The Future of Marine Animal Populations Synthesis plan Updated Version: July 2008 I. Overarching themes a. Mission FMAP attempts to describe and synthesize globally changing patterns of species abundance, distribution, and diversity, and to model the effects of fishing, climate change and other key variables on those patterns. This work is done across ocean realms and with an emphasis on understanding past changes and predicting future scenarios. b. Outcomes During the synthesis phase (2008-2010) these questions will be addressed within three topical synthesis streams: (1) DIVERSITY: Cross-taxa biodiversity patterns in the ocean (Lead: Boris Worm) (2) DISTRIBUTION: Animal distribution and movements (Lead: Ian Jonsen) (3) ABUNDANCE: Long-term trends in animal abundance and ocean ecosystems (Lead: Heike Lotze). These streams are not strictly separate, but will focus on distinct data sources, and emphasize different patterns. Ultimately, their findings will be combined in the Grand Synthesis products (see Fig. 1). Within each stream we aim to synthesize what is known, and how that knowledge has grown over the lifetime of the Census, contrasting it with the yet unknown and unknowable. Where possible we will increasingly focus on the question, how observed patterns and trends in marine animal distribution, abundance and diversity may change in the future, using different scenarios for changes in fishing and climate in particular. As FMAP has done successfully in the past, we will perform syntheses analyses across species groups, ranging from plankton to whales, and across ocean realms, from estuaries to the open ocean. Our overarching goal is to develop a coherent picture of the dynamic changes in marine animal distribution, abundance and diversity, in the past, today, and projected into the future given a range of global change scenarios. c. Outputs We aim to produce a solid body of (i) peer-reviewed Synthesis Papers that synthesize our scientific findings over the last 10 years, (ii) Modeling ‘Toolboxes’ that enable others to continue these explorations, and (iii) Static Maps as well as Animated Visualizations aimed at a general audience (possible outlets: Google Oceans, National Geographic). To achieve these synthesis goals, we are developing three major FMAP Synthesis streams, with different modules focusing on key species groups, ocean realms or objectives (see Fig. 1). An overall synthesis paper across the three streams will be the final FMAP Project Synthesis. 07/July/2008 1 Figure 1. Synthesis streams and some major products according to the FMAP Synthesis Plan. II. Synthesis management a. Lead synthesis writer Boris Worm, with Ian Jonsen and Heike Lotze b. FMAP synthesis team and individual responsibilities for project synthesis Name Boris Worm, Dalhousie University, Halifax Ian Jonsen, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth Heike Lotze, Dalhousie University, Halifax Zoey Zahorodny, Dalhousie University, Halifax Daniel Ricard, Dalhousie University, Halifax Justin Breen, Dalhousie University, Halifax Wade Blanchard, Dalhousie University, Halifax Derek Tittensor, Dalhousie University, Halifax Greg Breed, Dalhousie and UCSC, Santa Cruz Camilo Mora, Dalhousie and UCSD/SIO, La Jolla Marta Coll, Dalhousie University, Halifax Contact bworm@dal.ca jonseni@mar.dfo-mpo.gc.ca hlotze@dal.ca zoey@mathstat.dal.ca ricardd@mathstat.dal.ca breen@cs.dal.ca wade@mathstat.dal.ca derekt@mathstat.dal.ca breed@mathstat.dal.ca cmora@dal.ca martacoll@dal.ca 07/July/2008 Responsibilities Overall synthesis coordination Lead Stream (I): Biodiversity Lead Stream (II): Movement Collaboration with TOPP Lead Stream (III): Abundance Collaboration with HMAP FMAP Office Synthesis Manager Data management Collaboration with OBIS IT support, FMAP Website Statistical and analytical support Cross-cutting synthesis products: Species Richness Cross-cutting synthesis products: Traffic Patterns Cross-cutting synthesis products: Changing Oceans Cross-cutting synthesis products: HMAP-FMAP 2 III. Synthesis Products a. Contributed Synthesis Volume FMAP will submit its contribution to the Project Synthesis