Oil Spill Impacts on NGoM Fisheries and Food Webs: An Observational Study Investigators: Brian Fry (PI), Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge LA 70803; tel. 225 578 9403, fax -6326; bfry@lsu.edu Don Baltz (co-PI), Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge LA 70803; tel. 225 578 6512, fax - 6513; dbaltz@lsu.edu Dubravko Justic (co-PI), Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge LA 70803; tel. 225 578 6394, fax - 6513; djusti1@lsu.edu Nan Walker (co-PI), Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge LA 70803; tel. 225 578 2520, fax - 6513; nwalker@lsu.edu Ed Chesney, (co-PI), Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium Defelice Center, 8124 Highway 56, Chauvin, Louisiana 70344; tel 985-851-2800, fax – 2874; echesney@lumcon.edu. A. Objectives The Macondo 252 oil spill was long enough and large enough that managers and scientists alike think that substantial ecosystem impacts are possible in the Northern Gulf of Mexico. Our research team proposes a new project under the Phase II umbrella focused on offshore fisheries that are routinely surveyed by the NOAA SEAMAP (Southeast Area Monitoring and Assessment) program. We will work with this program to collect new samples and compare them to historical collections to address the question, “Did the Macondo 252 Oil Spill result in large scale perturbation of the NGoM ecosystem structure or function?”. We seek to identify changes in the following four ways. 1. Spatial domain and chlorophyll (Justic and Walker). The spatial pattern of oil spreading in the NGoM will be simulated and verified with existing hydrodynamic models and remote sensing methods. The domain of the research is the Louisiana and Texas shelf system adjacent to and to the west of the Macondo site. Spread of oil will be simulated under 2010 conditions, but also under longer-term average conditions that may move oil across the study area in coming years. We will check the model output using images from remote sensing. We will also use remote sensing to assess changes in pigments attributable to the oil spill and compare 2010 estimates to those from previous years. This activity will generate maps of potential primary productivity that can be compared across years for any large-scale phytoplankton productivity changes due to the oil spill. 2. Fisheries Biomass and Species Composition (Baltz and Chesney). SEAMAP conducts summer and fall trawl groundfish surveys for the Texas and Louisiana shelf ecosystems, systems adjacent to and to the west of the Macondo site. SEAMAP collections were made this year (2010), the year of the spill, and collections this year and the coming summer of 2011 will be compared to data from previous years to test for oil-related changes in fisheries biomass and species composition. This work with SEAMAP community patterns is a first step in assessing fisheries dynamics and possible recruitment failures related to this large oil spill. Much community-level data has been summarized for years prior to 2000 (Chesney et al. 2000, Chesney and Baltz 2001) and we propose to update these summaries to see if there was a detectable effect in 2010 possibly due to the oil spill. 3. Trophic structure (Baltz and Fry). New fisheries samples will be collected in summer of 2011 for stable isotope analysis of common consumers in NGoM food webs, to test for changes in trophic levels and oil incorporation into offshore food webs. Collections will be made at 9 sites, 3 sites close to the oil spill site east of the Mississippi River (MR), 3 sites similarly close to the MR but to the west on the Louisiana shelf and 3 in Texas waters that are expected to be relatively unimpacted. Animals will be measured for stable CNS isotope composition (Fry 2008) and data used with fisheries biomass and species lists to examine large-scale changes that could be related to the oil spill. Some samples will be analyzed for natural abundance 14C that directly tracks oil incorporation into food webs, so that direct use of oil can be identified over larger spatial scales in the NGoM. (Oil is a geologically old substance and lacks 14C that has long-since decayed away, so that oil incorporation into food webs appears labels animals with low 14C values; Spies and DesMarais 1983, Pearson et al. 2008). 