Upland Hydrology Group: What we know and what we need to know (Working document – 20th December 2010) What is the Upland Hydrology Group? An opportunity to enhance the value of the UK uplands The uplands, representing some 40% of the UK landscape, provide vital resources and amenities to the benefit of the UK population. Mounting pressures, including climate change predictions, threaten the value and viability of these resources, be they water supply (70% UK), biodiversity, carbon storage, a working landscape or a leisure facility. The UHG has been established for three years to coordinate and disseminate the work of some of the key practical pilot projects that exist to tackle this range of issues and to retain or restore a working balance between a number of competing interests. The UHG brings together several organisations involved in the sustainable management of the Uplands at policy, science and practitioner level, to promote and facilitate engagement, collaboration and sharing of best practice. Through the development of a common understanding, the UHG aims to establish a consensus over the principal hydrological issues affecting the management of the uplands and seeks to identify practical, evidence-based changes to land management practice/use. As a broad based body, the UHG represents a unique and highly cost effective conduit through which the effectiveness of all these organisations can be improved, enhancing the value of the joint outcomes and outputs currently being delivered. Current core UHG membership is also follows: The Moorland Association The Game and Wildlife Conservation Trust Northumbria Water Yorkshire Water United Utilities National Trust Leeds University Yorkshire Flood Defence Committee The Environment Agency Natural England National Farmers Union Country Land and Business Association Moors for the Future Yorkshire Peat Project North Pennines AONB (Peatscapes project) UHG meetings are generally restricted to a small number of delegates, but information is disseminated to over one hundred corresponding members We often hear about the multiple benefits that restoration of peat moorland can provide. This document aims to focus on our current state of knowledge of upland hydrology - what we know, what we don’t know and what we need to know. The information presented here should be seen as a prompt to further debate – we intend to update this note as new research findings inform our understanding, and where consensus emerges. For this reason we will welcome feedback from anyone who makes use of the document. Why this matters For many years a ‘Holy Grail’ for those involved in upland management has been to understand whether and how different land management regimes impact on water quality and rate of run off relating both to water supply and Flood Risk Management. The imperative to get to grips with this issue was reinforced when Michael Pitt’s review of the summer 2007 floods called for us all to “work more with natural processes’ with a view to incorporating this approach as a central part of flood and coastal erosion risk management planning. 2/16/2016 Page 1 of 14 Water is just one of a wide range of ecosystem services delivered by upland catchments. Even where we know what we want in terms of water quality and water quantity, land management on the ground will need to be achieved in partnership with those who own and farm our upland landscapes with a view to achieving multiple benefits. Our ultimate goal is to be able to predict and quantify the impact of land mgmt decisions, so we can optimise benefits. In the short term we need to identify ‘no regrets’ options to inform the land management and policy decisions which need to be made today. Who is this document aimed at? The UHG aims to disseminate beneficial, practical and evidence-based advice to help both policymakers and land managers retain or restore a working balance between competing interests. Our intention is that the information in this document is presented in a way which will be understood by a wide audience, and not just to individuals who have a specialist interest in upland hydrology Content The main section of the document is three tables presenting information under the following categories: Table 1: Water Quality: ................................................................... 3 1a) Water colour .......................................................................... 3 1b) Other water quality issues ..................................................... 5 Table 2: Water Quantity .................................................................. 7 2a) Flood Risk Management........................................................ 8 2b) Water supply ....................................................................... 11 Table 3: Other issues .................................................................... 12 Table 3a: Greenhouse Gases and the uplands ......................... 12 Table 3b: Economic valuation.................................................... 13 Table 3c: Miscellaneous ............................................................ 