Comprehensive Exams/Dr. Mary Beth Oliver Nan Yu/March 14, 2008 Questions: This question asks you to discuss what you consider to be the most important methodological approaches and data analytic strategies that may be useful to you in studying persuasion in the context of message framing and social distance. (If this topic is too different from your dissertation research interests, you can shift the focus/topic of investigation for purposes of this question.) In framing answer to this question, first provide one or two hypotheses that you would like to explore within this area of research. Please note that your IV(s) and DV(s) should be readily identifiable from the hypothesis(ses) that you provide. From there, identify what you would consider to be an appropriate design for examining your hypothesis/hypotheses. Your discussion should include how you would measure/manipulate your variables and prepare your data for analysis, various considerations about experimental/survey procedures that you would need to entertain depending on the research design, etc. Your discussion should not only provide an explanation of what you perceive to be the strengths of the methodology and measurement that you choose, but also a consideration of the limitations or potential problems that you may encounter and the ways that you may address these limitations. Finally, discuss what you believe would be the most accurate and fruitful ways that you could analyze your data to answer your questions of interest. Your response here should reflect a broad understanding of various statistical approaches, their applicability to different types of data, their assumptions, etc. The following discussion will emphasize on three major sections: 1) a brief introduction of the issue context and theoretical framework for my hypotheses; 2) the method outlines that are designed to test the proposed hypotheses; and 3) the potential data-analysis strategies. Given that no data has been collected for the proposed studies, 1 the discussion will primarily focus on the principles and guidelines. Introduction and Hypotheses (a brief version) Issue selection Influenza (the flu) and flu shots are chosen as the topics of interest for the proposed studies. Influenza refers to “contagious respiratory illness caused by influenza viruses, (Influenza, n.d., p1). The consequences of influenza could be severe and can even lead to death. Each year, more than 200,000 people in the U.S. are hospitalized because of flu complications and 36,000 people will die from flu (Influenza, n.d., p1). Getting a flu shot (a flu vaccine) before the flu season comes is suggested by medical professionals for years and is believed as one of the most efficient ways to prevent influenza. In sum, this particular issue is chosen because the significance of the health hazard which also can be prevented by a relatively mature method. The primary goal of the study is to investigate the combined persuasive effects of social distance and message framing on the issues of influenza and flu shots. In addition, I am also interested in examining the effect of social distance in various cultural backgrounds. One of the potential challenges of choosing influenza and flu shots as the topics of interest is that they lack of novelty due to long-term media exposure and people’s prior experiences with them, both of which can bias the post-treatment measures. However, I’ve conducted a short and small survey among both American (N=23) and Chinese (N=17) students at a northeastern university. The results showed that 65 percent of Americans and 80 percent of Chinese participants have never taken the flu shots. On the other hand, participants from both countries universally held a variety of misunderstanding of both the disease and the vaccine (e.g. flu shots can cause flu, flu shots are useless, influenza is actually good for enhancing your immune system. etc). Due to the small sample size, I cannot really generalize these findings to a greater population, 2 but at least they could imply that the public awareness of influenza and flu shots are not as high as what people expected and people are holding inaccurate understanding of the issue. Theoretical framework for H1 To take a flu shot to prevent influenza is a prevention-type health behavior. According to message framing theory, gain-framed appeals should be more effective in persuading people to take measures to prevent disease (Rothman, Bartels, Wlaschin, & Salovey, 2006). However, Construal Level Theory predicts an interaction effect between psychological distance and the effect of message framing. More specifically, potential gains are associated with high-level construals and become more salient when the psychological distance increases. Potential losses are associated with low-level construals and become more salient when the psychological distance decreases. As a result, if a health hazard is psychological proximal to an individual, it could activate thoughts or actions to reduce the hazard. If a health benefit is psychological distant to an individual, it could activate thoughts or actions to seek for the benefit (Liberman, Trope, & Stephan, 2007; Chandran & Menon, 2004). Social distance is one dimension of