PROPOSAL INFORMATION SUMMARY 1. 2. Regional Panel Destinations: Project Title: 3. Principal Investigator(s): 4. Authorized Institutional Representative: 6. Element Designation 7. 8. 9. 10 Key Words Amount Requested Proposed start date Proposed Duration NIW Improving Reno Hazard Maps with 3-D Scenario Modeling and Existing ANSS Site Assessments John N. Louie Tel.: (775) 784-4219, Email: louie@seismo.unr.edu University of Nevada, Reno, NV 89557 Fax: 775-784-1833 Cindy Kiel Director, Office of Sponsored Project Admin. University of Nevada, Reno, NV 89557 Tel.: (775)784-4040, Fax (775)784-6064 Email: ckiel@unr.edu This project supports Elements I & III with “research that contributes to improvements in the national hazards maps and to assessing earthquake hazards and reducing losses in urban areas,” and by investigating possible ground-shaking effects in the Reno urban area. It also supports “Priority Topics in Research on Earthquake Effects” by improving “site characterization for building code and other applications.” The project also meets two of the goals stated in the “Priorities in the National/Intermountain West (NIW)” Nevada section, among which are to: 1) “construct/improve 3D velocity models needed for waveform modeling of the effects of basin- and near-surfacegeology for Reno-Carson City, … and incorporate results into the Community Velocity Model;” and 2) “prepare scenario ground motion models based on waveform modeling for earthquakes on major faults affecting Reno/Carson.” One result of this project will be a complete community velocity model for the Reno/Carson region, made available to all interested researchers. Site effects, Seismic zonation, Engineering seismology $45,096 January 1, 2007 1 year 11 New Proposal Yes 12 Active Earthquake-related Research: Grants, and Level of Support 13 Has this proposal been submitted to any other agency for funding? Dept. of Energy/Great Basin Center for Geothermal Energy: Assembly of a crustal seismic velocity database for the western Great Basin, $219,417, 4/1/2002–10/1/2005, Louie (1.5 summer months total). Dept. of State/Fulbright New Zealand: Developing a Wellington Community Seismic-Hazard Modeling Environment, Fulbright All Disciplines Partial Maintenance Research Award #5146 to New Zealand, 2/1/2006-7/31/2006, Louie (sabbatical leave support). No 2 Improving Reno Hazard Maps with 3-D Scenario Modeling and Existing ANSS Site Assessments John Louie Seismological Lab, University of Nevada, Reno TABLE OF CONTENTS Application for Federal Assistance, Standard Form (SF) 424 ...................................... 1 Proposal Information Summary ................................................................................... 2 Table of Contents........................................................................................................ 3 Abstract....................................................................................................................... 4 Budget Summary ........................................................................................................ 5 Detail Budget .............................................................................................................. 6 Project Description Motivation ........................................................................................................ 7 Project Objectives ........................................................................................ 7 Preparatory Research and Collaborations .................................................... 9 Vetting of Larsen’s E3D code ....................................................................... 10 Project Plan ...................................................................................................... 10 Figures ............................................................................................................. 13 Collaborating UNR Efforts ................................................................................ 16 Letters from External Collaborators .................................................................. 17 References ...................................................................................................... 19 Final Report and Dissemination of Results.................................................................. 20 Project Personnel........................................................................................................ 21 Institutional Qualifications ........................................................................................... 23 Project Management Plan ........................................................................................... 23 Current and Pending Support...................................................................................... 24 3 Improving Reno Hazard Maps with 3-D Scenario Modeling and Existing ANSS Site Assessments John Louie Seismological Lab, University of Nevada, Reno ABSTRACT This one-year project will develop 3-d scenario earthquake-shaking models for Reno, Nevada’s 15-km-wide and 1.5-km-deep basin. The project will capitalize on previously completed Vs30 assessments of all ANSS recording sites, a transect of fifty Vs30 measurements west-to-east across the basin, and a preliminary program of 3-d ground-motion modeling. These efforts have accompanied our development of trial 3-d community shear-velocity models that include basin structures as well as highly variable geotechnical properties affecting the uppermost model zones. Vs30 reliably varies by a factor of two within basins across distances of less than 300 m, leading to lateral Vs contrasts of up to 20% in the 100-to-250-m-thick surface zones of the models. We propose to compute synthetic ground-shaking time histories throughout the basin for several likely earthquake scenarios affecting Reno. The computed synthetics will be available on a grid spanning the basin at a spacing of 100 m. Computations will include a Q model and frequencies up to 1 Hz. We will employ Larsen’s E3D modeling code, which has been vetted by comparisons at SCEC in 1997 and PEER/NGA in 2004, on UNR’s 30-CPU computational cluster. The community models and the time-history grids we develop will be made available on a web site together with open-source software that creates a complete community seismic modeling environment. Better scenario shaking predictions assist in the creation of a seismic shaking amplification map for the Reno urban area, one of the top priorities for the NEHRP-NIW program. ANSS recordings have shown us already that the Reno basin can greatly increase the duration of ground motions, and preliminary 3-d modeling suggests that our present velocity model gets the amplitudes and durations of a few seismograms about right. Thus it is not necessary for this project to wait for additional studies of crustal or basin structure to refine the predictions. Rather, we will get first-order results now to study the 3-d scenario’s first-order consequences for public safety. 