COURSE OUTLINE - MARKETING PROBLEMS (IBM 421) Cal Poly - Pomona Dr. Kirkpatrick College of Business Administration Spring 2010 Office Hours: 7:30 - 8:00 and 11:45 - 1:00 Tuesday/Thursday; 11:30 - 1:00 Wednesday Building 94, Room 223; Phone: (909) 869-2438; fax (909) 869-3647 email: jkirkpatrick@csupomona.edu web site: www.csupomona.edu/~jkirkpatrick Required Text: Custom Book - Strategic Marketing Problems: Cases and Comments by Kerin and Peterson Recommended: See below. Prerequisite: IBM 408 and 411 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------K&P Date I. Strategic Marketing and Entrepreneurship II. Case Analysis: Prewriting for the Marketing Plan Case: Sorzal Distributors pp. 1-15, 35-45, 109-15 p. 123 4/1 4/1 III. Financial Analysis for Marketing Managers pp. 17-33, Ex. 1, 3, 4, 6 + handout 4/6 IV. Situational Analysis A. Market Identification and Marketing Research Case: South Delaware Coors, Inc. B. Opportunities and Threats Case: Show Circuit Frozen Dog Dinner Case: Soft and Silky Shaving Gel V. Product Strategy Case: Elitch Gardens VI. Pricing Strategy 3/30 pp. 47-57 p. 127 pp. 47-57 p. 137 p. 149 4/8 4/8 4/13 4/13 4/15 pp. 59-71 handout 4/20-22 4/20-22 pp. 17-33, 97-105, Ex. 2, 5 (pp. 31-33) 4/27 Case to be handed in: Tex-Fluids, Inc. (handout) -- written analysis due Thursday, April 29 In-Class Written Case Analysis: Tuesday, May 4, 1:00 - 2:50 PM Case: Afton Industries Case: Frito-Lay, Inc.: Sun Chips™ Multigrain Snacks VII. Promotion and Distribution Strategies Case: Steel Door Technologies, Inc. handout p. 157 pp. 85-105 p. 185 5/6 5/11-13 5/18 5/18 In-Class Written Case Analysis: Thursday, May 20, 1:00 - 2:50 PM VIII. Marketing Control Review in-class, preview F-L Grandma’s Case: Carrington Furniture, Inc. (A) pp. 107-21 p. 191 5/25 5/25 5/27 Case to be handed in: Frito-Lay, Inc.: Grandma’s Brand Cookies (handout), p. 203 -- written analysis due Tuesday, June 1 2 Date IX. Marketing Ethics Cases: A Japanese Bribe, General Electric Prices, & Humboldt County Private Enterprise (to be handed out) 6/3 6/3 In-Class, Final Written Case Analysis: Thursday, June 10, 11:30 AM - 1:30 PM Recommended Supplementary Reading: The Marketing Imagination, by Theodore Levitt. This book is widely available in paperback. As a minimum, I recommend chapters 2, “The Globalization of Markets,” and 8, “Marketing Myopia.” These chapters are reprints from the Harvard Business Review. “The Globalization of Markets” can be found in the May/June 1983 issue of HBR and “Marketing Myopia” can be found in both the July/August 1960 and the September/October 1975 issues. On a lighter note, I recommend Marketing Warfare and Bottom-Up Marketing by Al Ries and Jack Trout. Marketing Problems is the capstone course in the marketing major. Consequently, its objective is to take your knowledge of the principles of marketing and your skills in quantitative and financial analysis as givens and then to apply that knowledge and skill to real-life marketing situations. Hence, the heavy emphasis on case analysis. In each case that we will discuss, you are the marketing manager who must make a decision. You should identify yourself with the protagonist or main character in each case and decide, on the basis of what you know about marketing, what you would do if you were in that person's shoes--and, more importantly, why you would do it. Your audience is top management--and it is top management (not me) whom you must convince that your decision is the right one. In class, of course, as in real life, you must also be prepared to convince your peers that your decision is correct. The course, therefore, is a course in problem-solving thinking and persuasive reasoning. Course grades will be based on two out-of-class written case analyses (the first one weighted 15%, the second one 20%), three in-class written case analyses (the first two weighted 15% each, the third one 20%), and ten hand-in answers to selected case discussion questions (weighted 15% for all ten). Because the out-of-class cases are discussed on the day that they are due, late cases will be penalized one letter grade per class day (i.e., an A- case becomes a B-)--and both cases must be handed in to get a passing grade for the course. To determine your final course grade I convert all of your scores and letter grades to the 4-point system (A = 4.000, A- = 3.667, etc. See the Cal Poly catalog for details.) and weight each as indicated above. For example, suppose you get the following scores and grades: 1st out-of-class case C+ 1st in-class case C 2nd in-class case B- 2nd out-of class case B+ 3rd in-class case B+ discussion questions 7, 8, 8, 9, 0 (failed to hand in), 10, 9, 8, 10, 10 Your case grades are assigned the following points and weights, in order: 2.333 (15%), 2.000 (15%), 2.667 (15%), 3.333 (20%), and 3.333 (20%). Your discussion question points equal 79 out of 100, or 79.00%, which is a C+ (78’s and 79’s are C+’s, 80’s and 81’s are B-’s); thus, your discussion question grade is assigned a 2.333 and weighted 15%. Your final course average equals: (2.333 x .15) + (2.000 x .15) + (2.667 x .15) + (3.333 x .20) + (3.333 x .20) + (2.333 x .15) = 2.733 or a B- for the course. I assign final grades, using the following ranges on the 4-point system: A AB+ B BC+ = = = = = = 3.833 to 4.000 3.500 to 3.832 3.167 to 3.499 2.833 to 3.166 2.500 to 2.832 2.167 to 2.499 C CD+ D DF = = = = = = 1.833 to 2.166 1.500 to 1.832 1.167 to 1.499 0.833 to 1.166 0.500 to 0.832 0.000 to 0.499 To keep track of your grade progress, download the following: www.csupomona.edu/~jkirkpatrick/IBM421 /421GradeCalc.xls. This an Excel spreadsheet that will open in Excel. If it doesn’t, open Excel, then open the file “421GradeCalc.xls.” 3 Note: when turning in papers and discussions questions, the safest place to do so is in my hands. Never tape or in any other way try to attach papers to the door of my office (they’ll disappear) or to slip them under the door (the weather strip won’t allow it!). If you can’t put the papers in my hands, then put them in the drop box outside room 105 in building 6; be sure my name is clearly mark on the paper. It will be put into my mailbox. Extra Credit. Up to 5 percentage points or half a letter grade can be earned by those students who to do the extra credit assignment, details to be handed out later in the course. Extra credit will be due on the day of the final: March 18. (Note in the above example that well-done extra credit earning the full five extra points would change the student’s course grade from a B- to a B+, from a 2.733 average to a 3.233!) Out-of-class written cases (Tex-Fluids, Inc., due Thursday, April 29, and Frito-Lay, Inc.: Grandma’s Brand Cookies, due Tuesday, June 1). Written case analyses should follow the "problem-analysis-solution" format as discussed in the Instructions for Out-of-Class Written Case Analyses attached to this syllabus. They should be typed, double-spaced, and no more than 4-5 pages plus exhibits. Your written analyses are individual--not group--projects, but brainstorming will be encouraged to help you do the prewriting and idea generation that are necessary to coming up with well thought-out solutions to cases. (In-class case analyses will be open book, open notes!) Case Discussion Questions Of the cases that will be discussed in class, selected discussion questions will be handed in by you for grading. All questions, however, will be covered in the class discussion, so you should prepare answers to every question before coming to class. The following questions should be handed in on the dates that the cases will be discussed: Case Question to Answer South Delaware Coors, Inc. Show Circuit Frozen Dog Dinner Soft and Silky Shaving Gel Elitch Gardens Afton Industries Frito-Lay, Inc.: Sun Chips™ Multigrain Snacks Drypers Corporation Steel Door Technologies Carrington Furniture, Inc. (A) The Three Ethics Cases #1 #2 (entire question) #2 #5 (entire question) #3 #5a #4b #3b #1 #1 Date Due 4/8 4/13 4/15 4/22 5/6 5/13 5/18 5/20 5/27 6/3 Your answers to these questions should not exceed one page. Most of the answers should be between one-third and two-thirds of a page long. They should be typed or word-processed. Your answers will be graded on the basis of ten points each and your final score for all ten will be weighted 15% of your final course average. Penalty for late papers: three points per class day. More on the Out-of-Class Cases Spelling, Grammar, and the University Writing Center. Spelling and grammar, of course, matter, especially in your out-of-class cases! A paperback dictionary and a style book, such as The Elements of Style by Strunk and White or The Golden Book on Writing by Lambuth, are handy references to have on your desk. By all means, please visit the University Writing Center (building 15, room 2919, 869-5343) if you feel like you need help with your writing, or visit the Center’s website http://www.csupomona.edu/~uwc. Plagiarism: The Cal Poly catalog states the following in connection with plagiarism. “Students are hereby informed that the university considers plagiarism a serious academic offense which subjects those engaging in the practice to severe disciplinary measures.” These measures include not just failure of the course in which the plagiarism occurs but expulsion from the university. The Merriam-Webster dictionary defines plagiarism as stealing and passing 4 off as one's own the ideas or words of another, or the use of another’s production without crediting the source. See http://www.csupomona.edu/~uwc/pdf/plagiarism3-hnd.pdf and http://nutsandbolts.washcoll.edu/plagiarism.html for further discussions of what plagiarism is and how to avoid it. (By the way, http://nutsandbolts.washcoll.edu/ is an excellent, albeit lengthy, guide to college writing of all types.