process, it was decided not to proceed with this particular option. Option 5.2 – Renal to BTS with Satellite Although it was recognised that this option differed from the above in that NHS Highland intended to use only the parts of the BTS Building in their ownership, it was felt that the risks around other ownership within the building increased the risks to the option to such a degree as to discount it. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 70 of 121 Option 5.3 Renal to Ward 11 This option was discounted due to the factors discussed at Option 3.1 above. Option 5.4 – Refurbish Renal with Satellite This option is the emerging Preferred Option along with 4.1 for Day Surgery and Endoscopy. The option has been full appraised as part of the risk workshop. NHS Highland are aware of the risks surrounding the preferred satellite location which forms part of the Board’s PPP facility at Invergordon – these are noted in the risk register and discussions are already underway with the Invergordon PPP provider in order to integrate this aspect into the overall project. The issues around the PPP provider are being set off against the advantages that this option represents both in terms of maximising the use of the existing estate and in promoting the shift in the balance of care. It should be noted that, although negotiation with the current PPP Provider is the preferred way forward for this solution, it would be possible to deliver services in Invergordon by constructing a new facility (potentially a modular facility) on land owned by NHSH adjacent to the PPP facility. This is not seen as the preferred outcome however, therefore discussions continue with the Provider in order that the existing facility can be utilised. Do Nothing The “Do Nothing” option was fully assessed by the Project Team. In terms of risks, the appended Risk Register shows how disadvantageous not proceeding with this project would be. The operational risks and issues in terms of HAI, increased revenue, inability to meet targets, inability to meet patient needs and continuing shortage of space paint a compelling picture for the need to implement one of the other options rather than let the current situation persist. 3.7.5 The Cost of Risk The financial risks associated with the preferred option are noted in Section 4.2.1.6 where the share of risk between the PSCP and NHS Highland is articulated. All of the options discussed above have undergone full appraisal and assessment with the figures for Optimism Bias including for any generic financial risk that may be present. 3.8 Sensitivity Analysis 3.8.1 Sensitivity Testing In order to test the robustness of the results of the benefits appraisal it is necessary to assess the sensitivity of the ranking of the scores to changes in key variables and assumptions. This provides an indication as to the elements of the evaluation that are critical in influencing the outcome. As such it is often of benefit to cross reference these features to the key project risks and to the development of the related management strategy. Further work has been undertaken by way of sensitivity analysis to evaluate what the ranking might be if some of the weights and / or scores were changed. A range of sensitivities were applied to the benefits scores, namely: Equal weighting applied to all criteria Excluding benefit scores for top ranked criteria Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 71 of 121 Altering the scores of the criterion with the greatest scoring range so that all options score the highest value or lowest. The sensitivity tests detailed above have been applied to the baseline benefit scores outlined above; the results of which are shown below: Table 3.8.a: Results of Sensitivity Analysis Do Nothing Sensitivity Test Option 4.1 and 5.4 Option 4.2 and 5.4 Option 1a Baseline scores 365 722 718 710 Rank 9 2 1 6 Equal weighted applied to all criteria* 553 910 906 913 Rank 9 3 4 2 Excluding benefit scores for top ranked criteria** 224 290 290 292 Rank 9 3 4 2 Altering the scores of criterion with greatest range – max scores*** 425 724 722 712 Rank 9 2 3 4 Altering the scores of criterion with greatest range – min scores**** 365 664 662 652 Rank 9 2 3 4 From the analysis above indicates that none of the sensitivity tests applied alter the overall ranking of options from the baseline position demonstrating the robustness of the results. * ** *** **** Equal Weight of 20 given to all criteria All Criteria given a 20 weight removed Criteria 5: ‘Improves the quality of the physical environment and fitness for purpose of all new/redesigned facilities’ has the greatest scoring range at a 58 point spread so all Options scored with a 4 for Criteria 5 to ‘max score’ Criteria 5: ‘Improves the quality of the physical environment and fitness for purpose of all new/redesigned facilities’ has the greatest scoring range at a 58 point spread so all Options scored with a 1 for Criteria 5 to ‘min score’ Further details of Sensitivity Analysis of altering Capital and Property Costs of each shown are shown in the Financial Case 5.4 3.9 Preferred Solution Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 72 of 121 This section describes the preferred solution and explains the key factors from the appraisal process that supports its selection. The key features and benefits of the preferred option are also highlighted. 3.9.1 Development of Combinations As outlined in 3.5 above a key feature of the Project is the fact that its scope encompasses three different clinical services i.e. Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal Services. As a result any Preferred Solution must satisfy the requirements of these services. The process of identifying a Preferred Solution must therefore be based upon a range of combinations of Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal Services options. In developing these combinations the following assumptions were made, The 7th Floor is the only viable decant space within Raigmore and The BTS Building will be available. The table below seeks to identify those options which are possible to provide e. g. Option 2.1- Day Surgery Refurbishment in Raigmore, cannot be combined with Option 3.1-Endoscopy in Wd 11 ,as they require the same decant space to complete each option; Option 2.1- Day Surgery Refurbishment in Raigmore can be combined with Option 3.3 New Build Endoscopy as they are providing different services; Option 5.3 Renal in Wd 11 cannot be combined with Option 5.1 Renal in BTS as they are providing the same service. Table 3.9 a Combinations of Options The key used in the table below is as follows:- As explained in 3.6 above any combination containing the BTS building was excluded. The following short list of combinations therefore remained Table 3.9 b Short List of Combinations of Options Combination of Description Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 73 of 121 Options Option 1a New Build all Day Services Options 2.1, 3.3, 5.4 Options 2.2, 3.3, 5.4 Day Surgery Refurbishment in Raigmore, New Build Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite New Build Day Surgery out with Raigmore, Endoscopy in Children’s Ward, Refurb Renal and Satellite New Build Day Surgery out with Raigmore, Endoscopy in Children’s Ward, Refurb Renal and Satellite New Build Day Surgery out with Raigmore, New Build Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite Options 4.1, 5.4 Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite Options 4.2, 5.4 Two Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Refurb Renal and Satellite Options 4.3 ,5.4 New Build Day Surgery and Endoscopy on Wd 11 site, Refurb Renal and Satellite Do Nothing Continue with the existing range and level of services Options 2.2, 3.1, 5.4 Options 2.2, 3.2, 5.4 It was felt that it would be prudent to include Option 1a to allow a comparison with the original New Build Option and to demonstrate the benefits of the work which had been carried out in reviewing the clinical activity data and population projections, which had resulted in a reduced footprint. Given the very close scores of the top two ranked Day Surgery and Endoscopy options, the key issues associated with highlighting a Preferred Solution are the strengths and weaknesses of whether to have, Option 4.1, (single storey) Option 4.2, a two storey development; and then towards Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit the site for both options is the area opposite the Maternity Unit; and Realising Option 5.4 through the identification of the optimal location for the satellite dialysis unit (Invergordon or Dingwall) and the areas within Raigmore that would be suitable for delivering the main renal service with refurbished space. It was decided to proceed with the following short list of combinations of options Combination Options Options 4.1, 5.4 Options 4.2, 5.4 Option 1a Do nothing of Description Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Renal Refurb and Satellite Two Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Renal Refurb and Satellite New Build all Day Services exc. Ophthalmology Continue with the existing range and level of services Summary of Financial Appraisal of Combination of Options The outcome of the economic appraisal is summarised below, it has been assumed that the schemes have the same lifetimes. The table below summarises the results of the economic Raigmore Day Services 74 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 evaluation and compares the results to the benefits appraisal outcome and also the financial appraisal. Table 5.3.1 Economic Appraisal Results NPV Ranking 000's EAC Ranking 000's Do Nothing 165,478 1 7,402 1 Option 1a 197,264 4 8,824 4 Option 4.1 and 5.4 191,470 2 8,565 2 Option 4.2 and 5.4 195,630 3 8,751 3 The economic appraisal demonstrates a close relationship in outcomes in all but “do nothing” option which is for the most part ignored due to its inability to deliver any meaningful result against the project objectives. Option 4.1 and 5.4 is economically the preferred option. Combining the economic result with the non financial outcomes generates the following tables and results: Table 5.3.2 Economic Appraisal Results Non Financial Benefit Score (NFBS) NF Ranking NPV/NFBS Ranking Do Nothing 365 4 453 4 Option 1a 710 1 278 2 Option 4.1 and 5.4 697 2 275 1 Option 4.2 and 5.4 690 3 284 3 Option 1a is the highest ranked option non-financially, exceeding option 4.1/ 5.4 by 13 points representing a very small percentage difference. Table 5.3.3 Economic Appraisal Cost per Benefit Point Cost Per Benefit Point (£) Ranking Do Nothing 20.28 4 Option 1a 12.43 2 Option 4.1 and 5.4 12.29 1 Option 4.2 and 5.4 12.68 3 It is not surprising that Option 1a is ranked so close to the 1 st ranked option – as it generated the highest non-financial rating and was in previous iterations of this case the preferred way forward. The marginality of the outcomes has been considered in depth by the Board and while the outcome is marginal it is felt that further benefits can be factored into the analysis, these still to be valued. 