Professor Peter J. Webster
School of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences
Georgia Institute of Technology
pjw@eas.gatech.edu
Education:
1972 Ph.D.: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
1964 BSc:
Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology
Professional:
20102002-2010
2012201120112009
20061992-2002:
1983-1992:
1990-1991:
1982-1983:
1979-1983:
1981-1982:
1977-1983
1973-1977:
1972-1973:
Professor, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of
Technology
Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of
Technology
Consultant, Natural Resources Defense Council: “Predicting heat stress
in Gujarat, India”.
Consultant, World Bank on Pakistani/Bangladeshi flooding
Consultant, World Bank on the Bangladesh Sundarbans NLTA
Consultant, World Bank. Tropical cyclone hazards in the Caribbean.
Chief Scientist, Climate Forecast Applications Network
Director and Professor, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic
Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado
Professor of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University
Visiting Scientist, European Center for Medium Range Weather
Forecasts, Visiting Professor, University of Reading
G. J. Haltiner Chair Professor, Department of Meteorology, Naval
Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA
Adjunct Professor, Department of Mathematics, Monash University,
Melbourne, Australia
Visiting Professor, TATA Institute of Fundamental Research, Indian
Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
Principal Research Scientist, Division of Atmospheric Physics, CSIRO,
Melbourne, Australia
Assistant Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of
Washington, Seattle, U.S.A.
Post-Doctoral Fellow, Department of Atmospheric Science, University
of California, Los Angeles, U.S.A.
1
Honors and Awards:
2015
International Award: American Geophysical Union
2015
116th Sir Edmund Halley Lecturer June, Oxford University UK
2014
Honorary Fellow: Chinese-American Oceanic and Atmospheric
Association
2013
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecturer: February 2013, AMS Annual
Meeting, Atlanta GA.
2012
Mason Gold Medal: Royal Meteorological Society
2010:
No 47: Discover Magazine Top 100 Science Stories 2009 for Kim, H.,
P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2009: Impact of shifting patterns of
Pacific Ocean warming on the frequency and tracks of North
Atlantic tropical cyclones. Science, 325, 77-80
2007:
2007:
Outstanding Faculty Research Author Award: Georgia Tech
Jule G. Charney Lecturer, American Geophysical Society, Spring
meeting, Acapulco Mexico
Best Faculty Paper Award: Georgia Institute of Technology
No 1: Discover Magazine Top 100 Science Stories 2009 for Webster,
P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry and H-R. Chang, 2005: “ Changes in
tropical cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming
environment.” Science, 309 (5742), 1844-1846
2006
2006:
2005:
2004:
2003:
2000:
1999:
1995:
1990:
1990:
1990:
1989:
1984:
1984:
Fellow: American Association for the Advancement of Science
Carl Gustav Rossby Research Gold Medal: American Meteorological
Society
Adrian Gill Medal: Royal Meteorological Society
Fellow: American Geophysical Union
Special Creativity Award: National Science Foundation
Special Achievement Award: American Meteorological Society
Jule G. Charney Award: American Meteorological Society
Special Creativity Award: National Science Foundation
Senior Humboldt Research Award: Humboldt Foundation
The Wilson Research Award: The Pennsylvania State University
Fellow: American Meteorological Society
Fellow: Royal Meteorological Society
Corporate Activities:
2006
1998-2006
2000-2004
Chief Scientist and co-founder: Climate Forecast Application Network
(CFAN): A Georgia Tech Enterprise Company
Board member: Aerosonde Pty Litd
CEO: Aerosonde North America
2
Committees and Appointments:
2015
2012-2014
20122011-2014
2011-2012
2010
2008
2006-2010
2006-2008
2005-2006
2004-2005
2001-2005:
200120001999
1998
1998-1999
1998-1999
1998
1994-1998
1997-1998
1997
1994
1995
1996
1994-1998
1993
President: Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union
President: Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union
American Geophysical Union, Thriving Earth Enterprise (TEX) Review
Board.
American Geophysical Council Leadership Team
President-Elect: Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical
Union
Scientific Steering Group: DYNAMO project in North Indian Ocean
Nicholas School of the Environment Duke University. Academic review
committee.
Member: NRC Research Associateship Programs on the Earth &
Atmospheric Sciences Panel
Presidential Climate Change Science Program’s (CCSP) Synthesis and
Assessment Product 3.3
AGU committee of experts on the rebuilding of New Orleans.
Member: NOAA Hurricane Intensity Committee
Co-chair, CLIVAR Asian - Australian Monsoon Panel
Co-convener, NCAR summer colloquium (with A. M. Moore) "Tropical
Atmosphere and Oceans", July 9-23
Director and Principal Scientist: Climate Forecast Applications in
Bangladesh (CFAB) project
Member, Asian-Australian Monsoon Working Group, National Research
Council, Washington, DC
Advisor: Indian Ocean Climate Initiative, Western Australian Government
Member: International Research Institute Advisory Board (Modeling)
Member: Climate Research Committee, National Academy of Science
Organizer and Program Chair: Workshop on the Asian-Australian
Monsoon, St. Michaels, Maryland
Chair, National Academy of Sciences Global Ocean Atmosphere Land
System Panel
Member: USGCRP Committee (ex officio) Nominating Committee,
American Meteorological Society
Nominating Committee, American Meteorological Committee
Member: DOE/ARM Tropical Western Pacific Site Advisory Committee
Chair: Scientific Organizing Committee; WCRP International TOGA
Conference, Melbourne, Australia, April.
Member: WCRP CLIVAR Working Group on the Asian-Australian
Monsoons
Member of the White House Review Committee on the US Global
Climate Research Program
Co-convener (with R. Lukas), TOGA COARE Session, AGU Fall Meeting,
December, San Francisco.
3
1993
1989-1994
1988-1994
1985-1991
1983-1995
1983-1987
1982-1995
1985-1995
1984-1990
1977-1983
1987-1988
1979-1982
1974-1980
Co-convener (with G. Holland), Predictability of Low Frequency Systems,
IAMAP Meeting, Yokahama, Japan, July.
Chairperson, US TOGA COARE Panel
Co-chairperson, US TOGA COARE Science Working Group
Chairperson, WCRP TOGA Scientific Steering Group
Member of the Chinese-American monsoon research group.
Member, ICSU/WMO Joint Scientific Committee (JSC)
Member, National Academy of Science TOGA Panel
Member, WCRP TOGA Scientific Steering Group
Member, Executive Committee NASA STEP Project
Member, International Commission on Dynamic Meteorology
Chairman, AMS Committee on Climate Variations
Member, Australian Academy of Science Committee on Climate of
Australia and New Zealand.
Member of the International Monsoon Experiment Steering Group.
Editorships:
1999:
1998:
1995:
1989:
1986-1990:
1983-1986:
Associate Editor, Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences: Academic
Press
Guest Editor, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres &
Oceans). Special TOGA Decade Edition.
Editor of the TOGA Volumes: The Proceedings of the International
TOGA Conference. Melbourne, Australia, April 1-7.
Guest Editor, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres & Oceans)
Associate Editor of the Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
Chief Editor, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
PhD Graduates, Theses and Current Positions:
2013
Fernando Hirata: Intraseasonal oscillations in South America, Research
Associate, Univeriadade Federal do Parana, Brazil
2012
James Belanger: Predictability and prediction of North Atlantic tropical
cyclones. Georgia Institute of Technology (co-advised with Prof. J. A.
Curry)
Manuel Zuluaga: Spatio-temporal Variability of Aerosols in the
Tropics Relationship with Atmospheric and Oceanic Environments.
University of Washington.
Asuka Suzuki-Parker: An assessment of uncertainties and
limitations in simulating tropical cyclones and future changes:
National Center for Atmospheric Research.
Matthew Widlansky: Evolution of the South Pacific Convergence
Zone: International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii,
Hawaii.
Sara Vieria: Formation Processes of African Easterly Waves.
Assistant Professor, Medellin, Colombia
2012
2011
2010
2009
4
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2002
2000:
1999:
1998:
1998:
1998:
1997:
1997:
1997:
1997:
1994:
1994:
Galina Cherikova: Interannual variability of the Indian Ocean heat
transport and its correlation with climate modes. University of
Colorado. Desert Research Institute, Reno Nevada
Toma, Violeta: Instability of the Intertropical Convergence Zone.
