Rent regulation: A conceptual and comparative analysis Hans Lind Division of Building and Real Estate Economics Royal Institute of Technology SE 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden Phone + 46 - 8 - 790 73 65 Fax + 46 - 8 - 411 74 36 Email hanslind@recm.kth.se October 1999 Abstract 1 16-02-16 Rent regulations can take many forms and have different purposes. It is argued that the often-used distinction between first- and second-generation rent control is too crude to be useful. Five main types of rent control are instead identified. The first dimension concerns whether the control covers rent changes for sitting tenants or rents generally. The second dimension is whether then aim is to protect the tenants against rents over the market level, against sudden big increases in rents or if the aim is to keep rents permanently below market levels in attractive areas. The typology is used to classify and compare the rent control systems in a number of European countries and North American cities. It is also used to describe typical patterns of change from "harder" to "softer" rent controls. 2 16-02-16 1. Introduction Economists are often very critical to rent control, but in the theoretical literature there has in rent years been a tendency to revisionism (see e.g. Arnott 1995, Anas 1997 and Keating et al 1998). A distinction is made between what is called first- and secondgeneration systems of rent control, between "hard" and "soft" rent control. The firstgeneration controls were nominal rent freezes, while the second-generation controls are more flexible and allow nominal rent increases in a number of situations. Arnott's point is that the economists' critique might be correct in relation to first-generation rent control, but is it not obvious that the arguments are relevant against secondgeneration rent control: "since second-generation rent controls are so different, they should be evaluated largely independently of the experience with first-generation rent controls." (Arnott 1995, p 102) Given the specific features of the rental housing market: "a well-designed rent control can be beneficial" (Arnott 1995 p 99) In this article it is first argued that the concept "second-generation rent control" covers such an heterogeneous group of systems that the concept is rather useless from a scientific point of view (section 2). Therefore a more detailed typology of possible rent control systems is presented, focusing more on what type of problem they aim at solving than the specific tools used (section 3). Typical processes when a "hard" system of rent control is modified are also described in this section. In order to test the 3 16-02-16 typology and get a perspective on the rent regulations in a number of countries I classify these systems according to the proposed typology. The classification is based on secondary data, primarily Balchin (1996), Keating (1998) and the special issue of Netherlands Journal of Housing and the Built Environment devoted to private rented housing (Vol 13, No 3, 1998)1. The conclusions are summarised in section 5. 2. The distinction between first and second-generation rent control 2.1 First-generation rent control Arnott (1995) starts the explanation of the concept first-generation rent control in the following way:: "The form of controls was a freeze on nominal rents." (p 100) This is later modified somewhat: "While the nominal rent freezes were typically not absolute - intermittent adjustments were made - controlled rents fell significantly in real terms, to only a fraction of the rents in the uncontrolled housing that was constructed" (p 100) These statements indicated that it is possible to define first-generation rent control in three different ways: 1 Some of the countries described in Balchin (1995) - primarily Ireland and Italy - are not included as these chapters do not give any detailed information about the system of rent regulation. 4 16-02-16 : Definition 1: First-generation rent control is a nominal rent freeze. The regulation just says that rents are not allowed to increase in nominal terms. The problem with this definition is that the effects of such a regulation will depend on the level of inflation. An extreme case is during deflation, when a nominal rent freeze could coexist with rising real rents. This is obviously not the intention when firstgeneration rent controls are discussed. Definition 2 below avoids this consequence. Definition 2: First-generation rent control is a nominal rent freeze that leads to a significant fall in real rents. This definition seems to fit the intentions much better, but the second quotation above indicates that one more condition must be added. The resulting real rent level should be significantly below the market (equilibrium) rent level.2 The following definition would then cover the intentions behind the concept first-generation rent control. Definition 3: First-generation rent control is a nominal rent freeze that leads to a significant fall in real rents and to a rent level that is significantly below the market rent level. 2.2 Second-generation rent control 2 The exact definition of market rent can also be discussed, but let us here just say that the market rent is the rent level where demand equals supply. The details are not important for my purpose. 