3.9.2 Selection of Preferred Solution It was felt that it would be prudent to include Option 1a to allow a comparison with the original New Build Option and to demonstrate the benefits of the work which had been carried out in Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 75 of 121 reviewing the clinical activity data and population projections, which had resulted in a reduced footprint. Given the very close scores of the top two ranked Day Surgery and Endoscopy options, the key issues associated with highlighting a Preferred Solution are the strengths and weaknesses of whether to have, Option 4.1, (single storey) Option 4.2, a two storey development; and then towards Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit the site for both options is the area opposite the Maternity Unit; and Realising Option 5.4 through the identification of the optimal location for the satellite dialysis unit (Invergordon or Dingwall) and the areas within Raigmore that would be suitable for delivering the main renal service with refurbished space. It was decided to proceed with the following short list of combinations of options Combination Options of Options 4.1, 5.4 Options 4.2, 5.4 Option 1a Do nothing Description Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Renal Refurb and Satellite Two Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy, Renal Refurb and Satellite New Build all Day Services exc. Ophthalmology Continue with the existing range and level of services Day Surgery and Endoscopy Services: Option 4.1 or 4.2 The Design Team considered in detail the relative strengths of both these options. In doing so it is clear that in return for the level of investment required to implement either option the benchmark of delivering the optimum level of clinical benefit to patients and staff should be the key differentiating factor. In applying this measure the following benefits of 4.1 have been identified: Optimises patient flow and patient journey Reduces the number of “hand-offs” Creates opportunities for integration of Day Surgery & Endoscopy staff/ patient journeys Has the potential to reduce staff revenue costs through appropriate shared service planning Reduces duplication of space/areas between Day Surgery & Endoscopy Reduces vertical travel distances for staff and patients pre and post-procedure Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care Consequently the Project Team recommended that Option 4.1 a single storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit should form part of the Preferred Solution Renal Services Option 5.4 Although the short-medium term capacity for dialysis at Raigmore is 17 stations, taking a medium-long term view based upon future activity projections a 25 station Renal Unit will be required. The Design Team reviewed the available space that would be available once the Endoscopy Unit is vacated and have concluded that it cannot accommodate a 25 station Haemodialysis Unit. The Design Team have carried out further work aimed at identifying further locations where a 25 station dialysis unit could be provided in refurbished accommodation at Raigmore. In order to maintain the integrity of the overall process and the Option Appraisal in particular it is clear that any proposed solutions must be within the parameters of options which have Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 76 of 121 already been scored. Consequently no new options have been generated as the Design Team have remained within the parameters of the descriptions of Options 5.4 and Option 1.a i.e. 5.4: The Split Site (Refurbishment) Raigmore/ Invergordon Renal Model Develop a “satellite” dialysis unit reducing the overall “satellite” dialysis requirement at Raigmore. Deliver the Raigmore Dialysis from the existing unit/refurbished space within existing estate at Raigmore. 1.a: New Build Day Services Centre with revised Day Surgery Theatre and Endoscopy Capacity and Renal Services excluding Ophthalmology The following Renal solutions together with reference to the Original Options are shown below Possible solution New Build (17 station) with Option 4.1 and 10 Station Satellite Original Option 1.a New Build (25 station) with Option 4.1 and 10 Station Satellite 1a Endo/Children's Refurb (17 station) with 10 Station Satellite 5.4 7th Floor Refurb. (17 station) with 10 Station Satellite 5.4 7th Floor Refurb. (25 station) with 10 Station Satellite 5.4 In common with the approach used to determine the Preferred Day Surgery /Endoscopy solution the Design Team and Renal Staff considered in detail the relative strengths of each potential solution. In doing so, it is clear that in return for the level of investment required to implement either option the benchmark of delivering the optimum level of clinical benefit to patients and staff should be the key differentiating factor. The solution favoured by the Renal Staff is a refurbishment of accommodation on the 7th Floor of Raigmore (17 or 25 station) with 10 Station Satellite The following benefits of using the 7th Floor have been identified: Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care Optimises patient flows and the patient journey Reduces the number of “hand-offs” Improves communication between all members of the multi-disciplinary team Very close proximity to patients requiring inpatient (acute) dialysis Potential to reduce revenue costs Improved patient dignity Potential to improve productivity Potential to improve staff motivation and therefore staff retention Creates better training opportunities Potential to increase hospital-wide seminar and meeting space Creates an opportunity to upgrade existing hospital fabric. Description of Preferred Solution Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 77 of 121 The Project Board at its meeting on 25th August 2010 decided that the Preferred Solution for Renal Services should be a refurbishment of accommodation on the 7th Floor of Raigmore (17 stations with capacity for up to 25 stations in line with long term activity projections) with a 10 Station Satellite in Invergordon. The overall Preferred Combination of options for the project is therefore Renal Services Option 5.4: Refurbishment of accommodation on the 7th Floor of Raigmore (17stations with capacity for up to 25 stations in line with long term activity projections) with 10 Station Satellite in Invergordon. Day Surgery and Endoscopy Services Option 4.1: A Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit on the Raigmore Site. The main advantages of this Preferred Solution is that It represents a shift in the balance of care for renal Services in particular with the development of a satellite unit at Invergordon. In addition the development of a dedicated day surgery and endoscopy unit facilitates and enhances the move to same day care Makes effective use of the NHS Highland existing estate through the refurbishment of the 7th Floor and the existing Renal Unit at Raigmore Hospital Develops new models of care through the introduction of revised care pathways in the Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit at Raigmore Hospital Provides the catalyst for the development of cash and non cash releasing benefits in the short to medium term Key Features of the Preferred Combination of Options The key features and anticipated benefits of the Preferred Combination of Options are summarised below: Renal Satellite Unit Renal Refurb on 7th Floor Raigmore Single Storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit on the Raigmore Site Improves access to health services through supporting a Shift in the Balance of Care Supports new models of care Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care Optimises patient flows and the patient journey Reduces the number of “hand-offs” Optimises patient flow and patient journey Improves the patient pathway & journey Improves quality of care Improves communication between all members of the multi-disciplinary team Improves the clinical environment Very close proximity to patients requiring inpatient (acute) dialysis Potential to reduce revenue costs Improves privacy & dignity Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 78 of 121 Reduces the number of “hand-offs” Creates opportunities for integration of Day Surgery & Endoscopy staff/ patient journeys Has the potential to reduce staff revenue costs through appropriate shared service planning Reduces duplication of space/areas between Day Surgery & Endoscopy Reduces vertical travel distances for staff and Makes efficient use of existing estate Improved patient dignity Enables implementation of local & national strategy Potential to improve productivity Potential to improve staff motivation and therefore staff retention Creates better training opportunities Potential to increase hospital-wide seminar and meeting space patients pre and postprocedure Facilitates the development of a more integrated model of care Potential Future Benefits All the immediate direct revenue and capital benefits are detailed in the Financial Case. However there are a number of different initiatives which will provide the foundation of an on going process which will augment the immediate direct revenue and capital benefits. New Ways of Working Sharing of staff between endoscopy and DSU (Reduced “double running”) Pre-operatively During recovery phase In support of scope decontamination Effective pre-admission assessment (Reduced cost of cancellations/”down time”) Ability to plan for 100% elective utilisation (Increased throughput, reduced cost/case) Improved/More Efficient Estate Reduced infection rate (Antibiotics, length of stay, etc) Reduced re-admission rate. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 79 of 121 4.0 The Commercial Case: 4.1 Agreed Scope & Services As noted in Section 3.0 above, the agreed Scope and Services to be provided through this project are as detailed in the Preferred Solution. This scope is as follows: A single storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit to be built at Raigmore together with a Renal Facility Utilising the 7th Floor at Raigmore, the existing renal Department and a Renal Satellite Facility at Invergordon Hospital. 4.2 Agreed Risk Allocation 4.2.1 Risk Assessment through the OBC Process Throughout the process to compile this OBC, from its earliest iterations, NHS Highland have ensured that the potential risks, in strategic and specific terms are being identified, addressed and mitigated against. 