psychological distance. The rest includes temporal distance, spatial distance, and hypotheticality (Liberman, Trope, & Stephan, 2007, p.353). From the perspective of Construal Level Theory, I expect that the presentation of social distance in the message will interact with the gain – or loss frames and will have an impact on people’s perceived risk or affect people’s perceptions of influenza and their judgments or behavior intent to prevent influenza. In sum: H1a: A loss-framed PSAl with an emphasis on socially proximal objects will lead to increased persuasive effectiveness of the ad, which includes: i) higher level of perceived severity of influenza 3 ii) higher level of perceived fear iii) higher intention to take actions to prevent influenza H1b: A gain-framed PSA with an emphasis on socially distant objects will lead to higher intention to take actions to prevent influenza. In H1a and H1b, independent variables (IVs) are 1) frame valence (loss v. gain) and 2) social distance (self v. other) and both are manipulated in the message. Dependent variables (DVs) encompass variables about attitudinal, affective and behavioral responses. Figure 1 illustrates the hypothesized interaction effect of social distance and message frame. Effectiveness of the health message Social distance High Self Other Low Frames Gain Loss Figure 1. Hypothesized interaction effect of social distance and message framing on the effectiveness of a health message Theoretical framework for H2 When linking Construal Level Theory to cultural psychology, the effects of the social distance would be different in individualist or collectivist cultures. Previous literature in cultural psychology suggests that people 4 from individualist cultures are more independent from one another, whereas people from collectivist cultures are more group-bind and more likely to hold interdependent views (Markus & Kitayama, 1991; Shavitt, Lalwani, Zhang, & Torelli, 2006). In other words, people with independent views should be more sensitive to the distinction between self and other, whereas people with interdependent views should be less responsive to this difference. From this perspective, I expect that in the collectivist cultures like China, Korea or India, the persuasive effects of social distance will not be as significant as it would be in the individualist cultures like the U.S. or some European countries. Therefore, I propose that when the valence of the frame is held constant and neutral: H2a: For subjects from individualist cultures, a PSA with an emphasis on socially proximal objects will lead to higher level of perceived severity of influenza and higher intention to perform related preventive behaviors than the one with an emphasis on socially distant objects. H2b: The effect detected in H2a will not be significant among subjects from collectivist cultures. In H2a and H2b the IVs are 1) Cultural orientation (Chinese v. Americans) and 2) Social distance (self v. other). The DVs include variables about attitudinal and behavioral responses. Figure 2 illustrates the hypothesized interaction between social distance and cultural orientation. 5 Effectiveness of the health message Cultural Orientation High Individualists Collectivists Low Social distance Self Other Figure 2. Hypothesized interaction effect of cultural orientation and social distance on the effectiveness of a health message the effectiveness of a health message Method Two studies will be conducted for the purpose of investigating the two different sets of hypotheses. Study 1 will be used to examine H1a and H1b. Study 2 will be applied to test H2a and H2b. The discussion in this section will contain the design strategies for both studies. Participants Study 1 Participants will be recruited from undergraduate classes at a northeastern university. They will receive a small portion of extra credit for participating in the study. The age, gender, race, and questions related socioeconomic status (SES) will be measured in order to understand the features of the participants. In addition, the prior experience with influenza and flu shots will be also measured in order to control their possible moderating effects when necessary. 6 Study 2 The participants in study 2 are expected to have different cultural orientations: individualistic versus collectivistic. Therefore, participants should include people from both cultures. Americans and Chinese are chosen to represent individualist and collectivist cultures based on Hofstede’s (1980, 1983) classifications of countries’ cultural orientations. American participants will be recruited from the undergraduate students in a northeastern university who were born and grew up in the United States. Chinese participants will be recruited from the international students who were born and grew up in Chinese societies but are currently in the United States. These participants should be bilingual (i.e. fluent in both Chinese and English) so they can understand the English-language ad appeal without linguistic obstacles. An alternative approach would be to recruit participants from a university at Hong Kong. Chinese who live in Hong Kong will also be bilingual and are more collectivistic than individualistic (e.g. Aaker & Sengupta, 2000). There has been constant criticism against using just student samples for empirical studies because it could limit the external validity of the research. But I think a student sample could be ideal for these two studies because that campus life always involves activities and frequent contacts within a high-density population and a limited space which might cause the quick transmission of the flu virus. Therefore, the issue itself is highly relevant to the targeted population. Experimental design Study 1 The study will employ a 2 (loss versus gain frames) 2 (self versus other appeals), between-subjects factorial experimental design in which participants read one of the four designed print advertisements about influenza and flu shots. Subsequent 7 to reading the ads, participants will be asked to spend sometime to finish a questionnaire. Study 2 The study will employ a 2 (socially proximal appeal versus socially distant appeal) x culture orientation (Chinese v. Americans), between-subjects factorial experimental design in which participants from both cultures will read one of the two designed print advertisements about influenza and flu shots. After reading the ads, participants will be asked to spend sometime to finish a questionnaire. Message design Study 1 The four messages will be formatted to look like public service announcements (PSAs) on magazines or newspapers. The PSAs will contain text and pictures and will be specifically created for this study. The four different combinations of PSAs will comprise: 1) a loss frame with an emphasis on socially proximal objects (i.e. self); 2) a loss frame with an emphasis on socially distant objects (i.e. other); 3) a gain frame with an emphasis on socially proximal objects (i.e. self); and 4) a gain frame appeal with an emphasis on socially distant objects (i.e. other). When PSAs are loss-framed, the message will focus on the consequences of getting influenza because of not getting a flu shot (e.g. flu symptoms, hospitalization, impacts on routine work or life schedule, and flu complications, etc). When PSAs are gain-framed, the message will focus on the good outcomes of getting a flu shot to prevent influenza (e.g. free from all the bad consequence of getting influenza). The manipulation of the socially proximal and socially distant appeals will be revealed both in pictures and the text. When the PSAs emphasize on socially proximal objects, a picture of one individual would be used, and bad consequences of getting influenza (or the good aspects of not having influenza) will target on “you (i.e. self).” When the PSAs emphasize on socially distant objects, a picture of a group of people would be used, the consequences of 8 getting influenza (or the good aspects of not having influenza) will target on “average people (i.e. other).” Other aspects of the message features will be held constant through the four ad appeals such as font, size of the pictures, layout of the PSAs and length of the text, etc. I am hoping to provide a more detailed description of the message stimuli can be provided when the PSAs are completed. In sum, both of the IVs (i.e. social distance and frame valence) of the first study will be manipulated in the PSAs. Due to the lacking of previous examples of how social distance can be manipulated in the message, a pre-test using a different sample from the studies will be conducted before finalizing the message design. Study 2 The study 2 will use two PSAs with valence-neutral frames but with different emphasis on socially proximal objects (i.e. self) or socially distant objects (i.e. other). The manipulations of “self” and “other” will be similar to the ones used in study 1. Therefore, only one IV (social distant) is manipulated in study 2. The other IV (cultural orientations) will be measured using existing measurements (Singelis, 1994). Manipulation check The purpose of conducting manipulation check is to investigate whether participants can actually detect the differences that are manifest in the manipulation. The questions related to the manipulation check will be placed at the end of the questionnaire to prevent participants’ possible awareness of the purposive manipulation. Participants will be asked to evaluate the degree to which they agree or disagree with each of the four statements concerning manipulation checks on a 10-point (1=strongly disagree to 10=strongly agree) Likert-type scale. To examine the manipulations of loss- versus gain frames, participants will be asked to evaluate statements like “the ad communicates the positive (negative) implications of (not) getting flu shots.” 