Forest Service Northeastern Research Station Forest Resource Statistics for the White Mountain National Forest, 1997 Tonya W. Lister Thomas S. Frieswyk Eric H. Wharton William McWilliams Michael Jimenez Bryan Arnel Contents Page Introduction 1 Reliability of the Estimates 2 Comparison Between Inventories 3 Highlights 4 Index to Tables 7 Total Land Area 8 Forest-land and Timberland Area 9 Number of Trees 10 Growing-stock Volume 14 Sawtimber Volume 22 Total Tree Biomass 28 Definitions of Terms 37 Tree Species of New Hampshire 43 Species Groups of New Hampshire 45 Tree-Grade Classification 47 Metric Equivalents 51 Literature Cited 52 _____________________________________________________________________ Authors Tonya W. Lister, Research Forester, USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Forest Inventory and Analysis, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania Thomas S. Frieswyk. Forester, USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Forest Inventory and Analysis, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Eric H. Wharton, Forester, USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Forest Inventory and Analysis, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. William McWilliams, Research Forester, USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Forest Inventory and Analysis, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Michael Jimenez, USDA Forest Service, White Mountain National Forest, 719 Main Street Laconia, New Hampshire Bryan Arnel, USDA Forest Service, White Mountain National Forest, 719 Main Street Laconia, New Hampshire _____________________________________________________________________ The sampling procedure used during this current inventory involved a two-stage approach, and included a sample of both new and remeasured plots. A grid of points was overlaid on aerial photos, and then these photo points were classified into land-use and cubic-foot volume classes. From this intensive aerial photo sample of points, new plots were located on the ground. Data were then collected on these plots, as well as on plots established during earlier inventories. The White Mountain National Forest was included in this sample base (Figure 1). Abstract Between 1994 and 2002, the Forest Inventory and Analysis Unit of the Northeastern Research Station conducted its fifth forest inventory of New Hampshire and a series of annual inventories in Maine, covering the extent of the White Mountain National Forest. Results obtained from analyzing data from the White Mountain National Forest indicate that forestland covers 783,500 of the 787,183 total acres of land and that there is almost 12 times more productive than unproductive forest. Pole- and saw-timber stands are the most dominant size classes in the National Forest, and trees greater than 15 inches in diameter are generally of high quality. This report details the results of an analysis of data collected on the White Mountain National Forest. It is not the intent of this publication to make suppositions regarding overall changes in New Hampshire or Maine’s forest resources. Separate and comprehensive statistical reports have been published (Frieswyk and Widmann, 2000; Laustsen and Griffith, 2002; Griffith and Alerich, 1996) and publications analyzing, in greater detail, the forest resources of New Hampshire and Maine are being prepared. Introduction The forests of the White Mountain National Forest are an abundant, valuable resource. Information about their extent, condition, and potential use is essential for managers and other stakeholders. To assess the status of the forest, inventories are periodically conducted. The Forest Inventory and Analysis Unit (FIA) of the USDA Forest Service is responsible for conducting periodic forest inventories in order to provide current information on the forest resources of the Nation. This is done under the authority of the McSweeney-McNary Forest Research Act of 1928, and subsequent acts that include the Renewable Resources Planning Act of 1974 and the Renewable Resources Research Act of 1978. The Forest Inventory and Analysis Unit, located at the Northeastern Research Station (NE-FIA), located in Newtown Square, PA, performs forest inventories in 13 northeastern states. The first such inventory of New Hampshire’s forest resources was conducted in 1948 (Larson and others, 1954), and in Maine in 1954-58 (Ferguson and Longwood, 1960). Successive inventories were carried out at 10-15 year intervals. The fifth and most recent inventory in New Hampshire was conducted between 1996 and 1997 (Frieswyk and Widmann, 2000), and the most recent series of annual inventories in Maine was conducted in 1999-2002 (Laustsen and Griffith, 2002). The inventory was done in cooperation with the New Hampshire and Maine State Forestry Departments, the White Mountain National Forest, and the landowners of the two states. Figure 1. Location of Forest Inventory and Analysis plots, White Mountain National Forest, New Hampshire (shown) and Maine. Not all of the information that was collected is contained within this publication. Forest area, numbers of trees, timber volume, biomass, and change statistics reported here, are only a summary. Other information may be available, 2 and additional summaries may be developed upon request. For more information, contact: it is between 759,813 and 806,811 acres. Similarly, we are 95 percent confident that the true area is 783,312 + 46,998 acres (at two standard deviations). USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis 11 Campus Boulevard, Suite 200 Newtown Square, PA 19073-3200 Phone: 610-557-4075 Fax: 610-557-4200 Web: www.fs.fed.us/ne/fia/ However, estimates become less precise with increasing detail, both spatially and in