4.2.1.1 Board Risk Exercises During the inception of this project (as previously reported) NHS Highland undertook strategic risk identification exercises on risks with financial implications and those with no financial implications. To illustrate continuity through to this OBC, these exercises are noted in the tables below. Risks with financial implications Risk Risk Management Design & Construction Capital cost of project greater than expected. Experienced project & design teams. Delay in obtaining planning permission Main risk is lack of plans with traffic management. Plans being developed. Planning permission refused Close liaison with Planning Department. Conditions imposed by planning authority Close liaison with Planning Department. Facility not fit for purpose Extensive stakeholder consultation & involvement. Facility does not meet design life expectancy Extensive stakeholder consultation & involvement. Experienced design team. Change in design due to change in health design guidance –SHTM’s & HDL’s. Flexibility built in. Change in design due to general/statutory requirements Flexibility built in. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 80 of 121 Pre Construction Additional costs due to problems with site conditions Already have considerable knowledge of site conditions. Delay in infrastructure improvements Project team to improve infrastructure on site formed & plans being developed. Service Commissioning time overrun re equipment & building Project management & close liaison with suppliers & appointed contractor. Design & Construction Change in service specification/need after design agreed Risks with non financial implications Risk Project management. Future proofing. Risk Management Waiting Times extend with increasing demand and limited capacity Low risk so strategy not identified at this stage. Failure to deliver project/service within budget & time Experienced project & design teams. Working with service users & finance colleagues. Early warning to Board members to develop contingency plans. Missing the opportunities to develop & enhance the range of day case activity to the level of best practice. Low risk so strategy not identified at this stage. Difficulties in recruiting/retaining staff who are keen to upskill and take forward technological advancements Low risk so strategy not identified at this stage. Industrial relations issues re terms & conditions Low risk so strategy not identified at this stage. These previous exercises were revalidated and expanded upon through the Risk Workshop, detailed at 3.7 above, which sough to build a comprehensive picture of the risks associated with each of the options. This Options Risk Exercise is noted at 3.7 above and the Risk Matrix produced is appended to this OBC at Appendix Three. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 81 of 121 4.2.1.2 The Risk Management Process through the PSCP One of the positive features of procurement of this project through the NHS Framework for Scotland is the ability to bring the PSCP into the process earlier. This assists in ensuring that the Business Case contains robust information around both price and risk apportionment. At the appointment of the PSCP and from that through the process of both agreeing a Target Price and finalising this OBC a rigorous risk management regime has been commenced and will be developed through the OBC. This process has been invaluable in ensuring that the risk identification, management and apportionment has been understood and agreed for the Preferred Solution contained in this OBC. The process adhered to is discussed below. 4.2.1.3 The Risk Register The process has been facilitated through a regular series of workshops which have included stakeholders drawn from the Board’s project team, their advisors and the PSCP and their team. All of the risks identified and the development of a strategy to mitigate have been captured on a “Joint Risk Register” template. Effectively, NHS Highland and Morrison Healthcare as the PSCP act as joint owners of the Joint Project Risk Register for the Project. The starting point for the Risk Register template was the Health Facilities Scotland template which already included many generic risks which were found to pertinent, these were then supplanted (following workshops) with Project Specific Risks. As the register was built through the workshops, the joint team progressively looked at the listing of risks, then original scoring and the identified mitigation factors before then reevaluating the scoring. The Joint Project Risk Register incorporates all risks associated with the various aspects of the project i.e. Land Purchase/ Design/Construction/Business/ Clinical/Operational/ Staffing/Equipment Risks. The Joint Risk register is appended to this OBC at Appendix Six. It details the number and frequency of the Risk Workshops that have been held thus far, together with the attendees of each workshop. Beyond the Risk Register itself, it also details the Quality Assessment Guidelines and the Risk Action Plan. 4.2.1.4 Risk Owner During the workshops, identified risks are assigned to either NHS Highland or the PSCP, this is on the basis of the party that is best placed to assume and deal with the risk. Where risks might be seen as a shared risk, these have been separately identified as both and NHS Highland risk and as a PSCP risk in order that there is no appearance of the risk sitting with a single party. 4.2.1.5 Risk Action Plans Risk Action Plans have been prepared for all High Priority Risks (Red) using the pro forma included in the Risk Action Plan Worksheet as noted earlier, this is included in the overall Risk Register. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 82 of 121 The Risk Action Plan identifies: The risk owner and person responsible for the risk; Mitigation measures that need to be put in place; Any other other actions that could be taken if the risk occur. 4.2.1.6 Risk Quantification Each of the risks identified were appraised to determine their financial impact upon the project. This was based on a percentage of costs applied to both the probability and impact of the risk and produced a financial allocation of the risk that was deemed by both parties to be ultimately acceptable. Again, this will be fully developed through the FBC stages. The most current Joint Risk Register can be found at Appendix Six of this OBC, 4.3 Key Contractual Arrangements Beyond the need to negotiate with the Service Provider on the Current PPP Facility at Invergordon (Standard NHS Form of PPP Contract – Change Request provisions), the Preferred Solution is being procured under the NHS Framework for Scotland. This Framework is founded on Collaborative Working principles and the NEC3 form of contract is used to support these principles. Following the SGHD’s methodology for tendering work through the new Framework for Scotland, NHS Highland has appointed a Principal Supply Chain Partner (PSCP), Morrison Healthcare, to work with the Board to finalise design, work up the target cost for the scheme and to construct the building. This work has been ongoing and this Supplementary Outline Business Case not only represents the further work carried out by the Board on this project since OBC but it also reflects the results of this collaborative approach between the Board and the PSCP in defining the scope and financial envelope of the project. As noted above, the mechanism for ensuring that this partnership ethos is carried through to the construction of the new facility is through the use of the NEC3 form of contract. The main principles of this procurement methodology are outlined below. 4.3.1 Open book philosophy: A key principle of the NEC3 Option C contract is the payment of ‘Defined Cost’ and an open book accounting philosophy. These require a robust, reliable and transparent system to record staff time and manage the invoicing process. This allows the Cost Advisor not only to identify costs but also to establish that the costs have been properly expended on the project, and that they are allowable under the NEC3 Option C contract as defined under the ‘schedule of cost components’ Project costs must be referenced to items on the activity schedules with detail added against 5 main headings of; labour, plant, materials, sub contractors and preliminaries. Orders, deliveries, invoices for payment, external plant hires and subcontracts also have to be cross-checked against Goods Received Notes. The target price is key to the cost operation of the contract and is set during the preconstruction phase. This process concludes when the PSCP’s proposals are completed for costing and the risk register has been agreed. The target price costing is made up of the following elements: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 83 of 121 Within the NEC 3 option C contract there is provision to adjust the target price (upwards and downwards) via the compensation event process. 4.3.2 Contractors Overheads & Profit Contractor’s share percentage and share range Within clause 53 of the NEC 3 contract, the pain share/ gain share payment mechanism is set-out. This clause requires to be read in conjunction with Contract Data part 1 which defines the share percentages and share ranges. The table below outlines the share ranges on Frameworks Scotland: 4.3.3 >100% Contractor takes 100% of the Pain 100% Target Price 95%>100% Contractor & Employer share the gain 50:50 <95% Employer takes 100% of the Gain below the 95% The key benefit of the introduction of the target price with a pain share / gain share mechanism is the incentivisation on the team and PSCP to control cost. Priced Activity Schedule: The activity schedule is defined in Clause 11.2(20). Clause 54.1 states that ‘information in the activity schedule is not works or site information’. The activity schedule under NEC 3 option C is provided by the PSCP in contract data part 2 as part of the pre-construction phase conclusion. The activity schedule gives a breakdown of the work to be done under the contract and this covers the entire contract price. A key interface within NEC 3 is that the activity schedule must be related to the accepted programme as defined under Clause 31.4. The principle objective of having the activity schedule and accepted programme linked under NEC 3 option C is not to assess the contractor’s payments (these are made on defined cost), but to assist in the assessment of compensation events and contractors share. 