5 16-02-16 Arnott describes the second-generation rent controls in the following way: "They entail a complex set of regulations governing not only allowable rent increases, but also conversion, maintenance and landlord-tenant relations." "Second-generation rent control commonly permit automatic percentage rent increases related to the rate of inflation. They also often contain provisions for other rent increases [e.g. cost pass through provisions].... "In some jurisdiction, second-generation rent control has permitted full vacancy decontrol." (Arnott 1995, p 102) Keating (1998a) writes that second-generation rent controls "allowed for across-theboard rent increases, usually annually" (p 5). Skaburskis & Teitz (1998) say that "second-generation rent control aim to stabilize the rental market and improve the tenants security of tenure" (p 58) The problem with all these definitions is that they primarily are negative. Secondgeneration rent control is any regulation of the rental market that does not fulfil definition 3 above. There is no nominal rent freeze, rents do not usually fall in real terms and in the long run there might be no significant difference between actual rents and market rents. The fact that it is a negative definition has the consequence that the concept secondgeneration rent control can cover many different types of regulations of the rental market. Arnott (1995) notes that: 6 16-02-16 "There is considerable flexibility in the design of a second-generation rent control package, in fact so much that it may be inappropriate to generalize broadly about the effects of second-generation controls." (p 102) We can only say that the consequences can not be assumed to be the same as the consequences of first-generation rent control. The distinction between first and second-generation rent control was a smart rhetorical move in the sense that it opened up an almost closed discussion. It pointed out a hidden presupposition in the traditional economic analysis, namely that rent control is a rather homogeneous phenomenon. But as second-generation rent control covers so many different cases the next step must be to identify more specific types of rent control. Only when this is done can we discuss consequences of the new types of rent control, as the consequence depends upon the exact construction of the system. An evaluation of a specific rent control system also presupposes that we identify the specific purpose. 3 3. A typology of rental regulations 3.1 Regulation of rental contracts and rent control 7 16-02-16 Regulations concerning the rent level (rent control) can be seen as a subgroup of specific regulations concerning rental contracts. Sometimes this distinction is blurred, e.g. in the preface of Keating et al (1998) where they state that: "Rent control, the governmental regulation of the level of payment and tenure rights for rental housing.... " (p vii) Regulation of tenure rights, e.g. when the landlord has the right to evict a tenant, might presuppose certain types of rent control, but regulation of rights should be separated from rent control. We can identify at least three different levels of regulation that affect the relation between tenant and landlord: - General laws, eg contract law and anti-trust laws. These can e.g. include laws against usury or against misuse of a dominant market position that can be applied to the rental market. - Specific regulations concerning rental contracts. In Sweden we have, beside regulations concerning the rent level, regulations saying that the rental contracts must be in writing, that the landlord can only terminate the contract in certain situations, and that the tenant can terminate the contract with three months notice. - Rent regulations: i.e. specific rules concerning the rent that a landlord is allowed to charge for the disposition of an apartment. As noted in e.g. Arnott (1995) and Heffley 3 When for example Nagy (1997) writes "Politicians who wish to soften rent control by adding vacancy decontrol-recontrol provisions may be undoing the control altogether" he fails to see that different 8 16-02-16 (1998) it is a regulation of a price for space and not for precisely specified housing services. In the next subsection five types of such regulations will be identified. All of these can be either partial (covering only houses with certain properties) or complete. They can be partial in a number of ways, e.g. covering only houses built before a certain date, or owned by certain groups of owners. The rent regulations can be divided into two main groups. One group covers only sitting tenants (type A and B below) while the other covers all tenants (type C, D and E below) 3.2 Type A: Weak transaction cost related rent regulation. Protecting a sitting tenant against rents higher than the market rent A household with a high transaction cost might be in weak bargaining position when a rental contract shall be renewed. It is well known that many households put a high value on being able to stay in their neighbourhood. A landlord might use this and demand more than the market rent level and still get the tenant to accept the proposed rent. Rent regulation of type A forbids precisely this behaviour. As the regulation is related to the existence of transactions cost and as it is "weak" in the sense that it does not protect the sitting tenant against increases in market rents we call it weak transaction cost related rent control. This kind of rent regulation can be related to regulations protecting tenant against evictions, as regulations of evictions would be pointless if the landlord could demand any rent to renew a contract. systems can have different purposes. 