Market research methods Goal: To simplify the search for information that makes technology evaluation and marketing possible. Ideally the information is publicly available, free to OTL, and can be found in less than an hour. Criteria in technology evaluation and marketing: Commercial Potential Scientific/Technological Merits Proprietary Position and Patentability Issues Avenues to Commercialization Acquire the information needed: Market (end user applications, size, maturity, etc.) Performance criteria (speed, accuracy, durability, etc.) Benchmarks Near term products Trends IP landscape Competing technology Players – major, minor, emerging Market dynamics – competition, barriers to entry Examples of these types of information as applied to the whole genome DNA sequencing market (See DNA sequencing and Biosensor Report) Examples of related information Use of Information Size: 7.8 B (2004), 17.8 B (proj 2009) / Market has about 15 players Aids in evaluation of commercial potential and avenues to commercialization Cost per base pair / Read Length / Throughput Used to in evaluating the scientific merits of a technology and in guiding discussion with inventors Benchmarks The ABI 3730xl synthesizer (Sanger sequencing technology): Cost per base pair = $.001 / Read Length = 1000 bp / Throughput = 2Mbp/day Used to determine whether a new technology is revolutionary or evolutionary Near Term Products 454 Corp. - Genome Sequencer 20 Pyrosequencing technology / Helicos - Single molecule sequencing instrument 2006-07 / Solexa - Single molecule sequencing instrument 2005-06 Aids in the determination of the direction the market is moving as well as the performance criteria and benchmarks in the process of development Market Performance Criteria Trends IP Landscape Competing Technology Players Market Dynamics Movement toward the "$1000 Genome" in one day / Development of sequence production technologies to supplant dideoxy method Pyrosequencing technology is monopolized by 454 and Biotage AB who have dominant IP position in the field Sequencing by Synthesis / Sequencing by Hybridization / Single molecule methods / Sanger method Aids in evaluation of technology in regard to its scientific merits and in tailoring abstracts to potential licensees Helps identify "qualified" licensing leads and aids in evaluation of technology Aids in identifying "qualified" licensing leads and helps in writing of effective abstracts In Sanger Sequencing Methodology: ABI / GE Healthcare / Beckman Coulter / Li-Cor Aids in identifying "qualified" licensing leads, and allows for more effective marketing efforts Does not appear as though there is an existing value chain in this market: i.e. Companies in this market design and manufacture their own instruments and related consumables Aids in evaluation of commercial potential and avenues to commercialization Possible Method and other resources: 1) Literature In scientific literature, the “review” article is the type of article that is most useful gathering the type of information that is interesting for OTL technology evaluation and marketing. Review articles are generally written by leaders in a particular field of research to be easily accessible for someone with general science background. Frequently, these articles have a particular focus such as educating the reader about the status current academic or industrial research. In some cases it is possible to find review articles that specifically focus on the market for a particular type of technology, i.e. DNA sequencing, Antibodies in In Vitro Diagnostics, Glucose Sensors, etc. Obviously, the later types of articles best for OTL type research needs, but the other reviews can also be useful. To search for review articles in scientific and medical literature focus on the following databases available through the Stanford libraries. ISI SciSearch - https://lib.stanford.edu/isi-scisearch ISI SciSearch is an international, multidisciplinary index to the literature of science, technology, and biomedicine. Over 4,000 journals representing all scientific disciplines are indexed. The database covers 1900 to the present, and records from January 1991 to the present include abstracts. Cited reference searching is a valuable feature of the database. ISI SciSearch is available via ISI Web of Knowledge/Web of Science. SciSearch allows for you to keyword search for journal articles and reviews as well as set up alerts that inform you as to when new articles are published in a particular keyword search. PubMed also allows you to link to full text pdf and html files for journal articles if Stanford has a subscription to the journal of interest. PubMed - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?otool=stanford PubMed is a database that provides access to bibliographic information for scientific and medical journals and focuses primarily on research in the biological sciences and medicine. With PubMed you can search for journal articles using keywords, or you can search for journal article that are cited by or related to articles of interest. PubMed also allows you to link to full text pdf and html files for journal articles if Stanford has a subscription to the journal of interest. NOTE: The major difference between ISI SciSearch and PubMed is the focus of the databases. If you are looking for information on a biological topic start with PubMed and move to ISI SciSearch second. However, if you are searching for information that is closer to the physical or engineering sciences start with ISI SciSearch and move to PubMed. Annual Reviews - http://www.annualreviews.org Annual Reviews publishes authoritative, analytic reviews in 32 focused disciplines within the Biomedical, Physical, and Social Sciences. You can search Annual Reviews by keyword and get full text pdf files from this web site. However, Annual Reviews may be more focused on academic research as opposed to industrial research and market information. Annual