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------- Professor Kirkpatrick received his BA degree in philosophy from the University of Denver and his MBA and PhD degrees in marketing from Baruch College of the City University of New York. He has worked as account executive for Public Relations Aids, Inc. in New York City and Smith-Hemmings-Gosden Direct Response Advertising in El Monte, CA; he has also worked as senior account executive for the Young and Rubicam Direct Marketing Group in Los Angeles. His publications have appeared in the Journal of Advertising, Marketing Theory: Philosophy of Science Perspectives, Developments in Marketing Science, Vol. IX, Managerial and Decision Economics, and The American Journal of Economics and Sociology. His book In Defense of Advertising: Arguments from Reason, Ethical Egoism, and Laissez-Faire Capitalism was published in 1994 by Quorum Books; in 1997, the work was translated into Portuguese and published in Brazil. His second book, Montessori, Dewey, and Capitalism: Educational Theory for a Free Market in Education, was published in February of 2008. Professor Kirkpatrick also publishes a blog at jkirkpatrick.net/blog. 5 Questions of Comprehension: Prelude to Case Analysis Basically, case analysis requires three cognitive skills: (1) application--i.e., using concepts and general principles to solve a specific problem that is new to you, (2) analysis and synthesis--i.e., breaking down the case problem into its component parts, identifying relationships among the parts, and putting the parts together in a new way that sheds light on the solution, and (3) evaluation--i.e., judging the worth of an alternative course of action by comparing it to a standard. Knowledge and understanding, however, both of general marketing principles and of the facts of each specific case are prerequisite to sound case analysis. Before examining any given case, ask yourself the following questions of comprehension: 1. What concepts and principles from my basic marketing or marketing management textbooks will I have to call upon to analyze and solve this case? 2. How can these concepts and principles help me define the problem, generate alternative courses of action, or recommend a solution? 3. What in this case is the most important fact that I must consider? Next most important? Third most? 4. What uncertainties exist in the competitive environment? What assumptions about these uncertainties will I have to make before I can solve the case? 5. What quantitative analysis is required? 6. What additional information--if I could get it--would I want to have in order to help me solve this case? 6 THE PRINCIPLES OF MARKETING Marketing is the entrepreneurial function of business that creates and delivers need- and want-satisfying products to consumers. The overall goal of marketing is to create customer satisfaction. Company objective: Strive for high market share through intensive growth and market penetration. The five components of marketing strategy: 1. Market strategy -- A market consists of people who have a need for your product, and the purchasing power and authority to buy the product. Market definition -- The most basic principle of marketing is: know your market, or: to know how to market your product, first you must know to whom you are marketing. This means conducting research to define and describe your typical prospect or customer; it means identifying their needs and wants, identifying the competition, and identifying any other variables that might affect your marketing decisions. Corollary principles: (a) Use the market research information to improve your decisions, (b) Divide your market into segments--because not everyone is a prospect for your product, i.e., not everyone has the same needs and wants. An implication of this is that multiple segments call for multiple products. Market position (or competitive strategy)-- select positions within market segments that differentiate your products from the competition 2. Product strategy -- This refers to the development of new products and the management of existing ones. The primary principle: primacy of the product, or: without a good product, you have nothing. "Good," in this context, means meeting the objective, universal needs and optional wants of consumers (i.e., hula-hoops and pet rocks meet the universal need of entertainment, but pink Cadillacs meet the optional tastes and preferences of only some consumers) Develop and market multiple products for multiple segments--develop deep (primarily) and wide (secondarily) product lines. Use branding for identification and packaging for (customer) convenience. 3. Pricing strategy -- This means setting prices, determining their flexibility (i.e. fixed pricing vs. a willingness to negotiate), determining discounts and allowances. Vary your prices according to product and segment. Develop price leadership by keeping costs low and quality high, by setting prices high enough to provide a strong return on investment but low enough to prevent the competition from expanding production. 4. Promotion strategy -- Promotion means communication--the purpose of which is to make a sale. There are four methods of promotion: advertising, personal selling, publicity, and sales promotion (coupons, contests, free samples, etc.). First, know your product cold. Then, communicate its unique selling proposition (USP) to your target market. Your USP answers such questions--from the consumer's perspective--as "what's in it for me?," "why should I buy your product?," and "what distinguishes your product from the competition?" Focus on benefits, but sell the steak (the product's tangible features) as well as the sizzle (the product's intangible benefits). Match features and benefits to the needs and wants of your segments. 