PROGRAM:
Lake Arrowhead Conference
Thursday 6:30 to 7:45  DINNER,
Followed by a RECEPTION in the LAKE VIEW ROOM
Friday 9:00 to 10:00
PLENARY SESSION
PINE VIEW ROOM
Chair: Susanne Lohmann
Short Welcome: Bill McKelvey
1.
NIGEL GILBERT <n.gilbert@soc.surrey.ac.uk>,
Agent-based Modeling: The First Ten Years; the Next Hundred?
2.
STEVE BANKES <bankes@evolvinglogic.com>,
Exploring Ensembles of Alternative Agent Based Models
Friday 10:30 to 12:00 
INTELLIGENCE, LEARNING, AND KNOWLEDGE APPLICATIONS
LAKE VIEW
Chair: David Kronenfeld
3.
JERKER DENRELL, CHRISTINA FANG AND DANIEL A. LEVINTHAL <Jerker.Denrell@hhs.se>,
Learning in a Labyrinth: Learning from Model-based Feedback
4.
PIOTR DOLLAR, PAUL LASKOWSKI AND MARSHALL VAN ALSTYNE <mvanalst@umich.edu>,
Simulating the Growth and Diffusion of Knowledge in Agent Societies
5.
DARIO NARDI <dnardi@math.ucla.edu>,
Intelligence as Communication—Roles and Needs of Socially Embedded Agents
6.
MARGO WADDELL <margotanne@pdq.net>,
When a Fad Ends: An Agent Model of Imitative Behavior
PEACE, WAR, TERRORISM & HOMICIDE
PINE VIEW
Chair: Ian Lustick
7.
HAYWARD R. ALKER <alker@rcf-fs.usc.edu>,
On the Ontology of War and Peace
8.
KATHLEEN M. CARLEY <carley+@centro.soar.cs.cmu.edu>
Inhibiting Emergence in and Destabilizing Multi-Agent Networks
9.
KATHLEEN M. CARLEY, DOUGLAS B. FRIDSMA AND ALEX YAHJA <ay@cmu.edu>,
BIOWAR: Simulation of Disease Outbreaks using Social Networks
10. GEORGE TITA AND ROBERT AXTELL <gtita@uci.edu>,
Drugs, Guns and Gangs: An Agent-Based Model of Homicide
ORGANIZATIONAL STRATEGY & EMERGENT STRUCTURE
LIBRARY
Chair: Nosh Contractor
11. ANTHONY DEKKER <dekker@ACM.org>,
Agent-Based Modelling and Organisational Structure
12. RAYMOND E. LEVITT, MICHAEL FYALL, PER BJORNSSON AND WILLIAM HEWLETT, III <rel@cive.stanford.edu>,
When Information Flow in Project Organizations Becomes Turbulent: Toward an Organizational "Reynolds Number
13. UGO MERLONE AND ARIANNA DAL FORNO <merlone@econ.unito.it>,
An Agent-based Simulation Framework for the Analysis of the Equilibria Emergence in a Complex Structure Such as
a Firm
14. JAN W. RIVKIN <jrivkin@hbs.edu>,
Choice Interaction and Organization Structure
Friday 1:30 to 3:30
INDIVIDUAL PSYCHOLOGICAL STUDIES
PINE VIEW
Chair: Dan Levinthal
15. ROBERT HOFFMANN <Robert.Hoffmann@nottingham.ac.uk>,
Social Cognition and Coordination
16. JÜRGEN KLÜVER AND CHRISTINA STOICA <juergen.kluever@uni-essen.de>,
Formal Parallels Between Sociocultural Evolution and Cognitive Ontogenesis.
