: HERTFORDSHIRE COUNTY COUNCIL PUBLIC HEALTH AND LOCALISM CABINET PANEL THURSDAY 19 MARCH AT 10.00 A.M Agenda Item No. 8 STOP SMOKING SERVICES IN HERTFORDSHIRE APRIL 2013 – MARCH 2014 Report of the Director of Public Health Author: Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead 01442 453633 Executive Member: Teresa Heritage, Public Health and Localism 1. Purpose of Report 1.1 The purpose of this report is to ask the Cabinet Panel to consider and comment upon the performance of local stop smoking services in Hertfordshire, in particular noting: I. II. III. The overall performance and cost of local stop smoking services across the county. The review of stop smoking service provision within Hertfordshire and within specific groups and the areas identified for development. To consider and approve revised smoking cessation quit targets for 2015-2016. 2.2 This is in light of: a) The County Council’s statutory responsibilities for Public Health b) The Health and Wellbeing Board’s strategic priority to reduce the harm from tobacco across the county c) Hertfordshire’s Tobacco Control Strategic Plan 2013-2016 d) Hertfordshire’s Tobacco Harm Reduction Guidance, which was approved by Cabinet Panel on 5 February 2015 2.0 Summary 2.1 This report highlights the performance of all local stop smoking services in the county for the year 2013-2014. 2.2 Smoking prevalence is continuing to decline in Hertfordshire. It is estimated that 15.5% of the adult population now smoke (approximately 135,300 smokers) compared with 20% in 2011 which were the latest data available when the current quit targets were set. Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 1 of 10 : 2.3 The quit target for 2013-2014 and for 2014-2015 is 7672 smokers to have quit smoking for at least 4 weeks. 2.4 During 2013-2014, 11,720 people attended a stop smoking service in Hertfordshire and set a quit date to stop smoking; 6,788 went on to quit for at least 4 weeks. This is a success rate of 58 percent compared with 51 percent for England. 2.5 In 2013-2014, there were 14 percent fewer quitters than in 2012-2013 which was 88.5 percent of the planned target for the year. By comparison in England, there was a 20 percent reduction in people stopping smoking through local stop smoking services over the same period. 2.6 Current smoking cessation targets may no longer be appropriate as prevalence has declined and smokers are using alternative routes to quitting, including harm reduction approaches. Current targets may disincentivise local providers as no local area currently is on trajectory to meet their local smoking cessation targets for 2014-2015. 2.7 Providers may also be less inclined to invite more hard-to-reach groups into services as they require more intensive support and are generally less successful at quitting, even though they want to quit as much as other smokers. 2.8 We propose recalculating the smoking cessation target, maintaining the ambition to treat 5% of the smoking population to stop smoking each year, but taking into account the decline in smoking prevalence: Current target 2014/2015 Proposed target 2015/2016 Target of 7672 quits is based on: Target of 6767 quits is based on: estimated smoking prevalence of updated estimated prevalence of 19.4% (2011 data) 15.5% (2013 data) - 135,331 adult smokers 5% of adult smokers 5% of adult smokers 3.0 Recommendations 3.1 The Panel is asked to: Consider and comment upon the stop smoking services report for 2013-2014 in light of the County Council’s responsibilities for public health. Endorse the recommendations of the report including the revised smoking cessation quit targets for 2015-2016. Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 2 of 10 : 4.0 Smoking Cessation Performance April 2013 - March 2014 4.1 Stop smoking services in Hertfordshire are available to anyone who lives or works in the county for help and support to quit smoking. In Hertfordshire, services are mainly provided by GP practices, Community Pharmacies and by Stop Smoking Specialists employed by Hertfordshire Stop Smoking Service (HSSS). Stop smoking services offer smokers a significantly greater chance of stopping smoking compared with trying to quit without support. 4.2 There are over 300 local stop smoking services in Hertfordshire. Smokers are up to 4 times more likely to stop smoking using a stop smoking service than without support. Specialist stop smoking services also offer group, work-place support and home visits for those unable to attend a local service. 4.3 Stop smoking service delivery consists of behavioural support in one-one or group settings provided over 6-8 weeks and medication supplied for up to 12 weeks. The overall quality of services in Hertfordshire is very good with a success rate of 58% of those attending a service going onto quit compared to 52% for England in 2013-2014. 4.4 The number of smokers accessing these services and quitting has been increasing year on year; however, data for the last three years have shown a significant downturn in the number of smokers using local stop smoking services nationally and in Hertfordshire. 4.5 The use of appropriate medication increases the likelihood of quitting and in line with best practice all licensed medications are available to smokers planning to quit smoking. Just over 50 percent of smokers attending services in Hertfordshire received free prescriptions in 2013-2014. 