Volume (McIntyre Book) in December 2009. The proposed chapter outline is as follows: 1. The Known (Status of discipline prior to Census) Historical perspective of discipline/realm/tool/taxonomic groups/key questions 1.1. Biodiversity patterns in the ocean - the blue map - species lists and water samples - ocean cruises and fishing fleets - Figure 1.2. The study of animal movement and distribution prior to satellite tagging - animal observation and tracking in the ocean - mathematical and analytical efforts to model movement - Figure 1.3. Temporal trends in ocean changes - short-term fluctuations in climate and oceanography - evolutionary changes in ocean life - ocean life in the anthropocene - Figure 2. From Unknown to Known (Evolution of discipline during the Census) What were the major gaps (geographic, taxonomic, technical etc.)? Approaches taken to closing gaps (including new tools and opportunities) Findings (including major discoveries, surprises, new research directions) Ramifications (scientific, governmental, policy, health, political, others?) New questions (emerging issues over the life of the Census) 2.1. Finding large-scale biodiversity patterns in the ocean - analyzing and overlaying global data sets - explaining biodiversity patterns and drivers - reaching general conclusions with meta-analysis - Photo/graph/model 2.2. Analyzing animal distribution and movement - advancing tagging technology to track animal movements - developing state-space models to analyze animal behavior and distribution - Photo/graph/model 2.3. Unraveling long-term changes in the ocean - combining multi-disciplinary data to gain long-term trends - analyzing the magnitude, drivers and consequences of change - projecting future scenarios - Photo/graph/model 3. The Currently Unknown (Remaining gaps) Remaining questions (what are some of the key questions that remain unanswered) 3.1. Missing species: what’s under the radar? 3.2. Future ocean changes: climate change and human pressures 07/July/2008 3 - animal foraging and migration patterns in a changing environment - species range shifts, population extinctions and recoveries - diversity shifts and ocean ecosystem functions 4. How Can we Move From Unknowable to Knowable (Novel approaches to resolve the currently “impossible”) Current limits to knowledge Why we need to push the limits (what we stand to learn and why we cannot afford to accept the unknowable) Ideas to move the goalposts (dream cruises or technology, etc.) Blueprint for the future (beyond 2010) 4.1. Missing data and the problem of data access 4.2. Advancing tag technology, modeling capacity and networked tracking and collaboration (OTN) 4.3. Protecting biodiversity hot- and coldspots as reference sites and insurance 4.4. Improving ecological and environmental forecasting in order to make future predictions Clark et al. 2001, analog to climate research) 5. Conclusions (Major findings and major gaps, how to move forward) Including practical suggestions on how knowledge/understanding might be moved from here. (see forward 5.1. Connecting global ocean studies 5.2. Facing the future: an IPCC for the ocean? b. Project-Specific Products Synthesis Stream I. Global patterns of marine biodiversity Lead: Boris Worm Collaborations with OBIS, CenSeam, CReefs, CMarZ, NAGISA, and others if possible The goal is to overlay spatial diversity patterns for different species group, searching for local hotspots and coldspots, regional overlap between different groups and global spatial gradients in marine diversity. We will also attempt to contrast species richness patterns in the ocean with those described on land. The following marine groups will be treated in detail: a. Large predators (Lead: Boris Worm): Boris Worm and Derek Tittensor will focus on global diversity patterns and range distributions of large pelagic fish (tuna, billfish), Kristin Kaschner on marine mammals, and Luis Lucifora, and Veronica Garcia on sharks, rays and chimaeras. The goals are to develop global spatial diversity patterns for all pelagic groups, and to standardize these efforts across groups so that we can overlay maps for a