Can you hear me now? Cell Phone Accounts Teacher Background Information: Cell phones are a part of the lives of an ever-increasing number of people all over the world. This lesson is the first in a series of lessons, which investigates the sustainability of cell phones and begins with an examination of cell phone usage. Goals: To access and review statistical concepts and graphical representations to investigate the issues of sustainability surrounding a personal electronics item that they use every day Objectives: Students will… Estimate and rewrite large numbers Calculate the mean of a given data set Calculate the median, upper and lower quartiles of a data set using algebraic and graphical methods Construct a box-and-whisker plot for a given data set Content Area: Number sense Mean Median upper and lower quartiles Cumulative frequency graphs box-and-whisker plots Standards met: NM-NUM.9-12.1 NM-DATA.9-12.1 NM-PROB.REP.PK-12.1 Time required: 1 x 45-60 minute class period Materials: (one per student) calculator graph paper ruler/straightedge Procedure: Project the overhead ‘cell phone interesting facts’. Lead a discussion based upon how the information about cell phones relates to the future and the three E’s of sustainability. Students should draw some conclusions about this phenomenon and how it will affect the economics, social equity and environment into the future. Explain to the students that they will be using data and some of their math skills to more deeply analyze cell phone usage. Hand out the student sheets. Review the worksheet and answer any questions. Give students time to complete the worksheet. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Accounts: Student Worksheet Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ Telephones > Mobile cellular (most recent) by country Rank Country Amount #1 China 547,286,000 __________ #2 India 296,080,000 __________ #3 United States 255,000,000 __________ #4 Russia 170,000,000 __________ #5 Brazil 120,980,000 __________ #6 Japan 107,339,000 __________ #7 Germany 97,151,000 __________ #8 Pakistan 88,020,000 __________ #9 Indonesia 81,835,000 __________ Italy 78,571,000 __________ #10 Amount (in millions) 1. Complete the last column in the chart above by writing the amount of cell phones, in millions of phones, in each country, rounded to the nearest tenth of a million. 2. Calculate the mean number of cell phone accounts (in millions) for this list. Show your calculations. 3. Calculate the upper quartile (75%ile) and the lower quartile (25%ile), and hence, calculate the Inter Quartile Range. Show all your calculations. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 4. Calculate the median number of cell phone accounts (in millions) for this list. Show your work. Construct a “box-and-whisker” plot to show your 5-point summary. 5. Construct a cumulative frequency graph for this list of country’s cell phone accounts. Use graph paper supplied by your teacher. Use this graph to estimate the median, the lower and upper quartiles (show your work on the graph). Estimate the number of cell phones rounded to the nearest million. Write your answers below. Median: _______________ Upper Quartile: ________________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Lower Quartile: ________________ Cell Phone Accounts: Student Worksheet Teacher Answer Key Telephones > Mobile cellular (most recent) by country Rank Country Amount #1 China 547,286,000 ___547.3___ #2 India 296,080,000 ___296.1___ #3 United States 255,000,000 ___255.0___ #4 Russia 170,000,000 ___170.0___ #5 Brazil 120,980,000 ___121.0___ #6 Japan 107,339,000 ___107.3___ #7 Germany 97,151,000 ____97.1___ #8 Pakistan 88,020,000 ____88.0___ #9 Indonesia 81,835,000 ____81.8___ Italy 78,571,000 ____78.6___ #10 Amount (in millions) 1. Complete the last column in the chart above by writing the amount of cell phones, in millions of phones, in each country, rounded to the nearest tenth of a million. (see table above) 2. Calculate the mean number of cell phone accounts (in millions) for this list. Show your calculations. (547.3 + 296.1 + 255 + 170 + 121 + 107.3 + 97.1 + 88 + 81.8 + 78.6) = 1842.2/10 = 184.22 millions of cell phones 3. Calculate the upper quartile (75%ile) and the lower quartile (25%ile), and hence, calculate the Inter Quartile Range. Show all your calculations. 