Project Name: Campbell Traffic Study Project Number: 3002285 Report for: National Capital Authority PREPARATION, REVIEW AND AUTHORISATION Revision # Date Prepared by Reviewed by 0 Approved for Issue by 08/02/2012 Lindsay Jacobsen Jerome Catbagan 1 08/03/2012 Lindsay Jacobsen Jerome Catbagan 2 08/05/2012 Lindsay Jacobsen Jerome Catbagan George Lasek 3.1 12/06/2012 Lindsay Jacobsen Jerome Catbagan George Lasek ISSUE REGISTER Distribution List National Capital Authority: Date Issued Number of Copies 12/06/2012 Electronic SMEC staff: Associates: Canberra Office Library (SMEC office location): SMEC Project File: SMEC COMPANY DETAILS SMEC Australia Pty. Ltd. Level 1, 243 Northbourne Avenue, Lyneham ACT 2602 Tel: (02) 6234 1958 Fax: (02) 6234 1966 Email: jerome.catbagan@smec.com WWW: http://www.smec.com The information within this document is and shall remain the property of SMEC Australia Pty. Ltd. Traffic Modelling Report For: National Capital Authority JUNE 12, 2012 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report details the impacts on the internal roads and traffic of Campbell under a number of scenarios for land use and road network development along Constitution Avenue. Four options have been investigated for the 2016 AM and PM peak periods representing various levels of development. Traffic micro-simulation modelling was performed using Paramics to determine the effect of the developments on travel patterns in the area, while SIDRA Intersection was used to determine the impact on the performance of intersections in the area. The table below describes the modelled scenarios: Scenario Description The existing road network with the following changes: Upgrade of the intersection of Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade Base Case/ Do Nothing Completion of Parkes Section 49 (Commonwealth New Building Project) Completion of Jamison House For the 2016 model year; the addition of left-in access from Parkes Way to the Blamey Crescent Extension Base Case/Do Nothing with the following modifications: Constitution Avenue Upgrade Future Base 1 Completion of Campbell Section 5 Occupation of Anzac Park East Completion of SAAB building Completion of RSL headquarters commercial development Base Case/Do Nothing with the following modifications: Constitution Avenue Upgrade Future Base 2 Completion of Campbell Section 5 Occupation of Anzac Park East Completion of SAAB building Completion of RSL residential development Future Base 3 Base Case/Do Nothing with the following modifications: Residential development as above only on the northern verge of Constitution Avenue The study area and Base Case road network are shown on the following page. Study Area Base Case Road Network Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | ii The micro-simulation model was calibrated with an Origin-Destination (OD) number plate survey performed for the internal roads of Campbell. The models for each scenario were then used to assess the effects of road network and land use developments on the traffic travelling into and out of Campbell. The following figure shows the cordon locations referenced in the following two tables. Campbell OD Cordon Locations One-hour AM Peak Campbell Cordon Counts Cordon 2016 Base Case Entering Exiting 2016 Future Base 1 2016 Future Base 2 2016 Future Base 3 Entering Exiting Entering Exiting Entering Exiting 1 238 538 230 578 204 562 206 524 2 80 72 80 118 86 84 96 72 3 460 302 586 344 522 338 492 406 4 18 22 40 12 28 12 28 18 5 80 96 68 100 100 82 84 88 Total 876 1030 1004 1152 940 1078 906 1108 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | iii One-hour PM Peak Campbell Cordon Counts Cordon 2016 Base Case Entering Exiting 2016 Future Base 1 2016 Future Base 2 2016 Future Base 3 Entering Exiting Entering Exiting Entering Exiting 1 198 422 214 380 194 358 198 422 2 400 46 404 58 364 62 400 46 3 342 616 350 606 354 572 342 616 4 20 42 16 56 22 44 20 42 5 112 96 124 116 124 98 112 96 Total 1072 1222 1108 1216 1058 1134 1072 1222 The results indicate a modest increase in total traffic entering Campbell in the AM peak period and a minimal increase in total traffic entering Campbell in the PM peak period. The intersection modelling results are shown on the following page. They indicate that none of the Future Base scenarios show significant deteriorations in Level of Service (LoS) at any of the intersections. In the 2016 PM peak period the performance of Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent and Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street improves. In the former case this is the result of intersection improvements between 2011 and 2016, while in the latter case it is most likely the result of network improvements outside the study area, for example Majura Parkway. Intersection Level of Service (AM Peak) Intersection '11 Base '16 Base '16 FB1 '16 FB2 '16 FB3 1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent D D D D D 2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street* A/B A/B A/C A/C A/C 3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade D D D D D 4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent B B B B B 5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street A A A A A 6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street* A/D A/D A/D A/D A/D 7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street* A/C A/C B/D B/D B/D 8 Blamey Crescent – White Street* A/C A/C A/C A/C B/C * SIDRA Intersection does not report LoS for sign-controlled intersections as the delay on the major road is effectively zero. Instead the LoS has been determined manually from the average delay according to Table 19, followed by the LoS for the worst performing movement. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | iv Intersection Level of Service (PM Peak) Intersection '11 Base '16 Base '16 FB1 '16 FB2 '16 FB3 1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent D C C C C 2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street* A/D A/F A/E A/F A/E 3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade D D D D D 4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent B B B B B 5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street A A A A A 6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street* F E/F C/F E/F C/F 7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street* A/C A/D A/C B/C B/D 8 Blamey Crescent – White Street* A/B A/C A/C A/B A/C * SIDRA Intersection does not report LoS for sign-controlled intersections as the delay on the major road is effectively zero. Instead the LoS has been determined manually from the average delay according to Table 19, followed by the LoS for the worst performing movement. The intersection and micro-simulation modelling that has been conducted suggests that travel pattern changes in each of the options are unlikely to significantly increase the amount of traffic using the Campbell internal roads as through routes or so-called “rat runs”. Additionally, due to the layout of Campbell’s schools and medical/commerce/retail centres, a proportion of these through trips are likely to be multi-purpose, for example stopping in Campbell to drop off school children. In general there is little change in traffic performance in each of the 2016 Future Base options compared to the 2016 Base Case. The land use development along Constitution Avenue results in a small overall increase in traffic entering Campbell, however only some of this increase is through traffic. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | v CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................. 1 2 ROAD NETWORK OPTIONS .......................................................................... 2 2.1 3 4 5 6 Study Area ........................................................................................................ 2 MICRO-SIMULATION MODEL CALIBRATION ................................................ 4 3.1 Network Coding ................................................................................................. 4 3.2 Traffic Signals ................................................................................................... 4 3.3 Input Data.......................................................................................................... 5 3.4 Land Use Assumptions...................................................................................... 5 3.5 Demand Estimation ........................................................................................... 8 3.6 Demand Profile.................................................................................................. 9 3.7 OD Matrix Synthesis ........................................................................................ 11 OPTIONS TESTING....................................................................................... 12 4.1 Demand Forecasting ....................................................................................... 12 4.2 Micro-simulation Modelling Results ................................................................. 12 4.3 Analysis of Campbell Internal Traffic ............................................................... 14 4.4 Campbell Area Traffic Growth ......................................................................... 18 INTERSECTION ANALYSIS .......................................................................... 20 5.1 Intersection Layouts ........................................................................................ 22 5.2 Level of Service ............................................................................................... 32 5.3 Intersection Analysis Results ........................................................................... 33 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................. 36 APPENDICES APPENDIX A SIDRA INTERSECTION INPUT VOLUMES APPENDIX B SIDRA INTERSECTION MOVEMENT SUMMARIES Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | i TABLES Table 1: Tested Options .................................................................................................... 3 Table 2: High Density Residential Occupancy Rates in Campbell and Reid ...................... 5 Table 3: Land Use Assumptions ........................................................................................ 7 Table 4: Ideal GEH Calibration Thresholds ....................................................................... 8 Table 5: Estimation GEH Distribution ................................................................................ 9 Table 6: AM Peak Traffic Demand Profile .......................................................................... 9 Table 7: PM Peak Traffic Demand Profile .......................................................................... 9 Table 8: Micro-simulation Options Models ....................................................................... 12 Table 9: Road Segment Average Speed [km/hr] by Scenario .......................................... 13 Table 10: 2011 AM One-hour Peak OD Survey Results .................................................. 15 Table 11: 2011 PM One-hour Peak OD Survey Results .................................................. 15 Table 12: One-hour Peak OD Survey Trip Type Summary .............................................. 16 Table 13: AM One-hour Through Trips (Travel Time 3 minutes) ................................... 17 Table 14: PM One-hour Through Trips (Travel Time 3 minutes) ................................... 17 Table 15: One-hour AM Peak Campbell Cordon Counts ................................................. 18 Table 16: One-hour AM Peak Campbell Cordon Growth (Compared to 2016 Base Case/Do Nothing) ............................................................................................................ 18 Table 17: One-hour PM Peak Campbell Cordon Counts ................................................. 19 Table 18: One-hour PM Peak Campbell Cordon Growth (Compared to 2016 Base Case/Do Nothing) ............................................................................................................ 19 Table 19: HCM 2010 Level of Service Criteria ................................................................. 32 Table 20: Intersection Level of Service (AM Peak) .......................................................... 34 Table 21: Intersection Level of Service (PM Peak) .......................................................... 34 Table 22: Intersection Average Delay (AM Peak) ............................................................ 35 Table 23: Intersection Average Delay (PM Peak) ............................................................ 35 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | ii FIGURES Figure 1: Study Area ......................................................................................................... 2 Figure 2: Paramics Micro-simulation Model (Base Case) .................................................. 4 Figure 3: Manual Intersection Count Locations.................................................................. 6 Figure 4: SMEC’s EMME strategic model of Canberra .................................................... 10 Figure 5: Original network for estimation (blue) with expansion into Campbell (red) ........ 11 Figure 6: Campbell Internal Traffic OD Survey Cordons .................................................. 