9 16-02-16 Transaction costs can motivate this type of rent control, but it can be motivated also in other ways. Arnott (1995, p 107) presents the following argument for intra-tenancy rent control of this type. A landlord may demand a high rent from a tenant that he found out to be a "bad" tenant. The "bad" tenant then moves to another landlord who does not know that the tenant is "bad". The economic eviction therefore imposes an externality on other landlords as they, because of asymmetric information, cannot see that it is a "bad" tenant. A regulation prohibiting rents over the level in the open market may in this case be welfare improving. We can also imagine that this type of rent control aims at protecting households that are badly informed or bad negotiators. In Sweden, a weak transaction cost related rent regulation exist on the commercial rental market. The background is that the typical contract for a shop or an office is rather short in Sweden. As there might be considerable costs for relocation of a store, the landlord could charge more for a sitting tenant than for a new tenant. Such behaviour would of course destroy the reputation of the landlord but there might be cases where such a strategy still is profitable. The rule in Sweden is that if a landlord demands a rent over the market level and the tenant moves, the landlord have to pay damages to the former tenant covering the losses to the tenant compared to a situation where he could continue to rent at the market level. 10 16-02-16 3.3 Type B: Strong transaction cost related rent regulation. Protecting sitting tenants against certain types of increases in market rents The high transaction cost for certain types of households can lead to demands for stronger protection for sitting tenants. The typical situation that a tenant might want to have protection against is where demand for rental housing suddenly increases, either generally or in some areas that becomes popular. Market rents and profits for the landlords would then go up. The aim of rent regulation can then be to protect sitting tenants against increases in market rents that are not related to cost increases. A feature of many second-generation rent control systems is that they allow for rent increases e.g. when the general price level increases or when specific operating costs increase. But they do not allow rent increases for sitting tenants only because demand has increased. Another way of describing this kind of rent control is that it is a way to reduce the risk for the household. Strong transaction cost related rent control means that the tenants do no have to be afraid of having to move because demand and market rents suddenly increase. From the landlord's point of view this rent regulation is not so problematic as it allows for a reasonable profit on the original investment. On the theoretical level this kind of rent regulation raises a number of questions. Why chose this method for risk reduction compared to e.g. long run contracts or options to renew the contract at pre-specified terms? Epple (1998, p 683) raises this question and Arnott (1995, p 108) notes that 11 16-02-16 "Rent control is then desirable when the distortion is the unavailability of insurance against a sharp, unanticipated rise in rent." In a footnote he also discusses why this insurance may not be available on the market. Another question is why households are more interested in protecting themselves against demand related rent increases than against cost related rent increases? Or is it just that such protection is cheaper?4 3.4 Type C: Monopoly related rent regulation. Protecting all tenants against rents higher than the market rent A landlord has a certain monopoly power, as the housing supply is very heterogeneous. This power can be used to get a rent from specific household that is higher than the market rent. We can imagine that a household has special reasons for wanting to live in a certain house, e.g. because they need to live close to a relative, and that the landlord knows this. The point of rent regulation of type C is to prohibit the landlord from using this knowledge and demand more than the market rent from such a household. This kind of rent regulation can also be seen as a protection of households that are nor so well-informed about the market rent level or are in such a situation that they need an apartment very quickly and do not have time to search and negotiate for better terms. 4 See Lind (1999) for some preliminary arguments. 12 16-02-16 The difference between rent regulation of type A and type C is that type C is not related to costs of moving and therefore it covers also new contracts. Arnott (1995, p 107) refers to a model that shows that a system of controls that restrict the landlords' possibility to use their market power can increase welfare. This would then be a system of rent regulation of the type C. Rules prohibiting rents above the market rent level might follow from more general rules against usury or rules forbidding contractual conditions where one part has taken advantage of another party because the latter party had a weak bargaining position. Rent regulation might therefore exist even if there are no specific laws about rents. 