Research Associate, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Climate
Forecast Applications Network, Atlanta GA
Jian, Jun: Predictability of current and future multi-river discharge:
The Ganges, Brahmaputra, Yangtze, Blue Nile and Murray-Darling
Rivers. Assistant Professor, Dalian Maritime University, People’s
Republic of China
Hoyos, Carlos: Intraseasonal variability in the monsoon regions:
Understanding and prediction. Georgia Tech, Senior Research
Scientist
Hopson, Thomas: Operational Flood forecasting for Bangladesh.
Research Associate, National Center for Atmospheric Research.
Halkides, Daria: (with Prof. Weiqing Han) The effects of the seasonal
cycle on the development and termination of the Indian Ocean Zonal
Mode. Scientist, NASA JPL.
Sahami, Kamran: Aspects of the heat balance of the Indian Ocean
on intra-annual and interannual time scales. Postdoc. Assistant
professor, Metro. State.
Oefkle-Clark, C., Influence of SSTs on the Littoral Zones of the
Indian Ocean: Postdoc., University of Colorado and Florida State
University
Lawrence, D., "Intraseasonal variability of the South Asian
monsoon." Research Scientist, NCAR.
Loschnigg, J., "On the heat balance of the Indian Ocean," Assistant
Director Office of Science and Technology, White House, DC.
Quan, X-. W., "Interannual variability associated with ENSO:
Seasonal dependence and interdecadal change." Res. Assoc.
NOAA/CRC
Wheeler, M., "Convectively-coupled equatorial waves." Senior
Research Scientist, BMRC, Australia
Compo, G., "Modulation of East-Asian pressure surges." Res. Assoc.
NOAA/CRC
Torrence, C., "The El Nino-Southern Oscillation: Interannual
predictability and interdecadal variability." Res. Scientist. RSI
Fasullo, J., "Analysis and Interpretation of tropical intraseasonal
variability." Res. Assoc. NCAR
Duane, G., "Atmospheric self-organization: A thermodynamic view and a
dynamical systems view." Research Associate NCAR
Tomas, R., "A Horizontal and vertical structure of cross-equatorial wave
propagation." Res. Assoc. NCAR
Dixit, S., "Mean flow and interannual variability in the Pacific
Ocean." SUN Microsystems
5
1993:
Reynolds, C., "Regional sources of error growth in the National
Meteorological Center's Medium-Range Forecast model." Res.
Scientist, Naval Res. Lab.
Wainer, I., "Monsoon-ENSO relationships." Assoc. Prof. Univ. San
Paulo, Brazil
Yang, S., "Atmospheric teleconnections: Emphasis on the El NinoSouthern Oscillation and monsoons." Senior Res. Sci. NASA/Goddard
Tilley, J. S., "On the application of edge-wave theory to terrainbounded cold surges: A numerical study." Res. Assoc. Univ. Alaska
Zhang, C., "Equatorially trapped waves in varying basic states:
Structures and lateral forcing processes." Asso. Prof. Univ. Miami
Lau, K. M., "A simple ocean-atmosphere climate model." Div. Head,
NASA/Goddard
1991:
1990:
1990:
1989:
1978:
Masters Degree Recipients
1975
1976
1988
1990
1992
1995
1995
1996
1997
2000
2003
2004
2009
J. L. Keller (UCLA)
K. M Lau (UW)
J. S. Tilley (PSU)
S. Yang (PSU)
S. Dixit (PSU)1992
G. Compo (CU)
C. Torrence (CU)
M. Wheeler(CU)
D. Lawrence (CU)
K. Sahami (CU)
D. Hopson (CU)
C. Hoyos (GT)
M. Zuluega (GT)
1975
1985
1989
1991
1992
1995
1996
1996
1998
2002
2004
2007
2009
D. G. Curtin (UCLA)
A. Samel (PSU)
I Wainer (PSU)
C. Reynolds (PSU)
R. A. Tomas (PSU)
J. Fasullo (CU)
J. Loschnigg (CU)
X-, W. Quan (CU)
C. Oefkle–Clark (CU)
D. Halkides (CU)
J. Jian (CU)
V. Toma (GT)
M. Widlansky
Current Graduate Students
Emily Christ
PhD candidate (2015)
Sebastian Ortega
PhD candidate (2015)
Research Group Post-doctoral Fellows and Research Associates
2011-2014
20102008-2012
2007-2009
2006-2010
2003-2004:
2003-2005:
19911999-2002:
1995-2002:
Kris Shreshtha (Research Scientist II)
Violeta Toma (Senior Research Scientist )
Hyemi Kim (Senior Research Scientist), National University of Seoul,
South Korea
Jun Jian (Research Scientist I)
Carlos Hoyos (CU/GT) Senior Research Scientist
Claire Cosgrove (Research Associate)
Daniel Collins (Research Associate)
Hai-Ru Chang (Senior Research Associate)
Weiqing Han (Postdoctoral Fellow)
Robert Tomas (Research Associate)
6
1999-2002:
1997-2004
1999-2000:
1999-2000:
1995-1997:
John Fasullo (Research Associate)
Robert Grossman (Senior Research Associate)
David Lawrence (Research Associate)
Paquita Zuidema (Research Associate)
Brian Mapes (Postdoctoral Fellow)
Field Experiments
1999:
1992-1995:
1987-1988:
1978-1979:
JASMINE: (Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment). Lead
scientist and principal investigator. Participant in field phase. JASMINE
was an international experiment in the eastern Indian ocean measuring
the interaction of the ocean and the atmosphere
TOGA COARE: (Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Response Experiment)
Lead Scientist & Principal Investigator, Co-Chairperson of the TOGA
COARE Science Working Group, Chairman of the TOGA COARE Panel.
TOGA COARE culminated in a four month field phase in the western
Pacific Ocean involving 19 nations and a $50m budget.
EMEX: (Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment) Lead Scientist. A joint USAustralian-UK experiment investigating strong convective storms of the
winter monsoon.
MONEX: (Monsoon Experiment) Member of the MONEX Scientific
steering Group, Lead Scientist, Winter MONEX
Current Funding:
NSF: Dynamics of Low-Frequency Phenomena 2011-2015, 3506G42: $1,960,000
Cotton Inc.: A Pilot Study of Weather Forecasting for Irrigation and Heat Management
3506H71: $53000/year
Publications:
ISI
h-index 49, 11,285 citations
Google: h-index 62, 18,784 citations
(i)
Books
Curry, J. A. and P. J. Webster, 1998: Thermodynamics of Atmospheres and
Oceans. International Geophysics Series, Academic press, Volume 65, 471
pp.471.
Webster PJ , VE Toma and H-R Chag, 2015: Tropical Meteorology and Climate.
Wiley (December 2013)
Curry, J. A. and P. J. Webster, 2016: Thermodynamics of Atmospheres and
Oceans. International Geophysics Series, Academic press, Second Edition (in
preparation)
Ernesto Sánchez-Triana, Santiago Enriquez, Bjorn Larsen, Peter Webster, and Javaid
Afzal, 2015 (June): Sustainability and Poverty Alleviation: Confronting
7
Environmental Threats in Sindh, Pakistan", World Bank's Directions in
Development series, Environment and Sustainable Development. 264pp
(ii) Recent Reports
Webster P.J. and K. Shrestha: An Extended-Range Water Management and Flood
Prediction System for the Indus River Basin: Application to the 2010-2012 floods.
Report to the World Bank, 2013
Webster P.J., 2011: Building Resilience for Sustainable Development of the Sundarbans
through Estuary Management, Poverty Reduction, and Biodiversity
Conservation: A Non-Lending Technical Assistance. Report to the World Bank
(iii) Peer Reviewed Articles
2015
G. L Stephens, D. O’Brien, Peter J Webster, Peter Pilewski, Seiji Kato6 and Jui-Lin Li,
The Albedo of the Earth, Reviews of Geophysics , 53, doi:10.1002
/2014RG000449
B. Wang, S-Y Yim, B. Xiang, H-M, Kim, P.J. Webster, J. Cao, J. Liu, K-J Ha:
Rethinking Indian Monsoon Rainfall Prediction in the context of recent
global warming: Nature Communications (in press: May 2015))
2014
Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster, V. E. Toma, and D. Kim, 2014: Predictability and
prediction skill of the MJO in two operational forecasting systems, J.
Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00480.1
K. Rassussen, A. Hill, V. Toma, M. Zuluaga, PJ Webster and R. Houze. Three
consecutive years of anomalous flooding in Pakistan (under review Q. J.
Roy. Met Soc)
TH. Syed, PJ Webster and JS Famiglietti: Assessing Variability of
Evapotranspiration over the Ganga River Basin Using Water Balance
Computations: Water Resources Research, 21 MAR 2014,
DOI: 10.1002/2013WR013518
K. Knowlton, PJ Webster, VE. Toma, and thirteen additional authors: Development
and Implementation of South Asia’s First Heat-Health Action Plan in
Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India. International J. Environmental Res. and Public
Health, Volume: 11 Issue: 4 Pages: 3473-3492
Shrestha, K.Y., P.J. Webster, and V.E. Toma, 2014: An Atmospheric-Hydrologic
Forecasting Scheme for the Indus River Basin, Journal of Hydrometeorology
(Available at: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-13-051.1
2013
Kim HM, Lee MI, Webster PJ, Kim D, Yoo JH, 2013: A physical basis for the
probabilistic prediction of the accumulated tropical cyclone kinetic energy
in the western North Pacific. J. Clim. 26/20, 7981-7991. October.
8
Kim, H-M, Webster PJ and VE Toma, 2013: Dynamical multi-week MJO prediction in
ocean-atmosphere coupling hindcasts. Submitted to J. Clim.
Hirata, F, Webster PJ and VE Toma, 2013: Distinct manifestations of austral
summer tropical intraseasonal oscillations. Geophys. Re. Lettrs, 40/12,33373341, June 28.
Kim, H-M, M-I Lee, Webster P. J., Kim D. H. Yoo, J.H. 2013: Western North Pacific
tropical storm activity associated with ENSO and its extended- range
seasonal forecast. In press. J. Clim
Webster P, 2013: Improve weather forecasts for the developing world. NATURE,
493/7430
17-19 Published: Jan 3
Wang, B,, J. Liu, P. J. Webster, S-Y Yim, D. Xiang, 2013: “Northern Hemisphere
summer monsoon intensified by mega-El Nino/southern oscillation and
Atlantic multidecadal oscillation”. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences. doi:10.1073/pnas.1219405110
.
2012
Hoyos, C. D. and Webster, P. J., 2012: Evolution of the tropical warm pool: Past,
present and future. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1181-3
Kim, H-M, Webster PJ and Curry JA, 2012a: Seasonal prediction by ECMWF System
4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast Part I: Northern Hemisphere
Winter, Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1364-6 (published online 04May2012)
Kim, H-M, Webster PJ and Curry JA, 2012b: Seasonal prediction by ECMWF System
3 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast Part II: Northern Hemisphere
Summer Monsoon. submitted to Clim. Dyn.
Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster, Judith A. Curry and V. E. Toma, 2012: Asian summer
monsoon prediction in ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective
seasonal forecasts, Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1470-5 (pdf)
Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster and Judith A. Curry, 2012: Evaluation of short-term climate
change prediction in multi-model CMIP5 decadal hindcasts, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 39, L10701, doi:10.1029/2012GL051644 (pdf)
Wang B., Liu J., Kim H. J., Kim HJ,, Webster P.J., Yim S. Y., 2012 Recent change of
the global monsoon precipitation (1979-2008) Clim. Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382011-1266-z (pdf)
Zuluaga, M. D., P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos, 2012: Variability of Aerosols in the
Tropical Atlantic Ocean relative to African Easterly Waves and their
relationship with Atmospheric and Oceanic Environments: J. Geophys. Res.
– 117, D16207 DOI: 10.1029/
2011:
Belanger, J., Webster P.J., Curry J.A., 2011: Extended Prediction of North Indian
Ocean Tropical Cyclones using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction
System: (In press) Wea and Forecasting.
9
Wang, B, J. Liu, H-J Kim, P. J. Webster5, T. A. Schroeder, 2011: Recent Intensification
of Northern Hemispheric Monsoon Precipitation. Submitted to Nature
Geocience.
Webster P. J., V. E. Toma and H-. M Kim 2011: Were the 2010 Pakistan Floods
predictable? To appear, Geophys. Res. Lettrs. ,38, L04806,
doi:10.1029/2010GL046346
Webster P. J. and J. Jian 2011: Environmental prediction, risk assessment and
extreme events: adaptation strategies for the developing world. Phil. Trans.
Roy. Soc. A( Math, Phys and Eng.) Volume: 369 Issue: 1956 4768-4797 DOI:
10.1098/rsta.2011.0160. DEC 13 2011
Curry, J. A. and P. J. Webster, 2011: Climate science and the uncertainty monster.
(December 2011) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Kim, H-M., P.J. Webster, J. A. Curry 2010: Modulation of North Pacific tropical
cyclone activity by the three phases of ENSO. J.Clim., 24, 1839-1849
2010:
Kim, H-M. and P.J. Webster, 2010: Extended range seasonal hurricane forecasts
using a hybrid dynamical-statistical model. Geophys. Res. Lttrs 37 Article
Number: L21705 Published: Nov 9 2010
Widlansky, M., P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos, 2011: On the location and orientation
of the South Pacific Convergence Zone. 123 Clim Dyn (2011) 36:561–578 DOI
10.1007/s00382-010-0871-6
Agudelo, P.A., C.D. Hoyos, J.A. Curry, P.J. Webster, 2010: Probabilistic
discrimination between large-scale environments of intensifying and
decaying African Easterly Waves. Climate Dynamics, 36, Numbers 7-8, 13791401, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-085
Belanger, J., Curry J.A., Webster P.J., 2010: Predictability of North Atlantic Tropical
Cyclones on Intraseasonal time scales. In press Mon. Wea. Rev.
Webster, P. J., and C. D. Hoyos, 2010: Beyond the spring barrier? Nature
Geoscience, 3, 152–153 (1 March 2010) | doi:10.1038/ngeo800.
Zuluaga, M. D., C. D. Hoyos & P.J. Webster, 2010: Spatial and temporal distribution
of latent heating in the South Asian monsoon region. J. Clim., 23, 2010-2029
Webster, P.J., T. M. Hopson, C. D. Hoyos, J. Jian, H-R. Chang, P. Agudelo, J. A.
Curry1, T. N. Palmer, A. R. Subbiah, R. L. Grossman, 2010: Extended-range
probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra floods in
Bangladesh. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 91, 11, 1493-1514
Hopson, T. M., P. J. Webster, 2010: A 1-10 day ensemble forecasting scheme for
the major river basins of Bangladesh: forecasting severe floods of 2003–
2007. J. Hydromet. 11, 618-641
Done, J., G, J, Holland, P. J. Webster, 2010: The Role of Wave Accumulation in
Tropical Cyclone Genesis over the Tropical North Atlantic. Accepted Clim.
Dyn. 9 August, 2010, 10.1007/s00382-010-0880-5
Toma, V., P. J. Webster, 2010: Oscillations of the intertropical convergence zone
10
and the gensis of easterly waves. I Theory and diagnostics. Clim. Dyn. doi:
10.1007/s00382-009-0584Toma, V., P. J. Webster, 2010: Oscillations of the intertropical convergence zone
and the gensis of eeasterly waves. II Numerical experiments. Clim. Dyn. doi:
10.1007/s00382-009-0585-9
Kim, H, C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and In-Sik Kang, 2010: Ocean-atmosphere
coupling and the boreal winter MJO. Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-0090612-x, 35 Issue: 5 Pages: 771-784
2009:
Jian, J., P. J. Webster, C. Hoyos, 2009: Intraseasonal and interannual variability of
Ganges and Brahmaputra river discharge. Quar. J. R. Met. Soc. 135, 353-370
Kim, H., P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2009: Impact of shifting patterns of Pacific
Ocean warming on the frequency and tracks of North Atlantic tropical
cyclones. Science, 325, 77-80
2008:
Webster, P. J., 2008: Myanmar's deadly daffodil. Nature Geoscience doi:
10.1038/ngeo257
Han, W., P. J. Webster, J-. J Lin, W. T. Liu, R. Fu, D. Yang, and A Hu, 2008: Dynamics
of intraseasonal sea level and thermocline variability in the equatorial
Atlantic dring 2002-2003. J. Phys. Ocean., 38, 945-967.