547.3 296.1 255 170 121 ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. upper quartile = 255 million cell phones 107.3 97.1 88 81.8 78.6 lower quartile = 88 million cell phones Inter Quartile Range = 255 – 88 = 167 million cell phones 4. Calculate the median number of cell phone accounts (in millions) for this list. Show your work. 547.3 296.1 255 170 121 107.3 97.1 88 81.8 78.6 middle values are 121 & 107.3 Median = (121 + 107.3)/2 = 114.15 million cell phones Construct a “box-and-whisker” plot to show your 5-point summary. Min = 78.6 Q1 = 88 Median = 114.15 Q3 = 255 Max = 547.3 5. Construct a cumulative frequency graph for this list of country’s cell phone accounts. Use graph paper supplied by your teacher. Use this graph to estimate the median, the lower and upper quartiles (show your work on the graph). Estimate the number of cell phones rounded to the nearest million. Write your answers below. (Answers will vary, but should fall within the following ranges) (Answers are in Millions of cell phones.) Median: ___215 - 245____ Upper Quartile: ____300 - 400___ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Lower Quartile: ____125 - 150____ Interesting facts about Cell Phones At the end of September 2006, the world's cell phone subscribers reached 2.5 billion, from 2 billion in September 2005, representing the fastest adoption of half a billion subscribers, one year. By the end of 2008, the world's cell phone subscribers will reach over 3.5 billion. Between the end of 1994 and the beginning of 2006 cell phone usage in the U.S. rose from 25 million to 219.4 million. 87% of the U.S. population owns a cell phone. The average user replaces her cell phone every 18 months. A student's mobile phone bill ranges from $41 to $60 per month, but 57.5% of students are on family plans and don't pay the bills themselves. 19% of U.S. Internet users access the web from their mobile devices. Cell phone ownership among 12- to 14-year-olds increased from 13 percent in February 2002 to now more than 55 percent. More than 36 percent of all 11- to 14year-olds own their own cell phone, more than 14 percent own personal digital assistants and more than 15 percent own a hand-held Internet device. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Recycling Content Area: Goals: To use data about recycling of cell phones to Assess or review operations with percents, converting numbers from one unit of measure to another. Objectives: Students will... Demonstrate the ability to solve problems using percents Solve problems that require converting from one unit of measure to a different unit of measure Solve word problems Procedure: Operations with percents Unit conversions Solving word problems Standards met: NM-NUM.9-12.1 NM-MEA.9-12.2 NM-PROB.PK-12.2 Time required: 15 – 20 minutes Materials: (per student) Student worksheet calculator. Ask students if anyone has an old cell phone at home. Explain to students that small electronics are becoming the fastest growing waste stream that the world has to consider and although recycling for cell phones is available, not many people are currently recycling their phones. Hand out the students worksheets Review the worksheet and answer any questions. Give students time to complete the worksheet. Have students go to the following webpage and watch the U-Tube video. http://www.eco-cell.org/cellwaste.asp Then read the article at the following webpage. http://www.eco-cell.org/egad.pdf ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Recycling: Student Worksheet Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ Mobile Phones in Use: Worldwide, by Country (This is only a partial list.) Rank Country Cell phones Date of information 1. World 4,100,000,000 12/2008 2. China 710,000,000 8/2009 3. India 456,744,000 8/2009 4. United States 271,000,000 12/2008 Data collected from the following sources: http://www.epa.gov/epaoswer/education/pdfs/life-cell.pdf and www.eco-cell.org The world wide rate for recycling cell phones is about 1%, while in the United States the recycling rate for cell phones is about 5%. Use the information above to answer the following questions. 1. Approximately how many cell phones might you expect will be recycled worldwide? How many in the United States? 2. One cell phone recycling company, Falconbridge Ltd., estimated that it can extract approximately 3.9 metric tons of gold from 130 million cell phones. Calculate the following. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 3.9 metric tons = ___________________kg _______________ kg = ___________________ grams _______________ g _______________ oz = ___________________ ounces ÷ 130,000,000 = __________________ ounces of gold in each cell phone. 3. On October 15, 2009 gold was selling at $1050 per ounce. value of the gold found in the average cell phone. Find the 4. On average, cell phones in the US are taken out of service after 1.5 years. a. If all cell phones are retired in 1.5 years, then how many will be retired in 1 year? b. How many metric tons of gold are contained in the cell phones retired each year? c. What is the market value of the gold extracted from retired cell phones? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. d. Based on your answer in part c, i. find the value of recycled cell phone gold (5%) ii. find the value of cell phone gold buried in landfills (20%) iii. Find the value of the gold in phones laying around the house (75%) 5. On average, 3 million metric tons of crushed rock is mined to recover the 3.9 metric tons of gold found in 130,000,000 recycled cell phones. How many metric tons of crushed rock from mining gold could be avoided if all US cell phones were recycled? 6. Why/how is recycling cell phones good for the environment? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Recycling: Student Worksheet: Teacher Key Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ Mobile Phones in Use: Worldwide, by Country (This is only a partial list.) Rank Country Cell phones Date of information 1. World 4,100,000,000 12/2008 2. China 710,000,000 8/2009 3. India 456,744,000 8/2009 4. United States 271,000,000 12/2008 Data collected from the following sources: http://www.epa.gov/epaoswer/education/pdfs/life-cell.pdf and www.eco-cell.org The world wide rate for recycling cell phones is about 1%, while in the United States the recycling rate for cell phones is about 5%. Use the information above to answer the following questions. 1. Approximately how many cell phones might you expect will be recycled worldwide? How many in the United States? 4,100,000,000 x 0.01 = 41,000,000 2. One cell phone recycling company, Falconbridge Ltd., estimated that it can extract approximately 3.9 metric tons of gold from 130 million cell phones. Calculate the following. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 3.9 metric tons = _____3,900_____kg _____3,900___ kg = ______3,900,000_______ grams 3,900,000 ÷ 28.35____ g __137,566.14_____ oz = ____137,566.14_____ ounces ÷ 130,000,000 = ____0.00106_____ ounces of gold in each cell phone. 3. On October 15, 2009 gold was selling at $1050 per ounce. value of the gold found in the average cell phone. Find the 0.00106 x 1050 = $1.11 4. On average, cell phones in the US are taken out of service after 1.5 years. a. If all cell phones are retired in 1.5 years, then how many will be retired in 1 year? 1.0/1.5 = 2/3 b. (271,000,000) x 2 ÷ 3 = 180,666,666 cell phones How many metric tons of gold are contained in the cell phones retired each year? 180,666,666 : x = 130,000,000 : 3.9 x = 5.42 metric tons of gold c. What is the market value of the gold extracted from retired cell phones? 5.42 x 1,000 x 1,000 ÷ 28.35 = 191.181.7 oz gold ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 191,181,7 x $1050 = $200,740,740 d. Based on your answer in part c, i. find the value of recycled cell phone gold (5%) $200,740,740 x 0.05 = $10,037,037 ii. find the value of cell phone gold buried in landfills (20%) $200,740,740 x 0.20 = $40,148,148 iii. Find the value of the gold in phones laying around the house (75%) $200,740,740 x 0.75 = $150,555,555 5. On average, 3 million metric tons of crushed rock is mined to recover the 3.9 metric tons of gold found in 130,000,000 recycled cell phones. How many metric tons of crushed rock from mining gold could be avoided if all US cell phones were recycled? Write a proportion: x : 5.42 = 130,000,000 : 3.9 x = 180,666,666 metric tons of rock per year 6. Why/how is recycling cell phones good for the environment? Answers will vary. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Pollution Teacher Background Information: The following web site provides valuable information in the form of a poster: http://www.epa.gov/osw/education/pdfs/lifecell.pdf Goals: To use information about cell phone pollution to assess or review understanding of problem solving that involves unit conversions and analysis of their results. Objectives: Students will… Solve problems using percents Solve problems that involve unit conversions Analyze their results and make a prediction about future outcomes Content Area: Operations with percents Problem solving that involves unit conversions analysis of students’ results to make a prediction about future outcomes Standards met: NM-NUM.9-12.2 NM-ALG.9-12.2 NM-PROB.PK-12.1 Time required: 20 – 30 minutes Materials: (per student) Calculator Procedure: (for the teacher) Have students review the article at the following web address http://www.eco-cell.org/egad.pdf and watch the U-Tube video at http://www.eco-cell.org/cellwaste.asp Hand out the student worksheets. Review the worksheet and answer any questions. Give students time to complete the worksheet. After all students are finished, discuss the concept of e-waste and the problems of worker exposure regarding the manufacture and dumping of electronics in the developing world. You may use the following YouTube and Teachertube videos to spark conversation on this issue. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sl2j83LCHss http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JZey9GJQP0 ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. http://www.teachertube.com/viewVideo.php?video_id=106619&title=WR3A_ __Fair_Trade_Recycling&vpkey= http://www.greenpeace.org/international/photosvideos/videos/mexicanelect ronicsproductiontoxics Cell Phone Pollution: Student ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Worksheet Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ While e-waste consists of discarded computers, cell phones, and other electronic devices – let’s look at some data concerning cell phones in the United States. Based upon a report by Inform, an environmental research organization, the average cell phone is in use for only 18 months. According to the EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) there have been over 900 million cell phones retired in the U.S. by 2007. Only about 5% of these are recycled, with 75% being stored in people’s homes, and 20% going to landfills or incinerators. It is estimated that over 165 million cell phones are sold in the U.S. each year, and that number is increasing. Organize the information in the paragraph above in the chart below: Retired cell phones by 2007 Percent Recycled Percent in homes Percent in landfills or incinerators Cell phones sold this year in the U.S. Using this information, answer the following questions. Show all calculations. 1. How many cell phones in the U.S. had been recycled by 2007? 2. How many cell phones in the U.S. have been thrown away by 2007? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 3. If the average weight of a cell phone is 4 ounces, (2005 Nokia) how many pounds of waste would be created by these cell phones being thrown away in #2 above? (1 lb = 16 oz) 4. Of the cell phones sold in a year, how many would be recycled 18 months later if the U.S. doubled its rate of recycling? (Use the original percentages.) 5. Of the cell phones sold in a year, how many would be recycled if the cell phones stored in people’s homes were added to those already being recycled? 6. What would happen to the amount of e-waste from cell phones if the average use time increased to 24 months? Explain. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Pollution: Student Worksheet Teacher Key Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ Name: ______________________________ Class period:_________ While e-waste consists of discarded computers, cell phones, and other electronic devices – let’s look at some data concerning cell phones in the United States. Based upon a report by Inform, an environmental research organization, the average cell phone is in use for only 18 months. According to the EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) there have been over 900 million cell phones retired in the U.S. by 2007. Only about 5% of these are recycled, with 75% being stored in people’s homes, and 20% going to landfills or incinerators. It is estimated that over 165 million cell phones are sold in the U.S. each year, and that number is increasing. Organize the information in the paragraph above in the chart below: Retired cell phones by 2007 900,000,000 Percent Recycled Percent in homes 5% 75% Percent in landfills or incinerators Cell phones sold this year in the U.S. 20% 165,000,000 Using this information, answer the following questions. Show all calculations. 1. How many cell phones in the U.S. had been recycled by 2007? 900,000,000 x .05 = 45,000,000 recycled cell phones by 2007. 2. How many cell phones in the U.S. have been thrown away by 2007? 900,000,000 x .20 = 180,000,000 cell phones have been discarded by 2007. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 3. If the average weight of a cell phone is 4 ounces, how many pounds of waste would be created by these cell phones being thrown away in #2 above? (1 lb = 16 oz) 180,000,000 x 4.0 oz = 720,000,000 oz 720,000,000 / 16 oz = 45,000,000 lbs of waste created by cell phones by 2007. 4. Of the cell phones sold in a year, how many would be recycled 18 months later if the U.S. doubled its rate of recycling? (Use the original percentages.) 165,000,000 x .1 = 16,500,000 cell phones would be recycled 18 months after purchase. 