3.5 Type D: Smoothing changes in market rents. Rent regulation related to overshooting The supply of housing is inelastic in the short run. This means that if demand suddenly increases market rents might increase considerably, and then fall back to a more normal level when supply has responded after a couple of years. The purpose of rent regulation of type D is to cut these temporary peaks in rents, i.e. to avoid rents that overshoot in relation to some kind of long run equilibrium level. The mechanism used is this case can be to put a cap on the yearly increase in rent levels. The cap is higher than normal cost increases so it doesn't bind in normal years. The rule allows the rent level to catch up with the market rent level rather quickly 13 16-02-16 when there are increases in the long run market rents. The purpose of this type of rent regulation is not to keep the rent level below the market rent in a longer perspective. The price for this kind of rent regulation is that during periods when the regulation binds, it will be difficult to find an apartment for a new household in the market. The level of the cap on the rent increases will determine this trade-off between rent and availability. An interesting question is why households might prefer a system where they have to search longer, compared to a system where they for a period would have to pay a higher rent. 3.6 Type E: Protecting all tenants against certain types of increases in market rents. Segregation related rent regulation This type of rent regulation aims to keep rents for both new households and sitting tenants below the market level "forever". One motive for this kind of regulation is that "everybody" should be able to afford to rent an apartment in attractive areas. This was the argument behind what Keating et al (1998) call the "hard" rent regulation in Berkeley and Santa Monica in California, and it is a common argument in the current debate about rent regulation in Stockholm. The first-generation rent controls can be seen as an extreme version of this kind of rent regulation as it not only stopped real increases in rents but in fact lead to falling real rents as a result of nominal rent freezes and inflation. Some versions of what Arnott called second-generation rent control are also of type E, but less extreme. The 14 16-02-16 landlord is allowed to increase the rent if costs increase, but not just because an area has become more popular. 3.7 The relation between the different types of rent regulation Some kinds of rent regulation are specifically related to one goal, e.g. a rent regulation protecting sitting tenants against rents higher than the market rent (type A). Other types of rent regulations can handle several problems. The segregation related rent regulation of type E would normally handle most of the other possible motives for rent regulation, e.g. protecting tenants against rents higher than the market level. In table 1 below we describe for each type of rent regulation what kinds of problems they can solve. The motive for putting "partly" in the some of the boxes for overshooting related rent regulation is that this system protects tenants against high rent increases but not against smaller rent increases. 15 16-02-16 Table 1: What problems do different types of rent regulation solve? Problem 1: Landlords use monopoly power A. Weak transactions cost related rent regulation B. Strong transactions cost related rent regulation C. Monopoly related rent regulation D.Overshooting related rent regulation E. Segregation related rent regulation Only for sitting tenants Problem 2: Landlords demand high rents because of tenants transactions cost Yes Problem 3: High temporary increases in market rents Problem 4: Increasing market rents leads to segregations No No Only for Yes sitting tenants Only for Only for sitting tenants sitting tenants Yes Yes No No Partly Partly Yes Partly Yes Yes Yes Yes Table 1 can also be used as the starting point for a discussion about different ways to change the extreme first-generation rent controls without dismantling rent regulation completely. 1. The first strategy is to keep a rent regulation of type E but make it less extreme. The aim is still to keep the rents permanently below the market level, but the difference between actual rents and market rents are narrowed. The landlord is e.g. allowed to increase rents in certain situations, but not to close the gap completely. 16 16-02-16 2. The second strategy is to move in the direction of an overshooting related rent regulation. In this case all tenants are protected against high yearly increases in real rents. (This can of course be combined with long-run rental contracts and other devises on the market that lowers the tenants' risks further.) 3. The third strategy is to limit the protection to sitting tenants, and move to a strong transactions cost related rent regulation. This type of rent regulation can also be combined with an overshooting related rent regulation that makes the future rent level more predictable also for moving households. 4. The fourth strategy would be to limit the protection to a monopoly related rent regulation. The landlord is not allowed to charge more than the market rent. This would also automatically imply a weak-transaction based rent control. 4. Classification and comparison of actual rent regulations 4.1 Introduction 17 16-02-16 One way to "test" the typology presented above is to see if actual rent regulations fits neatly into the typology and if it leads to a grouping of countries that seems reasonable. Laws related to rent regulation are modified continuously in most countries. The description here concerns the systems as they are described in the written sources. In reality this means the situation around 1995. Earlier systems are sometimes commented upon, but the aim is not to make a historical study of the development of rent regulation. In some countries older regulations are still in force for smaller parts of the market, e.g. for older contracts in older houses. If this is a small and diminishing part of the rental market they are not covered in the analysis below. The focus is on rent regulations that cover normal privately owned rental housing. Special regulations related to subsidised but privately owned social housing are not discussed. 