4. Indicator Species and Maps (Fry and Chesney). Both brown shrimp (Farfantepenaeus aztecus) and menhaden (Brevoortia patronus) are the basis of important commercial fisheries in NGoM areas near the oil spill site. For both species, archival material is present for analyzing stable isotopes to detect changes in food webs, with brown shrimp representing the demersal benthic food web (Fry 2008) and menhaden representing the planktonic food web (Vaughan et al. 2007). For menhaden, scales have been routinely collected by NOAA over the last several decades and are archived at Beaufort NC (Joseph Smith and Bruce Vaughan, personal communication). For brown shrimp, samples were collected extensively along the Louisiana shelf in 2005 and 2006 (Fry, in review). These brown shrimp and menhaden samples can be analyzed as historical reference points for pre-spill isotopes, for comparison to new collections ongoing now and proposed here for summer 2011. Some 14C work will directly test for oil incorporation into food webs for these indicator species, and some animals will be analyzed for oil compounds (e.g. PAHs) where oil may be entering food webs. In addition to these indicator species that are mobile, barnacles and stomach contents from shrimp also will be collected at >30 sites to generate location-specific isotope maps to track spread of oil from the Macondo 252 block west across the Louisiana shelf. Oil entry into food webs and indicator species should be detectable as low 14C, low 13C, and moderate-to-high 15N due to microbial links and processing of oil (Spies and Desmarais 1983, Coffin et al. 1997, Slater et al. 2005, Pearson 2008) Summary objectives. The proposed work encompasses large spatial and temporal scales using decades of data and collections from the Louisiana and Texas shelves to test for “largescale perturbations” in fisheries and fisheries food webs. The work could seem correlative, but the isotope and chemical PAH analyses provide an important additional tracer for isolating and identifying specific effects due to oil. This project focused on Louisiana fisheries and food webs will complement ongoing NGI work off the Florida panhandle conducted by FSU. The work is expensive but involves a large team needed to do justice to the large spill – if we don’t look broadly and carefully with interdisciplinary efforts, we may miss important offshore oil spill impacts. 2 B. Methods a) Modeling. We will use satellite imagery and an existing 3-dimensional hydrodynamic model (Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model, Justic and Wang, 2009, Wang and Justic, 2009) to identify the regions most impacted by the oil spill. b) Remote Sensing. The remote sensing will be performed by faculty, staff, and students of the LSU Earth Scan Laboratory, a receiving station and image processing facility for real-time and archival satellite data. Products (SST, true color, chlorophyll a) will be generated in real-time as the data is acquired and the quicklooks and data files (hdfs) will be made available on the ESL WEB in near real-time (www.esl.lsu.edu). For this project, additional products will be developed to monitor pigments (chlorophyll a) in the northern Gulf of Mexico from April 2010 through August 2011 (Walker and Rabalais 2006). We anticipate using the MODIS and MERIS sensors to map pigments. Weekly and monthly compositing will be used to remove cloud contamination. The remote sensing data will be used to interpret fisheries patterns as well as to skill assess numerical modeling activities. c) Fishery species and community composition. Multivariate techniques will be used along with simple statistics to compare regions and years for oil impacts (Chesney and Baltz 2001, Chesney et al. 2000, Roth and Baltz 2009). d) Trophic structure, indicator species and isotopes. Isotope indicators of food webs will be measured with standard techniques (Fry 2008) and interpreted in terms of basal food resources, trophic level and oil inputs (Spies and DesMarais 1983, Fry 2006). Isotopes in fish scales will be analyzed and interpreted following procedures used by Trueman and Moore (2007). PAHs will be analyzed by the laboratory of Dr. Ed Overton. References: Chesney, E.J. and D.M. Baltz. 