14 Figure 7: Modelled Intersections...................................................................................... 21 Figure 8: Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent (2011) ............................................... 22 Figure 9: Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent (2016) ............................................... 23 Figure 10: Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street (Existing) ............................................ 24 Figure 11: Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade ............................................................. 25 Figure 12: Anzac Parade – Currong Street (Western Side) ............................................. 26 Figure 13: Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent (Eastern Side) .......................................... 27 Figure 14: Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street/Treloar Crescent ..................................... 28 Figure 15: Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street ................................................................. 29 Figure 16: Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street ................................................................ 30 Figure 17: Blamey Crescent – White Street ..................................................................... 31 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | iii 1 INTRODUCTION The National Capital Authority (NCA) has received feedback from the Campbell community regarding the level of traffic in the area, in particular the volume of “rat run” through trips using the Campbell streets. There is also a perception that this has increased recently due to the upgrade of the Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent intersection to signal control. More importantly, the potential for further development in the area to change the travel patterns in the area and increase the level of through traffic has been identified by the community and NCA as an important issue. SMEC has been contracted to conduct an investigation into the effects of a number of potential road network and land use development scenarios in and around Campbell. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 1 2 ROAD NETWORK OPTIONS 2.1 Study Area The study area is shown in Figure 1. Figure 1: Study Area A number of options were tested, as shown in Table 1. The micro-simulation modelling involves calibrating 2011 AM and PM existing conditions models and testing the different options using the projected 2016 AM and PM demand. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 2 Table 1: Tested Options Scenario Description The existing road network with the following changes: Upgrade of the intersection of Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade Base Case/ Do Nothing Completion of Parkes Section 49 (Commonwealth New Building Project) Completion of Jamison House with 120 residential dwellings For the 2016 model year; the addition of left-in access from Parkes Way to the Blamey Crescent Extension Base Case/Do Nothing with the following modifications: Constitution Avenue Upgrade Future Base 1 Completion of Campbell Section 5 with 218 single bedroom units, 435 two-bedroom units, 73 three-bedroom units and 7,300 m² GFA of retail floor space Occupation of Anzac Park East with 250 business parking spaces Completion of SAAB building with 195 business parking spaces Completion of RSL headquarters with 395 business parking spaces Base Case/Do Nothing with the following modifications: Constitution Avenue Upgrade Future Base 2 Completion of Campbell Section 5 with 218 single bedroom units, 435 two-bedroom units, 73 three-bedroom units and 7,300 m² GFA of retail floor space Occupation of Anzac Park East with 250 business parking spaces Completion of SAAB building with 195 business parking spaces Completion of RSL residential development with 190 residential dwellings Future Base 3 Base Case/Do Nothing with the following modifications: Residential development as above only on the northern verge of Constitution Avenue Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 3 3 MICRO-SIMULATION MODEL CALIBRATION Figure 2: Paramics Micro-simulation Model (Base Case) 3.1 Network Coding The existing road network coding was based on current road network TCD drawings obtained from Environment and Sustainable Development (ESDD). As shown, the network includes Blamey Crescent Extension with left-in access from Parkes Way. In 2016 Russell Drive is reconnected to Blamey Crescent Extension. For Future Base 1 and Future Base 2 The Constitution Avenue Upgrade configuration was taken from Constitution Avenue Upgrade PSP drawings provided by Roads ACT, and dated 17 February 2012. This project involves the widening of Constitution Avenue and addition of a busway between London Circuit and Anzac Parade. The final configuration in the PSP design includes median bus lanes in both directions and one general traffic lane in each direction, with turning bays at intersections. All of the current give-way intersections along Constitution Avenue west of Anzac Parade will be converted to LeftIn/Left-Out access only, and the intersections of London Circuit and Allara Street with Constitution Avenue will be simplified with the removal of left-turning slip lanes. The busway has not been represented in the Paramics micro-simulation models, however the intersection lane configurations match those in the PSP design. In all Future Base scenarios Wendouree Drive has been converted to four-way signals to provide access to the future development at Campbell Section 5. 3.2 Traffic Signals Traffic signal phasing, green times and cycle lengths for SCATS enabled intersections were obtained from Roads ACT. Coordination of intersections was configured where necessary, and prioritises the major movements. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 4 3.3 Input Data The model was estimated and calibrated using a combination of manual and SCATS intersection turning movement counts collected on Tuesday 22 November 2011 for the following intersections (shown in Figure 3): 1. Constitution Avenue and Blamey Crescent 2. Constitution Avenue and Creswell Street 3. Anzac Parade and Blamey Crescent 4. Anzac Parade and Fairbairn Avenue 5. Fairbairn Avenue and Creswell Street 6. Fairbairn Avenue and Truscott Street 7. Morshead Drive and Russell Drive 8. Parkes Way and Anzac Parade 9. Fairbairn Avenue and Northcott Drive 10. Constitution Avenue and Northcott Drive 11. Northcott Drive and Tobruk Road 12. Blamey Crescent and Creswell Street 13. Blamey Crescent and White Crescent 3.4 Land Use Assumptions Land Use changes in each scenario have been generated from the provided data (listed in Table 1), and are shown in Table 3. Where dwelling numbers were provided, population estimates were made using 2006 Census data for Campbell and Reid (shown in Table 2). Office jobs were generated at a rate of from 1.5 jobs per specific car parking spot. Table 2: High Density Residential Occupancy Rates in Campbell and Reid Bedrooms Occupants Average Occupancy 4 5 6 Total Rate 1 2 3 1 127 42 3 0 0 0 220 1.28 2 155 96 11 3 0 3 410 1.53 3 11 15 15 3 0 0 98 2.23 293 153 29 6 0 3 728 1.50 Total Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 5 Figure 3: Manual Intersection Count Locations Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 6 Table 3: Land Use Assumptions Zone Description Population 2011 Ex Employment 2016 BC 2011 2016 BC FB1 Ex BC Ex 26 206 207 207 207 207 50 50 59 1107 1107 1107 0 0 0 286 226 226 56 Jamison House 101 Campbell Section 5 0 0 0 102 SAAB Building, RSL Headquarters 0 0 0 0 286 103/ 104 Commonwealth New Building Project 0 0 0 0 0 0 108 Anzac Park East 0 0 0 0 0 0 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Retail Floor Space [m² GFA] Ex FB3 59 59 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 258 1143 551 258 24 1024 1248 1248 1248 1248 0 Page | 7 0 BC 2016 FB2 0 BC 2011 950 950 0 Ex BC Ex BC FB2 FB3 0 0 0 0 7300 7300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.5 Demand Estimation Micro-simulation demand estimation was performed using Paramics Estimator. This software uses an incremental method to attempt to generate an Origin-Destination (OD) matrix that matches the provided turn, midblock and cordon count data. It runs a simulation of the model and records the traffic at each location for which traffic count data has been provided, comparing the simulated volumes to the provided real world counts to determine their accuracy. As it knows the origin and destination of each vehicle recorded at a count location, it can make incremental change to the contents of the OD matrix and repeat the process, eventually converging on a minimised average GEH statistic for all of the input data, in this case turning movement counts. The aforementioned GEH statistic is an empirical formula that is used as an acceptance criterion for comparison and evaluation of modelled traffic volumes against real-world traffic counts. It is used as a reference to measure the general accuracy of a transport model according to the following equation: GEH 2M C M C 2 Where: M is the traffic volume estimated by the model; and C is the observed real-world traffic count. The ideal GEH-based calibration criteria for micro-simulation modelling according to the UK Highways Agency Design Manual for Roads and Bridges are shown in Table 4. Table 4: Ideal GEH Calibration Thresholds GEH Value Proportion GEH < 5 ≥85% GEH < 10 100% Traffic input into Estimator was comprised of the following for each modelled network: The pattern matrix for 2011 AM and PM peak period estimations was extracted from the SMEC EMME strategic transport model of Canberra (shown in Figure 4). Intersection turning movement counts were collected for all major intersections within the study area (shown in Figure 3). Additional SCATS data for signalised intersections within the study area were obtained from Roads ACT. The estimation was run iteratively until the average GEH of the model was minimised. Due to the minimal route choice within the modelled road network the All-or-Nothing assignment method was used for estimation. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 8 The resulting average GEH statistic achieved at the end of the demand estimation process was 1.49 for 2011 AM and 1.66 for 2011 PM. The distribution of GEH values for individual intersection movements that was achieved at the end of the calibration and estimation process is shown in Table 5. Table 5: Estimation GEH Distribution GEH Value AM Proportion PM Proportion GEH < 5 96% 94% GEH < 10 100% 100% 3.6 Demand Profile The traffic volumes from the 2011 SCATS counts were provided for 15 minute intervals. By aggregation the AM peak hour was identified as 07:45-08:45 and the PM peak hour was identified as 16:45-17:45. The model consists of a one-hour warm-up period followed by a one-hour peak simulation period. The demand profiles are shown in Table 6 and Table 7. Table 6: AM Peak Traffic Demand Profile Warm-up Period Period AM Peak Period Proportion Period Proportion 06:45 – 07:00 8% 07:45 – 08:00 24% 07:00 – 07:15 13% 08:00 – 08:15 25% 07:15 – 07:30 18% 08:15 – 08:30 26% 07:30 – 07:45 21% 08:30 – 08:45 25% Total 60% Total 100% Table 7: PM Peak Traffic Demand Profile Warm-up Period Period PM Peak Period Proportion Period Proportion 15:45 – 16:00 19% 16:45 – 17:00 24% 16:00 – 16:15 20% 17:00 – 17:15 26% 16:15 – 16:30 20% 17:15 – 17:30 26% 16:30 – 16:45 22% 17:30 – 17:45 24% Total 81% Total Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 100% Page | 9 Figure 4: SMEC’s EMME strategic model of Canberra Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 10 3.7 OD Matrix Synthesis 3.7.1 2011 Matrix Expansion The estimation was performed using a model without the Campbell internal roads, Fairbairn Avenue or Northcott Drive. This enabled the estimation to be performed without being concerned with the pattern of trips within Campbell, as recorded in the OD survey. The extents of the model for estimation are shown in blue in Figure 5, with the Campbell internal roads, Fairbairn Avenue and Northcott Drive that were initially excluded shown in red. The completed estimation matrix was then expanded to include Campbell, and the traffic that began or ended its trip at each of the cordon locations along Anzac Parade or Constitution Avenue was distributed proportionally according to the results of the OD survey. The upshot of this process was a matrix that reflects the estimation result for the roads shown in blue in Figure 5, and also recreates the results of the 2011 OD survey for the roads shown in red. From this basis it is possible to determine the effect of network and traffic changes in the future. Figure 5: Original network for estimation (blue) with expansion into Campbell (red) 3.7.2 2016 Options Demand Calculations Each of the options was modelled in EMME to produce separate 2016 sub-area OD matrices. The 2011 existing conditions EMME sub-area OD matrices and 2016 options sub-area OD matrices were used to calculate growth rates which were applied to the 2011 estimated matrices using the Fratar growth method. In short, the Fratar method applies growth to a matrix by alternately and iteratively scaling the rows and columns to match a pre-determined total, in this case the targets are based on the estimated row and column totals with the growth rates calculated from the EMME model output. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 11 4 OPTIONS TESTING 4.1 Demand Forecasting Traffic demand forecasting for the 2016 AM and PM peak periods was performed using the SMEC EMME strategic transport model of Canberra, which uses land use data supplied by Transport Planning, ESDD. A separate scenario was configured in the SMEC EMME strategic model of Canberra to allow the 2011-2016 traffic growth for each option to be calculated separately, so that the expected traffic changes due to the various Future Base land use assumptions could be identified. The EMME model was used to forecast traffic in the study area for the existing road network in 2011 and for each of the options in 2016. The OD matrices for each of the 2016 Paramics models were produced using the Fratar method described in Section 3.7.2. 4.2 Micro-simulation Modelling Results The options that have been tested are shown in Table 8. Table 8: Micro-simulation Options Models Option 2011 AM/PM 2016 AM/PM 1 Base Case 2 Future Base 1 - 3 Future Base 2 - 4 Future Base 3 - Average speeds for selected road segments are shown in Table 9. Segments 1-4 cover Constitution Avenue eastbound and 5-8 cover Constitution Avenue westbound. The remaining segments are other important road segments in the study area. There is a decrease in average speeds evident on some parts of Constitution Avenue in Future Base 1 and Future Base 2, however this is most likely a consequence of the Constitution Avenue Upgrade than the additional land use in these scenarios. The Constitution Avenue Upgrade improves public transport and pedestrian utility along Constitution Avenue but sacrifices some general traffic capacity in the process, through the removal of general traffic lanes and slip lanes for left turns, particularly between London Circuit and Coranderrk Street. In general the rest of the network is unaffected in each of the scenarios. The performance of the 2016 Future Base options compared to 2016 Base Case is colour coded according to relative performance. The colour scale is progressive from red (halving of average speed, or worse) through yellow (no change) to green (doubling of average speed, or better). Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 12 Table 9: Road Segment Average Speed [km/hr] by Scenario AM ID Route 2011 BC PM 2016 2011 BC FB1 FB2 FB3 BC 2016 BC FB1 FB2 FB3 1 Constitution Avenue from London Circuit to Coranderrk Street 14 13 9 14 13 21 12 20 10 6 2 Constitution Avenue from Coranderrk Street to Anzac Parade 13 26 25 25 21 4 18 20 25 21 3 Constitution Avenue from Anzac Parade to Blamey Crescent 27 33 17 20 22 27 21 29 28 26 4 Constitution Avenue from Blamey Crescent to Northcott Drive 55 60 59 60 60 52 59 58 58 58 5 Constitution Avenue from Northcott Drive to Blamey Crescent 34 30 27 27 28 27 28 24 19 24 6 Constitution Avenue from Blamey Crescent to Anzac Parade 8 6 19 22 20 11 6 25 9 14 7 Constitution Avenue from Anzac Parade to Coranderrk Street 21 24 21 15 17 22 9 10 3 5 8 Constitution Avenue from Coranderrk Street to London Circuit 20 20 19 18 20 10 18 21 14 22 9 Anzac Parade from Constitution Avenue to Fairbairn Avenue 48 43 43 42 43 34 39 42 38 38 10 Anzac Parade from Fairbairn Avenue to Constitution Avenue 34 36 35 34 35 32 28 8 15 27 11 Blamey Crescent from Anzac Parade to White Crescent 56 56 55 55 55 56 56 54 55 54 12 Blamey Crescent from White Crescent to Constitution Avenue 36 21 33 21 31 30 19 29 16 26 13 Blamey Crescent from Constitution Avenue to White Crescent 57 57 55 52 57 58 58 59 59 58 14 Blamey Crescent from White Crescent to Anzac Parade 46 44 43 44 44 42 42 42 37 39 15 White/Truscott from Blamey Crescent to Fairbairn Avenue 49 50 49 50 49 31 45 32 42 33 16 White/Truscott from Fairbairn Avenue to Blamey Crescent 52 50 51 50 50 51 51 51 51 51 17 Creswell Street from Constitution Avenue to Blamey Crescent 57 58 55 57 57 56 58 59 58 58 18 Creswell Street from Blamey Crescent to Fairbairn Avenue 56 54 55 57 57 38 45 37 43 40 19 Creswell Street from Fairbairn Avenue to Blamey Crescent 55 54 54 53 53 55 53 55 52 54 20 Creswell Street from Blamey Crescent to Constitution Avenue 58 58 56 56 52 59 59 55 56 56 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 13 4.3 Analysis of Campbell Internal Traffic 4.3.1 Origin-Destination Survey An Origin-Destination (OD) number plate survey was conducted on 22 November 2011 to determine the pattern of traffic using the roads within Campbell. The survey used video cameras to record the number plates of vehicles entering and exiting Campbell at the locations shown in Figure 6. The survey was conducted between 07:00-09:00 for the AM peak period and 16:00-18:00 for the PM peak period. The time that each vehicle entered or exited the cordon was recorded, allowing an evaluation of the time spent inside the cordon. This methodology allows complete and accurate capture of vehicle trips entering and exiting the survey cordon. The OD Zones have the following numbering, as shown in Figure 6: 1. Blamey Crescent at Constitution Avenue 2. Creswell Street at Constitution Avenue 3. Blamey Crescent at Anzac Parade 4. Creswell Street at Fairbairn Avenue 5. Truscott Street at Fairbairn Avenue Figure 6: Campbell Internal Traffic OD Survey Cordons The survey results, shown in Table 10 and Table 11, indicate that of the traffic currently using Campbell internal roads, 18% is through traffic in the AM peak period and 24% is through traffic in the PM peak period (see Table 12). If trips that begin and end at the same cordon point are removed these proportions are reduced to 13% and 20% Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 14 respectively. Due to the centralised nature of the services within Campbell (schools, medical and retail/commerce centres) it is possible that a significant proportion of these trips are multi-purpose trips, for example a parent travelling from the north, dropping off children at one of the schools and continuing through to a workplace in the Parliamentary Zone or Fyshwick. As a result they are not all necessarily “rat running” trips. A fair proportion of the traffic at each of the Blamey Crescent cordons (1 and 3) is through traffic – 80 vehicles travelling towards Russell in the AM peak hour and 155 vehicles travelling away from Russell in the PM peak hour. This equates to one quarter of the total traffic using Blamey Crescent in the AM peak, and one third in the PM peak. The proximity of cordon 1 to Russell, and Blamey Crescent’s status and connections, makes this finding unsurprising. Table 10: 2011 AM One-hour Peak OD Survey Results Origin Destination 1 