combined analysis of pelagic hotspots and gradients of diversity in the global ocean. These efforts will then be expanded to include other realms listed under b) to e). b. Coral reefs (Lead: Camilo Mora): This project will focus on synthesizing data on the current status of coral reefs, their diversity, and potential drivers of their decline. Camilo is now based at Scripps to facilitate collaboration with CReefs. Julia Baum (also now at Scripps) and Jana McPherson will work on the recently compiled Pacific Reefs Fish data base to analyze species range distributions and extinction risks in reef fish assemblages. c. Deep Sea (Lead: Derek Tittensor): Mapping global patterns of diversity in the deep-sea is particularly challenging due to the sparseness of the available data, and the inaccessibility of this environment. FMAP and CenSeam are collaborating on analyzing the diversity and distribution of deep-sea and seamount 07/July/2008 4 corals, the factors underlying those distributions, and the statistical approaches for such data-poor systems. d. Plankton (Lead: Boris Worm): Boris Worm and Daniel Boyce will analyze global patterns of phytoplankton and foraminifera, as well as integrating data on large gelatinous plankton. Increased collaboration with CMarZ is being pursued to ensure cross-fertilization of ideas and data sharing.. e. Coastal waters (Lead: Heike Lotze): Heike Lotze will contribute diversity patterns from estuaries and coastal seas, and Allison Schmidt from nearshore vegetated habitats. Towards this goal we will collaborate with NaGISA in the Changing Oceans Synthesis Group. f. Unknown diversity (Lead: Derek Tittensor: Camilo Mora and Derek Tittensor will use existing biogeographical data (in collaboration with Edward vanBerghe, OBIS) to assess the known and unknown of total species richness, the completeness of taxonomic inventories worldwide, and their suitability to construct or adjust global-scale patterns in marine diversity. Synthesis Stream II. Spatial distribution and movements of tagged animals Lead: Ian Jonsen Collaborations: TOPP, OTN, and POST The goal of this stream is to synthesize the movement behavior and dynamic patterns of spatial distribution of vertebrate predators in the ocean over time scales ranging from days to years. We will integrate oceanographic information with electronic tracking data to understand how marine predators interact with their environment and to predict how environmental change may affect these interactions. In addition to gaining mechanistic knowledge of movement behaviors and patterns, we will create maps of species’ seasonal distributions, inferred from the tracking data that will contribute to project stream II. a. Synthesis of developed modeling tools (Lead: Ian Jonsen): Ian Jonsen, Greg Breed and Salvador Jorgensen (TOPP) will continue to work on modeling methods, originally developed for Argos satellite data, by expanding the toolbox to include methods for analyzing light-based geolocation data and for incorporating oceanographic data directly into behavioral analyses. Joanna Mills-Flemming will develop alternate estimation approaches and model selection methods that will provide important flexibility for fitting behavioral models to multiple species. These modeling approaches will be synthesized in an edited volume and combined in a freely distributed software package for data holders. b. Atlantic Ocean (Lead: Greg Breed): The modeling tools developed under module (a) will be applied to better understand species’ behaviors, environmental interactions, roles in the marine ecosystem, responses to climate change and fisheries interactions. Greg Breed will focus on grey seal, Mike James, Ian Jonsen, and Trevor Davies on leatherback turtle. c. Pacific Ocean (Lead: Ian Jonsen): Ian Jonsen and Greg Breed have initiated work with TOPP researchers to synthesize our understanding of the migratory and foraging behaviors of Pacific pelagic species such as white and salmon sharks, elephant seals and leatherback turtles. This work will be done in collaboration with TOPP researchers (B. Block, D. Costa, S. Jorgensen). 