4 BUDGET SUMMARY Project Title: Improving Reno Hazard Maps with 3-D Scenario Modeling and Existing ANSS Site Assessments Principal Investigators: John N. Louie Proposed Start Date: Jan. 1, 2007 COST CATEGORY 1. Salaries and Wages Total Salaries and Wages 2. Fringe Benefits/Labor Overhead 3. Equipment 4. Supplies 5. Services or Consultants 6. Radiocarbon Dating Services 7. Travel 8. Publication Costs 9. Other Direct Costs 10. Total Direct Costs (items 1-9) 11. Indirect cost / General and Proposed Completion Date: Dec. 31, 2007 Federal First Year $ 23,390 Federal Second Year $0 $ 23,390 Total Both Years $ 23,390 $ 23,390 $ 2,059 $0 $ 2,059 $0 $0 $0 $ 2,500 $0 $ 2,500 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $ 600 $0 $ 600 $ 1,000 $0 $ 1,000 $ 2,250 $0 $ 2,250 $ 31,799 $0 $ 31,799 $ 13,297 $0 $ 13,297 $ 45,096 $0 $ 45,096 $ 45,096 $0 $ 45,096 Administrative (G&A) cost 12. Amount Proposed (items 10 & 11) 13. Total Project Cost (total of Federal and nonFederal amounts) 5 Improving Reno Hazard Maps with 3-D Scenario Modeling and Existing ANSS Site Assessments University of Nevada, Reno Budget, Louie Proposed start date: 1/1/07 Budget Prepared: 4/20/06 J. Louie NEHRP-NIW UNR Year 1 Total: SALARIES Employee John Louie Student-Academic Yr Student-Summer Undergraduate labor Subtotals Total Salary and Fringe 45096 Units Daily Monthly Monthly hourly Rate Number 5 10 1 120 550 1600 3200 12 Subtotal 2750 16000 3200 1440 23390 Benefit Rate 0.04 0.1 0.1 0.02 Benefits 110 1600 320 29 2059 25449 SUBCONTRACTS 0 Subcontracts Total EQUIPMENT 0 Unit Cost Quantity 0 Equipment Total Consultants Total 0 0 Expendables Lab & Computer Supplies Computer Services Publication Costs 3500 1500 1000 1000 Travel Dest Rate Number AGU or SSA 600 1 Additional Student Expenses Tuition and Fees per year (18 credits) Subtotal 600 125 Total Direct Cost Total: Number 18 600 2250 31799 Indirect Cost Computation Total Direct Cost Subtract Tuition & Fees Subtract Equipment Adjusted Total Fraction Indirect Cost 31799 -2250 0 29549 0.45 13297 Year One Total 45096 6 Improving Reno Hazard Maps with 3-D Scenario Modeling and Existing ANSS Site Assessments John Louie Seismological Lab, University of Nevada, Reno Motivation This proposal directly addresses Element I of the U.S. Geological Survey’s Earthquake Hazards Program (EHP) as “research that contributes to improvements in the national hazards maps and to assessing earthquake hazards and reducing losses in urban areas;” and Element III by investigating possible ground-shaking effects in the Reno urban area. “Priority Topics in Research on Earthquake Effects” that this proposal addresses include seismogram synthesis for “3D basin effects,” “improve observations relevant to the shaking behavior of near-surface materials in high-risk urban areas,” and “improve site characterization for building code and other applications.” The project also works toward two of the goals stated in the “Priorities in the National/Intermountain West (NIW)” Nevada section, which are to: 1) “construct/improve 3D velocity models needed for waveform modeling of the effects of basin- and near-surface-geology for Reno-Carson City, … and incorporate results into the Community Velocity Model;” and 2) “prepare scenario ground motion models based on waveform modeling for earthquakes on major faults affecting Reno/Carson.” An additional result of this project will be a complete community velocity model for the Reno/Carson region, made available to all interested researchers. By improving our understanding of expected ground motions the expected results of the proposed research will directly apply to reducing losses from earthquakes in Reno. Reno is particularly important as a rapidly growing community, in a location where the seismic hazard is known to be high. Project Objectives– Following the work of Frankel et al. (2005) for Seattle, we will provide results that will contribute to seismic hazard assessment for Reno, Carson City, Tahoe, and the eastern California – western Nevada region. These results will include site response, basin effects, and scenario earthquake-rupture parameters. We will develop site- and sourcespecific amplification factors from 3D finite-difference simulations, at 0-1.0 Hz, for a half-dozen scenario earthquakes. In this one-year project, we do not seek to compare modeled amplification factors or time histories against ground-motion recordings. Preliminary 3-d time-history computations employing our community velocity model by Pancha et al. (2004, 2006) have already shown that we can make a first-order match to amplitudes and durations of ground-motion recordings up to 0.5 Hz. Further comparisons could be tackled by one of the parallel NEHRP projects submitted by UNR, if funded; or be the subject of a follow-on project. Pancha et al. (2004, 2006) determined that Reno ANSS records can yield spectral values above noise to frequencies as low as 0.3-0.5 Hz. The synthetics we will produce, with an upper frequency limit of 1.0 Hz, will thus have spectra that can be compared against portions of the data spectra. We seek in this project to create a first-order set of synthetic time histories to study the first-order aspects of the shaking hazards in the Reno basin. We will take advantage of site-conditions measurements collected recently at most ANSS stations in Reno by Pancha et al. (2005; fig. 1 below), and across the Reno basin by Scott et al. (2004). These measurements yielded depth-averaged shear velocity values to 100 m depths 7 (Vs100) as well as Vs30 values. Figures 2 and 3 show trial Vs30 and amplification maps, respectively, for Reno based on test interpolations of measurements at 67 sites. Our regional Reno/Tahoe velocity grids have had zone spacing as small as 250 m (Pancha et al., 2004, 2006), which in this project we will reduce to 100 m or smaller. Local Reno grids modeling events below the Reno basin will have zone spacing as small as 50 m. A lateral change in Vs30 from 600 to 300 m/s (observed across 300 m distances in parts of the Reno basin by Scott et al., 2004), averaged by slowness with a 600 m/s basin shear velocity from 30 to 100 m depth, will produce a 22% change in the velocity of the 100-m-thick upper zone of the computation grid, from 600 to 462 m/s. Trial computations for the Las Vegas basin by Louie et al. (2006) have suggested that a model with pervasive lateral heterogeneity at the surface can trap additional energy, even at a relatively low frequency of 0.5 Hz. The scattering and trapping leads to amplification, over a model with a laterally homogeneous basin surface zone, of several times the 20% variability in zone velocity. For this reason we feel that it is important to test model grids that respect the variations in Vs30 and Vs100 measured within the Reno basin. Scott et al. (2004) showed that correlation between surface geology and shallow Vs exists in only a general sense– Vs measurements on Tertiary andesites in Reno are often (but not always) higher than Vs measurements on basin sediments. Having 50 sites measured across the basin, they could draw no reliable predictive correlations between Vs30 and mapped Neogene basin geological units or soil units. The observed scatter in Vs30 within geological units, and the complete lack of measurements for some geological units, motivated Pancha’s efforts to directly measure site conditions at every ANSS station in Reno (fig. 1). These measurement efforts are yielding constraints on shear velocity to at least 100 m depth. Our Vs measurement database at www.seismo.unr.edu/vs/archive shows Vs100 values (1d shear-velocity average to 100 m depth) for every one of the 67 sites, and whether constraints extend down to 200-300 m depths, which they occasionally do. Our knowledge of shear velocity in the basin is very limited below 200 m depths. Some information can be drawn from Abbot and Louie’s (2000) definition of the depth to a Tertiary diatomite/sandstone unit