terms of more specific forest and tree attributes. For example, while the sampling error for all forest land on the White Mountain National Forest is 3 percent, the sampling error for the area in sawtimber stands is 12 percent, for the area in poletimber stands is 12 percent, and for the area in seedling and sapling stands is 24 percent. Reliability of the Estimates The data in this report are based on a carefully designed sample of forest conditions within New Hampshire and Maine. However, because the field crews did not measure every tree or every acre in the state, the data are estimates. The reliability of the estimates can be judged by two important statistical criteria: accuracy and precision. The reason for these higher sampling errors is that as the size of the sample in a particular condition decreases, sampling error increases. County estimates were not provided in this report for that reason. In many cases, the sampling errors were too large for the estimates to be meaningful. Estimates with sampling errors greater than 25 percent are suspect, and those larger than 50 percent are unusable because the resulting estimate is not significantly different from zero (at two standard deviations). Accuracy refers to the success of estimating the true value; while precision refers to the clustering of sample values about their own averages or to the variation among repeated samples. We are interested primarily in the accuracy of the inventory but in most cases we can only measure its precision. For many of the tables in this report, both the last column and last row are labeled "SE." These values are the sampling errors of the column and row totals. The last sampling error (SE) given is for the table total. As a helpful tool, individual table cells have been annotated to indicate their level of reliability. Those marked by (†) have between a 25 and 49 percent sampling error, so are suspect and should be used with caution. Those marked by (‡) have a sampling error of 50 percent or greater, and as such should not be used unless combined with another table cell estimate with a smaller sampling error. However, its possible to approximate the actual sampling error for a table cell within certain tables. To do so, use the following formula: Although accuracy cannot be measured exactly, it can be checked. Preliminary tables are sent to other agencies and to outside experts familiar with the forest conditions in New Hampshire and Maine. If questions arise, the data are reviewed and reanalyzed to resolve differences. Great care is taken to minimize sources of procedural error through careful training of both field and office personnel, frequent inspection of field and office work, and application of the most reliable inventory methods. Because of the care exercised in the inventory process, estimates of precision afford a reasonable measure of the inventory's adequacy. The precision of each estimate is described by its sampling error. Sampling errors are given with several tables in this report. The others are available upon request. NOTE: this formula is reliable only for estimating sampling errors of individual cells in the area tables. SEij = 1/Pij((Pij (1- Pij))/n)1/2 Here is an example of how the sampling error is used to indicate reliability. The estimate of total forest land for the White Mountain National Forest is 783,312 acres. It has an associated sampling error of 3 percent, or 23,499 acres. This means that if there are no errors in the procedure, we are 68 percent confident that the true area is 783,312 + 23,499 acres (at one standard deviation), or that where: SEij = n = Pij = Aij = A = ij = 3 actual sampling error) for a table cell total number of samples in a population Aij / A cell estimate total land area of a population row(i) and column(j) Comparison Between Inventories Levels of Stocking As a result of ongoing efforts to improve the efficiency of the inventory, several changes in procedures and definitions have been made since the previous inventory. These changes prevent direct comparison between some of the current estimates with those published previously. The changes in methods and definitions include: (1) a new plot design, (2) changes in land area determination, and (3) procedures to calculate levels of stocking as it relates to stand size and forest type. Stocking is a quantitative expression of live tree stand density. It may be expressed in absolute or relative terms (Arner and others, 2000). For the 1983 inventory statistics, the stocking value of a tree was calculated using the basal area of the tree as a percent of 75 square feet per acre, which is the basal area standard for full use of the site (USDA Forest Service, 1967). Basal area stocking describes current timber volume well, but inadequately measures present site utilization, stand composition, and smalldiameter stands. A relative measure of stand density is more appropriate for interpreting findings of extensive inventories where a variety of stands are sampled, such as those performed by FIA. It more adequately reflects species composition, stage of development, and the social position of the trees present. A procedure using relative density to calculate stocking using relative density, which represents site occupancy based on normal yield tables, was developed and accepted as a standard for FIA units throughout the country. New Plot Design To improve data consistency at the national level, a standard plot design is being used by FIA units throughout the country. The new plot design, a cluster of four 24-foot-radius subplots covering a 1/6-acre area, was used during the most recent inventory on both new and previously measured plot locations. In addition to the new plot configuration, field crews recorded different