07/July/2008 5 Synthesis Stream III: Long-term trends in marine animal populations and ocean ecosystems Lead: Heike Lotze Collaboration with HMAP, CReefs, NaGISA, ArcOD, GoMA, and others if possible The goal of Stream III is to synthesize long-term trends in the abundance, distribution, and diversity of marine animals to add a deeper time dimension to spatial diversity patterns (Stream I) and short-term animal movements (Stream II). These trends will be compared across species (including fish, birds, mammals, and reptiles) and realms (including estuaries, coastal waters, continental shelves, and open ocean). A second focus lies on analyzing the importance of and interaction among major underlying anthropogenic (e.g., fishing, habitat loss) and natural (e.g., climate) drivers to evaluate current and potential future trends in marine biodiversity. Finally, we will develop a modeling framework to analyze the consequences of biodiversity changes for food-web structure and functioning today and in the future. a. Long-term trends in abundance, distribution and diversity across realms (Lead Heike Lotze): We will synthesize long-term trends in depletion and recovery of animal abundance, shifts in spatial distribution and range, and changes in species diversity. Trends will be compared across species (e.g. fish, birds, mammals, and reptiles) and ocean realms (from estuaries, coastal waters, continental shelves, to the open ocean) to derive a general picture of long-term changes in the ocean. Long-term abundance and diversity trends will be synthesized from available studies within FMAP (Heike Lotze, Boris Worm), from other Census and cross-cutting projects (with HMAP, CReefs, NaGISA, ArcOD, GoMA, and others), as well as third parties. Trends in distribution and range shifts will be analyzed using time-series data combined with spatial modeling for tuna and billfish (Derek Tittensor), demersal fish (Dan Ricard), sharks (Francesco Ferretti, Christine Ward-Paige), and complemented with available published studies. The results will be synthesized in two main synthesis products: A toolbox paper will describe the multiple approaches of reconstructing long-term trends and how to compare results across species and studies. A review paper will then synthesize the temporal changes in marine animal abundance, distribution, and diversity and how these differ across ocean realms. Past trends will be used to inform future projections. b. Changing oceans: underlying drivers of change (Lead: Heike Lotze, Camilo Mora, Boris Worm): The studies on long-term trends will be complemented by analyses of the underlying drivers of observed changes. This will include anthropogenic and natural drivers to identify the relative importance of and interactions among exploitation, habitat change, pollution, climate variability and other forcing factors in changing species abundance, distribution, and diversity. Because drivers differ among ocean realms, we aim at comparing results across estuaries and coastal waters (Heike Lotze, Allison Schmidt, with NaGISA, Stephanie Boudreau), coral reefs (Camilo Mora, Jana McPherson, with CReefs), continental shelves (Coilin Minto, Boris Worm), open ocean (Dan Boyce, Kristin Kaschner, Boris Worm), and possibly polar regions (with ArcOD). Camilo Mora will also contribute results on the importance of proximate versus ultimate human drivers in explaining changes in reef-fish communities. A synthesis across all communities is expected to reveal how abundance, distribution, and diversity patterns in the ocean have been changed through multiple human and natural impacts, which is an essential prerequisite to develop scenarios for potential future changes. The effects of projected climate change scenarios will be evaluated. c. Changing oceans: consequences of biodiversity changes for marine ecosystems (Lead: Marta Coll): To evaluate the consequences of biodiversity changes on the structure and functioning of marine ecosystems, we will reconstruct past and present food-web models and analyze changes in emerging properties over time. These will be compared with empirical results (IIIa). Different modeling approaches, including stochastic Niche models and tropho-dynamic Ecopath & Ecosim models, will be compared to develop a general methodological framework (toolbox). Next, we will use the underlying trends and drivers (IIIa & b) to forecast trends into the future under different fisheries, management, and climate change scenarios. 