from deep well logs, and from hydrologic and structural investigations carried out by Clark et al. (2005) and Washoe County. It is possible that the relatively high velocity of the Tertiary basin fill (Pancha et al., 2006; fig. 1 here) may not allow a large velocity contrast at the basin floor. One of the objectives of our proposed modeling will be a suite of sensitivity tests on the basin-floor contrast. It should be possible for us to define the minimum bedrock/basin shear-velocity ratio that still allows the prominent 3-d basin effects to arise. Our community seismic model assembler, being rule-based, is amenable to creating such suites of trial models. We will refine our modeling for the shallow site response of artificial fill and Holocene alluvium and lacustrine deposits using vertical S-wave propagation through soil with linear rheology only. Frankel et al. (2005) used this strategy in Seattle to extend finite-difference computations up through columns of soft soil. Nonlinear effects are generally assumed to not have a strong influence on the frequencies to be modeled in this project. The various scenario earthquakes we will model include M6.0-7.5 ruptures on: the Genoa “fault system” including the Mount Rose fault zone (partly shown on fig. 1), the Kings Canyon fault zone, and the Genoa Fault; the West Tahoe-Dollar Point fault zone; the Olinghouse fault zone; the Warm Springs Valley fault zone; the Pyramid Lake fault zone; and a selection of subM6.0 events such as the 2000 Truckee earthquake (modeled in figures 4 and 5). The most 8 hazardous scenarios will be selected based on the reports available from http://earthquake.usgs.gov/regional/qfaults/ and in consultation with local experts such as C. dePolo (of dePolo et al., 1997). We will examine the results of the scenario models for indicators of site-response variation due to differences in the direction of the earthquake source, as well as due to variations in source parameters and rupture models, for the larger events. Ruptures on scenario normal faults such as the Genoa–Mt. Rose system and the West Tahoe would put a sedimentary basin in the hanging wall above at least part of the rupture. We will not attempt to model any inertial effects such as “fault fling” or any dynamic decrease in the fault’s transmissivity to seismic waves due to fault opening. But our modeling will include conversion and entrapment of energy within the basin directly above the rupture. We seek to produce average basin amplification maps in the manner of Olsen (2000), by computing a grid of synthetics spanning the Reno basin. Amplifications will be calculated by applying the site- and source-specific shaking amplitudes we will derive relative to calculations using just the background velocity model for rock. Future Reno-area probabilistic seismic hazard maps that are developed specifically for long periods and that incorporate basin amplification can eventually use this information. Follow-on projects may undertake these tasks. Preparatory research and collaborations– We have already constructed a 3-d velocity model for the Reno basin and surrounding region based on gravity results (Abbott and Louie, 2000), geological information, and our trial geotechnical maps (Louie et al., 2005). These velocity models are in a form correct for direct input to the E3D synthetic seismogram code of Larsen et al. (2001), used in a study of the San Francisco Bay Area by Stidham et al. (1999). We are using Larsen’s E3D code because of its long pedigree and cross-verifications against other seismic modeling codes with SCEC and the NGA project. Recently the Nevada Seismological Lab completed a collaboration with UCB and UNLV in a 4-year project sponsored by Lawrence Livermore National Lab on “3-D Evaluation of Ground-Shaking Potential in the Las Vegas Basin”. In that project Dr. Larsen collaborated with PI Louie in 2002 to establish a facility at UNR where E3D could run fairly large models. Modeling results for Las Vegas have been summarized by Larsen (2002), Concha-Dimas et al. (2002), Rodgers et al. (2003), Pancha et al. (2003), and Louie et al. (2004b, 2005, 2006). Although Larsen has moved to an atmospheric hazards and modeling project at LLNL, the Lab has since allocated considerable resources toward further development of E3D seismic modeling codes. Still, in an effort to avoid some of the pitfalls of 3-d ground-motion modeling, PI Louie has established external collaborations with Dr. Kim Olsen of SDSU, and with Dr. Rafael Benites of GNS Science in Wellingoton, New Zealand (where until Aug. 2006 Louie is developing a Wellington community seismic modeling environment for ground-motion studies as a Fulbright Senior Scholar). Figures 4 and 5 show an example E3D computation on the Reno-region model from Pancha et al. (2004, 2006), using our 30-CPU facilities at the Collaboratory for Computational Geosciences (CCoG; www.unr.edu/ccog) and the Nevada Environmental Computing Grid (NECG; www.aces.dri.edu). All data and software needed for others to run the preliminary version of the Reno/Carson-region community velocity model is available in the ModelAssembler package we have posted at www.seismo.unr.edu/geothermal/#ma . Pancha et al. (2004, 2005, 2006) found that ratios of the observed spectra at sites within the Reno basin, relative to a reference rock site, generally show factors of two or larger amplification at 2 Hz, as well as greatly increased duration. The increase in duration cannot be 9 matched by 1-d or 2-d models, and is a unique feature of the 3-d models created with ModelAssembler and run in Larsen’s E3D. Vetting of Larsen’s E3D code– A group combining D. Dreger of UCB and S. Larsen of LLNL compared E3D modeling results in the March 24-25, 2004 NGA Workshop as part of the PEER/SCEC 3D Ground Motion Project Team led by S. Day. Slide 7 of http://peer.berkeley.edu/NGA_program/Mar04/3-DBasinEffects_SD.ppt shows remarkable agreement at 2-sec period between E3D’s finite-difference synthetics and CMU’s finite-element synthetics. Dreger and Larsen also participated in the 3D Modeling Workshop sponsored by N. Abrahamson and SCEC which was held in Santa Ana, October 2-3, 1997. Their work on 3-d modeling and synthetics for the San Francisco Bay region was published in BSSA by Stidham et al. (1999). Larsen’s E3D computation platform has proven to be a reliable seismic synthetic generator for more than a decade. Project Plan We propose to compute synthetic time histories (seismograms) for the 0-1.0 Hz frequency band across regional 3-d models for a half-dozen scenario earthquakes affecting Reno, Tahoe, eastern California, and western Nevada. PI John Louie and a graduate student will perform the research: 1. We will assemble a background crustal and basin model for the region, including new refraction results (e.g., Louie et al., 2004a). a. Louie et al. (2006) have created a crustal-thickness map for the Great Basin and northern Sierra by combining new and old data under a consistent scheme of selection of refraction results, where the results from different techniques disagree. In the Reno area and east through the Walker Lane, new and old measurements agree well. Louie et al. (2004a) proposed a 50-km-deep Sierran root west of Reno. The community velocity model will allow this feature to be included or not, so its effects on wave propagation into the Reno basin can be tested. b. Results of collaborating projects doing 3-d tomography of the region (noted below) will be included when available. 