4.3.4 Defined Costs: Defined cost is outlined in Clause 11.2(23) and is made of up 3 key elements; 1. The amount of payments due to sub-contractors for work which is subcontracted without taking account of amounts deducted for; retentions, payments to employer for failure to meet key dates, correction of defects after completion, payments to others and supply of equipment etc. 2. The cost of components in the Schedule of Cost Components for other work 3. Less, Disallowed cost (as defined under Clause 11.2(25)) Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 84 of 121 4.3.5 Recording and Collation of costs information: Clause 52.2 requires the PSCP to keep records of: Accounts of payments of Defined Costs Proof of payments being made Communications about and assessments of compensation events for Subcontractors Other records required by the works information The PSCP will ensure that the Cost Advisor has full and unrestricted access to accounts and records that are required to be maintained in accordance with Clause 52.3. 4.3.6 Compensation events and their application: Clause 60.1 details 19 compensation events for which the PSCP is entitled to compensation if they occur. The object of the NEC 3 contract is to ensure that all compensation events are listed in one place, expressed clearly to avoid disagreement and to allocate the events in line with modern risk allocation principles. An important aspect of the compensation event (CE) process is that both the Project Manager and PSCP are required to notify them. The Project Manager raises C.E’s for instructions or changing decisions. The PSCP notifies a CE if he believes that the event is a compensation event or if the Project Manager has not notified the PSCP. Once compensation event notifications are accepted by the Project Manager, quotations are provided in accordance with Clause 62 and submitted for consideration. These quotations cover cost and time and must be linked to the accepted programme. The Project Manager makes the assessment in accordance with Clause 63 or 64 and they are then implemented in accordance with Clause 65. The key to the entire process within NEC3 is that the process has time constraints to ensure that decisions are made, preventing the process dragging on, allowing the Project to move forward without protracted negotiations. The compensation event process can be simply defined as per the diagram below: 4.4 Implementation Timescales NHS Highland has been, in conjunction with the appointed PSCP, examining programming issues in order to establish a realistic and achievable programme for the project. The main project programme is included in this OBC at Appendix Seven. For ease of reference however, the key milestones for the delivery of this project are outlined below: - Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 85 of 121 Submit OBC to NHSH Board Submit OBC to CIG CIG Meeting Approval of OBC Finalise Target Cost Submit FBC to NHS Board Submit FBC to CIG CIG Meeting Approval of FBC Start on Site Complete Construction 2nd November 2010 16th November 2010 14th December 2010 13th January 2011 24th December 2010 6th February 2011 8th February 2011 8th March 2011 1st April 2011 July 2011 December 2012 4.5 Accountancy Treatment The Accounting Treatment for this project shall be in accordance with the rules relating to all of NHS Highland’s assets. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 86 of 121 5.0 The Financial Case 5.1 Potential Capital Requirement In conjunction with their professional advisors, NHS has prepared the capital costs based on an appraisal of the capital requirements of each option derived from draft schedules of accommodation. Table 5.1.1: Capital Cost Summary - £000 Capital Costs as per OB1 Forms Option - Do nothing Option 1a Options 4.1 and 5.4 Options 4.2 and 5.4 £'s £'s £'s £'s Works Cost Total Fees Non Works Costs (incl Sunk Costs) Equipment (Board supply & Fix) Planning/Design Risk Contingency 2,200,000 Incl incl Incl incl 15,040,130 2,481,621 1,315,504 1,723,381 376,003 13,569,705 2,310,819 1,315,504 1,723,381 446,979 14,812,788 2,457,033 1,315,504 1,723,381 475,399 Sub Total - excl VAT & Opt Bias 2,200,000 20,936,640 19,366,388 20,784,105 As OB1 Forms Notes: a) Capital Costs for the options have been provided by the PSCP, except for the do nothing/minimum provided by the Board. b) Details of the Costs are shown in the respective OB1 Forms c) Do nothing capital reflects the provision of endoscopy washers and boiler works as provided by the Board d) Costs stated at midpoint of construction which is end Q2 2011 e) Group 2-4 Equipment costs (include IM&T) have been estimated by the Board f) Contractor (PSCP) and Professional Advisors (PSCs) fees included based on estimated rates for a Frameworks Scotland project, each subject to ongoing benchmarking and testing for vfm. g) Premises will be designed to ensure the appropriate BREEAM ratings for new build and refurbishment are achieved - an allowance for associated costs has been included h) Construction contingency estimate varies for each component of the options depending on PSCPs opinion of the construction risk. i) The satellite renal component of the construction costs requires special attention as the preferred way forward is to construct this within existing an existing PFI building with 20 years of the concession remaining. The costs for this are presented as part of the overall works costs for the purposes of OBC and will be further explored at FBC. j) Refurbishment of existing renal accommodation is included in capital costs for Options (4.1 & 5.4) and (4.1 & 5.4) k) VAT is added at 20% with the following elements of cost being classed as recoverable: a. b. c. d. l) PSCP Design Team fees PSCP Overhead & Profit PSC Cost Advisor, Supervisor and CDM Survey Fees Allowance has been made for redirection of the electricity supply for each new build Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 87 of 121 m) Optimism bias has been included and aligned with construction risk to avoid duplication n) Minimal site costs have been included, as no abnormals known. No ground investigations have been carried out. Optimism bias is deemed to capture unknowns a. Optimism Bias Optimism bias is the demonstrated systematic tendency for appraisers to be over optimistic about key project parameters. In assessing the likely capital costs of the options we have adjusted the above figures to reflect the likely impact of optimism bias. The two main causes of optimism bias in estimating capital costs are: poor definition of the scope and objectives of projects in the business case due to poor identification of stakeholder requirements, resulting in the omission of costs at the initial project costing stage, and poor project management of projects during implementation, so that schedules are not adhered to and risks are not mitigated. These factors are distinct from the contingencies built into the capital costs as assessed by the Board’s PSCP and other advisers which cover specific planning/design risk associated with the brief as it stands at OBC. For the purposes of the exercise, we have used the latest HM Treasury guidance in assessing the level of mitigated optimism bias to be applied to the capital costs as outlined in section above. As such we have utilised a range of health specific features in assessing the following factors: Setting the upper bound for optimism bias to be applied to the initial capital costs, and Determining the extent of mitigation of the upper bound in light of a range of specific factors. Full details of these assessments are provided in Appendix A and are provided in the format prescribed within the HM Treasury supplementary guidance. b. Setting the Upper Bound In setting the upper bound a range of features have been assessed to determine the initial level of optimism bias to be applied, these include: build complexity; location; scope of scheme; extent of any service changes, and likely Gateway Review risk category A summary of the upper bound assessment is provided in the table below. Key features in setting the upper bound include: Relatively short time period; New build – Greenfield site on all options; Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 88 of 121 Table 5.1.2: Calculation of Optimism Bias Upper Bound Contributory Factor Do Nothing Option 1a Option 4.1 Option 4.2 Option 5.4 Build Complexity 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 4.50% Location 6.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 16.00% Scope of Scheme Extent of Service Changes 7.50% 9.50% 9.50% 9.50% 8.50% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% Gateway RPA Category 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% Upper Bound 28.50% 29.50% 29.50% 29.50% 41.00% Table 5.1.2 The higher rate for 5.4 is reflective of the refurbishment aspects of these options. c. Mitigation of Upper Bound Although the options vary in terms of their construction, scope and complexity, the approach taken to mitigation focuses on a detailed assessment of the full range of factors set out in the supplementary guidance for mitigating optimism bias on health and related projects. The level of remaining optimism bias and the extent to which the upper bound has been mitigated is summarised in the table below. Specific key features contributing towards the degree of mitigation for the redevelopment option include: detailed scheduling which has been undertaken allowing for good degree of design work and sign off by stakeholders; degree of site surveying; standard design and contract. Table 5.1.3: Mitigation of Optimism Bias Table 5.1.3 Do Nothing Option 1a Option 4.1 Option 4.2 Option 5.4 Project specific upper bound 28.50% 29.50% 29.50% 29.50% 41.00% Mitigation factor 46.00% 69.50% 69.50% 69.50% 70.50% Mitigated Upper Bound 15.93% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 12.10% The resulting optimism bias adjustments have been applied to the capital costs for the purposes of calculating capital charges and in the economic appraisal. In order to obtain the most accurate refection of Optimism bias each component of the options was reviewed and the results fed into the capital costs. Therefore, the adjusted capital costs presented below reflect a combination of 9% and 12.1% for the combined aspects of the two latter options (4.1 and 5.4) and (4.2 and 5.4): Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 89 of 121 Table 5.1.4 Capital Costs Including Optimism Bias and VAT - £000 Capital Costs with Optimism Bias and VAT - Table 5.1.4 Option - Do nothing Option 1a Options 4.1 and 5.4 Options 4.2 and 5.4 As OB1 Forms Works Cost Total Fees Non Works Costs (incl Sunk Costs) Equipment (Board supply & Fix) Planning/Design Risk Contingency £'s 2,200,000 Incl incl Incl incl £'s 15,040,130 2,481,621 1,315,504 1,723,381 376,003 £'s 13,569,705 2,310,819 1,315,504 1,723,381 446,979 £'s 14,812,788 2,457,033 1,315,504 1,723,381 475,399 Sub Total - excl VAT & Opt Bias 2,200,000 20,936,640 19,366,388 20,784,105 Optimism Bias Sub Total 350,460 2,550,460 1,884,298 22,820,937 1,958,922 21,325,310 2,083,112 22,867,217 VAT - as per OB1 forms Total Build Costs - incl VAT 440,000 3,804,762 3,539,797 3,818,936 2,990,460 26,625,700 24,865,108 26,686,153 5.2 Potential Net Effect on prices The financial model is driven by key assumptions which potentially have a material effect on the overall operating costs of the new facility, such as; likely capital costs; projected capital charges; revenue costs associated with existing services which are to be maintained, i.e. baseline costs and variations in revenue costs (property costs and staff costs) associated with each of the short-listed options. a. Costing Methodology Departmental Cost allowances have not been used in the calculation of the capital cost. As the project is being procured under Framework Scotland we have sought the expertise of the PSCP to identify the capital works cost associated with each of the short-listed options. The PSCP has used the following methodology for each component of the options: New Build – costs have been estimated from an elemental cost plan which was created in a previous exercise in Dec 2009 and adjusted for specific changes since to create a cost/m2 for OBC purposes. The costs have been reviewed by the Board’s independent cost advisor and aligned with benchmarks of similar projects. The costs have been adjusted to align with the PSCPs view of construction risk associated with the component to identify a draft Target Cost. Refurbishment – costs have been estimated on a cost/m2 for OBC purposes. The costs have been reviewed by the Board’s independent cost advisor and aligned with benchmarks of similar projects. The costs have been adjusted to align with the PSCPs view of construction risk associated with the component to identify a draft Target Cost. Equipment costs which include IM&T have been separately costed by the Board as noted above. b. Revenue Impact Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 90 of 121 The purpose of this section is to quantify the revenue costs of each short-listed option. In order to assess the revenue implications of the current services it was initially necessary to establish a baseline cost from which any changes could be considered. c. Baseline Revenue Costs The table below summarises the 2009/10 budgets for each service / organisation: As the options relate primarily to property the baseline costs which any movement has been measured from consists of some minor revenue costs, property costs and capital charges. The high level assumptions used in the revenue cost model for each of the short-listed options are set out below. Table 5.2.1: 2009/10 Budgets - £000 Table 5.2.1 Renal Day Surgery Endoscopy Other Total Pay Non-Pay Property Costs Capital Charges 1,936 1,543 0 0 1,132 800 0 0 656 381 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,723 2,724 461 0 Gross Costs 3,478 1,932 1,037 0 6,908 An allocation of Theatre budget has been used to derive the pay and non pay allocation for day surgery. d. Key Revenue Assumptions Price stated at – 2009/10 prices based on budgets Costs are expressed as annual equivalents for all options. Minor impact for pay or non-pay costs – as per current 2009/10 budgets. Revenue costs for waiting list work have been estimated for the do nothing option based on current workloads and capacity. The new property costs have been estimated using the costs per sqm for the following property costs: - Heat, Light and Power Maintenance Rates Water and Sewage Cleaning e. Capital Charges The capital charges for each option are based on costs in relation to the options depreciated over 40 years and the table below indicates that there is a significant capital charge impact due to the level of capital expenditure undertaken in each of the options. The capital charges for the do nothing option are as a result of the need to replace hospital boilers and endoscopy washers if this project does not go ahead. Table 5.2.2 Impact of Capital charges Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 91 of 121 Table 5.2.2 Depreciation Retained Total future f. Do Nothing Option 1a Option 4.1 & 5.4 Option 4.2 & 5.4 105.6 0 105.6 729.1 0 729.1 676.5 0 676.5 719.7 0 719.7 Property Costs The property costs have been based on the estimates per square metre from the development (at 2006/07 prices) adjusted to 2009/10 levels for the following: heat, light & power rates maintenance; water & sewerage Cleaning costs are based on an estimated hours per week required to clean the building, undertaken weekdays only which includes allowances for absence cover and cleaning products. The costs also include the element of the current property for estate which is retained under each option. The resultant property costs for each option are shown below: Table 5.2.3: Property Cost Impact - £000 Table 5.2.3 Do nothing Option 1a Options 4.1 & 5.4 Options 4.2 & 5.4 Portering 56,803 103,074 92,274 97,428 Stores staff Domestic Cleaning supplies Rates 48,390 3,783 101,689 31,844 100,444 20,217 175,870 92,104 17,797 161,265 97,072 19,239 169,965 Water Rates Estates Maintenance Heat/Light/Power Equipment maintenance Total Property Impact 26,160 58,068 126,059 40,000 460,951 45,243 167,380 218,017 161,440 1,023,529 562,578 41,486 153,480 199,912 161,440 919,758 458,807 43,724 161,760 210,697 161,440 961,324 500,373 For all options other than the do nothing, the table above shows a significant increase in property costs compared to current costs. This is as a result of occupying a larger footprint than is currently occupied. Option 1a has a larger footprint than option 4.1 and 5.4, and option 4.2 and 5.4 therefore the property costs associated with this option have been adjusted accordingly. The do nothing column excludes the rental cost of a modular theatre which is accounted as a saving in table 5.2.4 below. The equipment relating to Computer and Telephone systems result in an increase to annual revenue costs. This is reflected in the table below: The total impact on revenue is detailed below Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 92 of 121 Table 5.2.4: Summary Revenue Impact - £000 Do Nothing Option 1a Option 4.1 & 5.4 Option 4.2 & 5.4 0 729 677 720 Property costs 461 1,024 920 961 Revenue costs 6,447 6,630 6,602 6,669 Total Costs 6908 8382 8198 8351 Savings (Modular Unit) 0 435 435 435 Savings (Beds) 0 160 160 160 Savings (Capital Charges) 0 106 106 106 6908 774 590 742 Table 5.2.4 Capital Charges Net Impact The table above suggests a significant revenue impact under all of the options which is driven primarily by the level of initial capital expenditure and therefore recurring capital charges. In addition, there is an increase in property costs associated with occupying additional space. The savings noted for all options are as follows – the cessation of use of the modular Theatre with an associated cost saving of £435k and also the saving of £105k capital charges as a result of not having to replace the existing hospital boilers and endoscopy washers, there is also the potential to require 10 less beds within the current hospital with an approx saving of £160k pa. 5.3 Economic Appraisal As required an economic appraisal has been carried out as part of the option appraisal process to assess, from an economic perspective, the relative merits of the different options. A discounted cash flow for each of the options has been undertaken over a maximum of 40 years (plus initial construction period) using a discount rate of 3.5% (for years 0-30) and 3.0% (for years 30 plus) which is in line with Treasury Green Book guidance. The key elements used for the appraisal are detailed below: Capital outlay for each option exclusive of VAT Lifecycle costs of building and engineering works Optimism bias adjustment to initial capital costs Total revenue costs for each option excluding capital charges net of income Bridging or other nonrecurring costs Sunk costs are included (although not in line with Treasury Guidance they are applied consistently) a. Economic Appraisal Key Assumptions The key assumptions for the economic appraisal are detailed below: The base period for the economic appraisal is 2009/10. (Year 0) All cash flows are at 2009/10 outturn prices. The appraisal period is 40 years, plus construction period. Capital costs have been phased based on a model provided by technical advisers. Optimism bias has been applied as noted above The first full year for additional revenue costs for property and staffing is assumed to start in 2012/13. Renal Services provision at Invergordon PFI is assumed on the basis of a capital grant (other treatments such as adjustment to the UC will be explored at FBC to Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 93 of 121 identify any marginal adjustments around the financial model. These are not anticipated to increase the UC due to certain benefits that will accrue to the existing building during construction) b. Summary of Results The outcome of the economic appraisal is summarised below, it has been assumed that the schemes have the same lifetimes. The table below summarises the results of the economic evaluation and compares the results to the benefits appraisal outcome and also the financial appraisal. Table 5.3.1 Economic Appraisal Results Ranking EAC 000' Ranking Table 5.3.1 NPV 000' Do Nothing 165,478 2 7,402 2 Option 1a 197,264 4 8,824 4 Option 4.1 and 5.4 191,470 3 8,565 3 Option 4.2 and 5.4 47,170 1 2,110 1 The economic appraisal demonstrates a close relationship in outcomes in all but “do nothing” option which is for the most part ignored due to its inability to deliver any meaningful result against the project objectives. Option 4.1 and 5.4 is economically the preferred option. Combining the economic result with the non financial outcomes generates the following tables and results: Table 5.3.2 Economic Appraisal Results NF Ranking NPV/NFBS Ranking Table: 5.3.2 Non Financial Benefit Score (NFBS) Do Nothing 365 4 453 4 Option 1a 710 1 278 3 Option 4.1 and 5.4 697 2 275 2 Option 4.2 and 5.4 690 3 68 1 Option 1a is the highest ranked option non-financially, exceeding option 4.1/5.4 by 13 points representing a very small percentage difference. On reflection of these outcomes the Project Team felt that higher weighting could have been given to shifting the balance of care and to maximising the use of existing estate and resources. However, in keeping with the process agreed, the scores were retained. Option 1a was also accorded a high non-financial benefits score because clinical stakeholders in particular felt it was the most closely aligned option to the original New Build , which had been their preferred way forward for some time. Table 5.3.3 Economic Appraisal Results Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 94 of 121 Table 5.3.3 Cost Per Benefit Point (£) Ranking Do Nothing 20.28 4 Option 1a 12.43 3 Option 4.1 and 5.4 12.29 2 Option 4.2 and 5.4 3.06 1 It is not surprising that Option 1a is ranked so close to the 1st ranked option – as it generated the highest non-financial rating and was in previous iterations of this case the preferred way forward. The marginality of the outcomes has been considered in depth by the Board and while the outcome is on the face of it reasonably close the qualitative benefits of 4.1 and 5.4 is superior due to shifting the balance of care in terms of renal services and by making significant use of the existing Estate. 