BEYOND BRICKS AND MORTAR: DEMYSTIFYING THE AFFORDABLE HOUSING DEBACLE IN A TRANSITING ECONOMY By Timothy Gbenga Nubi PREAMBLE The Vice-Chancellor Sir, The Deputy Vice-Chancellor (Academic and Research), The Deputy Vice-Chancellor (Management Services), The Registrar, The Provost, College of Medicine, Other Principal Officers of the University, The Dean, Faculty of Environmental Sciences a5nd other Deans here present, Members of Senate, Distinguished Academic and Administrative Staff Colleagues, Your Royal Majesties and Highnesses, My Lords Spiritual and Temporal, Invited Guests, Dear Students, Gentlemen of the Press, Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen. The Vice-Chancellor, Sir, it is a great privilege and honour for me to stand before you today to deliver my inaugural lecture. It is the first in the Department of Estate Management and the sixth in the Faculty of Environmental Sciences of the University of Lagos. I am humbled to present my inaugural lecture today, as the first Professor in the Department of Estate Management. I consider it a honour and privilege to present, for the first time in the University of Lagos, the University of First Choice and the Nation’s Pride; the relationship between academic work and practice in a highly professionalized discipline like Estate Management. Mr Vice-Chancellor, Sir, decent and adequate shelter is one of the basic needs of the individual, family and community. The house 1 and the environment on which it stands have profound influence on human health, efficiency, social behaviour and satisfaction. The importance of providing an adequate number of dwellings, which satisfy reasonable standards of comfort and hygiene and also contain essential utilities and services for community life, is immense. Shelter is basically acknowledged to have a profound impact on the life style, health, growth, happiness and productivity of an individual, therefore lack of it is one of the worst forms of poverty. An overview of the housing sector in Nigeria clearly reveals that access to adequate and affordable housing remains elusive to many Nigerians both in the urban and rural areas. The supply and demand disequilibrium for housing has continued to widen as population growth continues to outpace the production of housing units. About 60% of the present population of over 167 million lack “adequate housing” in Nigeria. Current housing deficit is about 16 million units. Though housing inadequacy is felt more by the less advantaged groups (low income, displaced, youths, elderly, physically challenged etc), even the middle class have started to feel the pain of the acute housing shortage. The current deficiency, in addition to projected demographic trends, point to the need for several million housing units to be built across the country in the coming years. The widespread development of slums in our towns and cities nationwide is the physical manifestation of poverty in its entire ramification. The relationship between housing, sustainable development and poverty is interwoven and slums provide the very significant visible dimension of urban poverty. IMPORTANCE OF HOUSING Research has demonstrated that housing has the potential of becoming an engine of economic growth because of its high yield on invested resources, a high multiplier effect, and a host of forward and backward linkages in the economy. The real estate industry, in general and the building construction sub-sector both 2 constitute important sectors of the economy as they are important contributors to the generation of employment. In 2001 and 2004, real estate contributed N219 billion and N444.68bn to the GDP respectively, while the contribution of building construction during the same period rose from N30.6bn in 2001 to N80.1bn, more than double over the period. At present, the informal sector is largely responsible for activities in the housing sector and there is the need for formal sector to provide leadership in the sector. i. Housing as Driver of the Economy Housing is an important driver of the economy, accounting for a significant portion of annual GDP in developed economies. Apart from this, housing generates significant expenditures outside the housing sector; housing and real estate asset classification leads to greater market efficiency, stability and liquidity. In developing economies on the other hand, housing construction in low income neighbourhoods is a stimulus to the creation of micro and small scale businesses; as this category of people generally use their homes as places of employment. This creates a latent potential for Microfinance for housing that may be bundled with loans for business development. ii. Housing as a Foundation for Community and Public Participation It is interesting to note that the need for housing brought up by the aftermath of the two World Wars is responsible for far-reaching housing policy in developed countries. The need for (better) housing generally acts as a catalyst for civic activism, thus providing a stimulus for the development and sustenance of community-based organizations. There are opportunities for empowering women within this framework. Security Housing, as the most significant assets of most households, provide a source of economic security, whose value can be traded. It also provides a sense of social stability for individuals within each household and when provided within the framework of 3 social capital development, provides community stability that serves as a source of alternative dispute resolution. Decentralization and the Democratic Process The complexity of the housing market, together with the social connection its provision provides, is governance experience for elected leadership. The sheer scale of its provision provides capacity building for governance at the local government level. iii. Housing as a Key to Poverty Alleviation, Health, Humanitarian Relief and Reconstruction Poverty Alleviation The desire for home-ownership is a strong motivator for savings and investment. Achieving home-ownership is also a means of generating extra income from rentals. Housing provision could also be used as a means of tracking migrant populations, as well as bringing people to jobs. It is serves as an asset base for rural poor with few other resources. Humanitarian Relief and Reconstruction Housing provision can be packaged as a veritable source of humanitarian relief and reconstruction. It is a medium for resettlement and reintegration of internally displaced persons, helping them to recover from natural and man-made disasters. In the last few months, the National Assembly and the Presidency have had course to pay official visits to the camps of people who have been displaced from their homes due to the Boko Haram crisis. No doubt, resettling these citizens and re-integrating them will require a well thought out policy founded on housing provision. In the aftermath of wars and natural disasters, housing provides an opportunity for economic recovery and reconstruction. Health The nexus between housing and health is recognized in several international treaties, policy and agenda. Overcrowded homes are crucibles for diseases. Healthy children need healthy homes; and decent housing in a clean environment is critical to the prevention 4 and care of Ebola, AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria and various other diseases. . THE SCALE OF THE PROBLEM. The content, scope and implementation of housing policy have changed dramatically since the early 1970s when urban issues first entered the operational agenda of institutions like the World Bank. There have been two interacting drivers toward housing policies of considerably higher quality and greater scope. First, there is the very significant worldwide increase in the quality and quantity of housing research since the 1960s. The second driver is the rapid rate of urbanization of the world economy. These two drivers have been accompanied by historical events such as the collapse of the Soviet system and the demise of central planning, which have led to a major rethinking of the market institution. Operating the market institution required difficult reforms in transition economies, which represented about 35% of the world population in 1990. This new thinking is called neoliberalism and it is discussed in detail later. The environmental and housing implications of urbanization in terms of additional land consumption alone are very serious as cities of the developing world will absorb 95 per cent of urban growth in the next two decades, and by 2030 will be home to almost 4 billion people, or 80 per cent of the world's urban population. After 2015, global rural population will begin to shrink as urban growth becomes more intense in cities of Asia and Africa, which are set to host the largest urban populations by 2030 (2.66 billion and 748 million respectively). Poverty and inequality will characterize many developing world cities, and urban growth will become virtually synonymous with slum formation in some regions. Asia is already home to more than half of the global slum population (581 million), followed by sub Saharan Africa (199 million), which has both the highest annual urban growth rate (4.58 per cent) and the highest slum growth rate (4.53 per cent). 5 Over the next 30 years, a median projection is that the total land area of cities will grow by a factor of 2.75 from 400,000km 2 to 1,100,000km2. Moreover, this land consumption affects better locations: already over 10% of coastal lands are consumed by urbanization. The housing problem in Nigeria is more acute in urban than in rural areas, where annual growth is in excess of 5.8% per annum in fast growing urban areas such as Lagos, Kano, Abuja, and Port Harcourt. Globally, Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest proportion of slum dwellers with a figure of 71.8% with annual growth rate of 4.53%. In Nigeria, the slum population is put at 70% with a higher annual growth rate of 4.55%. This slum population has been growing at an astronomical rate rising from 24.1 million in 1990 to almost 51 million in 2005. According to Renaud (2004) a city reflects the way its houses are financed. Where there is a wellstructured housing finance system, the cities will grow in an orderly manner, otherwise incremental development as result of lack of mortgage and construction finance creates slums and turn cities to a permanent construction site. The poor state of housing finance in Nigeria is reflected in the UN-HABITAT 2005 Report on “Financing Urban Shelter” which shows that while mortgage constitute more than 70% of GDP in advance economies, it is less than 0.8% in Nigeria. (Denmark 87.5%, USA 71.0%, UK 70.4%, Germany 54.3%, Portugal 50.6%, Sweden 50%, Ireland 45%, Spain 42%, Finland 35.6%, Hong Kong 31%). NIGERIA AT A CROSS ROAD. Arguably, ‘the global rules of economic engagement are bifurcated: one set of rules that embody Keynesian activism for rich countries, and neo-liberal orthodoxy and free market for the rest’ (Ifediora 2009). These rules are played out in the development of international conventions and agreements; they are utilized as guidelines for economic reforms that would bring 6 Plate 1” A “Street’’ of partially completed homes in Oworonshoki, Lagos Source: Author’s Field Visit (2008) Plate 2: ‘Home-ownership’ through self-help in a slum community: Owowronshoki, Lagos Source: Author’s Field Visit (2008) about much needed development for poorer nations and are also set as requirements for accessing grants and development aid from organizations sympathetic to this cause. Have these rules supplied the much touted benefits? The answer is NO! There 7 appears to be some conflict: it would appear that even as developing nations admit the dearth of infrastructural services for the majority of their people that are can ill-afford basic social services such as healthcare, housing, water, electricity, they are hard-pressed to supply these as economic services, calling on a disinterested and ill-prepared private sector to participate in fund raising and risk taking. With this, they deflect these social services from the government’s balance sheet, (Nubi & Oyalowo, 2012); but often with onerous consequences. The mantra of ‘less government’ has become fashionable in these countries as they adopt neoliberal approach believed to have brought development to the richer nations of the world. This policy transfer from large, direct, government expenditure to the seeking of private sector funds and foreign direct investment is reminiscent of the doctrine of neoliberalism. Neoliberalism has come to be the preferred macro-economic policy option, and sectorial policies in areas like housing, water, and electricity and so on and are being adjusted to its requirements. Hence, the privatization of relevant public organizations and institutions are a necessary condition for overall adherence to neoliberal democracy. Where a greater percentage of the population is least able to exercise effective demand and in the wake of the economic downturn, it can be appreciated that some policy actions would be necessary to save these sectors from collapse due to non-participation in the market. This is exactly what happened in most of the developed countries of the world, which saw the entrance of the government into the market (not that they had been far from it in the first place, as they had provided market driven safety-nets for their low-income citizens). In the case of developing countries, the reality seems to be that there is continued adherence to the doctrine of ‘less government’, even as the need escalated and even as private sector participation has produced less impact than envisaged. Neoliberalism as a politico-ideological construct has matured from the original (and then controversial) teachings of Adams Smith who in ‘The Wealth of Nations’ (1776) promoted individual interest 8 as a basis for national economic development. The construct has found appeal globally, having been adopted voluntarily by developed countries and becoming highly recommended as the panacea to under-development in the developing countries. Neoliberalism is generally associated with free trade, reduced government intervention in wealth creation, and promotion of market-dependent strategies to serve economic and social needs. Neoliberalism has been held to be the major factor accounting for economic development in developed countries, and development agencies operating from this platform actively promote the adoption of privatization, dismantling of state owned institutions, and commoditization of state-owned property, deregulation and cuts in public expenditure, opening up of partnership arrangements with the private sector, development of foreign reserves, globalization and a lot more. All these signal ‘less government’ and ‘more private’ involvement. No wonder Nigeria’s 1991 Housing Policy promoted a private sector driven housing delivery in Nigeria and an end to the era of mass housing estates such as the Gowon Estate, Shagari Estate, Jakande Estate that we used to know. But Neo-liberalism seems not to be a panacea to underdevelopment. For developed countries, liberalism and neoliberalism are natural policies that will be adopted as part of the framework for entrenching stable democratic governance. In developing countries however, the situation might not be so compact. Neo-liberalism has come to mean cuts in public expenditure, privatization of property rights, rolling back of environmental and labour considerations and decentralization of regulations from national to state and local government/municipal levels (Liverman and Vilas 2006). All these allegedly reduce the quality of lives of people in developing countries because production capacity by free enterprise is low, governance is not matured and the capacity of private enterprise to make profit for itself and hence, satisfy social needs is limited. This has led to the concentration of land, production and wealth with a few people 9 and increasingly in the hands of international firms; with the effect that neoliberalism is accused of being a tool for dismantling state institutions. It has also led to widespread destruction of livelihoods to the point where governments are threatened in countries like Bolivia, Argentina and Brazil and where the promoters of these policies, such as the World Bank are working to cushion the impact. In these and a number of developing countries, Neoliberalism is argued to be a new form of imperialism where new resources are identified, expropriated and assigned to private property, commoditized and exported to support capital accumulation by a few powerful interests (Liverman and Villas 2006; Beer, Kearins, & Pieters 2007) noted that the effect of Neoliberalism is not uniform across nations and even within nations; its expression at the national, regional or local level being founded on historical, political and geographical circumstances (Nubi & Oyalowo 2010). Housing Markets and Neoliberalism Mortgages are instruments of capitalism and the acknowledged bedrock of the housing finance system in developed economies. Promotion of mortgaged homeownership has, therefore, been the primary focus of housing policy since the 1930s in most developed countries Nubi (2007), Stone (2009).In these countries, adopting the mortgage policy meant the stimulation of private enterprise. Several additional institutions to support lending; ideological promotion, marketing and subsidies are often promoted through the tax system. However, globally integrated financial markets and significant increases in cross border financial flows coupled with mortgage defaults and foreclosures, poor underwriting, poor regulatory framework could occur to the detriment of the entire financial and mortgage system Stone (2009) and Forrest (2008). This is the crux of the global economic and financial crisis of 2008/2009. With regards to housing, the crucial question seems to be: can the private sector operate in all housing sub-markets? Does policy transfer recognize that private sector participation is taken for 10 granted in some submarkets and carefully avoided in others? Is it recognized that policy transfer in housing fails where the policy allots market functions to actors that are neither suited or willing to operate in that submarket? This is one dilemma of policy transfer for the satisfaction of social needs. The Policy Transfer Connection: Policy transfer is used extensively as a tool to circulate development ideas. Certain factors are amenable for successful adoption. These are identified by Austin (2009) as follows: an understanding of the operation and effectiveness of the policy in its home country, local institutional factors, structures and processes in both originating and recipient countries, the role of agents (politicians, policy staff) in championing change transfer and redesigning it to fit the local context and still meet desired objectives. Policy transfers are best when they are designed using ‘disciplined inspiration’, which is based on policy designed with some elements drawn from the overseas policies and not inconsistent with them (Rose 2005). The founding father of neoliberal thought, Adams Smith postulated that social needs can be met by the