Agudelo, P. A., C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2008: Application of a
serial extended forecast experiment using the ECMWF model to interpret
the predictive skill of tropical intraseasonal variability. Climate
Dynamics.doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0447-x
Kim, H. M., C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and I. S. Kang, 2008: Sensitivity of MJO
simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability. J.
Climate, 21, 5304–5317. doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2078.1
2007:
Holland, G. J., and P. J. Webster, 2007: Recent heightened tropical cyclone activity
in the North Atlantic: Natural variability or climate trend? Phil. Trans. R.
Soc. A doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2083.
Hoyos, C. and P. J. Webster, 2007: The role of intraseasonal oscillation on the
nature of monsoon precipitation. J. Climate, 20 (17), 4402-4424.
Nicholson, S. E. and P. J. Webster, 2007: “A physical basis for rainfall variability
over West Africa”. Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc. , DOI: 10.1002/qj.104
Mann, M.E., K.A. Emanuel, G.J. Holland, and P. J. Webster, 2007: Atlantic Tropical
Cyclones Revisited. EOS 88, 349-350
2006:
Webster, P. J., T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H-. R. Chang, R. Grossman, 2006: A
three-tier overlapping prediction scheme: Tools for strategic and tactical
decisions in the developing world. In Predictability of Weather and Climate,
Ed. T. N. Palmer, Cambridge University Press. P 645-673.
11
Webster, P. J, 2006: The coupled monsoon system. In The Asian Monsoon. Editor
Bin Wang, p 3-66.
Halkides, D. J., W. Han, P. J. Webster, 2006: The effects of the seasonal cycle on
the development and termination of the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode. J.
Geophys. Res., 111, C12017, doi:10.1029/2005JC003247.
Wang B, Webster P. J., Kikuchi K, Yasunari T, Qi Y, 2006: Boreal summer quasimonthly oscillation in the global tropics, Clim. Dyn. 27, 661-675
Curry, J. A., P.J. Webster, G. H. Holland 2006: Mixing science and politics: Testing
the hypothesis that greenhouse warming is causing a global increase in
hurricane intensity. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. August 2006, 87 (8), 1025-1037.
Agudelo, P.A., J.A. Curry, C.D. Hoyos, P.J. Webster, 2005: Transition between
suppressed and active phases of intraseasonal oscillations in the IndoPacific warm pool. J. Climate, 19 (21), 5519–5530
Hoyos, C. D., P. A. Agudello, P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2006: Deconvolution of
the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity.
Science, Vol 312, 94-97 April 7 (March 16).
Webster PJ, Curry JA, Liu J, et al. 2006: Response to comment on "Changes in
tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming
environment", Science 311 (5768): Mar 24 2006
Chirikova, G. and P. J. Webster, 2006: Interannual Variability of the Indian Ocean
Heat Transport. J. Clim. 19, 1013-1031
2005:
Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry and H-R. Chang, 2005: “ Changes in tropical
cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming environment.”
Science, 309 (5742), 1844-1846 (September 16).
Wang, B., P. J. Webster and H. Teng, 2005: Antecedents and Perpetuation of the
Active-Break Indian Monsoon Cycles. Geophys. Res. Lettr. 32(4), Art. No.
L02704 (Feb 18 2005)
2004:
Quan, X-. W., P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, H-. R. Chang, 2004: Seasonality in SSTForced Atmospheric Short-term Climate predictability. J. Climate, 17,
3090-3108.
Webster, P. J., 2004: The Elementary Hadley Circulation. The Hadley Circulation:
Past, Present and Future. Editors: H. Diaz and R. Bradley. Cambridge
University Press. 9-60.
Webster, P. J. and C. Hoyos, 2004: Forecasting monsoon rain fall and river
discharge variability on 20-25 day time scales. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 85,
1745-1765.
Han, W., P. J. Webster, R. Lukas and P. Hacker , 2004: Impact of atmospheric
intraseasonal variability in the Indian Ocean: low-frequency rectification
in equatorial surface current and transport. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 34, 1350-1372.
12
Stephens, G. L., P. J. Webster, R. H. Johnson, R. Englen, T, L’eculer, 2004:
Observational evidence for the mutual regulation of the tropical
hydological cycle and tropical sea surface temperature. J. Climate: 17(11),
2213–2224.
Curry, J. A., A. Bentamy, M.A Bourassa, D. Bourras, E.F. Bradley, M. Brunke, S
Castro. S.H. Chou, C.A. Clayson, W.J. Emery, L. Eymard, C.W. Fairall, M.
Kubota, B. Lin, W. Perrie, R.R. Reeder, I.A. Renfrew, W.B. Rossow, J.
Schulz, S.R Smith, P.J. Webster, G.A. Wick, X. Zen, 2004: Seaflux. Bull.
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85(3), 409-424.
2003:
Fasullo, J., and P. J., Webster, 2003: A hydrological definition of the Indian summer
monsoon onset and withdrawal. J. Clim. 16, 3200-3211.
Loschnigg, J., G. A. Meehl, P. J. Webster, J. M. Arblaster, G. P. Compo, 2003: The
Asian monsoon, the tropospheric biennial oscillation and the Indian ocean
dipole in the NCAR CSM. J. Clim., 16, 1617-1642.
Clark, C. O., P. J. Webster, and J. E. Cole, 2003: The Indian Ocean dipole and the
prediction of East African precipitation. J. Clim., 16, 548-554.
Webster, P. J. and J. Fasullo, 2003: Dynamic theory of monsoons. Encyclopedia of
Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press. 1370-1386
Tomas, R. A. and P. J. Webster, 2003: Tropical Meteorology: Overview and Theory,
Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press. 2306-2312.
2002:
Webster, P. J., E. F. Bradley, C. W. Fairall, J. S. Godfrey, P. Hacker, R. A. Hopuze jr.,
R. Lukas, Y. Serra, J. M. Hummon, T. D. M. Lawrence, C. A. Russel, M. N.
Ryan, K. Sahami, P. Zuidema, 2002: The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction
Experiment (JASMINE) Pilot Study. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 83, 1603-1630.
Fasullo, J., and P. J., Webster, 2002: Hydrologic signatures relating the Asian
summer monsoon and ENSO, J. Climate, 15, (21), pp. 3082–3095.
Webster, P. J., C. Clark, G. Chirikova, J. Fasullo, W. Han, J. Loschnigg, and K.
Sahami, 2002: “The Monsoon as a self-regulating coupled oceanatmosphere system.” Meteorology at the Millennium. Academic Press, 198219.
Han, W., D. Lawrence, and P. J. Webster, 2002: Dynamical response of equatorial
Indian Ocean to intraseasonal winds: Zonal flow. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 42154218.
Han, W. and P. J. Webster, 2002: Forcing mechanisms of sea-level interannual
variability in the Bay of Bengal. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 32, 216-239.
Lawrence, D, and P. J. Webster, 2002: The boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation
and the South Asian monsoon. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 1593-1606.
2001:
Holland, G.H., P.J. Webster, J. A. Curry, et al., 2001: The Aerosonde robotic aircraft:
A new paradigm for environmental observations. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.,
82(5), 889-991.
13
Han, W. and P. J. Webster, 2001: Interannual Variability of Sea Level in the Arabian
Sea: Remote Versus Local Wind Forcing. Dynamics of Atmospheric-Oceanic
Circulations and Climate, Eds. IAP, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
Meteorological Press, 461-474, 872pp.
Lawrence, D, and P. J. Webster, 2001: Interannual variability of intraseasonal
oscillation in the Asian monsoon region. J. Clim., 14(3), 2910-2922.
2000:
Clark, C. O., J. E. Cole and P. J. Webster, 2000: SST and Indian summer rainfall:
predictive relationships and their decadal variability. J. Clim., 13, 25032519.
Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 2000: Structure of the ocean-atmosphere system
in the tropical western Pacific during strong westerly wind bursts. Q. J.
Roy. Met. Soc., 126, 899-924.
Loschnigg, J. and P. J. Webster, 2000: A coupled ocean-atmosphere system of SST
regulation for the Indian Ocean. J. Clim., 13, 3342-3360.