2. Where more detailed 3-d basin geometries are available, such as the Reno gravity work of Abbott and Louie (2000) and the Basin and Range map of Saltus and Jachens (1995, east of Reno), these details will be inserted into the model. Figure 4, top left, shows a map representation of a combined regional and detailed basin model. a. Preliminary models for southern Nevada, including the dozens of basins in the region that surround both the source faults and Las Vegas, suggest their presence traps additional energy into basins and substantially changes how seismic energy arrives at the urban basin and converts at its boundary (Louie et al., 2006). This is one of the factors in the complete dependence of our preliminary results on source azimuth and location (Pancha et al., 2004; Louie et al., 2004b, 2005, 2006) that lead us to propose to model specific, hazardous scenarios for Reno. b. Our model of the Reno basin itself is constrained by well data in some areas, but the deepest sub-basin (west side of the city, fig. 4 top left) is only constrained to be deeper than 860 m at one deep drillhole. While some gravity models put the 10 sub-basin’s depth at 2.5 km, we will use the 1.5-km maximum depth from Abbott and Louie’s (2000) 2-d gravity model. Results from a collaborating project (noted below) that will profile the central part of the Reno basin will be included when available. 3. Where geotechnical data are available, we will build Vs30 models to constrain the upper zones of the 3-d model. Figure 2 shows a trial geotechnical map interpolated from the data in figure 1 (Pancha et al., 2005) and the transect results in Scott et al. (2004). a. Outside the data-rich Reno basin, we will adjust the default bedrock and basin Vs30 values to the averages of all bedrock and basin Vs30 measurements in the region, as Louie et al. (2005, 2006) did for a Las Vegas model. About twenty Vs30 measurements have been made in this region outside the Reno basin by UNR, and the models will include all known Vs30 values. b. However, geotechnical information outside the Reno basin is very sparse and our assembled models will show fairly laterally homogeneous upper grid zones for basins and bedrock outside Reno, with detailed and heterogeneous upper zones in and around Reno. 4. We will integrate our ModelAssembler, the Western Great Basin Community Velocity Model (CVM), and their associated databases for Nevada into the SCEC Community Modeling Environment (CME). a. Collaborator K. Olsen of SDSU has offered to advise us on this integration. b. Our ModelAssembler and CVM (available from www.seismo.unr.edu/geothermal/#ma) are at present standalone applications configured to run on the Nevada Environmental Computing Grid (NECG) web portal. SCEC’s CME, implemented as a series of web services, is flexible enough to allow them to be included as alternative applications. c. To the extent necessary, we can implement SCEC’s CME and web services at UNR. The Nevada Seismological Lab already has the CCoG Linux cluster, Sun workstations, experimental web servers, and other facilities needed to establish new web services. Along with the computation tasks, the need to implement SCEC’s web services for this project is the justification for the moderate amount of computing support requested in the budget. 5. We will select a half-dozen of the largest and most frequent earthquakes affecting the Reno region from the database of the National Seismic Hazard Maps. a. For most of these event scenarios, we will have to propose simple, trial models of source parameters, slip distributions, and rupture. We will assemble a suite of scenarios, wherein we evaluate variations in source parameters for each source fault system. We expect to compute a few sub-scenarios for each main scenario, to try to represent some of the ranges of rupture parameter values proposed by various workers. b. Collaborators K. Olsen of SDSU and R. Benites of GNS Science in New Zealand have volunteered to assist us in preparing and checking the source and rupture parameters input to our synthetic computations. 11 c. All scenario and sub-scenario results will be made available for probabilistic computations, so the sub-scenarios can be assigned individual likelihoods if the community deems it reasonable to do so. 6. Each rupture scenario will be computed across the combined local/regional 3-d model with the E3D code (Stidham et al., 1999; Larsen et al., 2001) on our CCoG/NECG cluster facility of 30 AMD Athlon CPUs having a total of 60 Gb of RAM. a. We anticipate being able to model from 0 Hz to an upper limit of 1 Hz at least. With a minimum upper grid-zone shear velocity of 400 m/s, the E3D code needs at least 5 grid intervals per 400-m wavelength at 1 Hz in the upper zones, to avoid grid dispersion artifacts. A 100-km N-S by 70-km E-W by 40-km deep grid could include the Reno basin and several source fault zones and regional basins. At 80m spacing, this grid has 547 million zones and would require a total of 13.7 gigabytes of RAM to run. Preliminary runs (e.g., Pancha et al., 2004, 2006) show that dividing a parallel E3D run among CCoG CPUs so that it requires 1 Gb of RAM out of each CPU’s 2 Gb is fairly efficient. Thus this 1-Hz model including low geotechnical velocities can be run in parallel on just 14 of CCoG’s 30 CPUs. b. The example 0-0.6 Hz computations shown in figure 4 did not come close to the limits of our facility. Larsen has already parallelized his E3D code, and the preliminary examples run by Pancha et al. (2004, 2006) on CCoG have tested this capability. Our facility has sufficient RAM to complete each 1-Hz model. Each model is expected, on the basis of our preliminary work, to run in less than 3 days when done in parallel. The twenty or so models we expect to run at full resolution will require less than 60 days wall-clock time on the CCoG/NECG facilities. c. We will include finite Q estimates in the computations. This E3D feature has been tested by Pancha et al. (2004, 2006) on CCoG/NECG. We plan to implement general rules in ModelAssembler relating Qs to Vs and Qp to Vp from global averages, as Benites and Olsen (2005) did for their Wellington, New Zealand modeling. d. Some sub-scenarios will be run on SCEC cluster facilities, with the help of K. Olsen of SDSU. Olsen’s seismic-modeling code will also be used on the CCoG/NECG facility to run some sub-scenarios, for cross-comparisons. 7. We anticipate that the lowest surface shear velocity on an 80-m-spacing E3D computation grid will be about 300 m/s. For areas of the geotechnical model having lower velocities (orange in figure 2) due to low-velocity surface layers less than 50 m thick, vertical S-wave propagation of the E3D synthetic time-histories through 1-d soil models with linear rheology will be needed to approximate the effects of the surface layers thinner than the 80-m grid spacing (Frankel et al., 2005). a. We will feed all the E3D time histories through this spectral filter for consistency (tailored to each receiver location’s geotechnical properties), and save both the raw E3D results and the filtered time-histories. b. Filters for results modeling all ANSS stations will be based on direct geotechnical measurements. Filters for result-grid locations not directly measured will be estimated from interpolated nearby geotechnical results. 