satisfaction of individual needs, but did not fail to note that fairness and equity are an essential part of neoliberalism. This thinking has made it possible for private sector enterprise to be regulated in some form to ensure fair distribution of wealth. The private sector is heavily dependent on the existence of a public sector regulator for efficient operations. In the housing market, this is in terms of planning laws, construction standards, housing finance vehicles, availability of legal, fiscal and physical infrastructure etc. If these regulations are congruent, the public sector can expect private enterprise participation in virtually all housing submarkets. However, where housing fund management is still strictly in the hands of the private sector that is mostly profit driven and absolutely deregulated, neoliberalism might not really work. This is the experience in Nigeria where bank recapitalization, a policy that was thought capable of injecting funds into the housing sector failed. This is because banks are providers of short-term fund whereas housing investment in long- 11 term would yield investment. There are also several competing uses for the scarce fund in the bankers’ vault with which housing must compete. The few developers that opted for the mismatch got their fingers burnt! FAILURE OF PAST POLICIES The history of both public and private sector housing development in Nigeria reveals that effective solutions to housing problems are yet to be found. Recognizing housing as a basic human need, past and present governments have enunciated various public policies and programmes aimed at solving the housing problems plaguing the nation. They have identified the core problems besetting the sector as follows: access to land, quality of housing stock and access to Finance. The various ramifications of these problems are shown in the figure below: The under-listed are the several interventions by past governments in the area of housing and urban development. a) Presidential Committee on Housing and Urban Development set up on May 21, 2001 to review existing policies on housing and urban development, and formulate a new policy for the two sectors. b) Presidential Technical Committee on Housing and Urban Development set up in January 2002 to work out the organizational structure of the newly created Federal Ministry of Housing and Urban development; and to also restructure all the parastatals of Government with housing related functions viz.: Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN), Federal Housing Authority (FHA) and Urban Development Bank of Nigeria (UDBN). c) Establishment of a Federal Ministry specifically for Housing and Urban Development in August 2003. d) Restructuring and Repositioning of the Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN) in 2003 for effective performance. FMBN now has a new organizational structure for secondary mortgage and capital market operations. The bank has been re-capitalised from N100 million to N5 billion under a new 12 e) f) g) h) i) j) ownership structure comprising Federal Government 50%, CBN 30% and NSITF 26%. Establishment of Real Estate Developers Association of Nigeria (REDAN) in May, 2002 for mass housing development. Establishment of the Building Materials Producers Association of Nigeria (BUMPAN) in March, 2004 to enhance domestic production of building materials in a coordinated and regulated manner. Legislative amendments to seven housing related laws which include the FMBN Act 1977, The Insurance Act 2002, The Investment and Securities Act 1999, The Mortgage Institutions Act 1989, The National Housing Fund Act 1992, The Nigeria Social Insurance Trust Fund Act 1993 and The Trustees Investment Act 1962. Promotion of Public-Private Partnership (PPP) in housing delivery. Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) had been signed with over 50 Real Estate Developers in the last four years and some of the private developers have started building mass housing sequel to land allocation by Federal Ministry of Housing and Urban Development (FMHUD). National Housing Fund management and operations have been reformed to make the fund easily accessible to prospective borrowers. Since 2006, interest loan on estate loan has been reduced from 15% to 10% and on loan to individual contributor from 9% to 6% per annum with a longer repayment period of 30 years as against 25 years previously. National Technical Committee on Niger Delta was set up in July 2006 to develop a framework for the implementation of housing programmes in the Niger Delta Region. In spite of all these interventions, the housing situation in Nigeria has remained in a deplorable state. With the accompanying high rate of urbanization, it has emerged as one of the major problems facing Nigeria, most especially in the urban areas. 13 Furthermore, a diagnostic review of the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) was conducted by KPMG an international consulting firm in 2005 focusing on FHA’s mandate and operational framework. On the recommendation of KPMG report, a new mandate was approved by Government for FHA to henceforth, focus on social housing provision for low and middle income groups and special groups e.g. physically challenged, elderly, widows, youths etc. The proportion of less privileged population with no shelter at all and the percentage of inhabitants living in slums and squatter settlements justify this. This number will continue to grow in the years ahead unless urgent remedial measures are taken to stem the trend. This informs the need for a viable option for mass housing provision in the country and this has been my research focus for the past 20 years. MY AREAS OF RESEARCH CONCENTRATION My areas of research concentration are: 1. Land Administration 2. Infrastructure Finance 3. Financing Affordable Housing 4. Co-operative Housing 5. Urban Regeneration and Housing Development 6. Housing Finance, Housing Supply and the Housing stock connection 1. LAND ADMINISTRATION: CONCEPTS AND THEIR APPLICATION Mr Vice-Chancellor Sir, land is the bedrock of all development activities. Its availability, accessibility and the security of its title will determine the shape of development in any society. Hernando de Soto’s book “The Mystery of Capital” revealed the secret of the wealth of every developed nation. It is the secret of the potency of proper titling of land resources. Unfortunately, the present generation in these developed nations is not even aware of this wonderful legacy. 14 Land administration is defined as the system of managing records of land ownership, use and development to ensure economic and social advantages to both government and the user (Ukaejiofor, 2007). It is also described as “the process of determining, recording, and disseminating information about ownership, value and use of land policies” (UNECE, 1996). Land administration can be used to ensure equitable access to land within the framework of a country. Security of title is very important as without title to land and or buildings, it is difficult to obtain investment funds and venture capital. According to Dale and McLaughlin (1988) poor land administration is an impediment to the growth of an economy. Banks, for example are hesitant to meet the needs of financing without security of title, because of the associated higher costs and more significant risks. Legal security of land tenure facilitates mortgage-based investment financing. Issues managed in land administration are encapsulated in the process of land allocation, title preparation, lease administration including subsequent transactions and mortgage. An Overview of the Development of Land Administration in Nigeria The history of land administration in Nigeria can be traced to precolonial era where land was regarded as owned by the community and every member was entitled to the use and enjoyment of the proceeds from it. In 1863, the Town and Improvements Schemes and Ordinance which applied to Lagos was enacted. The Public Lands Ordinance of 1876 was the first law that gave government the power to acquire and manage land in Lagos. This was modified in 1906 to apply to other parts of Southern Nigeria. The ordinance was further modified and re-enacted as Public Lands Acquisition Act of 1917 (amended by the 1958 Act) to apply to the whole country except the designated native lands under the Lands and Native Rights Ordinance of 1916. The Lagos Town Planning Ordinance 15 1928 was enacted with the main purpose of restricting land use for town planning purposes. In Northern Nigeria, Land Tenure Law of 1962 which evolved from Land and Native Rights Ordinance of 1916 vested all lands in the government and gave the Minister of Lands the power to acquire, manage, and control all lands compulsorily by revoking customary rights of occupancy for various purposes including meeting up with the various land requirements of local, regional or federal government public purposes. Others laws that have played a role in land administration in Nigeria are: - Public Lands Acquisition Act of 1973; Public Land Acquisition (Miscellaneous Provision) Act of 1976 and finally the Land Use decree of 1978, which redefined the concept of land ownership and affected the quality and quantity of what can be owned, real values, valuation practices and indeed the entire property market. In the words of Bello (2005), Land administration in Nigeria has a chequered history which is also a reflection of the country’s socio-political evolution. Problems associated with the Land Use Decree (1978) The main provisions of the Decree that affect real estate finance (and hence housing delivery) are: S. 34 (2): The right of occupancy is not alienable without consent; can be revoked unilaterally and does not grant exclusive possession. S. 21, 22, 23, and 34 (7) forbids alienation of land in any manner without consent. S. 28 (2a) and 3 (b) makes alienation without consent a ground for revocation of rights of occupancy. S. 26 renders any alienation without consent null and void. S. 34 provides stiff penalty for alienation without consent. Mortgage of a right of occupancy is alienation thereof under the Act. Proceeding from the Land Use Act therefore is the requirement of 16 Governor’s Consent on real estate transactions. Such applications for consent in some cases are subject to such administrative bureaucracy that makes it impossible for the requisite consent to be obtained until about 3 to 5 years from the date of application (Omirin & Antwi, 2005). As banks cannot afford the risk of rendering the mortgage or any related transaction voidable and based on the fear that such mortgage without prior consent could give rise to revocation of the rights of occupancy, delays often occur in the granting of full banking facilities to customers pending the time that consent is obtained. The Land Use Decree of 1978 and other regulatory policies have created serious problems for residential property development in Nigeria. Among these problems with direct and indirect implication on housing finance include: High cost of land which ranges from N5 million ($30,000) to N500 million ($1.8million) between Epe, Ikorodu, Ikeja, Ikoyi in Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt, Warri and Kano. Delay by state governments in the issuance of Certificate of Occupancy. High consent charges for transfer of interest. These include fees payable as professional fee, stamp duty, capital gains tax and registration charge. These are usually more than 50% of land value (Nubi 2001). Dual payment for land, first to the landowner called ‘Omoonile’s and secondly to the government for registration of title. Endless court injunction over ownership, which often delays projects for years. When ownership is effectually determined, the developer could be ordered out of site thereby losing huge investment. Unfortunately, Certificate of Occupancy issued by the Governor does not confer ownership but the root of title as determined by the court. Non recognition of private property development companies in the Land Use Act of 1978 which limited large land holding to agricultural and grazing use alone 17 Political implication (and hence insecurity) of the Certificate of Occupancy due to the Governor’s power to revoke allocation. Since the Act conceded the land to the state, compensation after revocation is limited to the development on such land excluding the residual value of the land. The statutory valuation method in this case is Cost of Replacement, which ignores the land value. Compensating only for physical development on land in accordance to the decree creates a disincentive to investment especially in areas where land alone is worth millions of Naira. My Study in the Area of Land Administration As an effort towards resolving the problem of delays in obtaining land documents, The Lagos State Government, in August 2005, introduced the 30day regime to obtain C of O and Governor’s consent. We therefore carried out a study to assess the effectiveness of this policy directive. The study adopted an empirical approach by collecting data from the Land’s Bureau, Alausa, Ikeja. Nonetheless, secondary data was collected from the internet, published works and books. The structured questionnaire sought information on the following areas:i. Procedure for obtaining governor’s consent for land transactions and the time duration for obtaining same. ii. Number of applications requesting Governor’s consent for subsequent transactions and number of applications granted consent. iii. Number of applications for registration of property dealings iv. Methods of record keeping v. Methods of government involvement in real estate development. Table 1: The 30-Day Governor’s Consent to Subsequent Transactions on Land Stages/Operation 18 Period Required 1 Applications and accompanying documents are received at the reception desk (Note: Incomplete applications would not be accepted.) 2 Application is uniquely referenced for identification purpose. 3 Investigation of status of the land through charting 4 Assessment of property to determine applicable fees. 5 Issuance of demand notices 6 Applicants forward treasury receipts of payment of fees. 7 Approval and endorsement of documents by the Honourable Commissioner 8 Stamping of document 9 Registration of document 10 Collection of all registered documents 1 day 4-7 days 1-2 days 5-7 days 4-7 days 2-3 days 2-3 days Source: Authors’ Field work The 30 day feat, as shown in table 1 above, was hoped to be achieved through the removal of some administrative bottlenecks. One of such is the elimination of the need for site inspection officers. There is a limit to the number of inspections that can be done in a day given the transportation problems in Lagos. It was proposed that applicants now submit photographs of the site which is verified through charting using the newly acquired GIS facilities. This singular action would not only drastically reduce the time required to obtain consent, but also, reduce the incidence of bribery of officers. Another bottleneck would be removed with the creation of some desks in the Lands Department where all charges and fees can be paid. The Revenue Department would now have a desk where all payment and clearances are made rather than going from one Ministry to the other. Worthy of mention is that applications requesting Governor’s consent to subsequent transactions would not go to Land Use and 19 Allocation Committee nor were they required to be advertised in the national dailies for 21 days. Where private transfer of certificate of occupancy are involved, it may either be for an “assignment”, “sublease,” “power of attorney,” or “mortgage”. Applications for grant of statutory rights of occupancy (private land) still required the 21 days publication in the national dailies. The whole procedure would take 17 steps. However, it may take between 9 months and 3 years before on applicant collects his certificate of occupancy. The effect of this change in policy (30-day consent policy) was not seen as there were no significant changes from the number of applications received. Currently, a 21 day regime is in operation. The impact of this also remains to be seen. For 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008 (Jan-May 31st) the total number of applications received for Governor’s consent on subsequent transactions were 2721, 3001, 4028, and 2139 respectively and for the corresponding years 1772, 2553, 2930 and 1141 applications were granted governors consent. Those not granted consent were refused for some reasons among which are bad legal drafting of the deed, inconsistencies of signatures, land being under government acquired land (from survey or office), charting information inconsistent with what is on the ground. The question that begs for an answer though is, were these the only transactions going on in Lagos State over the given years (period)? And why are people shying away from requesting the Governor’s consent on their land transactions? Table 2: Land Prices & Consent Fees Across Lagos State Period Location Plot Size Price (N) Title Consent Fee Fee Payable (N) 1998 Magodo/Isheri 700m2 3m Allocation Letter + C of O 30% of C.V 900,000 20 Consent Fee (% of price (N) 2000 “ “ 4m “ 2005 “ “ 7.5m “ 2006 “ “ 10m “ 2007 “ “ 15m “ 1998 Isheri (Native Land) 2000 “ 50ft x 100ft (465m2) “ 2005 2006 2007 “ “ “ “ “ “ 450,000 Purchase Receipt 1m “ 3.5m 4.5m 6m “ “ “ 30% of C.V N 3,500/m2 N 3,500/m2 N 3,500/m2 30% of C.V 1,200,000 30% of C.V N2,000m2 N2,000m2 N2,000m2 300,000 2.45m 32.66% 2.45m 24.5% 2.45m 16.33% 135,000 930,000 930,000 930,000 Source: Field Survey (2011) Investigation reveals that people still find the whole exercise of getting the Governor’s consent cumbersome and expensive. For example, consent fee before the introduction of the 30 – days consent policy was thirty percent of capital value of the property. The policy introduced various rates for land price per square metre depending on location and also a total of fifteen percent of spot assessment rate for buildings depending on the type of building and its location. Table 2 above reveals that at inception of the policy the consent fee was still high and in some cases higher than the original thirty percent of market price. As at today, one can see that consent fees in some cases are still as high as 25% of market price; the same argument goes for buildings. The argument is that the cost of transfer only increases the cost of acquisition of land. Steps towards Achieving Effective Land Administration The government’s effort at delivering housing in Nigeria is commendable especially with the reforms that had been initiated in the last 10 years. The effort of the Lagos State Government at 21 26.57% 20.67% 15.50% providing enabling environment for real estate transaction/ development is also commendable. Other sources yet to be utilized or strengthened are stated as follows: (i) Government should hasten action to review the Land Use Act of 1978 with a view to simplifying access to land titling, transfer and foreclosure. (ii) The lands department should be a one-stop shop where all the relevant division, department and ministry have their desks. This will ensure prompt attendance to issues concerning them rather than moving files to location several kilometers away which often result in waste of time and loss of documents with attendant possibility of corrupt practices. (iii) The revenue generated from all subsequent transaction on land matter should be plunged back to the citizenry through opening up more land for development. (iv) The government should reduce consent fees. Efforts should be made to see that consent fees are not more than what is required to be paid in alternative transaction like stocks. (v) There is the need for regular public enlightenment on land administration issues and opportunities available to the citizenry for mortgage financing. (vi) Government should accelerate its effort towards developing the Geographical Information System (GIS) support to ease Land administration (vii) Government should not be involved with direct provision of housing but should vigorously continue to pursue the provision of enabling environments for housing provision, hence, increased activities are recommended by way of public-private partnership schemes, private developer’s scheme and establishment of micro finance institutions dedicated to housing finance. (viii) The Federal Government should consider the issue of setting up a National Lands Bureau that will be charged with the responsibility of standardizing National policies on land and streamlining the various regulations, practices and procedures of all the identifiable regulation on land ownership, titles and security of tenure. 