107th EAAE Seminar
"Modelling Agricultural and Rural Development Policies"
Sevilla, January 29th – February 1st, 2008
PROGRAMME

Seminar Venue (January 30th - February 1st, 2008): NH Central Convenciones,
Avenida Diego Martínez Barrios, 8, Sevilla

Pre-Seminar session venue (January 29th, 2008): Edificio Expo (IPTS), Sala Lisboa,
floor S-1, Calle Inca Garcilaso s/n, Isla de la Cartuja, Sevilla
Wednesday - January 30th, 2008
Opening Session
10:30 - 11:00; Room: Amistad
Chair: Laura Riesgo

Antonio Villar - Vice-rector, University of Pablo de Olavide, Sevilla, Spain

Per Sørup - Head of Agrilife Unit, JRC – IPTS, European Commission, Sevilla, Spain
Plenary session 1
Challenges, issues and advances in modelling agricultural policies
11:00 - 12:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: Giovanni Anania
University of Calabria, Italy

Working at the Extensive Margin of CGE Analysis
Tomas Hertel
Purdue University, USA

Interaction between Partial Equilibrium (PE) and Computed General Equilibrium
(CGE) models
Paper Presentation 2
Martin Banse
LEI, The Hague, The Netherlands
Lunch 12:30 – 14:00
NH hotel, Restaurant
1
Paper Presentation 1
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Parallel session 1.1
Modelling agro-environmental policies
14:00 – 16:00; Room: Amistad
Chair: Eirik Romstad
Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Norway


Improvement of the AROPAj model covering a large range of agricultural activities at wide
(UE) and high resolution (mapping of farm types) scales
Paper 13
Edouard Baranger, Pierre Cantelaube, Melissa Clodic, Elodie Galko, Pierre-Alain Jayet, Paul
Zakharov
INRA, UMR Economie Publique, Grignon, France
Environmental protection of agriculture-clash of policies?
Janne Helin
Agrifood Research Finland
Paper
174
Paper
115

Price effects of an emissions trading scheme in New Zealand
James Lennox1,2, R. Andrew1,2, V. Forgie2,3
1
Landcare Research NZ Ltd, New Zealand
2
New Zealand Centre for Ecological Economics, New Zealand
3
Massey University, New Zealand

Micro-simulation as a tool to assess policy concerning non-point source pollution: the case
of ammonia in Dutch agriculture
Paper
64
Gideon Kruseman, Pieter-Willem Blokland, Foppe Bouma, Harry Luesink, Lennard
Mokveld, Hans Vrolijk
LEI, The Hague, The Netherlands

Combination of the Swiss agrarian sector model SILAS-dyn with the life cycle assessment
tool SALCA
Paper 169
Albert Zimmermann. Agroscope Reckenholz - Tänikon ART, Switzerland
2
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Parallel session 1.2
Methodological issues
14:00 - 16:00; Room: Marbella
Chair: Patrick Westhoff
Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) University of Missouri–Columbia
(MU); USA

Doing policy in the lab! Options for the future use of model-based policy analysis for
complex decision-making
Paper 172
Kathrin Happe, Alfons Balmann
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO),
Germany

Estimation of impact of EU agricultural policies on the world market prices
Paper 100
1
2
2
Frédéric Chantreuil Andrzej Tabeau , Myrna van Leeuwen ,
1
INRA-ESR, Rennes, France
2
Agricultural Economics Research Institute LEI B.V., Netherlands

Flexible quota constraints in positive mathematical programming models
Paper 140
Jeroen Buysse1, Bart Van der Straeten1, Dakerlia Claeys2, Ludwig Lauwers2 Fleur
Marchand2, Guido Van Huylenbroeck1
1
Ghent University, Department of Agricultural Economics, Ghent, Belgium
2
Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research, Social Sciences Unit, Merelbeke, Belguim

Making the world market price endogenous within the AGMEMOD modelling framework:
an econometric solution
Paper 131
Giulia Listorti, Roberto Esposti
Università Politecnica delle Marche, Italy

Defining elasticities for PMP models by estimating marginal cost functions based on FADN
Data – the case of Swiss dairy production
Paper 89
Gabriele Mack, Stefan Mann
Agroscope Reckenholz Tänikon Research Station ART, Switzerland
3
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Parallel session 1.3
Modelling water uses and policies
14:00 – 16:00; Room: Malaga
Chair: Julian Binfield
Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) University of Missouri–Columbia
(MU); USA

Estimating the effect of water charge introduction at small-scale irrigation schemes in
North West Province, South Africa
Paper 167
Stijn Speelman, Jeroen Buysse, Aymen Frija, Marijke D’Haese, Luc D’Haese
Department of Agricultural Economics, Ghent University, Belgium

DEA application to evaluate the technical and ecological efficiency of water pricing
policies
Paper 186
Giacomo Giannoccaro, M. Prosperi, G. Zanni
University of Foggia, Italy

Analysing water framework directive impacts using a multinomial logit land use model
Paper 27
1
1,
1
1
2
Carlo Fezzi , Ian J. Bateman Brett Day , Paulette Posen , Dan Rigby
1
CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
2
Department of Economics, School of Social Sciences, University of Manchester,
Manchester, UK