A Computational Model
17. STACY MARSELLA AND JONATHAN GRATCH <marsella@isi.edu> <gratch@ict.usc.edu>,
Developing Agent-based Models of Emotion, Cognition, and Social Behavior
18. PIETRO PANZARASA <pp@ecs.soton.ac.uk>,
Interaction Topologies and Organizational Cognition
19. JULIETTE ROUCHIER <rouchier@ehess.cnrs-mrs.fr>,
How Individuals' Self-Image Can Evolve in a Strongly Constrained Society with Shared Norms of Behavior and
Learning
ANTHROPOLOGY
LIBRARY
Chair: Dwight Read
20. JAY DOUGLAS <jdouglas@ict.usc.edu>,
Posthuman Players: Autonomous Agents and the Movies
21. MICHAEL D. FISCHER <M.D.Fischer@ukc.ac.uk>,
Powerful Knowledge: Information Theory, Classification and Knowledge in Pakistan and the Cook Islands
22. NICK GESSLER <gessler@ucla.edu>,
Artificial Culture: Experiments in Synthetic Anthropology
23. DAVID B. KRONENFELD <kfeld@citrus.ucr.edu>,
Culture and Society: The Role of Distributed Cognition
INDUSTRY LEVEL ANALYSES
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Jan Rivkin
24. VITO ALBINO, NUNZIA CARBONARA AND ILARIA GIANNOCCARO <ncarbonara@dimeg.poliba.it>,
Co-operation and Competition within Industrial District Networks: An Agent-Based Approach
25. CLINT ANDREWS (RUTGERS) AND ROB AXTELL <cja1@rci.rutgers.edu>,
Agent Based Modeling of Industrial Ecosystems
26. LESLIE HENRICKSON <lhenrick@ucla.edu>,
A Systems and Agent-based Model Approach for College Choice/College Access to Higher Education
27. PAUL ORMEROD, HELEN JOHNS AND LAURENCE SMITH <pormerod@volterra.co.uk>,
An Agent-Based Model of the Extinction Patterns of Capitalism’s Largest Firms
28. C. JASON WOODARD <jason@eecs.harvard.edu>,
Architectural Control and the Strategy of Design: Agent-Based Approaches to Modeling the Software Industry
Friday 4:00 to 6:00 (6:20)
STUDIES OF COOPERATIVE BEHAVIOR
LIBRARY
Chair: Jasmina Arifovic
29. DAMON CENTOLA <damon_octavius@hotmail.com>
How Societies Solve Social Dilemmas: Group Formation and Emergent Cooperation
30. CORINNE COEN <ccoen@buffalo.edu>,
Beyond the Shadow of the Future: How Multiple Teams Alter the Dynamics of Cooperation
31. JUNG-KYOO CHOI <jungk@econs.umass.edu>,
The Evolution of Cooperation In N-Person Public Goods Game Under Different Social Environments.
32. W. F. LAWLESS <lawlessw@mail.paine.edu>,
Social Quantum Logic: An Alternative to Cooperation and Game Theories
33. MARK PINGLE AND LEIGH TESFATSION <tesfatsi@iastate.edu>,
Non-Employment Benefits and the Evolution of Worker-Employer Cooperation: Experiments with Real and
Computational Agents
GOVERNMENT PROCESSES AND OUTCOMES
PINE VIEW
Chair: Hayward Alker
34. EMILY CLOUGH <eclough@polisci.umn.edu>
Integrating Downs and Duverger: Modeling party systems under conditions of uncertainty
35. DAVID EPSTEIN <de11@columbia.edu>,
Complexity in Legislatures
36. MARCO A. JANSSEN AND ELINOR OSTROM <maajanss@indiana.edu>,
Adoption of a New Regulation for the Governance of Common-Pool Resources by a Heterogeneous Population
37. KEN KOLLMAN, <kkollman@umich.edu>,
The Rotating Presidency of the European Union.