Torrence, C. and Peter. J. Webster, 2000: Comment on "The connection between
the Boreal Spring Southern Oscillation Persistence Barrier and Biennial
Variability," by A. J. Clarke and S. Van Gorder. J. Clim., 13, 665-667.
Wheeler, M., G. Kilidas and P. J. Webster, 2000: Large-scale dynamical fields
associated with convectively-coupled equatorial waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 57,
613-640.
1999:
Curry, J. A., C. A. Clayson, W. B. Rossow, R. Reeder, Y.C. Zhang, P. J. Webster, G.
Liu, and R. S. Sheu, 1999: High-resolution satellite-derived dataset of the
surface fluxes of heat, freshwater and momentum for the TOGA COARE
IOP. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 2059-2080.
Duane, G., P. J. Webster and J. Weiss, 1999: Co-occurrence of northern and
southern hemisphere blocks as partially synchronized chaos. J. Atmos.
Sci., 56, 4183-4205.
Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Warm pool sea surface temperature
variability in relation to the surface energy balance. J. Clim., 12, 1292-1305.
Torrence, T. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Interdecadal changes in the ENSO-Monsoon
System. J. Clim., 12, 2679-2690.
Tomas, R., J. R. Holton and P. J. Webster, 1999: On the theory of the location of
convection in strong cross-equatorial pressure gradient flows. Q. J. Roy.
Meteor. Soc., 125, 1107-1127.
1998:
Webster, P. J., A. Moore, J. Loschnigg and M. Leban: 1999: Coupled oceanatmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98. Nature, 40, 23
September, 1999, 356-360.
Webster, P. J. and J. A. Curry, 1998: The ocean and the weather. Scientific
American, September, 38-47 . (NS)
14
Henderson-Sellers, A., Zhang, H., Berz, G., Emanuel, K., Gray, W., Landsea, C.,
Holland G., Lighthill J., Shieh S. L. , Webster P, McGuffie K., 1998: Tropical
cyclones and global climate change: A post-IPCC assessment. Bull Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 79 (1): 19-38. (48)
Webster, P. J., T. Palmer, M. Yanai, R. Tomas, V. Magana, J. Shukla and A. Yasunari,
1998: Monsoons: Processes, Predictability and the prospects for
prediction. J. Geophys. Res., 103 (TOGA special issue),14451-14,510.
Anderson, D. L. T., E. S. Sarachik, P. J. Webster, 1998: The TOGA decade: a
preface. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14,167.
Compo, G., G. Kilidas and P. Webster, 1998: East Asian Winter Monsoon Pressure
Surges and Their Relationship to Tropical Variability. Quart. J. Roy. Met.
Soc., 125, 29-54
Torrence, C. and P. J. Webster, 1998: The annual cycle of persistence in the El
Nino Southern. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 124, 1985-2004.
1997:
Webster, P. J., and H-. R. Chang, 1997: Atmospheric wave propagation in
heterogeneous flow: Basic flow constraints on tropical-extratropical
interaction and equatorial wave modification. Dyn. Oceans and Atmos., 27,
91-134.
Webster, P. J. and T. N. Palmer, 1997: The past and future of El Nino. Nature,
December 12, 390, 562-564.
Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1997: On the location of the intertropical
convergence zone and near-equatorial convection: The role of inertial
instability. Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 123, 1445-1482.
1996:
Webster, P. J., C. A. Clayson and J. A. Curry, 1996: Clouds, radiation and the
diurnal cycle of sea surface temperature in the tropical western Pacific
Ocean. J. Clim., 9, 1712-1730.
Wainer I., and P. J. Webster, 1996: Monsoon-ENSO relationships in a simple
coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 25,599-25,614.
1995:
Webster, P. J., 1995: The annual cycle and the predictability of the tropical
coupled ocean-atmosphere system. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 56, 33-55.
Chang, H-. R., and P. J. Webster, 1995: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at
Low Latitudes. Part III: Forward and Backward Accumulation. J. Atmos.
Sci., 52, 2384-2403.
Gosnell, R., C. Fairall, and P. Webster, 1995: The Sensible Heat of Rain. J. Geophys.
Res., 100, 18437-18442.
Leslie, L. M., Holland, G. L. and Webster P. J., 1995: Introductory comments” Special
issue of scale interactions in the tropics. Meteor. Atmos. Phys. 56, 1-1.
15
Lukas, R., P. J. Webster, M. Ji, and A. Leetmaa, 1995: The large scale context for
the TOGA COARE coupled ocean-atmosphere response experiment.
Meteor. Atmos. Phy., 56, 3-16.
1994:
Webster, P. 1994: The Role of Hydrological Processes in Ocean-Atmosphere
Interaction. Rev. of Geophys., 32, 427-476.
Palmer, T. N. and P. J. Webster, 1994: Towards a unified approach to climate and
weather prediction. Global Climate Change, 1, 265-280.
Reynolds, C., P. J. Webster, and E. Kalnay, 1994: Random error growth in the
numerical prediction models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1281-1305.
Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1994: Vertical and Horizontal Structure of Crossequatorial Wave Propagation. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1417-1430.
1993:
Srinivasan, J, S. Gadgil, and P. J. Webster, 1993: Meridional Propagation of LargeScale Monsoon Convective Zones. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 52, 15-35.
1992:
Webster, P. J., and M. Dong, 1992: The Structure of Low Frequency Phenomena in
the Tropics and Its Interactions with the Extratropics. Advances in
Atmospheric Sciences, 10, 303-334. (NS)
Webster, P. J., and R. Lukas, 1992: TOGA-COARE: The Coupled OceanAtmosphere Response Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1377-1416.
Webster, P. J. and S. Yang, 1992: Monsoon and ENSO: Selectively Interactive
Systems. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 877-926.
Lukas, R., and P. J. Webster, 1992: TOGA COARE, OCEANUS. Phys. Oceanogr., 35,
2, September. (Yang, S.,
Webster, P. J. and M. Dong, 1992: Longitudinal Heating Gradient: Another possible
factor influencing the intensity of the Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation.
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 9, 397-410. (NS)
Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1992: Laterally Forced Equatorial Waves in Mean
Zonal Flows. Part I: Stationary Transient Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 585607.
Webster, P. J., S. Yang, I. Wainer and S. Dixit, 1992: Processes Involved in
Monsoon Variability, Physical Processes in Atmospheric Models, (Eds. D.
R. Sikka and S. S. Singh), Wiley Eastern (New Delhi), 492-500.
1991:
Webster, P. J., and R. A. Houze, Jr., 1991: The Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment,
EMEX. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 72, 1481-1505.
Lukas, R., P. J. Webster, and J. Picaut, 1991: Preface: Papers from the Western
Pacific International Meeting on TOGA COARE, 24-30 May 1989. J.
Geophys. Res., Special Supplement, 96, 3125-3150.
1990:
16
Yang, S., and Webster, P. J., 1990: The Effect of Summer Tropical Heating on the
Location and Intensity of the Extratropical Westerly Jet Stream. J.
Geophys. Res., 95, 18705-18721.
Chang, H. -R. and P. J. Webster, 1990: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at
Low Latitudes. Part II: Nonlinear Response to Strong Episodic Forcing. J.
Atmos. Sci., 47, 2624-2644.
1989:
Webster, P. J., and S. Yang, 1989: The Three-Dimensional Structure of
Perturbation Kinetic Energy and Its Relationship to the Zonal Wind. J.
Clim., 2, 1186-1198.
Webster, P. J., 1989: Great Events, Grand Experiments: Man's Study of the
Variable Climate. Part III: Exploring Climate's Boiler-box. Earth and Mineral
Sciences, 58, 46-51.
Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1989: Effects of Zonal Flows on the Equatorially
Trapped Waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3632-3652.
1988:
Webster, P. J., and H. -R. Chang, 1988: Energy Accumulation and Emanation
Regions at Low Latitudes: Impacts of a Zonally Varying Basic State. J.
Atmos. Sci. , 45, 803-829
Frederiksen, J. S., and P. J. Webster, 1988: Alternative Theories of Teleconnections
and Low Frequency Fluctuations. Rev. Geophys., 26, 459-494.