4.2 Some European systems The countries covered in the sources are described in alphabetical order. A summary can be found in table 2 at the end of the section. Austria 18 16-02-16 According to Förster (1995, p 114) Austria has a rent regulation that covers practically all rental housing. Formally this is related to the granting of subsidised loans, but such loans are used for almost all construction of rental housing. The regulation covers both existing and new tenancies. The allowed rent increase is related to the rate of inflation and costs for investments in the building. According to the classification this is a rent regulation of type E (all contracts covered, rents kept permanently below market level) which by implication means that all other types exist. France There are some apartments that still follow the rent controls in an old system which kept the rent level clearly below the market level in attractive areas (Satsangi 1998, p 302). If we look at the system dating from the beginning of the 1990s there is no regulations for rents the first time an apartment is let. When there is a new tenant in an existing apartment the rent should be set by reference to comparable dwellings. This is a monopoly related rent regulation (type C), but in practice its is also a system of type D smoothing increases in rents. The use of comparables lead to lags between changes in the market and changes in rents. For renewal of contracts there is a rule according to which rent increases should follow cost increases (Satsangi 1998, p 304). He presents data from 1991 indicating that rents in new lettings are around 30% higher than the renewal rent. Germany 19 16-02-16 Germany (Hubert 1998, Tomann 1996) has a system that incorporates a number of the different systems of rent regulation described above. One important component is the system for protecting sitting tenants (system B). The rent is not allowed to increase to a level that is more than rent for comparable apartments. As this is based on rents the last 3-4 years it means that the rent will not increase up to the current market level. Hubert (p 225) shows that there is a considerable gap between rents in new contracts and in old contracts. There is also an extra protection for sitting tenants similar to systems of rent smoothing (type D): The rent is not allowed to increase more than 30% in a three year period. Basically the rent for new contracts were free during the 1980s, except for a system of type C where the landlord is not allowed to charge a rent that is substantially higher than "usual". If the rent is more than 50% higher than the usual rent, this is judged to be usury, which is a criminal offence. In the 1990s, after the increased pressure on the rental market caused by German unification, there was a new rule that limited the rent level in new contracts to 20% above the rent for renewed contracts. According to Hubert this led to a system of type E in many cities, as all rents were below the market level. The recession and the increased supply in recent years have however led to a situation where the regulations seldom are binding. We might therefore see the system as one of rent smoothing that cuts temporary peaks. This is how it is classified in table 2 below. Great Britain 20 16-02-16 For lettings made before 1989 there is a system of type B, where sitting tenants are protected against certain types of rent increases (Kemp 1998) . For these tenancies there is a "fair rent regulation", which Kemp describes in the following way: "Fair rents can be loosely defined as the equilibrium level minus a discount to reflect the level of excess demand in the local market" (p 247). For lettings after 1989 there are free negotiations between tenant and landlord, both when there is a new letting and when there is a rent review (Kemp 1998 p 246f, Balchin 1996b, p 226). This means that there are no rent regulations of type D and E. As security of tenure would be a fiction if there were no rules concerning the rent demanded by the landlord at a rent review, there must be some kind of weak transaction based rent regulation. There is no information in the articles about rules concerning initial rent level, and therefore there is a questions mark in the column for monopoly related rent control. The Netherlands For a long time the Netherlands had a system where the government directly determined the allowed rent increase, or at least the ceiling of allowed rent increases for sitting tenants (Priemus 1998, Boulhower et al 1996). This is a typical form of strong transaction cost related rent regulation. For new contracts there is a rule saying that the landlords is allowed to charge "maximum reasonable rents". Priemus (1998 p 274) says that this rent "does not differ to much from the free market rent level (and sometimes is even higher)". This is 21 16-02-16 anyway close to a system of monopoly related rent control, protecting all tenants against rents substantially higher than the market rent. The rules might also incorporate a system of overshooting related rent control if a quick increase in market rents would not lead to a comparable increase in "maximum reasonable rents". In table 2 there is a yes in parenthesis for type D (over-shooting) rent regulation. Spain The focus in the current system in Spain is on protecting