2 3 4 1 35 0 21 2 3 192 253 2 1 2 0 5 0 17 25 3 80 8 26 6 5 186 311 4 4 3 2 1 1 21 32 5 17 0 10 1 7 65 100 Internal 244 65 174 24 95 - 602 381 78 233 39 111 481 1323 Total 5 Internal Total Table 11: 2011 PM One-hour Peak OD Survey Results Origin Destination 1 2 1 21 2 4 5 0 155 7 11 220 414 0 7 46 8 0 58 119 3 12 2 19 1 3 128 165 4 1 1 5 1 1 23 32 5 5 1 6 0 10 59 81 Internal 161 18 232 26 78 - 515 200 29 463 43 103 488 1326 Total 3 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Internal Total Page | 15 Table 12: One-hour Peak OD Survey Trip Type Summary Trip Type 2011 AM 2011 PM Trips Proportion Trips Proportion Exiting (Internal Origin) 602 46% 515 39% Entering (Internal Destination) 481 36% 488 37% Through, Different Entry and Exit 169 13% 265 20% 71 5% 58 4% 1323 100% 1326 100% Through, Same Entry and Exit Total To evaluate the proportion of this external-external (through) traffic that is likely to be “rat running” traffic, the time spent travelling between the entry and exit cordons was extracted for these trips. For most trips the data shows a clear peak for through trips with a duration of three minutes or less, so this was selected as the cut off. Table 13 and Table 14 respectively show the number of trips in the AM and PM peak periods that meet this “rat run” criterion by taking three minutes or less to complete. In the AM peak period 67% of these “rat run” trips occur between cordons 1 and 3 – those at either end of Blamey Crescent. The PM peak period shows a large amount of through traffic travelling northbound from cordons 1 and 2 to cordon 3, which makes up 79% of the total “rat running” traffic. Of the 240 through trips in the AM peak period, 46% of them (8% of the total AM peak traffic) fit this criteria for “rat runs”. In the PM peak period, 63% of 323 through trips (15% of the total PM peak traffic) fit the criteria. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 16 Table 13: AM One-hour Through Trips (Travel Time 3 minutes) Destinations Origins 1 2 3 4 5 Proportion 1 5 0 16 1 1 40% 2 0 1 0 3 0 60% 3 58 6 6 2 1 57% 4 1 2 0 0 0 33% 5 3 0 2 0 1 16% Proportion 49% 71% 40% 45% 21% 46% Table 14: PM One-hour Through Trips (Travel Time 3 minutes) Destinations Origins 1 2 3 4 5 Proportion 1 3 0 119 5 4 68% 2 0 5 42 6 0 86% 3 9 1 4 0 1 41% 4 0 1 1 0 0 20% 5 1 1 1 0 1 17% Proportion 33% 68% 72% 66% 24% 63% Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 17 4.4 Campbell Area Traffic Growth Growth for traffic entering and exiting the Campbell cordon at each of the locations identified in Figure 6 was extracted from the Paramics models for each scenario, and is shown in Table 15 through Table 18. Table 15 and Table 17 give the projected traffic count at each cordon for the AM and PM peak periods respectively, while Table 16 and Table 18 give the difference, in both absolute and relative terms, for the Future Base scenarios compared to the Base Case the AM and PM peak periods respectively. Table 15: One-hour AM Peak Campbell Cordon Counts Cordon 2016 Base Case 2016 Future Base 1 2016 Future Base 2 2016 Future Base 3 Entering Exiting Entering Exiting Entering Exiting Entering Exiting 1 238 538 230 578 204 562 206 524 2 80 72 80 118 86 84 96 72 3 460 302 586 344 522 338 492 406 4 18 22 40 12 28 12 28 18 5 80 96 68 100 100 82 84 88 Total 876 1030 1004 1152 940 1078 906 1108 Table 16: One-hour AM Peak Campbell Cordon Growth (Compared to 2016 Base Case/Do Nothing) Cordon 2016 Future Base 1 Entering 2016 Future Base 2 Exiting Entering Exiting +4% 2016 Future Base 3 Entering -32 Exiting 1 -8 -3% +40 +7% -34 -14% +24 -13% -14 -3% 2 +0 +0% +46 +64% +6 +8% +12 +17% +16 +20% +0 +0% 3 +126 +27% +42 +14% +62 +13% +36 +12% +32 +7% +104 +34% 4 +22 +122% -10 -45% +10 +56% -10 -45% +10 +56% -4 -18% 5 -12 +4 +4% +20 +25% -14 -15% Total +128 -15% +15% +122 +12% +64 +7% +48 +4 +5% -8 -8% +5% +30 +3% +78 +8% The AM peak period results indicate that a small increase in traffic using Campbell can be expected in each of the Future Base scenarios, mostly around cordon 1 for entering traffic and 1-3 for exiting traffic. The increase is up to 15% in Future Base 1 but doesn’t exceed 8% in Future Base 2 or 3. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 18 Table 17: One-hour PM Peak Campbell Cordon Counts Cordon 2016 Base Case 2016 Future Base 1 2016 Future Base 2 2016 Future Base 3 Entering Exiting Entering Exiting Entering Exiting Entering Exiting 1 198 422 214 380 194 358 198 422 2 400 46 404 58 364 62 400 46 3 342 616 350 606 354 572 342 616 4 20 42 16 56 22 44 20 42 5 112 96 124 116 124 98 112 96 Total 1072 1222 1108 1216 1058 1134 1072 1222 Table 18: One-hour PM Peak Campbell Cordon Growth (Compared to 2016 Base Case/Do Nothing) Cordon 2016 Future Base 1 Entering 1 -8 2 -34 3 Exiting 2016 Future Base 2 Entering Exiting 2016 Future Base 3 Entering -4% +42 +11% +8 +4% +0 +0% -12 -8% -16 -30 -7% -4 -6% -70 +68 +25% -4 -1% +76 +28% -14 -26% -6% -22 +0 +0% -2% +80 +29% -48 -8% -20% +14 +33% -16% -6% 4 +0 +0% +0 +0% 5 -2 -2% -18 -16% +10 +9% +2 +2% +10 +9% -16 -14% +24 +2% +4 +0% +60 +6% -2 -0% +10 +1% -84 Total -4 Exiting +2 +10% +2 +5% -7% In the PM peak period there is also an increase in entering traffic at cordon 3 for all three Future Base scenarios, however the overall increase does not exceed 6% in any scenario and there is a decrease in total exiting traffic in both Future Base 2 and 3. Overall the impact on local traffic in the PM peak period due to the modelled developments is minimal. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 19 5 INTERSECTION ANALYSIS The intersection modelling was conducted using SIDRA Intersection 5.1. In all options, intersections that are unchanged compared to their existing configurations observe the SCATS phasing with optimised green times. For intersections that have changed, the optimum phasing has been selected. In all cases the cycle length is optimised by SIDRA. Basic Saturation Flow and amber and red times are configured according to Roads ACT guidelines. The network locations of each of the intersections that have been analysed are shown in Figure 7, with the intersection layouts themselves included in Section 5.1 (Figure 9 through Figure 17). The input volumes were extracted from the Paramics models and are included in Appendix A. The intersections are: 1. Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent 2. Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street 3. Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade 4. Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent/Currong Street 5. Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street 6. Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street 7. Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street 8. Blamey Crescent – White Crescent Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 20 Figure 7: Modelled Intersections Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 21 5.1 Intersection Layouts 5.1.1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent The configuration for Base Case 2011 is shown in Figure 8, while the configuration for all 2016 scenarios is shown in Figure 9. In 2011 Russell Drive has been disconnected. In each 2016 scenario Russell Drive has been replaced with Blamey Crescent Extension to provide access to the Russell Section 49 development. The layout is based on the pre-closure configuration with shortening of the left-turn slip lane from the south-west leg. A left-turning slip lane has been added on the westbound Constitution Avenue approach. Figure 8: Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent (2011) Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 22 Figure 9: Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent (2016) Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 23 5.1.2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street The configuration for all scenarios is shown in Figure 10. In all scenarios the intersection is assumed to be give-way control, as existing. Figure 10: Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street (Existing) Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 24 5.1.3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade The assumed configuration for all options is shown in Figure 11. This design replaces the existing two-stage signals with a single point arrangement. It operates in a four-phase split arrangement (all four approaches have a dedicated and exclusive phase) in contrast to the existing two-phase operation in which right turning traffic from Anzac Parade is stored in the central section and right turning traffic from Constitution Avenue must give way to through traffic. Figure 11: Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 25 5.1.4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent Figure 12 and Figure 13 show the existing configuration, as used in all scenarios. Figure 12: Anzac Parade – Currong Street (Western Side) Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 26 Figure 13: Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent (Eastern Side) Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 27 5.1.5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street The existing configuration shown in Figure 14 is unchanged in all options. Figure 14: Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street/Treloar Crescent Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 28 5.1.6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street Figure 15 shows the existing configuration. The single lane exit leg identified as “RT Exit(SE)” represents the protected exit lane for right turning vehicles from Truscott Street. Figure 15: Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 29 5.1.7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street The existing configuration is shown in Figure 16 and is used in all scenarios. Figure 16: Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 30 5.1.8 Blamey Crescent – White Street The existing configuration is shown in Figure 17 and is used in all scenarios. Figure 17: Blamey Crescent – White Street Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 31 5.2 Level of Service By the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2010 definition, the Level of Service of a signalised intersection movement is judged from the Control Delay D (which increases as LoS decreases) and the Volume/Capacity ratio V/C (which causes LoS F if it exceeds 1, i.e. demand exceeds supply). The descriptions included in HCM2010 for each of the LoS ratings are included below (Source: Highway Capacity Manual 2010, pp18-5 to 18-6), while the thresholds for each LoS rating are given in Table 19. A. The Volume/Capacity ratio is low and either progression is exceptionally favourable or the cycle length is very short. If it is due to favourable progression, most vehicles arrive during the green indication and travel through the intersection without stopping/ B. The Volume/Capacity ratio is low and either progression is highly favourable or the cycle length is short. More vehicles stop than with LoS A. C. Progression is favourable or the cycle length is moderate. Individual cycle failures (i.e. one or more queued vehicles are not able to depart as a result of insufficient capacity during the cycle) may begin to appear at this level. The number of vehicles stopping is significant, although many vehicles still pass through the intersection without stopping. D. The Volume/Capacity ratio is high and either progression is ineffective of the cycle length is long. Many vehicles stop and individual cycle failures are noticeable. E. The Volume/Capacity ratio is high, progression is unfavourable and the cycle length is long. Individual cycle failures are frequent. F. The Volume/Capacity ratio is very high, progression is very poor and the cycle length is long. Most cycles fail to clear the queue. Table 19: HCM 2010 Level of Service Criteria Level of Service Signals Give-Way or Roundabout A D ≤ 10 s D ≤ 10 s B 10 s < D ≤ 20 s 10 s < D ≤ 15 s C 20 s < D ≤ 35 s 15 s < D ≤ 25 s D 35 s < D ≤ 55 s 25 s < D ≤ 35 s E 55 s < D ≤ 80 s 35 s < D ≤ 50 s F D > 80 s or V/C > 1 D > 50 s or V/C > 1 Source: Highway Capacity Manual 2010, Exhibit 18-4 (p. 18-6) and Exhibit 19-1 (p. 19-2) Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 32 5.3 Intersection Analysis Results The overall average delay for each intersection in each option is shown in Table 22 for the AM peak period and in Table 23 for the PM peak period. Level of Service, based on control delay, is shown in Table 20 for the AM peak period and in Table 21 for the PM peak period. Individual SIDRA Intersection movement summaries are included in Appendix B. During the AM peak period the intersection analysis suggests some slight increases in average delay (Table 22), however no more than a few seconds, and the Levels of Service (Table 20) indicate that the road network changes and proposed land use developments should not be expected to have a significant adverse impact on traffic performance in the area. During the PM peak period the intersection analysis similarly suggests a very small increase in average delay (Table 23) for most of the intersections, again without a significant effect on Level of Service (Table 21). Two intersections however stand out in the PM peak period; Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent and Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street. The