Alternative approaches on constructing a composite indicator to measure agricultural
sustainability
Paper 204
Jose A Gomez-Limon1, Laura Riesgo2
1
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Valladolid, Spain
2
Department of Economics. Pablo de Olavide University. Seville, Spain

Integrated participatory modelling of irrigated agriculture: the case study of the
reorganisation of a water management system in Italy
Paper 218
Guido Bazzani
National Research Council IBIMET, Bologna, Italy
Coffee break 16:00 – 16:30
NH hotel, Hall
4
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Poster session 1.1
Modelling agri-environmental issues
16:30 - 17:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: Tomas Ratinger
JRC – IPTS, European Commission, Sevilla, Spain

A spatially explicit model to analyse the regional supply of lignocellulosic biomass
Abstract 105
Laure Bamiere, Florence Jacquet
INRA, Grignon, France

Energy prices and agricultural systems
Linda Carroll1,2, Gerald Schwarz1, Graham Russell2, Ron Wilson2
1
University of Edinburgh, UK
2
The Macaulay Institute, UK

Modeling agricultural diffuse pollution: CAP - WFD interactions and cost-effectiveness of
measures
Paper 98
1, 2
2
2
Ioanna Mouratiadou , Cairistiona Topp , Dominic Moran
1
University of Edinburgh, UK
2
Scottish Agricultural College, UK

Protected horticulture and environment. An integral decision model for greenhouse waste
management in southeastern Spain
Paper 137
Salvador Parra Gómez
Andalusian Government, Department of Agriculture, Almería, Spain

Does intensity of change matter? Factors affecting adoption in two Agri-Environmental
Schemes
Paper 93
1
1
2
Jesús Barreiro Hurlé , María Espinosa Goded , Pierre Dupraz
1
Andalusian Agricultural Research Institute (IFAPA), Granada, Spain
2
INRA, Rennes, France

Modeling the bioeconomic impacts of co-management in Chilean artisanal fisheries
Paper 106
Mauro Arias Rojas, Eva Iglesias Martínez
Technical University of Madrid, Spain

A proposal of a logistics model for the use of biomass for energy for local communities
within the concept of sustainable rural development
Paper 58
Karol Wajszczuk, Rafał Baum, Witold Wielicki
Agricultural University of Poznan, Department of Management and Law, Poznań, Poland
5
Abstract 160
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Poster session 1.2
Modelling the CAP
16:30 - 17:30; Room: Marbella
Chair: Lubica Bartova
JRC – IPTS, European Commission, Sevilla, Spain

Modelling multifunctionality in Hungarian agriculture
Attila Jambor
Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary

Use of the Agri-environmental Footprint Index to evaluate the effectiveness of the Rural
Environment Protection Scheme (REPS) for Irish drystock and dairy farming Abstract 24
Geertrui Louwagie1, Gordon Purvis1, Greg Northey1 and John Finn2
1
University College Dublin, School of Biology and Environmental Science, Teagasc,
Johnstown Castle Research Centre, Ireland
2
UCD School of Biology and Environmental Science, Agriculture and Food Science Centre,
Dublin, Ireland

Modular data and model management for multi-user’s purposes: case of manure
allocation, disposal and abatement
Abstract 162
1
1
1
1
D.Claeys , L. Lauwers , F. Marchand , B. Vander Vennet , J. Van Meensel1, J. Buysse2,
B.Vanderstraeten2, G. Van Huylenbroeck2
1
Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research, Social Sciences Unit, Merelbeke, Belgium
2
Ghent University, Department of Agricultural Economics, Ghent, Belgium

Paper 196
Decoupling in Hungary: modelling the impacts on farm income and structural change
Abstract 194
Csaba Pesti, Szilárd Keszthelyi
Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary

Gross output and livestock sales modelling in Spanish extensive farms using PLSR
Paper 161
P. Gaspar1, F.J. Mesías1, M. Escribano2, F. Pulido1
1
Escuela de Ingenierías Agrarias, Universidad de Extremadura, Spain
2
Facultad de Veterinaria, Universidad de Extremadura, Spain

Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Swiss Agri-Environmental Measures on Sector Level
Paper 144
Christian Schader1, Jürn Sanders1, Frank Offermann2, Nic Lampkin3, Matthias Stolze1
1
Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), Frick, Switzerland
2
Institute of Farm Economics, Federal Agricultural Research Centre (FAL), Braunschweig,
Germany
3
Institute of Rural Studies, Aberystwyth University, Wales
6
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Poster session 1.3
Partial and general equilibrium models
16:30 -17:30; Room: Malaga
Chair: Bruno Henry de Frahan
Catholic University Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium

Analysis of impact on domestic agriculture of WTO market access policy with the Hami
Simulation model
Paper Poster 81
Jean Girardin
Federal Office for Agriculture, Bern, Switzerland

From partial equilibrium to general equilibrium models.- linking of databases by means of
entropy techniques
Abstract 178
Marc Müller, Ignacio Pérez Dominguez
JRC-IPTS, European Commission, Seville, Spain