14 Some key publications which have been drawn on in producing this document, and which contain more detailed information: Joe Holden (Dec. 2009) A grip-blocking overview Paper prepared for the Upland Hydrology Group Bonn, Allott, Hubacek and Stewart (2009) “Drivers of Environmental Change” in Uplands, Richard Lindsay (2010) “Peatbogs and Carbon - a critical synthesis”. . Please send your comments / critique to: David Mount, Upland Hydrology Group: david.mount@peakdistrict.gov.uk 2/16/2016 Phone: 01629-816585 Page 2 of 14 Table 1: Water Quality: 1a) Water colour Question What we know What we really need to know Notes 1. Do we know for certain colour / DOC is increasing? Yes, colour has been increasing over the last 30 years or so. We need to understand the ecological impact of DOC / colour, and how this relates to WFD. We know a lot in particular about what has happened in Yorkshire and the North East. Why there are regional differences in degree of colour increase. Fred Worrall presented a map showing the geographical spread of colour increase at the BHS conference in 2009. Increase in DOC has also now been reported in the South West (where? Evidence?). Underpinning science 2. Do we know what is leading to colour increase. We have a long list of (possible) factors e.g. Improving air quality (leading to an increase in pH as SO2 inputs decrease, and an increase in soil microbial activity) Critical thing is to understand how the different factors interact. In terms of bare peat the depth of peat and history of wildfires appears to be important. In terms of burning (a particular sensitive topic…) we need to understand the mechanisms by which burning might have an effect on colour, and how this changes with time since the last burn. We need to understand the impact of Areas of bare peat Wildfires Managed burning Grazing type and intensity / seasonality Vegetation cover Climate change – e.g. intensity of summer rainfall might be important + others? Data such as it is often contradictory (e.g. in terms of impact of controlled burns). 2/16/2016 Northumbrian Water has 35-40 years of data on water colour. Burning on the open moor vs. burns in gullies. Frequency of burns In terms of changing climate it would be useful to relate colour to more extreme rainfall events – need to be measure rainfall per hour and relate this to changing colour. Page 3 of 14 If we can be certain about impact of bare peat this might help us prioritise restoration sites. Important to differentiate between managed burning and wildfires. Cranfield are working on this – results suggest 8fold increase in DOC from managed burn sites. Other studies do not support this finding. Burning is not a new thing – but could a change in the pattern of burning over the last 30 years be having an effect? Joint SAC / SEPA conference “Managing our climate, water and soil” (March-April 2010) addressed these issues 106749014 Factors Question What we know What we really need to know Notes 3. How does the type of vegetation influence colour? Dominance of Molinia appears to lead to a reduction in colour. Does heather dominance on blanket bog increase colour? (possible link with higher level of evapo transpiration). Two pieces of work by Moors For the Future on Sphagnum inoculation are of relevance What is the effect of heather seedlings putting roots down into the substrate? Strategy Factors What regime of grazing, burning, vegetation would be most beneficial 4. Does grip / gully blocking reduce or increase colour? Blocking grips or gullies (in most circumstances) leads to increase in DOC after 2-3 years, depending on the previous condition of the peat. In general grip blocking reduces colour in the longer term. Need to better understand colour concentration and flux at the whole catchment scale, and the way colour changes with time following a range of different mgmt changes. 5. When does treatment for colour become unsustainable Water companies are spending very large sums to develop their treatment capacity, on chemicals and on waste disposal. These costs are passed on to the consumer, and do not therefore reduce water company profits. Once we identify beneficial land mgmt in different situations, we should quantify the cost of this vs. the cost of water treatment. 6. What should land managers do to minimise water colour? In general restoration of water table either by revegetation or grip blocking will be expected to reduce colour, by reducing the amount of dry peat that is subject to oxidation. Land managers require a set of straightforward guidelines which can be applied in different situations. 2/16/2016 Page 4 of 14 Need to look at this at the landscape scale as on some sites gripping increases colour (but over what timescale?) 106749014 Strateg y Chemicals Sediment 1b) Other water quality issues Question What we know What we really need to know Notes 7. Sediment Sediment (primarily particulate organic carbon POC) can be a significant issue downstream (expensive removal to clear sumps / pipelines; silting up of reservoirs). Need to be clear about the specific problems associated with drawdown of reservoirs. Restoration projects should already have data on this? 8. What is the impact of grip / gully blocking on sediment? POC / sediment load is quickly reduced after blocks are installed; the water table also quickly changes. 