5.4 Sensitivity Testing Switching techniques to assess sensitivity highlights that the option appraisal ranking was affected by a change in property costs. Sensitivity was applied by analysing the impact of changes to key assumptions relating to capital and revenue as noted below. The results are detailed in the table below but to summarise, the ranking of the NPVs for all testing did not change the preferred option. Table 5.4.1 Sensitivity Summary NPV - £000 Do Nothing Option 1a Option 4.1 & 5.4 Option 4.2 & 5.4 Capital Cost plus 10% 165,729 199,268 193,315 197,609 Capital Cost less 10% 165,228 195,261 189,626 193,651 Property Costs plus 20% 167,358 202,232 195,049 199,371 Property Costs less 20% 163,599 193,885 188,391 192,483 The details of the above tests are contained in Appendix 8 – Financial Information. 5.5 Capital and Revenue Affordability The financial case considers the affordability analysis for each option is based on the overall capital and revenue costs. It also presents the anticipated impact of the proposals on the Board’s Income and Expenditure and Balance Sheet. The scheme is included within the Board’s Local Delivery Plan. This scheme was previously identified as a Board priority was allocated to NHS highland for this project. This forms part of the overall capital funding identified for the scheme, this will be supplemented by the Board’s formula allocation. a. Capital Affordability A summary of the total capital costs and available capital funds (taken from the current capital plan) for each year of investment is shown below: Table 5.5.1 Capital Cost Phasing - £000 Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 95 of 121 Table 5.5.1 Do Nothing Option 1a Option 4.1 & 5.4 Option 4.2 & 5.4 2010-11 0 2,556 2,471 2,544 2011-12 2,990 12,692 8,417 9,135 2012-13 0 11,377 13,977 15,008 2,990 26,626 24,865 26,686 Capital b. Revenue Affordability The overall revenue impact from pay, non pay and capital charges is set out below and has been phased over the project period This confirms that from year 2012/13 the additional revenue requirement will be (assuming a full year of costs in Yr 1) Table 5.5.2 Revenue Costs Phasing Annual Affordability - £000 Placing Value on the Benefits: Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 £m £m £m £m £m £m 677 920 6,602 8,198 677 920 6,602 8,198 677 920 6,602 8,198 677 920 6,602 8,198 677 920 6,602 8,198 677 920 6,602 8,198 106 106 106 106 106 106 Other (savings & modular) 435 435 435 435 435 435 Bed Savings 160 160 160 160 160 160 6,908 6,908 6,908 6,908 6,908 6,908 7,609 7,609 7,609 7,609 7,609 7,609 589 589 589 589 589 589 Table 5.6.2 Preferred Option Capital (Capital Charges) Property Costs Revenue Pays Total Funded by: Existing Capital Charges Existing budgets Total ADDITIONAL REVENUE COST REQUIREMENT The table above presents the currently costed savings. However we must recognise the potential for other financial savings/benefits associated with the options being explored to reduce the current affordability gap. Traditionally the benefits are difficult to place a firm figure upon and a realisation date against each benefit is only an estimate, but work around these aspects is ongoing. It is important to note that the benefits noted apply to each of the new options with greater benefit being perceived to option 4.1 and 5.4 due to the added benefits that could accrue to the single storey alternative. It is noted that the list is not exhaustive. It is the Boards intention to seek continuous improvement in the quality and cost of service delivery and attempt to address this gap through the realisation of other financial benefits to be accrued through the clinical model which has been identified as the preferred option. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 96 of 121 High/Med/Low >£25k,<£25k,<£5k Pursue/Hold Confidence level to save Perceived Potential Action 100 High Hold 10 Low Hold 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 50 Med Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 Med Pursue 100 High Pursue 80 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 10 Low Hold 100 High Pursue 100 High Pursue 100 Med Pursue Reduced infection rate (Anti-biotics, length of stay etc) 75 High Pursue Reduced re-admission rate 10 Med Hold Income resulting from intro of biomass 50 High Pursue Benefits Impact %age Capacity Changes/Re-alignments: Closure of further Inpatient Beds (any property costs that will be saved – heat, light, power maintenance) Converting in-patient beds to day case beds (staff, heat, light power, maint etc) los ? Heat, light power etc associated with Modular unit Removal of week-end elective surgical operating costs (medical, staff, nursing, staff, heat, light, power , increasing life of the asset, etc) Savings in staffing of the modular unit Ceasing the practice of undertaking elective activity during emergency surgical sessions (weekend / evening staff costs, impact on rotas etc) Managing dialysis patients in a satellite facility rather than a major acute unit (lower nursing costs) Managing patients closer to home (impact upon expenses/mileage claims) Reducing patient transport services (SAS) costs as a result of the satellite Reducing Taxi costs (Dialysis) Opportunity for income generation from “holiday” patient dialysis Improved potential to expand Home Dialysis New ways of working: Reducing clinical staff requirements as a result of improved patient flows and pathways e.g. sharing of staff between endoscopy and DSU (reduce double running: pre-op, recovery, in support of scope decontamination, effective preadmission assessment – reducing cost of cancellations and down time) Ability to plan for 100% elective utilisation (increased throughput and reduced cost/case) Savings associated with not providing barium and other studies in imaging department i.e. radiologist, radiographer, supplies, equipment and maintenance Reduced portering requirement associated with transfer to and from imaging department for current barium studies Reduced requirement for portering in the ambulatory component of day surgery i.e. current requirement to escort patient from an inpatient bed to operating theatres Improved availability of staff as a result of a more integrated renal model of care i.e. Medical / Nursing staff Reduced costs of (nurse) training as a result of integrated renal and dialysis unit Improved/More Efficient Estate: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 97 of 121 5.6 Potential Impact on the Balance Sheet The overall balance sheet will increase by £25m (excluding the impact of indexation and in year depreciation) over the project period. The table below shows the asset movements over the project period. Table 5.6.1 Project Balance Sheet - £000 31/03/2010 Existing Land and Building Value In year capital expenditure Assets Under Construction Asset disposals Total Relevant Assets Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 2,664 2,664 98 of 121 31/03/2011 31/03/2012 31/03/2013 2,664 2,664 2,664 2,471 8,417 13,977 5,135 11,081 16,641 6.0 The Management Case 6.1 Procurement Strategy As noted at 4.4 above, The Preferred Solution is being procured under the NHS Framework for Scotland. This Framework is founded on Collaborative Working principles and the NEC3 form of contract is used to support these principles. Following the SGHD’s methodology for tendering work through the Framework for Scotland, NHS Highland has appointed a Primary Supply Chain Partner (PSCP), Morrison Healthcare, to work with the Board to finalise design, work up the target cost for the scheme and to construct the building. This Outline Business Case represents the results of the collaborative approach between the Board and the PSCP in defining the scope and financial envelope of the project. Further evidence of this collaborative ethos can be noted at 6.2, below. 6.2 Project Management Arrangements Since project inception, and through the OBC process to the current stage of the project, NHS Highland have had in place a Project Governance structure which sought to ensure that there was a dedicated management focus for the project, visibility and accountability at the highest levels in the organisation and the involvement of a wide range of stakeholders in the project process. This internal project structure is noted below: Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 99 of 121 Stakeholders A Day Services Project Team has been established, reporting to the Project Board, with the remit of advising the Project Board of the requirements of each service user (including patient representation). The membership of this group is as follows: Following the tendering exercise through the NHS Framework for Scotland and the subsequent appointment of the PSCP, the Project Implementation structure is now as noted below: - Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 100 of 121 6.3 Change Management In order that patients, staff and other key stakeholders can experience the maximum benefit from the service improvements associated with the Day Services Centre. The concept of Change encapsulates a number of different areas Services This is a key aspect of the change. The creation of a Day Services Centre will result in changes to not only the range of services provided but will crucially impact on how some existing services will be provided. New models of care will be required to respond to the needs and expectations of patients and staff. Operational Policies A full range of new policies and procedures will be required to reflect the new services and physical environment Staff Development Staff will be required to obtain new skills and competencies. In order individual and group training and development programmes will be put in place to facilitate this aspect of the change process Organisational Development The concept of the Day Services Centre as an organisation must also be recognised by all key stakeholders. This element of the Change process presents a significant challenge particularly to the staff involved. The aim would be to remove the demarcation lines between services although this is not without its difficulties and challenges. However if achieved the benefits can be considerable. The implementation of change is an all inclusive development. However in order to ensure that the processes are co-ordinated it is necessary to identify Change Champions who will embrace the changes and provide a motivational focus for all staff. 