Computer Science Honours Project Short Paper An Investigation Into the Optimum Way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry by Luke Hardman < g01h2946@campus.ru.ac.za > Department of Computer Science, Rhodes University 20 September 2004 Supervisor: John Ebden < j.ebden@ru.ac.za > Abstract This paper aims to verify the hypothesis that the Telkom monopoly over the South African telecommunications industry has had adverse effects on the South African economy and business in general. The effects of telecommunications liberalisation on the industry and the economic environment are examined with reference to various case studies from around the world including Taiwan, the United States and an African case study. The liberalisation processes of these countries are also discussed and analysed with respect to the South African context. Also included are comparative prices and evaluations of general internet and other value added services (such as ADSL) in countries around the world. The conclusions drawn are that the monopoly has adversely affected the economy and business in South Africa in general. 1. Background The South African telecommunications sector has been dominated by the previously 100% government owned monopoly Telkom. In 1997 30% as well as all management control was sold to Thintana, a consortium, made up of Telkom Malaysia and SBC Communications. A part of this deal was the provision that Telkom be the exclusive provider of basic telecommunications services to all South Aficans. This essentially meant that Telkom, and the two cellular providers, would be the only companies allowed to carry voice traffic, nationally or internationally. The result is that the South African telecommunications users have “endured high costs, indifferent service and aggressive attempts by Telkom (under SBC management) to limit the activities of Internet Service Providers and Value Added Network Service providers” (CTUF Press Release, 2001). The liberalisation of the South African telecommunications sector is now more important than ever and the continuing monopoly are holding back the South African economy (Anderson, 2004). Taiwan, due to its success in the liberalisation of its telecommunications market forms a good basis for study and much can be learned from their experiences that can help us gain the competitive advantage associated with a strong telecommunications market (Cheng, 2003). 2. Case Studies 2.1 Taiwan The telecommunications industry in Taiwan was controlled by a monopoly, the state owned Directorate-General of Telecommunications (DGT) (Hsieh et al., 2003). This along with mismanagement, mainly of profits not being reinvested resulted in a stunted telecommunications industry (Taiwan’s Telecommunications Reforms, 1996). The Taiwanese government saw the importance of liberalising the telecommunications industry in developing their economy and catching up with other major industrialised nations. In 1996 three telecommunications acts were introduced which effectively “paved the way for industry privatisation, deregulation and – equally important to maintaining a fair and competitive market – re-regulation” (Hsieh et al., 2003). Since the passing of these laws the Taiwanese telecommunications industry has grown rapidly with the introduction of stiff competition. Both cellular phone penetration rates and internet usage figures have sky rocketed. Taiwan enjoys cheaper and more effective telecommunications in all areas resulting in better business practices and a boost to the Taiwanese economy. Figure 1. illustrates the large increase in broadband internet usage since liberalisation which is a priority of the Taiwanese government. 2 Increase in number of broadband users in Taiwan 2500000 Figure 1. Increase in number of broadband users was ten fold in a 2 year period. 2000000 Users 1500000 1000000 500000 0 2000 2002 Year Source: Cheng, 2003 2.2 USA For almost a century the telecommunications industry in the United States was controlled by the Bell Telephone company (renamed AT&T in 1899). By 1984 AT&T was one of the largest corporations in the United States. In that year it was forced by the American government to split into several smaller regional companies which would become known as the “Baby Bells”. This, however, did not cripple the company or any of its subsidiaries (Belize North, 1999). This split was at the insistence of the United States regulating body the FCC (Federal Communications Commission). The FCC is an independent government agency and is directly responsible to congress. It is the FCC that is responsible for regulating the American interstate and international radio, television, wire, satellite and cable communications (FCC Home Page, 2004). Today America offers “services that are competitive and lower [priced] than anyplace else in the world” (Belize North, 1999). Since the cost of using the internet is most commonly a combination of the service charge paid to the service provider and the local phone call to reach that provider internet usage in the United States is very affordable. This has in turn promoted the use of the internet and e-commerce in general (Belize North, 1999). 3 3.2. South Africa The South African road to telecommunications liberalisation has been a long, slow process which began in 1991 with the formation of Telkom, which enjoys a monopoly over the fixed line market, and the introduction of the two cellular providers in 1993 and 1994 (Laing, 2004). After partial privatisation of Telkom it was decided by the South African government that allowing the monopoly to continue would be most beneficial to achieving their goals of more phone lines. This however proved unsuccessful and many of the new lines installed to meet a quota were soon disconnected (Laing, 2004). On the 2nd May 2002 Telkoms exclusive rights over services came to an end but we are still waiting for the SNO to appear. This was awarded to a conglomerate made up of Eskom, Transnet, Nexus and Communitel and Two Consoritum, to appear (Laing, 2004). 