9. Is the rate of sediment loss likely to increase? Has the worst passed? This is likely to be very site specific? 10. Nitrates Uplands are receptors of significant amounts of nitrates (primarily from vehicle emissions) 11. Phosphate P finds its way into watercourses from agricultural applications on in-bye, and from moorland following burning. Also will increase when NPK is applied as part of restoration works? 12. Pesticides Generally relatively low in the uplands? 13. Manganese Mn levels are linked to water colour? 14. Other heavy metals Lead, Mercury and Cadmium are all found in high concentrations in some moorlands. In storm events it has been shown that dissolved organic carbon mobilises and transports Pb downstream 15. Acidity Dry and aerobic peats will lead to high acidity 16. Should we concentrate on the in-bye in order to address Some data show that fertiliser and muck spreading at the wrong time of year is a significant issues. Evidence from some Pennine Dales suggests this is still happening 2/16/2016 More monitoring resources and risk modelling required (not much sediment monitoring going on at the moment?). What will be the impact of increased intensity of rainfall events and increased floods on erosion rates? Which of these are significant in terms of either chemical or ecological water quality downstream? Walk-over surveys in the highest risk areas would provide some idea of the scale of the problem?. Frost action is a factor. Are WFD levels for P low enough? Is this an issue also for other chemical pollutants? Since biological activity increases with temperature will climate change have an impact on eutrophication? As Moorland is de-stocked will in-bye land be used more intensively? Monitoring taking place in Laver Skell Need a simple picture of chemical / sediment pathways, How will climate change impact on the in-bye Page 5 of 14 106749014 Question sediment and general water quality issues? 17. Should we focus our efforts on bare peat to address water quality? What we know What we really need to know Notes Application of targeted rural sustainable drainage system approach (SuDS) as in the case of flood risk will also help reduce sediment e.g. Belford and quantify impacts in different parts of the catchment. land? Will we see a move from sheep to cattle, and/ or from stock to arable? Bare peat releases much more POC than vegetated peat. Soil pipes are also an important POC source. Aerial pollution (via effect on bryophyte communities) is likely to continue to have a water quality impact. Trends Re-vegetating bare peat in general raises the water table which reduces DOC and POC loss 18. How will climate change impact on water quality? It is likely upland farming will become more intensive, the grazing and cropping season will extend Need to develop scenarios and possible impacts – e.g. increase in bracken cover, might result in increased use of Asulox, possible impact on water quality? 19. What happens as more peat is lost? Peat breakdown results in the production of a variety of chemicals. Link here also to what happens as atmospheric quality improves. 20. What should land managers do to minimise sediment and chemical pollutants? Maintain / restore vegetation cover. Create buffers alongside watercourses. Need pragmatic advice in terms of (e.g.) grazing and burning regimes. Avoid spraying and fertiliser applications alongside watercourses Avoid poaching and soil compaction, and so promote good soil structure to aid water movement through the soil profile Follow the Grass and Heather Burning Code of Practice 2/16/2016 Page 6 of 14 106749014 Table 2: Water Quantity What we know What we really need to know Notes 21. What do we know about the way uplands contribute to flood events? Upland catchments in general, and upland peatlands in particular, are inherently flashy. Surface waters quickly respond to rainfall before rapidly returning to low flows, particularly following extended periods of dry weather. The widely held view that peatlands behave like a sponge – buffering floods and sustaining low flows – is unhelpful. Ideally we need to develop a sophisticated understanding of the way different catchment characteristics and variables interact. We would like to be able to predict the hydrological response of any given upland catchment to different meteorological conditions. In a perfect world the data required to make these predictions would be collected via remote sensing. Are there some catchments which are NOT sensitive to landuse change? Underpinning science Question Most of the water movement in peat occurs either on the surface or in the surface layers. In bare and gripped situations the water tables are generally suppressed. Once the peat has been restored either by revegetation or grip blocking, the water table rises. This in effect further reduces storage capacity and reduces the time before run off occurs In situations which result in downstream flooding overland flow is often the principal pathway for water joining the river channel network. Surface roughness (often created by vegetation cover) is a primary determinant of the rate of overland flow. The variables which would input into such a model include: Topography Soil type, depth and condition. Network of pipes could be critical (and