The Design Argument Part One: How it works Colin Crowder The design argument is the third of the classic ‘theistic proofs’, or arguments for the existence of God. Students often heave a sigh of relief when they reach it. First, it appears to be a great deal more ‘user-friendly’ than the ontological and cosmological arguments which so often precede it in both courses and textbooks. Second, it seems to be refreshingly ‘modern’ (or relatively so), at home in an intellectual atmosphere which we breathe more easily than we do that of Anselm, say, or Thomas Aquinas. Yet appearances can be deceptive, and the design argument is neither modern nor - unfortunately - simple. A historical enquiry could show you just how old the design argument really is. But this is a philosophical enquiry, and so I shall try to show you that the argument is complex - but all the more interesting for that. What I want to do is to bring the design argument into focus. We need to ask what it tries to do, what it fails to do, and what value, if any, it might still have. So my paper is composed of three sections: a: a statement and analysis of the design argument; b: a critique of the argument at four levels; c: a contemporary perspective upon the argument. Part 1 of my paper, in this first issue of Dialogue, is devoted entirely to section A. To help you to think about the argument, I look at some logic; to encourage you to read about it, I suggest a bit of further reading. Part 2 of the paper, in the next issue of Dialogue, takes in sections B and C. I should add that my remarks about religious language there, like the logical remarks here, can be applied to many other philosophical topics. A: Statement and Analysis of the Argument (1) Let us begin by considering the best-known English champion of the design argument. William Paley (1743-1805) was a churchman with a strong interest in apologetics - the defence (apologia) of the truth of Christianity by appeal to ‘natural reason’ rather than to ‘revelation’. The apologist need not rule out a subsequent appeal to revelation, provided he or she gives good reasons for believing that any purported divine revelation (such as the Bible) is, in fact, what it is said to be. But that only underlines the fact that the apologist'’s real job is to argue for the truth of Christianity in ways acceptable (at least in principle) to all rational people, whether religious or not. This is very much what we see Paley doing in more than one of his works. As an apologist of a distinctively eighteenth-century kind, moreover, Paley liked to talk in terms of the ‘evidences’ of Christianity. What such talk gives us a sense of, perhaps, is the selfunderstanding of the apologist, as one who trusts to the facts of the matter, the hard evidence available to one and all; it places the apologist in the sober company of the scientist, the historian and the lawyer. This is Paley's rhetorical strategy, and it is nowhere better displayed than in his treatment of the design argument. This treatment is found in Paley's Natural Theology of 1802. Paley imagines himself walking upon a heath, and coming across a stone. He would not be puzzled by finding it; no explanation would be needed. But suppose that he had found a watch there instead. He would be puzzled by its presence; he wouldn't simply treat it (as he had the stone) as the sort 1 of thing that might have occurred naturally. The difference between the two cases is two-fold: the watch (unlike the stone) is composed of finely adjusted parts manifesting orderly behaviour, and the interaction of these parts serves a specific purpose - telling the time. Because of these two aspects of the watch - order and purpose - we are obliged to believe that it is the product of an intelligent designer. Now we reach the crucial stage of the argument: Paley says that nature is full of things which resemble the watch in those key respects of orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement. What we recognise in the watch, we must recognise in the world, only to a vastly higher degree: [Every] indication of contrivance, every manifestation of design, which existed in the watch, exists in the works of nature; with a difference, on the side of nature, of being greater and more, and that in a degree which exceeds all computation. I mean that the contrivances of nature surpass the contrivances of art, in the complexity, subtlety, and curiosity of the mechanism; and still more, if possible, do they go beyond them in number and variety: yet, in a multitude of cases, are not less evidently mechanical, not less evidently contrivances, not less accommodated to their end, or suited to their office, than are the most perfect productions of human ingenuity. The conclusion seems obvious: if we must argue from watch to watchmaker, we must argue from world to worldmaker. What watch and world have in common are orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement, only on a very different scale in each case. Correspondingly, what watch and worldmaker have in common is that both are intelligent designers, and again, the difference between them is one of scale. Paley goes on to devote most of his book to piling up examples of design in the natural world. From this point onwards the reader is in the hands of the clergyman naturalist, an exquisitely English type; but that means that the philosopher has done his work. Paley may continue to illustrate his design argument, but