conditions on the plot if certain attributes (land use, forest type, stand origin, stand size, tree density, owner) differed from those at plot center, along with information that described the boundaries of the conditions. This procedure was designed to reduce bias in the estimates. In previous inventories, ground plots were wholly within the condition that the plot was chosen to represent. Stand size is a classification (sapling/seedling, poletimber, sawtimber, or nonstocked) of forest land based on the size of the trees that dominate an area, and forest type is a classification of forest land based on the species found in the area. Both stand size and forest type are calculated based on stocking of all live trees, and were therefore affected by the change in the procedure to calculate stocking. In addition, there were minor refinements with respect to how several species were allocated to local types since the previous inventory. On all remeasured plot locations, a subsample of trees that were recorded in past inventories was reconciled, and growth and removals estimates were calculated using these data. Differing conditions were ignored for calculations of estimates of change because this procedure was not used at the previous occasion. Land Area Determination FIA uses Bureau of Census estimates of total land area in a state or county as the basis for estimating land area by various classes. But between 1980 and 1990, the Bureau of Census changed its estimating procedures. Previously, the minimum width for streams had been 660 feet, and the minimum area for bodies of water was 40 acres. Now, inland-water streams more than 200 feet wide and bodies of water 4.5 acres and larger in area are identified. Changes to this procedure resulted in a reduction in total land area. 4 Highlights Mature forests dominate Productive forestland abounds The forests of the WMNF consist mostly of trees in the pole- and sawtimber size classes (Figure 3). On timberland, sawtimber is the most dominant size class. When reserved and other forest are included, however, poletimber becomes the most dominant. Eighty-six percent of the sawtimber on forestland consists of trees in the northern hardwood, oak-hickory, and aspen birch forest type groups, and 14% is in the white and red pine and spruce-fir forest type groups. Of the total amount of timberland in the WMNF, 12% is in seedling and sapling stands, or those classes responsible for regeneration. The White Mountain National Forest (hereafter referred to as the WMNF) contains an impressive forest resource. Of its 787,183 acres of total land area, 783,312 acres or over 99% are forested. The definition of forest land includes timberland (productive forest that could potentially be harvested), reserved forest (forest withdrawn from timber utilization, such as wildlife preserves), and other forest. Reserved forest is classified as either productive (capable of producing more than 20 cubic feet of wood per year) or unproductive. Other forest includes forest land that is unproductive and not reserved. There is almost 12 times more productive than unproductive forest on the WMNF. Timberland makes up 73% of the total forest area of the WMNF and the remaining productive forestland is classified as reserved (19% of total forest land area) (Figure 2). The proportion of reserved forestland on the WMNF is also impressive. Nearly 161 thousand acres, or 21% of total forest land is protected from timber utilization. This is comparable to the proportion of reserved forestland on the nearby Green Mountain National Forest (24%). Unproductive Reserved Forest Land 2% Other Forest Land 6% Figure 3. Area of forest land and timberland by stand size class , White Mountain National Forest _____________________________________ Productive Reserved Forest Land 19% Balsam fir is the most abundant species By far, balsam fir is the most abundant species in the WMNF. It makes up 32% of all trees measured on forest land (Figure 4). Sixty-six percent of these trees are in the 1-3 inch diameter class; however, balsam fir is still the most numerous when considering just trees greater than five inches in diameter. Including all trees greater than one inch in diameter, the next most abundant species is red spruce, followed by American beech. When considering just trees greater than five inches, however, paper birch precedes red spruce in abundance. Softwood species, making up 54 % of the total number of trees, have a thin majority over hardwoods. Timberland 73% Timberland = Reserved Forest Land = Other Forest Land = 576,417acres 160,942acres 45,953acres Total Forest Land = 783,312acres Figure 2. Components of total forest land area, White Mountain National Forest _____________________________________ 5 Half of sawtimber is of highest quality tree grade Sawtimber volume in trees greater than 15 inches in diameter within the WMNF is of high quality. Fifty-two percent of timberland and 49% of forest land is classified as the highest tree grade, grade 1 (Figure 6). About 70% of sawtimber volume on forest land within the WMNF is of tree grade 1 or 2, which compares to 47% in the nearby Green Mountain National Forest. Sawtimber quality distribution is similar on both forestland and timberland. Figure 4. Prevalence of leading tree species, White Mountain National Forest. _____________________________________ Diameter distribution peaks between 7 and 13 inches The diameter distribution of trees found on the WMNF is positively skewed. On forest land, the greatest amount of net volume is found in the 7-9 inch diameter class, while on timberland, the greatest amount of volume is found in the 11-13 inch diameter class. Above the 11-13 inch diameter class, nearly all of the net volume is found on timberland; in other