Overview of Indonesia’s Post-Independence History I. Democracy: The Sukarno Era A. Political Regime and Participation: Weak Democracy, Powerful Social Forces 1. A “Titanic Battle of Ideologies” Contest over visions of the nation Islamic (NU, Masyumi)(The Jakarta Charter 1945) Communist (PKI) Secular Nationalist (PNI/Military) High degree of popular mobilization and support for each of these Sukarno’s attempted solutions: Pancasila, Nasakom, and Guided Democracy The outcome: coup and massacres of 1965, the military on top 2. Parliamentary Democracy, 1949-1957 Short-lived 1950 constitution provided for election of a parliament First (and only) elections in 1955 – 16 parties, none with more than 22% Unstable governments – 7 in 7 years Factionalism and deadlock Weak, new political institutions, and inexperienced democrats 3. Guided Democracy, 1957-1965 Suharto’s solution was to dissolve parliament, declare martial law, and reinstate 1945 constitution with strong executive Concentrates power in himself Depends on his ability to delicately balance rival ideologies With his failing health, the tension erupts in 1965 B. Center-Periphery Relations: Rebellion 1. Source of Tension Centralization (and Javanization) of power in a unitary structure Centralization (and Javanization) under Guided democracy Central control of natural resources 2. Rebellions Dar’ul Islam Rebellion Sulawesi Rebellion RMS Rebellion PRRI Rebellion 3. Military response General Nasution Military’s rise to power Successfully represses every rebellion C. Economy: Instability and Crisis Steady decline in the Indonesian economy Partly due to destruction of WWII and debt inherited from the Dutch Partly due to political instability and conflict Partly due to poor economic policies (nationalization of Dutch and Chinese industries, anti-foreign investment, etc) By 1965, hyperinflation reaches 500% II. Dictatorship: The Suharto Era and the New Order A. Political Regime and Participation: Patrimonial Dictatorship 1. Suharto and the Military Suharto and the military become the most powerful political actors The relationship between Suharto and the military is a patrimonial one Rewarding loyalty Encouraging factionalism and competition over spoils The military’s economic role The curious role of the “technocrats” in a patrimonial regime Sadli’s law: “bad times bring good policies” 2. Controlled popular participation Elections are continued to provide legitimacy, but Golkar is bound to win legislative elections, and Suharto is bound to win Presidential elections Party Reform of 1973 – forming 2 (controlled) parties out of 9 PPP (the Islamic parties) and PDI (the Nationalist and Christian parties) The special role of Golkar, the government’s party B. Center-Periphery Relations: Centralization 1. Reducing the autonomy of the military Military had led most of the rebellions of the Sukarno Era Purging left-leaning and/or disloyal officers Rotating regional military commanders (eliminating independent base of power) Outside Java, no native of a region can be assigned as commander of that region 2. Law 5 of 1974 – “Government in the Regions” Regional governments become administrative extensions of the central government Two parallel structures created, at both the provincial and district levels – one was a “top-down” structure (the provincial or district “administration”) and one was a “bottom-up” structure (the provincial or district “government”) All fiscal resources and executive power controlled by the “administration” (and thus, effectively, by the central government) The executive (governor) of the province is appointed by the center (most appointees were from the military) The “provincial government” had its own legislature and bureaucracy, but was entirely dependent on the center for revenue C. Economy: Rapid Growth 1. Economic growth averaged nearly 7% over 30 years 2. Role of the technocrats Starting in 1966, Suharto gave space to the technocrats to bring hyperinflation under control and jump start economic growth. At every crisis, the technocrat’s are given power (Sadli’s Law) 3. Role of oil and natural gas After oil price rises in 1970s, oil provided substantial revenue to the government (as well as the military) to fund development projects After price decline in 1980s, forced to diversify the economy 4. The Asian Financial Crisis of 1997 III. Democracy: The Post-New Order A. Political Regime and Participation: Genuine Democracy? 1. At first, same regime (1945 constitution) but new leaders B.J. Habibie (Suharto’s VP) succeeds Suharto in May 1998 Elections arranged for June 1999 (first free and fair elections since 1955) PDI-P (Megawati’s Party) wins a plurality of seats But, by compromise, Wahid is appointed president by the MPR, while Megawati becomes VP After two years of conflict between Wahid and the DPR, Wahid is impeached in July 2001 Megawati becomes president 2. New parties 48 parties contested the 1999 elections Five largest parties: PDI-P (Megawati) (33.7%) Golkar (22.4%) PKB (Wahid) (12.6%) PPP (Hamzah Haz) (10.7%) PAN (Amien Rais) (7.11%) 3. Reforms to the structure of Indonesian democracy Overall, decrease in the power of the MPR, increase in that of the DPR Direct presidential elections starting 2004 (no longer appointed by the MPR) Decrease in number of seats in the MPR (1000 to 700) Decrease representation of military in DPR/MPR (100 to 75 and then to 38) Military did not involve itself with Golkar in 1999 elections Civil servants no longer compelled to vote for Golkar B. Center-Periphery Relations: Decentralization 1. The decentralization laws of 1999 Laws 22 and 25 of 1999 Decision-making and revenue collecting powers to the district (not province) 2. Civil conflict and secession in the periphery Secessionist movements heat up – Aceh, West Papua, East Timor (successful) Other civil conflict breaks out Muslim-Christian violence in the Moluccas and Sulawesi Dayak-Madurese conflict in Kalimantan 3. Decline in the power of the Indonesian state? C. Economy: Recovery? 1. Dealing with the legacies of the Asian Financial Crisis 2. Economic impact of terrorism and the Bali bombing 3. In 2002, Indonesian economy grew at 3.6% Core Questions about Dictatorship and Democracy Why did the first democratic experiment fail? Why did the authoritarian regime fail? What obstacles confront the new democracy?