sitting tenants against demand-related increases in rents (Alberdi & Levenfeld 1995, p 184)). There are no rules for the rent level in new contracts, but the rent is then not allowed to increase more than the retail price index. This means that there is a system of strong transactions cost related rent control. The article does not give any clear information about whether there also is some rules about "usury" in new rental contracts. Sweden The Swedish "use-value system" that replaced a traditional rent regulation in the 1970s initially said that the rent charged by the private landlord should not be allowed to be higher than the long run equilibrium rent (see Bengtsson 1992). In reality this concerned both new tenancies and rent reviews for sitting tenants. My interpretation is that it was created as an overshooting related system (type D). Step by step the system was transformed and today the main rule is that the reasonableness of the rent in the 22 16-02-16 private sector should be judged by a comparison with rents in similar apartments owned by municipal housing companies. These rents are in turn set after negotiations between the company and the local tenants union. The starting point is often the companies' total costs and the negotiation primarily concerns how these total costs should be distributed between different apartments. No distinction is made between new tenancies and rent reviews for current tenants. In most municipalities the result has been rents that are considerably below market rents in older apartments in attractive areas, implying a segregation related rent regulation of type E. Such a system automatically leads to systems of type A-D. Switzerland As described by Balchin (1996c, p 31) the Swiss system has much in common with the German system. There is a regulation concerning rent reviews for sitting tenants that primarily relates rent increases to cost increases, i.e. a strong transaction cost related rent regulation (type B). This has led to large differences in rents between older and newer apartments as construction costs have increased. There seems to be no explicit regulations for rents in new tenancies and it is unclear from the material if there is anyimplicit monopoly related rent. Therefore there is a question mark in the column for rent regulation of type C. Overview 23 16-02-16 In table 2 below we present an overview of the system in the different European countries. The symbol => means that this kind of rent regulation exist, but not as a special system but as an implication of a more encompassing system of rent control. A question mark means that it is not clear from the sources if this type of regulation exists. A yes in parenthesis means that the practical application of another type of system leads also to this kind of protection. The typical case is where a monopoly related system partly is based on rents in an earlier period. This leads to a smoothing of rent increases and an overshooting related rent regulation. Table 2: Rent regulation system in some European countries Country Austria France Germany Great Britain Netherlands Spain Sweden Switzerland Type A Weak transactions cost related => => => ? => => => => Type B Strong transactions cost related => Yes Yes No Yes Yes => Yes Type C Monopoly related => Yes Yes ? Yes ? => ? Type D Overshooting related => (Yes) Yes No (Yes) No => No Type E Segregation related Yes No No No No No Yes No The table indicates that the countries fall into four groups. The first group - consisting of Austria and Sweden - still has rent regulation that can keep the rent level permanently below the market level also in new tenancies (type E). 24 16-02-16 The second group has a rent regulation for sitting tenants that protects them from certain increases in market rents (type B) and also some system for keeping rents in new contracts from increasing rapidly, without "permanently" holding them below market level (type D). Germany clearly belongs to this group, while the Netherlands and France are borderline cases between this group and the next group. The third group only has rules protecting sitting tenants against certain types of increases in market rents. Switzerland and Spain seem to belong to this group. The fourth group has only rules protecting tenants against landlords demanding rents above the market level (type A and/or type C). Great Britain belongs to this group. 4.3 Some North American systems In Canada and the USA rent regulation is not a federal issue. The regions/states/municipalities can, within certain limits, introduce their own systems. Here we will describe the systems that existed in some areas in the middle of the 1990s. 25 16-02-16 Toronto The Canadian experience with rent control is described in Crook (1998) and Nash & Skaburski (1998). We will focus on the description of the evolution of rent control in Toronto. The original arguments behind the system focused on protecting sitting tenants from "economic eviction" when rents started to rise quickly in the 1970s. It was what we call a strong transaction cost related rent control (type B). The purpose was also to smooth changes in market rents and keep them temporarily under the market level while supply increased (overshooting related rent regulation of type D). The regulation introduced a maximum allowed rent increase (unless there were a number of special circumstances). The effect was seen mostly in attractive areas where market rents increased more than the allowed rent increase for a number of years. Vacancies became extremely low in these areas (p 