IOC/IOTWS-I/1
Paris, 2 March 2005
International Coordination Meeting for the Development of a Tsunami Warning
and Mitigation System for the Indian Ocean within a global framework
UNESCO Headquarters, Paris, 3-8 March 2005
PROVISIONAL ANOTATED AGENDA
The world was appalled by the huge loss of life and massive destruction caused by the
Indian Ocean tsunami of 26 December 2004. Together with the unprecedented and
generous response from Member States and civil society, the international community
has urged the prompt establishment of a tsunami early warning system in the Indian
Ocean, with the intention of extending it to be a multi-hazard system having global
coverage.
The coordinated response of the UN to this request has given UNESCO and its IOC the
leadership in the establishment of a basin-wide Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System
designed to benefit and protect all the countries concerned.
Several of the affected countries have shown strong leadership in responding to the need
to establish national and regional tsunami warning and mitigation systems. In addition,
many Member States and Organizations from outside the region have offered their
expertise and assistance for the development of these systems
The Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System will be implemented through international
cooperation, making use of the existing coordination mechanisms and giving special
consideration to its regional and national components in order to assure the effective
participation and ownership of all countries surrounding the Indian Ocean basin.
The expected outcomes of this meeting will be:
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Indian Ocean Member States fully informed, at the technical level, on tsunami
warning and mitigation programmes at the national, regional and global levels;
Draft Design Plan for a basin wide Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System for
the Indian Ocean that includes considerations for the international, regional and
national levels;
Draft work plan and timetable for the establishment of a basin wide Tsunami
Warning and Mitigation System for the Indian Ocean, including the regional and
national requirements
In addition this meeting will conduct a scoping exercise to move in the direction of
establishing a global tsunami warning system building on existing and new initiatives.
IOC/IOTWS-I/1
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1.
1.1
1.2
2.
2.1
2.2
3.
OPENING
Opening Address by Mr Koichiro Matsuura, Director-General of UNESCO
Message from ISDR (Mr. Salvano Briceño, Director of the Inter-Agency
Secretariat of the ISDR)
ADMINISTRATIVE ARRANGEMENTS
Introduction of the Meeting (Mr. Patricio Bernal, Executive Secretary IOC)
Documentation and Practical arrangements
TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF TSUNAMIS AND TSUNAMI WARNING
SYSTEMS
3.1
Brief introduction of the Session
(Speaker & Session Moderator: (Dr. Jan Sopaheluwakan, Deputy Chairman
for Earth Sciences, Indonesian Institute of Sciences, Indonesia)
3.2
Scientific introduction on tsunamis
This presentation will provide scientific background information on tsunamis:
what is a tsunami, how is it caused, how does it travel, what are the limits of
our knowledge today.
(Speaker: Dr. Viacheslav Gusiakov, Head, Tsunami Laboratory, Institute of
Computational Mathematics, and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Division,
Russian Academy of Sciences)
3.3
Detecting and monitoring tsunamis
These presentations will outline the current technology available to detect the
generation, occurrence and propagation of tsunamis (seismology, sea level
monitoring,…), decision making related to warning, and communication of
warnings. It will include information on alternate technologies for local
tsunamis and real-time crust deformation. It will also address what are the
limitations of warning systems (eg. warning times).
(Speaker: Dr. Kenji Satake, Active Fault Research Center, GSJ/AIST - National
Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Japan)
3.3.b Emerging technologies (Speaker: Dr. François Schindelé, Chair
ICG/ITSU)
3.4
Predicting the damage: tsunami risk assessment
This presentation will cover today’s methods in predicting the propagation,
runup and inundation of tsunamis. It will also address how runup and
inundation information can be used for zoning and coastal planning.
(Speaker: Prof. Fumihiko Imamura, Prof. of Tsunami Engineering Disaster
Control Research Center, Graduate school of Eng., TOHOKU University ,
Japan)
4.
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ORGANIZATIONAL AND PRACTICAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR A
REGIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM
4.1
Brief introduction of the Session
(Speaker & Session Moderator: Dr. François Schindelé, Chair ICG/ITSU)
4.2
Establishment and operation of a national tsunami warning centre
This presentation will give an overview of the requirements in establishing a
national tsunami warning centre, its operations, its services and products, and
the challenges for its long term sustainability
(Speakers: Capt. Roberto Garnham, Director, Hydrographic and
Oceanographic Service of the Chilean Navy, Chile: ‘The national tsunami
warning system in Chile” ; Mr. Tomoo Inoue, Senior Scientific Officer,
Planning Division, Japan Meteorological Agency : “ The tsunami warning
system in Japan”)
4.3
Establishment and operation of a regional tsunami warning centre
This presentation will give an overview of the requirements in establishing a
regional tsunami warning centre, its operations, its services and products,
and the challenges for its long term sustainability. It will also address the
interaction between national and regional centres as well as between different
regional centres.