1987:
Webster, P. J., 1987: "The Elementary Monsoon." In Monsoons, (Eds., Fein and
Stephens), J. Wiley Co., 3-32.
Webster, P. J., 1987: "The Variable and Interactive Monsoon.” In Monsoons, (Eds.,
Fein and Stephens), J. Wiley Co., 269-330.
1986:
Webster, P. J., 1986: Great Events, Grand Experiments: Man's Study of the
Variable Climate. Part II: Prospects of a Warming Earth". Earth and Mineral
Sciences, 55, 21-24.
Wallace, J. M., P. J. Webster, K. Trenberth, et al., 1986: On El Nino. Scientific
American, 257, 6-7. (NS)
1985:
Arkin, P., and P. J. Webster, 1985: Annual and Interannual Variability of TropicalExtratropical Interactions: An Empirical Study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 15101523.
Webster, P. J., 1985: Great Events, Grand Experiments: Man's Study of the
Variable Climate. Part I: Interannual Variability. Earth and Mineral Sciences,
55, 3-5.
1984:
17
Webster, P. J., 1984: The Climate-CO2 Controversy: Some Personal Comments.
Climate Change, 6, 377-390.
Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1984: Cloud Decoupling of the Surface and
Planetary Radiative Budgets. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 681-686.
1983:
Webster, P. J., 1983: Mechanisms of Monsoon Transition: Surface Hydrology
Effects. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 2110-2124.
Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1984: Cloud-Radiation Feedback and the
Climate Problem. The Global Climate, (Ed., J. Houghton), Cambridge
University Press, 63-78.
Webster, P. J., 1983: "The Large Scale Structure of the Tropical Atmosphere." In
General Circulation of the Atmosphere (Eds., Hoskins and Pearce), Academic
Press, 235-275.
1982:
Webster, P. J., 1982: Seasonality of Atmospheric Response to Sea-Surface
Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 29-40.
Webster, P. J., and J. R. Holton, 1982: Wave Propagation Through a Zonally
Varying Basic Flow: The Influences of Mid-Latitude Forcing in the
Equatorial Regions. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 722-733.
1981:
Webster, P.J and N. A. Streten, 1981: Surface circulation of the Indian ocean
during the last glacial maximum approximately 18,000 BP: Comments.
Quaternary Res. 16 (3): 421-423 1981
Webster, P. J., 1981: Mechanisms Determining the Atmospheric Response to
Large-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 554571. (SC: 206)
Webster, P. J., 1981: Monsoon. Scientific American, 108-118.(SC: 4)
Webster, P. J., 1981: The Surface Circulation of the Indian Ocean During the Last
Glacial Maximum, Approximately 18,000 Yr. B.P. Quat. Res. 16, 421-423. (0)
Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1981: Clouds and Climate: Sensitivity of Simple
Systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 235-245.
1980:
Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1980: Gleaning CO2-Climate Relationships from
Model Calculations. Carbon Dioxide, Australian Academy of Science (Ed., G.
I. Pearman), Canberra.
Webster, P. J., 1980: "A Model of the Seasonally Varying Planetary Scale
Monsoon." In Monsoon Dynamics, (Eds., Lighthill and Pearce). Cambridge
University Press, 165-192.
Webster, P. J. and L. C. Chou, 1980: Low-Frequency Transitions of a Simple
Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 368-382.
18
Webster, P. J., and L. C. Chou, 1980: Seasonal Structure of a Simple Monsoon
System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 354-367.
Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1980: Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Extended
Clouds: Inferences from Winter MONEX. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 1521-1541.
1979:
Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1979: Sensitivity of Radiative Forcing to
Variable Cloud and Moisture. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1542-1556.
1978:
Webster, P. J., 1978: Lateral Effects on Monsoon Systems. Indian Journal of
Meteorology, Hydrology and Geophysics, 29, 314-326. (NS)
Webster P. J. and K-Ming Lau, 1978: Simulation of the global monsoon sequence
by a simple ocean-atmosphere interaction model. Indian Journal of
Meteorology, Hydrology and Geophysics, 29, 235-244. (NS)
Webster, P. J., and N. A. Streten, 1978: Late Quaternary Ice-Age Climates of
Tropical Australasia: Interpretations and Reconstructions. Quat. Res.,10,
279-309.
1977:
Webster, P. J., 1977: The Low-Latitude Circulation of Mars. ICARUS, 30, 626-664.
Webster, P. J., and K. M. W. Lau, 1977: A Simple Ocean-Atmosphere Climate
Model: Basic Model and a Simple Experiment. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1065-1084
.
Webster, P. J., K. M. W. Lau, and L. C. Chou, 1977: Mechanisms Affecting the State,
Evolution and Transition of the Planetary Scale Monsoon. PAGEOPH, 5,
1463-1492. (SC: 17)
Leovy, C. B., and P. J. Webster, 1977: Stratospheric Long Waves: Comparisons of
Thermal Structure in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere: Reply. J.
Atmos. Sci., 34, 435-436.
1976:
Leovy, C. B., and P. J. Webster, 1976: Stratospheric Long Waves: Comparisons of
Thermal Structure in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. J. Atmos.
Sci., 33, 1141-1154.
1975:
Webster, P. J., and D. G. Curtin, 1975: Interpretation of the EOLE Experiment: (II)
Spatial Variation of Stationary and Transient Modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 32,
1848-1863.
Webster, P. J., and J. L. Keller, 1975: Atmospheric Variations, Vacillation and Index
Cycles. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1283-1300.
1974:
Webster, P. J., and D. G. Curtin, 1974: Interpretations of the EOLE Experiment: (I)
Temporal Variations of Eulerian Quantities. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1860 -1875.
19
Webster, P. J., and J. L. Keller, 1974: A Strong Long-Period Tropospheric and
Stratospheric Rhythm in the Southern Hemisphere. Nature, 248, 212-213.
1973:
Webster, P. J., 1973: Remote Forcing of the Time-Independent Tropical
Atmosphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 58-68 .
Webster, P. J., 1973: Temporal Variation of Low-Latitude Zonal Circulations. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 101, 793-806.
Webster, P. J., 1973: Aspects of the Climate of the Southern Hemisphere. Climate
of the Arctic, University of Alaska Press, University of Alaska, 190-203.
1972:
Webster, P. J. 1972: Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Local Steady
Forcing. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 518-541.
Webster, P. J., and N. A. Streten, 1972: Aspects of Late Quaternary Climate in
Tropical Australasia. Bridge and Barrier: The Natural and Cultural History of
Torres Strait, (Editor, D. Walker), Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian
National University, 39-.61
Webster, P. J., 1972: Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Steady Forcing.
Doctoral Dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of
Meteorology, 182pp
Webster, P. J., 2007: Climate and tropical cyclones. (Invited review) Reviews of
Geophysics.
In preparation:
Webster, P. J., and Hoyos, C. D., 2010: The coupled nature of the monsoon. (Invited
review), Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc.
Webster, P. J., 2007: Climate and tropical cyclones. (Invited review) Reviews of
Geophysics.
20
Invited Lectures and Presentations:
2015
Oxford UK
2015
Atlanta GA
2014
2014
2014
2013
Understanding the Monsoon. The Edmund Halley
Lecture, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
University of Oxford, June 19, 2015
The developing world in a changing climate:
Apocalypse now, soon or never? College of Science
Frontiers of Science Series, April 16.
Stonybrook NY Hazard Prediction and Implementation in the Lessdeveloped World: What works, what doesn’t work and
how to fix it. The Robert D. Cess Lecture: March 5, 2014
Atlanta GA
Hazard Anticipation and Mitigation in the developing
world: United States/United Kingdom Workshop on
Climate Science Needed to Support Robust Adaptation
Decisions: February 7 2014
Atlanta GA
Towards a General Theory of Monsoon Dynamics.
Haurwitz Memorial Lecture: American Meteorological
Society Annual Meeting: 7 February 2014
Macau PRC
Monsoon Dynamics. Keynote address: Fifth World
Meteorological Organizations Conference on monsoons. 25 November, 2013.
2013
Zhuhai, PRC
Asian Monsoon Year Open Science Conference. 1
November, 2013.