5. Of the cell phones sold in a year, how many would be recycled if the cell phones stored in people’s homes were added to those already being recycled? 165,000,000 x (.05 + .75) = 132,000,000 cell phones would be recycled. 6. What would happen to the amount of e-waste from cell phones if the average use time increased to 24 months? Explain. The amount of e-waste would decrease because more people would be holding on to their phones, and not disposing of them. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Life Expectancy Teacher Background Information: Cell phones are a part of the lives of an ever-increasing number of people all over the world. How long we keep our old cell phone is a very important decision with far reaching impacts. Many things in nature can be shown to fit a ‘Normal Distribution’. Students should be familiar with the characteristics of a normal distribution, including the 68-95-99 shortcut, and how to use a scientific calculator or computer to determine probabilities associated with data in a normal distribution. Data source: http://www.epa.gov/epaoswer/education/pdfs/lifecell.pdf Goals: To use information about the life expectancy of a cell phone to assess or review properties of normally distributed data and to determine the probabilities associated with such data. Objectives: Students will… Content Area: Probability & Statistics Normal distribution curve finding probabilities from normally distributed data Prerequisites: Understanding of the properties and uses of a normal distribution curve Standards met: NM-DATA.9-12.3 NM-PROB.REA.PK-12.2 Time required: 20-30 minutes Materials: (per student) Calculator (such as a TI-83) or computer capable of statistical analysis (normal cumulative distribution function)needed: Estimate probabilities associated with normally distributed data using the 68-95-99 rule Calculate probabilities of normally distributed data, having different parameters, using available technology (calculators or computers) Procedure: ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. To warm up ask students to define what the term life expectancy means in terms of humans and in terms of electronics and appliances. Ask students what factors may affect the life expectancy of electronics and appliances. Hand out the student worksheet. Review details on the worksheet and answer any questions. Give students time to complete the worksheet. Review answers. Hand out worksheet II and review and answer questions. Review this whole series of lessons about cell phones and alert the students to the following website http://recyclemycellphone.org . explain that there are now places to recycle your cell phone but that you have to be a savvy consumer as some recycling programs do not match up to the idea of sustainability where economics, environment and social equity are in harmony. Have students read the article at the following web address: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/campaigns/toxics/electronics /where-does-e-waste-end-up Ask students to write a paragraph evaluating e-waste issues against the three E’s of sustainability (economics, environment and social equity) ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Life Expectancy: Student Worksheet Name:____________________________________ class period:_________ There are many things in nature that may be represented by a Normal distribution. Let’s assume that the age at which cell phones are no longer in use can be represented by a normal distribution, with a mean of 18 months. You may remember that in a normal distribution, approximately 68% of the data are within one standard deviation of the mean. (95% are within 2 standard deviations, and 99.7% are within 3 standard deviations of the mean.) So, if we assume that 68% of the cell phones are used between 14 months and 22 months and then disposed of, then one standard deviation would be about 4 months. (Normal distributions are symmetrical about the mean.) Therefore we can write the following distribution statement: X ~ N(18,42) where X represents the age of cell phones at which they no longer are in use. Using this distribution we can estimate the probability that a cell phone will no longer be in use after a specific period of time. (i.e. P(X≤18) = .5 or 50%) Determine the following probabilities, using the 68-95-99 approximation for the normally distributed data, rounding you answers to 3 decimal places (the nearest tenth of a percent). 