07/July/2008 6 c. Synthesis product overview for Scientific Audiences and General Public (Target Scientific Journals, if already identified are indicated in italics) Outputs For Scientific Audiences STREAM I A review paper on the total number of species in the ocean (known and unknown) (Proceedings of the Royal Society) A data synthesis paper on the distribution of biodiversity across taxa, and its environmental drivers A review paper on the world’s marine biodiversity hotspots and coldspots, and their role for conservation (Ecology Letters) A “modeling toolbox” for the analysis of species richness and distribution patterns and hotspots STREAM II A “toolbox” paper on modeling animal behavior in a dynamic ocean A synthesis paper on the oceanographic basis of marine predator movement patterns A review paper on methods for analysis of electronic tracking data A paper on ontogenetic shifts in foraging and migratory behaviors of leatherback turtles A “toolbox” paper on a Bayesian approach to modeling light-based geolocation data STREAM III A “toolbox” paper comparing different approaches to estimate longterm abundance trends (Trends in Ecology and Evolution) A synthesis paper on long-term changes in marine animal abundance, distribution, and diversity in the ocean A synthesis paper on ‘Changing Ocean’ – anthropogenic and natural drivers of diversity changes in the ocean A paper on the ecosystem consequences of long-term diversity changes in the ocean A “modeling toolbox’ for the reconstruction and analysis of ecosystem models (Ecosystems) ACROSS STREAMS Grand Synthesis Paper: The Future of Marine Animal Populations (Nature) FMAP Project Synthesis Chapter: McIntyre Book For the General Public Animated maps that visualize dynamic changes in species richness and occurrence, animal distribution and movements, and abundance for a general audience, past, present and future Animated projections of how animals will dynamically respond to changing ocean temperature fields and circulation patterns A dynamic web tool that tracks the known and unknown of marine species richness from the beginning of the Census to this day A popular science article on the state of the world’s oceans, and what we learned from studying the past for the future 07/July/2008 Lead author & Deadline Camilo Mora (Oct 2009) Derek Tittensor (Oct 2009) Boris Worm, Pat Halpin (Nov 2009) Derek Tittensor (Mar 2009) Ian Jonsen, Greg Breed (Jul 2009) Ian Jonsen, Barbara Block (Dec 2009) Greg Breed (Oct 2009) Trevor Davies, Mike James (Sep 2009) S. Jorgensen, Ian Jonsen (May 2009) Heike Lotze, Boris Worm (Feb 2009) Heike Lotze et al. (Aug 2009) Heike Lotze, Camilo Mora, Boris Worm (Oct 2009) Marta Coll et al. (Nov 2009) Marta Coll et al. (Apr 2009) FMAP Synthesis Team (Fall 2009) FMAP Synthesis Team (Dec 2009) FMAP Synthesis Team With Google Oceans National Geographic Census Synthesis Group Ian Jonsen Derek Tittensor Edward Van Berghe Heike Lotze Boris Worm 7 d. Cross-Project Synthesis Products FMAP is leading five cross-cutting synthesis topics, two of which have been merged into one proposal that has recently been funded by the Synthesis Group. FMAP is further contributing to two more synthesis topics, led by NaGISA and SYNDEEP (CheSS, CoMarge, CenSeam), respectively. Type of Product Leaders Diversity Topics 1. Estimates of unknown species Derek Tittensor, Edward Vanden Berghe 2. Trends in diversity past to future Heike Lotze, Boris Worm, Andy Rosenberg Distribution Topics 3. Geography of biodiversity hotspots Boris Worm, (and coldspots). Pat Halpin 4. The oceanographic basis of marine predator movements 5. Fresh estimate of changes in size distribution of animals Ian Jonsen, Barbara Block Abundance Topics Boris Worm Funding Synthesis Group FMAP HMAP Synthesis Group Synthesis Group Remarks FMAP-OBIS synthesis