22 Our studies have established the pivotal role of an efficient land management system in housing delivery. It is hoped that the above recommendation will receive the attention and implementation of the government. The ever-increasing gap in housing affordability, sky rocketing housing deficit in Lagos and its effect on total socio-economic condition of the people living in the state requires that action such as recommended in this paper, cannot be delayed. Mr. Vice-Chancellor, Sir, in 2002, my department, department of Estate Management convened a National Workshop on “Land Management and Property Tax Reform”. The lead paper was presented by the world acclaimed and highly renowned urban geographer, Professor Akin L. Mabogunje. The Workshop was attended by experts of high academic and professional standing in the built environment: indeed it was a gathering of the “who is who” in the sector. The published workshop book of proceedings has been acknowledged as a tool-kit and working manual for land administration in Nigeria. Some of the recommendations have already been adopted, while many, we hope, are still under consideration. My other papers in the area of land administration are: 1. The Nexus between Effective Land Management and Housing Delivery in Lagos. (Nubi & Ajoku 2011) 2. The relationship between Residential Land Prices and House Prices in Lagos State, Nigeria. (Gambo & Nubi 2011) 3. Housing Production through Site and Services Scheme: The Nigerian Experience. (Nubi T. G. 2001) 4. Land Use Charge Law 2001of Lagos State: An Overview and Need for Property Tax Reform in Nigeria. (Nubi T. G. 2002) 5. Property Tax Reform: An Evaluation of Lagos State Land Use Charge. (Nubi & Babawale 2011) 6. Urban Violence, Land rights and the Environment: An Exploration of the Nexus and the Panacea for Sustainable 23 Development. (Nubi T.G, Omirin M.M, Adisa Y.S, Koleoso H.K and John U.O. 2010). 2. INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE Ostensibly new, the problems facing today’s generation of governments and infrastructure planners are, in reality, quite old. These problems include: Getting infrastructure development started or reinvigorated to improve economic efficiency and raise the standard of living. Starting and sustaining private sector entities such as architectural and engineering consulting firms, manufacturers of suppliers and equipment and developers of new technology; Building public sector institutions which facilitate economic activity, encouraging competition and increasing the transparency of government regulation and legislation; Producing steady technological refreshment of infrastructure, including replacing ‘dumb’ with ‘smart’ systems, ‘dirty’ with ‘green’ systems etcetera. Attracting both public and private sector investment of capital. Government continues to search for stable procurement systems, which let new ideas, new technologies, new capital and new firms in, while allowing existing firms to grow and evolve. Postindependence urban administration in Nigeria had relied heavily on traditional method of project procurement. These traditional methods are, according to Miller (1996) and Nubi (2001) characterized by cost overrun, hyper-inflated contract abandonment etc. The new wave in the world of public infrastructure procurement is the rebirth of project delivery and finance which depart from the traditional procurement practice. This is facilitated by globalization and development in IT (Nubi 2001). Over the past decade, the engineering-procurement-construction (EPC) sector throughout the world has developed broad expertise in the full range of 24 project delivery and finance methods, including design-bid-build (DBB), design-build (DB), design-build-operate (DBO), and building-operate-transfer (BOT). The literature confirms that, for each available delivery method, substantial knowledge, experience and judgment are required for success. After any one of these delivery methods is chosen, successful implementation of that method requires careful planning, detailed scheduling, timely materials and equipment acquisition and proper integration of all the design and construction elements. Choice of delivery method directly affects choice of technology, design approach, construction method, facility operations and project finance. The emerging mix of project delivery and finance options necessarily implies new opportunities to package projects in order to optimize not just one but a portfolio of infrastructure facilities. Figure 2 below shows various options available today. Mr. Vice Chancellor, Sir, our work in this area are published in the following papers: 1. Construction Procurement System: Need for Paradigm Shift. (Nubi T. G. 2001). 2. Infrastructure Finance in Lagos Metropolis. (Nubi T.G. & Ukabam T.A 2010). 3. “Procuring, Managing and Financing Urban Infrastructure in Nigeria” (Omirin M.M, Nubi T.G, & Fawehinmi A.S. 2002). All the procurement methods shown in Figure 2 are defined in two dimensions: the means of project delivery and the means of project finance. The term ‘owner’ refers to the public entity procuring infrastructure facilities or services, and contractor refers to the successful bidder or proposer that merges as the winner of the procurement process. Figure 2: Delivery options IV Direct 25 I Parallel Prime (PP) Design-Bid-Build (DBB) Construction management (CM) Segmented Turnkey (TKY) Pure operate and maintain Design-build (DB) Turnkey with finance (super TKY) Fast track (FT) Design-build-operate (DBO) Design-build-operate-maintain (DBOM) Combined delivery Build-operate-transfer (BOT) Build-own-operate (BOO) Design-build-operate-transfer (DBOT) Build-own-operate-transfer (BOOT) III Indirect II Note: horizontal axis = continuum of delivery methods; vertical axis = continuum of government finance methods. (Reproduced by kind permission of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.) Innovations enter the infrastructure portfolio through each of the individual segments in the procurement process (design, construction, finance, operations, and maintenance) and through combinations of these segments (DB, DBO, BOT). Only a broad mix of procurement offers a stable base for broader economic and environmental strategies. A three-quadrant strategy in which a steadily evolving mix of public and private delivery or finance is the express goal: Figure 3: A Stable Procurement Strategy Direct IV I Segmented Combined 26 III II Indirect The three-quadrant model encourages entirely new groups of individuals – technology suppliers and financiers – to participate more actively in infrastructure renewal through the integrated procurement process of DBO and BOT. The three-quadrant model encourages stronger competition among firms, not only on initial cost for DBB and DB but also on life-cycle cost, time of performance and quality of performance. The impact on capital availability –Lagos State recently identifies roads that would be procured through private arrangement in quadrant II. Lekki Epe Express road procured under this arrangement is a living testimony of success. The three-quadrant model encourages government to obtain independent checks on the economic and technical viability of large projects through DBO and BOT competitions. Such checks will gradually permit governments to adjust the allocation of projects across the quadrants so that private capital is reasonably and reliably attracted to viable projects in quadrant II and to those projects in quadrant I where government financial backing (through cash substitutes) is clear. Private capital financing of such projects will, in turn, create new opportunities for government better to allocate direct cash payments to projects in quadrants IV and I. Conclusions The growing acceptance of multiple project delivery and finance methods necessarily implies that government will be increasingly faced with strategic choices whether to use ‘public’ or ‘private’ 27 mechanism in the provision of infrastructure facilities and services. History teaches that purely public and purely private delivery mechanisms are unreliable, unstable and averse to innovation. Steady, sustainable improvement in the infrastructure portfolio will be achieved through a transparent, mixed strategy – a threequadrant model – which encourages individuals and firms to innovate, which encourages technology developers and investors to enter and which is simple for participants to understand and use. A flexible, reliable, mixed public – private procurement strategy is required if broader questions related to the economy and the environment are to be coherently addressed through procurement systems. Governments, at all levels, are now in a position to use alternative delivery mechanisms to make dramatic improvements in the technology used in the infrastructure portfolio, in the quality of infrastructure services and in cash flow. 3. FINANCING AFFORDABLE HOUSING According to Nothaft and Surette (2002), housing in developed countries conventionally costs three to four times the combined annual incomes of the owners so that virtually all housing is bought or built with credit finance. With a typical deposit of 20 per cent of the total price, finance is needed to cover about 80 per cent of costs and is usually repayable over twenty years. For households in developed countries, this debt burden is manageable because, although the finance is repaid at positive interest rates, income growth is likely to be relatively constant and predictable, and the family cycle dictates that most households will have reduced outgoings over time (Diamond 1992, and Hamnett 1994). By contrast, households in developing countries, according to Ogu (1996) face a series of problems in attempting to access finance with which to resolve their housing needs. Despite enormous absolute housing deficits and the need to improve the existing stock, housing finance often represents less than 10 per cent of all 28 financial transactions. To make matters worse, many housing finance institutions post losses amounting to many times the value of their capital reserves, and have been prone to invest in highly speculative ventures with consequent boom-bust swings in their portfolio. They have a track record of delivering funds only when government subsidies are available and only, then, to the betteroff 10-20 per cent of households (Boleat 1987, UNCHS 1991). Not surprisingly, most estimates of housing investment as a proportion of GDP in developing countries provide figures substantially below those of developed countries (Buckley 1996, Malpezzi 1990, Renaud 2004, World Bank 1993). While it is about 20% in developed nations, it is less than 4% in developing nations, i.e., countries like Nigeria. This situation means that most households have to 'chase loans' with upwards of 80 per cent of housing finance transactions taking place in the informal economy (Okpala 1986, Renaud 2004). Like any developing country, Nigeria has limited resources in materials and technology. In addition, the nation faces population explosions and experiences continuously rising needs. At the early stages of the nation's development, little attention was paid to housing problems. It was not until 1979 that government made housing provision a major issue. Since then “ambiguous” or “ambitious” targets, which were never realized, were set. There are many reasons for the failure of past housing schemes and policies, prominent among them is the issue of finance. Apart from an increase in poverty level in the country, the paternalistic approach of funding housing project with no efficient structure for cost recovery (Agbola & Olatubara, 1992) also constituted a major constraint. Another serious problem is the inability to evolve a saving culture with proper understanding of the flow of money. The capital market itself is at its formative stage. Housing production, being capital intensive, requires credit support. The most tested form of finance system all over the world is Mortgage Financing. Unfortunately the Mortgage Institutions have not met Nigeria’s aspirations. According to Abram (1961): 29 Absence of a mortgage-financing mechanism is one of the most telling indices of underdevelopment. A mortgage system is accepted as essential almost everywhere. Polonius's advice, "Neither a borrower nor a lender be", would, if followed, make it impossible for most people to own their homes. In countries with the highest per capita incomes, a middle-class breadwinner must have twice his annual gross income to buy a modest house, but by the time he can accumulate it, he may be dead. Since urbanization has been universally accompanied by rising costs of homes, a shortage of capital for the purchase, and a gap between income and shelter cost, the only way of acquiring a home is by going into debt. A good house should last at least a lifetime. In the more developed nations where a mortgage system exists, the house is built first and paid for in installments out of earnings. If there is no financing mechanism, families have no alternative but to rent (if they can), build a cheap makeshift, crowd into small spaces, squat, or sleep on the streets. Absence of a mortgage system can lead to stagnation of the building and materials industries, increased unemployment, social discontent, and in some instances even political upheaval. Our research into Mortgage systems between 2002 and 2012 were published in the following papers: 1. Institutional Barriers to Mortgage Investment Risks in Nigeria. (Odekoya A.J. & Nubi T.G. 2011) 2. Housing Finance between Social Needs and Economic Realities: The Dilemma of Policy Transfer under Neo-liberalism. (Nubi, T. & Oyalowo, B. 2010). 3. Effectiveness of Capital Market in Residential Housing Provision in Nigeria: Are REDAN members exploring the Opportunities? (Nubi T.G., Idowu O.B.A & Osagie J.U. 2010). 4. PAASO Model: A Tool Kit for Evaluating Mortgage Finance Effectiveness in Nigeria (Nubi T.G. & Omirin M.M 2010). 5. A study of the Nigerian Bank Re-capitalisation Policy: implications for Real Estate Financing (Nubi T.G & Atilola M.I. 2010). 30 6. Increasing Mortgage Finance Efficiency in Nigeria. (Nubi T.G. 2007). 7. The Role of Primary Mortgage Institutions in Housing Delivery. (Nubi T.G. & Omirin M.M. 2007). 8. Secondary Mortgage Market in Nigeria: The Old is Dead, is the New Ready to be born? (Nubi T.G 2007). 9. Flying with One Wing: Dilemma of Mortgage Banking System without a Secondary Market. (Nubi T.G. 2001). 10. “Financing Low Income Housing in Nigeria cities: - Need for Paradigm Shift”. (Nubi T. G. 2002). Findings on Mortgage Finance System Access to Mortgage Finance: The Mortgage Bank for Africa Building Society (MBABS) metamorphosed into Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN) in 1977, with a takeoff capital of N20 million from Federal government. As earlier mentioned, this forerunner lacked prerequisite experience required to run mortgage banks. The bank at no time was able to meet up with the pressure of demand. The situation worsened from 2: 1 application to available fund ratio in 1979 to 4: 1 in 1986. Since then the bank has never really been able to meet up with such demand. It is, therefore, imperative that other sources of funds must be exploited if the bank is to make any meaningful impact on the housing sector. More recently, table 3 shows the amortization schedule of mortgage finance at 6% interest rate as prepared by FMBN. According to the table, affordability according to FMBN is 30% of applicant’s income that could be devoted to mortgage servicing without default in repayments. This gives N6, 250.00. / Month when the annual income is N250,000.00. From amortization table this is lower than the N7, 164.31 required to qualify for N1m loan at 6% for 20 years. From the study, the least price of a two-bedroom house built by a typical corporate developer is N2.5m. This agrees with newspaper reports during the research period on prices of houses in 31 Table 3 Loan Amount At Six (6) Percent Interest Rate TENOR (Years) 5 10 15 20 25 30 Loan Amount Repayment N Monthly Loan Repayment (N) Monthly Loan Repayment N Monthly Loan Repayment N Monthly Loan Repayment N Monthly Loan Repayment N Monthly LoanRepayment 50,000.00 966.64 555.10 421.93 358.22 322.15 299.78 100,000.00 250,000.00 500,000.00 750,000.00 1,933.28 4,833.20 9,666.40 14,499.60 1,110.21 2,775.51 5,551.03 8,438.57 843.86 2,109.64 4,219.28 6,328.93 716.43 1,791.08 3,582.16 5,373.23 644.30 1,610.75 3,221.51 4,832.26 599.55 1,498.88 2,997.75 4,496.63 1,000,000.00 1,250,000.00 1,500,000.00 1,750,000.00 19,332.80 24,166.00 28,999.20 33,832.40 11,102.05 13,877.56 16,653.08 19,428.59 8,438.57 10,548.21 12,657.85 14,767.49 7,164.31 8,955.39 10,746.47 12,537.54 6,443.01 8,053.77 9,664.52 11,275.27 5,995.51 7,949.38 8,993.26 10,492.13 2,000,000.00 2,250,000.00 2,500,000.00 38,665.60 43,498.80 48,332.00 22,204.10 24,979.61 27,755.13 16,877.14 18,986.78 21,096.42 14,328.62 16,119.70 17,910.78 12,886.03 14,496.78 16,107.54 11,991.01 13,489.89 14,988.76 2,750,000.00 3,000,000.00 3,250,000.00 3,500,000.00 53,165.20 57,998.40 62,831.60 67,664.81 30,530.64 33,306.15 36,081.66 38,857.18 23,206.06 25,315.70 27,425.35 29,534.99 19,701.85 21,492.93 23,284.01 25,075.09 17,718.29 19,929.04 20,339.80 22,050.55 16,487.64 17,986.52 19,485.39 20,984.27 3,750,000.00 4,000,000.00 4,250,000.00 4,500,000.00 72,498.01 77,331.21 82,164.41 86,997.61 41,632.69 44,408.20 47,183.71 49,959.23 31,644.63 33,754.27 35,863.92 37,973.56 26,866.16 28,657.24 30,448.32 32,239.40 24,861.30 25,722.06 27,322.81 28,993.56 22,483.14 23,982.02 25,480.90 26,979.77 4,750,000.00 5,000,000.00 91,830.81 96,830.01 52,734.74 55,510.25 40,083.20 42,192.84 34,030.48 35,821.55 30,004.32 32,215.07 28,478.65 29,977.53 source: FMHUD (2004) P. 21 32 cities in Nigeria. If the researcher should, therefore, assume