8. We will evaluate the synthetic time histories for amplification to 1.0 Hz, relative to real and synthetic rock sites, producing average basin amplification maps for Reno in the 12 manner of Olsen (2000). Our evaluations will also look at PGV, PGA, and spectral ratios from 0.3-1 Hz, as done for the 2000 Truckee event by Pancha et al. (2004, 2006). 9. We will post all models, model assembly software, grids, synthetic time histories, maps, and amplification results on the website www.seismo.unr.edu/hazsurv . The website will allow users to register their interests and provide feedback on the utility of the site’s resources for their work. We will keep registration information confidential if requested, but provide statistical summaries of users, their interests, and responses to the USGS and to our collaborators, initially in our Final Project Report before April, 2008. 10. We will make presentations at AGU, SSA, SCEC, Nevada Earthquake Safety Council, and AEG regional-chapter meetings; and submit results for publication in a peerreviewed journal. To conserve funds, we will participate by teleconference when possible, and ask UNR colleagues traveling to some meetings to present results from this project as well as from their own. Fig. 1: Map of the Reno, Nevada area showing topography, fault traces from the USGS Quaternary database (red lines), major highways, and the locations of 15 ANSS ground-motion stations (small squares) measured for Vs30 recently by Pancha et al. (2005). At these stations, the station designation is labeled and Vs30 is given in m/s. Note the low Vs30 values found at candidate “bedrock” stations such as RFMA, RF08, NOAA, SWTP, and SKYF; all are well below the NEHRP BC stiff-soil/soft-rock boundary value of 760 m/s (BSSC, 1998). Vs100 values measured for these stations are closer to the expected high velocities. 13 Fig. 2: Assembled trial geotechnical-velocity model for the Reno-area basin, showing Vs30 interpolated from all 67 Vs30 measurements in the area. 52 are from Scott et al. (2004) along the Truckee River transect; the remainder are from Pancha et al. (2005). Geologic classification of NEHRP velocities (according to the designations in BSSC, 1998, and similar to Wills et al., 2000) is used where no measurement is within 1.5 km. Light blue areas are NEHRP BC-boundary bedrock, imposed where defined by the basin gravity model of Abbott and Louie (2000), not from geological maps. The interpolated Vs30 values respect this basin/bedrock boundary. Fig. 3: Trial amplification map for Reno computed using the So. Calif. equation of Field (2000, 2001) that includes the effects of both Vs30, from fig. 2 above, and the basin depth modeled from gravity analysis by Abbott and Louie (2000). Although the basin is deeper west of downtown Reno (>1.5 km) than it is east in Sparks, stiff Tertiary diatomites and Quaternary boulder outwashes underlie the alluvium on the west side of the basin (Scott et al., 2004). 14 Fig.4: Preliminary 1-Hz synthetic time-history computation for a Feb. 2000 Truckee event. The three maps all cover the same Reno/Tahoe region. At top left is a map showing the assembled regional seismic velocity model, with default depth profiles for basins surrounding Reno and detailed basin geometry for Reno from Abbott and Louie (2000). Top right is a map of maximum ground velocities from a 3-d elastic finite-difference model at 0.6 Hz using the E3D code of Larsen et al. (2001). Below is an E3D time slice at 19.5 s after the earthquake origin time, showing the Rayleigh wave entering the Reno basin. In this image black denotes zero ground velocity, red E-W ground velocity, green N-S, yellow NW-SE or NE-SW, blue is up-down ground velocity, and white is ground velocity on all three components. Note the strong contributions from scattering of surrounding basins. Animations are downloadable from www.seismo.unr.edu/ccog . 15 Figure 5: Modeled ANSS seismograms for Reno at 0.6 Hz, compared to data, from Pancha et al. (2006). RF10 is located on bedrock. The colored background highlights stations within the basin, in order of increasing sediment depth. 1D and 3D synthetics are shown along with the ANSS data. The 3D finite difference synthetics match the durations of the data (as in A) and may anticipate some of the later arrivals (as in B). Collaborating UNR Efforts Several projects at and around the Nevada Seismological Lab are concerned with crustal structure and earthquake shaking in the Reno area: PI Louie is conducting long-range crustal refraction surveys and assembling velocity models acress the Great Basin with graduate student Michelle Heimgartner under DOE Geothermal Program sponsorship (e.g., Louie et al., 2004a, 2005). Louie has created an archive of shallow shear-velocity profiles under USGS and DOE sponsorship, where interactive maps can be used to access complete velocity-profile data at http://mapserver.library.unr.edu/website/seismoweb/VS30/viewer.htm 16 John Anderson, Rasool Anooshehpoor, Glenn Biasi, and graduate student Aasha Pancha are characterizing ANSS recording sites in the Reno area, and collecting ANSS data to determine empirical site response and to improve our capability to predict ground motions in the basin in general, under USGS sponsorship (e.g., Pancha et al., 2004, 2006). PI Louie has also been involved in these efforts, which used E3D to compute the preliminary synthetic time histories.. David Von Seggern and Leiph Preston are conducting crustal tomographic inversions and event relocations from regional earthquake phase data. Cathy Snelson of UNLV, Pat Cashman of the UNR Geological Sciences and Engineering Dept., and Louie are conducting a 7-km-long reflection/refraction survey across the center of the Reno basin under Washoe County sponsorship. Letters from External Collaborators April 28, 2006 To Whom It May Concern: I have accepted to participate in Professor John Louie’s project on simulating 3D wave propagation and estimating ground motion in the Reno area. In particular, I plan to verify the synthetic seismograms produced by the E3D code implemented on the Linux Cluster in Reno with those produced by my own fourth-order finite-difference code which has been validated through exercises within the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) and the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER, Lifelines) program. Here, I will implement my code to be used freely on the Reno Cluster, if that turns out to be most desirable code in terms of scalability and optimization. After the code validation I will provide guidance on the implementation of physically realistic earthquake source functions. Research within SCEC, including the most recent large-scale TeraShake simulation project, has shown the importance of the earthquake source specification, such as variability of rise time, slip and rupture velocity. I will introduce standard formats for the source, and methods for generating source time functions for various scenarios used within SCEC. When designing relevant earthquake scenarios for the Reno area, I will introduce the concept of a community modeling environment (cme), where researchers or engineers with different background are able to do the modeling themselves, using user-friendly IT tools available on the web. Such tools, which have been a great success within SCEC and are currently being extended to areas like the Wasatch Front in Utah with funds from the NEHRP, are key to optimal use of the modeling capabilities in Reno. If this project is funded, Professor Louie and I will develop a collaboration where information on site-specific model