reviews is an excellent source of basic background information that is accessible to people with a basic science background. IEEE Explore - http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/Xplore/dynhome.jsp The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) is a non-profit, technical professional association that publishes a number of journals in the fields of electronics and electrical engineering. This search engine is useful in searching IEEE journals for scientific articles by keyword. You can find a lot of the articles on IEEE on SciSearch as well, but IEEE may have better coverage overall of the electronics and electrical engineering fields. Other databases @ Stanford – http://library.stanford.edu/catdb/dbases_articles.html Stanford has a number of other interesting databases. Many of these databases are of less general interest and are very specific for certain fields. Suggestions for literature searching o Use of keywords – Use the technology buzz words that you get from talks with the inventors. Also as you start searching you will find more buzz words to add. Combining the technology buzz words with words like trends, technology, methods, and market help gear the search to find more industrial focused articles. In searching these databases use only one or two keywords when searching because the searches are already limited to review articles only. Examples of successful keyword searches; DNA sequencing and market Biosensor and optical Biosensor and trends o Evaluating a search – Try to get between 25 and 200 hits for review articles in the preliminary search. Scan the titles to see what kind of articles are popping up. Sort the lists by publication date and only consider reviews from the past three years. The best reviews to have a broad focus and have titles like to following: “Home blood glucose biosensors: a commercial perspective” “Advanced Sequencing Technologies: Methods and Goals” “Advances in DNA Sequencing Technology” “Antiangiogenic therapy for cancer: current and emerging concepts” “Nanomedicine: current status and future prospects” o Evaluating articles – The problem with scientific articles and even reviews is that they are long, dense, and require some scientific priming. Therefore, it may be best to not read the articles but give the articles a quick skim (~ 2-5 minutes). Read the first few paragraphs of the introduction, look at the headings of the sections, and read the conclusion. Usually after doing this you will know at what level the article is written (how accessible the article is), whether it deals mainly with academic or more industrial research topics, and basically if you want to spend any more time with the article. When skimming, look through the paragraphs in the body of the text for capital letters and parentheses. These are usually a good sign that there will be company names in the article which are always useful. It may be important to find articles that deal with more that just the science because it is easy to get bogged down in trying to understand all of the science when you only need a cursory understanding. From a good review you can get: New keywords Company names Industry profiles Definitions Technology trends o Keeping up to date – On PubMed and SciSearch, it is possible to save searches and also to export bibliographical information in the form of text files. This way you can start a search and get a number of potential interesting articles and then follow up later and look at the articles that you find interesting. SciSearch also allows you to set up a search that is automated which makes it easy to stay up to date. For example, you can set tell SciSearch to send you the results of a search at weekly or monthly intervals. Time estimate = A literature search can take anywhere from 1 – 2 hours. This does not include the time necessary to synthesize the information into a report. 2) Internet Market research reports – The table of contents of market research reports may be extremely useful in determining the companies that are relevant in an industry. Use the table of contents to get a better idea of the overall structure of the market i.e. producers, suppliers, trends, etc. The major drawbacks of this method of company searching include: The need for a current report – last few years The need to double check the report – frequently the companies listed in the table of contents do not belong If you are okay with market reports that are slightly outdated, you can go to Jackson library at Stanford ( http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/library/ ) and use their computers to access on-line research reports. These could be outdated and rather hit-or-miss. Guide to finding market research reports on the web. 1. MarketResearch – www.marketresearch.com MarketResearch.com is an aggregator of global business intelligence representing the most comprehensive collection of published market research available on-demand. Strategy starts with the most relevant, current and credible research available. You need to sign in every time you want to look at a table of contents. 2. 3. 4. 