a modest price of N2.5m for a 2-bedroom house, monthly loan repayment of N2.5m loan on such a house is N17, 910.78. This implies that for N2.5m loan to be approved, applicants must be earning not less than N716, 430.00 p.a. that is N59, 702.50 per month. But less than 20% of workers studied earn this. It is important to state that the higher the income, the lower the amortization period and the higher also the repayment amount. This explains why applications were not often approved. Twenty years repayment term was assumed because it takes about 10 years to qualify for housing loan out of 30 year service period in most organizations. In government employment, it takes about 5 years to get an appointment confirmed and almost same time to save towards land purchase and deposit required by PMI(s). The above foregoing happens when the applicant seeks loans to build. If he has to buy a house, then the advertised prices in the national newspapers should be used and, in most cases, advertised prices of two-bedroom flat are more than 2.5 million naira. At that rate, the problem of inaccessibility and non-affordability is made worse. Lack of expertise: Pure commercial and merchant bankers led the pioneers of PMI with management staff drawn from among fresh graduates, underemployed graduates under National Directorate of Employment (NDE) and the jobless on the streets. It is sufficient to say that the forerunners of primary mortgage banks in Nigeria were grossly inexperienced in the subject. Ability to Mobilise Savings: Whatever organizational form a housing financing system takes - savings and loans association, building society, national housing bank, or some combination of these - no single aspect of its operation is likely to determine its success or failure than its ability to mobilise savings (Christian, 1980). This involves proper understanding of the three basic motives for 33 holding money - transaction balance, contingency balance and investment balance. There is a presumption that savings or fund markets divide between transaction balance, which gravitate towards commercial banks; contingency balance, which are the natural milieu of housing finance institutions, and investment balance, under which money tends to flow to the highest bidder. This constitutes a major source of fund for the broader capital market. NHF provided that 2.5% of the income of workers be paid to the fund as mandatory savings. This has generated a lot of controversies and criticisms. Media reports show that there has been repeated calls for its abrogation (Oshiomole 2001). The advantage of compulsory saving scheme according to Christian (1980) is that it can mobilise relatively large amount of funds in a short period of time and if continued, it can provide a stable flow of resources to housing finance institutions. Compulsory saving had been used to finance 80% of the housing requirement of countries like Singapore. It has succeeded in Korea (Abiodun 1999, Nubi 2001, Bichi 2000). Absence of Vibrant Secondary Mortgage System: In nations where PMIs have worked, it was equally noted that holistic approach of mortgage finance was adopted. The PMIs grew alongside secondary mortgage institution– the much-needed second wing required by the eagles of the housing finance system to fly. While Developed Nations had developed their Secondary Market, banking in Nigeria remains traditionally primary. The Stock Market, Insurance industries, Information Technology (IT), Legal/Regulation instruments and other basic infrastructure needed for secondary banking were not developed. Unbundled Mortgage System: This is where the business of origination and servicing are being carried out by some Institutions. (Case study of Shagari Estate) 34 Figure 4: This is what is likened to flying with one wing. Source: Lea (2003) The Importance of a Secondary Mortgage Market (SMM): For housing finance to be successful, continuous flow of funds must be guaranteed. Secondary mortgage markets are a means to an end. The end is to increase the flow of funds to housing. A secondary market provides the means to accomplish this end by bringing together the originators of mortgage loans with the ultimate investors. It does this by developing new instruments and institutions that can lower the risks of mortgage lending for originators and provide them with new funding outlets. The whole process of mortgage practice is unbundled as shown below. It can also overcome institutional or geographic segmentation in the market. In countries without secondary markets, one class of institution frequently provides housing finance. Figure 5: Unbundled Mortgage Delivery System – Modern Model Source: Lea (2003) PRIMARY MORTGAGE INSTITUTIONS (PMIS) AND THEIR OPERATIONS Structure: The operations of PMIs remain bundled; all their operations are done in-house. This creates limited accessibility. If 35 operations are unbundled, mortgage brokers, for instance, will be licensed to operate. Mortgage brokers by the level and size of the firms require little capital to start and operate. They usually act in most part of developed economies as originators and servicers of mortgage. Their operations often bring phenomenal increase in the volume of origination of loans. The insurance companies are very good examples of this model for instance, many vehicle owners in remote settlements in Nigeria do insure their vehicles without coming to the cities. Locations of PMIs Location is believed to be an essential factor in determining the degree of physical accessibility, hence, the overall effectiveness of mortgage finance. About 70% of the operating PMIs are in Lagos and Abuja. It was discovered that out of 58 PMIs in Lagos, 40 are in Victoria Island. By virtue of their location, they are only accessible to the high net-worth bracket in the society. Mortgage operation in its ideal state, according to Vuyisani (2001) requires face-to-face transaction. The distance imposed by location is, therefore, an accessibility constraint. PMIs in Abuja are also clustered in the Central District. There are more areas with great demand like Kuboi, Karu, Sulejah, etc. In other states of the federation, the PMIs are located in the state capitals. Town and cities like Shagamu and Ijebu-Ode in Ogun State with population of about 500,000 each have no PMIs. This confirmed Agbola’s (1987) claim that mortgagors do incur more than what they needed to amortize their loan on transportation from Shaki to Ibadan in Oyo State. About 60% of the PMIs operate from their main office without any branch. 28% have 1-3 branches, 6% operate between 4-6 branches while another 6% have more than 6 branches. Those that have more than 6 branches are subsidiaries of commercial banks. This category of PMIs, - like Union Homes, a subsidiary of Union Bank and Co-operative Savings and Loan of Co-operative Bank, use that parent companies locational advantage to run their mortgage business. Mr Vice chancellor Sir, on Friday 31st July 2015, a journalist 36 phoned me and wanted my opinion on CBN’s threat to close down PMI’s that are engaged with other business rather than mortgage. My reaction was ‘Igbayi Laro’ As far back as 2005, I have reported this development and the danger to the evolution of the industry. Type of business None of the PMIs concentrate solely on mainstream mortgage banking. About 80% are engaged in direct construction for sale. Another 57% are concentrating on Local Purchasing and Order (LPO) financing, e.g., selling of building materials and even other non-construction material, 60% are engaged in merchandising, 70% operate as commercial banks, that is, receiving deposit and giving out short-term loan for traders and other non-housing customers. This is a serious problem because Ansa (2003) warned that it is too risky for PMI to combine credit risk with construction risk. There is no doubt that lack of focus is a serious constraint to the evolution of virile PMIs. Many of the PMIs have housing estates in Lagos and Abuja, Examples are Hallmark Estate at Ikorodu, Lagos State Co-operative Estate at Ibadan, Abeokuta and Abuja. Sources of Fund About 80% of the PMIs rely on their equity to fund loans while only about 10% have accessed the National Housing Fund (NHF). But the nature of such transaction is to sell their portfolio to FMBN, which is more or less a pseudo-secondary market. This only ensures liquidity but still requires the PMIs to do initial loan funding. Some of the PMIs have criticized this requirement of FMBN that places a condition of existence of mortgage blocks on access to funds. Capital Base of PMI The business of PMIs is primarily to advance loan to potential borrowers for home ownership. The amount of loan originated, therefore, depends on the capital base of the PMIs. The requirement for licensing was N5m in 1992. This was increased to 37 N10m in 1996 and then N100m in 2001. It was not until 1996 that one PMI recorded N100 million capital base. As at 2002, 8 (25%) have not been able to meet up with the required N100 million capitalization. The research revealed that in 2002 only one (1) PMI has between N401m-N500m and none has more than half a billion naira. The CBN in November 2004 warned that PMIs that had not met up with the N100m should do so or have their license withdrawn (The Guardian 2004). With the N25billion capitalization base regime imposed on commercial banks, other financial sectors like the PMIs and Insurance are already jittery. The PMIs’ inability to meet up with the N100m capitalization is a cause for concern. With the loan ceiling being pushed to N5m, it means PMIs with limited capital base can only grant an average of N2m loan to 50 applicants. At the commencement of the National Housing Fund in 1992, the loan ceiling was N500,000.00. This was increased to N1.5m in 1995 and later N5m in 2002. The essence of this increase in amount of loan was to increase the loan to value (LTV) ratio. 40% of the PMIs claimed to be offering average loan of N2.5m to N3m, 22% gives between N2m – N2.5m, 6% gives between N1.5m – N2m, 13% gives N1m – N1.5m while 19% gives less than N1m. The above shows that the number of applications often exceeds loan approved. On time taken to get loans approved, 41%of the PMIs claimed that it takes over 13 months. This is in agreement with Ogunleye (1998), who claimed that long delays in granting approval which is often more than 13 months was a major factor that led to collapse of PMIs in the late 1990s. 38 Figure 6: Time Taken For Loan Approval (PMI) Source: Author’s Field Work Development financed by PMIs show an increasing trend from 1999. No PMI granted more than 10 loans per annum before 1998. The result also shows that loans for owner-occupier type of houses lagged behind commercial properties. The Lagos State Mortgage Scheme The Lagos State Government recently embarked on a ‘LAGOS HOMS’ project. ‘LAGOS HOMS’ is the acronym for The Lagos Home Ownership Mortgage Scheme. It has been designed as an equity-supported access to home ownership for only Lagos State residents, who have been previously registered as residents of the State. Lagos HOMS is linked to mortgage financing for first time buyers in the state. The Government, through construction contracts develops affordable homes across the state, while allocation is streamlined to the target population. Applicants go through an online process of balloting, which is further intended to eliminate the incidence of double purchase and the consequent diversion of units to people who already own properties in the state. The Lagos Building Investment Company Ltd thereafter processes mortgage loans for successful applicants. 4. CO-OPERATIVE HOUSING A school of thought defines co-operative housing as the cooperation of people or families organized as a group to provide 39 housing to members of the group. The co-operative may cover financing of the project by group contribution, actual participation and/or a co-operative effort between the government or an institution and group of individuals or employees. The government or an institution may provide financing and materials while the individual members of the co-operative society provide the labour. No matter how sophisticated the housing systems of most developed nations appear, they started with simple and rudimentary models in which the concept of co-operative played a major role. The concept and practice of cooperation was originally started by the Rochdale Pioneers of England in 1844 against the capitalist’s exploitation of workers. The society started functioning according to certain rules. Subsequently, these rules underwent refinements and modifications and were later recognized as the basic principles of Co-operation. In America, it was called Mutual-Building and Loan Associations and started as neighborhoods clubs. Neighbours who wished to become homeowners began contributing a certain sum monthly. The joint purposes of thrift and homeownership are inseparable. The community ideals, which are served by these associations, are appreciated throughout the country. A building and loan association is not philanthropy, it is a straight business proposition in which a valuable service is rendered to the borrower and is paid for him at a rate, which produces a reasonable profit on the investment. Thrift is a disciplinarian. It breeds virility. It strikes at sensuality, self-indulgence, and flabbiness. It teaches heroism of self-denial, temperance and simple living. It is the way to success and independence. It makes for happy homes, contented communities, and a prosperous nation. The value of homeownership for a large portion of the population is not to be denied. Housing Cooperative is referred to as ‘self-help’ in America today. 40 Another approach is that where co-operative housing has to do with pooling of resources to finance in turns the houses for members of the co-operative association. It also offers a higher level of organization in the construction of large multi-unit structures which would be shared out in units to all members of the association. Common points exercised in co-operative housing are; The utilization of the labour of the members of the cooperatives. The spirit of togetherness and The organization of available resources. Types of Co-operative Housing: There are basically three major types of housing co-operative, namely: Housing Co-operative Association. Production Co-operative Association; and The Community Settlement Co-operative. Benefits of Co-operative Housing: 1) Choice on where to live 2) Flexible and convenient funding model 3) Good management and better social network 4) Better living environment 5) Reduced cost of construction 6) Reduced cost in use Conditions for Success in any Co-operative Housing Initiative: A study of the records of co-operative in some 30 countries suggests that there are certain factors which have led to success on a large scale. Government assistance: Government assistance to housing co-operatives means in the first place, an appropriate law 41 and in the second place, finances. Another field, in which government and especially local government can aid cooperatives, is in acquisition of land, sometimes through the use of compulsory purchase powers. Local authorities can also do much to help co-operative housing development on the edge of towns by its readiness to develop land and lay on essential services. Safeguards against abuse of the co-operative form: With the generous scale of public support for co-operative housing, have come strict controls aimed at excluding abuse and incompetence. Measures must be put in place to prevent private interests from infiltrating housing cooperatives through the checking of tenders and contracts and the limitations imposed on the membership of professional architects and builders in housing cooperatives. Open membership and continuity: Another important success factor is finding a solution to the problem of reconciling open membership with selection. This turns out to be closely linked with the problem of continuity. National organization and common services: National organizations set up by the housing cooperatives themselves would seem to be an indispensable condition of success. These bodies are in a position to accumulate, over the years, massive centralized resources of social, legal, administrative, financial and technical expertise. Policy Framework for Co-Operative Housing in Nigeria: The National Housing Policy document of February 1991 provide policy framework in all matters relating to housing development in Nigeria. The National Housing Policy of 2004, section 7.3 (v) also stated; State Government is to encourage the establishment of Housing cooperatives and associations; Direct construction of houses and distribution of building materials. Cooperative societies and housing associations shall also have access to the funds of the Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria through the Primary Mortgage Institution. Sub section 7.3 (IX) y also directed 42 Local Government to encourage and support through Housing Cooperatives and housing associations in the provision and maintenance of low-income in deficit, safe and sanitary environment. Our team in FHA in 2007 relied on these documents to design a framework for housing delivery in Nigeria. We came up with an acronym CHOIS (Co-operative Home Ownership Incentive Scheme) for the Housing Delivery Programme. In implementing the CHOIS program, various avenues were defined to facilitate access by the targeted end-users. These are: Existing Co-operatives There are quite a large number of co-operatives in Nigeria today currently operating as credit unions and thrift societies within the formal and informal sectors of the national economy. Many of these have embarked upon housing projects for their members but failed to deliver on large scales due to their poor access to structured finance, land and technical support. Key Workers’ Program The recent monetization policy of government involving sales of Federal Government Staff Quarters to their present occupants is laudable. However, adequate considerations must be made to ensure the next generation of civil servants – key workers in our urban centres are adequately housed. Failure to do this will create serious socio-economic problems in the near-term with majority of the key workers living outside the urban centres where they serve. The CHOIS programme of FHA is positioned to provide a sustainable approach to address this need, in line with best practices of providing for key workers and low income earners all over the world. Key workers include police, medical officials, teachers, junior government officials, etc. Trade Union Associations 43 In order for the social housing drive to be all-encompassing, it would also address the need of the informal sector. To ensure sustainability and effectiveness in this regard, implementation of the CHOIS initiative will be driven through this group. These categories have large membership and a strong demand potential. FHA will provide necessary support as required. Employee Housing Scheme The Employee Housing Decree of 1979 mandated every employer of 50 and more employees to develop staff housing estates. The Satellite Town in Lagos is the only legacy of this decree but FHA intended to