properties, such as Vs30 and their importance in modeling will be openly shared for the different modeling environments in the western US, such as Utah, Nevada and California, and well as areas in other countries such as New Zealand, where common modeling 17 grounds include the Wellington area. Such collaboration will ensure homogeneity in the modeling environments and sharing of new findings. I am excited about the prospects of this collaboration and strongly recommend that funding is provided by NEHRP if at all possible. My contribution will be provided with no charge to the project. Sincerely, Kim Olsen Associate Professor, San Diego State University From Dr. Rafael Benites (r.benites@gns.cri.nz), GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, 1 May 2006 May 1 2006 To the panel of NIW, Nevada Section The 3-D earthquake modeling proposed by Professor John Louie’s is an essential step towards understanding the seismic wave propagation from several earthquake scenarios and characterising the effects of local site conditions on strong ground motion in the Reno urban area. In New Zealand, and particularly in the Wellington Metropolitan Area, which is crossed by the Wellington Fault, we have undertaken the task of improving the Hazard estimation in the region by establishing research programmes on three major topics: Paleo-seismology, synthetic seismicity and earthquake scenario 3-D modelling within a major programme called “It is our fault”, funded by our Earthquake Commission. The 3-D modeling up to 1.5 Hz, with syntheticobservation comparisons, is regarded as the first step towards building a broad-band frequency response of the area. Thus, Professor’s Louie’s project will also be of great interest to us and, in general, to the community of researchers that model seismic wave propagation in realistic geological settings sharing the state-of-the art developments and technology associated with the Finite Differences Method. I strongly recommend its funding by NERHP. I have accepted an offer to collaborate with professor John Louie on wherever he may think my experience on the Wellington region model is of value, at no cost. Sincerely yours Rafael Benites 18 References: Abbott, R. E., and J. N. Louie, 2000, Depth to bedrock using gravimetry in the Reno and Carson City, Nevada area basins: Geophysics, 65, 340-350. Benites, Rafael, and Kim B. Olsen, 2005, Modeling strong ground motion in the Wellington metropolitan area, New Zealand: Bull. Seis. Soc. Amer., 95, 2180–2196. Building Seismic Safety Council– BSSC, 1998, 1997 Edition NEHRP Recommended Provisions for Seismic Regulation for New Buildings: FEMA 302/303, developed for the Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, D,C. Clark, M., Louie, J., Pancha*, A., Scott*, J., and Heath*, K., 2005, Geophysical investigation of a fault as a hydrologic barrier in Reno, Nevada: presented at the Seismol. Soc. of Amer. Ann. Mtg., Lake Tahoe, Nevada, April 26-29. Concha-Dimas, Aline, Tiana Rasmussen, John N. Louie, Shane Smith, and Wes Thelen, 2002, Las Vegas Basin Seismic Response Project: Developing a community velocity model for NTS and Las Vegas: presented at Amer. Geophys. Union Fall Mtg., Dec. 9, San Francisco; EOS Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 83, suppl. to no. 47 (19 Nov.), F1055. dePolo, C. M., J. G. Anderson, D. M. dePolo, J. G. Price, 1997, Earthquake occurrence in the Reno– Carson City urban corridor: Seismol. Res. Lett., 68, 401-412. Field, E. H., 2000, A modified ground-motion attenuation relationship for Southern California that accounts for detailed site classification and a basin-depth effect: Bull. Seis. Soc. Amer., 90, no. 6B, S209–S221. Field, E. H., 2001, Earthquake ground-motion amplification southern California: U.S. Geol. Surv. OpenFile Rept. 01-164, map poster. Frankel, A.D., Stephenson, W.J., Hartzell, S., Carver, D.L., Odum, J.K., Williams, R.A., and Rhea, S., 2005, Probabilistic seismic hazard maps for Seattle incorporating site response, sedimentary basin effects, and rupture directivity: Seismol. Soc. Amer. Annual Meeting, April 26-29, Lake Tahoe, Nevada. Larsen, S., Wiley, R., Roberts, P., and House, L., 2001, Next-generation numerical modeling: incorporating elasticity, anisotropy and attenuation: Soc. Explor. Geophys. Ann. Internat. Mtg., Expanded Abstracts, 1218-1221. Larsen, S. C., 2002, Las Vegas Basin Seismic Response Project: 3-d finite-difference ground motion simulations: Eos Trans. AGU, 83(47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S12B-1188. Louie, John N., Weston Thelen, Shane B. Smith, Jim B. Scott, Matthew Clark, and Satish Pullammanappallil (2004a), The northern Walker Lane refraction experiment: Pn arrivals and the northern Sierra Nevada root: Tectonophysics, 388, no. 1-4, 253-269. Louie, John N., Aasha Pancha, Glenn P. Biasi, Weston Thelen, James B. Scott, Mark F. Coolbaugh, and Shawn Larsen, 2004b, Tests and applications of 3-d geophysical model assembly: presented at Great Basin and Range Evolution and Kinematics Workshop, Tahoe City, Calif., June 20-23. Louie, J. N., Pancha, A., Biasi, G. P., Heimgartner, M., Coolbaugh, M. F., Larsen, S. (2005), Tests and applications of 3-d geophysical model assembly in the Great Basin: Seismol. Soc. Amer. Annual Meeting, April 26-29, Lake Tahoe, Nevada. Louie, J., M. Heimgartner, A. Pancha, W. Thelen, J. Scott, and C. Lopez, 2006, A matter of scale: understanding Nevada’s sedimentary basins for seismic hazard assessment: presented at Seismol. Soc. Amer. Ann. Mtg. and the Managing Risk in Earthquake Country Conference Commemorating the 100th Anniversary of the 1906 Earthquake, April 18 - 22, San Francisco, Calif. Olsen, K. B., 2000, Site amplification in the Los Angeles Basin from three-dimensional modeling of ground motion, Bull. Seis. Soc. Amer., 90, no. 6B, S77-S94. Pancha, A., J. N. Louie, and J. G. Anderson, 2003, Las Vegas Valley seismic response project: quantification of basin response using 2-d finite-difference ground motion simulations: presented at Amer. Geophys. Union Fall Mtg., San Francisco, Dec. 8-12. 19 Pancha, A., J. G. Anderson, J. N. Louie, A. Anooshehpoor, and G. Biasi, 2004, Data and simulation of ground motion for Reno, Nevada: Proceedings of the 13th World Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, Vancouver, B.C., Aug. 1-6, paper no. 3452. Pancha, A., J. G. Anderson, F. Su, A. Anooshehpoor, G. Biasi, and J. Louie, 2006, Characterizing seismic hazard in the Basin and Range province: Case study for Reno, Nevada: Proceedings of the Managing Risk in Earthquake Country Conference Commemorating the 100th Anniversary of the 1906 Earthquake, April 18 - 22, San Francisco, Calif., 10 pp. Rodgers, A., D. McCallen, S. Larsen, H. Tkalcic, L. Hutchings, C. Snelson, W. Taylor, B. Luke, J. Anderson, and J. Louie, 2003, The Las Vegas Valley seismic response project: presented at Geol. Soc. Amer. Ann. Mtg., Seattle, Nov. 2-5. Saltus, R. W., Jachens, R. C., 1995, Gravity and basin-depth maps of the Basin and Range Province, Western United States: U.S. Geol. Surv. Geophysical Investigations Map, GP-1012, 1:2,500,000, 1 sheet. Scott, J. B., M. Clark, T. Rennie, A. Pancha, H. Park and J. N. Louie, 2004, A shallow shear-wave velocity transect across the Reno, Nevada area basin: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 94, no. 6 (Dec.), 2222-2228. Scott, J. B., T. Rasmussen, B. Luke, W. Taylor, J. L. Wagoner, S. B. Smith, and J. N. Louie, 2006 in press, Shallow shear velocity and seismic