The effect of Armington trade structure on welfare evaluations in global CGE-models
Paper 156
Leena Kerkelä
Government Institute for Economic Research (VATT), Helsinki, Finland

Optimal export taxes-the case of cocoa in Côte d'Ivoire
Paper 209
Kees Burger
Development Economics, Wageningen University, The Netherlands

Modelling the dynamics of production adjustment to short-term market shocks
Jarkko K. Niemi, Heikki Lehtonen
MTT Agrifood Research Finland, Helsinki, Finland

A GDX function for Excel
Alexander Gocht
University of Bonn (ILR), Germany
Paper 125
Abstract 184
7
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Parallel session 2.1
Sector modelling
17:45 - 19:15; Room: Amistad
Chair: Thomas Heckelei
University of Bonn, Germany

Imperfect competition in the fresh tomato industry
Paper
Mohamed Hadj Djelloul1, Vincent Réquillart2, Michel Simioni2
1
University of Poitiers, France
2
Toulouse School of Economics (GREMAQ-INRA, IDEI), France

Possible impact of the new Fruit and Vegetables CMO reform on the industrial tomato
supply chain in Italy
Paper Presentation 41
Filippo Arfini, Michele Donati, Corrado Giacomini.
University of Parma, Department of Economics, Italy

Modelling import demand systems with nonstationary data: an application to the French
imports of virgin olive oil
Paper 141
Monia Ben Kaabia1, José M. Gil2
1
Department of Economic Analysis, University of Zaragoza, Spain
2
CREDA-UPC-IRTA, Barcelona, Spain

Controlling Greenhouse Gas Emissions by means of Tradable Emissions Permits and the
Implications for Irish Farmers
Paper 185
James Breen
Rural Economy Research Centre Teagasc, Ireland
8
103
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Parallel session 2.2
Farm and household-level simulation models
17:45 - 19:15; Room: Marbella
Chair: Daniele Moro
Catholic University of Sacro Cuore, Piacenza, Italy

Assessing the sustainability of Irish farming
Paper
Emma Dillon, Thia Hennessy, Stephen Hynes, Verena Commins
Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland

Modelling economic alternatives for tobacco producers: the case of sheep farming
Paper 121
Irene Tzouramani1, Pavlos Karanikolas2, George Alexopoulos2, Alexandra Sintori1, Angelos
Liontakis1
1
Agricultural Economics and Policy Research Institute, National Agricultural Research
Foundation, Athens, Greece
2
Agricultural University of Athens, Greece

Estimating Input Allocation for Farm Supply Models
Paper 183
Alexander Gocht
University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics ILR, Germany

Modelling farms’ production decisions under expenditure constraints
Paper
1
2
Raushan Bokusheva , Subal Kumbhakar
1
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
2
State University of New York, Binghamton, USA
9
175
55
Wednesday – January 30th, 2008
Parallel session 2.3
Modelling biofuels production
17:45 - 19:15; Room: Malaga
Chair: Hans van Meijl
LEI, The Netherlands

Incorporating biofuels into a partial equilibrium model of the EU agricultural sector
Paper 107
1
1
2
Julian Binfield , Patrick Westhoff , Elodie Le Cadre
1
FAPRI at the University of Missouri; USA
2
Ecole Nationale Supérieure d’Agronomie de Rennes, France

Modelling Impacts of some European Biofuel Measures
Paper
67
Oliver von Ledebur1, Petra Salamon1, Andrei Zimmermann1; Myrna van Leeuven2, Andrej
Tabeau2; Frederic Chantreuil3
1
FAL - MA, Germany
2
LEI, The Netherlands
3
INRA, Rennes, France

Impact and competitiveness of EU biofuel market - First view of the prices of biofuel
market in relation to the global players
Paper 159
Xing Liu
MTT Agrifood Research Economic research, Helsinki, Finland

Effects of the New Biofuel Directive on EU Land Use and Agricultural Markets
Paper 202
Harald Grethe1, Martin Banse2
1
Humboldt-University of Berlin
2
LEI, The Netherlands
Cocktail. Hotel Alfonso XIII, 20:30 – 21:30
Visit of Real Alcazar 21:45 – 23:00
10
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Thursday - January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 3.1
Modelling milk quotas
9:00 – 10:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: Vincent Requillart
GREMAQ, INRA, Toulouse, France

Impact of the abolition of EU Milk quotas on Agriculture in the UK
Paper 75
Myles Patton1, Julian Binfield2, Joan Moss1, Philip Kostov3, Lichun Zhang3, John Davis1,
Patrick Westhoff2
1
Agri-Food and Biosciences Institute, Northern Ireland
2
FAPRI at the University of Missouri, USA
3
Queen’s University, Belfast, Ireland

Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on The Netherlands
Paper 102
Roel Jongeneel1, Axel Tonini2
1
Wageningen University, The Netherlands
2
Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS),
European Commission, Seville, Spain

The CAP and the Austrian Agricultural Sector: impacts of possible future milk market
regulations
Paper 152
Christoph Tribl
Federal Institute of Agricultural Economics, Vienna, Austria