2001. The effects of hypoxia on the northern Gulf of Mexico coastal ecosystem: a fisheries perspective, pp. 321-354. In: N.N. Rabalais and R.E. Turner (eds.), Coastal Hypoxia: Consequences for Living Resources and Ecosystems, Coastal and Estuarine Studies v. 58. American Geophysical Union, Washington D.C. Chesney, E.J., D.M. Baltz and R.G. Thomas. 2000. Louisiana estuarine and coastal fisheries and habitats: perspectives from a fish’s eye view. Ecological Applications 10:350-366. Coffin, R.B., L.A. Cifuentes, and P.H. Pritchard. 1997. Assimilation of oil-derived carbon and remedial nitrogen applications by intertidal food chains on a contaminated beach in Prince William Sound, Alaska. Marine Environmental Research 44: 27-39. Fry, B. 2006. Stable isotope ecology. Springer, New York. Fry, B. 2008. Importance of open bays as nurseries for Louisiana brown shrimp. Estuaries and Coasts 31:776-789. Justic, D., and L. Wang. 2009. Application of Unstructured-Grid Finite Volume Coastal Ocean 3 Model (FVCOM) to the Gulf of Mexico Hypoxic Zone. Proceedings of the 2009 MTS/IEEE conference, Ocean Technology for Our Future: Global and Local Challenges, 26-29 October 2009, Biloxi, Mississippi, MTS, ISBN No. 978-0-933957-38-1. Pearson, A., K.S. Kraunz, A.L. Sessions, A.E. Dekas, W.D. Leavitt and K.J. Edwards. 2008. Quantifying microbial utilization of petroleum hydrocarbons in salt marsh sediments by using the 13C content of bacterial rRNA. Applied and Environmental Microbiology 74:1157-1166. Roth, A. F. and D. M. Baltz. 2009. Short-term effects of an oil spill on marsh-edge fishes and decapod crustaceans. Estuaries and Coasts 32:565-572. Slater, G.F., H.K. White, T.I. Eglinton and C.M. Reddy. 2005. Determination of microbial carbon sources in petroleum contaminated sediments using molecular 14C analysis. Environmental Science and Technology 39:2552-2558. Spies, R.B. and D.J. DesMarais. 1983. Natural isotope study of trophic enrichment of marine benthic communities by petroleum seepage. Marine Biology 73:67-71. Trueman, C.N., and A. Moore. 2007. Use of stable isotope composition of fish scales for monitoring aquatic ecosystems. Terrestrial Ecology 1:145-161. Vaughan, D.S., K.W. Shertzer, and J.W. Smith. 2007. Gulf menhaden (Brevooria patronus) in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico: Fishery characteristics and biological reference points for management. Fisheries Research 83:263-275. Walker, N.D. and N. N. Rabalais. 2006. Relationships among satellite chlorophyll a, river inputs and hypoxia on the Louisiana continental shelf, Gulf of Mexico, Estuaries and Coasts 9:1-13. Wang, L., and D. Justic. 2009. A modeling study of the physical processes affecting the development of seasonal hypoxia over the inner Louisiana-Texas shelf: Circulation and stratification. Continental Shelf Research 29: 1464-1476. C. Costs Budget Period: 1 year, January 01 –December 31, 2011. We have estimated a preliminary budget of about 250k. Budget Justification. One month of summer salary is requested for Fry, Baltz and Walker to oversee the project. Funds are also requested 4 RAs and 2 student workers. This personnel will work together to collect and analyze the samples, compare results to pre-spill conditions and prepare reports and publications. Travel and operating funds are requested to cover collections and presentations at meetings. Supplies are requested for isotope determinations and for purchase of computers. Natural abundance radiocarbon analyses and oil contaminant analyses needed to pinpoint oil contributions but these analyses are expensive (about $600/sample done at specialized labs). Special funds (38k) are requested for these analyses. 4 . Requested Funds A. Salaries and Wages 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. I. J. K. L. Fry Baltz Justic Walker 1 month 1 month 0 months 0.5 month Other Investigators (list on justification) Postdoctoral Associates Other 8. Professionals 12 months RA 9. Graduate Assistants Student 10. Workers 6 months Subtotal Salaries and Wages Fringe Benefits @ 35.0% Total Salaries, Wages and Fringe Travel Supplies Operating Services Professional Services 1. Subcontracts 2. Consultants radiocarbon and oil chemical 3. Other Services analyses Other Charges Equipment Total Direct Costs Facilities & Administrative Costs @ 47.0% M. Total Project Costs *Base for request = $148,949 5 $9,639 $9,820 $0 $4,287 $0 $0 $0 $40,290 $0 $6,000 $70,036 $22,413 $6,500 $10,500 $1,500 $21,000 $0 $38,000 $0 $169,949 $79,876 $249,824