(Speaker: Dr. Charles McCreery, Director Pacific Tsunami Warning center
(PTWC), Honolulu, Hawaii, USA
4.4
Day-to-day coordination, information dissemination and training: the role of
the International Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC)
This presentation will provide details on the activities of the International
Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC), based on Honolulu, Hawaii
(Speaker: Dr. Laura Kong, Director International Tsunami Information
center (ITIC), Honolulu, Hawaii, USA)
5.
TSUNAMI AWARENESS AND PREPAREDNESS
5.1
Brief introduction of the session
(Speaker & Session Moderator: Mr. Reid Basher, Coordinator, Platform for
the Promotion of Early Warning, ISDR))
5.2
National preparedness plans – existing capacities, additional needs
The presentations will provide perspectives on existing preparedness plans,
from efforts to assess risk and vulnerability to the dissemination of warning
for hazards such as floods and tropical cyclones, from national levels to the
communities at risk, providing linkages among various actors (National
Platforms for Disaster Reduction, NHMSs, NDMOs, Min. of Environment,
NGOs and private sector). The speakers will provide suggestions of
requirements to integrate the added specifics of a tsunami warning system.
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(Speakers: Muhammad Saidur Rahman (Director, Bangladesh Disaster
Preparedness Centre (BDPC), Bangladesh; and Mr. Masturyono, Indonesian
Centre of Meteorology and Geophysics (BMG)
5.3
Community based early warning systems – the challenge of sustainability
Perspectives on what constitutes effective community based disaster risk
management and early warning systems and how to ensure ownership and
sustainability and what is required to further develop these.
(Speakers: Mr. Marc Gordon (ISDR ECHO RSO Bangkok), Mrs. Amy Mintz
(Senior Officer, Disaster Preparedness & Response Policy & Relations
Division International Federation of Red Cross & Red Crescent Societies)
5.4
Awareness building and public information
This presentation will provide an overview of current efforts to build
awareness and develop public information programmes for tsunami risk and
preparedness in the region.
(Speaker: Mr. Akihiro Teranishi, Senior Researcher of Asian Disaster
Reduction Centre (ADRC))
5.5
Institutional capacities for moving forward
This presentation will provide an overview of national and sub-national
institutions and capacities available to support the development of
preparedness and early warning systems in the region and UNDP's related
activities
(Speaker: Mr. Michael Ernst, Regional Disaster Reduction and Transistion
Recovery Advisor UNDP/Bureau of Crisis Prevention and Recovery,
Bangkok, Thailand)
6.
REVIEW OF EXISTING CONTRIBUTIONS TOWARDS THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION
SYSTEM FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REGION
6.1
Brief introduction of the Session
(Speaker & Session Moderator: Dr. David Pugh, Chairperson
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO (IOC)
6.2
Presentations of contributions
Member States (Indian Ocean)
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Australia: “Australia and tsunami early warning for the Indian Ocean" by Mr
Robert Owen-Jones (Decision-maker on policy, Director for the Environment,
Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade ), Dr Neville Smith (Australian
Permanent Delegate to the IOC, Group Leader for Ocean and Marine
Forecasting, Bureau of Meteorology ) and Dr Schneider (Group Leader for Risk
Research, Geoscience Australia ).
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India: “Early Warning System for Tsunami and Storm Surges: The Indian
Initiative" by Dr. Harsh. K. Gupta, Secretary, Department of Ocean
Development, Government of India
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Kenya: Kenya contribution
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South Africa: "Can an earthquake in the Indian Ocean create a tsunami along
the South African coast?" by Dr Andrzej Kijko Pr.Sci.Nat, Manager Seismology,
Council for Geoscience
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Sri Lanka: Sri Lanka conttribution
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Thailand: Thailand contribution
Member States (other)
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Finland: brief statement
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Germany: "The Tsunami Early-Warning-System in Indonesia: concept and status
quo" by Dr. Joern Lauterjung (GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam), Reinhard
Junker (Assistant Secretary, Federal Ministry of Education and Research,
Germany)
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Japan: Interim Arrangement for Tsunami Warning in the Indian Ocean" (JMA)
by Mashiro Yamamoto (JMA)
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Japan: “JAMSTEC’s activities on tsunami research and observation including
cable system and aftermath surveys” by JAMSTEC
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New Zealand: "Integrating warning systems: New Zealand in the context of the
Southwest Pacific and Southern Oceans" by Mr. John Norton (Director, Ministry
of Civil Defence and Emergency Management)
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United States: "US Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program" by Dr Eddie Bernard,
Director, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL), Seattle
Organizations
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ADPC (Asian Disaster Preparedness Center): “Establishing regional end-to-end
tsunami early warning system for Indian Ocean and Southeast Asia” by Dr. Suvit
Yodmani (Executive Director ADPC)
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CTBTO (Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization): Dr. Lassina
Zerbo, Director of the International Data Centre (IDC) of the Provisional
Technical Secretariat of the CTBTO Preparatory Commission “Potential
contribution of the CTBTO Preparatory Commission to a tsunami alert service”
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GEO: Mr Guy Duchossois, GEO Secretariat: “ GEO-6 communiqué on Tsunami
warning system “
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GLOSS: Dr. B. Kilonsky, University of Hawaii Sea Level Center, Department of
Oceanography, University of Hawaii, USA: “GLOSS as relevant to the TWS for
the IO region “
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IMO (International Maritime Organization): "IMO Response to the Indian
Ocean Tsunami Disaster" by Mr. Vladimir Lebedev (Maritime Safety Division,
IMO)
o (provisional): IHO (International Hydrographic Organization):
"IMO/IHO World-wide Navigational Warning Service (WWNWS)" by Mr
Steven Godsiff)
6.3
7.