intersection of Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent improves by one Level of Service in all scenarios in 2016 PM compared to 2011 PM, with a reduction in average delay of almost 20 seconds. In the 2016 configuration (Figure 9) there is a heavy left turning movement from Blamey Crescent Extension (formerly Russell Drive) to Constitution Avenue westbound through a give-way controlled slip lane. In the 2011 configuration Russell Drive is disconnected (see Figure 8), forcing this traffic to use Reg Saunders Way and travel through the signals along Constitution Avenue. This movement is not heavy in the AM peak period and therefore there is relatively little change in performance. The intersection of Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street shows an improvement in performance in all scenarios in 2016 PM compared to 2011 PM, due to reduced through traffic in both directions (see Appendix A). Since the 2016 EMME strategic model includes all road network upgrades that are expected to have occurred by the end of 2016, including Majura Parkway, it is likely that the reduction in Fairbairn Avenue traffic is a result of these changes. A decrease in traffic is also seen in the 2016 AM scenarios, however in 2016 AM the intersection already operates with an overall average delay equivalent to LoS A in all cases. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 33 Table 20: Intersection Level of Service (AM Peak) Intersection '11 Base '16 Base '16 FB1 '16 FB2 '16 FB3 1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent D D D D D 2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street* A/B A/B A/C A/C A/C 3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade D D D D D 4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent B B B B B 5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street A A A A A 6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street* A/D A/D A/D A/D A/D 7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street* A/C A/C B/D B/D B/D 8 Blamey Crescent – White Street* A/C A/C A/C A/C B/C * SIDRA Intersection does not report LoS for sign-controlled intersections as the delay on the major road is effectively zero. Instead the LoS has been determined manually from the average delay according to Table 19, followed by the LoS for the worst performing movement. Table 21: Intersection Level of Service (PM Peak) Intersection '11 Base '16 Base '16 FB1 '16 FB2 '16 FB3 1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent D C C C C 2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street* A/D A/F A/E A/F A/E 3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade D D D D D 4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent B B B B B 5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street A A A A A 6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street* F E/F C/F E/F C/F 7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street* A/C A/D A/C B/C B/D 8 Blamey Crescent – White Street* A/B A/C A/C A/B A/C * SIDRA Intersection does not report LoS for sign-controlled intersections as the delay on the major road is effectively zero. Instead the LoS has been determined manually from the average delay according to Table 19, followed by the LoS for the worst performing movement. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 34 Table 22: Intersection Average Delay (AM Peak) Intersection 1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent '11 Base '16 Base '16 FB1 '16 FB2 '16 FB3 45.3 43.5 45.6 46.1 46.3 2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street 3.3 2.7 3.6 3.0 3.0 3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade 44.8 48.0 51.8 50.7 49.2 4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent 16.0 15.9 16.9 16.7 17.5 5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.9 4.8 6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street 8.6 8.5 10.0 9.2 10.0 8 Blamey Crescent – White Street 6.6 9.7 9.4 9.9 10.0 Table 23: Intersection Average Delay (PM Peak) Intersection 1 Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent '11 Base '16 Base '16 FB1 '16 FB2 '16 FB3 49.1 31.2 30.6 30.8 31.7 2 Constitution Avenue – Creswell Street 5.0 7.9 5.7 7.0 5.6 3 Constitution Avenue – Anzac Parade 49.3 51.0 50.2 53.1 52.1 4 Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent 16.6 17.1 18.1 17.7 17.7 5 Fairbairn Avenue – Creswell Street 6.2 5.4 5.6 5.3 5.6 6 Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street 53.0 36.6 23.3 42.5 24.5 7 Blamey Crescent – Creswell Street 9.3 10.2 9.7 10.0 10.6 8 Blamey Crescent – White Street 7.8 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.4 Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 35 6 CONCLUSIONS The surveys that have been conducted demonstrate that 13% of the traffic entering and exiting Campbell in the AM peak period is through traffic, while 20% of the traffic in the PM peak period is through traffic. Due to the layout of Campbell and centralised location of the suburb’s local services it is possible that a significant proportion of this through traffic is the result of multi-purpose trips. The intersection and micro-simulation modelling that has been conducted suggests that a small increase in traffic can be expected in the AM peak period due to the travel pattern changes in each of the options are unlikely to significantly increase the amount of traffic using the Campbell internal roads as through routes or so-called “rat runs”. The additional land use development along Constitution Avenue generates a moderate overall increase in traffic entering and exiting Campbell, mostly at the intersections of Anzac Parade – Blamey Crescent, Constitution Avenue – Creswell St and Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent. As it is connected to the land use development it is likely that the increase is therefore largely not through traffic. In general there is little significant change in traffic performance in each of the 2016 Future Base options compared to the 2016 Base Case. The intersection of Constitution Avenue – Blamey Crescent experiences improved performance in 2016 due to the completion of intersection and road works at that location, while the intersection of Fairbairn Avenue – Truscott Street experiences improved performance in 2016 due to a reduction in traffic on Fairbairn Avenue attributed to the completion of Majura Parkway. Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | 36 APPENDIX A SIDRA INTERSECTION INPUT VOLUMES Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | i APPENDIX B SIDRA INTERSECTION MOVEMENT SUMMARIES Campbell Traffic Study 3002285 | Revision No. 3.1 | 12 June 2012 Page | i