THE SECOND JOINT MEETING ON THE SEASONAL
PREDICTION OF THE EAST ASIAN WINTER MONSOON
21-22 November, 2001
Harbin, China
AGENDA
Wednesday, 21 November, 2001
0820 – 0850
Opening Session
0850 – 0855
0855 – 0900
0900 – 0905
0905 – 0910
0910 – 0930
Meeting Registration
Chair: Qingchen Chao
Welcome
Jingui Wang, NCC, CMA
Welcome
Leader of Heilongjiang Meteorological Bureau
Address
Chung-Kyu Park, KMA
Address
Fumio Watanabe, JMA
Photo Break
Session 1: The Regional or Global Climate Anomalous Features in 2001
Chair: Chung-Kyu Park
0930 – 1000
1000 – 1030
Overview of Recent Climate in Korea
Hyun-Soo Lee, Climate Prediction Division, KMA
The Cold and Snow Weather in Beijing and North China
Qing Zhang, Beijing Meteorological Bureau
1030 – 1050
BREAK
1050 – 1120
Review on the Summer Prediction in China in 2001
Wanxiu Ai, National Climate Center, CMA
The Major Climatic Features over China in 2001
Xukai Zou, National Climate Center, CMA
1120 – 1150
1200 – 1330
LUNCH BREAK
Session 2: The Large-Scale Features and ENSO Outlook
Chair: Weihong Qian
1330 – 1400
1400 – 1430
1430 – 1500
1500 – 1520
Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Activity over Northwest Pacific
using Projection Pursuit Regression
Changkon Hong, Pusan National University
Diagnosis on the Recent Ocean-Atmosphere Conditions and the
ENSO Outlook
Panmao Zhai, National Climate Center, CMA
The 10 days weather forecasting
Hengqing Mao, National Meteorological Center, CMA
BREAK
Session 3: The Prediction and Influence of East Asian Winter Monsoon
Chair: Yongguang Wang
1520 – 1550
1550 – 1610
1610 – 1640
1640 – 1700
Interannual and Interdecadal Variability of East Asian Areas and
Their Impact on Temperature of China in Winter Season for the Last
Century
Weihong Qian, Peking University
The Winter Rainfall in the past 100 years and its interdecadal
variability
Yuan Xu, Peking University
Impacts of Winter Arctic Oscillation on Siberian High, the East
Asian Winter Monsoon
Wu Bingyi, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS
A Teleconnection Pattern in Upper-Level Meridional Wind and East
Asian Winter Monsoon
Lu Riyu, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS
BREAK
Session 4: The Seasonal and Interannual Prediction over East Asia
Chair: Riyu Lu
1700 – 1730
Seasonal Prediction of the 2001 Winter (DJF) Using KMA High
Resolution Global Spectral Model
Jeong-Sun Kim, Climate Prediction Division, KMA
1730 – 1800
Seasonal Weather Forecast over Japan for the winter 2001/2002
Fumio Watanabe, Climate Prediction Division, JMA
1800 – 2000
Dinner Conception (hosted by the meeting organization)
Thursday, 22 November, 2001
Session 4: The Seasonal and Interannual Prediction over East Asia
Chair: Bingyi Wu
0830 – 0900
0900 – 0930
Seasonal Predictions for Winter 2001-Summer 2002 with Coupled
Atmosphere-Ocean models
Qingquan Li, National Climate Center, CMA
The prediction for Temperature and Precipitation in 2001 Winter
and 2002 Spring in China
Linhai Sun, National Climate Center, CMA
0930 – 0950
BREAK
0950 – 1120
Discussion
1120 – 1140
BREAK
1140 – 1200
Closing Ceremony
1200 – 1330
LUNCH
1330
Sightseeing in Harbin
1800
Banquet (hosted jointly by National Climate Center and Hei-longjiang Meteorological Bureau)
Chair: Panmao Zhai
Chair: Qingchen Chao