38. KEIJI SUZUKI <suzukj@fun.ac.jp>,
Changing Roles of Meta-agents in Simulations of the Tragedy of the Commons
39. BYOUNG WON MIN <min.16@osu.edu>,
Conflict and Trade in Cellular Automata World Politics
META-PERSPECTIVES ON AGENT MODELING
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Steve Bankes
40. LÁSZLÓ GULYÁS <gulyas@fas.harvard.edu>,
On The Transition to Agent-Based Modeling: A Case Study
41. ROBERT LEMPERT <lempert@rand.org>,
Robust Adaptive Planning: A New Decisions Sciences for Complex Systems
42. BILL MCKELVEY <mckelvey@anderson.ucla.edu>,
Foundations of “New” Social Science: Institutional Legitimacy from Philosophy, Complexity Science, Postmodernism,
and Agent-Based Modeling
43. DAVID SALLACH <sallach@uchicago.edu>,
Layered Situations and Agent Orientation
44. DARREN SCHREIBER <dschreib@ucla.edu>,
Validating Models: From Epistemology to Applications
Friday 7:30 to 9:30
MODELING ISSUES IN SELF-ORGANIZING AND EVOLVING SYSTEMS—1
PINE VIEW
Chairs: Charlotte Hemelrijk and Norman Johnson
45. MARK BEDAU: <mab@reed.edu>,
Quantifying Adaptation of Evolved Structures
46. NOAH GOLDSTEIN: <noah@geog.ucsb.edu>,
Chaotic Nature of Online Translators
47. NORMAN JOHNSON: <nlj@lanl.gov>,
Failure in Collective Systems: The Effect of Environmental Stability on Collective Self-Organization and the Chaotic
Effect of Multiple-Issue Platforms in Electoral Processes
48. SUSANNE LOHMANN: <lohmann@ucla.edu>,
The Information Ecology of the University
49. ZOLTAN TOROCZKAI: <toro@cnls.lanl.gov>,
Spreading of Information with Global Currency Value in Highly Networked Societies
Saturday 8:45 to 10:15
MODELING ISSUES IN SELF-ORGANIZING AND EVOLVING SYSTEMS—2
PINE VIEW
Chairs: Charlotte Hemelrijk and Norman Johnson
50. BROOKE HARRINGTON: <brooke_harrington@brown.edu>,
Task Commitment, Diversity and Workgroup Outcomes Abstract
51. CHARLOTTE HEMELRIJK: <hemelrij@ifi.unizh.ch>,
Development of singular collectives, e.g., a despotic society
52. JULIA K. PARRISH, STEVE VISCIDO AND DANNY GRUNBAUM: <jparrish@u.washington.edu>,
The Traffic Rules of Fish Schools: From Individuals to Aggregations
53. DWIGHT READ <dread@anthro.ucla.edu>,
The Emergence of Order from Disorder as a Form of Self-Organization
SOCIAL INFORMATICS
LIBRARY
Chair: Toshizumi Ohta
54. HITOSHI YAMAMOTO, ISAMU OKADA, NOBUCHIKA KOBAYASHI, AND TOSHIZUMI OHTA: <hitoshi@rs.kagu.tus.ac.jp>,
The Winner-take-all Phenomenon in Markets where Network Externality is Ineffective
55. ISAMU OKADA AND TOSHIZUMI OHTA: <okada@s.soka.ac.jp>,
Criteria Indexes of the Multiagent Simulators
56. KAZUNARI ISHIDA AND TOSHIZUMI OHTA: <ishida@kke.co.jp>,
On an analysis of trends concerning agent-based modeling in social science with a web- mining approach
57. TOSHIZUMI OHTA, KAZUNARI ISHIDA, ISAMU OKADA, AND HITOSHI YAMAMOTO: <ohta@is.uec.ac.jp>,
Social Informatics and Cyber Commons in Computational Analysis
ECONOMICS
Chair: Leigh Tesfatsion
58. MAURO GALLEGATI, ROBERTO LEOMBRUNI, AND ANTONIO PALESTRINI <gallegati@deanovell.unian.it>,
Heterogeneous Agents' Interaction in an Artificial Stock Market
59. KLAUS JAFFE <kjaffe@ivic.ve>,
Monte Carlo Exploration of Mechanisms for the Creation of Aggregate Wealth
60. MICHAEL. J. NORTH <north@anl.gov>,
The Agent-Based Modeling of Electricity Markets
61. KWANG WOO PARK AND PAUL J. ZAK <ken.park@cgu.edu>,
Income Distribution Dynamics: Marriage and Informational Cascades
LAKE VIEW
Saturday 10:30 to 12:00
GAME THEORY APPLICATIONS
LIBRARY
Chair: Paul Ormerod
