1st Draft PRE-FESIBILITY STUDY ON FATTENING OF BUFFALO/CATTLE CALVES Animal Nutrition Program (ASI) NARC PAKISTAN AGRICULTURE RESEARCH COUNCIL ISLAMABAD MINISTRY OF NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY AND RESEARCH Government of Pakistan www.parc.gov.pk January 2014 Contents 1- DISCLAIMER..................................................................................................................................... 1 2- PURPOSE OF DOCUMENT ............................................................................................................... 1 3- Introduction to scheme................................................................................................................... 1 4- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... 1 5- BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT AND PRODUCT ........................................................................... 2 6- CRITICAL FACTORS .......................................................................................................................... 2 7- INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITY FOR FATTENING of CALVES.......................................... 3 8- GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT .............................................................................. 3 9- POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS ........................................................................................................ 3 10- PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW .................................................................................................... 3 11- PROJECT COST AND BENEFIT SUMMARY .................................................................................... 3 12- PROJECT ECONOMICS ................................................................................................................. 3 10.1 Project Cost ............................................................................................................................. 4 10.2 Space Requirement ................................................................................................................. 4 10.4 Machinery and Equipment.......................................................................................................... 4 10.5 Furniture and Fixture .................................................................................................................. 5 10.6 Operational and Maintenance cost ............................................................................................ 5 10.7 Human Resource Requirement ................................................................................................... 5 10.8 Project Financing ..................................................................................................................... 5 10.9 Revenue Generation ............................................................................................................... 6 13- KEY ASSUMPTION ....................................................................................................................... 6 14- ANNEXURE .................................................................................................................................. 7 1- DISCLAIMER This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and information on the subject. Although, the material included in this document is based on data / information generated from experiments and field testing by a team of relevant scientists; however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ accordingly from the presented information. The PARC and its employees do not assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to contact qualified consultant/technical expert, especially designated focal person(s) of this enterprise for reaching to an informed decision. 2- PURPOSE OF DOCUMENT The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in by providing them with a general understanding of the business, with the intention of supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the document/study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, production, finance, and business management. The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by trial and error, certain industrial norms and well established research findings that become a guiding source regarding various aspects of business set-up and it’s successful management. Apart from carefully studying the whole document, one must consider critical aspects provided later on, which form the basis of investment decisions. 3- Introduction to scheme Prime Minister’s Youth Business Loan Program, for young entrepreneurs, with an allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide subsidized financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000) beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially through National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL). Loans from Rs. 0.1 million to Rs. 2.0 million with tenure up to 8 years inclusive of 1 year grace period, and a debt: equity of 90: 10 will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries across the Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). 4- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Beef from young male calves (12-18 months old) of buffalo and cattle is one of major source of proteins of high biological values and foreign exchange through production of milk, meat and hides. However quality of beef due to their stunted growth rate and poor carcass yield is not satisfactory. Farmers prefer to feed to female calves for replacement of herd. Male calves become neglected due to malnutrition, emaciation and diseases leading to low weight at marketing age and less carcass yield when slaughter. Growth rate and quality of beef and economic return from calves can be improved by fattening. Domestic and international literature has revealed a growth rate of 700 to 900 g/day when calves are fattened with a variety of protein supplements along with appropriate health cover and management. Such fattening trials can be successfully carried in rural as well as urban areas of Sindh, Punjab, Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Balitistan, AJ&K and FATA. Such a project can be easily completed by conducting series of trials, each on 25 calves (12-18 months old) for a period of 120 days. Fattened calves can be sold as live or as carcass or cut pieces in any part of the country. A loan of Rs 1.059 offers a good opportunity for an economic investment not only for the production of quality beef but also jobs for our talented youth. Given the cost assumptions, Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and payback period are Rs.3,308,171, 29% and, 4.63 years, respectively. 5- BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT AND PRODUCT Following key parameters must be addressed as per pre-feasibility study: • Techniques: Calves of respective breeds of buffalo and cattle in rural areas on all over the country can be subjected to such fattening trials under semi-intensive system. However protein supplements (of different degradability) for fattening and green fodders harvested at bloom stage can vary according to climatic conditions and cropping pattern. • Location: The business can be initiated in rural and urban areas having access to marketing throughout the country. • Product: At the moment most of beef is coming from slaughtering of spent animals which is and low quality compared with that from young calves. Fattening of young calves with quality supplements will yield of high grade. Production and use of quality will not only improve our own health but also socioeconomic conditions with foreign exchange earned through export of surplus. • Target Market: In addition to major cities, such as Quetta, Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad, there is an enormous export potential for Middle Eastern countries. • Employment Generation: The proposed project will provide direct employment to two individuals. Financial analysis shows the profitability of proposed business within first year of its operation. 6- CRITICAL FACTORS The commercial viability of the proposed project depends on the following factors: • Selection of calves of local breeds of buffalo and cattle, balanced feeding, proper housing, management, appropriate health cover, well defined marketing and dedicated supervisory staff will play very important role in exploitation of genetic potential local breed and will ensure the success of the project. • Farm may be positioned near to market so that supply of inputs and disposal of final products could be managed easily. • It should have enough elevation, so it can be drained easily during the off season. • Calves should preferably represent local breed and disease free with a desirable body conditions. • Farm is required to maintain the complete record of inputs and out puts (Calves, fodder production or purchase, Feed intake, body weight, morbidity, mortality, sale of animals and manure) and infrastructure like buildings, equipments and fuel for successful marketing and traceability. • Farm should have strong market linkages for effective disposal of produce. 7- INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITY FOR FATTENING of CALVES This pre-feasibility suggests that quality beef can be produced by using local genetic materials feed resources under scientific management in a well defined marketing manner. 8- GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT Semi-arid and irrigated areas are more suitable for this investment as regard availability of inputs and marketing of final products. 9- POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS The marketing of beef follows the traditional distribution channel, through middlemen or wholesalers at farm who identifies potential buyers and negotiate price, or directly to retailer in urban markets. The time spent in transportation, from farm to the retail shop, varies from area to area. Over the years, collection and transportation of fish has improved with the use of loader vehicles. However, greater the distance between farm and consumer, more complicated will be the marketing or distribution system, due to the perishable nature of the product. The key factors in marketing are availability of current market information, quality of beef produced and supply & demand which will determine the selling price. 10- PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW Although both species are polyestrous but cattle will be more useful in ensuring flow of production process due to higher fertility rate. However intellectual planning will play an important role in arrangement, use of inputs and their disposal. 11- PROJECT COST AND BENEFIT SUMMARY A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of calf fattening under the Prime Minister’s Small Business Loan Scheme. Various cost and revenue related assumptions, along with results of the analysis, are outlined in this section. 12- PROJECT ECONOMICS All figures in the financial model have been calculated 30 animals. The following table shows internal rates of return and payback period. Table 1. Project Economics Description Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Payback Period (years) Details 3,380,171 29% Factors that influence the profitability of calve fattening are farm management, quality of inputs, environmental factors and market situation. 10.1 Project Cost Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business. Table 2. Total Project Cost Capital Investment Capital Cost (one time investment) Initial operational cost Total 10.2 Space Requirement Table 3. Space requirement and its cost Space Requirement (Sq. ft.) Cost Rs./ Unit Veterinary dispensary and 500 office Feed store 600 Shed 400 Loading area including 105 manager and water tank Miscellaneous facilities (cattle Crush) Total: Amount (rupees) 736,636 1,077,847 1,814,483 Quantity (Nos.) 1 Area (Sq. ft.) 100 Total Cost (Rs.) 75,000 1 3 sheds 1 loading area 1 cattle Crush 70 625 1000 42,000 250,000 105,000 60,000 532,000 10.4 Machinery and Equipment Table 4. List of Machinery & Equipments and its cost Description Quantity Unit Price (Nos.) (Rs.) Weighing scale 01 25,000 Total (Rs.) 25,000 Chopper and other equipments 01 30000 30,000 Veterinary Kit 01 20,000 20,000 - 15000 15000 Misc Machinery Total: 90,000 10.5 Furniture and Fixture Following table provides list of Furniture and Fixture required for fattening calves. Table 5. List of Furniture & Fixture and its cost Description Furniture and Fixture Quantity (Nos) Lump sump Unit Price 50000 Total: Total (Rs.) 50,000 50,000 10.6 Operational and Maintenance cost Following table provides list of Consumable Requirement for fattening calves. Table 6. Operational & Maintenance cost Description Cost of purchase of animals (125kg body weight) Cost of feeding of animals @ Rs. 116/day (including fodder/silage and concentrate) Cost of Medicines Electricity Diesel Charges Total: * Local livestock market. Quantity (Nos.) 25 - Unit Price (Rs.) 23750 - Total (Rs.) 593,750 348,000 - - 1,250 7,500 6,000 956,500 10.7 Human Resource Requirement The table below provides details of human resource required to manage basic calves fattening. The staff salaries are estimated according to the market trends. However, these requirements and pay scales may vary area to area. Table 7. Human Resource Requirement its cost Description Laborers No. of Employees 2 Salary/person/ month 10000 Total salary per year 240,000 10.8 Project Financing Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank loan; Table 8. Project financing Description Total Equity (10%) Bank loan Mark up to borrower (per annum) Tenure of Loan (Years) Grace Period (years) Details Rs. 180500 Rs. 1624500 8% 8 1 10.9 Revenue Generation Final product of the trial is 25 fattened calves ready for sale in market that will generate revenue. Trial will be repeated at least thrice a year with sufficient generation of funds. Table 9. Revenue of the Project Product Unit Survival Average @100% Weight of calf Fattened 25 215 kg calves First Time Production (Kg) Farm yard manure Sales Price (Rs./Unit) 215/kg body weight First Time Revenue (Rs) 1,,155,625 16500 Total Sales Revenue: KEY ASSUMPTION Particulars Sales Price Growth Rate Increase in cost of raw material Increase in utilities Debt/Equity Ratio Plant Building Machinery and equipment Office furniture & fixture Loan Period Grace Period Loan installments Financial charges (interest rate) 1,172,125 13- Assumption 5% per year 10% per year 10% per year 90:10 5% 10% 10% 8 years 1 year Monthly 8% 14- ANNEXURE Statement Summaries SMEDA Income Statement Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Rs. in actuals Year 10 3,456,283 4,127,946 4,811,474 5,172,334 5,560,259 5,977,279 6,425,574 6,907,493 7,425,555 7,982,471 1,043,559 1,774,125 240,000 14,740 35,376 3,212,800 243,483 1,217,527 2,069,813 264,000 17,220 43,296 3,722,106 405,841 1,386,252 2,356,594 290,400 19,625 51,691 4,220,324 591,150 1,455,583 2,474,423 319,440 20,606 56,860 4,448,463 723,871 1,528,366 2,598,145 351,384 21,636 62,546 4,689,705 870,554 1,604,776 2,728,052 386,522 22,718 68,801 4,944,878 1,032,400 1,684,992 2,864,454 425,175 23,854 75,681 5,214,866 1,210,709 1,769,205 3,007,677 467,692 25,046 83,249 5,500,616 1,406,877 1,857,706 3,158,061 514,461 26,299 91,574 5,803,234 1,622,320 1,950,614 3,315,964 565,907 27,614 100,732 6,123,720 1,858,751 General administration & selling expenses Travelling & Comm. expense (phone, fax, etc.) Depreciation expense Amortization expense Subtotal Operating Income 6,000 