5. Business Communications Co. – www.bccresearch.com Freedonia – www.freedoniagroup.com Frost and Sullivan – www.frost.com Others The table of contents may be easier to print and read on the websites of the companies who produce the research reports. However, since MarketResearch lists all of the reports, you may just look there for information. Google Searches Use Google for very specific searches once you have a good understanding of the field and the important keywords associated with the field. For instance, do not go to Google and search for “DNA sequencing”. However, try to Google and search for “pyrosequencing DNA sequencing technology”. These Google searching suggestions are not profound. Use as many keywords as you can in a search usually between 4 and 7. o Examples: Trends, technology, methods, company, list, and other industry specific keywords like optical biosensor, piezoelectric biosensor, or sequencing-by-hybridization. Also, remember that if you want to search for an exact string of words using Google use quotations to designate the string i.e. to search for sequencing by hybridization use “sequencing by hybridization” instead of sequencing by hybridization which will omit the ‘by’ 3) Jackson Library – Stanford Business School Library Stanford’s Jackson library is an information source for market research primarily because it requires time away from one’s desk to get information. Also before you venture over to Jackson, peruse the library’s website which is pretty extensive and can save you a lot of time. You can find some rather out dated and hit or miss market research reports at Jackson, but you can also find In Vivo and Medtech Insight which are respected market research periodicals in biotech and medical technology. Also listed a number of links on the Jackson website that may be of interest: o "Hot topics" Biotech and Pharma (basically a news site): http://public-prod-acquia.gsb.stanford.edu/library/articles/hottopics o Market Research: This can help with finding the market research information beyond what is written here. http://libguides.stanford.edu/market-research o Jackson library databases: http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/library/articles/databases/databases.ht ml More Information resources – Trade Publications Here is a list of trade publications from a number of organizations. Not ranked, each one is rather industry specific. Check out the ones that you feel are most related to your field of interest. Chemical and Engineering News – http://pubs.acs.org/cen/ C&EN Online is a weekly magazine published by the American Chemical Society. It covers recent research in chemistry and chemical engineering as well as giving an overview of important business, government, and policy trends that are important in fields of chemistry and chemical engineering. The magazine frequently has features on trends in the pharmaceutical and biotech industries. Genetic Engineering News – http://www.genengnews.com/ Genetic Engineering News is the most widely read bioindustry publication worldwide and has long been acknowledged as the voice of the global biotechnology bioindustry. GEN covers all areas of biotechnology: our international purview includes all aspects of applied research through commercialization. Editorial content includes regulatory, strategic alliances and collaborations, clinical trials, corporate profiles, in-depth interviews with leaders in industry, academia, and government, instructive tutorials in drug discovery and bioprocessing to enhance research results, and products that enable significant advances in bioscience R&D. Solid State Technology – http://electroiq.com/mems/ EE Times - http://www.eetimes.com/ - EE Times' editorial mission is to provide engineers and technical managers with timely, relevant news, analysis and opinion - of both technology and business - to help them keep their fingers on the pulse of the industry and to enable them to make the most informed business, technology and product decisions involving their designs. Design News - http://www.designnews.com/ - A print and online magazine that covers the latest tools, components, and materials used in mechanical and electromechanical design of a broad range of products and industries including: Aerospace/Defense Consumer Electronics Medical / Healthcare Semiconductor manufacturing Telecommunications. Scientific Journals – In general, on journals use a search engine to find articles and link to the full text .pdf’s directly from the search site. Finding review articles from the journals Science or Nature (the two most prestigious scientific journals) may be the best because the authors are usually the premier researchers in their respective field, and the articles are written for a general scientific audience. Nature Biotechnology – Nature Biotech is the premier journal for biotechnology research and academic and industrial commentary. You may not want to go directly to journal websites and fish around for articles because you can usually do that better on PubMed or SciSearch, but Nature Biotech is one journal useful in this way. This journal frequently has insightful commentaries on the biotech industry including technology and business trends. Websites – Here is a list of websites useful for getting magazine type articles about technologies and industries as well as lists of company names: Biospace – www.biospace.com Technology Review – www.technologyreview.com Nanotechnology Law and Business – http://www.nanolabweb.com/ Qmed - http://www.qmed.com/supplier-directory NanoInvest – http://www.nanoinvest.com Nanotechnology Now – www.nanotech-now.com Sensors Online – www.sensorsmag.com Photonics.com – http://www.photonics.com NanoBiotech News - http://www.techconnectworld.com GlobalSpec - http://www.globalspec.com/ Drug Discovery & Development - http://www.dddmag.com/ Other interesting and help web-based resources – Access Science - http://www.accessscience.com USPTO Patent Search - http://patft.uspto.gov/ MEMS company list from Mark Madou (UC Irvine) http://mmadou.eng.uci.edu/Edu_Services/Companies.htm http://mmadou.eng.uci.edu/Edu_Services/Foundries.htm Trade Organizations – Not ranked, these groups are industry specific. Look at the descriptions of these organizations and pick the ones that you find applicable to your search. At these websites, you can typically find extensive company lists (members of the organization), articles that deal specifically with the state of the industry and important news about company members of the organization, as well as industry related publications. BIO – Biotechnology Industry Organization - http://www.bio.org - The Biotechnology Industry Organization (BIO) represents more than 1,100 biotechnology companies, academic institutions, state