6.4 Benefits Realisation The Benefits Criteria (as noted at 2.9 above) articulated in the OBC are all desirable outcomes for the project that are expected to be achieved by the Preferred Solution that is the subject of this OBC. As noted at 2.9, the fifteen criteria were identified and designed to be clear and capable of being consistently applied by the stakeholder group involved in the option appraisal. The criteria used again noted below for ease of reference: 1. Improves access to health services for all 2. Supports the implementation of new models of care and the wider clinical strategy 3. Improves the patient pathway & patient journey 4. Improves the quality of clinical care including standards and clinical outcomes 5. Improves the quality of the physical environment and fitness for purpose of all new/ re-designed facilities 6. Improves Privacy & Dignity Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 101 of 121 7. Supports the retention and recruitment of staff 8. Improves flexibility and efficient use of staff resources 9. Enables the implementation of local and national strategy 10. Planning and tenure issues are minimised 11. Speed of Delivery 12. Transition management 13. Supports the Environmental agenda 14. Makes more efficient use of existing Estate and Property 15. Minimises hospital acquired infections (HAI) However, a critical factor that will help determine the success of this project in the longer term will be in ascertaining just how well were the expected benefits realised? In other words, will NHS Highland not only implement the project within the expected timescales and to budget, but will the project also achieve the anticipated benefits as outlined above? In order that these outcomes can be ascertained, the Benefits Criteria must therefore be capable of being measured and evidenced. The following outlines how each of the Benefits Criteria above, will be measured and monitored through the project’s lifetime in order to ensure that a meaningful assessment can be made of the benefits yielded by the project is available and to benchmark the assessment criteria themselves so that lessons learnt can be fed back into future projects. The monitoring and review of achievement in relation to each of these service aims will be built into the work plans of the management team as appropriate. Please see below: No Benefit Criteria 1 Improves access to health services for all 2 Supports the implementation of new models of care and the wider clinical strategy 3 Improves the patient pathway & patient journey Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 SMART Measures Provides services closer to patients Reduces waiting times (globally) Increases BADS percentage Reduces travel distances overall Reduces travel inequality Improves capacity & throughput Separates Emergency & Elective workload Improves compliance with regulation e.g. decontamination Enables the reduction of outmoded techniques e.g. barium enema Enables the separation of inpatient and outpatient activity e.g. dialysis Reduces bed numbers overall Reduces patient length of stay Shortened and concise pathway Reduced number of “hand-offs” 102 of 121 4 Improves the quality of clinical care including standards and clinical outcomes 5 Improves the quality of the physical environment and fitness for purpose of all new/redesigned facilities 6 Improves Privacy & Dignity 7 Supports the retention and recruitment of staff 8 Improves flexibility and efficient use of staff resources 9 Enables the implementation of local and national strategy 10 Planning and tenure issues are minimised 11 Speed of Delivery 12 Transition management Increases lifespan of buildings and infrastructure by 40 years Complies with current guidance re spaces Improves natural daylight Improves patient experience Improves QIS review & score Reduces travel distances between clinical areas Provides discrete functional areas e.g. waiting, changing, interview and discharge lounge Provides “age appropriate” facilities Provides quiet/discussion/consultation spaces in all clinical environments Meets all standards re soundproofing Provides a healthy and desirable working environment Improves staff satisfaction Travel to work is easier Increases number of applicants meeting job specification Reduces staff turnover Enables improved operating theatre utilisation Enables multi-skilling of staff Fully supports the achievement of BADS targets Enables the achievement of waiting times Supports a “shift in the balance of care” Supports the realisation of “HEAT” targets Ease of acquisition Ease of contract change Minimises impact on programme Enables key deliverables within programme timeframe Minimises the need for decanting Enables an overall reduction in Carbon (Facilities) Reduces transportation requirements Is in line with and wholly supportive of the NHS Highland Property Strategy Makes more efficient use of existing Minimises the requirement for additional 14 Estate and Property new buildings Maximises use of existing NHS Highland Estate Meets all required criteria Minimises hospital acquired infections Follows Hospital Acquired Infections (HAI) 15 (HAI) SCRIBE process identifies separate and discrete "clean" and Raigmore Day Services 103 of 121 Business Case 15th October 2010 13 Supports the Environmental agenda "dirty routes" 6.5 Risk Management NHS Highland is fully aware of the need to mitigate any risks to this project and have been instrumental in setting up the appropriate measurements to ensure all risks have been highlighted, discussed and planned for. The joint risk register can be found in Appendix Seven, the strategic risks are discussed in Section 2.10, the assessment of risks can be found in Section 3.7 and the risk allocation can be found in Section 4.2 of this OBC. 6.6 Contract Management As noted under Section 4.3 ‘Key Contractual Arrangements’ the procurement of this project has been carried out under the NHS Framework for Scotland. The Contractual aspects of this are examined in full at that point. 6.7 Post Project Evaluation 6.7.1 Purpose NHS Highland is aware that in order to assess the impact of the project, an evaluation of activity and performance must be carried out. This is an essential aid to improving future project performance, achieving best value for money from public resources, improving decision-making and learning lessons. Further, sponsors of capital projects in the NHS are required by the Department of Health, HM Treasury, and the National Audit Office to evaluate and learn from their projects. This is mandatory for projects with a cost in excess of £1 million. Business cases for capital projects will not be approved unless post-project evaluation has been properly planned in advance and suitably incorporated into the Full Business Case. Therefore NHS Highland has an evaluation framework in place as follows: A post project evaluation will be carried out no later than 12 months after occupation. The benefit realisation register detailed in this OBC will be used to assess project achievement. Clinical benefits through patient and carer surveys will be carried out and prescribing trends will be assessed. 6.7.2 Prerequisites for successful evaluation To ensure maximum pay-off from evaluation, the following criteria are deemed as important: The evaluation is viewed as an integral part of the project and it is planned for at the outset. The evaluation will be costed and resourced as part of the project. There is commitment from senior managers within the organisation. All key stakeholders are involved in its planning and execution. Relevant criteria and indicators will be developed to assess project outcomes from the outset of the project. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 104 of 121 Mechanisms will be put in place to enable monitoring and measurement of progress. A learning environment will be fostered to ensure lessons are heeded. Feedback to Framework Scotland monitoring groups. 6.7.3 The stages of evaluation: when should evaluation be undertaken? Although evaluation will be carried out continuously throughout the life of a project to identify opportunities for continuous improvement, evaluation activities will be undertaken at four main stages: Stage 1: at the project appraisal stage the scope and cost of the work will be planned out. This will be summarised in an Evaluation Plan. Stage 2: progress will be monitored and evaluation of the project outputs will be carried out on completion of the facility. Stage 3: there will be an initial post-project evaluation of the service outcomes 6 to 12 months after the facility has been commissioned. Stage 4: there will be a follow-up post-project evaluation to assess longer-term service outcomes two years after the facility has been commissioned. Beyond this period, outcomes will continue to be monitored. It may be appropriate to draw on this monitoring information to undertake further evaluation after any market testing or benchmarking exercise – perhaps at intervals of 5-7 years. At each of these stages, evaluation will focus on different issues. In the early stages, emphasis will be on formative issues. In later stages, the main focus will be on summative or outcome issues. Formative Evaluation – As the name implies, is evaluation that is carried out during the early stages of the project before implementation has been completed. It focuses on ‘process’ issues such as decision-making surrounding the planning of the project, the development of the business case, the management of the procurement process, how the project was implemented, and progress towards achieving the project objectives. Summative Evaluation – The main focus of this type of evaluation is on outcome issues. It is carried out during the operational phase of the project. Summative evaluation builds on the work done at the formative stage. It addresses issues such as the extent to which the project has achieved its objectives; how out-turn costs, benefits, and risks compare against the estimates in the original business case; the impact of the project on patients and other intended beneficiaries; and lessons learned from developing and implementing the project. Table 1: What will be considered in the evaluation plan? 1. A clear view of the objectives and Who is the audience for the evaluation? purpose of the evaluation. What are their information needs? What decisions will the evaluation inform? 2. Consideration of the structural context What is the baseline situation (status quo)? What are the internal and external constraints? What are the desired outcomes? 