67,200 12,927 98,127 145,355 6,300 67,200 12,927 99,027 306,814 6,615 67,200 12,927 99,972 491,178 6,946 67,200 12,927 100,964 622,907 7,293 67,200 12,927 102,006 768,548 7,658 67,200 90,173 942,227 8,041 67,200 91,322 1,119,387 8,443 67,200 92,528 1,314,349 8,865 67,200 93,794 1,528,526 9,308 67,200 95,124 1,763,627 Other income Gain / (loss) on sale of assets Earnings Before Interest & Taxes 145,355 306,814 491,178 622,907 768,548 942,227 1,119,387 1,314,349 1,528,526 1,763,627 Interest expense Earnings Before Tax 135,541 9,814 124,089 182,725 109,038 382,140 92,737 530,170 75,083 693,464 55,964 886,263 35,258 1,084,129 12,834 1,301,515 1,528,526 1,763,627 9,814 182,725 382,140 13,017 517,153 29,346 664,118 55,439 830,824 85,119 999,010 117,727 1,183,788 153,205 1,375,321 200,225 1,563,402 Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Feed & Vaccination Cost Cost of Calves Direct Labor Repair & Maintenance Utilities Total Cost of Sales Gross Profit Tax NET PROFIT/(LOSS) AFTER TAX Statement Summaries PARC Balance Sheet Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Rs. in actuals Year 10 133,705 4,913 939,228 1,077,847 175,125 6,027 1,150,569 1,331,720 59,215 7,212 1,375,496 1,441,923 207,994 7,951 1,516,491 1,732,436 463,490 8,766 1,671,933 2,144,190 849,661 9,665 1,843,303 2,702,628 1,380,063 10,655 2,032,231 3,422,950 2,069,391 11,748 2,240,518 4,321,657 2,933,513 12,952 2,470,191 5,416,656 4,295,034 14,279 2,723,397 7,032,711 8,761,392 8,761,392 532,000 90,000 50,000 672,000 478,800 81,000 45,000 604,800 425,600 72,000 40,000 537,600 372,400 63,000 35,000 470,400 319,200 54,000 30,000 403,200 266,000 45,000 25,000 336,000 212,800 36,000 20,000 268,800 159,600 27,000 15,000 201,600 106,400 18,000 10,000 134,400 53,200 9,000 5,000 67,200 64,636 64,636 1,814,482 51,708 51,708 1,988,229 38,781 38,781 2,018,304 25,854 25,854 2,228,690 12,927 12,927 2,560,317 3,038,628 3,691,750 4,523,257 5,551,056 7,099,911 8,761,392 163,932 163,932 192,627 192,627 217,270 217,270 231,424 231,424 246,621 246,621 262,949 262,949 280,503 280,503 299,387 299,387 319,715 319,715 217,570 217,570 1,633,034 1,633,034 1,633,034 1,633,034 1,451,689 1,451,689 1,255,293 1,255,293 1,042,596 1,055,613 812,245 854,609 562,776 660,578 292,600 475,522 300,649 453,854 654,079 Shareholders' equity Paid-up capital 181,448 Retained earnings Total Equity 181,448 TOTAL CAPITAL AND LIABILITIES 1,814,482 181,448 9,814 191,263 1,988,229 181,448 192,539 373,987 2,018,304 181,448 574,679 756,127 2,228,690 181,448 1,091,832 1,273,280 2,560,317 181,448 1,755,950 1,937,398 3,038,628 181,448 2,586,774 2,768,222 3,691,750 181,448 3,585,784 3,767,232 4,523,257 181,448 4,769,572 4,951,020 5,551,056 181,448 6,144,893 6,326,341 7,099,911 181,448 7,708,295 7,889,743 8,761,392 Assets Current assets Cash & Bank Equipment spare part inventory Raw material inventory Total Current Assets Fixed assets Land Building/Infrastructure Machinery & equipment Furniture & fixtures Total Fixed Assets Intangible assets Pre-operation costs Total Intangible Assets TOTAL ASSETS Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Current liabilities Accounts payable Total Current Liabilities Other liabilities Long term debt Total Long Term Liabilities - Note: Total assets value will differ from project cost due to first installment of leases paid at the start of year 0 - Statement Summaries PARC Cash Flow Statement Operating activities Net profit Add: depreciation expense amortization expense Deferred income tax Accounts receivable Finished good inventory Equipment inventory Raw material inventory Accounts payable Other liabilities Cash provided by operations Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 (4,913) (939,228) (944,141) 9,814 67,200 12,927 (1,114) (211,341) 163,932 41,419 182,725 67,200 12,927 (1,185) (224,927) 28,695 65,435 382,140 67,200 12,927 (739) (140,995) 24,643 345,175 517,153 67,200 12,927 13,017 (815) (155,442) 14,153 468,194 664,118 67,200 12,927 29,346 (899) (171,369) 15,197 616,521 830,824 67,200 55,439 (991) (188,928) 16,328 779,872 999,010 67,200 85,119 (1,092) (208,287) 17,553 959,503 1,183,788 67,200 117,727 (1,204) (229,673) 18,884 1,156,722 1,375,321 67,200 153,205 (1,328) (253,206) 20,329 1,361,521 (181,345) (181,345) (196,396) (196,396) (212,697) (212,697) (230,351) (230,351) (249,470) (249,470) (270,176) (270,176) (292,600) (292,600) Financing activities Change in long term debt 1,633,034 Issuance of shares 181,448 Purchase of (treasury) shares Cash provided by / (used for) financing1,814,482 activities - Investing activities Capital expenditure (736,636) Acquisitions Cash (used for) / provided by investing activities (736,636) - - - - - - - - Rs. in actuals Year 10 1,563,402 67,200 200,225 14,279 2,723,397 (102,146) 4,466,357 - - - - NET CASH 133,705 41,419 (115,910) 148,779 255,497 386,170 530,403 689,328 864,122 1,361,521 4,466,357 Cash balance brought forward Cash available for appropriation Dividend Cash carried forward 133,705 133,705 133,705 175,125 175,125 175,125 59,215 59,215 59,215 207,994 207,994 207,994 463,490 463,490 463,490 849,661 849,661 849,661 1,380,063 1,380,063 1,380,063 2,069,391 2,069,391 2,069,391 2,933,513 2,933,513 2,933,513 4,295,034 4,295,034 4,295,034 8,761,392 8,761,392