Name __________________________ Date _________ Hour ______ Lab ___: Population Growth Part A: Reindeer Population In 1911, 25 reindeer (also known as caribou)—4 males and 21 females—were introduced onto St. Paul Island, one of the Pribolof Islands in the Bering Sea near Alaska. St. Paul Island is approximately 106 km2 in size (41 square miles), and is more than 323 km (200 miles) from the mainland. On St. Paul Island, there were no predators of the reindeer, and no hunting of the reindeer was allowed. Study the graph below and answer the questions. Reindeer population on St. Paul Island between 1911 and 1950 Analysis 1. What was the size of the population at the beginning of the study? _______ a. in 1920? _______ b. What was the difference in the number of reindeer between 1911 and 1920? ______ c. What was the average annual increase in the Average annual change between Year A and Year B= Population in Year B - Population in Year A ÷ number of reindeer each year between 1911 and 1920? (Show your work below.) number of years between Year B and Year A ___________ 2. What was the difference in population size between the years 1920 and 1930? _______ a. What was the average annual increase in the number of reindeer between 1920 and 1930? (Show your work below.) ___________ 3. What was the average annual increase in the number of reindeer between 1930 and 1938? (Show your work below.) ____________ 4. During which of the three periods, 1911-1920, 1920-1930, or 1930-1938, was the increase in the population of reindeer greatest? __________________ 5. What was the greatest number of reindeer found on St. Paul Island between 1910 and 1950? _______ In what year did this occur? _______ 6. In 1950, only eight (8) reindeer were still alive. What was the average annual decrease in the number of reindeer between 1938 and 1950? (Show your work below.) Discussion 1. Could emigration or immigration have played a major role in determining the size of the reindeer population? ______ Explain your answer. __________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 2. What might explain the tremendous increase in the population of reindeer between 1930 and 1938, compared to the rate of growth during the first years the reindeer were on the island? ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 3. What effect might 2000 reindeer have on the island and its vegetation? __________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 4. Beginning in 1911, in which time spans did the population double? ______________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 5. How many years did it take each of those doublings to occur? _________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 6. What happened to the doubling time between 1911 and 1938? ________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 7. If some of the eight reindeer that were still alive in 1950 were males and some females, what do you predict would happen to the population in the next few years? Why? ______________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 8. What evidence is there that the carrying capacity for reindeer on this island was exceeded? ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 9. What does this study tell you about “unchecked” population growth? ____________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 10. What difference might hunters or predators have made? ______________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Part B: Human Population Analysis 1. On your graph paper, plot the growth of the human population using the data in the data table. Date (AD) Human Population 1940 2300 (in millions) 1950 2500 1 250 1960 3000 1000 280 1980 4450 1200 384 1985 4850 1500 427 1990 5300 1650 470 (black death) 1995 5670 1750 694 2000 6070 1850 1100 2005 6450 1900 1600 2010 6970 1920 1800 1930 2070 2. Use your graph to determine the doubling times for the human population between 1 AD and 2010 AD. How much time elapsed before the human population of 1 AD doubled the first time? ____________ 3. Is the amount of time needed for the human population to double increasing or decreasing? _____________________________ 4. Extend your graph to the year 2025. What do you estimate the human population will be in that year? ____________________ Discussion 1. What similarities do you see between the graph of the reindeer population and your graph of the human population? ________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 2. What are the three or four most important factors required to sustain a population? _________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 3. In what ways is the earth, as a whole, similar to an island such as St. Paul? _______________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 4. Does the earth have a carrying capacity? Explain. __________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 5. What might happen to the population of humans if the present growth rate continues? ______ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 6. What methods could be used to reduce the growth rate? ______________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 7. Where in the world is population growth a problem today? ____________________________ 8. Where in the world is population growth not a problem today? _________________________ 9. What problems in the U. S. are related to the human population? _______________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 10. What are the most important three or four factors to think about with regard to the world population? _________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________