AP Statistics The First Eight Procedures 1. In a study of air-bag effectiveness, it was found that in 821 crashes of midsize cars equipped with air bags, 46 of the crashes resulted in hospitalization of the drivers. Give a 95% confidence interval for the percent of crashes resulting in hospitalization. 2. Consumer Reports gave the following information about annual premiums (in dollars) for 18 renewable life insurance policies with similar benefits: 300 345 328 426 660 388 410 563 303 395 278 455 577 470 455 373 365 360 Find a 98% confidence interval for the population of all annual premiums for such life insurance policies. 3. “Obesity raises heart-attack risk” according to a study published in the March 1990 issue of the New England Journal of Medicine. “Those about 15 to 25 percent above desirable weight had twice the heart disease rate.” Suppose the data listed below are the percentages above desired weight for a sample of patients involved in a similar study. 18.3 22.5 21.9 19.7 16.5 22.1 13.0 19.2 22.1 17.5 27.7 12.7 17.9 22.0 22.2 17.2 18.1 21.1 22.4 16.2 17.3 19.9 13.3 21.5 22.1 19.8 16.3 Is there evidence to conclude that the mean percentage above desired weight is 18%? Use a 2% significance level. 4. Gregor Mendel, an Austrian monk, proposal the genetic theory of inheritance in 1866. He supported his theory with the results of 8 years of experiments breeding peas and examining the inheritance of seven different characteristics. One characteristic studied was plant height. Mendel crossed purebred tall plants with purebred short plants. He proposed that when he bred these hybrids, onequarter of their progeny would be pure short. Mendel reported that out of 1,064 randomly selected plants, 277 were short. Does he have the evidence to support his theory? 5. Suppose you wish to compare a new method of teaching reading to “slow learners” to the current standard method. You decide to base this comparison on the results of a reading test given at the end of a learning period of 6 months. Of a random sample of 20 slow learners, 8 are taught by the new method and 12 are taught by the standard method. All 20 children are taught by qualified instructors under similar conditions for a 6-month period. The results of the reading test at the end of this period are given below. New Method Standard 79 80 62 80 70 Reading Scores for Slow Learners 79 81 76 66 79 68 73 76 86 73 76 72 68 75 66 Use a 90% confidence interval, and interpret the interval for the true mean difference between the test scores for the new method and the standard method. 6. Some college professors make bound lecture notes available to their classes in an effort to improve teaching effectiveness. Because students pay the additional cost, educators want to know whether the students consider the lecture notes to be a good educational value. Marketing Educational Review (Fall 1994) published a study of business students’ opinions of lecture notes. Two groups of students were surveyed-86 students enrolled in a promotional strategy class that required the purchase of lecture notes, and 35 students enrolled in a sales/retailing elective that did not offer lecture notes. In both courses, the instructor used lectures as the main method of delivery. At the end of the semester, the students were asked to respond to the statement: “Having a copy of the lecture notes was [would be] helpful in understanding the material.” Responses were measured on a 9-point semantic difference scale, where 1 = “strongly disagree” and 9 = “strongly agree.” A summary of the results is shown in the table below. Classes Buying Lecture Classes Not Buying Notes Lecture Notes mean score = 8.48 mean score = 7.80 standard deviation = 0.94 standard deviation = 2.99 Test to see if the scores of classes buying lecture notes is higher than the scores of classes not buying lecture notes. 7. In the late 70’s there were intensive antismoking campaigns sponsored by both federal and private agencies. Suppose that the American Cancer Society randomly sampled 1,500 adults in 1979 and then sampled 2,000 adults in 1981 to determine whether there was evidence that the percentage of smokers had decreased. 1979 1981 Sample Size 1500 2000 Number Who Smoke 576 652 Give a 90% confidence interval for the difference between the proportion of smokers in 1979 and the proportion of smokers in 1981. Interpret the interval. 8. A random sample of 288 voters registered in the state of California showed that 141 voted in the last general election. A random sample of 216 registered voters in the state of Colorado showed that 125 voted in the most recent general election. (Taken from Life in the Fifty States, G. S. Thomas) Do these data indicate that the population proportion of voter turnout in Colorado is higher than that in California? 9. A random sample of students from a high school were chosen to determine if their sitting pulse rate was lower than their standing pulse rate. Each student’s pulse rate was measured in both positions. Sitting 62 74 82 88 82 66 Standing 68 78 80 92 58 96 Can we conclude the sitting pulse rate is lower? 64 72 84 100 72 82 82 76 80 92 72 74 64 60 62 58