actualize the intent of the Decree, through encouraging employers to mobilize their workers into cooperatives, and then provide every support necessary to achieve home ownership. Mobilisation for the Pilot Project The Authority set a goal to deliver 2 million housing units in five (5) years with 10,000 houses in the first year. Under the Co-operative Home Ownership Incentive Scheme (CHOIS) pilot projects are being packaged to drive the Social Housing Programme. At an average cost of N2.5m per unit, the sum of Twenty Five Billion Naira would be required in the first year for 10,000 houses. The first batch of applications for 6 cooperatives requesting a total number of 524 housing units with a total value of (N2.66bn) were processed by Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN). While the project represented a good starting point for implementing the scheme, it also presented the opportunity to confirm the adequacy of the National Housing Fund (NHF) to fund the nation’s housing requirements. Out of the six applications, only one- Federal Civil Service Corporative with 50 members, scaled through the process and got their loan approved. The application of NNPC Staff Housing Corporative had reached advanced stage before we left the board in 2007. Today, FMBN has a window for Co-operatives that encourages their members to contribute to the National 44 Housing Fund. They can access a Mortgage loan at 6%. This is the cheapest form of loan anywhere today. Findings in Co-operative Housing Research My studies in this area revealed that: The proportion of co-operatives registered as housing cooperatives is highly insignificant. For instance, less than 1% of the over 1,141 co-operatives (as at 2013) were registered as housing co-operatives in Lagos State. There is a dominance of thrift and credit societies and multi-purpose societies in the state. However, a significant proportion are involved in land acquisition for their members, however there is evidence that suggest that this may for speculatory purposes, rather than for meaningful housing development. Further, our studies in this sector show that cooperatives fail to involve professionals in their housing related transactions. In addition, the capital base of these societies may not be robust enough to enable them participate significantly in housing provision. Many of the Co-operatives started as thrifts with people of low income categories coming together and it appears this has led to a general negative perception of cooperatives as being a delivery model for the poor alone. The sector is bedeviled with lack of institutional support; in most parts of the developed world where co-operative societies have delivered thousands of housing units, the presence of government has been highly visible. These governments provide direct financial support to the housing development projects of cooperative societies. My research in this area can be found in the following papers: 1. Housing Cooperatives as Tools for Housing Affordability and Availability (Nubi T.G. (2009). 2. Cooperative Housing In Nigeria: Practical Approach To Success (Nubi T. G. 2015). 3. Meeting Nigeria’s 17 Million Housing Deficit (Nubi T. G. 2015) 5. URBAN REGENERATION 45 AND HOUSING DEVELOPMENT: Urban Regeneration and Housing Supply Mr Vice-Chancellor, sir, I have worked extensively over the years in the area of slum management and urban regeneration. With my students in ESM 551 and 552, we have studied almost all the slums in Lagos State. There seems to be a general consensus that the number of slums in Nigerian cities is generally on the increase. Most disturbing is the case of Lagos metropolis. According to Aluko and Adebayo (2002), the official figure of existing slums in the metropolis as at 1989 was 42 (Lagos Master Plan, 1980-2000); according to Okedele, Adebayo and Iweka (2008); this has increased to 200 in recent times. These settlements cover almost a total of 30 percent of the metropolis and more than 70 percent of the total population. This translates to 7 million people if the United Nation’s projection of 25 million population for Lagos by the year 2015 is real. Urban slum is not limited to Lagos. The peripheries of Abuja like Yanya, Karu, etc, are fast becoming slums too. Sokoto, Benin, Port Harcourt, Warri, Jos are not spared. It is to be noted that inadequate provision or acute shortage of infrastructure constitutes a major index in slum measurement. Slums and Associated Problems I often tell my students that as stagnant water is to mosquitos, so is slum to criminal activities. Slum is the breeding ground for criminal and related activities: alcoholism, drug addiction, diseases, poverty, hopelessness, prostitution, and many other social vices. Reducing the population of urban slum by 100miliion was a critical part of the Millennium Development Goals. The increase in housing deficit that was claimed to be in thousands in the 1980s grew into a million in early 90s and is now about 17 million. Though many has questioned the source of the outrageous number but the overwhelming evidence of difficulties 46 and frustrations that Nigerians often go through to procure houses either as owner occupiers or renters make the figure to appear as factual. However, it presents a dangerous policy implication. Simple arithmetic punctures this assertion, but sheds light on why we must urgently do something about our slums. If an average household size in Nigeria is 5 and the housing deficit is 17million. The question is: Are 17 x 5 =75million Nigerians homeless? The answer is No. But the UN Habitat does not regard most houses in Lagos, Abeokuta, Port Harcourt and Kano that do not have access to basic facilities like water and electricity as ‘housing stock’. Our lack of understanding in this regards has led to government frustration and wrong policy shift to private sector driven provision for basic social needs, even where people cannot pay for these services. This opens another vista for research into urban regeneration. 52 neighborhoods were declared slums in Lagos in 1992. Among them are settlements along the water front of Lagos Lagoon where land value is supposed to be one of the highest in the country. The investment potentials of these neighborhoods no doubt make them viable for regeneration. Among these settlements are Makoko, Iwaya and Ilaje. These three water front settlements are some of the communities that sprang up sporadically in contravention to the wider state settlements patterns and development plans. These areas lie in the Mainland and Shomolu Local Government overlooking the Lagos lagoon and the Third Mainland Bridge to the east. The Local Planning Authority puts Makoko and Iwaya population at 85,840 and 50,025 as at 1995 and Ilaje at 42,050 but each have grown. Population projection based on the 1995 figure of 51,336 would put the population of Makoko at 85,168. Table 4: Socio-Economic Survey of Iwaya, Makoko and Ilaje. IWAYA MAKOKO ILAJE 47 Monthly Expenditure Median Value (N/month) Housing (% yes) Household size No of rooms % sharing bathroom % sharing Kitchen % without indoor cooking % tenants Road (% Yes) Road Tarred in front of house Time to walk to Public Transport Water (% yes) Vendor seller Yard well/borehole Public standpipe Tanker water Yard shared standpipe House connection Sanitation (% yes) Pit latrine Pour flush toilet WC + Septic No toilet Solid waste (% yes) Dumping ground neighborhood Truck pusher Neighborhood bin/skip Bin/drum outside house Other Street lights (% yes) In streets Working regularly Electricity (% yes) 48 15220 10773 13613 6 1 71 41 34 69 6 1 90 69 23 74 6 1 74 30 51 67 39 4 27 10 5 8 78 22 0 0 0 0.8 43 41 12 0 2.7 1.8 92 7.4 0 0 0 0 24 44 6.6 26 31 60 8 1.8 56 17 5 19 53 27 9 0.8 0 0.9 96 0 0 0.9 57 25 0 5 0 0.8 0 12 0.9 2.5 0 In house Drainage (% yes) Regular flooding in streets Regular flooding in house 98 100 98 41 22 86 41 70 48 Source: Field work (2003) From the above table, it is clear that the settlements are unsanitary with little or no access to portable water and sound waste disposal a major source of outbreak of diseases. Nevertheless, most of the houses in these areas are structurally sound and are mainly low rise. The location advantage and existence of certain level of infrastructures in these areas makes regeneration a preferred option to new build. Plate3: Housing and infrastructure at Iwaya Community Source: Author’s Fieldwork Plate 4: A typical street setting in Iwaya Slum Community Source: Author’s Fieldwork It is unfortunate that while many nations have experienced a paradigm shift from Urban Renewal to Regeneration, the World Bank still encourages developing nations like Nigeria to continue with the urban renewal approach: an unsustainable approach that has been abandoned by developed nations. According to Mathews (2004), Regeneration is a deliberate, well designed and coordinated intervention to re-engineer a competitive future for deprived nations and communities over a given period of time. This is usually an economic, social, cultural and environmental intervention, an in-ward investment to improve the quality of lives 49 and infrastructure. It is a well-known fact that many people living in urban areas disproportionately experience some particular problems, namely: Poverty, bad housing, unsanitary living conditions, high crime rates, unemployment, low self-esteem, alcohol abuses, stigma, discrimination and low quality of life. The reasoning is that these problems will be minimised if urban areas were regenerated. Challenges of Urban Regeneration In spite of the fact that regeneration has succeeded in most parts of the world including South Africa, it is likely to face some challenges in Nigeria. Prominent among these are land accessibility constraints, finance and capacity. First and foremost, the slum areas are mainly illegal settlements that developed on state land. The first step, therefore, is regularization of this land. This is the only way the ‘dead’ capital according to De-Soto can be released to capital funding from the market. Rather than relying on the limited government fund, Public Private Partnership (PPP) option should be exploited to the fullest. Plate 5:The DockLands Area before Regeneration Plate 6:The Docklands Area after Regeneration 50 The Docklands regeneration was achieved by a combination of public and private sector investment. DR. T.G Nubi Plate 7:The Docklands Area after Regeneration A total of £500m was invested on the strategic schemes and infrastructures between 1986 and 1993 DR. T.G Nubi Plate 8:Infrastructure in the Docklands Regeneration Project 51 Different land marks of the area today DR. T.G Nubi Plates 5 to 8 show the success story of Docklands regeneration in UK. The success of this programme is dependent on the establishment of a separate organisation devolved from the state bureaucracy but monitored by the state for accountability. This explained why the author recommended a complete overhauling of Lagos State Urban Renewal Authority (LASURA) in order to reposition it for regeneration. This would be discussed later. The Ijora Badia Project Mr Vice Chancellor, Sir, in July 2015, a team led by Professor Olusanya made a presentation to Lagos State Executive Council. This is the closest opportunity at urban regeneration in Lagos. The notorious Badia slum was demolished in May 2013. The old mistake of missionary approach to urban renewal was made again. Nevertheless, though not at the rate promised, construction is still going on and will likely be a true case study in best practices when it comes to Urban regeneration in Lagos State. Ideal Habitat Initiative 52 The author has an NGO called Ideal Habitat Initiative. The mission is on four main areas of concentration: i. Tent on Earth: Ideal Habitat Initiative’s Tent on Earth is focussed on home ownership which has several of benefits acknowledged world-wide. Home ownership contributes to home owner’s self-esteem and psychological well-being. Individual home owners possess self-reliance and security. Home owners are good investors, with the home as an asset, which invariably allows prosperity into the family. ii. Advocacy: “None of us is housed until all of us are housed.” Through positive advocacy great men have changed their societies and generations. Men like Nelson Mandela, Mahatma Gandhi, and Martin Luther King Jr., were advocates. They stood for positive changes and saw them started in their life time. iii. Financial Education: IHI features courses such as Financial Fitness: Teaching Financial Management Skills and Credit Counselling for maximum result e.g. how to access the National Housing Trust Fund etc. Financial education is a critical need both for consumers and for communities. For consumers, financial education is the key to building wealth – regardless of their income class. For communities, financial education programs will help promote stronger and more stable neighbourhoods. iv. Community Development: Community building and organizing is critical to the success of Ideal Habitat Initiative. Buildings can be rehabilitated and services provided, but it is the people who live in those communities that will make sure changes last in the long run. Rather than watching or waiting for government, resident leaders will be encouraged to take responsibility for the outcome of their communities, and recruit other neighbours to join them. CCDA - Christian Community Development Association: I have been worried for many years that the involvement of the Christian and Muslim mission in development had disappeared. If all Churches and Mosques in Lagos sank bore holes for their 53 communities, problems associated with water supply would disappear! I ran into the web site in 2012 and attended the immersion in April of that same year, invited them to Nigeria where 250 Pastors of Churches were trained in Lagos and 150 in Abuja. Since then we have been training pastors and community leaders in the principles of Asset Mapping and Community Development. This approach is a far departure from the Missionary/Saviour approach. The belief is that no matter how deprived a community might appear there are underlying assets that could be tapped into to revitalise such community. Every man is also helped to discuss his or her three gifts. We help people to activate these gifts for general good of all. Lack mentality is changed to assure mentality through the half empty or half full cup of water principle. Conclusion Lagos is gradually becoming third largest city in the world according to the UN Habitat: This call for concern. There is an urgent need to carry out housing audit to have a comprehensive report on state of housing and urban infrastructures in the Mega city. The study established that: It is cheaper to improve existing stock rather than build new ones. Most sites for new development are at the city’s periphery: creating extra burden of commuting long distance from home to office for residents Urban sprawl and consumption of urban green in the name of new development creates imbalance in the environment. New developments in most cases usually end up in the hands of the rich few rather than the targeted population. But house improvement ensures delivery to targeted group. Regeneration, no doubt helps to release dead asset, 54 creating wealth for house owners thereby ensuring sustainable environment where owners can pay for infrastructures. My other publications and activities in the area of urban regeneration and housing development are captured in the following papers: 1. Meeting Nigeria’s 17 Million Housing Deficit. (Nubi T.G. 2015) 2. Urban Regeneration as a Veritable Tool for Housing Delivery in Lagos, Nigeria. (Nubi T. G (2008). 3. Participatory Budgeting: Grassroots Approach in Urban Management – Lagos as a Case study. (Nubi T.G, Omirin M.M, Adisa Y.S, Koleoso H.K & John U.O. 2010). 6. HOUSING FINANCE, HOUSING SUPPLY AND THE HOUSING STOCK CONNECTION Mr. Vice Chancellor, Sir, editors of the renowned housing journal, the International Union of Housing Finance reviewed and summarized my effort in this area: “The positive and negative links between the capacity of developers to increase new housing supply and the growth in mortgage credit is not always made explicitly. Timothy Olugbenga Nubi, who is the author of our third article, focuses on Nigeria in making these connections. As in Brazil, the development of mortgage credit is an ongoing issue and mortgage credit as a percentage of GDP stands at just 1%. Mr. Nubi identifies the problem of new housing supply capacity is a key factor in the emergence of the Nigerian mortgage market and as a problem in itself. He uses the results of his own survey of housing developers to highlight the lack of capacity of the industry and the preponderance of small firms (judged by the standards of the developed world). Mr. Nubi points to the key factors underpinning this situation and in particular to the problems faced by developers in gaining access to adequate levels of 55 finance, and discusses the reasons behind what appears to be a major limiting factor on development”. When it comes to what to do in emerging financial markets, views of mortgage market development policies according to Renaud (2004) and Nubi (2007) remain framed by the experience of a few high-income economies; especially by the remarkable rate of innovation in the US financial markets during the last thirty-five years. Experts often assume the availability of housing stock and a highly developed home building industry. So far, there has been no study on the effect of the state of construction industry on the organization, structure and performance of housing finance systems in emerging markets such as Nigeria. Renaud (2004) identified five recurring structural issues that need to be considered when proposing a mortgage market strategy. These are: market size, macroeconomic stability, the degree of development of financial market infrastructure, legal and structural path-dependency in the development of this financial infrastructure, the feasibility of domestic risk-based pricing for medium and long-term financial instruments, all with the implicit assumption that housing stocks are in regular supply as it exists in developed economies. In England for instance, there were an estimated 22,564,000 dwellings as at 31 March 2009, an increase of 0.74 per cent on the previous year. The house building industry often responds well to the challenge of increasing housing supply, with supply in 2007/08 reaching 207,500 additional homes - an increase of 59 per cent compared with 130,000 in 2001/0 (Community and Local Government 2010). This is not the case in Nigeria where the biggest housing corporations like Federal Housing Authority (FHA) with access to basic resources built only 30,000 houses in 34 years. No private developer can boast of 1000 units of houses in 10 years in Nigeria. Most of the so-called mortgage loans given in Nigeria are really construction loans. These were often secured with land titles. Such loans often carry both construction and credit 56 risks. In most cases due to the volatility of the economy the loans were never enough to complete the constructions, leading to abandoned projects and high rate of defaults. Foreclosure is rare in Nigeria because of legal restrictions but where foreclosure is possible; there is hardly a market for uncompleted and abandoned houses (Adewole 2010). Property Development Agencies and the Operating Environment in Nigeria. As stated earlier, the nation in the last ten years has made attempt at restructuring the housing policy to deliver the required 16 million housing stock in line with the demand of global best practice. The policy thrust was to have a private sector driven housing system. Government in the year 2000 realized that this could only be achieved by introducing policy reforms and re-engineering the existing institutions, hence, the shifts that emphasized establishment of Real Estate Developers Association (REDAN) establishment of the Ministry of Housing, restructuring the housing finance system through Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN)- introduction of Secondary Market and Land reform. Who is a Real Estate Developer? Mabogunje (2002) defined Real Estate Developer during the inauguration of REDAN as not just a construction company or just a contractor. He is not even just a real estate investor or a professional like an architect, an estate surveyor or valuer, a quantity surveyor, an engineer or a town planner interested in housing. Rather, a real estate developer must share some of the attributes of all of these professionals or corporate individuals but he must be more besides. The best definition of a real estate developer is that he is an entrepreneur who is committed to assuming the risks of mass housing production in advance of sales. 