microzonation of the urban Las Vegas, Nevada basin: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 96, no. 3 (June). (On line at www.seismo.unr.edu/hazsurv/2005044_Scott-pp.pdf) Stephenson, W. J., J. N. Louie, S. Pullammanappallil, R. A. Williams, and J. K. Odum, 2005, Blind shear-wave velocity comparison of ReMi and MASW results with boreholes to 200 m in Santa Clara Valley: Implications for earthquake ground motion assessment: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 95, no. 6 (Dec.), 2506-2516. Stidham, C., Antolik, M., Dreger, D., Larsen, S., Romanowicz, B., 1999, Three-dimensional structure influences on the strong-motion wavefield of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 89, 1187-1202. Thelen, W. A., M. Clark, C. T. Lopez, C. Loughner, H. Park, J. B. Scott, S. B. Smith, B. Greschke, and J. N. Louie, 2006 in press, A transect of 200 shallow shear velocity profiles across the Los Angeles Basin: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 96, no. 3 (June). (On line at www.seismo.unr.edu/hazsurv/thelen-et-al-pp.pdf) Wills, C.J., Petersen, M., Bryant, W.A., Reichle, M., Saucedo, G.J., Tan, S., Taylor, G., and Treiman, J. (2000). A site-conditions map for California based on geology and shear-wave velocity, Bull. Seis. Soc. Amer., 90, no. 6B, S187-S208. FINAL REPORT AND DISSEMINATION OF RESULTS All reports requested and required by the USGS will be submitted in a prompt and timely manner and the results of the research will be published in a professional journal. The trial community models and the synthetic time-history grids will be available at the end of the project year on a website much like the shear-velocity archive at www.seismo.unr.edu/vs/archive . All data and software needed for others to run the preliminary version of the Reno/Carson-region community velocity model will be available in updated ModelAssembler packages we will post at www.seismo.unr.edu/geothermal/#ma . The availability of these results will be announced to seismologists and earthquake engineers at the 2007 AGU Fall Meeting. Colleagues downloading our software, databases, and results, and using our version of the SCEC CME web services, will be offered the opportunity to register their interests and report their satisfaction with how project results meet their needs. Statistical summaries of such usage information will be included in the project final report. 20 PROJECT PERSONNEL This study will be conducted by principal investigator John Louie, Associate Professor of Seismology, at the University of Nevada, Reno. Biographical Sketch of John N. Louie Seismological Laboratory 174, Mackay School of Earth Sciences and Engineering The University of Nevada, Reno, NV 89557-0141 (775) 784-4219; fax (775) 784-1833; louie@seismo.unr.edu Professional Experience Professor of Seismology, Seismological Laboratory and Department of Geological Sciences and Engineering, The University of Nevada, Reno; promoted July 2006; Assoc. since 1992. Responsibilities include undergraduate and graduate instruction, supervision of M.S. and Ph.D. degree candidates, and conducting a research program in seismology. Assistant Professor of Geosciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Penna.; Sept. 1987 to Jan. 1992. Recent Graduate Theses Directed M.S. Thesis in Hydrogeology by Matthew Clark on ``Hydrologic and geophysical investigation of a fault as a hydrologic barrier in Reno, Nevada'' defended on 26 Oct. 2005. Ph.D. Thesis in Geophysics by Robert E. Abbott on ``Geophysical constraints on seismic hazard and tectonics in the western Basin and Range'' defended on 23 Aug. 2001. Ph.D. Thesis in Geophysics by Abu M. Asad on ``Linearized and nonlinear travel time tomography for upper crustal velocity structure of the western Great Basin'' defended on 23 Jan. 1998. M.S. Thesis in Hydrogeology by Ken Mela on ``Interpretation of stochastic hydrogeologic properties from seismic data'' defended on 14 Nov. 1997. Ph.D. Thesis in Geophysics by Sergio Chavez-Perez on ``Enhanced imaging of fault zones in southern California from seismic reflection studies'' defended on 4 Aug. 1997. Selected Recent Sponsored Research Developing a Wellington community earthquake hazard modeling environment, Fulbright Senior Scholar Award to New Zealand, US Dept. of State, 2/2006-7/2006, sabbatical support. Improving next-generation attenuation models with shear-velocity measurements at all TriNet and strong-motion stations in LA, sponsored by the U.S. Geological Survey under contract 05HQGR0078, 2/2005 – 1/2006 for $54,000. 3-D Evaluation of Ground-Shaking Potential in the Las Vegas Basin, sponsored by the U.S. Dept. of Energy/Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 5/2002 - 9/2005 for $330,000 between 2 PIs. Assembly of a crustal seismic velocity database for the Western Great Basin, sponsored by the U.S. Dept. of Energy/Great Basin Center for Geothermal Energy 4/2002-9/2006 for $302,668. Improving southern California seismic hazard models with a 45-km shear-velocity profile along the San Gabriel River, sponsored by the U.S. Geological Survey under contract 03HQGR0068, 2/1/2003 1/31/2004 for $52,000 between 2 PIs. Establishment of a Center for Computational Geosciences, sponsored by the Nevada Applied Research Initiative and Optim LLC 5/2002 - 5/2003 for $50,000. Evolution of the Sierra Nevada - Basin and Range boundary — tephrochronologic and gravity constraints on the record in Neogene basin deposits, sponsored by the National Science Foundation 6/2000-5/2002 for $55,182 between 3 PIs. 21 Graduate Education California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California. Degrees: Ph.D. Geophysics, June, 1987; M.S. Geophysics, June, 1983. Relevant Publications W. A. Thelen, M. Clark, C. T. Lopez, C. Loughner, H. Park, J. B. Scott, S. B. Smith, B. Greschke, and J. N. Louie, 2006 in press, A transect of 200 shallow shear velocity profiles across the Los Angeles Basin: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 96, no. 3 (June). (On line at www.seismo.unr.edu/hazsurv/thelen-etal-pp.pdf) J. B. Scott, T. Rasmussen, B. Luke, W. Taylor, J. L. Wagoner, S. B. Smith, and J. N. Louie, 2006 in press, Shallow shear velocity and seismic microzonation of the urban Las Vegas, Nevada basin: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 96, no. 3 (June). (On line at www.seismo.unr.edu/hazsurv/2005044_Scott-pp.pdf) W. J. Stephenson, J. N. Louie, S. Pullammanappallil, R. A. Williams, and J. K. Odum, 2005, Blind shearwave velocity comparison of ReMi and MASW results with boreholes to 200 m in Santa Clara Valley: Implications for earthquake ground motion assessment: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 95, no. 6 (Dec.), 2506-2516. J. B. Scott, M. Clark, T. Rennie, A. Pancha, H. Park and J. N. Louie, 2004, A shallow shear-velocity transect across the Reno, Nevada area basin: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 94, no. 6 (Dec.), 2222-2228. A. Pancha, J. G. Anderson, J. N. Louie, A. Anooshehpoor, and G. Biasi, 2004, Data and simulation of ground motion for Reno, Nevada: presented at 13th World Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, Vancouver, B.C., Aug. 1-6, paper no. 3452. (On line at www.seismo.unr.edu/ftp/pub/louie/papers/pancha-etal-13wcee.pdf) Other Important Publications J. N. Louie, W. Thelen, S. B. Smith, J. B. Scott, M. Clark, 2004, The northern Walker Lane refraction experiment: Pn arrivals and the northern Sierra Nevada root: Tectonophysics, 388, no. 