An Examination of Milk Quota expansion at EU member State Level with specific
emphasis on Ireland
Paper 181
1
2
2
Julian Binfield , Trevor Donnellan , Kevin Hanrahan , Patrick Westhoff1
1
FAPRI at the University of Missouri, USA
2
Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland
11
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 3.2
Modelling factor markets
9:00 – 10:30; Room: Marbella
Chair: Chantal Lemouel
INRA, Rennes, France

Land markets in agent based models of structural change
Paper 129
Konrad Kellermann, Christoph Sahrbacher, Alfons Balmann.
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO),
Germany

Market imperfections and class structure: the case of South Africa Paper
Stefania Lovo
University of Sussex, Department of Economic, UK

Credit Market Imperfections and the Distribution of Policy Rents :The Common
Agricultural Policy in the New EU Member States
Paper 7
1,2
1
Pavel Ciaian , Johan F.M. Swinnen
1
K.U. Leuven, LICOS Centre for Institutions and Economic Performance, Belgium
2
Slovak Agricultural University in Nitra, Slovakia

Exploring the role of succession patterns in Central and Eastern Europe’s dualistic farm
structures
Paper 158
Hauke Schnicke, Kathrin Happe, Christoph Sahrbacher, Konrad Kellermann
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO)
12
74
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 3.3
Modelling agricultural policies at the regional level
9:00 – 10:30; Room: Malaga
Chair: Alessandro Sorrentino
Università degli Studi della Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy

Modelling Regional Agricultural Output Adjustments in Scotland in Response to CAP
Reform
Paper
22
Cesar Revoredo-Giha, Philip Leat, Catherine Milne
Land Economy and Environment Research Group, Scottish Agricultural College (SAC), UK

Evaluating changes in cropping patterns due to the 2003 CAP reform. An ex-post analysis
of different PMP approaches considering new activities
Paper 119
1
2
2
Maria Blanco Fonseca , Raffaele Cortignani , Simone Severini
1
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain
2
Università della Tuscia di Viterbo, Italy

SCENAR2020: Future of European Agriculture under Different Policy Options, the
economic modelling framework
Paper
25
Martin Banse, John Helming, Hans van Meijl, Peter Nowicki
Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI), The Hague, The Netherlands

Modeling Regional Alternative Management Scenarios With Future Climatic Change
Influence Accounting
Paper
90
Irina Romanenko
All Russian Research Institute for Agricultural Problems and Informatics, Moscow, Russia
Coffee break 10:30 – 11:00
NH hotel, Hall
13
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Plenary session 2
Challenges, issues and advances in modelling agricultural policies
11:00 - 12:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: Søren E. Frandsen
Food and Resource Economic Institute, Denmark

Why stochastics matter: Analyzing farm and biofuel policies
Paper
3
Patrick Westhoff, Scott Brown, Julian Binfield
Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) University of Missouri–Columbia
(MU); USA

Recent Developments in EU Policies - Challenges for Partial Equilibrium Models
Paper Presentation 4
Thomas Heckelei, Wolfgang Britz
University of Bonn, Germany
Lunch 12:30 – 14:00
NH hotel, Restaurant
Parallel session 4.1
Modelling trade policy reform
14:00 – 16:00; Room: Amistad
Chair: Tom Hertel
Purdue University, USA

Modelling dairy trade liberalisation with explicit account of tariff rate quotas
72
Alan Matthews, Marian Mraz
Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland.

Modelling the Effects of EU Sugar Market Liberalization on Area Allocation, Production
and Trade
Paper 201
1
2
3
Harald Grethe , Stephan Nolte , Martin Banse
1
Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany
2
University of Ghent
3
LEI, The Hague, The Netherlands

Agricultural policy (AP2011) Reform and the WTO: Potential Impacts on Swiss
Agriculture
Paper 168
Ali Ferjani
Agroscope Reckenholz-Tänikon Research Station ART. Switzerland

Impact assessment of trade liberalisation between EU and Mercosur countries
Paper
92
Lucie Weissleder , Marcel Adenäuer, Thomas Heckelei
Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, Germany.

Impact of the WTO liberalisation on organic farming in Switzerland
Paper
Jürn Sanders1,2, Nicolas Lampkin3, Matthias Stolze1
1
Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), Frick, Switzerland
14
195
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
2
3
Johann Heinrich von Thüssen Institute, Braunschweig, Germany
Institute of Rural Science, University of Wales, Aberystwyth, UK
Parallel session 4.2
Institutional economics and political economy issues
14:00 - 16:00; Room: Marbella
Chair: Alison Burrell
Wageningen University, The Netherlands

Rent Seeking and the Common Agricultural Policy: Do member countries free ride on
lobbying?
Paper 28
Hartley Furtan1, Maria Skovager Jensen2, Johannes Sauer3
1
University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada
2
University of Copenhagen, Denmark
3
Kent Business School, Imperial College London, Wye Campus, UK

Bargaining Structures in French dairy sector and impact of policy reforms
Paper
Jianyu Yu
GREMAQ, Toulouse School of Economics, France
63