the statement of the argument as such is now complete. Let us recall what Paley has done. He has considered a mechanism (the watch), and identified in it certain features. These have compelled us to ascribe the production of the watch to an intelligent designer. (So far, so good: we know from experience, independently of the argument, that watchmakers are indeed responsible for watches.) He has then argued that the natural world is full of things with the same features, things which are, in effect, also mechanisms showing orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement. And he has concluded that we must make the same inference as we did in the case of the watch - namely, to an intelligent designer. It is a case of ‘similar effects, similar causes’. The known designer (that is, the watchmaker), and the postulated designer (that is, God), are therefore similar in kind, but dissimilar in degree. And this is the same distinction that was deployed to express the ways in which our machines and the natural world are alike and not alike. (2) Before I attempt to ‘unpack’ these ideas a little more, I would like to give you another example of the design argument. It is taken from the work of David Hume (1711-1776), a Scottish philosopher and historian, who crops up in connection with the design argument just as often as Paley does. His key work in this connection is Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion, published posthumously (in 1779), but drafted over twenty years earlier - hence predating Paley's Natural Theology by nearly half a century. The Dialogues are much more entertaining than any treatise, since in them Hume creates three memorable characters who try to outmanoeuvre one another, not always very fairly, in arguing about the existence of God. Although a sceptical character, Philo, is allowed to run rings around the others, a 2 somewhat Paleyesque character called Cleanthes makes a lot of the early running. The speech from which the following summary of the design argument comes is, perhaps, his finest hour: Look round the world: contemplate the whole and every part of it: You will find it to be nothing but one great machine, subdivided into an infinite number of lesser machines, which again admit of subdivisions, to a degree beyond what human senses and faculties can trace and explain. All these various machines, and even their most minute parts, are adjusted to each other with an accuracy, which ravishes into admiration all men, who have ever contemplated them. The curious adapting of means to ends, throughout all nature, resembles exactly, though it much exceeds, the productions of human contrivance; of human design, thought, wisdom, and intelligence. Since therefore the effects resemble each other, we are led to infer, by all the rules of analogy, that the causes also resemble: and that the Author of nature is somewhat similar to the mind of man; though possessed of much larger faculties, proportioned to the grandeur of the work, which he has executed. By this argument a posteriori, and by this argument alone, we do prove at once the existence of a Deity, and his similarity to human mind and intelligence. There are a couple of technical ideas there which I will come back to shortly. For now, what we should note is the way in which Hume'’s statement (through Cleanthes) of the design argument brings out the ideas we saw at work in Paley's formulation: - note again the idea that the world and its parts are mechanisms, comparable to the ones we ourselves produce; - note again the concern with both order (the accurate adjustment of parts to one another) and purpose (the adaptation of means to ends) in natural mechanisms; - note again the principle of ‘similar effects, similar causes'’ which is the argument’s backbone; - note again the concern with proportion; although the makers of ‘artificial’ and ‘natural’ mechanisms are similarly intelligent, there is a huge difference between them corresponding to the huge difference between their products. This is essentially a matter of scale: the unknown designer must be like the known, human designer, only much more so, since the work of the former so completely dwarfs the work of the latter which it otherwise closely resembles. By now we should be getting a little clearer about what is going on in the design argument. Obviously, it isn't just a matter of saying ‘there must be a God because the world is so complex and amazing’ - although, as I hope to indicate later, I don't want to ignore the element of awe from which the argument profits. But the design argument as an argument needs patient unpacking. So far I have tried to set out some of the basic stages of the argument, at least as it appears in the work of Paley and Hume. What I want to do now is to carry the analysis a little further, by asking how the design argument should be characterised. (3) (a) I can begin by quickly mentioning some informal characteristics of the argument - the ones which strike us first, and perhaps linger longest in the mind. What I have in mind is the argument's ‘user-friendly’ character, which I mentioned at the beginning of this paper. It is easy to get the hang of the design argument, even if we don't understand its inner workings particularly well - and we can't say that of all the classic theistic proofs. The argument presents itself as vivid, accessible, and ‘common-sensical’, with its feet firmly on the ground. It makes