7.1
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IRIS (Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology): “The Global
Seismographic Network and recording of the Dec 26, 2004 earthquake”, Dr
David Simpson, President IRIS Consortium
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ITU (International Telecommunications Union): “ITU Work on Emergency
Warning System”, Richard Hill, Counsellor, ITU-T SG2 and SG4, International
Telecommunication Union
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UN/ESCAP: “Towards an Effective Regional Early Warning System in Asia:
Experiences of UNESCAP" by Mr. Ti Lehuu, Economic Affairs Officer, Water
Resources Section, Environment and Sustainable Development Division
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WMO (World Meteorological Organization): Ms. Maryam Golnaraghi, Chief
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Programme, World Meteorological
Organization : "Contributions of WMO and National Meteorological and
Hydrological Services to End-to-End Tsunami Early Warning System"
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IOC (Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO (IOC)): Mr
Patricio Bernal, Executive Secretary IOC: “IOC contribution to the Indian Ocean
Tsunami Warning System)
Discussion of contributions
Synthesis by Dr. D. Pugh
DEVELOPMENT OF THE DESIGN PLAN, WORK PLAN AND
TIMETABLE
Establishment of drafting groups
Three drafting group will be established that will be tasked to prepare each a
draft design plan, work plan and timetable:
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Group 1: Technical aspects of an IOTWS: This group will define the
immediately available technology to be used for the seismologic and
oceanographic components of the IOTWS. It will also define the technology to
be used for warning delivery at regional, national and local level. The draft
design plan may include technical details like localization of buoys, upgrade
to real time of existing systems, linkages between global and regional systems.
Group 2: Organizational aspects of an IOTWS: This group will define the
requirements for national agencies serving as Tsunami Warning Centers in
each country, with particular focus on training needs and staff
reinforcements. It may advance proposals for number and composition of sub
regional components, requirements for defining procedures for information
exchange between the International System and the National Agency and next
steps to reach regional agreement.
Group 3: Awareness and preparedness actions for an IOTWS: This group
will define a limited number of regional training centers in charge of
providing support to National Agencies in charge of emergency procedures
dealing among others with tsunamis hazards. It will also prepare plans for
sensitize local populations about tsunami risk. It will include territorial and
urban planning inclusion for tsunami risk.
7.2
Meeting of drafting groups
Each drafting group will nominate a Chair who will prepare a report for the
plenary Session.
7.3
Report by the drafting groups
The Chair of each drafting group will be invited to report on their
deliberations and will present a draft design plan, work plan and timetable for
the consideration of the plenary.
7.4
Discussions and adoption of the draft design plan, work plan and timetable
The plenary will discuss, review, amend as necessary and adopt the draft
design plan, work plan and timetable. This document will be submitted to the
Regional coordination and planning meeting for the deployment of a Tsunami
Warning and Mitigation System for the Indian Ocean region.
8.
THE INDIAN OCEAN SYSTEM WITHIN A GLOBAL FRAMEWORK
8.1
Brief introduction of the Session
(Speaker & Session Moderator: Mr. Patricio Bernal, Executive Secretary
IOC)
8.2
The role of GOOS in a global early warning system
(Speaker: Mr. Keith Alverson, Head of Section, Operational Observing
System Section, IOC)
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8.3
Possible contributions of the Global Federation of Seismic Networks, the
primary land-based segment of the future global monitoring system
(Speaker: Dr. Domenico Giardini, Global Federation of Seismic Networks
(GSN))
8.4
Development of a Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System for the Caribbean
(and Central West Atlantic) Region
(Speaker: Dr. George Maul, Professor and Department Head, Marine and
Environmental Systems, Florida Institute of Technology)
8.5
Development of a Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System for the
Mediterranean (and North East Atlantic) Region
(Speaker: Dr. Rémy Bossu, European Mediterranean Seismological Centre
(EMSC) Secretary General
8.6
Development of a Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System for the Southwest
Pacific Region
(Speaker: Dr. Laura Kong, Director ITIC, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA)
8.7
The ITSU system in the Pacific Region (Discussions on upgrading
requirements)
(Speaker: Dr. Eddie Bernard, Director, Pacific Marine Environmental
Laboratory (PMEL), Seattle, USA)
8.8
Development of a Global System
(Speaker: Dr. Miriam Baltuck)
8.9
Draft Design of a Global Tsunami Warning System
(Speaker: Dr. François. Schindelé, Chair ICG/ITSU)
9.
CLOSURE OF THE MEETING
Closing remarks by Dr Patricio Bernal