potentially overlooked) Land-use history – e.g. drainage, erosion, restoration activity Vegetation cover Current land-use practises – e.g. burning and grazing regimes Intact deeper peat has very low hydraulic conductivity. Upland peats however often contain networks of pores and larger pipes. These allow water to pass quickly through peat, and have been shown to contribute between 10-50% of streamflow. Non peat moorland and improved in-bye land also contribute to surface runoff. Soils that are well structured are more likely to allow water to infiltrate the soil profile and reduce run off. 2/16/2016 Page 7 of 14 106749014 Climate scenarios Question What we know What we really need to know 22. What are the key factors to think about relating to climate change Expected increase in high intensity, localised rainfall events (as a result of this local FRM impacts might become relatively more important.) Notes Need to develop a set of scenarios against a spread of realistic (UKCIP?) predictions. Climate change may result in vegetation succession. Hotter drier summers will lead to an increase in wildfire risk This would enable us to plan for likely futures, and quantify the impact of possible extremes Certain moorland areas may become vulnerable (as peat dries out and oxidises). Peatlands which are currently actively capturing carbon may stop doing this. Moorland restoration 2a) Flood Risk Management Question What we know 23. Does grip blocking reduce downstream flood risk at a local scale? This has been demonstrated on some sites, and under some conditions. 24. When we revegetate / stabilise bare peat, and/or block gullies, does this reduce downstream flood risk at a local scale? Flow velocities across the surface of restored / drain-blocked peatlands are slower than they are across drained peatlands. Re-vegetation of bare peat is more important in terms of FRM than gully or grip blocking: Flow velocity is slower within vegetated grips (even ones without dams and pools) compared to bare peat grips by at least 10fold 2/16/2016 . What we really need to know Notes The different ways intact, gripped, eroded and restored moorland respond to different rain events We are some way from having a clear answer regarding the relationship between grip / gully blocking and flood risk Why moorlands which appear to be similar have different hydrological characteristics Page 8 of 14 Exmoor research will help with this question 106749014 Moorland restoration 25. Do we have models which enable us to identify sites where grip / gully blocking will be most effective in terms of FRM? Our understanding of the hydrological impact of both creating and blocking grips has improved over the last few years. Stuart Lane’s models help to indicate which grips have the highest connectivity with the main water courses and from that which will have the greatest impact on run off. We need to be able to predict the pattern of grip blocking that will have the greatest impact given the topography and layout of any given site. This information would – in theory - enable land managers to maximise flood risk benefit from any investment in moorland restoration. In practice gully blocking decisions are made on the basis of a large number of factors, not just FRM. This is still a valid question to work on, but reservations have been expressed about focusing too much on such models. How we can scale up from what we know about local effects? To do this we need to understand the relationship between different parts of the catchment, and more about the way peak flows from different subcatchments could be de-synchronised. In the future this will become more critical given that we are probably entering a period of increased rainfall intensity. It seems unlikely we will achieve a clear answer to this question in the foreseeable future. The variables are manifold and it is likely that any downstream effect will be quite marginal. Blocking the most intensively gripped areas does not necessarily have the greatest impact on runoff Blocking grips lower down the slope may result in high peak flows if the runoff from the upper and lower slopes is synchronised The Flood Risk Management Research Consortium (www.floodrisk.org.uk) has carried out work in this area. 26. Do moorland restoration works (grip and gully blocking, revegetation etc.) reduce downstream flood risk at a catchment scale? Moorland restoration might have an impact on flood risk across a larger catchment, but this has never been demonstrated. Moorland catchments are inherently flashy, and land management changes will generally only delay flow by 30 minutes or so. Burning / grazing Exmoor research might inform this question. 27. How does managed burning and grazing affect moorlands in relation to FRM? 2/16/2016 Grazing causes compaction and can reduce the rate of infiltration into peat. Overland flow in the uplands however is predominantly caused by saturation-excess rather than infiltration-excess. Burning tends to promote a heather dominated vegetation cover. This in turn helps to dry out and suppress the water table as a consequence of evapotranspiration. Whether there are grazing or burning regimes which should be avoided to reduce flood risk. Whether the predominance of different vegetation types – e.g. heather, Molinia, cotton grass – has an impact on flood risk Page 9 of 14 The key thing here is the impact that different burning and grazing regimes have on vegetation cover, as this is what actually leads to a change in high flow hydrology. 