biotechnology centers and related organizations in 50 U.S. states and 31 other nations. BIO members are involved in the research and development of health-care, agricultural, industrial and environmental biotechnology products. NSTI – Nano Science and Technology Institute – http://www.nsti.org/ - NSTI was created in 1997 and chartered with the promotion and integration of small technologies through education, technology and business development. NSTI accomplishes this mission through its offerings of consulting services, continuing education programs, scientific and business publishing and community outreach. The NSTI is the founder and manager of the world's most comprehensive small technology scientific and business event, the annual Nanotechnology Conference and Trade Show (Nanotech). The NSTI provides technical, informational and business services to industrial and governmental organizations worldwide. AMTA – Advanced Medical Technology Association - http://www.advamed.org/ AdvaMed is the world's largest medical technology association representing manufacturers of medical devices, diagnostic products and medical information systems. AdvaMed’s more than 1,300 members and subsidiaries manufacture nearly 90 percent of the $80 billion of health care technology purchased annually in the United States and more than 50 percent of the $175 billion purchased annually around the world. AdvaMed members range from the largest to the smallest medical technology innovators and companies. Nearly 70 percent of our members have fewer than $30 million in sales annually. AAMI – Association of the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation http://www.aami.org - The Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation (AAMI), founded in 1967, is a unique alliance of over 6,000 members united by the common goal of increasing the understanding and beneficial use of medical instrumentation. AAMI is the primary source of consensus and timely information on medical instrumentation and technology. AAMI is the primary resource for the industry, the professions, and government for national and international standards. AAMI provides a unique and critical forum for members who cover a complete range of interests, from clinical and biomedical engineers and technicians, physicians, nurses, and hospital administrators, to educators and researchers, manufacturers, distributors, government representatives and other health care professionals with an interest in medical devices. These diverse groups have been instrumental in making AAMI the leading source of essential information on medical devices and equipment for over 30 years. MDMA – Medical Device Manufacturers Association http://www.medicaldevices.org/public/ - The Medical Device Manufacturers Association (MDMA) is a national trade association based in Washington, D.C. that represents independent manufacturers of medical devices, diagnostic products and healthcare information systems. NEMA – National Electrical Manufacturers Association - http://www.nema.org/ NEMA has over 400 member companies, including large, medium, and small businesses that manufacture products used in the generation, transmission and distribution, control, and end-use of electricity. Annual shipments of these products total $100 billion. NEMA's mission is to promote the competitiveness of its member companies by providing quality services that will impact positively on standards, government regulations and market economics. PhRMA – Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America http://www.phrma.org/ - The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) represents the country’s leading pharmaceutical research and biotechnology companies, which are devoted to inventing medicines that allow patients to live longer, healthier, and more productive lives. PhRMA’s mission is to conduct effective advocacy for public policies that encourage discovery of important new medicines for patients by pharmaceutical/biotechnology research companies. AMDM – Association of Medical Diagnostics Manufacturers http://www.amdm.org/ - The AMDM is a nonprofit trade association that serves as a resource for education and information on compliance issues between member companies, and as an interface between member companies and the FDA. Today membership includes companies of all sizes who manufacture and distribute in vitro diagnostic products, including cell cultures and cell culture media, immunology and immune status test products, antigen and microbial detection products, and toxicology. DCAT – Drug, Chemical & Associated Technologies - http://www.dcat.org/ DCAT is the premier business development association whose membership is comprised of companies that manufacture, distribute or provide services to the pharmaceutical, chemical, nutritional and related industries. The Association provides services, programs and activities designed to support the business development objectives of its membership. NanoBusiness Alliance - http://nanobusiness.org/ - The NanoBusiness Alliance is the first industry association founded to advance the emerging business of nanotechnology and Microsystems. The NanoBusiness Alliance's mission is to create a collective voice for the emerging small tech industry and develop a range of initiatives to support and strengthen the nanotechnology business community. MIG - MEMS Industry Group - http://www.memsindustrygroup.org/ - MIG strives to be the unifying voice of the commercial MEMS industry. Our mission is to try to understand and to eliminate the barriers that prevent the greater commercial use of MEMS and MEMS-enabled technology. SEMI - http://www.semi.org - As the voice of the semiconductor equipment and materials industry, SEMI represents the collective interests of its membership, and is an advocate for the industry in the areas of public policy, environment, health and safety, workforce development and investor relations.