use of things with which we are familiar in daily life - clocks and houses, plants and animals - and is flexible enough to range from gastropods to galaxies in 3 its tireless accumulation of examples of purported divine design. It can capitalise on moods as distinct as scientific curiosity and religious awe, reserving its suspicion for philosophical abstraction, which it seeks to replace by a no-nonsense appeal to our everyday experience of the human and natural world. Is it any wonder that its persuasive power outstrips (as we shall see) its logical force? Even the great German philosopher Immanuel Kant (1724-1804), who punctured the pretensions of the ontological and cosmological arguments, and who seemed set to deal the design argument a devastating blow, went out of his way to cushion his criticisms of it: This proof always deserves to be mentioned with respect. It is the oldest, the clearest, and the most accordant with the common reason of mankind. He is not alone in having a soft spot for an argument he nevertheless believes to be false. As arguments go - not least theistic arguments - this one is downright amiable. (b) It is time to turn to some formal characteristics of the argument. Setting these out will help us to see rather more clearly what the argument is, and is not. First, the design argument is an a posteriori argument, not an a priori one. We shouldn't let the Latin tag dazzle us, since the distinction being made here is quite straightforward. In the case of propositions, one that is a priori (`from what comes before') can be known to be true or false without reference to experience. One that is a posteriori (`from what comes after') can only be known to be true or false by reference to experience, to how things actually are in the world. Take an example: `All bachelors are unmarried'. We don't need to conduct a survey to find out if this is true - we can see it is true because of the meaning of the words themselves. It is therefore true a priori (just as `No bachelors are unmarried is false a priori). But if I say, instead, `all Norwegians are unmarried', the truth or falsity of the proposition depends upon an actual state of affairs. You must know something about the relevant facts to be able to judge the truth or falsity of an a posteriori proposition. In the case of arguments, the a priori ones are staking claims on the back of the corresponding propositions. This is what the ontological argument does, in attempting to deduce the existence of God from the concept of God alone. The design argument is an a posteriori argument, because it relies upon things being a certain way not just in the order of concepts but in the order of reality too. (It is a relatively rich a posteriori argument, it might be added in typically appealing to a lot of facts, often highly specific ones; the cosmological argument, by contrast really depends upon one fact, a highly general one at that: the shear existence of the universe.) This characteristic, then, is the logical foundation upon which is built that sense of the design argument as being `down to earth', `factual', `scientific', and so forth. Second, the design argument is an inductive argument. This isn't quite so obvious as the formal characteristic I have just noted, and so my claim needs to be developed a little. Again, let us consider the alternative, by asking what the design argument would look like if it were a deductive argument instead. Deductive arguments are particularly strong ones, since their conclusions follow `automatically' from their premises. So, for instance, if we have two premises: (a) `Socrates is a man' (b) `All men are mortal' Then the conclusion (c), `Socrates is mortal', is just as sound as the premises, which in this case are certain. To deny the conclusion would be to deny the premises; alternatively, the premises can be said to `contain' the conclusion, which we simply have to `bring out'. Not surprisingly, then, many arguments would like to join the deductive club, because deduction 4 provides such a `strong' logical connection between premises and conclusions. But look what happens if we state the design argument in a would-be deductive form: (a) `Nature is full of designed things' (b) `Designed things are attributable to designers' (c) `Therefore, nature is attributable to a designer' There is more than one logical sleight-of-hand here, but what really matters is that the conclusion can be no better than the weakest premise. This premise is the first one, which asserts something which the design argument is, in fact, obliged to prove. I could tighten up the argument above in order to remove some mismatches (between things in nature and nature as a whole, between designers and a designer), but I couldn't eliminate the unacceptable premise. At best I could put the weak link elsewhere: (a) `Nature is full of orderly structures' (b) `Orderly structures are products of intelligence' (c) `Therefore, nature is the product of intelligence' Now it is the second premise which assumes what has to be proved. Again, the conclusion is unproven because a key premise is uproven. There is no alternative, then, but to reconstruct the design argument in inductive terms. In induction, we move from premises about some things of a certain kind to conclusions about other or all things of that kind: we could argue, for instance, that `All swans are white', on the basis of those swans that we know about. If not as `strong' as deduction, induction can still be very secure in certain cases. Consider how this affects the design argument. The `weak premise' identified above needs to be defended, because the whole argument rests upon it. But it can only be defended inductively: (a) `Some orderly structures are products of intelligence' (b) `Therefore [it is reasonable to believe that] all orderly structures are products of intelligence.' Well, perhaps. There are, of course, ways in which the inference from `some' to `all' here can be frustrated. But at least we can see that inductive reasoning will have to have a place in the design argument, and that it is deceptive to dress up the argument as a deductive proof relying upon self-evidently true premises. (Moreover, the distinction being made here will become clearer when we consider the next formal characteristic of the argument.) Third, the design argument is analogical. Following the pattern I used with regard to the previous two characteristics, let us first try to imagine what a non-analogical inductive design argument would look like: (a) `Most [or all] other universes are known to be the product of intelligent design' (b) `Therefore, this particular universe is probably the product of intelligent design' The problem with this, obviously, is that universes don't come in batches. The very concept of the universe puts it in a class of one, and this means that we cannot argue straightforwardly (i.e. non-analogically) from some members of the class of universes to another member. The kind of argument outlined above works well enough for machines, say, but cannot work for universes. But my mention of machines should remind you of the way in which the design argument actually operates. It starts with things held to be analogous to the universe (or parts of it), such as machines, and argues that the cause of apparently `designed' properties in the universe must therefore be analogous to the known cause of undoubtedly designed properties in machines. Put simply, the world is similar to a watch, so the worldmaker must be similar to a watchmaker - making the necessary adjustments for the scale of the handiwork, of course. 5 You should now think back to the quotations from Paley and from Hume's Cleanthes, and consider the way in which they manifest this analogical character of the design argument. You should also note that analogical reasoning is weaker than straightforward inductive reasoning: it forces us to deal with two classes of things rather than one, and it is perfectly possible to make the wrong comparison between the classes at the outset. But analogical reasoning certainly isn't valueless. (Hume, interestingly, goes too far at this point: he suggests we cannot form rational hypotheses about the cause of this universe because we don't have any experience of other universes to give us something to go on. Well, if we had the relevant experience, we wouldn't need to argue analogically in the first place, would we? We could argue directly from items in the same class. Moreover, if Hume was right we couldn't trust any analogical arguments, or say anything sensible about apparently `one-off' phenomena either. Think what this would mean for theories about the Big Bang, or the evolution of life. So, Hume's reminder about the `singularity' of the universe is important, naturally, and can stop us from falling into some kinds of logical nonsense. But it does not, in itself, mean the end of the road for the design argument, which is an analogical argument precisely because of the otherwise insuperable problem of the singularity of the universe.) ************************* In the next issue of Dialogue I shall investigate whether the logical structure of the design argument - as set out here - helps it stand up against the attacks of its critics, or whether it is the logic in particular which is its problem. I shall also ask if the design argument has anything left to say to us if it cannot prove to us what it sets out to prove. In the meantime, you could conduct your own analysis of the argument, and develop your own ideas concerning its philosophical persuasiveness and religious value, for example. Here are some ideas for further reading: Most of the modern introductions to the philosophy of religion have useful sections on the argument. e.g.: H.D. Lewis, Philosophy of Religion (1965) T. McPherson, The Philosophy of Religion (1965) J. Hick, Philosophy of Religion (2nd ed., 1973) B. Davies, An Introduction to the Philosophy of Religion (1982) J.C.A. Gaskin, The Quest for Eternity (1984) C.S. Evans, Philosophy of Religion (1985) There are many other introductions like these, so my list - of believers and atheists, Catholics and Protestants, conservatives and liberals - is merely a starting-point. Paley's Natural Theology turns up in a variety of old editions; some libraries have a handy abridgement, edited by Frederick Ferr (1962). The secondary sources tend to quote most of the important parts anyway. Hume's Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion can be found in many modern editions, the `standard' one being that of Norman Kemp Smith (1935/47). Stanley Tweyman's Routledge paperback edition (1991) contains lots of good critical material; Martin Bell's Penguin paperback (1990) is slim, cheap, and worth buying. Although it is quoted at length in the secondary sources there is much to be said for reading the original, especially for Hume's wit. 6