effort underway FMAP-HMAP synthesis effort underway FMAP-M&V synthesis effort underway FMAP-TOPP synthesis effort underway FMAP, NCEAS (1) FMAP-NCEAS collaboration underway Cross-cutting Topics: Diversity+Distribution+Abundance 6. “Deeper than light” – life where Eva Ramirez- Synthesis FMAP-SYNDEEP Group sunlight is absent. Llodra collaboration: FMAP contact: Derek Tittensor Synthesis 7. “Changing Oceans” – relative role of LissandroFMAP-NaGISA group fisheries, habitat change, climate Benedetti-Cecchi collaboration: variability etc. Ann Knowlton FMAP contact: Camilo Mora Notes: (1) NCEAS is the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (www.nceas.ucsb.edu), This synthesis effort will take place in collaboration with an existing NCEAS working group led by Boris Worm and Ray Hilborn (U. Washington). IV. Visualization and Mapping We are planning to work closely with the M&V Team to optimize our mapping and visualization output. Pat Halpin from M&V is co-leading the cross-cutting work on species hotspots and will be involved with the work on traffic patterns. Two FMAP Synthesis Team members are attending the October 2008 mapping and visualization workshop. As one of our outreach efforts, we are planning to contribute data layers to Google Oceans or National Geographic that visualize both patterns of diversity, their dynamic changes (e.g. with seasonal or long-term climate change), animal distribution patterns from tracks, and long-term changes in abundance and range size, where possible. We have done this before with static maps (most recently in New Scientist, April 2008, ‘Depth of Ignorance’), but it will be an exciting opportunity to animate these patterns in order to visualize dynamic changes, as they have occurred, are occurring, or are projected to occur in the future. Visualization and mapping will be coordinated by the FMAP Synthesis Team, as follows: 07/July/2008 8 Name M&V Responsibilities Coordination: Species richness maps, climate projections Coordination: Movement models and visualizations Coordination: Abundance and diversity trends past to future Education and Outreach Data management and liason to OBIS, M&V IT support Species range modeling and mapping Species movement mapping Mapping of environmental and human drivers, visualization of effects on biodiversity Visualizing ecosystem changes past to future Boris Worm Ian Jonsen Heike Lotze Zoey Zahorodney Daniel Ricard Justin Breen Derek Tittensor Greg Breed Camilo Mora Marta Coll V. Synthesis timelines 2008-2010 Dates 29 February 2008 Items Estimating global species richness: meeting I (Videoconference) 20-22 March 2008 FMAP-TOPP synthesis planning meeting, Pacific Grove, CA March 2008 Writing and submission of Letters of Intent for Synthesis Group 19-22 April 2008 Second FMAP-HMAP synthesis meeting on Trends in Diversity and FMAP-NCEAS planning meeting on Estimating Changes in Size Spectra, Santa Barbara, CA CenSeam Data Analysis Working Group Workshop, Sunshine Coast , Australia Draft Review: Sloan proposal for FMAP renewal 2008-10 Checking, documenting and merging of FMAP databases for OBIS Submit Sloan proposal for FMAP renewal 2008-2010 12-16 May 2008 May 2008 May-December 2008 15 July 2008 August 2008 Estimating global species richness: meeting II (Videoconference) 13-15 September 2008 Cross-Project Workshop: SYNDEEP-I: towards a first global synthesis of biodiversity, biogeography and function in the deep sea. 07/July/2008 Leaders or Contacts Derek Tittensor Camilo Mora Edward vanden Berghe Barbara Block Ian Jonsen Sal Jorgensen Derek Tittensor Camilo Mora Edward vanden Berghe Boris Worm Boris Worm Heike Lotze Andy Rosenberg Ray Hilborn CenSeam with Derek Tittensor for FMAP SC members Daniel Ricard Boris Worm Heike Lotze Ian Jonsen Derek Tittensor Camilo Mora Edward vanden Berghe Eva Ramirez Llodra, Derek Tittensor for FMAP 9 Dates September 2008 2-4 October 2008 Items Workshop on Habitat Heterogeneity, Scripps, La Jolla, CA Third FMAP-HMAP synthesis meeting on Trends in Diversity, Halifax, NS October 2008 Mapping & Visualization workshop November 2008 SYNDEEP-II: towards a first global synthesis of