Targeting technologies – from ‘silver bullets’ to ‘best fits’ Ken Giller There is broad consensus that both land and labour productivity must be enhanced in Africa. African agriculture is highly diverse, with major farming systems matched to the major agroecologies (Dixon et al., 2001). Within each of the broad classes of farming systems, substantial variability exists. Within any given country or region there are also more localised agroecological gradients, and large differences between regions in terms of access to markets. Within every village a wide diversity of farming livelihoods can be found, differing in production objectives and in wealth and resource endowments (Tittonell et al., 2005; Zingore et al., 2006). In relation to inherent productivity, native soil fertility is less than half that found in Europe, as the vast majority of soils are relicts of 2-billion year old granites, and have few nutrients left. Where younger, volcanic soils occur these are inherently richer in nutrients, but have their own soil fertility problems as they generally fix phosphorus strongly. Soil fertility is also extremely heterogeneous at more local scales: the difference in soil organic matter between the fields of small farms in Kenya and Zimbabwe over distances of only 50-100 m are as large (Tittonell et al., 2005; Zingore et al., 2006) as the differences between the most fertile and least fertile soils at regional or continental scale across Africa (Windmeijer and Andriesse, 1993). These differences in soil fertility are partly derived from inherent differences in properties (the ‘soilscape’) but are strongly influenced by past management, particularly by the rates and quality of organic manures added to the soils. This heterogeneity in farming systems and potential productivity and limiting factors must be embraced in any approach to enhancing agricultural productivity. It is clear that ‘one-size-fits-all’ or silver bullet solutions that are generally applicable simply do not exist. Whereas much of what is written on technology development for enhancing productivity refers to baskets of technologies among which ‘best bets’ can be identified for certain farmer groups in certain regions, a better conceptualization is to think of ‘best fit’ technology options for any given situation. Along this line of thinking, Ojiem et al. (2006) derived the concept of the ‘socioecological niche’ for targeting of technologies, taking cognisance of the need to recognize heterogeneity among and within farms. Agricultural research has contributed significant understanding of African smallholder farming systems, both in terms of the potential options available for farmers and in terms of a better understanding of the context within which farming takes place. The number of ‘success stories’ remains limited. There is general consensus that agriculture must be considered within the frame of the ‘extended livelihoods’ of the populations within rural areas. The alternatives for income generation both within localities (often largely in agriculture) and further afield (often in urban centres) must be considered in relation to future trajectories for farming. The increasingly dominant paradigm of thinking towards enhancing agricultural productivity is one of ‘market-led diversification and intensification’. Whilst linkage to markets (particularly for cash crops such as cotton, tobacco etc) can provide the opportunities for purchasing fertilizers to drive up productivity, not all market-led intensification leads to sustainable production systems. A good example is the influence of urbanization on developing the market for cooking bananas (matoke) in Uganda. Rapid economic growth, with a concomitant increase in the population of Kampala has led to rapid expansion of the market for matoke in the city. This leads to a one-way nutrient transport in the cooking bananas to the urban centre, as the bananas are produced in traditional systems with virtually no addition of fertilizers. Thus decline in banana production is likely (and already appears to be happening) unless alternative methods of soil fertility management can be sought. Many reports recommend small-scale irrigation schemes as a means of enhancing productivity. The total land area where irrigation may be feasible is restricted, and small-scale irrigation schemes have a patchy history due to the lack of attention to institutional aspects. If successful such initiatives can be important for production of high-value crops and particularly vegetables. Although the heterogeneity in African farming is at first sight bewildering, systematic analysis across farming systems in West, East and southern Africa reveals repeating patterns of management. These repeating patterns of allocation of nutrient resources and management methods lead to self-organization among smallholder farms (Giller et al., 2006). The past management of fields leads to extreme differences in fertilizer use efficiency, e.g. from 5 kg grain kg N-1 to 50 kg grain kg N1 between fields of the same farm, as has been shown in East and southern Africa by TSBF (Vanlauwe et al., 2006; Zingore, 2006) and in West Africa by IFDC (Wopereis et al., 2006). By categorizing field types within agroecological zones in simple terms, easily recognizable by farmers ‘rules-of-thumb’ can be derived for highly-efficient management of scarce nutrient resources in these heterogeneous environments. New approaches to the problem of building soil fertility use the principles of ‘Integrated Soil Fertility Management’ (ISFM), and ‘Balanced Nutrient Management’ recognising that: 1) neither practices based solely on mineral fertilizers or solely on organic matter management are sufficient for sustainable management of agricultural production; 2) well-adapted, disease- and pest-resistant germplasm is necessary to make efficient use of available nutrients (Vanlauwe et al., 2002); and 3) good agronomic practices in terms of planting dates, planting densities and weeding are essential to ensure efficient use of scarce nutrient resources (Tittonell et al., 2006). In addition to these principles we recognize: 4) the need to target nutrient resources within crop rotation cycles, going beyond recommendations for single crops (Giller, 2002); and 5) the importance of integration of livestock within the farming systems (Rufino et al., 2006). Participatory plant breeding approaches have made major advances in the speed of development of new varieties of a range of staple cereal and legume crops. Improved understanding of seed systems indicates that while the private sector is important for cereals, many self-pollinating crops require local initiatives to enhance availability and uptake of new varieties. There is increasing concern relating to the likely effects of climate change on the predictability and amounts of rainfall in Africa. Other major drivers of change throughout sub-Saharan Africa are rapid urbanization coupled with rapid rates of population growth. Although population in urban centres is growing at some 5-6%, growth rates generally remain above 3% in rural areas indicating a doubling time of 20 years, even when the effects of HIV/AIDS are taken into account. Thus rural areas of Africa are highly dynamic: in many areas sedentary agriculture has only been practised for the past 50 years and have changed dramatically over this period. The farming systems can thus be seen as ‘moving targets’ upon which new constraints such as HIV/AIDS have major impacts through loss of human capital, increasing pressure on the earnings of poor households, decreasing availability of labour etc. All of these extra pressures render communities in rural areas highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Thus new approaches for enhancing productivity in Africa must take account of, and harness, the dynamic nature of farming systems and the heterogeneity between regions, farmers and their fields. Both mineral fertilizers and organic matter are scarce nutrient resources, necessitating steps to increase availability of these resources and to manage them efficiently. A key issue is tailoring soil fertility management to new opportunities for market development, some of which bring new opportunities and some new threats for sustainable soil management. The proposed approach represents a substantial shift in concepts from traditional ‘blanket recommendations’ to focus on the targeting of best-fit technologies to different farmers and crops within production systems using simple ‘rules-of-thumb’ derived from scientific principles and local farmers’ knowledge. Despite major changes in thinking concerning sustainable development of agriculture in Africa, implementation of new ideas and approaches remains problematic. Information transfer to agricultural development workers (NGOs, extension etc) is slow and most information available from government offices in countries of sub-Saharan Africa is decades old. 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