3.2.1. Recent Developments Also of importance is the recent announcement by Minister Dr Ivy Motsepe-Casaburri regarding deregulation of the VoIP protocol which effectively allows consumers to purchase telephone, video, data and Internet services from more than one provider. It is the opinion of Internet Solutions, a South African service provider that this “is the most significant announcement since the passing into law of the Telecommunications Act of 1996” (Internet Solutions, 2004). This itself could facilitate cheaper calls and better business practices. If other operators like the Value Added Network Service providers (VANS) can apply for licenses to offer a range of telecoms services, the question is raised whether or not the SNO will even be a viable venture. Most involved in the market agree that the announcement will not be a bad thing for Telkom but will benefit the market in general as well as benefiting the telecommunications giant. 4. Results The cost matrix below was produced using relevant internet service provider’s websites in conjunction with the currency converter found on the website XE.com. All services compared were the same wherever possible, if this was not possible the service closest to that offered by Telkom was chosen for comparison. 4 Cost Matrix ADSL Telkom SA R1,000,00 pm ISDN Data/56K R198,00 pm R79,00 pm Taiwan R133.00pm Installation = R40, thereafter pay per minute with minimum of R20 pm. Almost non-existent USA R251.00pm Nigeria R England R280.00pm R129.254 R58, 146 R R195,00 R316,33 R163.00 Figure 2. As can be seen in the above Cost Matrix (figure 2.) charges for basic internet services are markedly cheaper in most other countries than those offered by Telkom. The most noticeable difference is the large variation in price of ADSL services. England, the most expensive of the other countries analysed, boasts prices almost four times less than those offered by Telkom. The cheapest, Taiwan, where the government is actively promoting broadband services, is about eight times cheaper than our locally offered service. The prices of ISDN services, however, are not nearly this bad and compare favourably with countries such as England and the United States. Taiwan once again boasts incredibly cheap rates with the monthly cost depending only on how much time one spends connected to the internet with a minimum monthly payment of just R20 after installation. Our standard 56K dial up connection also compared favourably with the countries analysed. This however is probably not an accurate representation as just the monthly subscription is included. Our charges for calls are more expensive and our monthly costs would approach those of England and Nigeria. Users in the United States, however, pay only R58 per month and, with local calls in most areas being free, this is all they pay. 5. Conclusions In the final analysis it is apparent that the Telkom monopoly has been holding back the development of the South African telecommunications industry as well as affecting negatively the economy and business in general. With the monopoly coming to an end and the announcement of the SNO we can expect prices to decrease. The announcement of the deregulation of the VoIP protocol which becomes effective in February 2005 will also have large implication for the telecommunications sector as well as the SNO and Telkom. This announcement could also result in extra input into the South African Economy with businesses and call centres taking advantage of the new regulations. With government recognising the importance of liberalisation we seem to be on the right track to achieving a cheaper, more efficient telecommunications industry. Much, however, still needs to be done. Of critical importance are issues surrounding ADSL and 5 other broadband technologies which have been shown to be far more expensive in South Africa than the other countries studied. The South African government should consider actively promoting broadband usage. It has been shown that this has worked in countries like Taiwan where broadband usage has grown exponentially and is one the cheapest in the world. This is important for businessmen and the public alike. 6. References Belize North. The Bell Telephone Monopoly vs BTL, 1999. Accessed: 25 March 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.belizenorth.com/bell_telephone.htm > Cheng, K. Telecommunications Privatisation in Taiwan: A Beautiful Mistake? University of Manchester, 2003. Accessed: 24 March 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.devstud.org.uk/publications/papers/conf03/dsaconf03cheng.pdf> Federal Communications Commission. About The FCC: A Consumer Guide to our Organisation, Functions and Procedures. A Concsumer and Government Affairs Publication. Acessed: 28 April 2004. Available online: URL < http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-229127A1.pdf > Hsieh,V., Hsu, V., Chen, E., Chaio, R., Weng, L., Su, P. Taiwans Telecommunications and Broadcasting/Media Industries: The Legal and Regulatory Environment. Winkler Partners, 2003. Accessed: 24 March 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.winklerpartners.com/htmlffiles.english/Publications/articles /WP_Telecom _Env2913.pdf > ICASA Homepage. About ICASA, Overview, 2004. Accessed: 23 June 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.icasa.org.za/Default.aspx?page=1009 > Internet Solutions. News and Events: VoIP Policy Announcement. 14 Septmeber 2004. Accessed: 19 September 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.is.co.za/datafile/default.asp > Laing, R. Special Report: The Mobile Decade. ITWeb Brainstorm, Vol. 3, Issue 6, February 2004. Available on the attached CD Rom in PDF format. South African Consulate General. News and Media, 2004. Accessed: 20 June 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.southafrica-newyork.net/consulate/news.htm > Taiwans Telecommunications Reforms. Background Briefing of the Telecommunications Infotechnology Forum, 1996. Accessed: 24 March 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.trp.hku.hk/tif/papers/1996/960304briefing.pdf > 6 Verikios, G. and Zhang, X-G. 2001, Global Gains from Liberalising Trade in Telecommunications and Financial Services, Productivity Commission Staff Research Paper, AusInfo, Canberra, October 2001. Accessed: August 2004. Available online: URL < http://www.pc.gov.au/research/staffres/ggflt/ggflt.pdf > 7