57 Figure 7: Housing Producers in Nigeria Source: Adapted from Omirin (1992 ) and Nubi (2006) The study The study was tailored towards assessing the operations of some selected registered residential property companies. Before 2002, there was no means of obtaining a comprehensive list of developers in any part of the country. It is, therefore, out of sheer luck that REDAN was inaugurated in 2002 and the comprehensive list that was used in this study was compiled. From the 450 companies on the REDAN list, only the 50 that have operated for 5 years and are directly involved in housing development for sale were selected. Data was collected from senior representatives of selected organizations with a structured questionnaire. Secondary data was derived from respondents’ in-house publications and documentary analysis. Findings and Discussion Nature and Operation of Real Estate Developer in Nigeria The study revealed that about 26% of the Real Estate Developers are sole proprietorships, 23% are partnerships, 6% are corporate developers, 42% are public limited liability companies while 3% 58 are public companies. This has a lot of effect on management, volume of work and access to funding. None of these firms has more than 100 employees. In fact, almost 50% have less than 10 workers on their pay roll. Lack of permanent staff, which is caused by low volume of work and irregularity of work, often, robs the company of the benefit of organizational learning. Some 60% of these organizations have no in-house experts like Architects, Civil Engineers, Mechanical Engineers, Builders, Estate Surveyors, etc. On availability of construction inputs, some 57% of the respondents claimed that finance is poorly available. This is the poorest in rank amongst all other inputs, with only 5% responding that it is readily available. Land is even believed to be fairly available. On the type of houses often developed, the responses are 5% semi-detached, 7% Duplex, 13% Bungalow. About 34% high-rise and 20% block of flats and 21% for others. This shows a preference for housing for high-income earners and not mass housing. These are often produced on an average of less than 20 per developer per annum. The low volume of construction in this sector significantly contributes to the shortage in housing stock, high cost of housing and over concentration in high-brow neighbourhoods. Figure 8: Responses on availability of housing construction inputs and 59 motivations. 25 20 15of No Developers Not available Poorly available Fairly available Available Readily available 10 5 0 Labour Materials Market Profit Finance Land Equipment Govt. Incentives INPUTS Source: Author’s Field Work(2006) Sources of Capital for Operation and House building activities On the of nature of houses being built, 21 (20%) build bungalows, 30 (29%) semi-detached, 28 (26%) Duplex and 14 (13%) blocks of flats. No member of the Real Estate Developer has attained more than 100 units per annum. Most developers sold less than 25 units. On the availability of construction inputs like labour, building materials, availability of market for finished goods, profit from business, finance, land, equipment and government incentive, the responses are as follows: finance stands out as an input that is not readily available, labour is rated as being readily available while government incentive is rated as not being available at all. Real Estate Developers also ranked the level of availability of different forms of finance for financing their housing development 60 projects. They rated Primary Mortgage Institutions very poor but equity fund and loan from commercial banks enjoyed better rating, as shown in Figure 9 below. Figure 9: Accessibility of Funds ACCESSIBILITY OF FUNDS 35 30 RANKING 25 Not available Poorly available Fairly available Available Readily available 20 15 10 5 0 Equity fund Loan from commercial bank Loan from merchant bank Capital market FMBN PMI Insurance companies Co-operative Foreign building Forward letting/sale Lease back INPUTS Source: Author’s Field Work(2006) Factors that inhibit access to finance were, particularly the developers loan facilities offered by Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN), the developers rated high interest rate (which was put at about 27% after the administrative charges had been built in) as highly problematic. Also rated as very problematic by most developers was the need to repay loans within 2 years. This is not unconnected with the limited sources of finance in the market. The predominant source today is the commercial bank as shown in the ranking in Tables 5 and 6 below. Commercial banks in Nigeria with their short-term deposits could only give short-term 61 loans, while housing development requires long term facilities. The few loans that were given also required credit insurance or bank guarantee thereby increasing the cost of capital. Since most of the developers are not listed, they could not enjoy the opportunities that the capital market offers. The tables also present the rating of demand for insurance and bank guarantee as problematic. Table 5: Ranking of sources of finance for housing projects by developers S/No Source of housing finance Ranking by developers in order of significance 1 Loan from commercial bank 1 2 Equity 2 3 Credit facilities from building 3 materials supplier 4 Shares (Capital Market) 4 5 Foreign loan 5 6 Mortgage loan 6 7 Gift from friends 8 8 Loan from Thrift and Credit 7 Societies Source: Author’s Field Work(2006) Table 6: Ranking of Constraints in Housing Production Effort Developers CONSTRAINTS RANK Fund shortage/high cost of fund 1st High cost of construction 2nd Delay in C of O and building plan approval 3rd High cost of building materials 4th Land acquisition problem 5th Rout of infrastructure 6th Manpower shortage 7th 62 Government Policy (LUA ETC.) Poor demand 8th 9th Source: Author’s Field Work (2006) This is not unconnected with the depression and high rate of inflation resulting in high cost of building materials, high wage rate etc. Delay in getting Certificate of Occupancy and running of building approvals ranking third could however be blamed on administrative bottlenecks and bureaucratic procedures. Problems of Property Development Companies in Nigeria Property development is sensitive to both micro and macroeconomic climate due to its poor response to change in supply or to demand. The effect of economic policies is often grievous on housing project. Common economic problems include: i. Increase in poverty level ii. Problem of raising finance from the capital market iii. Galloping inflation on estimated project costs iv. High cost of capital v. Access to Land vi. Managerial/Entrepreneurial Constraints Conclusion In Nigeria today, the private sector controls about 70 –90% of total housing stock. However, private individuals who build incrementally at informal level causing multiplication of substandard housing, housing collapse and slum, dominate the private sector. This has contributed to the short fall in housing supply, as the system does not allow for housing industrialisation and the benefits accruable from scale of production. The only way out of the housing dilemma is industrialization and privatization of housing which can only be achieved through the re-engineering of housing development companies. Taking a cue from the banking sector, development companies should be made to recapitalize, go into merger and finally go public to take advantage of the growth in the capital market and create access to international market. 63 My other research in this area are: 1. Affordable Housing in Nigeria: Strategic Direction for Federal Housing Authority and State Housing Corporations. (Nubi T.G & Yacoub A. 2009). 2. Financing Low Income Housing in Nigeria cities: - Need for Paradigm Shift. (Nubi T.G 2002). 3. Housing Finance Between Social Needs And Economic Realities: The Dilemma Of Policy Transfer Under Neo-Liberalism (Nubi T.G. & Oyalowo, 2010). CONTRIBUTION AND SERVICE TO COMMUNITY. I often joke that I am a perpetual Corper! Truly, it has been a life of service. We are Public Servant and not Public Masters. We are potters in whose hands Heaven has committed life. My humble contribution can simply be divided into four parts: - Contribution to the country Contribution to the state Contribution to the university Contribution to Housing Education and Professionalism Contribution to the Country I worked with the Technical Board of Federal Housing Authority between 2006 and 2007. During the tenure of the Board, efforts were made to put in place a Blue Print towards a sustainable affordable housing delivery in Nigeria in line with the new direction of the Federal Government. It is my belief that the model as presented in this paper will go a long way in resolving the nation’s housing problem. The state’s Housing Corporations are also encouraged to adopt it at the state level to ensure a quick spread of the gains of the model across the country. Social Housing Delivery Models To deliver 2 million housing units within the time frame of 5 years requires mobilizing all available resources and exploiting every 64 possible avenue. Five different models had been identified through which social housing shall be delivered. They are: i. Co-operative Home ownership incentive scheme ii. Slum upgrading iii. Supported Housing iv. New Town Development v. Housing Association Cooperative Home Ownership Incentive Scheme (CHOIS) This is fully discussed in the next section. It is the traditional method of people coming together to solve their housing needs. In order to facilitate public enlightenment, the housing cooperatives initiative is branded as “Cooperative Home ownership Incentive Scheme (CHOIS)”, with the catch phrase “Supporting the people’s housing choice”. The concept is to achieve the following objectives: - to create a sustainable model for government intervention in housing delivery and urban management based on end users initiatives; - to promote a viable national template to actualize effective housing delivery through cooperative and - to become the dominant mode of housing delivery in Nigeria for medium and low income households. Slum Upgrading The menace of slum in most urban Centres of Nigeria has reached an alarming proportion and has become a national embarrassment. The usual characteristics of slum are that they harbour drug addicts, commercial sex workers and criminals which call for urgent attention. In the year 2000, Nigeria along with 52 other nations subscribed to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) which has its section 7 article 11 devoted to improving the lives of 100 million slum dwellers. In order to achieve this development target, FHA had planned to mobilize landlords into Associations for urban renewal and community management. 65 Supported Housing This group will seek to address the problem of Niger Delta, the street beggars and street boys and girls popularly referred to as “Area Boys” in the South and “Almanjiris” in the North. Special housing projects will be developed for this group with facilities for skill development. Addressing the housing needs of this special group has been successfully utilized in various developed countries to solve the problem of youth delinquencies, crime and unemployment. New Town Development Some of the gains of mass production of affordable housing as mentioned earlier are, first, the inherent opportunity to enforce the National Building Code for orderly spatial development and second, the prospect to discourage urban sprawl. FHA plans to acquire land in locations with effective demand for social housing, prepare a comprehensive Master Plan and basic primary infrastructure before allocating the parcel of land to social housing providers who will only develop the secondary infrastructure and the houses. New Town development allows for agglomeration of housing development, a prerequisite for housing industrialization. It will also make it possible for government to be proactive in determining the direction of our urban growth thereby creating livable sustainable human settlements. Housing Associations Housing Associations are a very popular mode of affordable housing delivery in developed economies, such as UK and the United States of America. This category of housing often leverage on government subsidies and support. FHA plans to consciously develop this model in Nigeria. Faith Based Organisations will be encouraged to set up Housing Associations to build houses for their teeming population. YWCA offers a renaissance of this approach with their Youth Hostels all over the world. Employers of Labour will equally be encouraged to form Housing Associations 66 for their employees. Existing co-operatives will also be encouraged to form secondary co-operatives after meeting the need of its members. This will enable them to use their acquired housing development skills. Sustainable Solution: A Road Map As part of the efforts towards achieving the government goal of sustainable housing finance, FHA and FMBN in January 2007 set up a joint committee to develop a model that will enable housing cooperatives to have access to the National Housing Fund to the develop the much desired robust mortgage finance system. Figure 13 below shows the model of interaction between the main actors in the cooperative housing finance system. It is important to emphasize that under the arrangement; the fund should reside with CBN/FMBN and will be released to the PMIs who will later release it to the Social Housing Development Agents while FHA will act as guarantor and quality assurance agent. The involvement of all the stakeholders ensures checks and balances. Definition of Roles It was resolved by the committee that the following roles should be specified for each member of the tripartite arrangement for smooth operation and workability of the programme and thus the following definitions were adopted: a. Loan Initiator (Originator): The Loan Initiator is defined to be the Cooperative society who is expected to collect applications for Home Ownership from its members and present a single application to FHA. b. Loan Guarantor: FHA is defined as the loan guarantor. Its roles include regulation and processing of applications submitted to it by Cooperative Societies for onward delivery to FMBN. c. Loan Financier: FMBN is defined as the Loan Provider, which means that it will provide funds for all applications submitted to it by FHA on behalf of members of the Cooperative societies. Figure 10: Model of Interaction between Main Actors in Cooperative Housing Finance 67 Source: Reis & Nubi (2007) d. Loan custodians: The Primary Mortgage Institutions (PMIs) are to be the Loan Custodians. e. Social Housing development Agents: These are builders and developers accredited by FHA: they would be responsible for physical construction of the houses and infrastructure. The roles of key parties as agreed are as follows: Table 7: Key Roles for CHOIS Programme STAKEHOLDER The Cooperative Societies ROLES Create awareness of the existence of Home Ownership Loan windows to members who are contributors to the fund. Facilitate packaging of loan applications on behalf of its members. Provide all necessary information required by its members concerning 68 their applications. Ensure compliance with all requirements for a loan from the Cooperative Home Ownership Scheme. Ensure loan repayment by members as at when due. Provide checklist of requirements for cooperative Societies wishing to access funds from Home Ownership Loan scheme The Federal Housing Regulate activities of the Authority (FHA) and cooperative societies seeking for State Housing Finance from the Home Ownership Corporations Loan scheme. Nurture the growth of the Cooperative Home ownership Scheme. Provide Technical quality and Performance Guarantee (TQPG) to Cooperative societies wishing to access the Home Ownership Loan Scheme Guarantee the loans given by the FMBN Collect and appraise application for Home Ownership Loan from Cooperative Societies for onward delivery to FMBN Monitor and ensure judicious utilization of funds disbursed to members of cooperative societies Facilitate the appointment of PMIs for disbursement of funds secured from FMBN Provide necessary technical 69 support and information towards the growth of Cooperative societies. Approve the social Housing development Agent that will be funded by the cooperative. Appraise applications submitted by FHA on behalf of cooperative societies for Home Ownership Loan The Federal Mortgage Scheme Bank Of Nigeria (FMBN) Provide finance from the NHF at an interest rate of 4% for tenure of 30 years maximum to members of Cooperative societies. Administer the fund obtained from government grant strictly for cooperative housing finance. Assessment of applications. Provide support for the nationwide campaign for cooperatives formation. Embark upon aggressive campaign to bring all workers into NHF programme. Approve PMIs that will be used to disburse funds to Social Housing Agents. Monitor the repayment performance of cooperatives to PMIs Work towards sensitization of mortgage portfolio within the next 5 years. Serve as custodian of funds accessed by cooperative societies from FMBN Home Ownership The Primary Mortgage Window. Institutions (PMI) Disburse funds to the cooperative societies Social Housing 70 Development Agents as approved by FHA Collect loan repayment from cooperative societies members that benefited from the home Ownership Loan scheme Provide information on the financial status of individual cooperative members to FHA and the cooperative societies’ governing council Execute a deed of legal mortgage between the PMI and members of the cooperative societies that are