2013
Islamabad
Paksitan
2012
Buckingham,
UK
2012
Shinfield Park
UK
2012
Boulder, CO
2012
Urbana, IL
2012
Pune, India
Probabilistic hydrological Forecasting for the Indus
Valley Pakistan Federal Flood Commission: Invited
Presentation. Conference on Early Flood Warning &
Management Systems February 14 2013
“Sustainability Through Hazard Anticipation And
Mitigation” Royal Society Conference on: Handling
uncertainty in weather and climate prediction, with
application to health, agronomy, hydrology, energy and
economics, October 4-5.
“ENSO and ENSO teleconnections”, European Centre
for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (with Hyemi Kim).
Annual ECMWF Seminar.
“The ITCZ, equatorial eaves and the ISO: Prospects for
Understanding and Prediction”, Annual Postdoctoral
Symposium, National Center for Atmospheric Research.
“Probability, Prediction and Decisions: A pathway to
the alleviation of poverty in the developing world”, Y.
Ogura Memorial Lecture. April 25.
“Monsoon predictability and prediction: Progress and
horizons.” IITM Golden Jubilee Conference on
“Opportunities and Challenges in Monsoon Prediction and
climate (OCHAMP) Plenary lecture, Feb. 21-25, 2012
21
2012
Jacksonville,
FL
2012
New Delhi
India
2011
San Francisco
CA
Pasadena CA
2010
2010
Washington
DC
2010
London UK
2010
Boulder CO
2010
Atlanta GA
2009
Washington
DC
2009
San Francisco
CA
2009
Silver Springs
MD
2009
Aosta, Italy
Couple oscillations in ocean and land heating. (with V.
Toma, H-M Kim and C. D. Hoyos) Tropical Cyclone and
Meteorology meeting American Meteorological Society
“Extended prediction of tropical cyclones in the North
Indian Ocean. Plenary talk”, Second WMO International
Conference on Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and
Climate Change, IMD, February 14-17, 2012
Role of tropical cyclones in the heat balance of the
planet AGU Annual meeting, San Franscico.
(1) “Tropical cyclones and climate”
(2) “Some recent thoughts on intraseasonal variability”
(3) “Equatorial instabilities: a common solution for
some fundamental questions in the tropics” Jet
Propulsion Laboratory, NASA, May 3-5, 2010
“Tropical cyclones, surface temperature and climate
variability”, National Research Council Climate Research
Committee, April 2010
“Uncertainty in predicting extremes in weather and
climate”, Royal Society 350th Anniversary Symposium: on
“Handling Uncertainty in Science, London March 2010
“Intraseasonal prediction of tropical cyclone activity in
the North Atlantic” National Center of Atmospheric
Science, February, 2010
(1) “The mean and transient ITCZ, near-equatorial
westerlies and the world in a cross-equatorial pressure
gradient environment”
(2) ”Following the equator with Joachim Kuettner:
Experiments and Expeditions”
Annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society,
Atlanta, GA January
(1) “Instabilities of the ITCZ and the genesis of easterly
waves”
(2) “Modulation of the tropical warm pool in a warming
world”
(3) “Extended hydrological prediction: The Bangladesh
experience”.
Center for Land, Oceans and Atmosphere (COLA) ,
October 2010.
(1) “The Intertropical Convergence Zone, equatorial
westerlies and the creation of climatically sensitive
zones in the ocean”
(2) “Bridging the global-regional climate gap through
statistical adjustment of mutli-model, ensemble
integrations”
AGU Annual Fall Meeting 7-11, December:
“Extended hydrological prediction: The Bangladesh
experience”. NOAA Climate Office, Silver Springs, MD
Sept 11
“Dynamics of monsoons”: Principal lecturer, Summer
School on Monsoon Systems, June 1-6, 2009.
22
“A new climate paradigm: Evolution of the dynamic
warm pool”, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences,
Harvard University
“Nargis and Myanmar”, Impacts2008. American
Meteorological Society, Annual Meeting, January 13, 2009
Anthony Hollingsworth Memorial Symposium: “Extended
prediction and Tony Hollingsworth”. American
meteorological Society, Annual Meeting, January 15, 2009
American Geophysical Society: “The coupled state of the
Indian Ocean and the monsoon”, December 12, 2008
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting:
Use of ECMWF EPS products for extended prediction
of floods and tropical cyclones. 14 October 2008
University of Reading: The evolution of the dynamic
warm pool and the genesis of tropical cyclones. 13
October 2008
Keynote speaker: AIR Spring meeting: Global warming:
Evolution of the tropical warm pool, convection and
tropical cyclones. April 7.
Department of Atmospheric Sciences Seminar: The
Tropical Warm Pool in a Warming World. April 16.
World Bank (Asia branch): Extended prediction of
rainfall and river discharge and disaster mitigation.
March 3
Departmental seminar: Two warm pools, an inertial
osicllator and a slow manifold. February 6.
AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited lecture: Changes in
the discharge of the Ganges, Brahmaputra, Nile and
Yangtze rivers during the next century.
2009
Cambridge MA
2009
Phoenix AZ
2009
Phoenix AZ
2008
2008
San Francisco,
CA
Reading UK
2008
Reading UK
2008
San Diego CA
2008
Maryland
2008
Washington
DC
2008
Miami, FLA
2007
San Francisco
2007
San Francisco
AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited lecture: Forecasting
flooding in the Brahmaputra and Ganges delta on
short (1-10 days) medium (20-30 days) and seasonal
time scales (1-6 months).
2007
Acapulco
Mexico
The Jule Charney Lecture. American Geophysical Union,
may 2007. Interactions between climate and tropical
cyclones
2006
San Francisco
AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited talk, December 11-15,
2006: Monsoon variability and hydrology of South Asia
2006
San Francisco
AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited talk, December 11-15,
2006: Role of Hurricanes in the Global Heat Balance
2006
San Francisco
AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited talk, December 11-15,
2006: Expanding tropical warm pool: Increased tropical
cyclone season length and storm duration
23
2006
Tallahassee,
FL
Inaugural Baum Library Lecture: Sustainability in a
warming world
2006
Rayleigh, NC
NCS College of Science Alumni Keynote Speaker. October
13, 2006 . Environmental tipping points and hurricanes
in a warming world.
2006
Atlanta GA:
Georgia Tech. Alumi Assoaitaion. October 27.
Environmental and social tipping points in warming
world.
2006
Atlanta GA
Three-tiered hydrometeorological Forecasting: A
useful system for the developing world with ungauged
river basins. : American Meteorological Society annual
meeting.
2006
Atlanta GA
Mixing politics and science: American Meteorological
Society annual meeting. (Invited paper)
2006
Treiste Italy
Empirical forecasting of the Monsoon Intraseasonal
Oscillation. International Centre for Theoretical Physics.
March
2005
Briefing of Gov. J. Bush on hurricane risk in Florida
2005
Tallahassee,
FL
New York, NY
2005
Dhaka, Bangl
Briefing to the Prime Minister of Bangladesh Office: The
Climate Forecast Application Project for Bangladesh. 24
August
2005
Cairns, Aust
The coupled monsoon system. Dynamic Planet 2005.
IAPSO/IAG August 22-23
2005
Irvine, CA
Three-tierred forecasting of river discharge and
precipitation in the South Asian region. GEWEX
International Conference. 13-17 June.
2005
Irvine CA
Modeling intraseasonal variability of the monsoon.
GEWEX Special Conference on Monsoon predictability.
June 11-12
2005
Athens,
Greece
Slow Manifold modeling and the reduction of erros in
convective parameterizations. GEWEX Cloud Systems
Studies (GCSS) May 12-20.
2005
Hobart, Aust
State of predictability of the intraseasonal variability of
the Indian monsoon. Indian Ocean Panel, 30 March
The frequency, duration and intensity of hurricanes in
a warming world. Keynote address: Environmental
Defense. November 7
24
2005
Hawaii
Monsoon prediction using Bayesian and slow manifold
modeling. IPRC, Honolulu, Hawaii, February 11
2005
Hawaii
The coupled ocean-atmosphere monsoon. AGU
Chapman Conference, Honolulu Hawaii, February 10.
2005
New Delhi
India
Regulation of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system.
MONEX-25 Conference.