5. Distribution strategy -- Distribution means physically moving and delivering the product, either through middlemen or directly, to the consumer. It means moving the product to a place or location that is convenient to the consumer. Treat your middlemen (and suppliers) as intermediate customers (i.e., be nice to them by striving also to meet their needs and wants). 7 Formula Sheet 1. BE units = FC = P - VC FC UC 2. BE $ FC = UC ÷ P FC CM = or: BE $ = BE units x P When calculating breakeven, the following applies: 3. Market Share = Note: CM = P - VC = P $ = units $ &: $ = $ % or CM company sales (in units or $) relevant market sales (in units or $) 4. BE Market Share = BE units (or $) relevant market sales in units (or $) 5. BE with a profit goal ($) = FC + $ profit P - VC 6. BE with a profit goal (%) = or: FC P - VC - (∏% x P) FC + ROI P - VC = FC or: FC UC - U∏ CM - ∏% 7. segment market potential in $ (or units) = total market sales in $ (or units) x % share of segment 8. % share of segment = segment market potential in $ (or units) total market sales in $ (or units) 9. local area market potential ($ or units) = national sales x % population in local area 10. national sales = local area market potential (e.g., test market sales) % population in local area 11. annual rate of growth (or decline) = Abbreviations: BE = breakeven FC = total fixed costs P = unit selling price VC = unit variable cost UC = unit contribution CM = contribution margin ∏ = profit U∏ = unit profit n = number of years or periods n later year 1 earlier year or : later year or : earlier year n later year earlier year earlier year n 1 UC P 8 Decimal Refresher If you are even remotely shaky on decimals and percentages, you must do the following exercises. But first, go to the library reserve room and read pp. 1-18 in Everyday Math Made Easy by Peter Davidson, especially pp. 11-18 on "Using Percents." Davidson reviews all of the basic rules you need to solve these problems. 1. Convert the following decimals to percentages: (a) .258 (b) .097 (c) .003 (d) .0003 (e) 25.7 2. Convert the following percentages to decimals: (a) 37.28% (b) .11% (c) 125% (d) 2.1% (e) .03% 3. Convert the following dollar amounts to decimals in the appropriate units as indicated. For example: $2,500 converts to $2.5 thousand or $ .0025 million. (a) $7,847,000 - convert to thousands, then to millions (b) $125,700,000,000 - convert to millions, then to billions (c) $860,000 - convert to millions, then to billions (d) $5,280 - convert to millions, then to billions (e) $6,520,361,200 - convert to millions, then to billions 4. Convert the following decimal dollars to plain numbers. For example: $4.57K (or thousand) converts to $4,570; $4.57M (or million) converts to $4,570,000. (a) $12.6753 billion (b) $7.2 million (c) $45.68 billion (d) $45.68 million (e) $12.6753 million (f) $7.28739871045 billion 5. Multiply: (a) $6.2 million x 2.5% (b) $252 million x .08% (c) $ .086 billion x 11% (d) $27,500,000,000 x .1% (e) $37,511.23 x 125% (f) $6.2 million x 215% 6. Divide: (a) $2.3 million ÷ $62.5 billion (b) $72.82K ÷ 1.5% (c) $237 million ÷ $20K (d) $9.8 million ÷ 32.7% (e) $825,000 ÷ .02% (f) $36,235 ÷ $10.2 million 9 Instructions for Out-of-Class Written Case Analyses As capstone course in the marketing major, Marketing Problems gives you practice in applying the principles of marketing to real-life situations. This requires the skills of problem solving thinking and persuasive reasoning; case analysis is the means of practicing these skills. Each case presents you with a marketing problem that you--as marketing manager--must solve. Your success within the company depends on your ability correctly to identify the problem confronting you, your ability to identify viable alternative courses of action in response to the problem, and your ability to persuade your peers and, especially, your superiors that your choice of solution is the best one. You do all of this by knowing which concepts and principles of marketing to apply in each of the many different situations. In other words, you are the protagonist in each case and you must be the hero who recommends a course of action to top management that will solve their problem. Task • To write a 4-5 page (plus exhibits), typed, double-spaced case analysis following the "problem-analysis-solution" format. The paper should be divided into three major sections, labeled "Problem," "Analysis," and "Solution." All questions in the case format must be answered. Audience • • Primary: your boss and, especially, top management. Secondary: your peers (who might be attending the meeting in which you present your analysis). The Writing Process Prewriting 1. First reading. Quickly read the case once, writing down any ideas that come to mind, especially as they relate to the discussion questions or case format. Do not spend a lot of time and especially do not get bogged down trying to crunch a lot of numbers--i.e., do some preliminary calculations but not a lot. 2. Brainstorming. With two or three other students, recite your ideas about the case. Do this one person at a time without evaluation or criticism. True brainstorming withholds evaluation--because its objective is to generate as many ideas as possible, "the wilder, the better." After everyone has presented his or her ideas, discuss with your peers why you think certain ideas are better than others. You also might want to discuss what additional numbers need to be crunched to aid your analysis. 