Lesson Title: Tree Diagrams Creator: Marlene Addair Grade Level: 4/5 Big Idea: Probability Essential Question: How can I determine the number of combinations possible to solve a problem? CSOs, LS, TT: Math CSOs: M.O.5.5.1 Students will construct a sample space and make a hypothesis as to the probability of a real life situation overtime, test the prediction with experimentation, and present conclusions (with and without technology). M.O. 4.5.3 Students will design and conduct a simple probability experiment using concrete objects, examine and list all possible combinations using a tree diagram, represent the outcomes as a ratio and present the results. Learning Skills: 21C.O.5-8.2.LS.1 Student engages in a critical thinking process that supports synthesis and conducts evaluations by applying comprehensive criteria 21C.O.5-8.2.LS.2 Student draws conclusions from a variety of data sources to analyze and interpret systems 21C.O.5-8.2.LS.3 Student engages in a problem solving process that divides complex problems into simple parts in order to devise solutions 21C.O.4.2.LS.3 Student engages in a problem solving process that promotes questioning, planning investigations and finding answers and solutions. Technology Tools: 21C.O.5.8.3.TT.6 Student applies productivity/ multimedia tools and peripherals to support personal productivity, group collaboration, self-directed learning, lifelong learning, and assistance for individuals with disabilities including supplemental assistive technology tools Launch/Introduction (suggested time 25 minutes) Activating Prior Knowledge: You have been hired to run a Smoothy Shop during your summer vacation. The Smoothy Shop sells drinks in three different sizes: small, medium and large. The flavors are: strawberry, banana, orange, and lemon-lime. Show all the possible combinations for the drinks. (Students work individually to come up with combinations). They can then volunteer to go to the board and explain their methods. (example: make a chart, list, table or tree diagram) . Teacher Note: These students have been previously introduced to using tree diagrams to show combinations. This could be done as a teacher-led activity if students are not familiar with this. Specialized Vocabulary Development: Probability, equally likely, unlikely, 50-50 chance, impossible, combinations, tree diagrams Discuss vocabulary words and place each word on a word wall for further reference. Whole Group: Remind students of the Essential Question they will try to answer: How can I determine the number of combinations possible to solve a problem? A stadium has three gates on the West side—A, B, and C. It has four gates on the East side—W, X, Y, and Z. Tell students that people can enter the stadium through any of the three West gates. They can exit the stadium through any of the four East gates. To support students who do not speak English as their first language, draw a sketch of the stadium on the board or overhead. Pose the problem: How many different ways can a person enter and leave the stadium? Look for patterns as you work through these problems. Suggest that one way to keep track of the ways is with a rectangular array in which each row represents an entry gate, and each column represents an exit gate. Each cell in the array contains an ordered pair of letters. The first letter names the entry gate; the second letter names the exit gate. A completed array is shown below: Exit Gate (East) Entry Gate (West) W X Y Z A (A,W) (A,X) (A,Y) (A,Z) B (B,W) (B,X) (B,Y) (B,Z) C (C,W) (C,X) (C,Y) (C,Z) Point out that the array has 3 rows and 4 columns, so there are 3 *4 = 12 ordered pairs in the table. There are 12 ways of entering through a West gate and exiting through an East gate. Show students the Multiplication Counting Principle on the overhead or ELMO. Use the following problem: A school cafeteria offers these choices for lunch: Main Course: chili or hamburger, Drink: milk or juice, Dessert: apple or cake How many different ways can a student choose one main course, one drink, and one dessert: Use the Multiplication Counting Principle. 2 * 2 * 2 = 8 Then draw a tree diagram to show all possible ways to select foods for lunch. Main Course Chili Hamburger Drink milk Dessert apple juice cake apple milk cake apple cake juice apple cake Conclude by asking if all eight possible food choices are equally likely. Ask students to discuss with a partner and report out why or why not the choices are equally likely and be able to explain their answers. (Example: No they are not equally likely because the foods are probably not equally popular. If cake is more popular than an apple, lunches that include cake will be selected more often than lunches that include an apple.) Investigate/Explore (suggested time varies from 30-40 minutes): Students now work in groups of four or five to complete combination problems. Heterogeneous groups are established using benchmark scores. Give each group a different problem from below. There may be more than one group with the same problem depending on class size. 1. Sam has 3 clean shirts (red, blue, and yellow) and 2 clean pairs of pants (tan and black). He grabs a shirt and a pair of pants without looking. Make a tree diagram to show all possible ways that Sam can grab a shirt and a pair of pants. List all possible combinations of shirts and pants. Also tell if the combinations are equally likely. 2. Mr. Jackson travels to and from work by train. Trains to work leave at 6:00, 7:00, 8:00, and 9:00 a.m. Trains from work leave at 3:00, 4:00, and 5:00 p.m. Mr. Jackson is equally likely to select any 1 of the 4 morning trains to go to work. He is equally likely to select any of the 3 afternoon trains to go home from work. Make a tree diagram to show how many different ways Mr. Jackson can take trains to and from work. 3. The ice cream shop has 3 flavors of ice cream and 5 different toppings. How would you use the Multiplication Counting Principle to calculate the total number of combinations of choosing a flavor of ice cream and a topping? Draw a tree diagram to show the possible combinations. 4. There are 4 number cards—1 each of the numbers 1, 2, 3, and 4. If you mix the cards, draw one card without looking, replace the card you drew, mix the cards, and draw one card again, how many possible combinations are there? Use a tree diagram and the Multiplication Counting Principle to help solve the problem. Summarize/Debrief the Lesson (suggested time varies from 30-40 minutes) Each group reports their results and their process they used to get the answers. They use the ELMO to show their tree diagrams to the entire class. Conclude with a return to the essential question – How can I determine the number of combinations possible to solve a problem? Students should be able to give several answers. Discuss the advantages of each method and how you can be sure that all combinations have been found. Reflections: Ticket Out the Door: Students use exit slips to explain in words how they can determine all the possible combinations to solve problems. Extension: Students may get on website below for practice with tree diagrams. http://www.studyzone.org/mtestprep/math8/e/treediagram6p.cfm http://www.pbskids.org/cyberchase/games/combinations/combinations.html Materials: ELMO, Computers Duration: 90 minutes