5. North West Shelf The North West Shelf (NWS) model domain extends 450 km along the coast and 425 km offshore. Tropical Cyclone Bobby passed through this region at the end of February 1995, six weeks after a deployment of 16 current meter moorings and this event was considered to be a stringent test of ROAM and its boundary conditions. The NWS is a region where energetic internal tides are generated over the shelf and slope regions (Holloway et al 2001). We do not attempt to model the internal tide as the length scale required to adequately resolve internal waves would be prohibitive given that we need an area large enough to adequately model the tropical cyclone. The internal tides are evident in the available observations and have to be taken into account when making comparisons with model results. The data we have available for comparison with the model output have been the subject of two papers and their results shall be referred to at times. Holloway et al (2001) show that an energetic, shoreward propagating semi-diurnal internal tide is generated with multiple generation sites coinciding with near-critical bottom slopes. Davidson & Holloway (2003) model the tropical cyclone ocean response with the 3-D Princeton Ocean Model. 5.1 Observations 5.1.1 Instrument locations A detailed CTD survey was conducted in January 1995 during the mooring deployment. Each CTD station (Fig 5.1.1) was occupied for 13 hours to measure one complete tidal cycle with profiles taken every 30 mins except at the deep stations. We use data from three of the moorings (indicated in pink) and the current meter depths are indicated in Figure 5.1.2. The current meters recorded temperature and velocity with a 2 min interval for the meters on M4 and a 5 min interval for M2. Filtered coastal tidegauge for the locations indicated was also made available by the WA Department of Transport. 5.1.2 Internal tides From the CTD section (Fig. 5.1.2) made up from vertical profiles averaged over 13 h it would appear that there is a lens of water between 100 km and 150 km offshore where the thermocline is more linear with depth. The lens however is an artefact of the presence of the internal tide which is strongest in the region about M4. The timeseries of CTD profiles taken at the M4 location in Figure 5.1.3 show that within a 13 h period water from 110 m is raised to less than 50 m depth for a few hours and eventually returned to its initial depth. A 5 day timeseries using M4 temperature records (Fig. 5.1.4) (and spanning the time of the CTD profiling at that location) shows that the vertical temperature structure switches rapidly over the tidal cycle between two very different profiles and is not well represent by the mean profile. The internal tide is evident at both the M2 and M4 locations throughout the deployment with the amplitude of the isothermal excursions at M2 to be about half that observed at M4 (Holloway et al 2001). The effect that the internal tides have on the mean temperature structure as seen in Figure 5.1.2 makes the comparison between temperature observations and model output impossible even when the data has been filtered to remove tides. 5.2 Model initialisation and forcing The model was initialised with a geographic-rectangular grid with 112 grid points alongshore and 97 across-shelf giving an average grid spacing of 4 km and 4.4 km respectively. The depth reaches 2000 m along most of the offshore boundary of the grid and gets to a maximum of about 3000 m at the north-east corner. The model was run for the month of February, with the cyclone entering the domain at about 23 Feb. The model was nested in the two alternative and previously described products: OFAM and SynTS. Both of these products provide initial values of temperature, salinity and surface elevation to initialise the model as well as a timeseries of these variables at the three ocean boundaries. Figure 5.2.1 shows the top 100 m of the vertical temperature profile of both OFAM and SynTS at the location of the furthest CTD station as well as the mean CTD profile (which showed very little isothermal fluctuations over the 13 h of sampling). The SynTS profile is remarkably close to that observed including a close fit at the thermocline despite the relatively course depth resolution. OFAM is cooler at the surface and has a more gradual thermocline and at 100m is 2 degrees warmer than the observed temperature. A profile from the innermost CTD station is included in Fig. 5.2.1 showing the surface temperature to be half a degree warmer than offshore, the thermocline to be more severe and the bottom layer well-mixed. This inshore structure is not replicated by either SynTS or OFAM which have little across-shelf structure. The model is forced with winds and atmospheric pressure provided by RAMS which has the tropical cyclone seeded in it. Except for the tidegauge heights neither OFAM nor SynTS had any input data that provided them information about the presence of the cyclone providing a good test of the ROAM boundary conditions. Figure 5.2.2 shows the ROAM domain embedded in SynTS at the time that the cyclone crossed the middle of the domain and the difference in the vertical temperature profiles at the boundaries. 5.3 Comparison of model with observations 5.3.1 Barotropic tides The barotropic component of the velocity at each mooring is estimated by averaging the observed velocity at each current meter. The equivalent model component compares well for the duration of the model run before the cyclone indicating that the model is doing a good job of replicating the barotropic tidal velocities in both phase and amplitude (Figures 5.3.1 and 5.3.2). The model response to the cyclone includes a strong barotropic velocity component which is not evident in the observations and resulting in strong velocities at depth. This appears to be a common problem to cyclone modelling and also occurred in the POM model for the same cyclone (Davidson & Holloway, 2003). 5.3.2 Low-frequency response Modelled timeseries of coastal height at the four tidegauges track the observations quite well (Fig. 5.3.3). This is not a completely independent result as the same tidegauge heights are input at the boundaries. The timeseries of low-frequency passed filtered velocity (Figures 5.3.4 and 5.3.5) show some discrepancies between observed and modelled. Some of the difference can be accounted for by the inertial period barotropic response which can be seen at the deeper current meters. Matching velocity amplitudes at each mooring is a quite high expectation and is dependent on the track of the cyclone being accurate. Small changes in the cyclone track of the order of a few kilometres can give very different velocity timeseries at a point (Davidson and Holloway, 2003). The alongshore velocity timeseries (Fig 5.3.4) are consistent with the modelled cyclone being slightly too close to the coast as the model response at M6 and M4 is stronger than the observed response yet at M2 the model response is weaker than that observed. 5.4 Comparison of model runs Here we shall compare the automated ROAM run with a few other salient runs. The automated run is has sponges on the boundaries and is run with the relatively robust Mellor-Yamada 2.0 vertical mixing scheme. The auto run was also initialised with and nested in SynTS. Given the nature of the forcing (i.e. a cyclone which crosses the boundaries and crosses the domain) it is a significant result to find that removing the sponge layers does not significantly change the model response. References Davidson F.J.M. and Holloway P.E. (2003). A study of tropical cyclone influence on the generation of internal tides. Holloway P.E., Chatwin P.G. and Craig P. (2001). Internal tide observations from the Australian North West Shelf in summer 1995.