9 To investigate the manipulations of the message emphasis on self or other, participants will be asked to evaluate statements such as “the PSA primarily indicates the influenza is a health issue that is close to me (average people) ,” and “the PSA primarily suggests that getting flu shots will be beneficial to me (average people).” Given that the manipulation of “self” and “other” is similar in study 2, I will use the similar measures for the manipulation check of the social distance in the second study. Procedure Study 1 Participants will be invited to participate in an online study. They will first see a Web page containing brief introduction of the research and an informed consent letter. The informed consent letter will indicate 1) participants’ rights to quit the study at any time they want; 2) the guarantee of confidentiality protection; and 3) the contact information of the researcher. Participants are told that they will evaluate a health-related print PSA online. They will also be asked to read the PSA as they normally would. By clicking the link to enter the formal study, participants will be able to indicate their consent of their participation. At the same time, the click will randomly assign each participant to one of the four PSAs that are designed for the first study. Subsequent to reading the PSAs, participants will be asked to complete an online questionnaire with measures of post-experimental attitudes, affective responses and behavioral intentions. The manipulation-check questions and demographic questions will be placed after the questions regarding the post-experimental effects. The participants will be thanked and debriefed when they submit their answers online. The entire session will take approximately 30 minutes. Study 2 will follow a similar procedure as the one in study 1. The only difference is that participants, both Chinese and Americans, will be randomly assigned to one of the 10 two designed PSAs when clicking the link to enter the study. The online questionnaires for the measures of cultural orientations (Singelis, 1994) will be added before participants see the PSAs. For both studies, students will receive an invitation email before their participations and they will be asked to register for the research. In the following email, the students will be offered a link which leads them to the informed consent letter and the formal study as described above. Participants will not be asked to come to a lab to complete the study. They can join the study at any computers that have Internet connections at their convenience. The potential risk is that I cannot monitor the process in which they read the PSAs and complete the questionnaires.This may introduce confounds into the study. But I am expecting the random assignment can minimize these influences. The advantage of asking participants to do it on their own time and computer is to reduce the effects of lab environment and allows the surrounding to be as neutral as possible. Measures Measures for post-experimental effects will be identical for both studies. Intention to prevent influenza A set of behavioral intent measures will be used to evaluate the likelihood that participants would take actions to prevent flu, including taking a flu shot before flu seasons; washing hands frequently; avoiding touching nose, eyes and mouths; avoiding close contacts with people who have influenza, eating healthy; getting enough sleep; exercising regularly, covering mouth and nose when coughing and sneezing, staying home when having influenza. Each behavioral intention will be rated on three 10-point semantic differential scales with paired words: not likely/likely, improbable/probable, and impossible/possible. Perceived severity Three items will be constructed to evaluate the degree to 11 which participants believed that influenza is a severe disease. Participants will be asked to rate on 10-point semantic differential scales on the following word pairs: not dangerous/very dangerous, not fearful/very fearful, and not a severe health problem/a very severe health problem. An index of perceived severity will be constructed by calculating the mean of the three items if the Cronbach’s α is above .07. Perceived fear Affective reactions to the messages will be assessed by asking participants to rate how they feel after reading the PSAs on a 10-point scale (0=not at all and 10= a lot). Five items, including frightened, tense, nervous, anxious and uncomfortable, will be used to encompass fear. The mean of the five items will be computed to create an index of perceived fear if the Cronbach’s α is above .07. Perceived external efficacy Four statements will be constructed to evaluate participants’ beliefs that influenza can be prevented by taking the flu shots and living healthy. Participants will be asked to indicate the degree to which they agree or disagree with the statements on a 10-point (1=strongly disagree to 10=strongly agree) Likert-type scale. The three statements propose that by taking the flu shots and living healthy the influenza is 1) preventable, 2) difficult to prevent, 3) easy to prevent if taking the flu shots 4) easy to prevent if live healthy. An index of perceived external efficacy of influenza prevention will be formed by reverse-coding the item of difficult to prevent and calculating the mean of these four items if the Cronbach’s α is above .07. Perceived internal efficacy Three statements will be included to assess participants’ beliefs about their own ability to prevent influenza. Participants will be asked to indicate the degree to which they agree or disagree with the statements on a 10-point (1=strongly disagree to 10=strongly agree) Likert-type scale. The two statements are: 1) “I am capable of preventing influenza;” 2) “Preventing FASD is easy for me;” and 12 3) “Preventing FASD is not