Evaluating the potential contribution of contract auctions to AEP’s efficiency
Paper 114
Vittorio Gallerani, Meri Raggi, Davide Viaggi
University of Bologna, Italy

Agri-environmental schemes in the European Union: the role of ex ante costs
Paper 135
Jack Peerlings1, Nico Polman2
1
Wageningen University, Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, The Netherlands
2
Agricultural Economics Institute, The Hague, The Netherlands

Ex-ante evaluation of agri-environmental schemes: combining elements of private and
public decision making
Paper
53
Fabio Bartolini, Vittorio Gallerani, Davide Viaggi
University of Bologna, Italy
15
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 4.3
Modelling multifunctionality and sustainable rural development
14:00 - 16:00; Room: Malaga
Chair: Demetrios Psaltopoulos
Department of Economics, University of Patras, Greece

Impacts of Policy Reform on Sustainability of Hill farming in UK by means of Bioeconomic Modelling
Paper
62
1
2
Szvetlana Acs , Marin Dallimer , Philip Robertson, Kevin Gaston, Paul R. Armsworth2, Nick
Hanley1
1
Department of Economics, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK
2
Department of Animal & Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK

On the Inclusion of Nature and its Dynamics in Farmers’ Objective Functions for Eco-System
Service Provision: A New Strategy in Bio-Economic Modelling
Paper
76
Ernst-August Nuppenau
Department of Agricultural Economics. Justus-Liebig-University, Giessen, Germany

Modelling Policies for Multifunctional Agriculture and Rural Development - a Norwegian
Approach
Paper 205
Karen Refsgaard, Sjur Spildo Prestegard
Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Norway

Modelling Policies for Multifunctional Agriculture and Rural Development in a Remote
EU Region (Caithness & Sutherland, Scotland UK)
Paper 170
Holger Bergmann, Ken Thomson
University of Aberdeen, Scotland, UK

Winners and Loosers of Policy Changes – What is the Role of Structural Change?
Paper 180
Christoph Sahrbacher, Konrad Kellermann, Alfons Balmann
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO),
Germany
Coffee break 16:00 – 16:30
NH hotel, Hall
16
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Poster session 2.1
Modelling agricultural policy changes and efficiency issues
16:30 - 17:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: Jarmila Curtiss
JRC – IPTS, European Commission, Sevilla, Spain

Performances and efficiencies of the irrigation water users' associations: the case of
Tunisia
Paper Poster 95
Aymen Frija1, Stijn Speelman1, Ali Chebil2, Jeroen Buysse1, Guido Van Huylenbroeck1
1
Department of Agricultural Economics, Gent University, Belgium
2
Institut National de Recherches en Génie Rural, Eaux et Forets (INRGREF), Tunis, Tunisie

Dairy Farms without Quotas: an Experiment with a Flexible Cost Function Abstract 187
Bruno Henry de Frahan1, Alexandre Baudry1, Phillippe Polomé2, Richard Howitt3
1
Université catholique do Louvain, Louvain La Neuve, Belgium
2
GATE, CNRS, National centre of scientific research, UMR, Univerisité Lyon, France
3
University of California, Davis, USA

Modelling the effect of EU policy reforms on farm investment behaviour
Vittorio Gallerani1, Sergio Gomez y Paloma2, M. Raggi1, Davide Viaggi1
1
University of Bologna, Italy
2
JRC – IPTS, European Commission, Seville, Spain

Modelling EU Agricultural Policy Based on Firm Level Data: From direct payment to the
single payment
Abstract 23
Carmen Murillo1, Carlos San Juan2, Stefan Sperlich3
1
Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain
2
Departamento de Economía, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain
3
Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie, Georg August Universität of Göttingen, Germany

Comparison of agricultural farm efficiency in Slovak regions before and after EU
accession
Paper 171
Zlata Sojkova, Zlata Kropkova, Stefan Kovac
Slovak Agricultural University in Nitra, Slovakia


Paper 50
Assessing the Impacts of the CAP Reform on Rural Areas via Supply-Driven Analysis
Abstract 155
Kostadinos Mattas1, M. Tsakiri1, S. Loizou2
1
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece
2
TEI of Western Macedonia
Evaluation and modelling of agri-environmental measures in Poland
Jadwiga Ziolkowska
Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany
17
Abstract 51
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Poster session 2.2
Modelling the agri-food sector and agricultural policies, country case studies
16:30 - 17:30; Room: Marbella
Chair: Frederic Chantreuil
INRA, Rennes, France

Impact of phasing out EU milk quotas on structure and production of Finnish dairy sector
Paper 211
Heikki Lehtonen
MTT Agrifood Research Finland, Helsinki, Finland

Modelling the linkage between primary agriculture and the food industry in Norway
Abstract 66
Klaus Mittenzwei1, Ivar Gaasland2
1
Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Oslo, Norway
2
Institute for Research in Economics and Business Administration, Bergen, Norway

Structural equation models for the hierarchization of activities in the supply and
distribution of origin-certified foods
Paper 154
Mercedes Sánchez, Ramo Barrena
Public University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain

Adoption of organic farming in Tunisia: The case of olive oil sector
M. Abderraouf Laajimi, Jamel Ben Nasr
Institut National Agronomique de Tunisie, Tunisia

Modelling investments decisions at firm level: Dutch glasshouse horticulture Abstract 84
Natalia V. Goncharova1, Arie Oskam1,2, Jos A.A.M.Verstegen1,2
1
Wageningen University, The Netherlands
2
Agricultural Economics Research Institute, The Netherlands

Turkey´s Accession to the European Union: implications for agricultural sectors
Paper 212
Orhan Karaca, George Philippidis
Centre of Agrofood Research and Technology (CITA), Government of Aragón, Spain
18
Abstract 127
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Poster session 2.3
Modelling agriculture and rural development and agricultural policies
16:30 - 17:30; Room: Malaga
Chair: Petr Havlík
Forestry Programme, IIASA, Austria

Modelling Structural Change among Small Family Farms
Abstract 37
Claire G. Jack1, Joan E. Moss1, Michael T.Wallace2
1
Department of Agricultural and Food Economics, Agri-Food and Biosciences Institute,
Belfast, UK
2
Department of Agribusiness, Extension and Rural Development, University College,
Dublin, Ireland

Effects of off-farm activities on household farm investments
Arvid Raknerud1, Øyvind Hoveid2
1
Statistics Norway
2
Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute

Expert Opinion versus Transaction Evidence: Using the Reilly Index to Measure Open
Space premiums in the Urban-Rural Fringe
Paper 10
Geerte Cotteleer1, Tracy Stobbe2, G. Cornelis van Kooten2
1
Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Department of Social Sciences,
Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, The Netherlands
2
Department of Economics, University of Victoria, Canada

Theoretical and policy background to the TOP-MARD project (towards a policy model of
multifunctional agriculture and rural development)
Paper 193
1
1
2
John Bryden , Amaia Arandia , Tom Johnson
1
UHI Policy web, Scotland
2
University of Missouri-Columbia, USA

Mid Term Evaluation of RDPs in Italy: Comparing models
Vincenzo Fucilli, Giuseppe De Blasi, Claudio Acciani
University of Bari, Italy

Irrigation Water Value Scenarios for 2015: Application to Guadalquivir River Paper 214
M. A. Mesa-Jurado, J.M. Pistón, G. Giannocaro, J. Berbel
University of Cordoba, Department of Agricultural Economics, Cordoba, Spain

Combining AHP and GIS modelling to evaluate the suitability of agricultural lands for
restoration
Abstract 26
Manuel Arriaza, Olexandr Nekhay
IFAPA, Department of Agricultural Economics, Cordoba, Spain
19
Abstract
Paper
164
30
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 5.1
Modelling of rural development policies
17:45 – 19:15; Room: Amistad
Chair: Davide Viaggi
Università di Bologna, Italy

Modeling the rural-urban effects of changes in agricultural policies: A bi-regional CGE
analysis of two case study regions
Paper 165
Eudokia Balamou1, Kostas Pouliakas2, Deborah Roberts2, Demetrios Psaltopoulos1
1
Department of Economics, University of Patras, Greece
2
Business School, University of Aberdeen, Scotland

A System Dynamics Model of Agriculture and Rural Development: The TOPMARD Core
Model
Paper 192
Thomas G. Johnson 1, John Bryden2, Karen Refsgaard3, Sara Alva Lizarraga
1
University of Missouri – Columbia, USA
2
UHI Policy Web, Scotland
3
Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Norway

Agritourism flows to Italy: an analysis of determinants using the gravity model approach
Paper
29
Fabio Gaetano Santeramo1, Antonio Seccia2, Giuseppe De Blasi2, Domenico Carlucci2
1
Department of Agricultural Economics and Policy - University of Napoli , Italy
2
Department of Agricultural Economics and Policy, Evaluation and Rural Planning,
University of Bari, Italy

Agriculture’s contribution to rural viability: an approach to estimate regional economic
impacts of agricultural policy in Swiss case study regions
Paper 197
Birgit Kopainsky, Christian Flury, Gianluca Guiliani
Flury&Guiliani GmbH, Zurich, Switzerland

Energy Use in Agriculture: A Modeling Approach to Evaluate Energy Reduction Policies
Paper 157
Markus Kempen, Tim Kraenzlein
Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, Germany
20
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 5.2
Modelling agricultural policy changes: country case study
17:45 – 19:15; Room: Marbella
Chair: Martin Banse
Agricultural Economics Research Institute LEI, The Hague, Netherlands

Effects of agri-environmental measures and changes in EU single farm payments for
Dutch agriculture
Paper 20
J.F.M. Helming, R.A.M. Schrijver
Agricultural Economics Research Institute LEI, The Hague, Netherlands

The MODERE Model and the Economic Analysis of Farmers' Decisions
Paper
Carlos Mario Gómez, Carlos Gutierrez
1
Universidad de Alcala, Spain
2
Universidad de Córdoba, Spain


