ETS Operational Policy – Landfill Exemptions FINAL REPORT 15 February 2016 ETS OPERATIONAL POLICY – LANDFILL EXEMPTIONS FINAL REPORT – PREPARED FOR THE MINISTRY FOR THE ENVIRONMENT Author: Sam Bridgman and Tim Hewitt Project manager: Bruce Clarke 15 February 2016 Published in May 2012 by the Ministry for the Environment Publication No: CR 123 Sinclair Knight Merz Level 3, 86 Customhouse Quay, PO Box 10-283 Wellington, New Zealand Tel: +64 4 473 4265 Fax: +64 4 473 3369 Web: www.skmconsulting.com COPYRIGHT: The concepts and information contained in this document are the property of Sinclair Knight Merz Limited. Use or copying of this document in whole or in part without the written permission of Sinclair Knight Merz constitutes an infringement of copyright. LIMITATION: This report has been prepared on behalf of and for the exclusive use of Sinclair Knight Merz Limited’s Client, and is subject to and issued in connection with the provisions of the agreement between Sinclair Knight Merz and its Client. Sinclair Knight Merz accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for or in respect of any use of or reliance upon this report by any third party. The SKM logo trade mark is a registered trade mark of Sinclair Knight Merz Pty Ltd. SKM ETS Landfill exemption study Contents 1. Introduction 1 2. Landfill case study selection 4 3. Case studies 6 3.1. Victoria Flats Landfill 7 3.1.1. 3.1.2. 3.1.3. 3.1.4. Cost impact of the ETS What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Conclusion and recommendation 7 8 9 10 3.2. Pongaroa Landfill 10 3.2.1. 3.2.2. 3.2.3. 3.2.4. Cost impact of ETS What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Conclusion and recommendation 11 11 12 13 3.3. Russell Landfill 13 3.3.1. 3.3.2. 3.3.3. 3.3.4. Cost impact of ETS What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Conclusion and recommendation 14 14 15 15 3.4. Waiapu Landfill 16 3.4.1. 3.4.2. 3.4.3. 3.4.4. Cost impact of ETS What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Conclusion and recommendation 17 17 18 19 4. 5. Exemption criteria 20 4.1. 4.2. 4.3. 4.4. 20 21 22 23 Annual placement rate Transport distance to nearest modern landfill Deprivation Index Recommendations Conclusion 24 SINCLAIR KNIGHT MERZ PAGE i SKM ETS Landfill exemption study SINCLAIR KNIGHT MERZ D:\533562232.doc PAGE ii SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 1. Introduction The Ministry for the Environment (MfE) has engaged Sinclair Knight Merz Limited (SKM) to provide advice on the implementation of the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) to the waste sector. Specifically: whether the cost that the ETS will impose on landfills will result in negative environmental or social outcomes that could outweigh the benefits for particular communities and therefore exemptions are needed if there are any criteria that could be used to define those communities where exemptions are needed. To complete this analysis SKM was asked to identify and agree on four landfills to use as case studies. The case studies identify (and quantify where possible) issues that affect the landfills, including the following: ability to pass costs on to people generating waste for disposal, and where the cost falls, if this is not possible the level and impacts of compliance costs including administration and reporting on emissions the viability and costs of transport and/or alternative disposal if the landfill is closed. For each landfill studied a discussion is provided that draws together the findings and provides recommendation on the case for an ETS exemption. If ETS exemptions are recommended for any of the landfill operators that are studied, then common elements between those landfills are identified to use as possible exemption criteria to be applied to landfill operations across all New Zealand. Costs and benefits It is acknowledged that comparing the costs and benefits is not straightforward. In the case of the ETS there is a national and global environmental effect that is being mitigated (benefit) but the costs of doing this are currently to be incurred locally. The benefit of the ETS is that it helps ensure an externality (GHG) is accounted for in a financial, market-based system. The cost to purchase offsets (New Zealand Units (NZUs)) should encourage Disposal Facility Operators (DFOs) to find the lowest cost abatement option. This could be through one, or a combination of, the following actions: SINCLAIR KNIGHT MERZ PAGE 1 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 1) implementing LFG capture systems1 and/or 2) applying for an Unique Emissions Factor (UEF) based on waste composition (reducing material with Degradable Organic Content (DOC) entering the landfill) and/or 3) reducing the waste sent to landfill and/or 4) purchasing New Zealand Units. The scale and nature of a landfills operation may mean some of the options above are not feasible. This is discussed for each case study. The (negative) costs of the ETS include the time and resource (funds) required by councils to administer the ETS requirements and source and purchase appropriate NZUs, as well as the effect on local communities and how they may or may not adapt to the implementation of the ETS in nonfinancial terms (environmental and social factors). If a landfill was exempt, the cost of the GHG emission would still need to be accounted at a national level for as long as an international climate change agreement remains in place. Rather than the local community shouldering the costs, central government would need to purchase the necessary offsets. This would not necessarily be the lowest economic cost option for reducing or mitigating GHG emissions from the exempt landfills at a national level. This report provides generally qualitative commentary on the costs and benefits, rather than presenting a formal weighted or financial net cost of the ETS on small landfills. Such an exercise would rely on significant subjectivity and assumptions and could therefore be misleading. However, based on the costs and benefits identified, the report provides a broad indication of whether the costs may potentially outweigh the benefits. Format of report This report firstly outlines the screening criteria used for the selection of landfills to be case studies, then presents the case studies, with identified costs and benefits, and finally discusses possible exemption criteria. 1 The amount of gas that can be recovered through an LFG capture system depends on many variables including the landfill’s age, depth, surface area, lining and capping materials and waste composition. The capital and operational costs of LFG systems and potential uncertainties in gas capture volumes means it is generally uneconomic for LFG systems to be implemented on small or medium landfills. PAGE 2 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study SKM would like to acknowledge the assistance given by Stu Clark (New Zealand Environmental Technologies), Stefan Boroway (Queenstown Lakes District Council), Tracey Nikora (Tararua District Council), Bruce Hows (Far North District Council) and Dwayne Pomana (Gisborne District Council) with the landfill case studies. PAGE 3 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 2. Landfill case study selection Four landfills were selected as case studies. These four landfills were identified by a process of screening landfills from the 138 New Zealand landfills that SKM is aware of. Firstly, all closed landfills were excluded. Then landfills that have, or are planning to implement, landfill gas (LFG) collection systems were excluded as the implementation of the ETS is unlikely to cause significant costs to the landfill compared with those that are unable or unwilling to implement the systems. The remaining landfills were screened against five further aspects in order to select four landfills that represent a mix of situations. These aspects were: ownership - private or public ownership. If a landfill is owned by a local authority they are more likely to influence/engage with the community waste generators and run the landfill as part of an overall waste strategy. A privately run landfill is more likely to be solely focussed on landfill operations geographic isolation - if a landfill is near other landfills the effect of price increases as a result of the ETS may be different than those in remote areas and ETS exemption could cause waste flight. Landfills were classified as rural, semi-rural or municipal placement rate - the rate at which waste is placed at the landfill varies and is not always related to the size and capacity of the landfill. It is important to have a mix of placement rates landfill life expectancy - the life expectancy of the landfill is important. Landfills that are likely to close in the next five years could be affected by the implementation of the ETS in different ways compared with those open for 10 years or longer regional Deprivation Index - some communities will have less ability to absorb any costs associated with the ETS, the extent of which will depend on the community’s ability to pay. The Deprivation Index is a useful and objective metric that represents the average relative socioeconomic deprivation of an area. The index is compiled by the Ministry of Health from census data, with the most recent index being compiled in 2007 based on the 2006 census. The index is presented in quintiles (ie, 1–5) and deciles (ie, 1–10), where 1 is the least deprived quintile or decile, 5 is the most deprived quintile, and 10 is the most deprived decile. For simplicity, the quintile index is referred to in this report. PAGE 4 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study Using the information gained, the Victoria Flats, Pongaroa, Russell and Waiapu landfills were selected, and agreed with the Ministry, for use as case studies. The details of these landfills are provided in Table 1. Table 1 Case studies Victoria Flats Landfill 2 3 4 Pongaroa Landfill Russell Landfill Waiapu Landfill Location Victoria Flats, Queenstown Lakes District Pongaroa, Tararua District Russell, Bay of Islands Ruatoria, East Cape Ownership Private/Public – Scope Resources under a BOOT contract with Queenstown Lakes and Central Otago District Councils Public – Tararua District Council Public – Far North District Council Public – Gisborne District Council Transport Distance to Modern2 Landfills 150–200 km (AB Lime Landfill or Green Island Landfill) 130 km (Bonny Glenn Landfill) 50–100 km (Whangarei Landfill) Over 200 km (Wairoa Landfill) and over 400km (Paeroa Landfill) Estimated Closing Date 2071 2021 20233 2025 Approximate Placement Rate (current annual tonnes) 35,500 Less than 500 500 1,000 Deprivation Index (1 = least deprived, 5 = most deprived)4 1 2 3 4–5 In the report a ‘modern’ landfill is considered to be a landfill with a ‘Class A’ rating with landfill gas capture infrastructure. The Far North District Council has indicated it may close the Russell Landfill at the end of 2012 due to the implementation of the ETS. Atlas of Socioeconomic Deprivation in New Zealand NZDep2006 accessed at http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/dhb-maps-and-background-information-atlas-ofsocioeconomic-deprivation-in-nz-nzdep2006. PAGE 5 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 3. Case studies The location of the four case studies is shown in Figure 1 below. Figure 1 Case study landfill locations PAGE 6 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 3.1. Victoria Flats Landfill Victoria Flats Landfill is located 17 km from Frankton on the East Side of State Highway 6 between the Victoria Bridge and the Nevis Bluff. Scope Resources Limited is contracted to run the landfill on behalf of the Queenstown Lakes and Central Otago Districts on a Build, Own, Operate, Transfer (BOOT) contract by Scope Resources. The Class B landfill, which was issued consent in 1998, has capacity for 3,000,000 tonnes of material. It is lined with a geomembrane liner over clay and leachate is drained to a pond. Approximately 35,000 tonnes of waste per annum is placed at the landfill and this is rising. The landfill services Queenstown Lakes and Central Otago catchments (domestic collection as well as commercial users), which have a community deprivation index ranking of 1 (lowest deprivation) 5. There is no public access to the landfill but the public can drop off waste at a Queenstown Lakes District Council (QLDC) transfer station for $182.50 per tonne ($39 of this is a levy placed by the QLDC to help fund waste minimisation initiatives). As part of the waste infrastructure QLDC provides recycling centres, greenwaste drop-off areas and cleanfills. The nearest landfill is AB Lime landfill in Southland which is approximately 175 km away. 3.1.1. Cost impact of the ETS Based on an annual placement of 35,000 tonnes and using the default Emissions Factor (EF),6 total annual ETS liability is likely to be 38,500 tCO2e. Based on a price of $25/tonne7 this would add $962,000 to the landfill’s costs. Scope Resources also charges a 12% administration fee which is based on gate fees. This covers a number of costs such as the administration of the waste levy. As it is based on gate fees this would also increase costs to users. If ETS costs and the administration fee were passed directly to public users the price per tonne of waste would rise approximately 15% from $182.50 to $210.50.8 The 12% fee may increase with the administration time required by the ETS (logging tonnages, identifying and purchasing NZUs etc), however no indication of this has been provided and it could be covered by the increase in the absolute value of the administration fee (ie, 12% of $25 per tonne). 5 6 7 8 Atlas of Socioeconomic Deprivation in New Zealand NZDep2006 accessed at http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/dhb-maps-and-background-information-atlas-of-socioeconomicdeprivation-in-nz-nzdep2006 1.1 t CO2e per tonne of waste. $25 per tonne is an estimate commonly used by the New Zealand Government for the short-medium term international carbon price. Assumes price per tonne was $162.9 + 12% Scope Resources fee (total $182.5) and new price per tonne would be $187.9 + 12 % Scope Resources fee (total $210.5). PAGE 7 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 3.1.2. What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? As discussed in Section 1, under the ETS a DFO has four options to find the lowest cost abatement option, each of which has financial implications that must be balanced with potential savings. These actions are: 1) implementing LFG capture systems and/or 2) applying for an Unique Emissions Factor (UEF) based on waste composition (reducing material with Degradable Organic Content (DOC) entering the landfill) and/or 3) reducing the waste sent to landfill and/or 4) purchasing New Zealand Units. Under the National Environmental Standards (NES) for Air Quality9 a landfill that has over 200,000 tonnes of waste and with capacity for over a 1,000,000 tonnes of waste must implement LFG systems. Victoria Flats Landfill falls into this category but has not yet installed an LFG collection system. Implementing an LFG system with 50% collection efficiency would reduce the landfill’s ETS costs by approximately $481,000 (half of the $962,000) per annum. There are doubts whether it is realistic to achieve this efficiency in the short term.10 Given this uncertainty and the estimated cost of implementing and running an LFG capture system (which could require over $1 millon in capital and over $200,000 for annual operating expenditure), this is unlikely to go ahead for at least five years although enforcement of the NES may bring this forward. The landfill operator may wish to apply for a UEF if it was considered that this would result in a lower waste tonne to GHG conversion factor. Efforts are already being made to reduce degradable waste entering the landfill. Applying for a UEF would require appropriate SWAP audits, and quotes supplied so far are close to $140,000 for the two required audits. This would only be viable if the landfill operator believes the UEF approved may be less than the default emissions factor value of 1.1. For instance a UEF of 0.9 tCO2e or less would have a payback period of 1–2 years. (A UEF of 0.9 tCO2e would result in an ETS cost of $787,500. This is $174,500 less than using the default EF). 9 10 Ministry for the Environment. 2011. 2011 Users’ Guide to the revised National Environmental Standards for Air Quality. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment. This is not a true representation of collection efficiency because the ETS calculation is of methane generated over the lifetime of the waste placed in a year, rather than the methane generated in a single year from all accumulated waste. Early in the life of the landfill, the actual annual methane generation will be lower than that covered by the ETS because of the time lag (ie, methane generation takes longer than one year). In the case of Victoria Flats the landfill operator also believes that methane gas generation is low due to the relatively new age of the landfill and the dry local climate. PAGE 8 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study The costs from the operation of the landfill would be passed directly back to the users ie, QLDC and commercial operators. QLDC has indicated it would in turn pass the costs to residents (as QLDC runs a user pays system) and businesses. Therefore, cost increases would not necessarily pull funding out of other QLDC spending areas, particularly given the community is considered to have a low level of deprivation – although there will be extremes of wealth within the community so some people will be relatively worse off. Such a sudden increase in landfill fees may have several benefits including improving the financial business case for alternative disposal methods (eg, composting facilities), improving recycling rates and causing residents to think more strongly about waste minimisation and use of alternatives to disposal. The last time there was an increase in waste fees in the district, QLDC noted a slight increase in fly-tipping and a reduction in waste to landfill (as residents looked at alternatives). The relative ability to pay by a community with a high socio-economic status may mean that increased prices in these areas are less likely to increase fly-tipping than in other areas. However, there is little robust empirical evidence about the price sensitivity of fly-tipping11 and the increase in waste fees occurred at the same time the recession hit so it has been difficult to draw direct relationships. Also, anecdotal evidence in New Zealand suggests the price response is mostly a short-term phenomenon. There may be some waste flight (from the district) to AB Lime Landfill which will likely have a lower gate fee due to the use of the LFG capture system. However, the extent of this is difficult to gauge as it would depend on what commercial terms could be achieved for any waste transporter. The cost of transporting waste the 175 km is likely to be in the range of $30–$50 per tonne. 3.1.3. What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Should the landfill be exempt it is likely the priority QLDC gives waste minimisation would remain similar and resources would still be directed towards reducing waste to landfill in order to minimise costs and extend the life of the landfill. Although it is unlikely any waste flight (to the district) would occur given the distance to the nearest landfill and the similarity of gate fees, this cannot be ruled out as commercial arrangements may be reached that make this option economic. 11 Economic Instruments for Waste Management, prepared for the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment by Covec, 2005. PAGE 9 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 3.1.4. Conclusion and recommendation Based on the above, the DFO has the full range of mitigation options available as the scale of the landfill makes LFG capture systems and UEF SWAP audits potentially financially viable. If an ETS was implemented the council has also indicated it would likely keep the landfill open. Overall, the costs of implementing the scheme will be borne by the waste generators (residents and business). The Deprivation Index for the region was ‘least deprived’, which may generally indicate the local community has more ability to absorb the price rises, although the Deprivation Index is an average so does not account for inequality within an area. Based on previous experience when waste disposal prices increased, QLDC noted some positive change in waste minimisation behaviour although there were other influencing factors such as the start of a recessionary period. As time goes on, LFG capture and other technologies to minimise GHG emissions may be incentivised as the payback period is shorter due to the increase in landfill prices as a result of the ETS charges, waste levy fee etc. Based on the above, the benefits of the ETS are likely to outweigh the costs for Victoria Flats landfill and an exemption is not warranted. 3.2. Pongaroa Landfill Pongaroa Landfill is located in Urupa Street, Pongaroa, in the Eastern part of the Tararua District. The landfill is owned and run by the Tararua District Council (TDC) and is open three days a week (Saturday, Sunday and Monday). It is used by the rural Pongaroa community which has a community Deprivation Index ranking of 2–3 (medium deprivation).12 There is a transfer station on site where users can deposit recyclables and green waste, all of which are taken to Eketahuna for recycling (or mulching). Very little green waste is collected which is most likely a reflection of the community demographic. For example, there are relatively few sources of food waste due to the lack of restaurants and cafes and rural households are likely to use compost heaps or feed pigs, chickens, etc. Less than 500 tonnes of waste a year are reported to be placed in the landfill. 12 Atlas of Socioeconomic Deprivation in New Zealand NZDep2006 accessed at http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/dhb-maps-and-background-information-atlas-of-socioeconomicdeprivation-in-nz-nzdep2006 PAGE 10 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study It is a Class B landfill with a clay liner. Leachate is collected and recirculated. Current gate fees are $36/m3 ($180 tonne13). The nearest landfill is the TDC-run Eketahuna Landfill approximately 70 km away where gate fees are the same and there is no LFG collection system. 3.2.1. Cost impact of ETS Based on an annual placement of 500 tonnes and using the NZ default Emissions Factor (EF) for waste to landfill,14 total GHG emissions to be estimated for the purposes of the ETS are 550 tCO2e. Based on a price of $25/tonne this would add $13,750 to the landfill’s costs. The TDC does not expect ETS administration costs to be significant given reporting on a per tonne basis is already required for the waste levy. The council has indicated it is unlikely all the costs would be passed directly to users, although no official position has been adopted. If the cost was passed directly to users then gate fees would rise 14% to $41/m3 ($208 per tonne of waste). The council may also incur further costs as it seeks advice on administering the ETS and securing and purchasing NZUs. However the council was not able to provide much information on the scale of the ETS costs nor how they were to be managed. There will likely be staff time and transactional costs to secure and surrender emissions units. The council will look to learn from other councils in similar positions. 3.2.2. What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? As discussed in Section 1, under the ETS a DFO has four options to find the lowest cost abatement option, each of which has financial implications that must be balanced with potential savings. These actions are: 1) implementing LFG capture systems and/or 2) applying for an Unique Emissions Factor (UEF) based on waste composition (reducing material with Degradable Organic Content (DOC) entering the landfill) and/or 3) reducing the waste sent to landfill and/or 4) purchasing New Zealand Units. Due to the capital and operational costs and the potential uncertainties in gas capture volumes, the TDC is not considering implementing LFG capture systems. 13 14 Conversion based on uncompacted waste – 200kg/cubic metre sourced from Ministry for the Environment. 2009. Calculation and Payment of the Waste Disposal Levy: Guidance for waste disposal facility operators. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment. 1.1 tCO2e per tonne of waste PAGE 11 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study The TDC may wish to apply for a UEF if it was considered this would result in a lower emissions factor. Green waste is already diverted from the landfill and one option may be for the council to further increase efforts to reduce degradable material entering the landfill thereby helping reduce any potential UEF. Initial quotes provided to TDC indicate the price of SWAP audits required for a UEF would be in excess of the annual increase from ETS costs – making this option uneconomic as a short payback but possible if costs are considered over a longer period. Should the ETS be implemented the TDC believes it will have little ability to reduce the ETS liability other than by continuing its efforts to reduce total waste entering the landfill and that costs incurred may be passed to the users through increases in user charges. When waste disposal prices have increased in the past, the TDC noted increases in fly-tipping (worse for the first six months and then reducing) and rubbish being burnt on private land. Fly-tipping already costs the council $20,000–$30,000 per annum and the TDC expects this amount may double as a result of any increase in waste fees. The relative inability to pay by a community with a low socio-economic status may mean increased prices in these areas are more likely to increase fly-tipping than in other areas. However, there is little robust empirical evidence about the price sensitivity of fly-tipping,15 although anecdotal evidence in New Zealand suggests the price response is mostly a short-term phenomenon. However, the TDC has also noted waste disposal price increases have also resulted in an increase in recycling levels, more awareness of waste minimisation in the community and an uptake of council waste minimisation educational material. Implementation of the ETS is unlikely to lead to the TDC closing the landfill given the distance to the nearest modern landfill with LFG capture facilities (Bonny Glen Landfill 130 km away) although this option may be cost effective if a suitable transport price can be reached. Regardless, the transfer station would still need to be operated in order to deliver effective service to the surrounding community. 3.2.3. What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Should the landfill be exempt the TDC is unlikely to lower prioritisation of waste minimisation. If Pongaroa Landfill was exempt while Eketahuna was not, the TDC does not think there would be any waste flight given the transport distances involved. 15 Economic Instruments for Waste Management, prepared for the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment by Covec, 2005. PAGE 12 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 3.2.4. Conclusion and recommendation Based on the above, the council has limited mitigation options due to the small annual placement rate of the landfill (reducing the cost-effectiveness of LFG capture systems and UEF application). If an ETS was implemented the council has also indicated it would likely keep the landfill open. Therefore, the only feasible option is to meet the full cost of the ETS by purchasing NZUs, AAUs or CERs. This limits the ability of the DFO to control the cost of the ETS to users as there is only one abatement option available to it. ETS coverage of the Pongaroa Landfill may increase negative environmental outcomes such as flytipping and rubbish burning on private land if the cost is added to landfill gate fees (as noted the council has observed a correlation between price increases and fly-tipping in the past). However, the long-term sensitivity to price of these activities is likely to be quite inelastic. In addition, rubbish burning on private land is legal in some circumstances, in which cases it is a legitimate form of emission abatement. The Deprivation Index for the region was ‘low deprivation’, which may generally indicate the local community has some ability to absorb the price rises, although the Deprivation Index is an average so does not account for inequality within an area. Issuing an exemption could avoid environmental damage from increased fly-tipping and illegal backyard disposal and the costs of monitoring those activities by the TDC. It would mean, however, that an environmental externality (GHG) remains unaccounted for and a further incentive (price) to encourage behaviour change towards waste minimisation would not be used. Based on the comments above Pongaroa Landfill should not be considered for an exemption. 3.3. Russell Landfill Russell Landfill is situated near Russell in the Bay of Islands, Northland. The landfill is owned by the Far North District Council (FNDC) and the day-to-day management is conducted by Transfield Services. The landfill services the Russell community with a population of 816 people although this increases dramatically in the summer tourist season. The local region has a Deprivation Index of 3 (medium deprivation).16 The site contains a transfer station where users can deposit recyclables and green waste, all of which are diverted from the landfill. It has a total capacity for 27,000 tonnes of waste and currently around 500 tonnes are placed in the landfill per annum. It is funded through a mix of user pays and 16 Atlas of Socioeconomic Deprivation in New Zealand NZDep2006 accessed at http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/dhb-maps-and-background-information-atlas-of-socioeconomicdeprivation-in-nz-nzdep2006 PAGE 13 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study general rates. Users pay $3 per bag or $41per m3, while the running cost of the landfill is close to $150/tonne (excluding transfer station, recycling costs etc). It is a Class B landfill situated in a sloping gully with a clay liner. Leachate is drained and sent to the Russell Wastewater Treatment Plant. The nearest landfill is at Whangarei (85 km) away where LFG capture systems are planned to be implemented. Gate fees at Whangarei are not publicly listed. 3.3.1. Cost impact of ETS Based on an annual placement of 500 tonnes and using the default EF,17 total annual GHG emissions are likely to be 550 tCO2e. Based on a price of $25 per tCO2e this would add $13,750 to the landfill’s costs. The FNDC does not expect ETS administration costs to be significant given reporting on a per tonne basis is already required for the waste levy. Therefore, total cost to the council would rise approximately 17% (assuming current operating cost to council is $150 per tonne). If the 17% increase was passed to users then fees would rise from $3 per bag to $3.50 per bag and from $41/m3 to $48/m3. The council may also incur further costs as it seeks advice on administering the ETS and securing and purchasing NZUs, but some staff are currently working on this issue as part of a broader inhouse work programme. However, the council was unable to provide much information on the scale of the ETS costs nor how they were to be managed. There will likely be staff time and transactional costs to secure and surrender emissions units. 3.3.2. What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? As discussed in Section 1, under the ETS a DFO has four options to find the lowest cost abatement option, each of which has financial implications that must be balanced with potential savings. These actions are: 1) implementing LFG capture systems and/or 2) applying for an Unique Emissions Factor (UEF) based on waste composition (reducing material with Degradable Organic Content (DOC) entering the landfill) and/or 3) reducing the waste sent to landfill and/or 4) purchasing New Zealand Units. 17 1.1 tCO2e per tonne of waste PAGE 14 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study Due to the capital and operational costs and the potential uncertainties in gas capture volumes the FNDC is not considering implementing LFG capture systems. The FNDC may wish to apply for a UEF if it was considered this would result in a lower emissions factor. Green waste is already diverted from the landfill and one option may be for the council to further increase efforts to reduce degradable material entering the landfill, thereby helping reduce any potential UEF. However, based on initial quotes provided, the FNDC indicates the price of acceptable SWAP audits would be approximately equal to, or higher than, the annual increase from ETS costs – making this option uneconomic when considered on a short-term basis. Should the ETS be implemented then the FNDC would consider closing the landfill as costs would rise to a level where it may be cheaper to export the waste to a modern landfill (with LFG capture systems there are lower ETS costs) than to continue to operate its own; however an official decision has not been made. Likely landfills include Whangarei Landfill or Redvale Landfill in northern Auckland. FNDC estimates the transport and gate fees are likely to be over $100 per tonne but only slightly more than the current spend on land filling. This may allow user pay inputs to be held at existing levels and any cost increase to be funded through general rates. A transfer station would remain on the Russell site and a cleanfill established on the landfill part in order to minimise transport of this heavy material. This would result in the service levels to the community remaining unchanged. There is little robust empirical evidence about the price sensitivity of fly-tipping,18 although anecdotal evidence in New Zealand suggests any price response is mostly a short-term phenomenon. 3.3.3. What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Should the landfill be exempt it is likely the FNDC would keep the landfill open. Waste flight (to the landfill) may occur but due to the geographic isolation this is likely to be minimal. The local residents group also monitor the use of the landfill closely and would attempt to halt any outside waste entering the site (the group has blocked the road in protest in the past and the landfill management plan states the landfill is just to service the Russell peninsula). 3.3.4. Conclusion and recommendation Based on the above, the council has limited mitigation options due to the small annual placement rate of the landfill (reducing the cost-effectiveness of LFG capture systems and UEF application). 18 Economic Instruments for Waste Management, prepared for the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment by Covec, 2005. PAGE 15 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study The FNDC has said it would consider bearing any increase in costs, closing the landfill and exporting the waste to a modern landfill such as Whangarei or Redvale Landfill. From a GHG emissions perspective these sites are an environmentally better option (even given the GHG emissions from waste transport). There could be some increase in costs incurred by the council, but not as much as keeping the Russell landfill operating under a ETS. The Deprivation Index for the region was ‘medium deprivation’, which may generally indicate the local community has some ability to absorb the price rises, although the Deprivation Index is an average so does not account for inequality within an area. The FNDC has indicated it would bear any increase in costs, in which case the landfill users would not receive the incentive to reduce emissions efficiently. Issuing an exemption would mean an environmental externality (GHG) remains unaccounted for and a further incentive (price) to encourage behaviour change towards waste minimisation would not be used. However, FNDC has indicated it would mute this price signal to landfill consumers by absorbing it if they did not receive an exemption. This would be similar to the central government receiving the price signal from the international climate agreement but not passing it on by giving an ETS exemption, except that the local government has some ability to affect waste minimisation and also the landfill choice (ie, one with LFG capture capability). Based on the comments above, the benefits of the ETS outweigh the cost in the case of the Russell Landfill and as such an exemption is not warranted. 3.4. Waiapu Landfill Waiapu Landfill is located in Ruatoria on the East Cape of the North Island. The landfill is owned by the Gisborne District Council (GDC) who contract out the day-to-day management. It services the wider Waiapu District which includes the area from Hick’s Bay to Tolaga Bay. This area has a Deprivation Index of 5 (high deprivation).19 There is a transfer station on site where recyclables and green waste are dropped off separately from residual waste. The landfill is funded by the GDC and is free for residents while commercial users pay $240 per tonne to dispose of waste. The cost to run the landfill is approximately $346,000 per annum (roughly $346 per tonne, although this includes various running costs as well as the transport of recyclable materials to markets). Around 1,000 tonnes a year are placed at the landfill which has capacity for 304,000 tonnes. 19 Atlas of Socioeconomic Deprivation in New Zealand NZDep2006 accessed at http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/indexmh/dhb-maps-and-background-information-atlas-of-socioeconomicdeprivation-in-nz-nzdep2006 PAGE 16 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study It is a Class B landfill with a clay liner and leachate is recirculated. The nearest landfills are at Wairoa (over 200 km away) and Paeroa (over 400 km away). 3.4.1. Cost impact of ETS Based on an annual placement of 1,000 tonnes and using the default EF,20 total annual GHG emissions are likely to be 1,100 tCO2e. Based on an ETS price of $25/tonne this would add $27,500 to the landfills costs. The GDC does not expect ETS administration costs to be significant given reporting on a per tonne basis is already required for the waste levy. Therefore, total costs the GDC incurs would rise approximately 7%. If the ETS charge was passed to commercial users, only based on their level of waste, then commercial user fees would rise from $240 per tonne to $257 per tonne and the rest of the landfill’s ETS liability would be funded through rates. However, the GDC is considering a move to a partly user pays system for residents and ETS costs would be reflected in this. The Council may also incur further costs as it seeks advice on administering the ETS and securing and purchasing NZUs, but some staff are currently working on this issue as part of a broader inhouse work programme. However the Council was unable to provide much information on the scale of either the ETS costs nor how they were to be managed. There will likely be staff time and transactional costs to secure and surrender emissions units. 3.4.2. What will happen if the landfill operator is not issued an exemption? As discussed in Section 1, under the ETS a DFO has four options to find the lowest cost abatement option, each of which has financial implications that must be balanced with potential savings. These actions are: 1) implementing LFG capture systems and/or 2) applying for an Unique Emissions Factor (UEF) based on waste composition (reducing material with Degradable Organic Content (DOC) entering the landfill) and/or 3) reducing the waste sent to landfill and/or 4) purchasing New Zealand Units. Due to the capital and operational costs and the potential uncertainties in gas capture volumes the GDC is not considering implementing LFG capture systems. 20 1.1 t CO2e per tonne of waste PAGE 17 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study The GDC may wish to apply for a UEF if it was considered this would result in a lower emissions factor. Green waste is already diverted from the landfill and one option may be for the council to further increase efforts to reduce degradable material entering the landfill thereby helping reduce any potential UEF. Consideration is being given to this option however the cost of the audits would need to be balanced against the potential reduction in ETS costs. The geographic isolation of the Waiapu Landfill means it is unlikely the council would have the option to close the landfill and transport waste to a modern landfill (which may have less ETS liability because of a LFG capture system). The relative inability of a low socio-economic community to pay may mean increased prices are more likely to lead to an increase in fly-tipping than in areas with a high social-economic ranking. The waste officers expect that any increase in waste fees will lead to an increase (around 30% above existing levels) of fly-tipping, over the first 3–6 months from implementation. Based on previous experience this would then drop (on the upside – past price rises have also led to an increase in recycling). However, there is little robust empirical evidence about the price sensitivity of fly-tipping,21 although anecdotal evidence in New Zealand suggests the price response is mostly a short-term phenomenon as suggested by GDC. The GDC is already putting resources into waste minimisation activities and staff interviewed believe there would be no changes to these efforts if the ETS is implemented. However, the funding for ETS costs would need to be sourced from somewhere (ie, increased rates, debt, deferred new spending) which may result in some negative impacts outside of the waste sector. 3.4.3. What will happen if the landfill operator is issued an exemption? Should the landfill be exempt, the GDC is unlikely to lower the resourcing of waste minimisation initiatives, particularly because the investment that has been made in the landfill means it is economic to extend the life of the asset as far as possible. The GDC would still progress with its consultation on a part user pays system. Given the geographic isolation of the landfill it is unlikely there would be any waste flight into the landfill from non-exempt landfills. 21 Economic Instruments for Waste Management, prepared for the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment by Covec, 2005. PAGE 18 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 3.4.4. Conclusion and recommendation Based on the above the council has limited mitigation options due to the low volume of waste placed at the landfill, the high deprivation level of the community and the distance to the nearest modern landfill. If an ETS was implemented, the council has indicated it would likely keep the landfill open and the service levels would remain unchanged. Therefore, the council has two options, to develop its own UEF (which may focus the council’s efforts to reduce degradable material entering the landfill) and/or meet the full cost of the ETS by purchasing NZUs, AAUs or CERs. Under current plans, the GDC would bear any increase in costs, but regardless of the ETS, it is consulting the community on a part user pays funding model for waste services which may reduce some of the impact directly to the council. Any implementation of landfill fees may increase illegal disposal activities (which the council has noted in the past) and an exemption (from the ETS) may result in these fees being lower then what they could be. However, the long-term sensitivity to price of these activities is likely to be quite inelastic. The Deprivation Index for the region was ‘high deprivation’, which may generally indicate the local community (and therefore the council) has little ability to absorb the price rises, although the Deprivation Index is an average so does not account for inequality within an area. However, ETS costs would likely be more significant to this community then to the others studied in this report. If an exemption is to be considered key factors include the annual placement rate, high level of socio-economic deprivation in the local community and the distance to the nearest modern landfill. PAGE 19 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 4. Exemption criteria This section of the report considers the suitability of the identified possible exemption criteria as national exemption standards, based on whether the outcomes of using these criteria would match the case study recommendations. If appropriate, these could be used under Section 60 of the Climate Change Response Act 2002. Three possible exemption criteria have been identified from the case studies. The individual criteria would probably not be sufficient to justify an exemption on their own; and in order to ensure only appropriate landfills are granted an exemption it may be necessary for two or all criteria to be met. The possible exemption criteria are: annual placement rate (of less than 1,000 tonnes of waste per annum) transport distance to nearest modern landfill (over 150 km) Deprivation Index score of community serviced (4 and above). There may be other outcomes from the use of exemption criteria (such as a reduction of efforts to minimise waste) and these criteria are only considered with a view to finding the lowest cost abatement option. 4.1. Annual placement rate The most appropriate measure for assessing landfill size is annual placement because this represents the amount the landfill is currently used, regardless of its history. This would not override the National Environmental Standards for Air Quality, which require landfill gas collection and destruction for landfills with design capacities of 1,000,000 tonnes or greater once the accumulated placement reaches 200,000 tonnes. In landfills with a small placement rate, it is generally not economically viable to design, install, and operate a LFG collection and destruction system. These landfills also usually have little ability to reduce the amount of waste received because their high expense has already resulted in waste minimisation opportunities such as green waste diversion being introduced. However, an increase in waste disposal fees as a result of the ETS may make diversion activities more attractive. The relative inability to implement LFG capture systems or apply for an UEF means the landfills are left with little option but to purchase NZUs. This reduces the ability of the landfill to control the cost of the ETS. The placement rate of New Zealand landfills ranges widely, with the smallest consented landfills having annual placements of less than 500 tonnes and the largest landfills having annual placements of over 200,000 tonnes per year. An annual placement rate threshold could be aligned PAGE 20 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study with the waste levy threshold for smaller landfills, 1,000 tonnes (landfills under this size only need to submit waste levy information annually22). This would capture three of the landfill studies for this report (Waiapu, Russell and Pongaroa). A placement rate growth criterion to prevent waste flight from non-exempted landfills would need to be set. This would prevent unintended expansion of exempted landfills, although it may be a complicated criterion as it would need to be monitored and assessed ex-post. 4.2. Transport distance to nearest modern landfill Restricting an exemption to landfills that are a long distance from the next nearest modern landfill would cover two issues: isolated communities have no other option other than disposing of residual waste in the local landfill if there are no larger and better managed landfills nearby waste flight from modern landfills to exempt landfills would be minimised if only isolated landfills could gain exemption. The cost and level of GHG emissions from transport of waste is relatively small. Initial estimates indicate the cost of transporting waste is approximately $0.25 per tonne per km (of course this would vary for each arrangement). For Pongaroa Landfill, for example, the cost of transporting the waste to Bonny Glenn Landfill (approximately 130 km) would be in the range of $30–$35 per tonne. However, the council officers spoken to from all four case study landfills thought that waste flight would not occur over those distances. GHG emissions from the transport of waste are generally small compared to the emissions caused from the waste itself. For example, the GHG emissions from transporting waste from Pongaroa to Bonny Glen would be approximately 16 tCO2e per year for 500 tonnes of waste, which compares to the 550 tCO2e that would be generated from an annual placement of waste in terms of methane generation. Consideration should be given to whether this criterion should be for the distance to any nearest landfill, or the distance to the nearest modern landfill. The latter would maintain the protection from waste flight that increases GHG emissions. Waste flight will only significantly increase GHG emissions when it is waste that would otherwise have been disposed of in a landfill with an LFG collection system. 