1. P(X≤14) = _________ 2. P(X≤22) = _________ 3. P(X≤26) = _________ 4.P(10≤X≤18) = _________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 5. P(X>14) = _________ 7. P(18≤X≤26) = _________ 6. P(X>10) = _________ 8. P(14≤X≤22) = _________ Now let’s look at the possible effect on such a distribution if everyone in the U.S. kept using their old cell phone for a longer period of time, before they got a new one. The average age of a cell phone would increase. Let’s increase the mean to 24 months. Let’s also assume that 68% of the cell phones are used between 18 and 30 months before they are taken out of use. Therefore the standard deviation will be 6 months. Hence, X ~ N(24,62). With the TI-83 graphing calculator, use the normal cumulative distribution function [normalcdf(lower bound,upper bound,mean,standard deviation] to determine the probabilities. Using your calculator/computer, determine the following probabilities, rounding you answers to 3 decimal places (the nearest tenth of a percent). 1. P(X≤14) = _________ 2. P(X≤22) = _________ 3. P(X≤26) = _________ 4.P(10≤X≤18) = _________ 5. P(X>14) = _________ 6. P(X>10) = _________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 7. P(18≤X≤26) = _________ 8. P(14≤X≤22) = _________ With technology improving at an ever-increasing rate, and Americans not wanting to be left behind, it is more likely that the average age of a cell phone remaining in use will decrease. If this should happen, how do you expect the probabilities that you calculated above will change? Make a prediction, or explain why you cannot. Now, calculate the following probabilities using the following distribution: X ~ N(12,2.52) (Again, round you answers to 3 decimal places or the nearest tenth of a percent.) 1. P(X≤14) = _________ 2. P(X≤22) = _________ 3. P(X≤26) = _________ 4.P(10≤X≤18) = _________ 5. P(X>14) = _________ 6. P(X>10) = _________ 7. P(18≤X≤26) = _________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 8. P(14≤X≤22) = _________ Explain how these results prove, or disprove, your prediction. If our goal, as a society, is to create less waste and to conserve more natural resources, what direction concerning cell phone use should we travel? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Life Expectancy: Student Worksheet Teacher Key Name:____________________________________ class period:_________ There are many things in nature that may be represented by a Normal distribution. Let’s assume that the age at which cell phones are no longer in use can be represented by a normal distribution, with a mean of 18 months. You may remember that in a normal distribution, approximately 68% of the data are within one standard deviation of the mean. (95% are within 2 standard deviations, and 99.7% are within 3 standard deviations of the mean.) So, if we assume that 68% of the cell phones are used between 14 months and 22 months and then disposed of, then one standard deviation would be about 4 months. (Normal distributions are symmetrical about the mean.) Therefore we can write the following distribution statement: X ~ N(18,42) where X represents the age of cell phones at which they no longer are in use. Using this distribution we can estimate the probability that a cell phone will no longer be in use after a specific period of time. (i.e. P(X≤18) = .5 or 50%) Determine the following probabilities, using the 68-95-99 approximation for the normally distributed data, rounding you answers to 3 decimal places (the nearest tenth of a percent). 1. P(X≤14) = __16%__ 1 – (.50 + .68/2) 3. P(X≤26) = __97.5%_ .50 + .95/2 5. P(X>14) = __84%__ .50 + .68/2 ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 2. P(X≤22) = __84%__ .50 + .68/2 4.P(10≤X≤18) = __47.5%__ .95/2 6. P(X>10) = __97.5%__ .50 + .95/2 7. P(18≤X≤26) = __47.5%__ .95/2 8. P(14≤X≤22) = __68%__ .68 Now let’s look at the possible effect on such a distribution if everyone in the U.S. kept using their old cell phone for a longer period of time, before they got a new one. The average age of a cell phone would increase. Let’s increase the mean to 24 months. Let’s also assume that 68% of the cell phones are used between 18 and 30 months before they are taken out of use. Therefore the standard deviation will be 6 months. Hence, X ~ N(24,62). With the TI-83 graphing calculator, use the normal cumulative distribution function [normalcdf(lower bound,upper bound,mean,standard deviation] to determine the probabilities. Using your calculator/computer, determine the following probabilities, rounding you answers to 3 decimal places (the nearest tenth of a percent). 