4.6 In 2013-2014, slightly more females (3542) than males (3246) attended a stop smoking service in Hertfordshire and quit smoking. Males were slightly more successful at quitting (59%) compared with females (57%). The success rate of quitting smoking generally increases with age and more smokers aged between 45-59 years used a stop smoking service in Hertfordshire and quit smoking than any other age group . 4.7 GP practices see the greatest number of smokers, however in 2013-2014 just over 50 percent of smokers who quit smoking attended a stop smoking service at their GP practice compared with 60 percent the previous year. Smokers seen and outcome by intervention setting April 2013- March 2014 Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 3 of 10 : Service setting Primary Care Pharmacy Setting Specialist Stop Smoking Service Prison Medical Service Other settings All Settings Number who set a quit date 6,003 3,678 1,909 88 42 11,720 Number who successfully quit 3,486 1,977 1,254 39** 32 6,788 Success rate 58 % 54% 67% 44% 76% 58% 5.0 Performance in Specific Population Groups 5.1 Smoking and gender Although equal numbers of men and women now smoke, smoking prevalence is highest in 20-24 year old females and 25-30 year old males. In 2013-2014, slightly more females (3542) than males (3246) attended a local stop smoking service and quit smoking. Males were slightly more successful at quitting (59%) compared with females (57%). Smokers in LGBT groups have much higher levels of smoking than the general population. 5.2 Smoking and age Fewer young people are starting to smoke than ever before and smoking prevalence in 15 year olds in Hertfordshire was estimated to be was 9.5 percent in 2012.i In adults, smoking prevalence decreases with age. For every year a smoker continues to smoke beyond the age of 30, three months of life are lost. More smokers in the 45-59 year age range accessed services and quit smoking than any other age group. 5.3 Smoking and Ethnicity 5.31 Smoking varies considerably between ethnic minority groups and varies by gender and correlates with socio-economic status and smoking prevalence in the country of origin. 5.32 There are no local data on smoking prevalence and ethnicity. Data for England as a whole indicates smoking prevalence is higher in Black Caribbean men (37 percent) Bangladeshi men (36 percent) Pakistani men (24 percent) and Irish men (26 percent).ii Bangladeshi and Pakistani men in particular have higher rates of diabetes and heart disease than other BME groups and therefore helping them to quit is a priority. 5.33 The Polish community comprises the largest BME group in Hertfordshire with an estimated population of 10,000 in 2011, which is a significant increase since the previous census in 2001. The estimated smoking prevalence for Polish males is 46 percent and for Polish females, 30.9 percent.iii A project with Polish community leaders is currently underway to identify and provide appropriate stop smoking support within the local Polish community Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 4 of 10 : Stopping smoking in Hertfordshire - outcome by ethnicity April 2013- March 2014 Ethnicity of service user White British Irish White other Bangladeshi Pakistani Black Caribbean Black African Chinese Indian All other ethnic groups TOTAL Number successfully quit 5816 109 368 19 44 33 35 4 60 300 6788 Percentage of Total Quits 86% 1.6% 5.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.06% 0.9% 4.4% 100% Percentage of Ethnic Group within Herts 80.8% 1.5% 5.1% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.8% 0.8% 2.6% 5.0% 100% 5.4 Smoking and socio-economic group 5.41 Smoking impacts more heavily on lower socio-economic groups and at least 40 percent of smokers are found in routine and manual occupations. iv Children of routine and manual workers are up to three times more likely to start smoking themselves than children of non-smokers and to have an impact on reducing smoking prevalence, this group should be prioritised.v 5.42 Specialist stop smoking services, including one-one and group sessions were held with a range of employers in 2013-2014 including local authority staff. More staff from NHS organisations will be offered support to quit smoking during 2014-2015. 5.5 Smoking in Pregnancy 5.51 The impact of smoking in pregnancy is significant in terms of morbidity, mortality and costs to the NHS. Babies who are born to smokers are 40 percent more likely to die within the first 4 weeks of life.vi Reducing smoking in pregnancy therefore remains a key Health and Wellbeing Board and Public Health priority. 5.52 Smoking during pregnancy is continuing to decline. During 2013-2014, 1022 Hertfordshire women were known to have smoked throughout their pregnancy (7.3 percent). This compares with 9.0 percent in 2012-2013. 5.53 In Hertfordshire in 2013-2014, 179 pregnant women set a quit date, with 72 successfully quitting for at least 4 weeks (40 percent success rate). This compares with a success rate for pregnant women in England of 47 percent.vii Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 5 of 10 : 5.54 In 2014-2015, more work is being prioritised to increase midwives’ confidence in raising the issue of smoking and to be able to perform carbon monoxide monitoring. A smoking in pregnancy social marketing campaign was launched in February 2015. 