106749014 Forestry Erosion downstream Strategy 1 28. What effect can upland woodland (on non-peat areas) have on flood risk At a local scale woodland can hold back a substantial quantity of water. Downstream this can lead to a reduction in flood risk, depending on the way sub-catchments contribute to any particular flood event. Sediment loss can also be mitigated. 29. Do we have models which enable us to identify sites where woodland planting would be most effective in terms of FRM? Yes (Work by Jeff Pacey/Stuart Lane in the Ouse can help here?). 30. What is the effect of grip blocking / tree planting on downstream bank erosion? 31. From an FRM perspective how can we achieve the best balance between work on moorland and peat bogs as against work on improved and semiimproved areas (inbye land). How we can target planting to maximise the impact this will have on flood risk Forest research have done a lot of work on this Any land mgmt work which decrease runoff rate would be expected to result in less erosion downstream. Modelling in the Yorkshire Dales shows that targeted planting of 5% of a catchment could reduce erosion and coarse sediment delivery to rivers by nearly 80%1 What will more intense rainfall events mean for future levels of bank erosion? Observed decline in downstream bank erosion on Exmoor sites following ditch blocking The Belford Project in North Northumberland gives us some indication of the type of small scale works that can increase the short term storage capacity of in bye. Initial indications are that peak flows are reduced. We need to get to a position where we can quantify (and put a financial value on) FRM benefits of different land management options. We will only be able to justify expenditure of FRM resources on land management schemes on the basis of robust evidence. In general terms peat catchments can be said to be more flashy than mineral soil catchments. The full picture will include an understanding not only of costs but also risk, lifecycle analysis and possible modes of delivery The Flood Risk Management Research Consortium (www.floodrisk.org.uk) has carried out work in this area. Vince Carter, Forestry Commission – presentation to UHG, 20th May 2010 2/16/2016 Page 10 of 14 106749014 32. What strategies should land managers adopt given our current level of understanding? Stabilise and re-vegetate bare peat Manage vegetation cover with a view to decreasing the risk of wildfire Retain / increase woodland cover, especially alongside streams I am nervous of planting trees next to watercourses. What might help FRM during a flood may not help a stream in extended dry periods. I am in favour of guidelines to advise appropriate siting of woodland. Land managers require a set of straightforward guidelines which can be applied in different situations. A minority view is that enough is known about positive FRM benefits to justify encouraging land managers to block grips for this reason. 2b) Water Question What we know What we really need to know Notes 33. Does peat restoration increase overall water yield Possibly, but the position is complex. In any event it is not helpful to suggest that peat will act as a sponge. Base flows from moorland after a period without rain will always be very low, given the limited storage available in peat. The useful yield of water we can obtain from different types of moorland under different conditions. The time when this would be of most value – i.e. during long dry periods- is when base flows from peat will be very low regardless of peat condition. We need to be able to predict whether any immediate response to peat restoration will decrease over time. We need to understand the implications of restoration for the downstream hydrological regime as a whole, and in particular in relation to reservoir yield, base flow and water abstraction. This work should feed into the Environment Agency’s CAMS process. 34. What strategies should land managers adopt given our current level of understanding? 2/16/2016 In terms of water yield alone no particular management strategy is suggested. Overall land management strategies should be those that improve the quality of water and provide environmental benefits whilst still allowing the reliable refill of reservoirs. Any land use change near to a watercourse needs careful consideration. This answer ties in with Q37 (and Q41). The goal should be to adopt an integrated package that provides most benefits but does not cause deterioration. Page 11 of 14 106749014 Table 3: Other issues Table 3a: Green House Gases and the uplands Question What we know What we really need to know Notes 35. How much carbon is stored in the uplands, how much could we sequester by different land uses? Broad brush estimates have been made; uncertainty results from our lack of detailed knowledge of peat depth across the UK. While the answer to this question provides a useful headline figure, in practice the carbon ‘profit and loss’ account of