difficult for me.” A reverse coding of the third item will be needed before creating an index of perceived internal efficacy of influenza prevention with the mean of these three items (with a Cronbach’s α greater than .07). Tentative strategies for data analysis Study 1 When the data is collected, the first step would be to make the data as “clean” as possible before conducting further data analysis. The “cleaning” step should include defining missing values, recoding the reverse-coded items, and combining multiple items to created a new index that represents one DV (only if Cronbach α is above .07). Since all the DV measures are on the same metric, I don’t have to worry about converting them to Z scores. I believe that using MANOVA as the first step of data analysis strategy for study 1 is appropriate because both of the IVs are categorical.There are multiple DVs all of which are outcome variables and measured at interval level. MANOVA is good to test the effect of multiple IVs on a combination of DVs while protecting the family-wise alpha. However, before I conduct the MANOVA test, I need to check whether there are any violations of assumptions of MANOVA. First, I need to check whether there are univariate outliners by computing Z scores for each DV. A value that is greater than +3.29 or less than -3.29 would be an outliner. Second, I need to check for multivariate outliers by testing the Mahalanobis Distance. Third, I need to check for multivariate normality assumption. If the sample size for each cell is greater than 20 and all the cell sizes are really equal, this assumption will be satisfied. Forth, I can use Levene’s test to check Homogeneity of Variance assumption and use Box’s M test to check the assumption of Homogeneity of the Variance and Covariance Matrices. However, both tests can be too sensitive. Therefore, if the cell sizes are relatively equal (min: max < 1:4), 13 and at the same time the Fmax (=S2max/ S2min) is less than 10, then the two assumptions will be satisfied. If all the assumptions that were mentioned are checked and no violations are found, I can go ahead to perform MANOVA. Following the checks for assumptions, a 2 (loss versus gain frames) X 2 (self versus other appeals) multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) will be conducted to examine participants’ responses toward perceived external efficacy, perceived internal efficacy, perceived severity, perceived fear, and behavioral intentions to prevent influenza. If any main effects of interaction effects are found significant at .05 level for any of the DVs in the MANOVA test, the next step will be to conduct a factorial ANOVA on the each of those DVs. For example, in the scenario of this study, if any main or interaction effect on perceived severity is found significant at .05 level in the previous MONOVA test, I will continue to conduct a 2 (loss versus gain frames) X 2 (self versus other appeals) factorial ANOVA on the perceived severity. The assumptions in factorial ANOVA include: 1) multiple IVs that are categorical and one interval or ratio DV; 2) cases are independents and randomly sampled or assigned; 3) normality of one DV on each level of the IV (if cell size is relatively equal or >20); and 4) Homogeneity of Variance (Levene’s test or Fmax<=10). I need to check all of these before I can conduct factorial ANOVA for study 1. Other types of statistic analysis, such as Chi-square, independent-sample t-test, correlations and regression are not suitable for this study basically because the type of data in this study doesn’t fit the assumptions for these analyses. More specifically: 1) Chi-square test is normally applied when both IV and DV are categorical; 2) Independent-sample is used for nominal IV with two levels, and one interval 14 and ratio DV; 3) Correlation is for only two variables that are interval, ratio or dichotomous; 4) Regression (simple or multiple regression) can be used when the study has one DV and one or more IVs. However, it requires large and sufficient sample size. It’s not commonly used when the goal is to compare group differences. The current study contains two IVs that are both categorical, and the outcome DVs that are interval. Therefore, using MANOVA as the first step and factorial ANOVA as the second step for data analysis fits the type of data in this study and satisfies the related assumptions. Study 2 will follow a similar procedure of analysis in study 1. After checking the required assumptions, I will perform a 2 (self versus other appeals) X 2 (Chinese versus Americans) multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) on perceived external efficacy, perceived internal efficacy, perceived severity, perceived fear, and behavioral intentions to prevent influenza. If any main effects of interaction effects are found significant at .05 level for any of the DVs in the MANOVA test, the next step will be to conduct a 2 X 2 factorial ANOVA on the each of those DVs. (Author’s note: A majority of the descriptions and terms related to data analysis strategies are derived from the class lecture of Data Analysis taught by Dr. Oliver). 15 References Aaker, J. L. & Sengupta, J. (2000). 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