ISTANBUL BILGI UNIVERSITY MBA PROGRAM BUS 531 – Business Statistics LECTURER: Prof. Dr. Şule Özmen, sule.ozmen@bilgi.edu.tr suleozmen.com @suleozmen COURSE DESCRIPTION: Aims and Objectives: This course is designed to familiarize students with basic statistical techniques and their application to the field of business. Part of this objective is achieved through use of EXCEL software. An emphasis is placed on the use of applications drawn from the real world. On completion of the course, students should have mastered how to plot and interpret data; know how and when to use descriptive statistics; be comfortable with basic concepts relating to probability theory; be familiar with a number of probability distributions and their applications; be able to undertake hypothesis testing using proportional and continuous data; be familiar with the principle of t-tests, F-tests, be familiar with the concept of correlation and be able to undertake simple and multiple regression analyses and interpret the resultant output; be familiar with graphing, plotting, statistical and regression functions in EXCEL. This course forms an important basis for accessing and understanding applied material in the subsequent courses. It also provides an important preparation for students who aim to have a good understanding to use statistics in business world, which has already become an indispensable tool in every field of business. Moreover it provides a good basis for students who wish to pursue statistical analysis on their own in their work related matters. Course Pre-requisites: None, except the basic knowledge with elementary computational skills and a basic computer literacy. More emphasis will be placed upon computer applications instead of mathematical derivations.Course materials contain some basic mathematical expressions to be able to understand the underlying logic of the computer applications. Course Organization: There is one lecture per week. Lecture presentations will be available in downloadable format from a dedicated website for this course. Students are encouraged to download the lecture slides in advance of the lecture. They can be downloaded from online.bilgi.edu.tr Lectures: There are two lectures of 50 minutes duration each week. Lectures will take place between 19:00 and 21:00 on the announced day. TEXT: Statistical Software: As indicated above a part of this course heavily depends on the use of EXCEL statistical software. The reason for this choice the application of statistics requires, undoubtedly, a statistical software to overcome the difficulty of cumbersome calculation. Course Text: The adoption of the following texts is necessary. De Veaux R.D., Velleman P.F., Bock D.E "Intro Stat", Pearson Addison Wesley. ASSESSMENT/EVALUATION METHODS: Homeworks ............................10 % Midterm Examination ............40 % Final Examination ..................50 % 1 COURSE OUTLINE (Chapters refer to the chapters of the course text mentioned above) WEEK 1 I - Exploring and Understanding Data Chapter 1: Stats Starts Here Chapter 2: Data WEEK 2 I - Exploring and Understanding Data (Continue) Chapter 3: Displaying and Describing Categorical Data Chapter 4: Displaying Quantitative Data WEEK 3 I - Exploring and Understanding Data (Continue) Chapter 5: Describing Distributions Numerically Chapter 6: The Standard Deviation as a Ruler and the Normal Model WEEK 4 II - Exploring Relationships Between Variables Chapter 7: Scatterplots, Association and Correlation Chapter 8: Linear Regression WEEK 5 II - Exploring Relationships Between Variables (Continue) Chapter 9: Regression Wisdom Chapter 10: Re – expressing data: It’s Easier Than You Think WEEK 6 III - Gathering Data Chapter 11: Understanding Randomness Chapter 12: Sample Surveys Chapter 13: Experiments and Observational Studies WEEK 7 IV - Randomness and Probability Chapter 14: From Randomness to Probability Chapter 15: Probability Rules WEEK 8 2 IV - Randomness and Probability (Continue) V - From the Data at Hand to the World at Large Chapter 16: Random Variables Chapter 17: Probability Models Chapter 18: Sampling Distribution Models WEEK 9 V - From the Data at Hand to the World at Large (Continue) Chapter 19: Confidence Intervals for Proportions Chapter 20: Testing Hypothesis about Proportions WEEK 10 V - From the Data at Hand to the World at Large (Continue) Chapter 21: More About Tests Chapter 22: Comparing Two Proportions WEEK 11 VI - Learning About the World Chapter 23: Inferences About Means WEEK 12 VI - Learning About the World (Continue) Chapter 24: Comparing Means Chapter 25: Paired Samples and Blocks WEEK 13 VII - Inference When Variables are Related Chapter 26: Comparing Counts WEEK 14 VII - Inference When Variables are Related (Continue) Chapter 27: Inferences for Regression 3