words, below that, reserved and other forest contain a more significant portion of the volume on the WMNF. Figure 6. Distribution of sawtimber volume by tree grade in trees >15 inches dbh on forest land and timberland, White Mountain National Forest _____________________________________ Growing stock trees contain 75% of biomass Growing stock trees make up roughly 75% of the total tree biomass found on the WMNF (Figure 7). Roughly two thirds of this 75% consists of the main stem, while the remainder consists of tops, branches, foliage and stump-root systems. The other 25% of the total tree biomass is comprised of non growing stock seedlings and saplings (15%), and cull and dead material (8%). Sixty-eight percent of the biomass is composed of hardwood, however hardwoods have a greater proportion of dead and cull (9%) than do softwoods (3%) (Figure 8). Figure 5. Diameter class distribution of live volume on forest land and timberland, White Mountain National Forest. _____________________________________ 6 on growth and removals are based on a small subset of inventory plots. On the WMNF we are about 95 percent confident that annual net growth is between 3.7 and 18.1 million cubic feet. The FIA data for harvest removals on the WMNF is also limited due to the small sample size. The estimate of 15 million cubic feet of harvested forest volume has an associated standard error of 33 percent, suggesting that harvest removals are between 5.1 and 25.1 million cubic feet (at two standard deviations). This estimated range of harvest removals overlaps with the estimates for net growth on the WMNF; therefore, the relationship between growth and removals is inconclusive. It is not possible to say with confidence whether total net growth is less or more than harvest removals. Net Growth Harvest Removals Figure 8. Components of softwood and hardwood biomass on forestland, White Mountain National Forest. Mortality 30 25 20 15 10 5 Gross Growth Million cubic feet Figure 7. Components of biomass on forest land, White Mountain National Forest. _____________________________________ Figure 9. Average annual components of change in live volume, White Mountain National Forest. (Bars indicate sampling error at one standard deviation) Growth and removals data is inconclusive Growth and removals data are often used as indicators of forest resource sustainability. Concern is raised when removals exceed net growth. Net growth includes increases in tree volume due to ingrowth and accretion, and excludes mortality. Overall, there is positive net growth on the WMNF, which indicates that on average, tree volume is increasing at a greater rate than is being lost to mortality due to natural causes including age, insect and disease damage, and other disturbances such as ice damage (Figure 9). Although it can be said with confidence that net growth on the WMNF is positive for the period from 1983 to 1997, the growth estimate is subject to a large sampling error. This is because data 7 Index to Tables Table Page Total Land Area 1 Total land area by land class, New Hampshire and White Mountain National Forest 8 Forest-land and Timberland Area 2a Area of forest land by forest type, forest type group, and stand-size class 9 2b Area of timberland by forest type, forest type group, and stand-size class 9 Number of Trees 3a Number of all live trees (1.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on forest land by species and diameter class 10 3b Number of all live trees (1.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on timberland by species and diameter class 12 All live and growing-stock Volume 4a Net volume of all live trees (5.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on forest land by species and diameter class 14 4b Net volume of all live trees (5.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on timberland by species and diameter class 16 5a Net volume of growing-stock trees (5.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on forest land by species and diameter class 18 5b Net volume of growing-stock trees (5.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on timberland by species and diameter class 20 Sawtimber Volume 6a Net volume of sawtimber trees on forest land by species and diameter class 22 6b Net volume of sawtimber trees on timberland by species and diameter class 23 7a Net volume of sawtimber trees (15.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on forest land by species and tree grade 24 7b Net volume of sawtimber trees (15.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on timberland by species and tree grade 25 8a Net volume of sawtimber trees on forest land by species, size class, and tree grade 26 8a Net volume of sawtimber trees on timberland by species, size class, and tree grade 27 Total Tree Biomass 9a Net sound biomass of growing-stock trees on forest land by species and component 28 9b Net sound biomass of growing-stock trees on timberland by species and component 29 10a Net sound biomass of all trees on forest land by species and component 30 10b Net sound biomass of all trees on timberland by species and component 31 10a Net biomass of all live trees (1.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on forest land by species and diameter class 32 11b Net biomass of all live trees (1.0-inch d.b.h. and larger) on timberland by species and diameter class 34 12 Growth and Removals Average annual net change of live tree volume on timberland by species and component of change Note: In the tables, a zero indicates that the data are negligible or the condition was not encountered in the sample. A dash indicates that the condition is not possible under current Forest Service definitions. Rows and columns in all tables may not sum due to rounding. 7 36