5.55 Service quality will be monitored to ensure that stop smoking services for pregnant women in Hertfordshire are at least as good as the average for England in 2014-2015. Percentage of mothers smoking at the time of delivery 2010-2014 % of Mothers smoking at time of delivery: Hertfordshire Smoking Prevalence Hertfordshire target by 2016 England Target 2015 12% 10% 8% 6% 1402 Women 1293 Women 1022 Women 2% 1529 Women 4% 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 0% Hertfordshire Average 5.6 Smoking and mental health 5.61 Smoking prevalence in people with mental health conditions can be as high as 70 percent and smokers with mental health conditions experience the greatest difference in life expectancy.viii Smokers with mental health conditions want to quit smoking as much as other smokers, but misconceptions exist that stopping smoking will impact adversely on their mental health condition.ix A more targeted approach for smokers with mental health conditions needs to be prioritised in order to identify more smokers and offer more intensive support over longer periods of time. 5.62 Hertfordshire Partnership NHS Foundation Trust (HPfT) was incentivised through a CQUIN1 in 2013-2014. Over 700 HPfT staff were trained to give brief intervention advice and 353 service users were referred to HSSS for support. Service user involvement, including the views of MIND, Healthwatch and Viewpoint will be sought in the development of future services. 1 CQUIN – ‘Commissioning for Quality and Innovation’ is a tool for NHS commissioners (CCGs) to set local quality improvement goals and reward excellence. Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 6 of 10 : 5.7 Smoking and offender health 5.71 Smoking prevalence is higher in the prison population and probation system than in the general population.x In HMP the Mount, there is capacity for 770 inmates and smoking prevalence is estimated to be as high as 80 percent.xi The provision of stop smoking services at the Mount is shared between the Prison Medical Service as part of their core contract and HSSS specialist services. 5.72 Prisoners are generally highly motivated to quit smoking. Of the 259 prisoners who set a date to stop smoking in 2013-2014, 105 successfully quit (41 percent). 6.0 Key areas for development I. Due to the declining numbers of smokers accessing services since 2012, more smokers need to be identified and routinely offered a referral into evidence-based local stop smoking services. II. More front-line health and social care staff should trained to deliver opportunistic brief intervention advice such as ‘Make Every Contact Count’. III. As well as ensuring that there is a range of accessible and good quality stop smoking services across the county, a more focused approach to promoting and providing intensive specialist stop smoking services to more vulnerable and disadvantaged groups needs to be a priority. These groups include routine and manual workers; the unemployed; the homeless; prisoners and offenders; people with mental health conditions; some black and minority ethnic (BME) groups, pregnant and women and their partners who smoke, and LGBT groups. IV. Disadvantaged and more addicted smokers, including those who have failed to quit through commissioned (level 2) stop smoking services, should be seen by specialist stop smoking services whenever possible to increase their chances of success. V. To revise the current smoking cessation quit target in light of the decline in smoking prevalence across the county and reduced demand for stop smoking services: We propose recalculating the smoking cessation target, maintaining the ambition to treat 5% of the smoking population to stop smoking each year, but taking into account the decline in smoking prevalence: Current target 2014/2015 Target of 7672 quits is based on: Proposed target 2015/2016 Target of 6767 quits is based on: Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 7 of 10 : estimated smoking prevalence of 19.4% (2011 data) 5% of adult smokers updated estimated prevalence of 15.5% (2013 data) - 135,331 adult smokers 5% of adult smokers 7.0 Background 7.1 Tobacco is extremely addictive and one half of long-term smokers will be killed by their addiction, losing on average 10 years of productive life and although smoking prevalence is declining (see figure 1 below), smoking still kills almost 80,000 people in England and 1,500 people die prematurely in Hertfordshire every year due to a smoking-related disease.xii 7.2 Nearly 70 percent of smokers indicate that they want to stop smoking and 50 percent say that they intend to do so within the next year. Stopping smoking at any age will improve health, and life expectancy, however, the younger a person stops smoking, the more years of life will be gained. 7.3 Although smokers are motivated to stop smoking, their ability to do so is undermined by their addiction to nicotine, therefore evidence-based stop smoking services in line with NICE guidance, are recommended by the Department of Health and Public Health England to enable more smokers to quit successfully and contribute to the reduction of smoking prevalence. 