1 2 Supplementary File #2 3 Atmospheric events drive ocean processes on many time scales 4 5 Arctic storms drive the generation of surface waves, storm surge and related upper ocean 6 processes, particularly with larger open water expanses and decreases in summer sea ice 7 extents. In coastal regions, waves and storm – driven ocean currents influence sea ice and 8 coastal shallow water regions. Open areas create long fetches for the generation of more 9 energetic storms and waves, potentially causing enhanced retreat and breakup of summer ice. 10 Here, we consider Arctic storms over open water regions of the southern Beaufort and Chukchi 11 Seas, propagating over the southern Beaufort region, and making landfall in the Mackenzie 12 Delta region, creating storm-generated storm surge and waves as they impact this region. 13 14 15 a) Storm surge We first consider storm surge. On short time scales, those that relate to cyclone wind 16 events, one of the most notable features of the southern Beaufort Sea are the interactions 17 between the Mackenzie River plume and the near-shore and coastal dynamics of the 18 neighboring region, particularly in the later summer and autumn, when plume waters from the 19 River are notably warmer than coastal Arctic waters. These river-coastal interactions are 20 strongly influenced by synoptic-scale winds impacting the Mackenzie Delta area. Mulligan et 21 al. (2010) investigated the characteristics of the Mackenzie River flow as it passes the mouths 22 of the Delta channels, forming a plume over the Beaufort Shelf. The time period of their study 23 was 12 days in August 2007 during which a data set of in situ field, ship-based and satellite 24 observations were collected, providing a composite picture of the plume. In situ field data 25 recorded currents, temperatures, salinity and related properties in depths 2~6 m, out to about 30 26 km from shore with complementary ship-observations extending to ~ 100km offshore, and 27 satellite MODIS temperature data, several 100s km. They showed that the flows in this shallow 28 near-shore – coastal region of the Delta are dominated by wind-driven motions of surface – 29 trapped plume water and underlying shelf water. Inside the 2 m depth contour (about 20km 30 from shore) the water is mostly vertically mixed, fresh river water, with strong vertical 31 gradients in temperature, salinity and currents developing in 2-3 m water depths. Wind forcing 32 can move temperature fronts by 40km / day. 33 Hydrodynamic model simulations suggest stratification is in balance with surface wind 34 stress, and that synoptic-scale winds are responsible for driving plume motions that can extend 35 several 100s km into the Beaufort, as shown in the satellite imagery of Figure 1. Winds are the 36 key in causing rapid responses and horizontal extensions of the plume to changes in winds, 37 with strong vertical gradients in this coastal region. Mulligan et al. (2010) examined a period of 38 offshore transport and mean water level set-down, which if followed by changing winds could 39 result in set-up, storm surge, and coastal flooding. Similar studies of river plumes for other 40 coastal regions were conducted by Fong and Geyer (2001), and Lentz (2004). More reliable 41 simulations of the Mackenzie Delta would use a 3D ocean model coupled to a detailed 42 hydrological model of the Delta, allowing reliable simulations of flow rates and water 43 properties from each channel from the Delta. 44 45 46 47 b) Waves Second, we consider storm-generated surface waves, following Xu et al. (2011). There are two notable features about wave studies involving the Mackenzie Delta waters. One is the 48 scarcity of observations, and the other is unique very shallow topography relevant to waves 49 associated with landfalling storms, which cause potential coastal erosion. 50 Studies of ocean waves involve long-fetches, else large waves don’t tend to grow unless 51 extreme hurricane-type intensity storms generate and drive them. Extended open water 52 expanses that are present in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas with decreased ice cover provide 53 basins for wave growth, in deep, intermediate and shallow coastal waters. In studies of 54 shallow water dissipation effects of the coastal waters off the Delta, we use data collected 55 during a field experiment conducted by S. Solomon in the summer of 2008 to calibrate wave 56 dissipation parameterizations used in a modern shallow water wave model that is then used in 57 test studies in simulation and verification studies of an earlier storm in August 1991, where 58 observations were also available. Thus our methodology is to select observation data that 59 highlight the dominant shallow water wave physics through analyzing in-situ wind and wave 60 developing processes, determine the dominant shallow water wave physics parameterizations 61 through numerical wave model simulations, focusing on bottom friction and depth-induced 62 breaking in waters off the Delta. 