beneficiaries of the Home Ownership Loan Scheme. Embark upon the construction of houses and infrastructure. Exploit the possibility of using Social Housing alternative construction methods that Development Agents will ensure a timely and cost efficient delivery of houses. Maintain high standards in the quality of the houses. Put in place post occupation maintenance policy. Other imperatives for success that we put in place: a) Interest rates on the CHOL shall be 6% (4% for FMBN which currently gets the NHF at 2.5% and 2% for both the PMIs and FHA). b) PMIs need not engage in any form of marketing for the Home Ownership Loan scheme. c) The ratio of contribution by the cooperatives to loan requirements shall be 1:10 71 d) PMIs shall not be entitled to charge Commission on Turnovers (COT) as this will reduce the value of the funds approved for the cooperatives. e) The Project Management fees which are included in the Bill of Quantities shall be used to fund the activities of the Social Housing Management/Development Agents and FHA monitoring team. f) Upon application, co-operatives shall submit a schedule of beneficiaries stating the names of individual members, age, income levels, projected cost of Housing Units, beneficiaries, etc. g) FHA/selected agents shall be required to sign-off on various stages of development with the leadership of the cooperatives. Mr. Vice-Chancellor, Sir, To God be the glory, we successfully operationalized this delivery model. The NNPC Co-operative and the Civil Service Co-operative were used as models. My Contribution at the State Level Lagos State and part of Ogun state have been my open laboratories in the last 25 years. For about twenty years I was living in Ogun State precisely Alagbado and worked on the Island and later, Lagos Mainland. The exposure to and participation in urban challenges daily helped to define my research areas and determination to be part of the solution. I have trained several urban managers for these states as well. My papers on street trading, housing collapse and land management have made tremendous policy impact. A special case is the Land Management Workshop that was organized by my Department under my leadership in 2003. It had Professor Akin Mabogunje as the Lead Speaker and all the Professional bodies in Built Environment and the Governor (represented by the Commissioner for Works Mr. Rauf Aregbesola now the Osun State Governor) in attendance. It was a workshop organized to address the land management problem in Lagos State at the time when Land Use charge was introduced and many companies 72 ware groaning. I remember clearly the warning of the Lead Speaker that Lagos will lose its status as investment destination if care was not taken. It gladdens our heart in the Department to note that few months after the workshop this obnoxious policy was reviewed and the charges were reduced drastically. The Proceedings of the workshop became a good resource for policy re-engineering in Lagos. Working with General Reis between 2007 and 2008, we were able to put together an International Workshop on urban management and housing delivery in Lagos. This was followed thereafter with a week-long technical retreat where the foundation of the ideology that eventually shaped Governor Fashola’s policies on land, transport, housing etc. were laid. One of us eventually became the Commissioner for Physical Planning in the State. My preoccupation at that time was how to restructure LASURA – Lagos State Urban Renewal Agency and turn it around to become a great Institution that could embark on urban regeneration, bench-marking global best practices. We worked together to reposition LASURA but it was like putting a new wine in an old bottle. After several retreats and in-house trainings, with its leadership, I had a sense of wasting my time trying to cook with wet wood. My ongoing effort with the State is on housing and urban regeneration. Under the leadership of Professor Olusanya, we are applying the indigenous concept of system housing using ‘damdem building component’ to produce 1006 housing units. This is not only a housing delivery issue but a direct solution to slum eradication in one of the worst slums in Africa Ijora Badia. My Contribution to the University of Lagos. My Vice Chancellor Sir, by the special grace of God, I have participated in training about a thousand undergraduate students in Estate Management for our country and about 500 M.Sc. students. I became the head of my Department in 2002 when my 73 Department was 20 years old but we were running only a B.Sc. programme. At that time, the part-time programme had been approved but was yet to commence. By the special grace of God the programme eventually took off in 2003. Working with the staff of the Department and Dr. Omirin in particular, we commenced the Masters, M.Phil. and Ph.D programme in Estate Management in quick succession. In 2001, we reviewed the syllabus and attempted to change the name of the programme. In 2007 we commenced the Master of Facilities Management programme. In September 2012, the Senate approved an MOU between the University and Chartered Institute of Housing/NUHS UK to establish a Center of Excellence in Housing Studies. With funding from AfDB, this Centre was established in 2013. It is the first of its kind in Africa with a mandate to help establish nine others in five (5) African countries. Today, we have the Centre in Ghana, and that of Kenya and South Africa will soon take off. In February 2015, the Senate of this University approved a Master of Housing Development and Management programme. This brought many years of labour to professionalise the housing sector to a fruitful conclusion. In 2012, I led a team of dedicated and seasoned professionals who worked tirelessly for about four months including the Christmas holiday to evaluate the state of the teaching facilities in our University. The team submitted an 800 page technical report. This forms the working document for the facilities upgrade that our admirable Vice-chancellor is carrying out across the University. I was appointed as Co-chair of Ceremonies Committee in 2014 and full Chair of the Committee in 2015. Mr Vice Chancellor, Sir, I want to express openly my sincere gratitude to you for finding me worthy of steering the affairs of this very important committee: its output can either make or mar the image of the University! Your support and that of the entire Management especially the Registrar, earned us letters of commendation that some read and 74 called a “Nobel Prize!” For the first time in the history of the University, we had our convocation broadcasted ‘live’ across the globe. Not only was the convocation self-funding but it also recorded a surplus. I hope the Bursar will pay members of the committee a 13th month salary come Christmas of this year! In August 2015 by the special grace of God, I was elected the Dean of our faculty. I promised my colleagues, three Rs: Re engineering, Rebuilding and Repositioning. These are not mere political statements. Within few weeks in office, we have moved into action. I am trusting God that within a short period, we will become a leading faculty not only in Nigeria but in Africa occupying our rightful place in a global space that need our research and expertise at this crucial time of rapid urbanization, rapid global warming, economic restructuring, health concerns and conflict management all over the world. Contribution to Housing Education and Professionalism External Examiner I have over the years been an external examiner to Polytechnics / Colleges of Technologies and Universities. Among these are Federal Polytechnic Bida, Yaba College of Technology, Obafemi Awolowo University, Federal University of Technology Akure, and Covenant University etc. I have also acted as an ‘Assessor’ for appointment for Professorial candidates in these Institutions including Nnamdi Azikwe University Nsukka, Cape Town University, South Africa and Knust University, Ghana. Housing Education ‘Education is the best way of changing a people, a community and a nation’- Mandela. In 2002 I realized the truism of the above assertion. I realized that it is not strength that is required for survival in this age but smartness. This was confirmed after traveling the length and breadth of America in 2004 studying their housing industry which is the core of the American dream. Three encounters made me make up my mind to do something about 75 capacity building in Housing. First, was in 2002 when I was invited to the retreat of Mortgage Bankers Association of Nigeria (MBAN). Haven studied the mortgage system of United States, I suggested that the only way to have a successful Mortgage system in Nigeria was to start with the unbundling of the mortgage system. The President at the time asked sincerely “Mr. Nubi, what do you mean by ‘unbundling’? A sincere question but very revealing! As at 1996 Nigeria had about 256 registered PMIs but a decade after more than 200 had evaporated with depositors’ money. It was not that Nigerians did not need mortgage services, but practitioners lacked the much needed expertise required to successfully navigate the sector. The second encounter was my meeting with the first Minister for Housing. A ‘Mummy housing’ successful Lawyer who was given a very wrong portfolio. While introducing the secondary mortgage market to her and the need to pursue its development, she simply responded that our respected senior colleague- Mr. Fortune Ebie had told her that secondary market is very complicated and a “nogo” area as at then. She was not familiar with the problems of the housing system and ended up selling government houses at the expense of future generations! My third encounter happened when I was at FHA. The Federal Government set up a subcommittee on housing Finance. We met with the bankers, mortgage bankers, and representatives of CBN, Ministry of Finance and a Director from Ministry of Housing. During the last week of the assignment, we met daily. One of the financing models that were highly recommended was Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITS). Members believed that introduction of REIT would help the housing finance system. On the last day, the representative of the Ministry also asked innocently; “Where does this REITS live? Lagos or Abuja? If he could make much impact as expressed by members, why can’t we invite him? I had a painful session of explaining to a Director who formulated policies that determine the quality of our lives that REIT means Real 76 Estate Investment Trust! The above experiences made me to be more determined to embark upon formal and informal training programmes at different levels to major stakeholders. The Department has held several seminars, National conferences and international workshops focusing on Land Management (2003); Private Sector Driven Housing Delivery (2008) etc. One of the gaps we noticed in the sector is lack of Housing Act. Policy violation can never result into actionable case against the Government but when housing provision and delivery become a law, government will reassess their stance. A good example is the building code. Several efforts and resources were put into the design and its publishing. Nevertheless, it remained an ordinary paper because there were no legal backups. Working with a group of housing experts in London, we were able to take senior staff members of Ministry of Housing, FHA, FMBN and Ministry of Finance to London, Dubai and South Africa for training between 2007 and 2013. The trainings often include study tour to expose them to best practices. In 2012, a training programme on ‘Housing Act’ was organized for members of the housing committee of the National Assembly. It was a big eyeopener but not long after they returned to Nigeria, many of them lost their electoral positions! With follow up, tenacity and continuity Nigeria will have a Housing Act in future and housing will be a right and not a privilege for all Nigerians. Other informal housing education embarked upon includes: Public seminars for cooperative members. Between 2008 and 2014, I presented papers on co-operative housing to about 500 cooperatives in Lagos state. Many of these groups including the Unique Cooperative of University of Lagos, Mobil, MTN, National Stadium, National theatre, Baco Supper Bags, National Open University etc have there-after embarked on successful housing 77 projects. I often give talks in churches and conferences on Housing. I have granted interviews on television and radio, newspapers. Media write ups also form a critical medium to educate the public and stakeholders. Several of my papers can also be found online. From Pillar to Chain Mr. Vice Chancellor, Sir, in my early days as a young researcher and student of Housing, these critical areas that I have studied were presented to us as ‘pillars’ of housing. They were studied in isolation and solutions were proffered with the rationale that once such problems were resolved, Nigerians will move into their own houses. Example is the problem of land. The Land Use Act was seen as a permanent solution to housing delivery. But years after the Land Use Act, we remained in the wonderland. At a time, the focus was on local building materials, then Mortgages, then REDAN. My study revealed that the crust of this problem is the disconnection between the different components that were seen as pillars. We therefore made efforts to change the perception and present the principal components of housing as major links in a chain. A chain is as strong as its weakest points. We therefore started advocating that the entire industry must be strategically reconstructed. 78 Figure 11: Real Estate Value Chain ASSET OUTPUT Development Rights (Density) Raw Land Leasable Real Estate Asset/Space Improved Lots Financial RE Asset t (Bonds, ABS, ETC.) Finance PROCESS/MARKET Land Acquisition Entitlements Infrastructure Development Vertical Development Primary Capital Markets Secondary Capital Markets INDUSTRY Land Development Vertical Development Horizontal Development Financial/Capital Asset Management Real Asset Management AREAS OF CURRENT RESEARCH Effectiveness of Co-operative societies in housing delivery Influence of Selected Behaviours and Socio-Cultural Lifestyle Factors on Home Ownership among workers in Public Tertiary Educational Institutions in Lagos State, Nigeria. Effect of change in land use on housing stock supply. RECOMMENDATIONS Mr Vice Chancellor, Sir, going forward from where we are as a nation, despite the overwhelming challenges presented in this lecture, what would I like to see done to aid our effort towards creating access to affordable housing for all Nigerians in the next two decades? First, my heart desire is that all efforts must be put in place to 79 have a mortgage system that will work. I volunteer myself to lead this crusade. This might not be realized within a decade but it is possible within 2 and 20 years is so short in the life of a nation. Creating a Mortgage system that will work A mortgage system that works is a key requirement in tackling housing provision in any country. Corruption runs deep in any cash and carry economy. Several studies conducted by this author have shown clearly the road map towards sustainable mortgage development in Nigeria. The fundamental problem of lack of quality housing stock should be resolved. This can be achieved by operationalizing the delivery model presented in previous pages of this lecture. The production capacity of REDAN must be increased while the house building process should be industrialized. Government at all levels and REDAN members need to come together to achieve this. The model of Satellite Town in Lagos can be replicated with astounding results. Mortgage finance is not a business for the inexperienced. As long as the business is not unbundled and left with the PMIs alone, there will be no progress. The Big commercial banks should therefore be mandated to commit at least 15% of their loan portfolio to mortgage finance. The involvement of commercial banks will allow for the spread that is required to ensure accessibility. Mortgage Brokers must be introduced into the system to boost mortgage origination and servicing. The co-operatives will form the bulk of end users and membership of such should be the preferred means of participation in this system like what is obtainable in different parts of the world. Real Estate Developers From studies, it is clear that the problems facing the property development companies in Nigeria is complex. The significance of their contribution to national housing stock cannot be disputed. They should, therefore, be encouraged to deliver more housing 80 units to the nation. My studies have suggested a number of useful remedies to activate their operations. This sub-sector should be equipped and supported to meet up with the housing deficit especially the one created by governments’ withdrawal from the direct construction of houses. Over the years, my studies have sought to provide useful remedies: The growth of Pension Fund to over 1trillion Naira in the last four years is unprecedented in the history of capital accumulation in the country. The Pension Fund Act allows 40% of the Fund to be invested in Real Estate Sector. But this can only be through Bond, Mortgage Back Securities (MBS) and Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). It is unfortunate that government is yet to give legal support to these instruments. This should be done without further delay. Amendment of Land Use Decree especially the controversial and regressive sections e.g. sections on revocation, acquisition and compensation, lease holding and Governor’s Consent. The use of Geographical Information System (GIS) – a computer software for land and property management to remove existing bottlenecks in the processing of Certificate of Occupancy process and transfer of right in land. Providing land to real estate development companies at encouraging terms Subsidizing infrastructure costs of development companies including water, electricity, telephone and roads Compulsory housing loans to staff of medium and large companies to boast demand for development properties. Removing tax on mortgage repayment to encourage and boast demand for house purchase Reduction of construction cost and encouraging better building industry through housing standardization, mass construction to enjoy the advantage of economy of scale, 81 promotion of local building materials and mobilizing end users into Co-operatives and Associations. Creation of business environment that is friendly to aspiring real estate investors. Need for regular census to have statistics of housing stocks Implementation of National Housing Policy of 1991. Government should embark upon affordability gap financing to ensure spread and marketability of the houses developed. Promulgation of Housing Act When housing is made a basic right as in the Universal Primary Education, Government will give it its desired place in the scheme of things in the country. The Centre for Housing Studies in the Faculty of Environmental Sciences will work with the National Assembly to actualize this within the next two years. Extensive urban regeneration in the next twenty years. Urban regeneration should form the core of housing