Modeling the impact of food safety information on meat demand in Spain
Paper
1
1
2
1
Amr Radwan , José M. Gil , Monia Ben Kaabia , Teresa Serra
1
CREDA-UPC-IRTA, Barcelona, Spain
2
Universidad de Zaragoza, Spain
216
31
The effect of the new Single Farm Payment in Irrigated Agriculture: the case of Spain
Paper
42
Azucena Gracia, Tiziana de Magistris, Jose Maria Casado
Centro de Investigación y Tecnología Agroalimentaria de Aragón (CITA), Zaragoza, Spain
21
Thursday – January 31st, 2008
Parallel session 5.3
Modelling the impact of policy changes at the farm level
17:45 – 19:15; Room: Malaga
Chair: Cornelis Gardebroek
Wageningen University, The Netherlands

Farm-level data model for agricultural policy analysis: a two-way ECM approach
Paper 112
Paolo Sckokai, Daniele Moro, Silvia Platoni
Istituto di Economia Agro-alimentare, Università Cattolica, Piacenza, Italy

The economic viability of biomass crops versus conventional agricultural systems and its
potential impact on farm incomes in Ireland
Paper 200
Daragh Clancy1, James Breen1, Anne Marie Butler2, Fiona Thorne1
1
Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland
2
University College Dublin, Ireland

Evaluating the Effects of Farm Programs: An Application of a Matching Estimator
Paper
35
1
2
Andrea Pufahl , Christoph Weiss
1
Federal Agricultural Research Center (FAL), Braunschweig, Germany
2
Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, Austria

A farm level analysis of the impact of milk quota reform: integrating econometric
estimation with optimisation models
Paper 198
James Breen, Trevor Donnellan, Thia Hennessy, Fiona Thorne
Teagasc, Rural Economy Research Centre, Ireland

Modelling the Hungarian Agriculture: a methodological overview of the FARM-T model
Paper 139
Mihály Himics
Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, Budapest, Hungary
Flamenco Show 21:00 – 22:00
22
Friday – February 1st, 2008
Friday – February 1st, 2008
Parallel session 6.1
Modelling efficiency issues
9:00 – 10:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: Raushan Bokusheva
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, ETH Zurich, Switzerland

Efficiency in Agricultural Production of Biodiversity: Organic vs. Conventional Practices
Paper 176
Timo Sipiläinen1, Per-Olov Marklund2, Anni Huhtala1
1
MTT Agrifood Research Finland, Helsinki, Finland
2
Centre for Regional Science, CERUM, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

Technical Efficiency of the Crop Farms under the Various CAP Reforms: Empirical
Studies for Germany, Greece, the Netherlands and Sweden
Paper
21
Xueqin Zhu, Alfons Oude Lansink.
Wageningen University, The Netherlands

An Examination of the Relationship Between Subsidies on Production and Technical
Efficiency in Agriculture: The Case of Cotton Producers in Greece
Paper 99
Grigorios Emvalomatis1, 2, Alfons Oude Lansink2, Spiro E. Stefanou1,2
1
The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural
Sociology, USA
2
Wageningen University, Business Economics Group, The Netherlands

Determinants of part-time farming and its effect on farm productivity and efficiency
Paper
47
Gudbrand Lien1, Subal C. Kumbhakar2, J. Brian Hardaker3
1
Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Oslo, Norway
2
Department of Economics, State University of New York, Binghamton,USA
3
School of Business, Economics and Public Policy, University of New England, Armidale,
Australia
23
Friday – February 1st, 2008
Parallel session 6.2
Modelling CAP reform
9:00 – 10:30; Room: Marbella
Chair: Trevor Donnellan
Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland

Effects of a flat rate introduction: shifts in farm activity and impact on farmers' income
Paper 117
1
2
3
1
Fleur L. Marchand , J. Buysse , V, Campens , D. Claeys , B. Fernagut1, L. Lauwers1, B.
Vander Straeten1, G. Van Huylenbroeck2
1
Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research, Merelbeke, Belgium
2
Ghent University, Department of Agricultural Economics, Belgium
3
Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Division for Agricultural Policy Analysis,
Brussels, Belgium

A Mixed Geographically Weighted Approach to Decoupling and Rural Development in the
EU-15
Paper
36
1
2
Francesco Pecci , Maria Sassi
1
Dipartimento di Economie, Società ed Istituzioni – University of Verona, Italy
2
Dipartimento di Ricerche Aziendali – University of Pavia, Italy

Modelling the effectiveness of cross-compliance under asymmetric information
Paper
45
Fabio Bartolini, Vittorio Gallerani, Meri Raggi, Davide Viaggi
University of Bologna, Italy

The Effects of Single Farm Payments on Scottish agriculture: A CGE modelling approach
Paper 177
Ayele Gelan, Gerald Schwarz
The Macaulay Institute, UK
24
Friday – February 1st, 2008
Parallel session 6.3
Modelling policies in a spatial context
9:00 – 10:30; Room: Malaga
Chair: Paolo Sckokai
Istituto di Economia Agro-alimentare, Università Cattolica, Piacenza, Italy