63 During the August 2008 field experiment, wave observations were collected at 1 shallow 64 water site (Aquadopp) to test and also validate bottom friction dissipation parameterizations, 65 with additional wave observations collected at two offshore deep water locations (Sites 1 and 66 22) and wind observations were recorded at a meteorological station at Pelly Island (see Figure 67 2). Results indicate the formulation for a wave bottom friction parameterization suitable for 68 shallow waters off the Delta. These data are shown in Figure 3. 69 70 The storm during August 4~6 1991 was chosen to test and validate a depth-induced breaking parameterization formulation. In this study, depth-induced breaking was studied by 71 modelling wave dissipation using observed winds at Tuktoyatuk, and reanalysis wind data over 72 the entire simulation domain. Observed waves at a location in shallow water (MEDS291 in 73 Figure 1) were used to validate the wave simulation results. Results determined the wave 74 breaking parameter to give simulated results that compare well with observed data, confirming 75 previous depth-induced breaking studies in areas at other locations with extremely mild slope. 76 Therefore through IPY, bottom friction and depth-induced breaking dissipation processes 77 are studied and validated in waters off the Mackenzie Delta, for the first time. Sparse data is a 78 problem. Further validation and studies are needed, with more observational data. However, we 79 were able to suggest convincing criteria for wave model simulations, and that wave forecasting 80 can provide accurate predictions. Other factors, such as storms characteristics, structure and 81 propagation speed, sea ice and the complex topography need further investigation in order to 82 improve wave forecasts. 83 84 References 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 Fong, D., Geyer, W., 2001. Response of a river plume during an upwelling favorable wind event. Journal of Geophysical Research 106 (C1), 1067e1084. Lentz, S., 2004. The response of buoyant coastal plumes to upwelling-favorable winds. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34, 2458e2469. Mulligan, R. P., Perrie, W., Solomon, S., 2010. Dynamics of the Mackenzie River plume on the inner Beaufort shelf during an open water period in summer. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 89, 214-220. Xu, F., W. Perrie, S. Solomon, 2011. Shallow water dissipation processes for wind-waves off the Mackenzie Delta. Under review by Atmosphere-Ocean. 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 (a) (b) Figure 1. Sea surface temperatures from MODIS satellite observations in August 2007 show the extent of the Mackenzie River plume. Easterly winds in a) with mixing and upwelling bring about lower temperatures; light winds in b) with less mixing and entrainment of underlying shelf water allow warmer water to spread as a thin plume. Julian day is indicated as “YD”. 104 x 10 4 100 18 200 100 30 Site1 30 50 16 90 30 100 South-North [ m ] 20 Site11 12 10 Aqudrop 8 2 2 2 2 5 70 7 60 2 Tuktoyaktuk 2 2 5 50 40 30 2 4 2 2 2 2 105 106 107 108 22 2 6 10 Meds291 Pellly Island 0 80 15 14 20 2 10 0 0.5 1 West-East [ m ] 1.5 2 x 10 0 5 Figure 2. Mackenzie Delta, showing locations of wind and wave observation stations. 109 6 4 2 0 0 110 111 112 113 114 115 1.5 Aquadopp location Site1 station Site11 station 24 48 72 96 Hours after 1600 UTC 15 Aug.,2008 120 Significant wave height Peak wave period 8 Aquadopp location Site1 station Site11 station 1 0.5 0 0 24 48 72 96 120 Hours after 1600 UTC 15 Aug.,2008 (a) (b) Figure 3 Time series from data collected during 2008 summer experiment at locations in Figure 2, showing (a) significant wave height and (b) wave period comparisons at the Aquadopp, and Sites 1 and 11 from 1600UTC August 15, to 1600UTC August 20, 2008