62. JASMINA ARIFOVIC AND RICHARD MCKELVEY <arifovic@sfu.ca>,
Simulating a Turing Tournament
63. JONATHAN BENDOR, DANIEL DIERMEIER, AND MIKE TING <bendor_jonathan@gsb.stanford.edu>,
The Empirical Content of Behavioral Models of Adaptation
64. DANNY FERNANDEZ, RAMAYYA KRISHNAN AND UDAY RAJAN <danny@andrew.cmu.edu>,
Online Interaction and Transactional Privacy Negotiations: A Simulation Analysis of an Agent-based System
65. MASAKI TOMOCHI, HIROAKI MURATA, AND MITSUO KONO <mtomochi@uci.edu>,
A Consumer-Based Model of Diffusion of Two Competitive, Compatible, and Durable Goods
NATIONAL SECURITY POLICY ANALYSIS & COMPUTATIONAL SOCIAL SCIENCE
PINE VIEW
Chair: Desmond Saunders-Newton
66. THAD BROWN AND MAINIERA <tab@ips.edu>,
Elites from the Dark Arts and Cold Sciences
67. JOSEPH EASH
Soft Science, Hard Problems: The Future Role of Social Science in Defense Research & Engineering
68. WILLIAM MILLS AND MAI NGUYEN <billdm@ucia.gov>
Nonlinear Dynamics in World Politics
<mai@ucia.gov>,
69. DESMOND SAUNDERS-NEWTON <saundersnewtond@ndu.edu>,
Social Science Theory, Operations Research, and Computational Models: National Security as a Nexus for Inquiry
Approaches
STUDIES OF RESIDENTIAL NEIGHBORHOOD PROCESSES
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Phil Bonacich
70. ELENNA DUGUNDJI <E.Dugundji@FRW.UVA.NL>,
Capturing Complexity in Residential Choice Behavior
71. GIORGIO FAGIOLO <fagiolo@sssup.it>,
Coordination, Local Interactions and Endogenous Neighborhood Formation
72. DAVID W. WONG <dwong2@gmu.edu>,
Exploring the Role of Residential Preference in Segregation with Simulation
MARKETING APPLICATIONS
Chair: David Midgley
73. MICHAEL AGAR AND DWIGHT WILSON <magar@anth.umd.edu>,
Modeling Drug markets
74. DAVID COLLINGS <david.2.collings@bt.com>,
Agent-Based Design of Innovative Customer Relationship Management
75. ROBERT E. MARKS, DAVID MIDGLEY AND LEE G. COOPER <david.midgley@insead.edu>,
Endogenizing the Actions of Artificial Brand Managers
SKY VIEW
Saturday 1:30 to 3:30
GROUP AND TEAM DYNAMICS
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Corinne Coen
76. ALESSANDRO ACQUISTI, MAARTEN SIERHUIS AND BILL CLANCEY <acquisti@sims.berkeley.edu>,
Agent-Based Modeling of Collaboration and Work Practices On Board the International Space Station
77. WILLIAM A. GRIFFIN, WILLA CREE, CAROL MARTIN, RICHARD FABES, AND LAURA HANISH <william.griffin@asu.edu>,
Emergent Structure in Children's Play Group Formation
78. VJOLLCA SADIRAJ, JAN TUINSTRA AND FRANS VAN WINDEN <vjollca@fee.uva.nl>
Interest Groups in A Spatial Voting Model
<vanwinden@dutch.nl>
79. MAKSIM TSVETOVAT, CRAIG SCHREIBER AND KATHLEEN CARLEY <maksim@psychmanager.com>,
A Multi-Agent Model of Information Technology Public Goods
80. YU YUAN AND BILL MCKELVEY <yuyuan@usc.edu>,
Situativity of Learning Within Groups: Coevolutionary Dynamics Over Time Using Kauffman’s NK Model
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
PINE VIEW
Chair: Lars-Erik Cederman
81. STEPHAN MAJESKI <majeski@u.washington.edu>,
Asymmetric Power among Agents in Evolutionary Games
82. MAURITS VAN DER VEEN <maurits@sas.upenn.edu>,
The Emergence of a European Identity: An Agent-Based Model of International Interaction
83. ARMANO SRBLJINOVIĆ, DRAŽEN PENZAR, PETRA RODIK, KRUNO KARDOV <asrbljin@morh.hr>,
Agent-Based Modeling of Ethnic Mobilization: The Former Yugoslavia Case
84. IAN S. LUSTICK <ilustick@sas.upenn.edu>,
A User-Friendly Agent-Based Modeling Platform for Testing Theories of Political identity and Political Stability
85. LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN AND CLAUDIO COIFFI-REVILLA <cederman@cfia.harvard.edu>,
Replicating the Size of Wars: New Empirical Extensions and Computational Reconstructions of Power Laws
GEOGRAPHY
Chair: Nick Gessler
86. DAVID BENNETT AND RICHARD ASPINALL <david-bennett@uiowa.edu>,
Rural Landscapes as Complex Adaptive Systems
87. ROBERT N. BERNARD <robert.bernard@us.pwcglobal.com>,
Forecasting a Community’s Future via Agent-based Modeling
88. MARTIN BISKOWSKI, <biskowsk@ucla.edu>,
A Multiagent Simulation of Urban Fuel Use and Scarcity in Prehispanic Central Mexico
89. SUKAINA BHARWANI, M.D. FISCHER, AND N. S. RYAN <s.b41@ukc.ac.uk>,
Modeling Adaptive Change in Agricultural Systems
90. STEPHEN J. DECANIO <decanio@econ.ucsb.edu>,
Heterogeneous Agents and Multiple Equilibria: Implications for Climate Policy Analysis
LIBRARY
Saturday 4:30 to 6:20
PSYCHOLOGICAL THEORY IN AGENT RULES
PINE VIEW
Chair: Wander Jager
91. WERNHER BRUCKS: <brucks@sozpsy.unizh.ch>,
Multi-Agent Simulation of a Village Community Sharing a Solar Power Plant
92. HANS-JOACHIM MOSLER: <mosler@sozpsy.unizh.ch>,
Persuasion Processes in Populations: Multi-Agent Simulation Based on a Social Psychological Theory
93. ROBERT TOBIAS: <rtobias@sozpsy.unizh.ch>,
Empirical Test of a Psychologically Based Simulation of Collective Action
94. KEES ZOETHOUT, WANDER JAGER & ERIC MOLLEMAN <k.zoethout@bdk.rug.nl>,
Task Allocation in a Self-organizing Social System: A Multi-disciplinary Approach
95. M. AFZAL UPAL <upal@iet.com>,
Sexual Selection of Co-operation
96. WANDER JAGER AND MARCO A. JANSSEN: <w.jager@bdk.rug.nl>,
Coevolution of Personality and the Environment
SOCIOLOGY
LIBRARY
Chair: Kathleen Carley
97. PHIL BONACICH <bonacich@soc.ucla.edu>,
Power and Pattern in Networks of Gift and Favor Exchange
98. R. KEITH SAWYER <ksawyer@artsci.wustl.edu>,
Multi agent systems and the micro-macro link
99. TIMOTHY TAPPE <ttappe@uwyo.edu>,
A Landscape Theory of Aggregation and Social Networks: Substantive and Methodological Concerns
100. TAKAO TERANO AND SETSUYA KURAHASHI <terano@gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp>,
Inverse Simulation and Genetics-Based Validation for Social Interaction Analysis via Multiagents
101. DUNCAN WATTS <djw24@columbia.edu>,
Interdisciplinary Research (and some recent results) on the Small-World Problem
ORGANIZATIONAL LEARNING & INNOVATION
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Robert Lempert
102. MANUEL CARTIER <manuel.cartier@dauphine.fr>,
Selection and transformation in the innovation process: a genetic algorithm modeling
103. MYONG-HUN CHANG AND JOSEPH E. HARRINGTON, JR. <m.chang@csuohio.edu>,
Learning from the Competition: External Spillovers and the Organizational Structures of Competing…Firms
104. NOSHIR CONTRACTOR <nosh@uiuc.edu>,
A Multi-theoretical Multi-Level Agent Model of the Co-Evolution of Communication and Knowledge Networks
105. SENDIL K ETHIRAJ AND DANIEL LEVINTHAL <sethiraj@wharton.upenn.edu>,
Design and Coordination in Complex Systems
106. ALESSANDRO LOMI AND ERIK LARSEN <e.r.larsen@city.ac.uk>,
Strategic Synchronization Among Spatially Distributed Agents
Saturday 7:30 to 9:30
PLENARY SESSION
Chair: David Sallach
107. ROB AXTELL <raxtell@brookings.edu>,
A Positive Theory of Emergence for Multi-Agent Systems
108. SCOTT PAGE <spage@umich.edu>,
Models of Heterogenous Agents
CLOSING PERSPECTIVES
Kathleen Carley, Lars-Erik Cederman, Leigh Tesfatsion
PINE VIEW