1. P(X≤14) = __4.8%___ 2. P(X≤22) = __36.9%__ Normalcdf(-10,14,24,6) Normalcdf(-10,22,24,6) 3. P(X≤26) = __63.1%__ 4.P(10≤X≤18) = __14.9%__ Normalcdf(-10,26,24,6) Normalcdf(10,18,24,6) 5. P(X>14) = __95.2%__ 6. P(X>10) = __99.0%__ Normalcdf(14,50,24,6) ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Normalcdf(10,50,24,6) 7. P(18≤X≤26) = __47.2%__ Normalcdf(18,26,24,6) 8. P(14≤X≤22) =__32.2%__ Normalcdf(14,22,24,6) With technology improving at an ever increasing rate, and Americans not wanting to be left behind, it is more likely that the average age of a cell phone remaining in use will decrease. If this should happen, how do you expect the probabilities that you calculated above will change? Make a prediction, or explain why you cannot. Answers may vary. Students should discuss the shift in the normal curve and the area associated with that shift. Now, calculate the following probabilities using the following distribution: X ~ N(12,2.52) (Again, round you answers to 3 decimal places or the nearest tenth of a percent.) 1. P(X≤14) = __78.8%__ 2. P(X≤22) = __100%__ Normalcdf(-10,14,12,2.5) Normalcdf(-10,22,12,2.5) 3. P(X≤26) = __100%__ 4.P(10≤X≤18) = __78.0%__ Normalcdf(-10,26, 12,2.5) Normalcdf(10,18, 12,2.5) 5. P(X>14) = __21.2%__ 6. P(X>10) = __78.8%__ Normalcdf(14,50,12,2.5) Normalcdf(10,50, 12,2.5) 7. P(18≤X≤26) = __0.8%__ Normalcdf(18,26, 12,2.5) ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 8. P(14≤X≤22) = __21.2%__ Normalcdf(14,22,12,2.5) Explain how these results prove, or disprove, your prediction. Answers will vary. If our goal, as a society, is to create less waste and to conserve more natural resources, what direction concerning cell phone use should we travel? Answers will vary. Students should mention keeping cell phones longer, and/or recycling older cell phones. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Life Expectancy: Student Worksheet II Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ Using the idea that the age of a cell phone (the time it is used before being discarded/recycle) is normally distributed, with a mean of 18 months and a standard deviation of 4 months, we can state: X ~ N(18,42) Based upon information from the EPA, there are approximately 135 million cell phones sold in the U.S. each year. Using the proportions associated with this normally distributed data, answer the following questions (showing your math to support each answer). Using your calculator/computer, round you answers to 3 decimal places or the nearest thousand cell phones. 1. How many of the 135 million cell phones sold this year will no longer be in use . . . a. 12 months from now? b. 24 months from now? c. 30 months from now? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 2. How many of the 135 million cell phones sold this year will still be in use ? a. 6 months from now? b. 15 months from now? c. 2 years from now? 3. If 5% of the cell phones that are no longer in use are recycled, how many of these 135 million cell phones sold this year will be recycled in one year from now? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Cell Phone Life Expectancy: Student Worksheet II - Teacher Key Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ Using the idea that the age of a cell phone (the time it is used before being discarded/recycle) is normally distributed, with a mean of 18 months and a standard deviation of 4 months, we can state: X ~ N(18,42) Based upon information from the EPA, there are approximately 135 million cell phones sold in the U.S. each year. Using the proportions associated with this normally distributed data, answer the following questions (showing your math to support each answer). Using your calculator/computer, round you answers to the nearest whole cell phone. 1. How many of the 135 million cell phones sold this year will no longer be in use . . . a. 12 months from now? 135,000,000 x P(X ≤ 12) 135,000,000 x [normalcdf(-10,12,18,4)] ≈ 9,018,976 cell phones b. 24 months from now? 135,000,000 x P(X ≤ 12) 135,000,000 x [normalcdf(-10,24,18,4)] ≈ 125,981,024 cell phones c. 30 months from now? 135,000,000 x P(X ≤ 12) ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 135,000,000 x [normalcdf(-10,30,18,4)] ≈ 134,817,754 cell phones 2. How many of the 135 million cell phones sold this year will still be in use . .. a. 6 months from now? 135,000,000 x P(X ≥ 6) 135,000,000 x [normalcdf(6,50,18,4)] ≈ 134,817,754 cell phones b. 15 months from now? 135,000,000 x P(X ≥ 15) 135,000,000 x [normalcdf(15,50,18,4)] ≈ 104,405,317 cell phones c. 2 years from now? 135,000,000 x P(X ≥ 24) 135,000,000 x [normalcdf(24,50,18,4)] ≈ 9,018,976 cell phones 3. If 5% of the cell phones that are no longer in use are recycled, how many of these 135 million cell phones sold this year will be recycled in one year from now? 135,000,000 x 5% x P(X ≤ 12) 135,000,000 x .05 x [normalcdf(-10,12,18,4)] ≈ 450,949 cell phones ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Where does e-waste end up? – By Greenpeace Many old electronic goods gather dust in storage waiting to be reused, recycled or thrown away. The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) estimates that as much as three quarters of the computers sold in the US are stockpiled in garages and closets. When thrown away, they end up in landfills or incinerators or, more recently, are exported to Asia. Landfill: According to the US EPA, more than 4.6 million tonnes of e-waste ended up in US landfills in 2000. Toxic chemicals in electronics products can leach into the land over time or are released into the atmosphere, impacting nearby communities and the environment. In many European countries, regulations have been introduced to prevent electronic waste being dumped in landfills due to its hazardous content. However, the practice still continues in many countries. In Hong Kong for example, it is estimated that 10-20 percent of discarded computers go to landfill. Incineration: This releases heavy metals such as lead, cadmium and mercury into the air and ashes. Mercury released into the atmosphere can bioaccumulate in the food chain, particularly in fish - the major route of exposure for the general public. If the products contain PVC plastic, highly toxic dioxins and furans are also released. Brominated flame retardants generate brominated dioxins and furans when e-waste is burned. Reuse: A good way to increase a product's lifespan. Many old products are exported to developing countries. Although the benefits of reusing electronics in this way are clear, the practice is causing serious problems because the old products are dumped after a short period of use in areas that are unlikely to have hazardous waste facilities. Recycle: Although recycling can be a good way to reuse the raw materials in a product, the hazardous chemicals in e-waste mean that electronics can harm workers in the recycling yards, as well as their neighbouring communities and environment. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. In developed countries, electronics recycling takes place in purpose-built recycling plants under controlled conditions. In many EU states for example, plastics from e-waste are not recycled to avoid brominated furans and dioxins being released into the atmosphere. In developing countries however, there are no such controls. Recycling is done by hand in scrap yards, often by children. Export: E-waste is routinely exported by developed countries to developing ones, often in violation of the international law. Inspections of 18 European seaports in 2005 found as much as 47 percent of waste destined for export, including e-waste, was illegal. In the UK alone, at least 23,000 metric tonnes of undeclared or 'grey' market electronic waste was illegally shipped in 2003 to the Far East, India, Africa and China. In the US, it is estimated that 50-80 percent of the waste collected for recycling is being exported in this way. This practice is legal because the US has not ratified the Basel Convention. Mainland China tried to prevent this trade by banning the import of e-waste in 2000. However, we have discovered that the laws are not working; ewaste is still arriving in Guiya of Guangdong Province, the main centre of ewaste scrapping in China. We have also found a growing e-waste trade problem in India. 25,000 workers are employed at scrap yards in Delhi alone, where 10-20000 tonnes of e-waste is handled each year, 25 percent of this being computers. Other e-waste scrap yards have been found in Meerut, Ferozabad, Chennai, Bangalore and Mumbai. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. © UNEP How did the trade evolve? In the 1990s, governments in the EU, Japan and some US states set up ewaste 'recycling' systems. But many countries did not have the capacity to deal with the sheer quantity of e-waste they generated or with its hazardous nature. Therefore, they began exporting the problem to developing countries where laws to protect workers and the environment are inadequate or not enforced. It is also cheaper to 'recycle' waste in developing countries; the cost of glass-to-glass recycling of computer monitors in the US is ten times more than in China. Demand in Asia for electronic waste began to grow when scrap yards found they could extract valuable substances such as copper, iron, silicon, nickel ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. and gold, during the recycling process. A mobile phone, for example, is 19 percent copper and eight percent iron. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved.