Likelihood Ratio Test 1. Please derive the likelihood ratio test for H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is known. Solution: For a 2-sided test of H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is known, we have: , 2 : 0 , 2 2 and , 2 : , 2 2 The likelihoods are: L L0 , 2 n xi 0 2 1 2 1 exp exp 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 n i 1 x n i 1 i 2 0 There is no free parameter in L , thus Lˆ L . L L , 2 i 1 n n x 2 1 2 1 exp i 2 exp 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 x n i 1 i 2 There is only one free parameter μ in L . Now we shall find the value of μ that maximizes the log likelihood ln L n 1 ln 2 2 2 2 2 x n i 1 . 2 i n d ln L 1 2 i 1 xi 0 , we have ̂ x d It is easy to verify that ̂ x indeed maximizes the loglikelihood, and thus the likelihood By solving function. Therefore the likelihood ratio is: n n 1 2 1 xi 0 2 exp 2 2 2 2 i 1 L 0 , L 0 , 2 Lˆ 2 n 2 2 ˆ max L , Lˆ , L n 1 2 1 xi x 2 exp 2 2 i 1 2 2 1 exp 2 2 x n i 1 2 i 0 1 x 0 2 1 2 2 xi x exp exp z0 2 2 / n Therefore, the likelihood ratio test that will reject H0 when is equivalent to the z-test that will reject H0 when Z 0 c , where c can be determined by the significance level α as * c z / 2 . 2. Please derive the likelihood ratio test for H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is unknown. Solution: For a 2-sided test of H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is unknown, we have: , 2 : 0 , 0 2 and , 2 : , 0 2 The likelihood under the null hypothesis is: L L0 , 2 i 1 n n x 2 1 2 1 exp i 2 0 exp 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 x n i 1 i 2 0 There is one free parameter, σ2, in L . Now we shall find the value of σ2 that maximizes d ln L d 2 n 2 2 1 2 n 1 ln 2 2 2 2 2 the log likelihood ln L x n 4 i 1 i x n i 1 i 0 , we have ˆ2 2 0 2 0 . By solving 1 n 2 xi 0 i 1 n It is easy to verify that this solution indeed maximizes the loglikelihood, and thus the likelihood function. The likelihood under the alternative hypothesis is: L L , 2 i 1 n n x 2 1 2 1 exp i 2 exp 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 x n i 1 i 2 There are two free parameter μ and σ2 in L . Now we shall find the value of μ and σ2 that maximizes the log likelihood ln L By solving the equation system: ln L 1 2 x 0 and n i 1 i we have ̂ x and ˆ 2 n 1 ln 2 2 2 2 2 ln L 2 n 2 2 x n i 1 1 2 . 2 i x n 4 i 1 i 2 0 1 n 2 xi x i 1 n It is easy to verify that this solution indeed maximizes the loglikelihood, and thus the likelihood function. Therefore the likelihood ratio is: n 2 L 0 , ˆ2 L ˆ max 2 L 0 , ˆ max , 2 L , 2 L ˆ , ˆ 2 L n xi 0 2 i n1 xi x 2 i 1 t0 2 1 n 1 n 2 2 n n exp n 2 2 xi 0 2 i 1 n 2 n n exp n 2 2 xi x 2 i 1 n xi x 2 n x 0 2 i 1 n 2 x x i 1 i n 2 2 n x 0 1 n xi x 2 i 1 n 2 n 2 Therefore, the likelihood ratio test that will reject H0 when * is equivalent to the z-test that will reject H0 when t0 c , where c can be determined by the significance level α as c tn 1, / 2 .