1-4, 253-269. (On line at www.seismo.unr.edu/geothermal/walker.html) J. N. Louie, S. Chavez-Perez, S. Henrys, and S. Bannister, 2002, Multimode migration of scattered and converted waves for the structure of the Hikurangi slab interface, New Zealand: Tectonophysics, 355 (1-4), 227-246. R. E. Abbott, J. N. Louie, S. J. Caskey, and S. Pullammanappallil, 2001, Geophysical confirmation of low-angle normal slip on the historically active Dixie Valley fault, Nevada: Jour. Geophys. Res., 106, 4169-4181. J. N. Louie, 2001, Faster, better: shear-wave velocity to 100 meters depth from refraction microtremor arrays: Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 91, no. 2 (April), 347-364. R. E. Abbott and J. N. Louie, 2000, Depth to bedrock using gravimetry in the Reno and Carson City, Nevada area basins: Geophysics, 65, 340-350. Synergistic Activities JRG, an open-source, menu-driven seismic processing package: www.seismo.unr.edu/jrg . ModelAssembler, velocity gridding for the Great Basin: www.seismo.unr.edu/geothermal/#ma . Applied Geophysics course with 1-week field camp and on-line exercises: www.seismo.unr.edu/ftp/pub/louie/class/492-syll.html . Service on IRIS Standing Comm. managing the PASSCAL nat’l facility, Dec. 2000–Dec. 2003. 22 Institutional Qualifications– UNR As one of the statewide research agencies of the University of Nevada, the Seismological Laboratory is headed by a Director (J. Anderson) who reports to the Dean of the College of Science. The Lab's current research staff consists of nine professional seismologists. Other professionals include a Research and Design Engineer. Technical staff members include two seismographic technicians, one record analyst, 2.0 FTE of computer systems personnel, and six graduate research assistants. The Seismological Laboratory operates the Western Great Basin Seismic Network (USGS Funding; digital upgrades provided by the W.M. Keck Foundation) and the Yucca Mountain Digital Seismic Network (DOE-HRC Funding). These networks now include more than four dozen state-of-the-art high-dynamicrange real-time digital stations. Twenty-four ANSS strong-motion stations have been established as well in the Reno, Carson, and Las Vegas urban areas. Earthquake data are manipulated using the Antelope and CSS database systems developed by BRTT, allowing us to interchange both real-time and archived catalog and seismogram data with the CISN, Oregon, Arizona, and Utah seismic networks through data centers at Caltech, Menlo Park, Berkeley, San Diego, and Salt Lake City, as well as with the Earthscope observatory. Much of the high-dynamic-range digital station data are archived in real time at the IRIS Data Management Center. In partnership with the Nevada Applied Research Initiative, Lawrence Livermore National Lab, and Optim LLC, the Seismo Lab established the Collaboratory for Computational Geosciences (CCoG; www.seismo.unr.edu/ccog) facility in October 2002, a 30-CPU Beowulf parallel processor with 60-Gbyte RAM. CCoG is primarily dedicated to seismogram inversion and modeling, and runs Larsen’s E3D viscoelastic seismic modeling code from LLNL through the aces.dri.edu Nevada Environmental Computing Grid web portal. Additional computer hardware consists of four Sun servers and twenty Sun workstations with speeds up to 1 GHz, ten Pentium II-IV and AMD Athlon UNIX workstations, and numerous PCs and Macintoshes. These processors are used mainly for research applications and provide a basis for analysis of the accumulating network data base. One of the servers hosts the Lab's web site www.seismo.unr.edu, which is one of the University's most popular public outreach programs at 30,000-300,000 hits per day. Seismic reflection data sets are processed both with John Louie's open-source JRG system for research (www.seismo.unr.edu/jrg), and with the industry-standard Halliburton ProMAX system. The University is wired for 100 Mbps full-duplex ethernet, with high-speed gigabit connections available to all servers. All buildings on campus connect via a gigabit fiber network, which has a fiber connection at 155 Mbps to the nearest CALREN/vBNS/Abilene gigaPoP at U.C. Davis, and a 655 Mbps connection to Salt Lake City, Las Vegas, and CALREN at UCSD in southern California. Project Management Plan The project is projected to last one year. PI Dr. John Louie will be responsible for the completion of all tasks, completion of the project, and submittal of required reports. The expected schedule of milestones is: Jan. 1, 2007– Funding and project activities commence. 20 hr/week support of graduate student on the project commences. April 1, 2007– Completion of Western Great Basin CVM updates with new crustal tomography, basin geometry, and geotechnical measurements available. Initiation of regular face-toface (if possible) or teleconference consultations with collaborators K. Olsen and R. Benites. Completion of initial tests of installation of Olsen’s modeling code on CCoG/NECG. Completion of outline of SCEC CME web services implementation at the Nevada Seismological Lab. 23 June 1, 2007– Completion of initial E3D runs for 1-Hz Reno synthetics, and delivery to collaborators for checks. Completion of definition of scenarios and sub-scenario source and rupture parameters. Sept. 1, 2007– Completion of main scenario and sub-scenario computations. Submittal of an abstract to Fall AGU Meeting on project progress and resources available to the community. Completion of cross-checks by Louie and by collaborators of source parameters and the 1-Hz synthetic time-history results, and any needed corrections to the main runs. Dec. 1, 2007– Submittal of Annual Project Summary to the USGS. Dec. 31, 2008– Completion of project. Presentation of results and announcement of web databases at 2007 Fall AGU Meeting. Completion of web databases and setup of user registration and comment facilities. Completion of graduate-student support by the project. Submittal of manuscript discussing results to a peer-reviewed journal. March 31, 2008– Submittal of Final Project Report to the USGS, including an initial statistical summary of web user responses. Current Support and Pending Applications — John N. Louie Current: Dept. of Energy/Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe: Geothermal assessment of Pyramid Lake Paiute ReservationPhase 2 Task A- Structural controls and regional synthesis, $35,959, 10/25/2004–6/1/2006, Faulds, Louie (0.25 summer month total). SCEC/NSF: Site-condition measurements at precariously balanced rocks constraining ruptures on the Elsinore and San Jacinto faults, $7999, 2/1/2005 – 9/30/2006, Louie (0.05 summer month), Brune, Anooshehpoor. Dept. of Energy/Great Basin Center for Geothermal Energy: Continued implementation of a database of crustal geophysical controls on geothermal resource assessment, $81,211, 7/1/2005–9/30/2007, Louie (0.1 summer month). Dept. of State/Fulbright New Zealand: Developing a Wellington Community Seismic-Hazard Modeling Environment, Fulbright All Disciplines Partial Maintenance Research Award #5146 to New Zealand, 2/1/2006-7/31/2006, Louie (sabbatical leave support). Pending: USGS-NEHRP: Improving Reno hazard maps with 3-d scenario modeling and existing ANSS site assessments, $45,096, 1/1/2007 – 12/31/2007, Louie (0.2 summer month). USGS-NEHRP: Collaborative research with CGS: Improving hazard maps and NGA models with Vs measurements at 50 CISN stations in San Bernardino and Riverside, $73,299, 1/1/2007 – 12/31/2007, Louie (0.25 summer month). 24