peatlands is of more interest. Our primary task must be to stabilise peatlands and avoid losses; the second task – where possible – is to bring inactive peatlands back to a condition where they trap carbon. Recent NE / IUCN work has provided us with a better handle on this figure, but we still lack data on both carbon stocks and carbon fluxes. The uplands also hold some high organic matter soils that are not considered as peat 36. Which plant spp. enable key habitats to most effectively sequester carbon? Sphagnum is the key species. Molinia and cotton grass also good. 37. In terms of carbon sequestration, are we better off planting woodlands or bringing blanket bog back into an active condition? Establishing trees on blanket bog will increases the loss of carbon in the long term. 38. How do non-peat upland soils figure in terms of carbon sequestration? Permanent pasture on mineral soils can be expected to have a relatively high organic matter content. However this takes a long time to build up. In temporary leys and arable situations OM is depressed. 39. How does methane fit into the picture? Methane production is a function of a healthy peat bog. 2/16/2016 Very different picture according to the depth of peat – Wales already has agrienvironment measures to promote good carbon management. Once we have a better handle on this we can modify mgmt accordingly How and where to spend money most wisely as an integrated package, not thinking about different areas/land use in isolation from one another. What are the interactions and balances – taking into account on the one hand that CH4 is a much more potent GHG than CO2, while on the other it is Page 12 of 14 Fred Worrall’s work and the latest NE paper on carbon are very relevant 106749014 Question 40. Does heather and grass burning increase carbon loss? What we know What we really need to know Notes e.g. when comparing 0.5m column of peat with a 4m column. comparatively short-lived. to this. See Defra review: Methane and peatlands Key research project is Baird et al, Defra SP1202 project Some indications that a cool burn and the promotion of young heather may in some cases increase carbon. But cool burn very difficult to attain consistently. Difficult to research. Worrall and Marrs are both working on this. 41. If we implement management which enhances water quality and contribute to flood risk mgmt what will be the net impact on GHG balance? Table 3b: Economic valuation 42. Can we put a value on water supply from the uplands Upland water costs roughly 10% of the cost of other sources of water Should be possible to calculate the different energy costs associated with different sources. 43. What economic value could be put on 1km2 of restored peatland moorland and fell? Carbon value around £16 per tonne. Relative value is more important than absolute – what was the value before and after restoration. 44. How can carbon policy work in the uplands? How far are we away from a verifiable or voluntary carbon offsetting This would require five years’ worth of verifiable data. 2/16/2016 Woodland may have greater value Drax is co-firing 10-15% of wood, creating a market for wood Scottish government has incorporated this into their Carbon targets. Is this the HOLY GRAIL? Can we ever get the science together to form Page 13 of 14 106749014 scheme based on peatland? the basis for a verifiable scheme? QUEST work suggests some at risk peatlands (SW / S Pennines / N Yorks / Northumberland), will not be able to sequester peat. Table 3c: Miscellaneous 45. Does leaving unburnt margins alongside gullies on blanket bog increase or decrease risk of gully erosion. Buffer strips act as a physical filter. 46. Does heather dominance lead to drying out of the peat? On part of Turley Holes (a MoorLIFE / Moors for the Future site near Hebden Bridge) there are (small) areas that appear to have been heather dominated, but this is now dying off and a wet blanket bog (cotton grass + some sphagnum) is returning. Once blanket bog is heather dominated can it be reverted back to functioning blanket bog? 47. Will peatlands survive in the long term in light of climate change? 2/16/2016 Timing of burn rotation a factor say every 7 years Root systems have a physical role in holding peat together. Wet soils are also more liable to fail, and vegetation drying out effect may also contribute to stability. Liverpool work (Rob Marrs on Howden Moor) will answer, but only for that place. Fred Worrall’s work in the Peak District is relevant So diversifying the botany of sites with sphagnum (and to a lesser extent cotton grass) could be a way to reverse the move to heather. QUEST work indicates relative vulnerability of different peatlands across the UK. Vulnerability relates to (e.g.) location (east and south more vulnerable) and to depth of peat (shallower more vulnerable) Need to come up with our best prediction for what might be sustainable in the long term, and work towards those sorts of habitats rather than hoping necessarily to sustain / create habitats which existed 50 years ago. Page 14 of 14 Some lowland peats already function so warming may not necessarily be an insurmountable problem? However lowland and upland peats result from a different peat formation process 106749014