Spatially explicit farming system modelling for an efficient agri-environmental policy
design
Paper 145
Petr Havlík1, Laure Bamière2, Florence Jacquet2, Guy Millet2
1
Forestry Programme, IIASA, Austria
2
UMR Economie publique, INRA Grignon, France

EU-wide spatial down-scaling of results of regional economic models to analyze
environmental impacts
Paper 111
Wolfgang Britz
Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Joint Research Centre, European Commission,
Ispra, Italy & Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University Bonn, Germany

The future of the world sugar market - A spatial price equilibrium analysis
Paper
Stephan Nolte
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Ghent, Belgium

91
Revenue and cost functions in PMP: a methodological integration for a territorial analysis
of CAP
Paper 39
Filipo Arfini1, Mechele Donati1, Luigi Grossi2, Quirino Paris3
1
University of Parma, Italy
2
University of Verona, Italy
3 University of California, Davis, USA
Coffee break 10:30 – 11:00
NH hotel, Hall
25
Friday – February 1st, 2008
Plenary session 3
Challenges, issues and advances in modelling agricultural policies
11:00 – 12:30; Room: Amistad
Chair: José Maria Gil
CREDA-UPC-IRTA, Barcelona, Spain


Dynamic micro-econometric approaches to analysing agricultural policy
Paper
Cornelis Gardebroek, Alfons G.J.M. Oude Lansink
Department of Social Sciences, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
Market and policy issues in micro-econometric demand modelling Paper
Daniele Moro
Catholic University of Sacro Cuore, Piacenza, Italy
Lunch 12:30 – 14:00
NH hotel, Restaurant
Field Trip 14:30 – 20:00
La Puebla de Cazalla
26
5
6
Tuesday - January 29th 2008, 16:00 -18:00
Pre-seminar session
Quantitative Assessment of Biofuel Policies
Edificio Expo (IPTS), Sala Lisboa, floor S-1, calle Inca Garcilaso s/n, Isla de la Cartuja,
Sevilla (see location on the map below)
Organizer: Joint Research Centre - Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, European
Commission, Sevilla, Spain
Chair: Ignacio Pérez Domínguez
JRC - IPTS, Seville

Introduction
Robert M'Barek
AGRILIFE Unit, JRC – IPTS, Sevilla Spain

Review of Existing Methodologies related to the Representation of Biofuels and Biomass
Production in Economic Models
P. Witzke1, M. Banse2, H. Gömann3, T. Heckelei4, I. Perez5
1
EuroCARE, Bonn
2
LEI, The Netherlands
3
FAL, Germany
4
University of Bonn, Germany
5
JRC – IPTS, European Commission, Sevilla, Spain

Impact of EU Biofuel Policies on World Agricultural and Food Markets
Paper
Banse, M., H. van Meijl, A. Tabeau, G. Woltjer
LEI, The Netherlands
301

Analysing the Implication of the EU 20-10-20 Targets for World Vegetable Oil Production
with the GLOBE Model
Paper 300
S. H. Gay, M. Müller, F. Santuccio
JRC - IPTS, European Commission, Seville, Spain
•
Model-based analysis of biofuel support policies
T. Wiesenthal, B. Schade, P. Christidis, G. Leduc, L. Pelkmans, L. Govaerts
C&S Unit, JRC-IPTS, European Commission, Seville, Spain
27
Useful Information
Cocktail. Hotel Alfonso XIII
January 30th, 2008, 20:30 – 21:30
The cocktail will take place at Alfonso XIII Hotel, located at Puerta de Jérez Square.
Alfonso XIII Hotel is approximately 20 minutes walk from NH Convenciones Hotel. Follow the
map to find the way.
You can also take buses numbers 25 or 26 at the right side of Enramadilla Street, just besides the
Economics Faculty (second street left, if you take Diego Martinez Barrio street and go to the
north). The last stop of these buses is at Puerta Jerez Square, just besides the Alfonso XIII Hotel.
The cost of a single bus ticket is 1.10 euros.
Visit of Reales Alcázares. Guided tour
January 30th, 2008, 21:45 – 23:00
After the cocktail a guided tour is arranged of the Reales Alcázares (see map). For this visit
please meet at the Alfonso XIII Entrance, at 21:45 hrs. The tour will last until 23:00 hrs.
Field Trip
February 1st, 2008, 14:30 – 20:00
Visit of the cooperative “Nuestra Señora de las Virtudes”, La Puebla de Cazalla
In the field trip we will visit the agricultural cooperative Nuestra Señora de las Virtudes. This
Cooperative grows olive trees and produces olive oil "Soberbio". It is located in La Puebla de
Cazalla, a town close to Sevilla city
http://www.pueblacazalla.com/ayto/paginas/turismo/turismo.htm
The buses will pick up participants at the conference venue at 14:30 hrs. The journey will take
about 1 hour to arrive at La Puebla de Cazalla. A guided visit to the cooperative is organised.
After this visit, we will go for a walk in La Puebla de Cazalla town. At 20:00 hrs we will return
to Sevilla.
If you are interested in attending the field trip please contact Laura Riesgo by email laurariesgo@upo.es before the seminar or the Registration desk during the
seminar by Lunch on Thursday, January 31st.
28
29
30