22 Ministry for the Environment. 2011. Online Waste Levy System – User guide for waste disposal facility operators. Wellington, Ministry for the Environment. PAGE 21 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study A transport distance criterion in the range of 50–100 km is likely to be the approximate distance where the transport cost is similar to the ETS cost, however there is a relatively small transport distance and all four landfills in this report would be captured by this criteria. Another limitation of basing this criterion on price is that transport prices are not static. For all of the case studies the staff interviewed did not believe any other landfills were close enough to make transporting the waste economic; however, our analysis showed only Waiapu Landfill could confidently be said to be too far from other landfills for transport to be viable (based on current transport and carbon prices). There may be some cases where a simple transport distance metric is not equitable, such as the Claris Landfill on Great Barrier Island or the landfills situated on Chatham Islands which would require sea transport as well as road transport. This discussion above demonstrated the complexity and difficultly in using distance as an exemption criteria in isolation. If it is to be used it should be used in conjunction with another criteria to ensure only suitable landfills are captured. 4.3. Deprivation Index The use of a socio-economic criterion for ETS exemption of landfills could be considered due to the negative effects that the increased costs of the ETS would have on some communities. Where communities have low socio-economic status, it can be generally considered that the cost of the ETS would place a larger relative burden on the community than a community with a high socioeconomic status. The ETS costs in low socio-economic areas may result in a decreased level of service from the local council, or increased rates or landfill fees for the community, although there will always be a spread of wealth levels in any region regardless of the average deprivation level index. It should be noted the degree to which costs are passed on will also be influenced by the prioritisation that a particular council may place on waste services and how they are funded (user pays or rates). The relative inability to pay by a community with a low socio-economic status may mean increased prices in these areas are more likely to increase fly-tipping than in other areas. However, there is little robust empirical evidence about the price sensitivity of fly-tipping,23 although anecdotal evidence in New Zealand suggests the price response is mostly a short-term phenomenon. The Minister could select a Deprivation Index quintile range of 5, 4–5 or 3–5 as a criterion to represent lower socio-economic communities. It would be important to calculate the average 23 Economic Instruments for Waste Management, prepared for the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment by Covec, 2005. PAGE 22 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study Deprivation Index over the whole community served by the landfill rather than just the Deprivation Index of the area directly surrounding the landfill. 4.4. Recommendations Table 2 shows which of the case studies would meet any exemption criteria that may be implemented. The Waiapu Landfill is the only one of the four case studies that meets all of the criteria discussed in the section. The table also shows the socio-economic deprivation criterion is the key differentiator. Table 2 Exemption status of case studies based on proposed exemption criteria Exemption criteria Victoria Flats Pongaroa Russell Waiapu Annual placement rate of less than 1,000 tonnes X Distance to nearest modern landfill is over 150 km24 X X Level of socioeconomic deprivation of 4 or above X X X Not exempt Not exempt Not exempt Exempt Overall 24 A ‘Class A’ landfill with Landfill Gas Capture infrastructure in operation. PAGE 23 SKM ETS Landfill exemption study 5. Conclusion A range of costs and benefits are likely to stem from the implementation of the ETS for landfills, which are summarised in Table 3 below. Table 3 Possible costs and benefits of the ETS on small landfills Benefits Price incentive to identify the lowest cost abatement option Lower quality landfills may close reduction in GHG emissions reduction of local environmental effects Potential increased waste minimisation incentive Costs Increase costs to councils through administration of ETS requirements sourcing and cancelling emission units Potential increase in fly-tipping Increased burden on low socio-economic communities (and their council services) Increased budgetary pressure on waste minimisation activities Potential increase in private waste incineration The four case studies show some negative social and environmental outcomes may occur. However, it could be argued the adjustment that will occur is a necessary part of the market economy recognising that GHG emissions need to be costed and the changes are part of the societal readjustment as the lowest cost abatement option is identified. All four of the case study landfills were already situated in communities undertaking some degree of waste minimisation activities, which they plan to continue regardless of whether or not the ETS is applied to them (although increasing the costs could focus councils’ efforts more sharply on waste streams that cause GHG emissions). It is likely total GHG emissions would be greater if smaller landfills were given exemptions as landfills without LFG capture systems would be able to remain open. For example, the Russell Landfill is likely to close if the ETS is applied to it, in which case the waste from the area would be transferred to the Whangarei or Redvale Landfill, which have, or plan to install, LFG collection systems. The individual criteria would probably not be sufficient to justify an exemption on their own; and in order to ensure only appropriate landfills are granted an exemption it may be necessary for all criteria to be met. Based on the four case studies, the exemption criteria that are recommended for detailed analysis under Section 60 of the Climate Change Response Act 2002 are: annual placement rate (of less than 1,000 tonnes of waste per annum) transport distance to nearest modern landfill (over 150 km) Deprivation Index score of community serviced (4 and above). PAGE 24