7.4 As well as ensuring fewer children start smoking and are protected from the effects of second-hand smoke and ensuring fewer pregnant women smoke during pregnancy, we need to identify and support adult smokers to quit smoking whenever possible. 7.5 In line with other stop smoking services, regionally and nationally, there has been a continuing decline in the number of smokers attending stop smoking services and quitting smoking. 7.6 For the year to date for which there are complete data (April-December 2014 inclusive) 3294 smokers quit smoking through a local stop smoking service compared with 4719 for the same period last year. This is 1425 fewer quits and a decline of 30 percent. 7.7 Helping smokers to quit smoking remains an important part of our tobacco control strategic plan to reduce adult smoking prevalence as smokers are up to four times more likely to quit smoking with support than trying to quit on their own.xiii 8.0 Financial Implications Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 8 of 10 : 8.1 The total estimated cost of smoking to Hertfordshire in 2012 was nearly £280 million, costing the NHS alone £54.9 million. 8.2 Smoking doubles the risk of developing care needs, and the estimated care costs of smoking to Hertfordshire in 2014 is nearly £20 million. 8.3 Stop smoking services delivered in line with NICE Guidance is one of the most cost-effective health interventions, and provides a good return on investment: On average, £2.21 is saved for every £1.00 spent on service delivery. The economic and health costs of smoking are so great, that even modest reductions produce substantial gains. 8.4 In 2012-2013 (the latest data available) the ‘cost per quit’ for Hertfordshire (including the core functions of HSSS) was £169, compared with England average ‘cost per quit’ of £235. 8.5 The total public health allocation for Stop Smoking Services in Hertfordshire for 2013-2014 was £1.805 million and total expenditure was £1.546 million. The underspend was due to staff vacancies within the Hertfordshire Stop Smoking Service core team and fewer payments to GP and community pharmacy providers as 2,400 fewer smokers attended local stop smoking services and 1100 fewer smokers quit smoking than in 2012-2013. 8.6 There are no additional financial implications beyond existing public health commitment to tobacco control and smoking cessation activity. 9.0 Equalities Implications 9.1 When considering proposals placed before Members it is important that they are fully aware of, and have themselves rigorously considered the Equality implications of the decision that they are making. 9.2 This report does not have a negative impact on anyone with protected characteristics and as individuals with protected characteristics are recognised as priority groups within the report, the likelihood is that they will benefit from the recommendations of the report. 9.3 The impact of the recommendations will be monitored and actions taken if any negative impact is identified. 10.0 Appendices Report on stop smoking services in Hertfordshire April 2013-March 2014 11.0 References Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 9 of 10 : i Hertfordshire Health Related Behaviour Survey (2012) Available at: http://atlas.hertslis.org/IAS/hwb/priorities/HRBSDashboard.html ii Action on Smoking and Health (2011) Tobacco and Ethnic Minorities. Available at: http://ash.org.uk/files/documents/ASH_131.pdf iii Zatronski, W. (2012) Smoking prevalence in the European community. Ann Agric Environ Med. 19(2) p.p.181-92. Available at: www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22742786 iv Action on Smoking and Health (2013) Smoking statistics: who smokes and how much. Available at: http://ash.org.uk/files/documents/ASH_106.pdf v Marmot (2010) Fair Society, Healthy Lives, Strategic Review of Health Inequalities in England. Available at: http://www.instituteofhealthequity.org/projects/fair-society-healthylives-the-marmot-review vi Royal College of Physicians (2010) Passive Smoking and Children. London: Royal College of Physicians. Available at: https://www.rcplondon.ac.uk/sites/default/files/documents/passive-smoking-andchildren.pdf vii Health and Social Care Information Centre (2014) Statistics on NHS Stop Smoking Services in England: 1 April 2013 to 31 March 2014. Available at: http://www.hscic.gov.uk/catalogue/PUB14610/stat-stop-smok-serv-eng-2014-q4-rep.pdf viii Royal College of Physicians and the Royal College of Psychiatrists (2013) Smoking and mental health. Available at: https://www.rcplondon.ac.uk/sites/default/files/smoking_and_mental_health__full_report_web.pdf ix Royal College of Physicians and the Royal College of Psychiatrists (2013) Smoking and mental health. Available at: https://www.rcplondon.ac.uk/sites/default/files/smoking_and_mental_health__full_report_web.pdf x Action on Smoking and Health (2014) Smokefree Prisons. Available at: http://ash.org.uk/files/documents/ASH_740.pdf xi Action on Smoking and Health (2014) Smokefree Prisons. Available at: http://ash.org.uk/files/documents/ASH_740.pdf xii Make Every Contact Count. Available at: http://www.makingeverycontactcount.co.uk xiii Hertfordshire County Council (2013) Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Strategic Plan 2014-2016 Liz Fisher, Head of Provider Services, Tobacco Control Lead Director of Public Health: Jim McManus Page 10 of 10