178). This meant that during this period the system also worked as a segregation related rent control. In the middle of the 1990s modification was on the way where one important feature was to let landlords negotiate rents freely for vacant apartments, but once the rents were set the guidelines would continue to apply. This will transform the system into a clear case of a strong transaction cost related rent control. Whether there will continue to be some kind of check on rents in new contracts that prevents rents higher than market rents is unclear. Both Crook (1998) and Nash & Skaburskis (1998) however indicate that this is not the last word and that new governments might strengthen the rent control again, moving it back to at least a system of type D, that smoothes changes in market rents. Berkeley 26 16-02-16 The central component of the rent control in Berkeley was a cap on rent increases (Barton 1998). During the 1970s and 1980s this cap kept rents clearly below the market level for most rental housing, implying that it was a segregation related rent regulation (type E). Making it possible for certain groups with low incomes to live in the central city was an explicit motive for the system. In the beginning of the1990s, landlords succeeded in getting higher rent increases, and the gap to the market level closed considerably. In the middle of the 1990s, the California legislature made vacancy decontrol mandatory. This transformed the system to a strong transaction cost related rent control (type B). The vacancy decontrol was however phased in, implying that the rent was not allowed to rise more than 15% compared to the rent before vacancy. This can function as a system of type D, smoothing rents in new contracts, and therefore we have put Yes in parentheses for Berkeley in that column. As in the Canadian case it is unclear if there is any limitation on rents for new contracts aiming at protecting tenants against rents higher than the market rent. Los Angeles Tietz (1998) starts by saying that the Los Angeles experience "provides evidence that rental regulation can be managed in a way that does not provoke massive political confrontations or seriously impede the operations of the private rental housing market" (p 125). The following combination of features explains this. The first is that it is a typical system of strong transactions cost related rent control (type B). There is a maximum limit for rent increases for sitting tenants and vacancy decontrol. The 27 16-02-16 second feature is that these maximum limits are rather high, which stabilise the market but does not destroy the profitability for the landlord or the incentive to maintain apartments. The third feature is that the system is partial in the sense that construction after 1979 is not covered at all. There is no regulation of rents for sitting tenants in these houses. This means that the incentive for new construction will not be affected. New Jersey A large number of cities in New Jersey have some kind of rent regulation (Baar 1998). The typical characteristic of these regulations is that there is a ceiling on annual rent increases for sitting tenants and that there is some kind of vacancy decontrol (type B). New construction is exempt from rent control for a certain number of years, but they are not generally exempt as in the Los Angeles system. The New Jersey systems would then qualify as a strong transaction cost related rent control of type B, but nothing more. During the 1990s the limit of the annual increase in rents has been set higher than the general rate of inflation, which means that the control has only had effect in certain areas. We can therefore see at as a mild type B regulation. As the allowed increase could lead to a level that is higher than the market rent level it is unclear whether it generally qualifies as a weak transaction cost related type A system. Baar´s general conclusion is that the controls "have provided significant protection, in the form of security of tenure, and has served as a ceiling on rents in areas where landlords could have commanded much higher rents" (p 150). 28 16-02-16 New York The core of the rent stabilization programme in New York (see Keating 1998b, Pollakowski 1997) is rules about yearly rent increases in rents. The rules are complex but f or our purpose the general point is only that they keep rents below the market rent level for the apartments that are covered by the regulation. There is no general vacancy decontrol, but for expensive apartments and/or wealthy household there is a vacancy decontrol. From the material it is unclear how the rent stabilisation programme is applied to new production of rental apartments. All rental apartments are however not covered so the system is partial. There is a comment in Keating (1998b, p 153) indicating that there exists some regulations also for contracts not covered by the rent stabilization programme prohibiting "excessive rents". This seems to mean rents over the market level. As there is no general vacancy decontrol the system qualifies as a (partial) system of type E, with an additional general system of type C protecting tenants against monopoly related rent increases. Washington Turner (1998) describes Washington as an example of a successful second-generation rent control programme, very much in the same way as for Los Angeles. There is a general rule about rent increases relating them to the Consumer Price Index, with a maximum of 10% increase. Vacancy decontrol is not applied, but the landlord is allowed to increase rents with an additional 