2005
New Delhi,
India
Modeling monsoon intraseasonal variability with
Bayesian and slow manifold modeling. National Centre
for medium Range Weather Forecasting: Feb 1
2005
San Diego, CA
2004
Hangzhou,
PRC
Intraseasonal variability. American Meteorological
Society
Experimental three-tier overlapping prediction. WMO
Forecasters Conference. November 2004
2004
Hangzhou,
PRC
Overview of the physics of the monsoon. WMO
Forecasters Conference. November 2004
2004
Baltimore,
Maryland
Miami, FL
Monsoons (with J. Slingo and R. Mechoso). CLIVAR
International Science Conference. June 20
Monsoons, AMS conference
2004
Charlottesville,
VA
Monsoons in a Warming World: Moore Lecture,
Department of Environmental Sciences, University of
Virginia . April 7,.
2004
Pune, India
Intraseasonal variability of the monsoon: processes
and prediction . Keynote address. Monsoon Conference
2003
Melbourne,
Australia
Empirical forecasting of monsoon intraseasonal
variability and the utility to numerical prediction.
Convection Conference BMRC October, 2003
2003
ECMWF,
Reading UK
Denver , CO
Intraseasonal variability. Invited talk, ECMWF , Reading ,
UK. Workshop on Madden-Julian Oscillation. November
Monsoons in a warming world: Racing with the 4
horsemen. (with B. A. Webster). Invited paper AAAS
Annual Meeting.
2003
Long Beach
CA
Coupled ocean-atmosphere aspects of the monsoon
intraseasonal variability and consequences for
prediction. AMS annual meeting Invited paper. February
11.
2003
New Delhi,
India
Forecasting monsoon variability on 20-25 day time
scales: UNDP New Delhi, India
2004
2003
25
2003
Bangkok,
Thailand
Forecasting monsoon variability on 20-25 day
timescales. GEWEX Scientific Steering Group.
2003
Dhaka,
Bangladesh
2002
Reading, UK
The Climate Forecasting Applications in Bangladesh
(CFAB) Plenary seminar. National Consortium meeting.
January 17-18
.
ECMWF Annual Seminar: Dynamics of the monsoon
and the forecasting of deltaic floods in Bangladesh.
November.
2001
Boulder
NCAR summer colloquium: ("Tropical Atmosphere and
Oceans": Four lectures on the dynamics of low latitudes,
wave propagation and monsoons. July 9-20.
2001
Seattle, WA
"The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere
system". Invited seminar: Dept. Atmos. Sci., University of
Washington.
2001
New Delhi,
India
"The physics of the monsoon". Invited address
International Colloquium on Monsoons, 21 March
2001
Reading, UK
"The monsoon". Invited seminar: Department of
Meteorology, University of Reading. 19 February.
2001
London, UK
"The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere
phenomena". Invited seminar at the Royal Society,
London. 20 February.
2001
Southhampton
, UK
The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere
phenomena". Invited seminar: Southhampton
Oceanographic Institute, 21 February.
2001
Reading, UK
"Preliminary results from the Joint Air Sea Monsoon
Interaction Experiment: JASMINE". European Centre
for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 22 February.
2000
Fort Collins,
CO
"Monsoons, Part 2: A theoretical view of the monsoon
as a self-regulating coupled ocean-atmosphere
system." November. Department of Atmospheric Science,
Colorado State University.
2000
Perth,
Australia
"Predictability in the Australian sector resulting from
the coupled ocean-atmosphere nature of the Indian
Ocean monsoon." Workshop on Sustained Observations
of Climate in the Indian Ocean (SOCIO), November 13-15.
2000
Perth,
Australia
"A case for sustained climate observations in the
Indian Ocean: Emphasis on intraseaonal variability."
26
Indian Ocean Climate Initiative (IOCI 2000), November 910.
2000
Venice, Italy
"Coupled ocean-atmosphere processes in the Indian
Ocean: Intraseasonal to interannual. "Conference on
The Shallow Tropical/Subtropical Overturning Cells and
Their Interaction With the Atmosphere. October 9-13:
Presentation given by Dr. Weiqing Han.
2000
Cambridge,
UK
"Monsoons at the millennium." Royal Society
Conference on Meteorology at the Millennium. Cambridge,
England.
2000
Honolulu, HW
"The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment
(JASMINE): A Review." Presentation to the International
WMO/WCRP CLIVAR Scientific Steering Group. May 2-3.
2000
Oracle, AZ
"Abrupt climate change: A tropical perspective,"
NRC/CRC Abrupt Change Panel, April 6-7.
2000
Fort Collins,
CO
"Monsoons, Part 1: An observational perspective,"
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences. Feb.
24.
2000
Honolulu, HW
"The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment
(JASMINE): A Review," CLIVAR Extended Observation
Program, January 27-Feb. 4.
1999
Honolulu, HW:
1. "A perspective on monsoon meteorology and
oceanography: MONEX to JASMINE".
2. "The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere
phenomena," WMO/WCRP International Monsoon
Conference. CLIVAR Monsoon Panel. December 6-10.
1999
Silver Springs,
MD
"Monsoon: Perspectives at the millennium," Center for
Ocean-Atmosphere and Land (COLA), November 24.
1999
Venice, Italy
"Variability in the Indian Ocean and the monsoon,"
PAGES-CLIVAR Global Climate Workshop. November 812.
1999
San Antonio,
TX
"Monsoon: Perspectives at the millennium," Center for
Ocean-Atmosphere and Land (COLA), November 24.
1998
Taipei, Taiwan
"Evidence of Unstable Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere
Modes in the Indian Ocean," Asia-Pacific Monsoon and
Typhoon Meeting, Nov. 14--19, 1998.
1998
Hanoi,
"Towards the prediction of the East Asia Monsoon,"
27
Vietnam
ASEAN Conference on Climate, Oct. 10--17, 1998.
1998
Greenbelt, MA
"Monsoons," NASA Goddard Lecture, NASA Goddard
Space Flight Center, June 9, 1998.
1998
San Juan, PR
"El Nino: Physics and Impacts," Puerto Rico Forum on
Global Change. March 6--8, 1998.
1998
Bangkok,
Thailand
"Monsoons: processes, predictability and the prospect
of prediction." Asian Regional Meeting on El Nino Related
Crises. Jan. 30--Feb. 6, 1998.
1997
Jakarta,
Indonesia
"Monsoon-ENSO Interaction and the Prospects for
Improved Prediction," International Conference on El
Nino.
1997
Reading, UK
"An Anthology of Tropical Convection,” European
Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting,
September.
1997
Melbourne,
Australia
"ENSO-monsoon relationships," IAMAS/IUGG
International Conference, June 26--July 17.
1997
Vienna,
Austria
"On the Location of Organized Tropical Convection,"
European Geophysical Society, April.
1997
Mexico City,
Mexico
"Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction: Melding Science
Objectives with Applications," Keynote Address:
Conference on Pan-American Climate Studies.
1997
Seattle, WA
"The Monsoon: Processes, Predictability and the
Prospects for Prediction," Department of Atmospheric
Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, Wa.
1997
Bali, Indonesia
"Predictability of the Monsoons," World Meteorological
Organization International Workshop on Monsoon Studies,
February.
1997
Long Beach,
CA
"The Scientific Objectives of the GOALS program,"
American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, January.
1996
Kyoto, Japan
"Intraseasonal Variability and the Predictability of the
Monsoon: The concept of a Nudged Chaotic System,"
International Workshop on Climate Systems, December.
1996
Trieste, Italy
“Lecture Series on Monsoon, El Nino and the Southern
Oscillation,” Institute of Theoretical Physics, July.
1996
Washington,
DC
"Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Interaction and
Intraseasonal Variability of the Monsoon: A nexus for
28
GOALS and GEWEX," International Conference on Global
Water and Energy (GEWEX) (with J. A. Curry)
1996
Boulder, CO
"Intraseasonal Variability and the Predictability of the
Monsoon: The concept of a nudged chaotic system,"
National Center of Atmospheric Research, November.
1996
San Antonio,
TX
"Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction in the western Pacific
Ocean," DOE ARM conference, March.
1996
Aspendale,
Australia
"The Global Hydrology and Climate Stability," Division
of Atmospheric Research.
1996
Melbourne,
Australia
"The location of Equatorial Convection: Role of Inertial
Instability," Bureau of Meteorology Research Center,
May.
1996
Atlanta, GA
"Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction: A Global View,"
January.
29
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