3. Inclusion of a comparative element Are there plans to conduct a ‘before and Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 105 of 121 4. Coverage of all relevant project impacts (outcomes and processes) 5. An emphasis on learning 6. Recognition of need for robustness and objectivity 7. Sound methodology after’ assessment? Is it clear what would have happened in the absence of the project? Is there a plan to assess immediate, intermediate and ultimate outcomes? Does the plan take into account the processes by which the outcomes are generated? Does the plan consider the impact of the project on patients, staff and other stakeholders? What are the lessons? Is there a plan to disseminate the lessons learnt? Is there an action plan to ensure the lessons are used to inform the project or future projects? Is the evaluation team equipped with the skills and resources to undertake the evaluation? Should the evaluation be conducted by external contractors? What should be the role of in-house staff? Are there suitable arrangements to quality-assure the findings? What methods of data collection will be used to undertake the study? Are the proposed methods appropriate to meet the objectives of the evaluation? Factors to consider in judging the importance of evaluation Likely benefits – Is there scope to feedback any lessons from evaluation into the improvement of the project? Does the project have the potential to provide useful lessons to the wider NHS? Interest – Is the project of major interest to senior managers, policy-makers, ministers, and the public? Is it likely to attract much media coverage? Are there signs or risks of something going wrong? Ignorance and novelty – do we have comprehensive and reliable information about the performance and results of the project? Corporate significance – how important is the project to stakeholders? Is it likely to have a major impact on how services are delivered? 6.7.4 How we will evaluate: some technical considerations Government recommendation is that the Logical Framework should continue to be used for evaluation of NHS capital schemes. This is a matrix listing project objectives against indicators and measures for assessing outcomes. The underlying assumptions and risks are also considered. The technical issues arising from application of the Logical Framework include: the merits and demerits of different data collection methods the role of different participants in the data collection process Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 106 of 121 sampling methods sample size questionnaire design (types of questions, etc) piloting how to achieve a satisfactory response rate security and confidentiality of data data analysis and report writing 6.7.5 Feedback and dissemination of findings from evaluation The potential value of an evaluation will only be realised when action is taken on the findings and recommendations emanating from it. We will require the adoption of processes to ensure that this happens. To promote consistency, the content of the evaluation report should, as far as possible, address the following issues: Were the project objectives achieved? Was the project completed on time, within budget, and according to specification? Are users, patients and other stakeholders satisfied with the project results? Were the business case forecasts (success criteria) achieved? Overall success of the project – taking into account all the success criteria and performance indicators, was the project a success? Organisation and implementation of project – did we adopt the right processes? In retrospect, could we have organised and implemented the project better? What lessons were learned about the way the project was developed and implemented? What went well? What did not proceed according to plan? Project team recommendations – record lessons and insights for posterity. These may include, for example, changes in procurement practice, delivery, or the continuation, modification or replacement of the project. Evaluation results will then be signed off by senior management or at Board level. The results from the evaluation should generally lead to recommendations for the benefit of the organisation and wider NHS. These may include, for example, changes in procurement practice; delivery; or the continuation, modification, or replacement of the project, programme or policy. The results should be widely disseminated to staff concerned with future project design, planning, development, implementation, and management. 6.8 Contingency Plans Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 107 of 121 NHS Highland has carefully considered the major risks and constraints to the implementation of this project. It is recognised that, for example, this project is being procured against a background of growing uncertainty of Public Funding commitment going forward. The major risks to the project are examined in detail at 2.10 along with the contingency measures that are in place to mitigate these risks. However, beyond this, the Board are mindful that an overall contingency plan may be necessary should the project be unable to proceed for whatever reason and to that end there is an exercise underway that seeks to look at solutions to the current service delivery problems in a less centralised way that will cost less but lose many of the advantages of integration as demonstrated in this Supplementary OBC. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 108 of 121 7.0 Conclusion NHS Highland has conducted a thorough and evidence based analysis of its present and future Day Surgery, Endoscopy and Renal requirements. This Supplementary Outline Business Case represents the collective input of NHS Highland Project and Clinical Staff, their Advisors and the appointed PSCP and their Supply Chain Team. Additionally, we have consulted widely with patients and user groups. The conclusion is clear; the current facilities are inappropriate to deliver the Services that meet higher expectations for all. The main issues are the lack of space, poor fabric and design of the current facilities, along with having no realistic space to expand all three services within the existing demise – to do so would also work against the objectives inherent in shifting the balance of care too. We are confident that the proposals in this Supplementary Outline Business Case are well developed and reflect the needs of our Patients, Strategic Partners and other external stakeholders as well as NHS Highland’s clinical, operational and administrative staff. The Board are of the opinion that the proposed new facilities are vital if we are to meet future strategic targets. The preferred option, to develop a single storey Day Surgery and Endoscopy Unit to be built at Raigmore together with a Renal Facility Utilising the 7 th Floor at Raigmore, the existing renal Department and a Renal Satellite Facility at Invergordon Hospital, represents the best investment in our services going forward. It is a best outcome option that would allow us to fulfil the Key Drivers identified in this Business Case and deliver a quality 21st Century Service that meets the needs and aspirations of patients and staff. Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 109 of 121 Appendix One Activity Schedules Appendix 1 - Day Surgery Patient Projections.pdf Future Endoscopy Room Requirement.pdf Appendix 1 - Renal Patient Number Projections.pdf Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 110 of 121 Appendix Two Accommodation Schedule NHS Highland DSP Appendix 2_1.xls Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 111 of 121 Appendix Three Workshop Attendees Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 112 of 121 Benefits Workshop One: Generation Venue: Date: Raigmore Hospital 12th April 2010 Attendees: Andrew Ward, NHS Highland Jim Docherty, NHS Highland Dr Kenneth Barker, NHS Highland Donna Janssen, NHS Highland Iain Buchan, Buchan + Associates (Facilitating) Donald Milligan, Currie & Brown (Facilitating) William Nicol, Cyril Sweett Benefits Workshop Two: Appraisal Venue: Date: Raigmore Hospital 28th May 2010 Attendees: Alasdair Kinghorn, Keppie Architects (Facilitating) Iain Buchan, Buchan + Associates (Facilitating) Kevin Gauld, Currie & Brown (Facilitating) William Nicol, Cyril Sweett (Facilitating) Arlene Clark, Day Surgery Nurse Alison Maclean, Control of Infections Nurse (am only) Rod Harvey, Clinical Director (am only) Donna Janssens, Clinical Manager (Day Surgery & Endoscopy) (am only) Malcolm Iredale, Director of Finance, (pm only) Karen Underwood, Raigmore Accountant Eric Green, Estates Manager Colin McEwen, Estates Derick Macrae, Accommodation/ Masterplan/ Medical Manager Anne Allan, Renal Lead Nurse Rhoda Bell, Renal Lead Nurse Stewart Lambie, Renal Consultant (pm only) Jim Docherty, Project Clinical Lead Ray Stewart, Partnership Director Jo Veasey, Women and Children Manager Cathie Walker, HR Manager Rosie McGee, Health and Safety Manager Gavin Hookway, Theatre Manager Arthur Murray, CDMC Andrew Ward, Surgical Manager Workshop Three: Risk Workshop Venue: Date: Morrison Construction Offices 15th September 2010 Attendees: Donald Milligan Currie & Brown (Facilitating) Kevin Gauld Currie & Brown (Facilitating) Andrew Ward NHS Highland Donald McLachlan Morrison Healthcare William Nicol Cyril Sweett Ronnie Bruce Morrison Healthcare Eric Green NHS Highland (Part) Lindsay Allan Keppie Architects Neil Gallacher McLeod and Aitken Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 113 of 121 Appendix Four Benefits Scoring Results Appendix 4 Benefits Scoring Workshop Results.xls Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 114 of 121 Appendix Five Risk Workshop Results Appendix 5 - Options Risk RegisterRaigmore 170910(1).xls Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 115 of 121 Appendix Six PSCP Risk Register Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 116 of 121 Appendix Seven Project Programme Appendix 7 - Copy of Raigmore Invergordon Programme.xls Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 117 of 121 Appendix Eight Financial Papers Appendix 8 - OBC Economic & Fin ModelFinal Rev 2 - 15.10.10.pdf Appendix 8 Part Xin support of Section 5.4 Sensitivity.doc Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 118 of 121 Appendix Nine OBC Forms Appendix 9 - OB1 For - Option 1a .pdf Appendix 9 - OB1 For - Option 4.1 & 5.4 .pdf Appendix 9 - OB1 For - Option 4.2 & 5.4 .pdf Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 119 of 121 Appendix Ten Optimism Bias Calculations Appendix 10 Optimism Bias - OBC Final Rev 3 - 20.10.10.pdf Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 120 of 121 Appendix Eleven Letter of Support from NHSH Board Raigmore Day Services Business Case 15th October 2010 121 of 121