Chapter 7: Rational Expectations, Efficient Markets, and the Valuation of Corporate Equities 4) Forecasts satisfying rational expectations are unbiased. 7) Expectations are rational if they are formed using all relevant information. 8) If investors do not have rational expectations, asset markets are not strongly efficient. 9) If investors do have rational expectations, asset markets are strongly efficient. 11) Earnings for a corporation are an example of a fundamental quantity determining the price of that corporation’s stock. 12) All public corporations must pay a fraction of their profits as dividends. 13) The relevant interest rate when pricing a stock is called the required rate of return. 14) The relevant interest rate when pricing a stock is called the yield to maturity. 15) Markets for financial assets are more efficient than the market for labor. 16) The price of a stock is directly related to earnings and the required rate of return. 17) The price of a stock is directly related to the expected future price and earnings. 18) According to the Gordon Growth Model, the price of a stock is directly related to the expected growth rate of earnings. 21) If a market is strongly efficient, insider information does not help investors make profits. 22) If a market is weakly efficient, insider information does not help investors make profits. 23) Allocational efficiency means that past data on prices and fundamentals are fully reflected in the price. 24) If a market is semi-strongly efficient, investors cannot use fundamental analysis to make profits. 25) According to the Gordon Growth Model, an increase in the growth rate of earnings would lead to an increase in the current value of a stock. © 2012 Flat World Knowledge, Inc. 27) Behavioral finance explains how investors form rational expectations. 28) Bubbles in financial markets are evidence that they are not strongly efficient. 29) The small firm effect might be due to high liquidity of those stocks. 30) Weakly efficient markets could have bubbles. 31) Mutual funds are inherently more risky than owning shares of a single stock. 34) When an asset can be purchased with cheap, borrowed money, that asset is a good candidate for the development of a bubble). Multiple Choice 1) If technical analysis cannot prove profitable information to investors, markets satisfy a) weak efficiency. b) semi-strong efficiency. c) strong efficiency. d) all of the above. 2) If fundamental analysis does not help stock market investors make profits, then the stock market is a) allocationally efficient. b) weakly efficient. c) semi-strongly efficient. d) all of the above. 3) An analyst says that inside information would not have helped investors forecast the collapse of the stock market in 2008. This is true if markets satisfy a) allocational efficiency. b) weak efficiency. c) semi-strong efficiency. d) strong efficiency. 5) If insider information does help investors, the market cannot be a) allocationally efficient. b) weakly efficient. c) strongly efficient. d) The market can satisfy all these forms of efficiency. © 2012 Flat World Knowledge, Inc. 6) If an asset market is not weakly efficient, then it cannot be a) semi-strongly efficient. b) strongly efficient. c) both of the above. d) neither of the above. 12) The earnings for a company are $10 and they are expected to grow at 5% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 9%, then the price of the company’s stock should be a) $11.40. b) $218.00. c) $262.50. d) $272.50. 13) The earnings for a company are $10 and they are expected to grow at 3% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 4%, then the price of the company’s stock should be a) $10.10. b) $257.50. c) $1030.00. d) none of the above. 14) The earnings for a company are $10 and they are expected to grow at 2% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 5%, then the price of the company’s stock should be a) $210. b) $510. c) $525.50. d) none of the above. 18) Laws that require companies to fully inform investors about debts and loans on their balance sheets are intended to increase a) transparency. b) efficiency. c) volatility. d) all of the above. 19) Transparency laws are intended to reduce a) efficiency. b) earnings. c) asymmetric information. d) all of the above. 20) Increased transparency should lead to increased © 2012 Flat World Knowledge, Inc. a) b) c) d) efficiency. volatility. asymmetric information. all of the above. 21) If the _____ for a stock fall(s), the current price of the stock rises. a) earnings b) expected price c) required rate of return d) none of the above 22) If the _____ for a stock rise(s), the current price of the stock rises. a) earnings b) volatility c) required rate of return d) none of the above 24) Forecasting stock prices using trends of past data should not be an effective method for making trading decisions if asset markets are a) weakly efficient. b) semi-strongly efficient. c) strongly efficient. d) all of the above. 25) Which of the following would be evidence that the stock market is not even weakly efficient? a) Stock prices move in a random walk. b) Technical trading strategies are not profitable. c) Stock prices tend to rise on Wednesdays. d) All of the above. 26) Which of the following could be examples of inefficiencies in financial markets data? a) January effect b) small firms effect c) bubbles d) all of the above 27) Which of the following could be examples of inefficiencies in financial markets data? a) random walk b) high volatility c) bubbles d) all of the above © 2012 Flat World Knowledge, Inc. Short Answer 1) What is an allocationally efficient market? Allocational efficiency implies that resources are put to their most productive use. 2) Why would transparency contribute to asset market efficiency? Transparency makes information available to all market participants, reducing asymmetric information that might allow some to make excess returns. 3) Does technical analysis produce forecasts that satisfy rational expectations? Explain. No. Technical analysis uses selected portions of past data, while rational expectations uses all relevant information. 4) If insider information helps investors to make profits, what does that say about the efficiency of the market? 5) If fundamental analysis helps investors to make profits, what does that say about the efficiency of the market? The market could be weakly efficient but not strongly or semi-strongly efficient. 6) What is the most compelling evidence for a lack of efficiency in financial markets? Can any type of efficiency be justified? Bubbles show that fundamentals do not fully explain asset prices, so those markets could be weakly efficient but not strongly or semi-strongly efficient. 7) What is short selling? Short selling means selling an asset one does not own, promising to buy it back at a future date. 14) The earnings for a company are $20, and they are expected to grow at 4% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 9%, what is the price of the company’s stock? © 2012 Flat World Knowledge, Inc. 15) The earnings for a company are $12, and they are expected to grow at 5% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 15%, then the price of the company’s stock should be $126 18) What is a portfolio diversification investment strategy? Portfolio diversification is an investment strategy often described as not putting all of your eggs (money) in one basket (asset). 19) What is a sectoral asset allocation investment strategy? Sectoral asset allocation strategy is a strategy is to invest heavily in stocks and other risky assets when young but to shift into less volatile assets, like short term bonds, as one nears retirement or other cash out event. © 2012 Flat World Knowledge, Inc.