3. Digestion. After the brainstorming session, write down a preliminary--and brief--case analysis in the "problemanalysis-solution" format. Drafting 4. Second reading. Read the case again and do any additional quantitative analysis you think is necessary. Answer the discussion questions. 5. Write the rough draft. Write fast--don't worry about grammar or spelling or finding the perfect word; your objective at the draft stage is to get it all down on paper. 6. Put the draft aside for at least a day. 7. Read your draft aloud to a friend, preferably not a member of this class or even a marketing major--your friend does not have to know the case to give you important feedback. Have your friend think about the following questions: (a) What to me (your friend) is the most interesting point in this case analysis? Why?, (b) In your own words, what have I described as the problem and the solution to this case?, and (c) What additional information would enhance the analysis or make it clearer? Or, at what point in my paper did you become confused or lost? 8. Discuss your friend's reactions to your case analysis. 10 Revising 9. Concerning case format, ask yourself the following questions: Is the problem stated in symptom/cause format, demonstrating the connections between symptom and cause? Is the analysis divided into sections that clearly detail the decision objectives, the alternative courses of action, the theoretical principles that must be applied to solve the problem, and the math? Is the solution stated clearly and forcefully with suggestions for implementation? Have all of the discussion questions been answered somewhere in my paper? 10. Concerning coherence and detail, ask yourself these questions: Is the order of the paper correct? I.e., are there paragraphs, sentences, or ideas that should be eliminated, rewritten, or repositioned in the paper? Are there any hidden assumptions or hasty generalizations? Make all assumptions clear enough that a child of two could not miss them! Is there enough evidence for the claims and recommendations I am making? In other words, have I proved my argument? 11. Concerning form and style, ask: Does the paper as a whole flow smoothly from section to section, paragraph to paragraph, sentence to sentence? (Any sentence or paragraph that has to be read twice to be understood probably should be reworked.) Are the exhibits clearly labeled, following format of the exhibits in the text, and have I referred to the exhibits in the body of my paper? Are there any spelling, grammatical, or punctuation errors? (Run spelling check and look up anything you have doubts about.) 12. After your paper is printed, proofread one more time for typos and correct. Evaluative Criteria Your case analyses will be graded holistically--i.e., based on my overall impression of your work--using the following guidelines: A- An excellent case analysis answers all of the discussion questions and follows the case format precisely. Spelling and grammatical errors are absent. The quantitative analysis is essentially correct, allowing for differences in assumptions--and the assumptions are clearly spelled out. The paper flows smoothly, is articulately reasoned with plenty of specific detail, and even contains a strong persuasive punch. The excellent case analysis, in other words, has many strengths and very few flaws. B- A good case analysis has more strengths than weaknesses, but essentially it is a strong paper, especially in the area of quantitative analysis. The flaws may show up as a question that is not answered at all or not answered in specific detail, or as spelling and grammatical errors, or assumptions that are not made clear, or poor organization. The general thrust of the case, however, is essentially correct, or at least on the right track. C- A fair case analysis has major flaws--counterbalanced by an equal number of strengths. Flaws include--in addition to those listed above--repetition of case facts without using them to make a point, failure clearly to identify the problem or to recommend a concrete solution, failure to understand and to work out the quantitative analysis. D- A poor case analysis has more flaws than strengths. It shows some effort put into the assignment, but on the whole it is on the wrong track in analyzing the case, or it shows minimal understanding of how to apply marketing concepts and principles to a specific situation. F- A unacceptable case analysis has many major flaws and likely shows minimal understanding of the case or of the assignment. It usually is too brief in length and therefore exhibits little or no thought or effort put into the assignment.