12% for a new tenant. New construction 29 16-02-16 is included in the rent control programme after a number of years. As the allowed rent increases have been rather high there is no general difference between market rents and regulated rents. Turner says "during periods of weak and slow market rent inflation, a moderate system of rent control may have little or no impact on rent levels; the main reason it is retained is as a safeguard against future periods of market pressure." My interpretation is that the system has worked as a system of type D, smoothing changes in market rents. Turner also notes that the system can lead to higher rents than the market rent as the allowed increase at vacancy can be higher than the changes in the market rent level. In these cases the landlords can use their monopoly power. This is why there is a No in the column for type C. In table 3 below there is an overview of the Canadian and American systems. Table 3: Rent regulation system in some North American cities/regions Area Type B Strong transactions cost related Yes Type C Monopoly related Toronto Type A Weak transactions cost related => Berkeley Los Angeles New Jersey New York Washington => => => => => Yes Partial Yes Partial => ? ? ? Yes No => 30 16-02-16 Type D Overshooting related On the way out (Yes) No No => Yes Type E Segregation related On the way out No No No Partial No The European countries were classified into four groups, and the same grouping can be used for the North American systems. Group 1 has some kind of segregation related rent control. As we can see in table 3 this is only the case in New York. Group 2 has a strong transaction cost related rent regulation and some system for smoothing rents in new contracts. Berkeley and Washington belong to this group. Group 3 has only a strong transaction cost related rent regulation. This is the case in Toronto (after the recent change in the system), Los Angeles and New Jersey. Group 4 has only protection against rents higher than the market rents. The cities/regions described above all have stronger systems of rent control, but my guess is that a number of cities/regions have this weak control. As it is so mild it is often not categorised as a system of rent regulation. 5 Conclusions This article started from the distinction between first- and second-generation rent control. It is argued that these concepts are vague and that second-generation rent controls are a very heterogeneous group of systems. More distinct types must be 31 16-02-16 identified in order to analyse the consequences of second-generation rent control. A typology with five different types of rent control is proposed. The first two systems focus on protecting sitting tenants and is related to the high transaction costs for some tenants. This protection can be "weak" (only against rents higher than the market rent) or "strong" (also against certain increases in market rents). The third system was a general protection against landlords using their monopoly position, or bargaining skills, to get a rent higher than the market rent level. The fourth system focused on smoothing rent increases when demand increases and there hasn't been time for supply to increase, but the aim is not to keep the rent level below the market level permanently. The fifth system covers first-generation rent control where rents were permanently below the market level and with a very big gap to the market rent level. Some second-generation rent controls also belong to this group as the rent is kept permanently below the market level, but with a smaller gap to the market rent level. The systems in a number of European countries and North American cities/regions are classified using this typology and they fell rather neatly into four groups. Group 1: Rents are kept permanently below market rent levels in attractive areas. Group 2: Sitting tenants are protected against (certain types of) increases in market rents and there is also a ceiling for rent increases of in new contracts. The ceiling is set so high that it smoothes increases in rent, but do not keep the rent in new contracts below the market level in the longer perspective. Group 3: Sitting tenants are protected, but there is no regulation of rents in new contracts. 32 16-02-16 Group 4: The tenants are only protected against rents higher than the market level. Group 1 is small and shrinking. One alternative is then to move to a system where sitting tenants are protected against (some) increases in market rents and where there is a smoothing also of rent increases in new contracts (group 2 countries). Another possibility is to focus only on sitting tenants and let the rent adjust directly to the market level in new contracts (group 3 countries). The final possibility, if some kind of rent regulation is kept, is to protect tenants only against exploitation in the sense that the landlord demands rents higher than the current market level (group 4 countries). All systems can also be partial in the sense that only parts of the housing stock are covered. An example is when houses built after a certain date are excluded from control. The next step from a research perspective is to look closer at each of the different types of rent control. As Arnott (1995) has underlined most studies on rent control have focused on the case where rents are kept permanently below the market rent level in both new and old contracts. Today, however, the other types dominate and a more thorough analysis of these seem to be more important. 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