biodiversity, biogeography and function in the deep sea. World Conference on Marine Biodiversity – FMAP session: ‘Assessing the consequences of large-scale biodiversity change’, Valencia, Spain November 2008 November 2008 First FMAP–TOPP synthesis meeting on Marine Predator Movements, Monterey CA December 2008 Data analysis meeting: ‘Changing Oceans’ Synthesis Group 10-14 December 2008 FMAP-NCEAS analysis meeting on Estimating Changes in Size Spectra January 2009 Estimating global species richness: meeting III (Videoconference) January 2009 1-5 February 2009 FMAP database is merged with OBIS CoML Synthesis Workshop - Writers meeting, including SYNDEEP-III, Long Beach, CA Submitting Toolbox paper Stream IIIa (Abundance Trends) Submitting Toolbox paper Stream I (estimating biodiversity) Submitting Toolbox paper Stream IIIc (ecosystem modeling) Writing meeting: Global hot- and coldspots: Duke University Marine Lab February 2009 March 2009 April 2009 April 2009 May 2009 Second FMAP-TOPP synthesis meeting on Marine Predator Movements, Monterey CA May 2009 Submitting Toolbox paper Stream II (Bayesian approaches) 07/July/2008 Leaders or Contacts Lisa Levin, Camilo Mora for FMAP Boris Worm Heike Lotze Andy Rosenberg Marta Coll Pat Halpin, with Derek Tittensor and Greg Breed for FMAP Eva Ramirez Llodra, with Derek Tittensor for FMAP Boris Worm Heike Lotze With FMAP Team Ian Jonsen Barbara Block Greg Breed Mike James Lissandro BenedettiCecchi Ann Knowlton Camilo Mora Boris Worm Ray Hilborn Simon Jennings Derek Tittensor Camilo Mora Edward vanden Berghe Daniel Ricard Eva Ramirez Llodra, FMAP Synthesis Team Heike Lotze Boris Worm Derek Tittensor Boris Worm Marta Coll Heike Lotze Pat Halpin Boris Worm Heike Lotze Derek Tittensor Ian Jonsen Barbara Block Greg Breed Mike James Sal Jorgensen Ian Jonsen 10 Dates June 2009 Items Writing meeting: Total species richness White Point, NS July 2009 Submitting Toolbox paper Stream II (movement models) Submission of drafts of synthesis products where FMAP is involved to Synthesis Group Submitting Synthesis paper Stream IIIa (longterm trends) Provide information for Google Oceans and National Geographic Maps Submitting Synthesis paper Stream II (ontogenetic shifts in animal movement) Third FMAP-TOPP synthesis meeting on Marine Predator Movements, Halifax, NS August 2009 August 2009 August 2009 September 2009 October 2009 October 2009 October 2009 October 2009 October 2009 November 2009 November 2009 November 2009 December 2009 December 2009 Spring 2010 Spring 2010 Summer 2010 Summer 2010 4-7 October 2010 Fall 2010 Submitting Review paper Stream I (total number of species in the ocean) Submitting Synthesis paper Stream I (biodiversity patterns across taxa) Submitting Review paper Stream II (analysis of electronic tracking data) Submitting Synthesis paper Stream IIIb “Changing oceans” (drivers of change) Submitting synthesis paper Stream I (biodiversity hotspots and coldspots) Submitting paper Stream IIIc (ecosystem consequences of diversity changes) Update and finalize project methodologies to be submitted to the Census secretariat Submission of FMAP contribution to the CoML 2010 Report & Final Synthesis papers Submitting Synthesis paper Stream II (oceanographic basis of marine predator movement) Final checking updating of FMAP records in OBIS database Work on mapping and visualization of the three FMAP stream activities Work on FMAP outreach products and popular science articles Finalize FMAP contributions to “Grand Finale” Census “Grand Finale” in London Finalizing work on FMAP outreach products and popular science articles, essays 07/July/2008 Leaders or Contacts Derek Tittensor Camilo Mora Edward vanden Berghe Ian Jonsen Greg Breed Boris Worm Heike Lotze et al. Boris Worm Daniel Ricard Trevor Davies Mike James Ian Jonsen Barbara Block Greg Breed Mike James Camilo Mora Derek Tittensor Greg Breed Heike Lotze Camilo Mora Boris Worm Boris Worm Pat Halpin Marta Coll Heike Lotze FMAP Synthesis Team FMAP Synthesis Team Ian Jonsen Barbara Block Daniel Ricard FMAP Synthesis Team FMAP Synthesis Team FMAP Synthesis Team FMAP Synthesis Team FMAP Synthesis Team 11