delivery in the next two decades. Identified slums should be declared REGENERATION SCHEMES. Oluwole in Lagos CBD is a living testimony of a successful urban regeneration project. We should have thousands of such going on in the country. This will involve a huge sum of money which could be mobilized by connecting the disconnected socio-economic fabric of our system. Ecological Fund must be made available to regenerate coastal slums. The Pension Fund should as a matter of urgency, be reviewed. The spirit of the Fund encourages national development via real estate investment but the vehicle that the fund could be accessed- RIET and MBS are not yet developed. This mismatch must be addressed. Urban Renewal Authorities must be restructured to become Corporations. These corporations must be established in all states. Urban Planners alone cannot resolve urban slum problems, Estate Surveyors, Economist, Sociologist, Architect, Engineers and Housing experts must be brought on board in 82 these corporations. Promotion and Rating of Papers in a Professional Faculty Like Ours. I will not be fair to my colleagues in my faculty if I fail to mention the problems we go through to be promoted. As a faculty, we run professional programs. We are, therefore, compelled to go through two accreditations exercises. Membership of our Professional institutions requires us to publish in various professional journals. When we do this, the Vetting Committee of the University rejects the papers. We are expected to publish in academic journal but policy makers that need our research findings do not read academic journals but professional journals! No wonder both the university and the larger society are going in opposite directions. In the interest of national development, professional journals should be accepted for our faculty with a limit set for the percentage out of the total publications being evaluated. Funding the University System. It is daily becoming obvious that we cannot continue to look towards Abuja to give us “This day our daily bread”. Subsidy is meant for citizens that could not afford market rate of essential commodities or services. A nation that subsidizes the school fees of children of multimillionaires need a rethink. There are several models across the world that we can either adapt or adopt. Nigeria used to have a Students’ Loan Board. This should be revived and restructured. If the Federal Government cannot supply all our needs, these programs could support us. “It is only he that owns and plays the pipe that can dictate the tune!” When the pipe is broken into two and more than one person is playing, the tune can no longer be dictated by one person. A case in point is the Foundation programme that the Government policy on admission seriously disrupted. It was a home grown model that should have been patented by the University of Lagos and other Universities and should have been painless to use. It has scaled up admission 83 and students’ performance over time and income from it has helped in no small means to support our system. Joint Universities Preliminary Examination Board (JUPEB) offers only A level courses, it’s very challenging to admit such students into professional programs like ours. Attracting Foreign Students and our Admission Period The number of foreign nationals amongst staff and students’ population is a major criterion in university rating. Admission into Universities all over the world starts as early as November and is concluded in February for August/September Admission. Apart from the incessant strikes that discourage admitting international students, by the time our forms are out, good students across the world have settled their admission problems. We must therefore start early to attract this category of students. We need to put Strike Actions behind us. The gain from past strikes to me has been quite insignificant compared to the cost! Housing Ministry Leadership at Federal and State levels It is unfortunate that experts in the built environment struggled for the establishment of a Ministry of Housing. But for most of its existence, it has been led by people that have to learn on the job. If experts could be head hunted from the World Bank to head the Finance Ministry and medical experts are required to head the Ministry of Health, the Ministry of Housing deserves an experienced expert as its head. Housing Education The Centre for Housing Studies is working on Curriculum Development for Housing Studies in Secondary Schools. If agriculture could be taught at Primary and Secondary school; Housing education should be introduced into our Secondary school system as a matter of urgency. Community Participation The location of the University should impact positively not only on 84 rent passing on houses in the neighborhood but on the health, economy and student performance. A primary/secondary school GST course that promotes student’s voluntary service to help in the community for required hours in a semester must be introduced. This will be in form of teaching in Primary and Secondary schools, embarking on an approved project like developing community park, environmental sanitation, capacity building of various types. This is an important component of Urban Regeneration. As a matter of fact, my ESM 552 class recently successfully brought community leaders into the University of Lagos for an interactive session on the regeneration of their communities. Collaborations such as this must be enhanced. Stopping the Boko Haram Onslaught One of the major problems that our nation is facing today is the war against Boko Haram. Every slum is a potential breeding ground for Boko Haram. It should be noted that when they moved to Lagos sometimes ago, it was Ijora Badia that housed them. I warned in 2002 and 2008 that the nation risked been brought down if housing problems are not taken seriously. Boko Haram can never be defeated with gun but with Love! Boko Haram is not a group, it is an ideology! You do not destroy an ideology with guns! This is the time for our social scientists to put on their thinking caps. Our spear must be converted to plough. Food, clothing, schools and housing are the solutions. Government, churches and mosques must move into the North Eastern part of Nigeria with these provisions. CONCLUSION Mr. Vice Chancellor, Sir, I have spent the better part of my journey on this planet earth thinking, sometimes crying, and hoping for a return to Eden or Al-janah for my people. For most of the time like Jeremiah, it has been like my cry had been like a whistle in storm. I cry because of the level of general level ignorance about the nature of housing. Housing goes beyond bricks and mortar. 85 Friends, it is beyond that! Each time I was to get discouraged, I remember the charge of Dr. Umar Alka, a co-member of the Technical Board of FHA. At the last Board meeting in 2007 when we perceived that our service might no longer be required by the powers that be. He encouraged us with what he referred to as the words of Prophet Mohammed, admonishing us that there are three ways that one could fulfill God’s vision: i. Do all within your ability to actualize it but if you could not, ii. Communicate it to others who could and if there is none to communicate it to, iii. Die with the faith that one day Allah will send someone to actualize the vision. After being frustrated out of FHA, I have been communicating the vision. And you that are here today, you have heard. I pray that God will use you in different ways to achieve His purpose for His people. For me, at 54, the journey is not as far as when I started. One sometimes looked back and sees unfulfilled dreams and increase in the number of people living in slum. I console myself with the prayers of Archbishop Oscar Romero who admonished that “It helps now and then, to step back and take the long view. The Kingdom is not only beyond our efforts; it is beyond our vision. We accomplish in our lifetime only a tiny fraction of the magnificent enterprise that is the Lord’s work… Nothing we do is complete, which is another way of saying that the Kingdom always lies beyond us. No sermon says all that should be said. No prayer fully expresses our faith. No confession brings perfection. No pastoral visit brings wholeness. No program accomplishes the Church’s mission. No set of goals and objectives includes everything. That is what we are about. We plant the seeds that one day will grow, We water seeds already planted knowing they hold future promise. We lay foundation that will need further development. We provide yeast that affects far beyond our capabilities…We cannot do everything and there is a sense of 86 liberation in realizing that. This enables us to do something, and to do it very, very well. It may be incomplete, but it is a beginning, a step along the way, an opportunity for the Lord’s grace to enter and do the rest. We may never see the end results, but that is the difference between the Master Builder and the worker. We are workers, but not master builders… ministers, not messiahs. We are prophets of a future that is not our own. Amen.” I thank you sincerely for being here and listening to this lecture. May the dream of Ideal Habitat – City without slums be fulfilled in our life-times. My Vice Chancellor, Sir, I am done. ACKNOWLEDGMENT First, thanks be to God for His mercy and abundant grace upon my live. He is God from everlasting to everlasting. He lifted a wretched man like me from the dung hills and made me to sit amongst Kings and Princes. He guided my steps all the way. When I was about going astray severally, He kept using His staff to bring me back to maintain my course. That is why I am standing here today to give this lecture. It can only be God. Special thanks to my parents, biological and non-biological, who gave me life and the foundation upon which my accomplishments in life stand. My late father was a produce seller and did not really cherish education until the last months of his life when he surprised me one morning when he told me that he wished I become a Professor one day. But I have another father – Pa C.A. Ogunnubi- who God preserved till today to witness this great event. He infected me with the hard work virus and initiated me into the teaching cult. May your remaining days in life be filled with joy. Sweet Mother! How can I forget you for the suffering that you went through because of us. She became everything (a labourer, a merchant, a farmer, a warrior, a teacher) to make us something in life. May you live long to enjoy the fruits of your labour. To my dearest brother Egbon Dotun. Many thanks for bringing the light of Christ to the family. To my siblings: Yemi, Bolanle, Bolakun, Bisi, 87 Dr. Seun Peter. You have been a blessing to me! My profound appreciation goes to those that God used either to save my life or to move me forward in life. Mr. Babatunde Banjo whose visit to Abeokuta in 1980 miraculously saved my life. Rev. Oluwakoya and wife, you opened your door for me and adopted me as a brother when you could not trace my genealogy- Heaven will cause the noble to adopt your children. Late Olugbosi and Dapo Osonuga: You both told me to ride on, that you saw in me a star. Dr. (Mrs.) Omirin, I wish you are the Acting Dean today! All I know is that you and your children will enjoy God’s favour all the days of your life. Two times I opted out of this journey but like a shepherd you brought me back. You told me that none of us will leave UNILAG in frustration but with celebration. Ma, you will end well! I want to appreciate the efforts of my primary / secondary school teachers and lecturer at the Polytechnic: so many, but it is difficult to forget late ‘Otunuga’ whose son is like my twin brother and must be here today. He is a renowned Economist and a Deputy Director in NDIC. My Mathematics teacher in Molusi College- Mr. Leke Ajibola Osigbesan, who taught us that if we waste today we will suffer later in Life. My best lecturer ever a Ghanaian Mr G.K. Sablah. My Housing Lecturer Mrs. Funto Anikwe. Your emotional question in class: “Who will fight for the homeless”, made me to respond, “here I am, send me!”. You returned to America but I know you will not be surprised seeing me doing what I am doing now. Late Mr. Fagbuyi and others, you are unsung heroes. To those that God caused our paths to cross along our journey thus far, Prof. Bolaji Owasonoye , Pastor Olumide Adeyi Leke, Dr. Bola Odepidan and his wife in UK, Bayo Osifuwa Oide Obaseki. My compatriots in Real Estate Developers’ Association of Nigeria(REDAN), Papa Lateef Jakande, Sulaiman Abubakar of Imani Estate, Chief Afolayan, Rev. Ugo Chime, Barrister Adeoye, Mr. Adejana; and every single member of the REDAN family. My 88 Nigerian-UK Housing Society (NUHS) friends. Pa. Aderogba, Mr. Jimoh, Dr. Babayemi and Michelle Adeyinka. To my cousin and friend Bosun Odukoya you are simply wonderful. My friend at FHA, General Tunde Reis, Mrs Victoria Mbu, Hayaray, Gamade. My friends in the Media, Chinedu of Guardian. You have been with me in the struggle. God will reward you all. At this point, I must acknowledge the untiring efforts and immeasurable support received from the Vice Chancellor, Prof RahamonAdisa Bello, the Deputy Vice Chancellor Academics Pro B. Alo, DVC (M&S) Prof. Duro Oni, The Registrar, The Bursar, Liberian, The First Lady Provost of College of Medicine- Prof. Ogunsola. I have enjoyed your love and friendship. Former Vice Chancellor Professor Oye Ibidapo Obe, who appointed me t as Acting HOD, I acknowledge your encouragement and belief in me. Late Super Vice Chancellor, Professor Sofolowe, a man from Ilesha that called an Ijebu boy Aburo, was used by God to remove shame and frustration from me. After marking time as Senior Lecturer for 11 years, I was appointed the first Professor of Estate Management under his watch in 2012. Secret mentor and role model, Prof. Fajana, Prof. Alloy Ijogu, Prof. Familoni, Prof Omoegun and Prof. Ilori, I am grateful to my brother and friend Prof. Toyin Ogundipe, to whom I merely joked one day that I liked his tie and I saw it on my table the following day. Dr. Sanni, Mrs Ego of Law, Past Dean of PG School Professor Chukwu, Current Dean SPGS Prof. Akinboye and the entire members of APC of the PG School Board. To the rest of my esteemed colleagues in the APC of the PG School Board, lack of space in this booklet will not allow me to mention your names. Over the years I have become friends with esteemed academics such as Prof. Osanrere, Prof. Oneyene, Prof Okunuga, Prof. Ojikutu, Dr. Oke, Dr. Adeleke. Dr. Osinubi & his friend Dr. (Mrs.) Aderonke Lawal while working tirelessly for the University. Again, lack of space in this booklet will not allow me to mention the names of everyone that has impacted on me in my sojourn in this 89 great university. To my Ph.D Supervisor, Prof. Iyagba the professor of Professors whose hands God used to mould many lives including mine. Prof. Igwe, Prof. Okedele, Prof. Olusanya, Prof. Olufowobi, Prof. Akinmoladun, Prof. Oduwaye, Prof. Odusami, Prof. Oyediran. Prof. Idoro, Prof. Adebamowo, Prof. Dada, Dr. Ogunsami, Dr. Onukwube, Dr. Adenuga. You are all simply wonderful. Dr. Babawale, Dr. Otegbulu, Dr. Koleosho, Ms. Gamu you are all awesome. To my younger colleagues, in the Faculty Uyi Osagie, Afees Alabi, Mike Ayankora, Mr. Idowu, Dr. Afolayan, Dr. Umeh, Mrs. Ohiro, Ms Famuyiwa, Mrs. Oyalowo, Ms Thontteh. My administrative staff at one time or the other- Mr. Okonji, Late Bukky Ajayi, Mrs. Sulaiman, Mrs Palmer, Mrs. Moshood, Mrs. Akinwa, Mrs. Jegun, Mrs. Joy Avona, Mrs. Adeniyi Toyin, Pastor Tosin Olubiyi, Mr. Kazeem Akinyemi, Mr. S. A. Efunkoya and all my students. You are all great co-labourers. Because you play your role well and cared for me, life has been sweeter. God will reward you all. To my colleagues in the practicing world, members of Estate Surveyor and Valuers. I salute you. Your support has helped us in the academic tremendously. I want to thank the immediate past President Emeka Eleh, his partner Chudi Ubosi and Chief M.I. Okoro. You are a great ambassador of our department. You never forget us but kept coming back to ask us areas of need and the support you could offer. To my Spiritual family- The Upper Room Baptist Church. What would my life have been without you? Though born into a Christian home but you showed me Christ and taught me how to follow Him. Pa. Longe- the First General Overseer and other foundation members- The Adekoyas, Opute, Rotimis, Filani Alalade and others, live according to the scripture “imitate me as I imitate Christ” I am a living testimony that God answers our prayers in Upper Room. My current G.O..Pastor Leke Akinola and the wife, an old friend in the darkness before God showed us the light. ‘E ku ise Oluwa o!’. We will run the race to the point of 90 reward. My Parishioners at Alagbado, Ijoko, Lekki and Oworonsoki. You are the fruits of my labour. I pray I will present you all to Christ at the last day. Mummy Adesokun, Mama Fashida, Durus, The Ale’s, The Elusakin, The Adebayos, The Adewoles, The Dadas, The Komolafes, The Omosors, The Olasupos The Igberases, The Awotiles, The Alexs, The Jacobs, The Babas, The Judes, The Ogunbolajis, The Lovedays, The Kolas and many others, knowing you all makes life worthwhile. The Entire Idode Community- the place of my birth. The Bale, Chief Durojaiye Olugbode, Oba Ademola Oluwaseyi Osokoya. I know you all rejoice to see today. Great things will happen as from today. I came to this world through a humble but noble family. My late father, and his sibling, my Mum and her sibling- Mrs. Gbode, Tunde Banjo, late Mrs Adebisi Adekoya, Mrs Rotimi Ajayi, I appreciate you all. To my immediate family, I will like to tell this gathering that this lecture would not have taken place if God has not blessed me with a good family. If a man failed in family life, he has failed in life. God in His mercy gave me a wife and three wonderful children, Kayode, Tosin and Pelumi. Pelumi is the promising Professor in the house. She is a final year student of Bio Medical Science at Coventary University UK. The young men both have first degrees in Electrical Electronic Engineering. While Kayode opted for Masters in Internet Business, Tosin continues with Masters in Electrical Electronics. Kay works today with Accenture, Dublin, Ireland Republic while Tosin later ventured into Investment Banking and now works with London Stock Exchange. At young age, they are award winners and great leaders. We are all, products of a great woman called Olubukunola Adetutu Nubi. A perfect match of the virtuous woman described in Proverbs 31. A woman who left a promising career at Federal Ministry as a Senior Town Planning Officer to engage with the low skilled in London and had to retrain to care for my children. Whatever we are today, you see her signature in every stage of our life. In recent times, God added to our family. In few months time my first son will get married to Nana, our jewel. I will soon become a grand 91 pa! What a great God we serve!. REFERENCES Abiodun, A. (1999) Housing finance under National Housing Fund: An appraisal. Paper presented at the General Meeting of the Nigeria Institute of Town Planning. Adewole, F. (2010). Financing Affordable Housing in Nigeria. 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